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Visa wins China approval to prepare for domestic payments business

Investing.com-- Visa Inc (NYSE:V) said on Tuesday it had received approval from China’s central bank to begin preparations for establishing a domestic bankcard clearing institution, marking a step toward entering the country’s domestic payments market.

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Oct 13 • 1:16 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Visa gets approval to prepare for domestic business in China

Oct 13 (Reuters) - US ​payments ‌firm Visa has ‌received ​approval ⁠from China's ⁠central bank to begin ​preparations ⁠for ⁠a ​domestic bankcard ​clearing institution ‌in China, it ⁠said in a ⁠statement ‌on ⁠Tuesday. (Reporting ​by ‌Abu Sultan ​in ⁠Be...

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Oct 13 • 12:27 AM EDT • Business • wtvbam.com
Visa gets approval to prepare for domestic business in China

Oct 13 (Reuters) - US payments firm Visa has received approval from China's central bank to begin preparations for a domestic bankcard clearing institution in China, it said in a

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Oct 13 • 12:27 AM EDT • Business • centraloregondaily.com
Visa gets approval to prepare for domestic business in China

Oct 13 (Reuters) - US ​payments ‌firm Visa has ‌received ​approval ⁠from China's ⁠central bank to begin ​preparations ⁠for ⁠a ​domestic bankcard ​clearing institution ‌in China, it ⁠said in a ⁠statement ‌on ⁠Tuesday. (Reporting ​by ‌Abu Sultan ​in ⁠Be...

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Oct 13 • 12:27 AM EDT • Business • kfgo.com
Robert E. Hall wins Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences

The professor of economics and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, emeritus, developed models that help governments and central banks respond to economic volatility.

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Oct 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • news.stanford.edu
Euro dips further as French central bank chief warns the country risks being ‘strangled by interest rates’

Euro extends last week’s 1.2% drop amid French debt fears and political uncertainty in Europe

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Oct 6 • 2:44 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
Japan’s patchy business mood takes pressure off BOJ for immediate hike

By Makiko Yamazaki and Leika Kihara TOKYO, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Japanese manufacturers' confidence hit an eight-year high over July-September but non-manufacturers' mood soured, a central bank survey showed, painting a mixed picture of the economy that ma...

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Sep 30 • 8:14 PM EDT • Business • wtvbam.com
Japan business mood improves, tankan survey shows

By Makiko Yamazaki TOKYO, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Japanese business confidence improved in the three months to September, a quarterly central bank survey showed on Thursday, suggesting the economy was

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Sep 30 • 8:14 PM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Japan business mood reaches 8-year high, bolsters case for BOJ hikes

Japanese business confidence hit an eight-year high over July-September amid elevated ‌inflation expectations, a central bank survey showed, indicating an economy weathering the Middle East conflict and bolstering the case for interest rate hikes.

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Sep 30 • 8:12 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Explainer-The political chess behind the ECB’s next leadership shake-up

FRANKFURT, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The euro zone will choose a new European Central Bank president next year and replace up to two-thirds of the bank's six-member executive board in an intricate game of political chess among the bloc's 21 countries. The fo...

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Sep 28 • 8:20 AM EDT • Politics • kfgo.com
Explainer-The political chess behind the ECB’s next leadership shake-up

FRANKFURT, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The euro zone will choose a new European Central Bank president next year and replace up to two-thirds of the bank's six-member executive board in an intricate game of political chess among the bloc's 21 countries. The fo...

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Sep 28 • 8:20 AM EDT • Politics • wkzo.com
Explainer: The political chess behind the ECB's next leadership shake-up

The euro zone will choose a new European Central Bank president next year and replace up to two-thirds of the bank's six-member executive board in an intricate game of political chess among the bloc's 21 countries.

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Sep 28 • 8:16 AM EDT • Politics • reuters.com
Euro zone business lending slows slightly

Lending growth to euro zone businesses slowed ​slightly from relatively high ‌levels in August and held steady in the case ​of household loans, data ​from the European Central Bank ⁠showed on Friday.

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Sep 25 • 4:12 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
ECB, EU central banks oppose stablecoin bank deposit rule

Stablecoin issuers should not be required to hold a minimum proportion of ​their reserve assets as bank deposits because ‌they could leave lenders exposed to changes in the stablecoin market and less sticky deposits, the ECB ​and other EU central banks said ​on Tuesday.

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Sep 22 • 6:15 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Fed’s Goolsbee says road to 2% inflation may not be painless

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned the central bank cannot ignore repeated and persistent supply shocks, and must respond in a way that may cause economic hardship.

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Sep 21 • 9:01 PM EDT • Entertainment • thederrick.com
Japan raises interest rates to 31-year high as central bankers fight inflation; retail sales rise in Great Britain

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

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Sep 18 • 2:33 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
Kevin Warsh just defied Donald Trump. Now what?

The Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years has ushered in a new twist to the already unusual relationship between President Donald Trump and the world’s most powerful central bank.

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Sep 17 • 3:05 PM EDT • Business • cnn.com
The Strange New Politics of AI. Plus. . .

It’s Thursday, September 17. This is The Front Page, your daily window into the world of The Free Press—and our take on the world at large. Today: Douglas Murray asks, why do we allow terrorists to die of old age? The American nonprofits backing Hamas. A conversation with Dara Horn and Coleman Hughes. And much more. But first: inside the unlikely coalition warning that AI may kill us all. Last week, an AI researcher named Jacob Coxon made headlines around the world after saying that he had resigned from Anthropic because he believes AI might cause human extinction—and his co-workers do, too. Unlike the rest of us, potentially, the story just won’t die. The Pro-Human Assembly, a conference held Tuesday in Washington, D.C., about the existential dangers of artificial intelligence, couldn’t have come at a better time—or with a more eclectic coalition. The Archbishop of San Francisco was there. So was Steve Bannon, screaming about the Chinese. Bernie Sanders did a quasi-dramatic reading of messages posted to an online forum by rogue AI agents. Ashley Judd paraphrased a graphic Andrea Dworkin quote for reasons that remain a mystery to me still. It was odd. People in the AI industry have talked openly about the possibility of this technology causing human extinction for years, but it hits differently in the wake of the Hugging Face incident. If you don’t know what that is, all the more reason to read my dispatch today. As the doomers see it, the best-case scenario is a future in which humans are basically kept as pets: well cared for, but with zero autonomy. The worst-case scenario, obviously, is the everyone dies thing. What should be done? I heard lots of ideas but no easy answers. There are currently zero federal regulations on AI, which is sort of strange even to think about. After all, we regulate microwaves, and the people running the microwave industry have never once refused to rule out the possibility that their products will end all human life on Earth. What I saw in D.C. left me even more convinced that you would be hard-pressed to find anyone who believes nothing should be done. You know, except for President Trump. — River Page River Page • Tech and Business [ The AI Doomers Have a Plan to Save Us. I Went to Find Out What It Is. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-ai-doomers-have-plan-save-bernie-sanders-bannon) Read story How Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr—and How to Better Fight Antisemitism On Monday, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and a group of other NFL owners banned Macklemore from performing at their stadiums after the rapper delivered a “Free Palestine” speech while opening for Ed Sheeran. Kraft cited the rapper’s “broader history of antisemitic rhetoric and imagery.” Once multiple venues refused to host shows with Macklemore on the lineup, the tour’s promoter officially dropped him. Today, Josh Kaplan says that the move was counterproductive, arguing that though well-intentioned, Kraft’s decision turned an irrelevant footnote into a martyr. “You cannot cancel people into liking you,” Josh writes. Read his column on what a better response to Macklemore would have looked like. Read [ Robert Kraft Made Macklemore a Martyr ](https://www.thefp.com/p/robert-kraft-made-macklemore-martyr-antisemitism-palestine) This raises the question: What actually works against antisemitism? On the latest episode of Conversations with Coleman, recorded in front of a live audience in New York, Dara Horn joins Coleman Hughes to talk about her new book The Final Solution to the Jewish Question. She argues that antisemitism is a script that has repeated itself across countries and ideologies, and that most people don’t understand that well enough to fight it. Don’t miss their conversation. Watch [ The Lie at the Center of Antisemitism, with Dara Horn ](https://www.thefp.com/p/the-lie-at-the-center-of-antisemitism-coleman-hughes-dana-horn) Listen now Douglas Murray • U.S. Politics [ Douglas Murray: The 9/11 Failure That Still Haunts America ](https://www.thefp.com/p/douglas-murray-911-failure-justice-terrorist-guantanamo-bay) Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, the men who planned them have still not faced trial. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and most of the accused have been locked up in Guantanamo Bay since 2002. Judges have retired, and plea deals have collapsed. Today, Douglas Murray examines how this happened and argues that a justice system that allows terrorists to die of old age in an interminable pretrial process is one that has failed. Read his latest column on what that failure says about our unpreparedness for the era we are now living in. Read story The Editors • U.S. Politics [ When Nonprofits Support Terrorists ](https://www.thefp.com/p/when-nonprofits-support-terrorists) A newly declassified CIA brief from 1998 found that Osama bin Laden used nonprofit shell organizations—including U.S.-based Islamic groups—to fund his terror plots. Today, a similar story is unfolding as multiple organizations on American soil present themselves as nonprofits, taking advantage of tax-exempt status while seeking to advance the ideological mission of terrorist groups like Hamas. Read our editorial on the latest evidence of this dangerous trend—and why there’s no excuse for making the same mistake the CIA revealed 28 years ago. Read story Simon Sebag Montefiore and Bari Weiss Live in New York For decades, the Middle East has shaped American foreign policy and loomed large in the public consciousness. Few understand its influence on our politics better than Simon Sebag Montefiore, who argues that America’s quagmires in the Middle East stem from a deep misunderstanding of the region—on both the left and the right. Join him October 1 as he sits down with Bari Weiss live in New York City to kick off his U.S. book tour for The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. Get Tickets Now MORE FROM THE FREE PRESS [ Sydney Sweeney’s Naked Truth ](https://www.thefp.com/p/sydney-sweeneys-naked-truth-caitlin-flanagan) Caitlin Flanagan Read story [ I Thought Ukraine Was Losing. Then I Was Almost Hit by a Russian Drone. ](https://www.thefp.com/p/elliot-ackerman-ukraine-drone-gas-station-train) Elliot Ackerman Read story [ The Dangerous Ideology Behind the AI Warnings ](https://www.thefp.com/p/dangerous-ideology-effective-altruism-artificial-intelligence) Shyam Sankar Read story [ Amanda Knox: Patrick Clancy Can’t Win ](https://www.thefp.com/p/amanda-knox-patrick-clancy-grief-internet-crime) Amanda Knox Read story THE NEWS The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first hike since 2023, signaling that another increase could follow as the central bank tries to bring inflation under control. President Donald Trump fired back by demanding that rates be cut sharply, though he stopped short of criticizing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh by name. The Houthis fired drones and missiles at Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, including a major oil port on the Red Sea, and Saudi jets struck back with air strikes across Yemen in an escalating front of the Middle East war. (For more on the Houthis, read Zineb Riboua’s column from earlier this week.) A sweeping Russia and Iran sanctions bill passed the House in a 262–159 vote and is now heading to Trump for his signature. Named after the late senator Lindsey Graham, the legislation would hit countries that purchase large volumes of Russian oil and gas with tariffs of up to 100 percent, and is aimed at cutting off revenue that funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen proposed making Canada the European Union’s first-ever “associate member,” drawing a standing ovation from European lawmakers. The proposal, framed as a response to a world grown more hostile, faces an uncertain path as EU member states would have to approve it, and one diplomat said that “nobody really ​knows what it means.” The House voted unanimously to send billionaire Leon Black a criminal contempt referral after he defied a congressional subpoena to testify and hand over documents related to his connections to Jeffrey Epstein. Black chose to fight the subpoena in court rather than comply. Charlie Kirk’s family filed a wrongful death notice Wednesday against Utah Valley University, alleging that a series of security failures left him exposed to a rooftop sniper. The notice is a required legal step before the family can sue. Merriam-Webster added 1,400 words and definitions to its dictionary, including looksmaxxing, vibe coding, and cuffing season. The publisher said the new entries offer “a window into the world today.” The Free Press earns a commission from any purchases made through all book links in this article.

