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In a New Jersey House race, Trump is putting a centuries-old family legacy at risk

Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. is descended from New Jersey’s first governor. A blue wave may take him out anyway.

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Oct 31 • 2:00 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Data centers turn sleepy utility races into political battlegrounds

Democrats are using voter anger over rising power bills and data center growth to try and undercut Republican control of obscure but influential utility boards.

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Oct 31 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Greg Abbott Runs the GOP’s Top Political Machine. Can It Keep Texas Red?

The country’s longest-serving governor is trying to notch another victory for the GOP — and himself.

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Oct 31 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Oct 30 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Got beef? When politics meets meat

Does not eating steak make you weak? Trump seems to think so.

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Oct 29 • 11:00 PM EDT • Politics • politico.eu
AP Entertainment SummaryBrief at 1:54 p.m. EDT

CNN, MS NOW and Politico ask court to make Trump access order permanent

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Oct 29 • 1:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • dailyrecordnews.com
CNN, MSNOW and Politico ask court to make Trump access order permanent

Three news outlets have beefed up their legal complaint against the White House over access, saying it is continuing to defy a judge's orders by refusing to let them return to covering President Donald Trump in the Oval Office and on Air Force One — thus violating their free speech rights by continuing to keep them out of the rotating press “pool.”

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Oct 29 • 1:10 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Airbnb is spending big to shape LA politics ahead of Olympics

The online rental platform has become one of the largest political donors in Los Angeles in a bid to expand its business before the 2028 Olympics.

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Oct 29 • 8:55 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Blue wave or blue blip? How national politics forecasters see Arizona

With the election just a week away, politicos are in the midterm home stretch. Most prognosticating and predicting what will happen on Nov. 3 is just about wrapped up, but the northeastern Arizona District 2 is getting some eleventh-hour buzz.

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Oct 28 • 8:02 AM EDT • Politics • mercedsunstar.com
Blue wave or blue blip? How national politics forecasters see Arizona

With the election just a week away, politicos are in the midterm home stretch. Most prognosticating and predicting what will happen on Nov. 3 is just about wrapped up, but the northeastern Arizona District 2 is getting some eleventh-hour buzz.

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Oct 28 • 8:02 AM EDT • Politics • modbee.com
Israel faces another period of political uncertainty

If neither bloc reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority in Israel's parliament, a number of coalitions are possible.

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Oct 27 • 7:14 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
‘Disturbing and pathetic’: German politicians slam Audi CEO’s appearance at Trump rally

The German car manufacturer plans to open a factory in the U.S. state of Georgia.

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Oct 26 • 8:02 AM EDT • Politics • politico.eu
‘There's a risk we do have a disconnect’: Business on Australian Labor

Chamber of Commerce CEO Andrew McKellar appears to suddenly be everywhere, all at once.

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Oct 25 • 2:15 PM EDT • Business • politico.com
Health care shakes up the Iowa election

If Democrats flip Congress, health care could find its way to the top of their 2027 agenda.

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Oct 25 • 12:26 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
Australia’s wish for a kinder, gentler politics seems doomed to disappointment

The attack on independent MP Helen Haines united Australia in grief, but on solutions it remains divided

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Oct 23 • 2:00 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Oil politics squeeze Iowa

And DOJ sues to block certification of a Dan Sullivan loss.

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Oct 23 • 10:36 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Oct 23 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Australian treasurer says opponents want higher inflation for political gain

In a Canberra Playbook Podcast interview Jim Chalmers accused Liberals of wanting Australians to suffer, as their path back to power.

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Oct 22 • 8:32 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
US Embassy in Ottawa accuses Canada of election meddling

“Its ministers and premiers openly describe plans to influence American politics,” read a memo circulated by officials in Ottawa.

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Oct 21 • 4:52 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
‘Stop whining’: Vance dismisses Republican criticism of Ramaswamy ad

“Politics is a tough business,” the vice president charged on Wednesday.

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Oct 21 • 1:35 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Inside the GOP’s next battle over women’s sports

The Education Department is facing pressure to rescind a policy that’s helped expand women’s athletics — and conservative women leaders are frustrated.

