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Wall Street drifts as bond yields rise and oil prices swing
Wall Street is drifting toward the finish of an up-and-down week, and U.S. stock indexes are mixed following losses in Europe and gains for Asia. The S&P 500 was virtually
Holy Cross Health Recognized for Zero Reported Hospital-Onset
The hospital is committed to evidence-based strategies that protect patients by reducing infection risks. August 26, 2026 – Holy Cross Health is one of a select group of U.S. hospitals to be recognized in the Healthcare Associated Infections-Hospital database for reporting zero hospital-onset Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) bloodstream infections. The database relies on publicly reported […]
Bridges Texas History explores iconic politician Lloyd Bentsen
In his latest Texas history column, Ken Bridges looks at the life and legacy of four-term U.S. Senator Lloyd Bentsen.
Her postpartum depression spiraled and she couldn't get care. She's not alone
Half of U.S. women had trouble when getting health care, according to new research. One in three women said a doctor minimized or dismissed symptoms.
Democrats aim to flip Iowa's U.S. Senate seat in an increasingly competitive race
The race for U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst's open seat is getting increasingly competitive. Democrats hope it's one of the Senate seats they can flip to gain control of the chamber.
Disney Ticket Prices May Rise Again as U.S. Entertainment Costs Climb
Disney Ticket Prices May Rise Again as U.S. Entertainment Costs Climb
Maine woman says political canvasser stole Amazon package from her porch
A woman from Woolwich says a political canvasser took an Amazon package from her front porch Wednesday afternoon after leaving a flyer in support of U.S. Senator Susan Collins.
Forgot to Pre-Order iPhone 18 Pro? Apple Store Pickup Available Today at Most Locations
Apple's new iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max models are now being delivered to customers worldwide following the pre-order period that began on Saturday, September 12. For those who didn't pre-order, there's now a 3-4 week wait time for iPhone 18 Pro Max models across all storage options and colorways in the U.S. Demand has been less strong for iPhone 18 Pro models, but you're still looking at a 2-3 week wait for any configuration.
Athletics: U.S. star Allie Ostrander: "You can unlock your true potential by having a healthy relationship with
A three-time NCAA track champion, Ostrander has a big following on social media, where she addresses mental health and disordered eating - especially for females. She'll compete for Team USA at the World Athletics Road Running Championships 2026.
CDC and County of San Diego begin second Tijuana River health survey
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Thursday began a second assessment with the county this month to re-evaluate health impacts arising from Tijuana River pollution.
Lake Powell Drops to Record-Low Levels
Snow drought and unusually warm temperatures in the Colorado Basin in 2026 helped drive down reservoir water storage in the U.S. West.
Trump Moves Ahead With F-35 Jet Sales to Saudi Arabia Despite Intelligence Concerns
U.S. intelligence agencies have warned in internal reports that China could acquire or steal U.S. warplane technology if F-35 jets are sent to Saudi Arabia.
University of Michigan Health cardiologist named to U.S. Preventive Services Task Force
University of Michigan Health cardiologist Venkatesh Murthy, M.D., Ph.D., has been appointed to the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.
Work has stopped on system that was key to Trump effort to limit mail voting, USPS chief says
The top official at the U.S. Postal Service said Thursday that the agency has stopped work on developing a controversial computer system that was central to President Donald Trump’s effort to limit mail voting after the Supreme Court rejected his executive order this week.
Poll: Ashley Moody 45%, Angie Nixon 45%, and Florida now has two toss-ups at the top of the ticket
U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody and Democratic challenger Angie Nixon are essentially tied in Florida's U.S. Senate race, according to a new St. Pete Polls survey
Ripple CEO Blames Democrats' 'Politics' for CLARITY Act Failure
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse criticized Senate Democrats after the CLARITY Act failed to advance Tuesday, but said crypto regulation in the U.S. could now shift toward rulemaking by the SEC and CFTC. The regulatory setback leaves Ripple and XRP largely...
Arizona asks Supreme Court to block prison health takeover
U.S. District Court Judge Roslyn Silver ordered an overhaul in 2023 to correct what she determined were constitutional deficiencies.