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Sep 17 • 6:03 AM EDT • Politics • thefp.com
Sahm: The Fed’s credibility depends on resisting politics, not playing it

Credibility lives in what people believe the central bank will do under pressure.

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Sep 17 • 3:37 AM EDT • Politics • pressdemocrat.com
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Fed Chairman Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business and today's decision was responsible

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh answers questions following the central bank's decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points.

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Sep 16 • 2:52 PM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Morgan Stanley turns more hawkish, forecasts two Fed hikes and ECB move

Morgan Stanley has joined other major Wall Street banks ‌in adopting a more hawkish outlook on interest rates, forecasting U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes and another European Central Bank increase later this year as inflationary pressures persist.

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Sep 15 • 3:37 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Column: The Fed’s credibility depends on resisting politics, not playing it

Credibility lives in what people believe the central bank will do under pressure, Bloomberg Opinion columnist Claudia Sahm writes.

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Sep 13 • 4:05 PM EDT • Politics • pilotonline.com
China's forex reserves rise more than expected in August

BEIJING, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China's foreign exchange reserves rose more than expected in August, central bank data showed on Monday, as the dollar extended its weakness.

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Sep 7 • 4:12 AM EDT • Business • lufkindailynews.com
Gold Reverses 3.8% Slide as Central Bank Politics Hit the Headlines

The PRICE of GOLD extended an overnight rally on Thursday, reversing this week's previous 3.8% slide in London's spot market as doubts grew whether the US Fed will raise Dollar interest rates once or twice before the end of the year, and the politics of central bank gold reserves hit the headlines.

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Sep 3 • 9:25 AM EDT • Politics • bullionvault.com
Fed's Hammack tells Fox Business inflation likely to ease slowly

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack ​said Thursday the U.S. ‌central bank is unlikely to get price pressures back ​to target even by ​next year, in an interview ⁠that also saw her ​reiterate her belief a rate ​hike is needed to quell high inflation.