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Oct 20 • 12:00 PM EDT • Sports • politico.com
'They’ve awakened him’: How a wealth tax fight made Brin a political force

After years of sporadic giving, the Google co-founder has unleashed spending that spans from the billionaire tax to housing and environmental policy.

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Oct 20 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Whitlam would push Australian PM Albanese to go ‘bigger and bolder,’ biographer says

Albanese read the biography in office, calling its author to discuss Whitlam’s political mistakes as he encountered them.

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Oct 19 • 7:14 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Andrew Hastie blasts One Nation’s ‘MAGA-style politics’ after cartoon mocking Jacqui Lambie’s vaginal prolapse

The 'Please Explain' cartoon series from Pauline Hanson's One Nation continues to depict Hastie as a traitor.

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Oct 19 • 12:58 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
The EU heads into a perfect political storm

Last week’s summit gave Brussels a taste of how hard it’s going to be to get a deal on the budget — or anything else.

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Oct 18 • 10:00 PM EDT • Politics • politico.eu
Exclusive Brethren church denies claims of coordinated political campaign in Australia

Parliamentary inquiry demanded the global leader of the sect and his son attend to answer questions.

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Oct 16 • 3:19 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Legacy Business Alliance honors historic Evanston businesses at 3rd annual celebration

Mingling beneath a full suit of armor and a stuffed antelope head, a who’s who of Evanston politicos and business owners gathered at the Evanston History Center on Thursday evening to toast the city’s historic small businesses. The occasion marked the Evanston Legacy Business Alliance’s third annual celebration. Ald. Clare Kelly (1st) and Carl Klein,...

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Oct 16 • 2:36 AM EDT • Business • dailynorthwestern.com
The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Oct 16 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
‘I will never, ever, ever wear one of those orange lanyards’

Coalition frontbencher Jonno Duniam on retirement, friends across the aisle, and competition with One Nation

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Oct 15 • 2:00 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Judge extends order barring Trump from banning CNN, MS NOW, Politico reporters

Judge Timothy Kelly ruled that CNN, MS NOW and Politico are likely to succeed in their constitutional free speech and due process claims

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Oct 14 • 10:06 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Judge extends order barring Trump from banning CNN, MS NOW, Politico reporters

Judge Timothy Kelly ruled that CNN, MS NOW and Politico are likely to succeed in their constitutional free speech and due process claims

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Oct 14 • 10:06 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Judge extends order giving CNN, MS NOW and Politico access to the White House

The Trump administration must allow CNN, MS NOW, and Politico to access the White House while their lawsuit over the president’s press ban plays out, a federal judge ruled on Tuesday.

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Oct 13 • 11:03 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
What’s the White House press pool?

The TV press pool declined to participate in coverage of President Donald Trump on several days in September and October amid his attempt to ban CNN, MS NOW and Politico.

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Oct 12 • 11:46 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Justice Department probes TV networks over Trump pool boycott

The Justice Department is investigating ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC and Fox News over their joint boycott of White House coverage. The boycott came after The White House pulled credentials from CNN, MS NOW and Politico.

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Oct 10 • 8:54 PM EDT • Politics • centraloregondaily.com
Louisiana politicos angle for presidential run in 2028

Just how serious they are remains to be seen.

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Oct 10 • 6:18 AM EDT • Politics • nola.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
Florida health officials meet amid fierce debate over childhood vaccine plans

The hearing was one of the last steps before Florida's new vaccine guidelines take effect.

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Oct 8 • 4:32 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
Judge appears skeptical of Trump’s White House press ban and other hearing takeaways

Over the course of an hour-plus hearing Thursday, US District Judge Timothy Kelly signaled skepticism about the Trump administration’s arguments for allowing President Donald Trump to ban CNN, MS NOW and Politico from the White House.

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Oct 8 • 3:30 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Trump admin to receive $100 million in compute credits for AI science initiative

The credits are intended to give Genesis Mission researchers access to computing power that smaller labs and companies struggle to secure as major AI firms lock up capacity.

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Oct 7 • 5:45 AM EDT • Science • politico.com
Ken Paxton’s secret weapon: Ted Cruz

Cruz is boosting Paxton with fundraising and advice as he mulls his own political future.