U.S. 17 Corridor Improvements Project begins in North Myrtle Beach, business worries for impacts
Work has begun on the South Carolina Department of Transportation’s U.S. 17 Corridor Improvements Project.
Chris Brown speaks up after politician walks back public recognition
On Sept. 12, U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett and Texas Rep. Venton Jones honored Chris Brown and Usher during their concert in Arlington, Texas. The incident sparked public backlash because of Brown’s history of domestic violence.
Man who sprayed Rep. Ilhan Omar with vinegar sentenced to 14 months in prison
The man who sprayed vinegar at Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar during a Minneapolis town hall was sentenced Thursday to 14 months in prison after reaching a deal with prosecutors.
Maine U.S. Senate Race heats up over health care, taxes, and social security
In an interview with WABI, Democratic nominee Troy Jackson said health care reform remains his top policy priority heading into the general election.
Governor Moore Requests Administrative Declaration from U.S. Small Business Administration for Anne Arundel County
Governor Moore Requests Administrative Declaration from U.S. Small Business Administration for Anne Arundel County
Governor Moore Requests Administrative Declaration from U.S. Small Business Administration for Anne Arundel County
Governor Moore Requests Administrative Declaration from U.S. Small Business Administration for Anne Arundel County
EVS-4
From ice in Greenland to rivers in Alaska’s North Slope to fires and farmland in the U.S. Southwest, Earth Ventures Suborbital-4 (EVS-4) constitutes a series of airborne campaigns.
Iowa’s August jobs report released
Iowa’s unemployment rate held steady in August at 3.2%, the same as it has been since May, new information from Iowa Workforce Development shows. The U.S. unemployment rate was 4.1%, the same as it was in July. Businesses in Iowa added 2,400 jobs in August, pushing the state’s nonfarm employment to 1,585,800. Sectors that saw…
Oregon lawmakers introduce federal bill to end ‘corporate America’s chokehold’ on health care
Oregon’s fight against corporate control of medicine moved onto the national stage on Wednesday as U.S. Rep. Val Hoyle and Sens. Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden were among a group of lawmakers to introduce a federal version of Oregon’s landmark ban on the corporate practice of medicine.
NSF invests in translating low-dimensional semiconductor technologies to establish U.S. leadership in microelectronics
The U.S. National Science Foundation today announced an initiative to translate low-dimensional semiconductor technologies from laboratory demonstrations into platforms for U.S. manufacturers to…
Missouri U.S. Senator Schmitt, Arkansas’ Calipari back bill to overhaul college sports payment system
The bill, called the Protect College Sports Bill, has already been approved by the Senate. If it passes, it will increase federal regulations on paying college athletes.
Roundup: Space Force academy / Louisiana Innovation / Data center power
Louisiana enters race: Louisiana is seeking to become the home of a new national academy for the U.S. Space Force after President Donald Trump signed an executive order calling for its creation and NASA opened the application process to states. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise of Louisiana, Gov. Jeff Landry’s administration and regional economic development […]
Hasan Piker’s Comments Create Headaches for Abdul El-Sayed
Under pressure, the Democratic Senate nominee in Michigan this week rejected Hasan Piker’s argument that the U.S. has caused more terror than Al Qaeda.
Fact-checking President Trump's N.C. speech
Some of President Donald Trump’s comments at a rally for North Carolina U.S. Senate candidate Michael Whatley Wednesday are receiving some significant pushback, especially his remarks on crime and the response to Tropical Storm Helene.
Mike Rogers gets big boost from business community with new slate of endorsements
Michigan’s business leaders are going all in on support for the U.S. Senate bid of Republican nominee Mike Rogers. On Thursday, both the Detroit Regional Chamber and the National Federation of Independent Business announced that they would be backing Rogers in the fall against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. The Detroit Regional Chamber PAC nod, in […]
Mike Rogers gets big boost from business community with new slate of endorsements
Michigan’s business leaders are going all in on support for the U.S. Senate bid of Republican nominee Mike Rogers. On Thursday, both the Detroit Regional Chamber and the National Federation of Indepen...