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Aug 27 • 1:26 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
FTSE 100 to fall from record high after Fed holds interest rates and Iran attacks; Rolls-Royce expects higher profits

Live, rolling coverage of business, economics and financial markets as global stock markets drop after US central bank keeps interest rates steady

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Jul 30 • 2:46 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
3 biggest takeaways from the July Federal Reserve decision

The FOMC voted to hold rates steady, but three members wanted to hike. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh laid out more of his vision for the central bank.

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Jul 29 • 3:49 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Fed policymakers leave rates unchanged amid elevated uncertainty

Fed policymakers left interest rates unchanged at their July meeting as stubborn inflation remains well above the central bank's 2% target.

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Jul 29 • 2:01 PM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Fed rate-hike voices swell before July decision, rates still seen on hold

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack on Friday added her voice to ​a small but growing chorus of policymakers arguing the Fed may need to raise short-term borrowing costs to deal ‌with persistently high inflation, setting up a charged debate at the central bank's July 28-29 meeting.

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Jul 17 • 1:32 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Takeaways from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s first congressional testimony

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Tuesday offered his most detailed account yet of the sweeping changes he’s ushering in at America’s central bank and the philosophy behind them.

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Jul 14 • 3:35 PM EDT • Business • cnn.com
Warsh: Fed Doesn’t Want to Be in Bailout Business

Asked about whether the Federal Reserve would step in with a bailout in the event of a financial crisis involving cryptocurrencies, Chairman Kevin Warsh says the central bank does “not want to be in the bailout business.” The Fed is going to “do everything we can to mitigate those sort of extra ris

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Jul 14 • 11:04 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Other voices: The Fed’s independence is unfinished business

“The evidence is overwhelming that central bank independence in the conduct of monetary policy is indispensable — so overwhelming, in fact, that few politicians any longer challenge the idea.”

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Jul 12 • 6:12 AM EDT • Business • twincities.com
Fed's Waller says forward guidance 'more art than science'

Federal Reserve Board Gov. Christopher Waller says he is OK with dialing down the amount of communication issued by the central bank's monetary policy committee, but doesn't want the central bank to throw out the baby with the bathwater.

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Jul 6 • 11:23 AM EDT • Science • americanbanker.com
Christine Lagarde leaves door open to early ECB exit, as she mulls French politics

The European Central Bank's Christine Lagarde has declined to rule out an early end to her term as president, as she mulls a foray into French politics.

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Jul 3 • 5:24 AM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought.

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Jul 1 • 2:44 PM EDT • Politics • wcvb.com
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

In remarks at a central bank conference in Sintra, Portugal, Warsh said that if businesses or households thought the Fed would accept inflation above 2%, “I guess they'd be disappointed. We're going to deliver price stability.”

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Jul 1 • 12:20 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence

When asked about President Trump’s oft-repeated desire for lower rates at a central bank conference, Warsh underscored the Fed’s independence from day-to-day politics.

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Jul 1 • 10:47 AM EDT • Politics • bostonglobe.com
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought

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Jul 1 • 10:03 AM EDT • Politics • abcnews.com
New Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Donald Trump has sought. The Fed typically combats inflation by raising borrowing costs. When asked about Trump's oft-repeated desire for lower rates, Warsh underscored the Fed's independence from day-to-day politics.

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Jul 1 • 10:03 AM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
Supreme Court rules MSU economist Lisa Cook can remain as Fed governor

The Trump administration sought to remove Fed governor Lisa Cook amid a push to get the U.S. independent central bank to lower interest rates.

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Jun 29 • 12:24 PM EDT • Politics • detroitnews.com
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Supreme Court rules on Trump's attempt to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook

The Supreme Court ruled on President Donald Trump's bid to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, potentially reshaping presidential power over the central bank and economic policy.

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Jun 29 • 10:24 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
What smart people are saying about Kevin Warsh, the new Fed Chair

New Fed chair Kevin Warsh signaled a sweeping overhaul of the central bank, from forecasts and forward guidance to AI and operations.

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Jun 18 • 12:39 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
South African Business Body Questions Rate Hike as More Seen

South Africa’s main industry body questioned the central bank’s decision to raise interest rates at a time of weak economic growth and fragile business sentiment amid the war in Iran.

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Jun 11 • 6:47 AM EDT • Business • bloomberg.com
Financial Services Roundup: Market Talk

Find insight on Bangkok Bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, the European Central Bank and more in the latest Market Talks covering Financial Services.

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Jun 8 • 6:55 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
US economic activity and inflation both up in recent weeks, Fed survey shows

U.S. economic activity increased a bit in recent weeks, employment was little changed, and the fallout from higher energy prices due to the war in the Middle East was pervasive, ​the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, two weeks before Kevin Warsh convenes his first ‌policy meeting as head of the U.S. central bank.

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Jun 3 • 2:13 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Ex-Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell sounds alarm over political interference

Powell says central bank has been facing ‘stress test’ under Trump, as supreme court weighs decision on Fed governor that president tried to fire

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Jun 1 • 11:03 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Fed's Powell warns Trump's political 'stress test' will wreck public trust in central bank

Jerome Powell said White House pressure on the Fed will damage public trust in the U.S. central bank.