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Oct 6 • 4:45 AM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
CNN, MS NOW and Politico make final written effort to convince judge to maintain White House access

Lawyers for CNN, MS NOW and Politico said Monday that the White House had offered no new evidence to support their repeated claims that the news outlets’ reporting endangered national security.

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Oct 5 • 9:18 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
‘Clearly not working’: Sam Altman hits AI industry over political spending

In a wide-ranging interview, the OpenAI CEO criticized the flood of AI dollars swamping the midterm elections and suggested a new liability framework is needed for autonomous hacks.

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Oct 5 • 6:56 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Ted Cruz blasts JD Vance as ‘insecure,’ says he’s focused on helping GOP win midterms

A clash between two potential candidates for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination spilled into public this week.

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Oct 3 • 4:15 PM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
Republicans tried to punt health care cuts until after the midterms. It didn’t work.

While most GOP-enacted cuts to Medicaid and other safety net programs won’t happen until 2027, Democrats are speaking to the voters already feeling the squeeze.

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Oct 3 • 2:00 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
The Fall of Roe Changed Doctors. Now They’re Changing Politics.

State-level abortion debates have activated physicians as a political force like never before.

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Oct 3 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
DOJ asks judge to let Trump reinstate ban on CNN, MS NOW & POLITICO
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Oct 2 • 11:58 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Justice Department asks court to let Trump reinstate White House press ban

The Justice Department argued that President Donald Trump should be allowed to reinstate his White House ban of CNN, MS NOW and Politico in a court filing late Friday ahead of a hearing next week in the lawsuit from the news companies.

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Oct 2 • 10:00 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Grand Old Populists: GOP lawmakers target big business

It’s a major risk for big financial services firms, health insurance companies and tech titans, which are the subjects of the hottest rhetoric.

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Oct 2 • 4:45 AM EDT • Business • politico.com
Romanian political crisis deepens as parliament rejects PM nominee

A snap election is now possible but centrist President Nicușor Dan does not want a vote that would risk handing power to the far right.

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Sep 30 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.eu
E&C package suggests fraud will continue as GOP health care message - Live Updates

Democrats have come after Republicans for Medicaid cuts. Republicans say the cuts were necessary to combat rampant health care fraud.

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Sep 29 • 4:13 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
CNN, MS NOW, POLITICO urge judge to stop Trump from reviving WH ban
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Sep 28 • 11:57 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
CNN, MS NOW and Politico ask judge to stop Trump from reviving White House ban

“The White House’s words and actions leave little doubt that it will immediately reinstitute a complete ban of CNN, MS NOW, and POLITICO if allowed the opportunity,” the media companies said.

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Sep 28 • 11:19 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Senate passes bipartisan bill to overhaul college sports

President Donald Trump wants the House to clear the measure quickly.

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Sep 28 • 10:04 PM EDT • Sports • politico.com
Inside the anti-climate campaign against researchers

A POLITICO investigation reveals more than 100 open records requests demanding documents from climate scientists nationwide.

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Sep 28 • 3:24 PM EDT • Science • politico.com
Greens Leader Larissa Waters quits amid health battle, sparking race to replace her

Waters took the leadership after Adam Bandt's shock defeat at the 2025 election.

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Sep 28 • 7:24 AM EDT • Health • politico.com
UK business minister warns potential US diesel export ban ‘significant concern’

The U.K. receives around one-sixth of its diesel from the U.S. and would be one of the countries most exposed to an export ban.

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Sep 27 • 2:11 PM EDT • Business • politico.eu
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (14%)
wow
54%
ahah
23%
angry
23%
Trump Promised the Truth About UFOs. These Scientists Are Waiting.

The president named a science council to review the government’s data. What's taking so long?

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Sep 26 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • politico.com
White House TV pool appears to be back in operation

A judge temporarily struck down the ban of CNN, MS NOW and Politico on Thursday, but his ruling didn’t directly address the pool

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Sep 25 • 10:43 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
White House TV pool appears to be back in operation

A judge temporarily struck down the ban of CNN, MS NOW and Politico on Thursday, but his ruling didn’t directly address the pool

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Sep 25 • 10:43 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Capitol agenda: Dems weigh doing Husted a solid - Live Updates

A data center measure easily passed the House last week with more than 200 Democratic votes, but campaign-season politics are making action trickier for the party in the Senate.