Detroit Free Press
Abdul El-Sayed takes on politics, Islamophobia and critics in Jewish, Black communities in race for U.S. Senate seat. See link below ⬇️ 📸 Ryan Garza, Detroit Free Press
Apple Increases Battery Replacement Fee for iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max
In the U.S., Apple is charging a higher $129 out-of-warranty fee to replace the battery in an iPhone 18 Pro or iPhone 18 Pro Max compared to previous models, according to its website. Apple has always charged $119 to replace the battery in iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 17 Pro models, so the fee has increased by $10 for the iPhone 18 Pro models, which have larger batteries.
The Iran war is driving clean energy development. It’s not enough to help the planet, yet
Countries are embracing clean power and taking steps to use less energy because of the war against Iran, but it is not yet enough to help address climate change. When the U.S. and Israel launched the war in February, some backers of renewables opined it could drive a green transition as oil and gas prices […]
Mark Carney tries to soothe US fears in EU speech after move to become member
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney tried to soothe U.S. fears over his overtures toward the European Union, pledging that a planned new partnership wouldn’t be detrimental to the United States. Carney outlined his vision for the planned first-of-its-kind alliance with the EU in a speech to the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, on Thursday, a […]
DoorDash and Uber Eats to offer delivery from U.S. Costco stores
DoorDash said it will deliver groceries, household items and electronics from all of Costco’s U.S. stores
US Health Secretary Kennedy adds eight new members to key preventive health panel
Sept 17 (Reuters) - US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Thursday named eight new members to the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, the committee that decides which preventive medical care should be provided to patients at no cost. The Prev...
US Health Secretary Kennedy Jr. adds eight new members to key health panel
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. named eight new members to the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, the committee that decides which preventive medical care should be provided to patients free of charge, on Thursday.
US Health Secretary Kennedy Jr. adds eight new members to key health panel
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. named eight new members to the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, the committee that decides which preventive medical care should be provided to patients free of charge, on Thursday.
How attacking data centers became smart politics for the left and right in New York
U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler and Gov. Kathy Hochul don’t agree on much, but they’ve both concluded that supporting AI data centers is bad politics.
FSU Athletics branding expert offers viewpoint on influencers at sporting events
The U.S. Open has long separated itself from tennis’ other majors with its noise, celebrity energy and New York spectacle. This year, however, one
Protect Your Home and Business this National Preparedness Month with Rainbow Restoration®
The U.S. experienced 12 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters during the first half of 2026 alone, causing at least $31.9 billion in damage, according to Climate Central's mid-year update. As September marks National Preparedness Month and the transition to cooler weather brings the potential for severe storms, tornadoes, flooding and early winter weather, Rainbow Restoration®, a Neighborly® company with more than 45 years of restoration experience, is encouraging homeowners and
Protect Your Home and Business this National Preparedness Month with Rainbow Restoration®
/PRNewswire/ -- The U.S. experienced 12 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters during the first half of 2026 alone, causing at least $31.9...
Forward Party seeks emergency U.S. Supreme Court intervention to get candidates on Nov. ballots
The Forward Party of New Mexico is making a last-ditch effort to have their candidates for a handful of statewide races placed on New Mexico’s ballots before they are scheduled to be mailed out Friday. This story was originally published at New Mexico Political Report, a nonprofit news service covering politics and policy in the […]
UN-backed experts cite possible U.S. war crimes in Iran strikes
They also accuse Iran’s theocratic government of carrying out crimes against humanity against its own people
Omaha Steaks CEO reacts to cattle shortage driving beef prices
Omaha Steaks President and CEO Nate Rempe joins FOX Business to discuss how a historic U.S. cattle shortage is driving beef prices higher. Plus, Strategic Wealth Partners CEO Mark Tepper reacts to a German court ruling against Meta Platforms.
The U.S. Chamber is Working Tirelessly to Defend the Trump Administration’s Deregulatory Initiatives, Preserving Benefits for American Business
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce Litigation Center is fighting on two fronts — defending Trump-era deregulation in court and challenging unlawful Biden-era regulations — to ensure pro-growth policies endure beyond political shifts.