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Jun 1 • 4:40 AM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
Jerome Powell uses JFK award speech to warn against political pressure on Fed, courts and schools

BOSTON (AP) — Former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell used one of his first major public appearances since leaving office to defend independent institutions while accepting an award Sunday honoring his efforts to preserve the central bank’s independence.

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May 31 • 9:33 PM EDT • Politics • wral.com
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Fed's Goolsbee says oil shock could exacerbate inflationary impulse of AI hype

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday amped up his warning that mounting expectations for the productivity-boosting potential of AI ​could send inflation higher and force the Fed and other ‌central banks to raise interest rates.

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May 27 • 10:27 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Bond breakout? Big effects of bad data. Immigration and thermostatic politics & dad-chat is coming for dad-books.

Thank you for opening your Chartbook email. Anna Airy, A Shell Forge at a National Projectile Factory, Hackney Marshes, London, 1918 Bond breakout - John Authers Across the developed markets, bond markets are staging a slow-motion car wreck. Looking at the drastic moves in the US, Japan, the UK and France, Barclays’ Ajay Rajadhyaksha commented: “Last week, long bonds broke. Not in one country. In all of them. Simultaneously. Four countries. Four different political systems. Four different central banks. But the same trade — “get me out of duration!”” Each country has its own contributing political problems, but the uniformity of the shift out of long-term bonds with high duration makes clear that something broader is afoot. For Rajadhyaksha, it is “simple and uncomfortable.” The developed​ world “has too much debt, too little fiscal discipline, and no political appetite for fixing either.” If there’s a trigger, it has been the Iran war and the resulting shock to oil supply. Source: Bloomberg G7 countries are now borrowing at rates that were enjoyed by EM in the early 2020s For contributing subscribers only. Subscribe Trade between China and Russia has grown in recent years For contributing subscribers only. Subscribe Big effects of bad data A decade ago nearly nine in ten Americans, when approached, agreed to fill out the Current Population Survey, which is administered to about 60,000 households each month and asks about, among other things, employment. Fewer than seven in ten do so now (see chart 1). For the Consumer Expenditure Survey, which tries to capture 3,700 households monthly, the response rate is down from 68% to 40%. … When the information becomes less reliable, investment decisions get more difficult to make. Some may be delayed, creating a potential drag on the economy. A new working paper by Nicholas Bloom of Stanford University, Erica Groshen, former head of the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) now at Cornell University, and Duncan Hobbs and Michael Strain of the American Enterprise Institute, a think-tank, hazards an estimate. Preserving trust in “the integrity and quality of official statistics”, the authors claim, generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the BLS, the agency with an annual budget of $700m that is responsible for many of these data. To arrive at their conclusion the quartet analysed an ignoble episode in the BLS’s recent history. On August 1st 2025 Donald Trump sacked Erika McEntarfer, appointed as the agency’s commissioner by his predecessor, Joe Biden. The president alleged, without evidence, that the BLS’s steep downward revision to recent jobs numbers had been “RIGGED in order to make the Republicans, and ME, look bad”. In fact, it was the wanton dismissal that looked bad in the eyes of many observers. In the following seven days there was a 50% leap, relative to the week before, in the average value of the index of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), which tracks the number of articles mentioning such uncertainty that are published daily in American newspapers. This was a discernible jump even when compared to the chaos caused by Mr Trump’s trade war in April 2025 and his real one in Iran in the past two months (see chart 2). Based on Mr Bloom’s earlier study with other colleagues of the EPU’s impact on business investment, industrial production and employment, the authors estimate that the jump reduced American GDP by over $100bn (0.3%) and non-farm payrolls by 168,000 (0.1%). Source: The Economist Immigration and thermostatic politics (Sarah O’Connor in the FT) A strange thing happened a year and a half ago. No sooner had Americans elected Donald Trump as president on an explicitly anti-immigration platform than US public opinion began to swing much more favourably towards immigration. … to political scientists who study “thermostatic” politics, this development is no surprise at all. Public opinion often moves against the prevailing party, especially if they are perceived to have gone “too far” in one direction. The phenomenon was first explored in the 1990s with reference to fiscal policy, but in recent years it has been particularly evident in the realm of immigration policy. While these swings in opinion polls can make it seem as if people don’t know their own minds, they can be a useful democratic check on governments by sending bright flashing warning lights when policies stray too far from the public’s comfort zone. The problem comes when politicians misinterpret those signals. When people tell pollsters they want less immigration, or think it is bad for the country overall (or the converse), they are often expressing an opinion about how things appear to be going in that moment relative to their preferences, rather than a deep shift in their underlying views. According to Alexander Kustov, a political scientist, most Americans’ views are quite stable and moderate: they support immigration that is controlled and in the national interest, and oppose flows that are disorderly or under-enforced. In the US, he argues the Trump administration over-interpreted dissatisfaction with high immigration under Joe Biden, and implemented policies that went too far for many voters. “People don’t necessarily change their idea about their ideal immigration policy, but they can react to what the government is currently doing,” he told me. “A lot of people are not happy with what the Trump administration are doing — right now we’re not talking about border enforcement, we’re talking about people not just getting harassed, but killed.” But similarly, he added, pro-immigration advocates would be making a mistake to interpret the recent, more favourable swing towards immigration as a deep-seated ideological shift in attitudes. The recent history of