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Sep 25 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
AI Chatbots Are Quietly Spewing Partisan Talking Points

Partisan websites disguised as independent, local news outlets are infecting chatbots’ responses about key races.

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Sep 25 • 4:59 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Democrats weigh how to handle data center vote that could benefit a GOP foe

“They say they’re for more affordability,” embattled GOP Sen. Jon Husted said. “This is a chance for everybody to prove it.”

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Sep 25 • 4:45 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

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Sep 25 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Finance Committee advances Klomp for deputy health secretary - Live Updates

Klomp will be Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s No. 2 if confirmed.

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Sep 24 • 12:57 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
Judge orders White House to lift Trump's ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico — but reporters say they were still denied access

The news outlets asked the court for an immediate hearing after some of their journalists reported being turned away despite the ruling.

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Sep 24 • 11:39 AM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
CNN, MS NOW and Politico request emergency hearing over White House access
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Sep 24 • 10:07 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Judge orders White House to restore access to CNN, MS NOW and Politico. Reporters say they're still blocked

The back-and-forth is the latest in an extraordinary showdown between Trump and media outlets whose coverage he dislikes.

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Sep 24 • 9:24 AM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Federal judge orders White House to lift Trump's ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico

Hours after the ruling, reporters from CNN and Politico said they were denied access to the White House grounds.

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Sep 24 • 9:12 AM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
Capitol agenda: Democrats fracture over college sports - Live Updates

Despite bipartisan backing of a college athletics bill, Black Democratic lawmakers are warning their own party that supporting the measure risks exploiting Black athletes.

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Sep 24 • 8:00 AM EDT • Sports • politico.com
Trump’s ban on CNN, Politico and MS Now likely unconstitutional, judge rules in restoring temporary access

Judge rules Trump’s ban of journalists from CNN, MS Now and Politico ⁠likely unconstitutional

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Sep 24 • 7:50 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Judge orders Trump administration to restore White House access to CNN, MS NOW and Politico

Federal Judge Timothy Kelly has reinstated CNN, MS NOW and Politico’s access to the White House after they were banned from the premises by President Donald Trump.

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Sep 24 • 1:06 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (0%)
angry
38%
ahah
33%
wow
29%
Behind closed doors, the politics of solar geoengineering are shifting

More politicians in the U.S. and around the globe are taking a look at sunlight-reflecting technologies, two experts said Friday.

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Sep 23 • 10:10 AM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
Behind closed doors, the politics of solar geoengineering are shifting

More politicians in the U.S. and around the globe are taking a look at sunlight-reflecting technologies, two experts said.

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Sep 23 • 10:10 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
CNN, Politico and MS NOW to face off with Trump administration in court over White House ban

A Trump-appointed federal judge will hear arguments on whether the president’s ban on the news outlets should be lifted.

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Sep 23 • 8:26 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Ted Lieu: AI risks are ‘no longer in the realm of science fiction’

The No. 4 Democrat is urging his party to confront artificial intelligence worst-case risks without stifling the technology’s promise.

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Sep 23 • 5:45 AM EDT • Science • politico.com
Poll: Neither Americans nor Canadians wanted Trump’s trade war

Americans say President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada aren’t worth higher prices, as Canadians remain in lockstep behind Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.

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Sep 23 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Trump admin responds to lawsuit from CNN, Politico and MS NOW
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Sep 23 • 12:35 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Romania’s political deadlock risks handing power to far right, PM nominee warns

A partnership between the socialists and the far right would set a dangerous precedent for the EU, Siegfried Mureșan told POLITICO.

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Sep 22 • 10:02 PM EDT • Politics • politico.eu
Melania Trump breaks with the president on media ban

President Donald Trump has implemented a ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico at the White House, seizing reporters’ credentials amid what he deems unfair coverage. First lady Melania Trump, however, is taking a different approach on press freedom.

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Sep 22 • 4:42 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
'You should not be here.' Trump taunts CNN at U.N. in credential fight

Trump taunted news outlets for continuing to cover him after he revoked the White House credentials of CNN, MS NOW and Politico.

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Sep 22 • 2:25 PM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Marco Rubio defends Trump’s ban on media outlets from White House, arguing police or soldiers are not ‘kicking down the doors’

“They’re just not allowed to work from the workspace at the White House,” the secretary of state said in an interview on “TODAY,” referring to CNN, Politico and MS NOW.