Vitality and Google Expand Technology Partnership to Bring AI-Driven Health Platform to the United States to Incentivize Healthier Behaviors
Vitality AI, built on Google Cloud and using Gemini Enterprise, expands into the U.S. market — bringing proven personalized health recommendations, coaching, and incentives to health plans and...
Trump administration live updates: Americans give AI in schools a poor grade
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Americans give AI in schools a poor grade, Trump focuses on crime in N.C. rally remarks and a U.N. mission finds grounds for U.S. war crimes in Iran.
Rep. Andy Ogles: There's a race to quantum computing
House Homeland Security Cyber Subcommittee Chairman Andy Ogles warns that heavy-handed government regulations on artificial intelligence could stifle U.S. innovation and allow China to win the quantum computing race.
Redistricting moved 1 in 10 Americans into a new House district, report finds
A new report reveals that mid-decade redistricting for the U.S. House has changed congressional districts for one-tenth of Americans.
The Strange New Politics of AI. Plus. . .
It’s Thursday, September 17. This is The Front Page, your daily window into the world of The Free Press—and our take on the world at large. Today: Douglas Murray asks, why do we allow terrorists to die of old age? The American nonprofits backing Hamas. A conversation with Dara Horn and Coleman Hughes. And much more. But first: inside the unlikely coalition warning that AI may kill us all. Last week, an AI researcher named Jacob Coxon made headlines around the world after saying that he had resigned from Anthropic because he believes AI might cause human extinction—and his co-workers do, too. Unlike the rest of us, potentially, the story just won’t die. The Pro-Human Assembly, a conference held Tuesday in Washington, D.C., about the existential dangers of artificial intelligence, couldn’t have come at a better time—or with a more eclectic coalition. The Archbishop of San Francisco was there. So was Steve Bannon, screaming about the Chinese. Bernie Sanders did a quasi-dramatic reading of messages posted to an online forum by rogue AI agents. Ashley Judd paraphrased a graphic Andrea Dworkin quote for reasons that remain a mystery to me still. It was odd. People in the AI industry have talked openly about the possibility of this technology causing human extinction for years, but it hits differently in the wake of the Hugging Face incident. If you don’t know what that is, all the more reason to read my dispatch today. As the doomers see it, the best-case scenario is a future in which humans are basically kept as pets: well cared for, but with zero autonomy. The worst-case scenario, obviously, is the everyone dies thing. What should be done? I heard lots of ideas but no easy answers. There are currently zero federal regulations on AI, which is sort of strange even to think about. After all, we regulate microwaves, and the people running the microwave industry have never once refused to rule out the possibility that their products will end all human life on Earth. What I saw in D.C. left me even more convinced that you would be hard-pressed to find anyone who believes nothing should be done. You know, except for President Trump. — River Page River Page • Tech and Business [ The AI Doomers Have a Plan to Save Us. I Went to Find Out What It Is. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-ai-doomers-have-plan-save-bernie-sanders-bannon) Read story How Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr—and How to Better Fight Antisemitism On Monday, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and a group of other NFL owners banned Macklemore from performing at their stadiums after the rapper delivered a “Free Palestine” speech while opening for Ed Sheeran. Kraft cited the rapper’s “broader history of antisemitic rhetoric and imagery.” Once multiple venues refused to host shows with Macklemore on the lineup, the tour’s promoter officially dropped him. Today, Josh Kaplan says that the move was counterproductive, arguing that though well-intentioned, Kraft’s decision turned an irrelevant footnote into a martyr. “You cannot cancel people into liking you,” Josh writes. Read his column on what a better response to Macklemore would have looked like. Read [ Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr ](https://www.thefp.com/p/robert-kraft-made-macklemore-martyr-antisemitism-palestine) This raises the question: What actually works against antisemitism? On the latest episode of Conversations with Coleman, recorded in front of a live audience in New York, Dara Horn joins Coleman Hughes to talk about her new book The Final Solution to the Jewish Question. She argues that antisemitism is a script that has repeated itself across countries and ideologies, and that most people don’t understand that well enough to fight it. Don’t miss their conversation. Watch [ The Lie at the Center of Antisemitism, with Dara Horn ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-lie-at-the-center-of-antisemitism-coleman-hughes-dana-horn) Listen now Douglas Murray • U.S. Politics [ Douglas Murray: The 9/11 Failure That Still Haunts America ](https://www.thefp.com/p/douglas-murray-911-failure-justice-terrorist-guantanamo-bay) Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, the men who planned them have still not faced trial. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and most of the accused have been locked up in Guantanamo Bay since 2002. Judges have retired, and plea deals have collapsed. Today, Douglas Murray examines how this happened and argues that a justice system that allows terrorists to die of old age in an interminable pretrial process is one that has failed. Read his latest column on what that failure says about our unpreparedness for the era we are now living in. Read story The Editors • U.S. Politics [ When Nonprofits Support Terrorists ](https://www.thefp.com/p/when-nonprofits-support-terrorists) A newly declassified CIA brief from 1998 found that Osama bin Laden used nonprofit shell organizations—including U.S.-based Islamic groups—to fund his terror plots. Today, a similar story is unfolding as multiple organizations on American soil present themselves as nonprofits, taking advantage of tax-exempt status while seeking to advance the ideological mission of terrorist groups like Hamas. Read our editorial on the latest evidence of this dangerous trend—and why there’s no excuse for making the same mistake the CIA revealed 28 years ago. Read story Simon Sebag Montefiore and Bari Weiss Live in New York For decades, the Middle East has shaped American foreign policy and loomed large in the public consciousness. Few understand its influence on our politics better than Simon Sebag Montefiore, who argues that America’s quagmires in the Middle East stem from a deep misunderstanding of the region—on both the left and the right. Join him October 1 as he sits down with Bari Weiss live in New York City to kick off his U.S. book tour for The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. Get Tickets Now MORE FROM THE FREE PRESS [ Sydney Sweeney’s Naked Truth ](https://www.thefp.com/p/sydney-sweeneys-naked-truth-caitlin-flanagan) Caitlin Flanagan Read story [ I Thought Ukraine Was Losing. Then I Was Almost Hit by a Russian Drone. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/elliot-ackerman-ukraine-drone-gas-station-train) Elliot Ackerman Read story [ The Dangerous Ideology Behind the AI Warnings ](https://www.thefp.com/p/dangerous-ideology-effective-altruism-artificial-intelligence) Shyam Sankar Read story [ Amanda Knox: Patrick Clancy Can’t Win ](https://www.thefp.com/p/amanda-knox-patrick-clancy-grief-internet-crime) Amanda Knox Read story THE NEWS The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first hike since 2023, signaling that another increase could follow as the central bank tries to bring inflation under control. President Donald Trump fired back by demanding that rates be cut sharply, though he stopped short of criticizing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh by name. The Houthis fired drones and missiles at Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, including a major oil port on the Red Sea, and Saudi jets struck back with air strikes across Yemen in an escalating front of the Middle East war. (For more on the Houthis, read Zineb Riboua’s column from earlier this week.) A sweeping Russia and Iran sanctions bill passed the House in a 262–159 vote and is now heading to Trump for his signature. Named after the late senator Lindsey Graham, the legislation would hit countries that purchase large volumes of Russian oil and gas with tariffs of up to 100 percent, and is aimed at cutting off revenue that funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen proposed making Canada the European Union’s first-ever “associate member,” drawing a standing ovation from European lawmakers. The proposal, framed as a response to a world grown more hostile, faces an uncertain path as EU member states would have to approve it, and one diplomat said that “nobody really knows what it means.” The House voted unanimously to send billionaire Leon Black a criminal contempt referral after he defied a congressional subpoena to testify and hand over documents related to his connections to Jeffrey Epstein. Black chose to fight the subpoena in court rather than comply. Charlie Kirk’s family filed a wrongful death notice Wednesday against Utah Valley University, alleging that a series of security failures left him exposed to a rooftop sniper. The notice is a required legal step before the family can sue. Merriam-Webster added 1,400 words and definitions to its dictionary, including looksmaxxing, vibe coding, and cuffing season. The publisher said the new entries offer “a window into the world today.” The Free Press earns a commission from any purchases made through all book links in this article.