UK immigration policy offers another cautionary tale. After the 2016 Brexit referendum, public concern about immigration fell. This was partly because net migration statistics declined, but also because people felt a sense of catharsis and control, says Sunder Katwala, director of British Future, a think-tank. By 2019, the public ranked immigration as only the ninth biggest issue of concern, according to Ipsos polling. But when the Conservative government liberalised visa routes for students and care workers between 2019 and 2022, that helped net migration to surge. And so, too, did public concern. Today’s Labour government has implemented another sharply restrictive turn in immigration policy. As Kustov and researcher Caitlyn Yates argue, thermostatic public opinion should be a useful check on politicians. Instead it seems to have helped to magnify the pendulum swing in the UK. The government over-interprets and overreacts to a change in public opinion, which reacts in turn, prompting a sudden swing the other way. Source: Financial Times HEY READERS, THANK YOU for opening the Chartbook email. I hope it brightens your day. I enjoy putting out the newsletter, but tbh, what keeps this flow going is the generosity of those readers who clicked the subscription button. If you are persuaded to click, please consider the annual subscription of $50. It is both better value for you and a much better deal for me, as it involves only one credit card charge. Why feed the payments companies if we don’t have to. Subscribe Anna Airy, Shop for Machining 15-Inch Shells: Singer Manufacturing Company, Clydebank, Glasgow, 1918 Racing for a vaccine … we have been here before! The deadly Ebola outbreak in two African countries driven by a virus species with no vaccine has triggered an urgent search for a potential jab, in a test of troubled global efforts to avert threats posed by emerging diseases. A World Health Organization advisory group is due to would meet on Tuesday to recommend candidate jabs to prioritise for clinical trials, the global health body said. It will assess data including an analysis by the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (Cepi), which was set up after failures in the international response to a previous Ebola crisis. The latest Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda has infected hundreds of people and killed more than 80, health authorities say. Cepi’s reaction will be a crucial indicator of its progress towards its wider goal of producing vaccines for pandemic threats in just 100 days, despite steep cuts to international health funding. “If there was ever a time that we could show the world why Cepi is needed and show the world why the 100-day mission is needed, it’s now,” Nicole Lurie, the organisation’s executive director for preparedness and response, told the FT. “We’re happy to accept that responsibility, but obviously we need help from partners — particularly financial help in the long run.” DR Congo and Uganda would make the final decision on whether to press ahead with any vaccine candidates endorsed for clinical trials by the WHO experts, the global health body said. “Other ethical and community acceptability issues will be considered,” said the WHO, which declared the latest outbreak a public health emergency of international concern on Sunday. “This will be important to make sure that the trial, if it happens, will be adequately communicated to the population.” Lurie said Cepi had provided information from a survey of research teams and companies working on drugs that might be effective against the Bundibugyo virus behind the outbreak. The organisation hoped soon to announce partners in the quest for a jab, she added, although she declined to give a timescale for when one might be developed. Cepi’s Nicole Laurie said global health bodies were ‘getting some live-fire drills’ with hantavirus and the latest Ebola outbreak. The hunt for a vaccine should be helped by scientific advances including the use of artificial intelligence to find drugs active against viruses, Lurie said. Existing jabs against the Zaire Ebola virus responsible for many previous outbreaks might provide a basis for tackling the Bundibugyo species, she added. “We’ll see how far and how fast we can get,” Lurie said, adding that Cepi had done preliminary work recently on a possible jab for the rat-borne hantavirus responsible for a recent fatal outbreak on a cruise ship. “Both with hantavirus and now with Ebola, [we] are getting some live-fire drills.” Source: Michael Peel in the Financial Times Dad-chat is coming for dad-books. (By Pamela Paul and Jeffrey A. Trachtenberg in the WSJ) They were the go-to gifts for Father’s Day: a book about some little-known chapter of World War II, the sweeping narrative of a shipwreck, perhaps the latest presidential biography. These days, dad books are a dying breed. Nonfiction book sales have been in decline for the past four years, and are now the most challenged segment of the print book market. Publishers say certain types of books still fare well—including celebrity memoirs and religious titles. But in recent years, print sales in such categories as biography, current affairs and business and economics—what publishers refer to as “serious nonfiction” and which tend to resonate especially with men—have fallen considerably. Sales of nonfiction print titles were down nearly 8% through May 9 this year, and sales of books about politics and current affairs were down 19%, according to book tracker Circana BookScan. Publishing has long been subject to cyclical changes, with trends in format and genre taking over bookshelves in grand sweeps. (Remember the adult coloring-book craze? Or the stratospheric rise of romantasy?) But many in publishing believe the decline in serious nonfiction is more existential. “The trend couldn’t be clearer,” said Jonathan Karp, the former chief executive of Simon & Schuster and publisher of the new Simon Six imprint. “This is a sea change and people should wake up and realize we’re living in a new world.” One culprit for the shift: a new media diet for fans of more serious nonfiction. … Sixty-two percent of men and 54% of women consumed a podcast in the prior month, according to a recent survey by Edison Research at SSRS, up from 46% and 39%, respectively, in 2023. “When we have internal meetings to talk about this problem, it always comes around to podcasts,” said Jonathan Burnham, president and publisher of the Harper Group at HarperCollins Publishers. “The man who wants to read American history is now tuning into one of the many good podcasts about history that lends the quiet attention to a serious subject he’s looking for. It makes the idea of sitting down with a 700-page Ron Chernow book less appealing. You’ve scratched that itch.” Source: Wall Street Journal Remarkable report by Novara from the nationalist rally in London in mid May. Anna Airy, Leopard Moth and Plums, 1915 If you’ve scrolled this far, you know you want to click: Subscribe