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Sep 22 • 8:32 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Businesses ‘frozen out’ of Trump’s tariff channel with China

The private sector is largely in the dark about the Trump administration's plans for a "Board of Trade" to oversee reductions on billions of dollars worth of duties.

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Sep 22 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • politico.com
GOP Money vs. $5 Gas: What Will Matter More in the Midterms?

GOP groups are spending big as rising gas prices fuel Republicans’ panic ahead of the midterms.

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Sep 22 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Read the lawsuit: CNN, MS Now and Politico sue Trump admin over White House access

Read the full lawsuit CNN, MS Now and Politico filed against the Trump administration over White House access.

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Sep 21 • 12:37 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
CNN, MS Now and Politico are suing Trump over White House ban

Three news organizations are suing President Trump and three of his top advisers in federal court, demanding that access for their reporters be immediately restored.

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Sep 21 • 11:54 AM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
Michigan’s Gary Peters to teach at USC after retirement - Live Updates

The retiring Michigan Democrat will head to Los Angeles.

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Sep 21 • 10:58 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Natalie Harp showed Trump coverage clips before he issued media ban

(CNN) — President Donald Trump’s close aide Natalie Harp showed him clips of media coverage last week before he banned Politico, CNN and MS NOW from the White House, people

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Sep 21 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • kten.com
CNN, Politico and MS NOW plan to sue the Trump administration over ban on White House coverage

The news outlets said the ban “threatens press freedom and the public’s right to independent journalism.”

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Sep 21 • 7:44 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
CNN, MS NOW, Politico say they've notified Trump they're suing over denied White House access

The actions were a clear escalation of President Donald Trump’s long-running efforts — in the courts and through administrative action — to restrict news coverage by journalists he finds objectionable, and were the latest test of First Amendment protections in the United States.

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Sep 21 • 7:39 AM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
CNN, MS NOW and Politico to sue Trump administration over White House access

CNN By Katelyn Polantz, Brian Stelter, CNN (CNN) — The three national news outlets President Donald Trump banned from the White House — CNN, MS NOW, and Politico — are filing a critical First Amendment lawsuit to restore their access. The emergency request is set to go before a federal judge in the DC District

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Sep 21 • 6:36 AM EDT • Politics • kvia.com
CNN, MS NOW and Politico to sue Trump administration over White House access

The three national news outlets President Donald Trump banned from the White House — CNN, MS NOW, and Politico — are filing a critical First Amendment lawsuit to restore their access.

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Sep 21 • 6:06 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Why politicians should pay more attention to the polls (reprise)