DoorDash and Uber Eats to offer delivery from US Costco stores
Costco said Thursday it’s partnering with DoorDash to offer delivery from its U.S. warehouse stores. DoorDash already offers Costco delivery in a few markets, including Australia, Sweden and Puerto Rico.
Partnership provides grants for small business disaster relief
A new partnership between the American Red Cross and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation is helping small business owners ensure they're ready for disasters and giving them a potential lifeline.
Dave Chappelle to hit major cities for new tour. How to get tickets
The comedian plans to hit seven arenas across the U.S. this fall.
Big questions - and key logistical details - loom ahead of China-U.S. summit
Despite the lingering questions, China remains optimistic about the summit.
England to cover AstraZeneca breast cancer drug, a result of U.K.-U.S. drug pricing deal
A breast cancer drug from AstraZeneca will now be available in England after a pricing deal was reached, in part a result of the U.S.-U.K. pharma pact.
The Political Context of Rebuilding the Federal Regulatory Infrastructure
Politics will inevitably shape how U.S. regulatory agencies can be restructured for better performance in the future.
NSF and UKRI Commit $10 Million in Joint Funding for Molecular Quantum Information Science
The U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) and UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) have launched a joint $10 million (£7.4 million) research initiative supporting eight transatlantic research teams. Funded via $5 million from the
Summer Goes Out With a Heat Dome
Temperature records toppled across the central and southern U.S. as the autumnal equinox approached.
Nearly all luxury resale transactions on TikTok Shop US now come from livestreams
Year-to-date, 94% of revenue on TikTok Shop from luxury resale in the U.S. is coming from streaming, the platform revealed last week.
Oregon lawmakers introduce federal bill to end 'corporate America’s chokehold' on health care
Oregon’s fight against corporate control of medicine moved onto the national stage on Wednesday as U.S. Rep. Val Hoyle and Sens. Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden–all Democrats–were among a group of lawmakers to introduce a federal version of Oregon’s landmark ban on the corporate practice of medicine.
Scientists challenge US NIH grant screening as unconstitutional
A group of scientists filed a class-action lawsuit on Wednesday against the U.S. National Institutes of Health, alleging the agency is unconstitutionally screening research grants to suppress viewpoints the Trump administration disfavors on topics like diversity, gender identity and climate change.
Scientists Challenge US NIH Grant Screening as Unconstitutional
By Ahmed Aboulenein WASHINGTON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - A group of scientists filed a class-action lawsuit on Wednesday against the U.S. National Institutes of Health, alleging the agency is unconstitutionally screening research grants to suppress viewpoints the Trump administration disfavors on ...
Howden launches Henderson-led US sports and entertainment practice
Howden has launched a U.S. sports and entertainment practice, with Robbie Henderson relocating to New York to lead the team.
Benson, James pitch tariff remedies, business boosts & data center limits at Detroit Economic Club
DETROIT — The respective Republican and Democratic nominees for Michigan governor on Wednesday each proposed new solutions to the economic tariffs levied by the administration of President Donald Trump, especially those being used against Canada. Addressing the Detroit Economic Club on Wednesday afternoon in separate speaking events were Republican U.S. Rep. John James and Democrat […]
VIDEO: Warnock Calls Out AI Developers, Social Media Companies, After Bizarre Health Hoax » Reverend Raphael Warnock
Senator Reverend Warnock warned about the risk to democracy after AI-generated social media posts with false health news about the Senator went viral Senator Reverend Warnock: “What if hours before an election, someone created a page with AI-generated images, fake stories about the candidates? How will voters know what’s true and what’s not true?” Washington, D.C. – Yesterday, U.S. […]
You like Ike. But AI will help campaigns figure how to ensure you actually vote
Strategists predict the powerful new technology will bring seismic shifts in U.S. political life.
Stocks fall as Fed delivers hawkish rate hike
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, causing global stocks to fall and bond yields to rise amid inflation concerns.
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
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