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May 23 • 6:45 AM EDT • Politics • adamtooze.substack.com
Deep dive
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Chartbook 449: Voldemort on Threadneedle street. The Bank of England and the "haunted house" of English politics.

Imagine the scene: In some Harry Potter version of 21st-century London, a group of deathless UK Treasury officials gathered from across the last century huddle over warm pints and glasses of Chardonnay. Around the table there are officials from the 1920s, the 1930s, the 1970s, 2022 and today. Inevitably, in May 2026, the subject of conversation is the disintegration of the current Labour government. Despite its huge majority in parliament, it has been reduced to tatters by catastrophic local election result. These exposed the fact that rather than having a government with a clear popular majority, the UK is like most other modern societies divided into 5 segments each of which commands between 26 and 16 percent of the vote. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the leadership at Nos 10 and 11 Downing Street - where the Prime Minister and the Chancellor (Treasury Secretary) work - seem paralyzed. They are caught between mounting discontent over unfairness and the cost of living, and tough fiscal strictures that push them into making unpopular spending decisions. In the London pub, the Treasury officials from across the ages, can barely hide their satisfaction at the latest display of democratic politics caught in the vice-grip of financial logic. “Remember the mur d’argent and the banker’s ramp?” “Just like yesterday!” There are smirks around the table. Then the representative of 2026 pipes up: “One thing you have to say about the current lot (referring to the latest hapless Labour government), you don’t have to teach them about the bond market!” There is a murmur of ascent from the Treasury Mandarins. The trauma of the fiscal crisis of September-October 2022 sits deep. Back then, in the final stages of Tory decay, a ‘mini budget’ that challenged fiscal orthodoxy led to a brief but fierce panic in one of the oldest government bond markets in the world (aka gilt market). Now all you have to do is to mention the “bond market” to hush debate. [ Paul Mason@paulmasonnews In the name of public service, and as ex-economics editor of BBC Newsnight, I offer to do a zoom call, tonight, with any Labour MP who wants to understand why bond markets do not "fall into line" with governments. 1/ 3:57 PM · May 12, 2026 · 466K Views 224 Replies · 674 Reposts · 3.93K Likes ](https://x.com/paulmasonnews/status/2054229532404519082?s=20) “And the funny thing is”, the young man in the huddle continues, “they don’t even want to talk about … ”. There is a sudden hush. Significant looks are exchanged around the table. About? One of the senior figures puts down his glass with a decisive “clink”. He-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named has entered their thoughts. Meanwhile, a few miles away in a grubby pub in Bloomsbury, two conspirators from the camp of Critical Macrofinance huddle over cans of low-alcohol IPA. They look at each other and blurt out loud: “The Bank!” “Everyone in the bloody Labour party is talking about the bond market. But why aren’t they even mentioning … the Bank of England!?” “Why is no one talking about Voldemort?” In Paul Mason’s blogpost, after much chest-thumping about basic fiscal logic, the basic point about the Bank of England is buried in the fine print at #3 in his list of suggestions as to what a radical Labour government might actually be able to do! [ Conflict & Democracy Down with the bond market! Down with gravity! It may seem unfair to focus on Labour MP Paula Barker for her off-the-cuff assertion that the bond market would have to “fall in line” with Andy Burnham, should he replace Keir Starmer as prime minister. But Burnham himself told the New Statesman that Labour had to “get beyond this thing of being in hock to the bond markets… Read more 2 days ago · 100 likes · 3 comments · Paul Mason ](https://htsf.substack.com/p/down-with-the-bond-market-down-with?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web) Back in Bloomsbury they shake their heads and ask: “Didn’t we learn anything from the Eurozone crisis?” Meanwhile, as if summoned to the conversation by some higher force, the “pink pages” announce: “The days of ultra-cheap government borrowing have come to an end” and Martin “Whizzard” Wolf publishes the graph of the season Look at the UK in 2026, perilously positioned on the upper edge of the pack. No wonder no one in London needs any lessons about the “bond market”. But, look again. Imagine how they feel in Rome. What is London’s nightmare in 2026? The nightmare is that you end up like Italy in the early 2010s during the Eurozone crisis. Once comfortably situated in the middle of the pack, watching with horror as your