Welcome to the 231st edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), a polling newsletter that always welcomes new readers. So please don’t keep TWIP a secret; share it with your friends and colleagues: Share The Week in Polls With all the stories swirling around Reform, JL Partners and political polling, I am finally tearing myself away from talking about the regulation of polling this week - and instead re-running a previous piece reminding us why the solution to problems with polls isn’t simply to ban or ignore them. Rather, we need them to play a vital role in making our politics - and politicians - better. This is followed by summaries of the latest national voting intention polls, seat projections from MRPs and the most recent party leader ratings. Subscribers who pay for the full edition can also read ten insights from the latest polls and analyses, including: A trio of organisations and a pair of professors have been casting their eyes over the Liberal Democrats ahead of the party’s autumn conference; What impact did the summer heatwave have on views on climate change? and Which wins out between chocolate and cheese? If you are not yet a paid subscriber, you can read all ten by starting a free trial now: Get FREE 7-day trial For more polling news as it comes in ahead of next week’s edition, you can also follow The Week in Polls on Bluesky. Picking up on my doubt last week about whether or not 35% of British train travellers have tried to order a takeaway for delivery to a railway station or carriage, thank you to reader Iain, who has been in touch to say he has done just that… in India. Another quick pair of updates, this time on the controversies around Reform and polling. Politico has a further scoop - “Farage aide caught in donor sting attended Egypt retreat with JL Partners” - and Ian Dunt has written about the problems with polling too: “Seeing the response of many polling experts in the last few weeks suggests that they are nervous about what is happening and keen to mitigate against it. Seeing the response of journalists, which has been basically non-existent, suggests the precise opposite.” My usual reminder as well: please do hit reply if you’ve spotted a poll, focus group or new piece of poll-based research that you think should be in contention for coverage in a future edition. Thank you! And with that, on with the show. How politicians get public opinion wrong I have written before about the benefits that come from widespread availability of high-quality political polling. We need more polls and more good coverage of polls. However, what I’ve not dug into before is the research into how accurately politicians estimate public opinion on issues. Thankfully we have academic research to tell us. First, the bad news: We present results from a study of 866 politicians in four countries.1 Politicians were asked to estimate the percentage of public support for various policy proposals. Comparing more than 10,000 estimations with actual levels of public support, we conclude that politicians are quite inaccurate estimators of people’s preferences. They make large errors and even regularly misperceive what a majority of the voters wants. Politicians are hardly better at estimating public preferences than ordinary citizens. Walgrave, S., Jansen, A., Sevenans, J., Soontjens, K., Pilet, J.B., Brack, N., Varone, F., Helfer, L., Vliegenthart, R., van der Meer, T., Breunig, C., Bailer, S., Sheffer, L. & Loewen, P.J. (2023a), “Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries”, The Journal of Politics, 85(1): 209-222. The bad news is not quite as bad as that makes it sound because, when asked whether the majority of public opinion was for or against various policies, politicians picked the wrong option ‘only’ 29% of the time. However, this included getting it wrong even when public opinion is far from evenly split on an issue: They do not only get it wrong when the public is divided and hard to read (e.g., when there is a 51%:49% distribution). Seventy percent of the misplacements occur for policies with a relatively clear distribution of at least 60% (dis)agreeing citizens. Moreover, the public scored only slightly worse than politicians, picking the wrong option 2.7 out of 8 times on average, compared with 2.3 times for politicians. Turning to the other measure of accuracy (not which side is in the lead but what the percentage support is for each side), politicians on average were 18 percentage points out in their guesses. Again, this was only slightly better than the public, whose error came in at 21 percentage points.2 Further research, using the same mix of countries, gives a little more comfort about how (in)accurate perceptions are: We show that politicians have a better understanding of public opinion when they think the issue matters to voters. Further, when an issue is personally important to politicians they more accurately estimate their party supporters’ opinions. The results confirm that politicians hold more accurate perceptions of voters’ preferences when they think it is important to do so but not necessarily when the issues actually are important to voters. Butler, C., Walgrave, S., Soontjens, K. & Loewen, P.J. (2024), “Politicians are better at estimating public opinion when they think it is more salient”, Party Politics: 1–13. Even so, it’s not a good picture. The remedy for this? Politicians should spend more time reading the polls. So forward this newsletter to someone you know… Share For a more general argument against banning polls, see my 2024 piece. Is “Let Bartlet Be Bartlet” good advice or not? The latest episode of my Political Fictions podcast heads across the Atlantic for a dip into one of the political TV classics: Mark and Cory talk about a giant of American political drama for the first time this week, as they tackle The West Wing. They talk about Let Bartlet Be Bartlet, the nineteenth episode of series one. In it, Mark wonders if The West Wing is actually the epitome of the “Boris Johnson school of politics”, Cory outmanoeuvres Mark into confirming we will record a Christmas Special about Love, Actually and they debate whether the central message of this episode has been misunderstood. Cory’s email newsletter is Paperback Rioter and Mark has a family of email newsletters. Subscribe to our newsletter for some additional bonus content and to get alerted whenever a new episode comes out. Our theme tune is “Monkeys Spinning Monkeys” by Kevin MacLeod/incompetech.com and licensed under the Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License. You can also listen to our episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the web or YouTube. Elsewhere from me… [ A Lord's Eye View How to fix the problem of money in our politics Welcome to my latest update on work in the House of Lords. This time I am taking a look at how our political system is regulated, and the protections we need to keep democracy safe from becoming simply a contest to see who has the biggest bank account… Read more 5 days ago · 3 likes · 2 comments · Mark Pack ](https://lordseyeview.substack.com/p/how-to-fix-the-problem-of-money-in?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web&embedding_publication_id=1269283) If you spot a factual error… Borrowing an idea from Stuart Ritchie and others, if you spot a factual error in an edition of this newsletter, I will give you a free 12-month subscription to the paid-for version (or an extra 12 months on your existing one). Factual errors qualify, but grammatical errors or disagreements over interpretation do not, and my decision is final. Messages about both of those are always welcome, though. Voting intention and leadership ratings Here are the latest voting intention polls from different pollsters. It is all pretty static at the moment, with a small and consistent Labour lead in nearly all the polls. The table is also online here, along with explanations about what is included. It is updated regularly throughout the week as new polls are released. Next are the seat projections from MRPs, also sorted by fieldwork dates, listing those which are based on dedicated fieldwork (rather than models based on averages of other polls). Because such MRPs are published infrequently, some of the entries below are quite old. Finally, here is a summary of leadership ratings, with a graph from PollCheck: Detailed numbers from the latest polls are online here, and both that and the graph are updated regularly throughout the week as new data comes out. For historical figures on both voting intention and leader approval stretching back to the 1930s, including Parliamentary by-election polls, see PollBase. Catch up on the previous two editions [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ A crisis point for political polling Sep 13 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Extra questions about the polls in Reform’s funding scandal Sep 6 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) My privacy policy and other legal information are available here. Links to purchase books or other items are usually affiliate links which pay a commission for each sale. Quotes from social media messages are occasionally lightly edited for punctuation and clarity. If you are subscribed to other email lists of mine, please note that unsubscribing from this one will not automatically remove you from the others. If you wish to be removed from all my lists, simply reply to this email to let me know. A quintet of Lib Dem polling analyses, and 9 other polling insights you shouldn’t miss The following ten findings from the most recent polls and analyses are only for subscribers who pay for the full edition, but you can sign up for a free trial to read them straight away. Ahead of the start of Liberal Democrat conference, we have a trio of organisations and a pair of professors with pieces out about Ed Davey’s party:

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Sep 20 • 1:02 PM EDT • Politics • theweekinpolls.substack.com
Corporate America is paying for access to RFK Jr.

The upcoming Make America Healthy Again Summit is brought to you by companies with business before the Health Department.

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Sep 20 • 12:00 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
MS NOW, CNN and Politico say their journalists were denied access to White House after Trump ban

Reporters from CNN, MS NOW and Politico have been denied access to the White House. Reporters from the two cable networks both went live to report they’d been barred following

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Sep 20 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • wxow.com
The Company Trump Can’t Ignore

The president wanted to unleash AI. Then came Anthropic.

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Sep 20 • 7:01 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Trump seeks to bring health-research funding under his control, Politico reports

U.S. President Donald Trump is seeking to bring ​a major part of national funding for health ‌research under the control of his political appointees, Politico reported on Saturday.

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Sep 19 • 11:34 PM EDT • Health • reuters.com
Trump seeks to bring health-research funding under his control, Politico reports

President Donald Trump is seeking to bring a major part of national funding ‌for health research under the control of his ‌political appointees, Politico reported on Saturday. Trump has directed his b...

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Sep 19 • 11:34 PM EDT • Health • yahoo.com
Trump Seeks to Bring Health-Research Funding Under His Control, Politico Reports

Sept 19 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald ⁠Trump ⁠is seeking to bring ⁠a major part of national funding for health research under the control of his political appointees, Politico ‌reported on Saturday. Trump has ‌directed his budget director, Russ Vought, to draft ⁠an executive ⁠order to create a ...

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Sep 19 • 11:34 PM EDT • Health • usnews.com
Trump asked budget chief to draft order bringing health research funding under his control

The move came after the NIH director refused Trump’s request to cut Harvard grants in an Oval Office meeting.

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Sep 19 • 10:08 PM EDT • Health • politico.com
President Trump on why he’s banning media outlets from the White House

President Trump said he would block MS NOW, CNN and Politico from White House grounds.

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Sep 19 • 12:59 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Power & Politics: Voter registration hearing; New poll on NJ's 7th Congressional District; ICE accused of using Roxbury warehouse

Author of New Jersey Playbook and Politico Reporter Matt Friedman and Founder and Director of Stimsight Research Patrick Murray join the show this week.

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Sep 19 • 12:25 PM EDT • Politics • newjersey.news12.com