ten-year yields explode to 7 percent and “spreads” become a national nightmare. One of the largest economies in Europe, a founding member of the euro, stigmatized. But the message of the Italian experience is ambiguous. After all, the stigma didn’t last. In 2026, Italy borrows at rates lower not only than the UK but the US. The US, which, as everyone knows, enjoys the “exorbitant privilege” of being the issuer of reserve, safe asets. What kind of magic is this? How did Italy, in the space of fifteen years, go from being good, to bad and back again? Which brings us back to our dissident friends in their Bloombury boozer and their memories of the Eurozone crisis. Italy never was Britain - with its ongoing fiscal deficits. Without interest payments, on primary balance, from 2000 to 2020 Italy ran a tight fiscal ship. Even in 2008 it barely went into deficit and when it was being put on the rack in the early 20210s its primary surplus matched that of austere Germany. So, what happened? How did it end up stigmatized? Of course Italian politics didn’t help. Berlusconi was at the helm and he had legal issues. But amongst friends in the Bloomsbury pub, Berlusconi is a sideshow, the name we whisper to each other is “Trichet”. From 2004 to 2011 the ECB was headed by Jean-Claude Trichet, ex of the French Treasury, more German than the Germans. After 2009 as the news of the Greek fiscal disaster broke, the European bond markets wento into panic mode and Trichet began a brutal game of cat and mouse. Between 2009 and 2011, Trichet intervened in the bond market to help, only when he thought he had compliance with austerity. When he thought they were uncooperative, he withdrew. In the summer of 2011, he even made direct suggestions to his Italian counterparts in Rome, as to how Italy should be governed. It was this cat and mouse game that drove the bond markets crazy and exposed Italy to a violent squeeze. When Mario Draghi took over the ECB at the end of 2011 and declared “whatever it takes”, the pressure on Italy, gradually eased. It is that starring role that has made Draghi into the towering figure in European politics that he remains today. So now you see why voices in London hush when it comes to the Bank of England. “The bond market” isn’t an irresistible objective force like the weather or an avalanche. It can appear like that. But that depends on the way it is being handled, or not handled by the central bank. Which is why the silence about the Bank of England in London right now is so significant. If you think this all sounds a bit fishy, coming from a left-liberal Keynesian like myself, well, let me introduce you to Robin Brooks, who, to put it mildly, plays on a different quidditch team to me. Here, from the position of a fiscal hawk is Robin’s celebratory account of the Bank of England’s role since 2022; In October 2022, at the height of the bond market blow-up in the UK, something incredible happened. Governor Andrew Bailey told British pension funds the Bank of England would end its support program for the country’s fragile gilt market, drawing a line under how much help the central bank was willing to give to exposed pension funds and - implicitly - the government. By the end of that week, Kwasi Kwarteng - the finance minister - had resigned. Prime Minister Liz Truss would soon follow. This episode is so incredible because it contrasts with what happened in the Euro zone earlier that year. Bond markets in Spain and Italy were under pressure amid high inflation and rising interest rates. In the middle of this, Mario Draghi - Italy’s Prime Minister - resigned, compounding pressure on bond markets of high-debt countries on the Euro periphery. Unlike the Bank of England, the ECB caved. It bought Italian and Spanish government bonds in an effort to cap yields and introduced a new tool that signaled to markets it might do such caps more frequently going forward. Faced with pressure on bond markets, the ECB capitulated to political pressure from high-debt countries like Italy and Spain. The Bank of England stood its ground and toppled the Truss government. This kind of thing has long-lasting consequences. It means markets price a higher probability of yield caps in the Euro zone, which keeps Italian and Spanish yields artificially low, while markets feel free to push up UK yields without fear of central bank intervention. As I flagged in yesterday’s post, this means you really can’t compare UK yields to those of other high-debt countries. The UK looks worse, but only because its central bank isn’t interfering with markets. There’s more to this than just that 2022 episode. The Bank of England has also been much more aggressive in its quantitative tightening (QT) than other central banks. If one motivation for quantitative easing (QE) is to lower bond yields - especially longer-dated ones - then it stands to reason QT pushes yields up. The left chart above shows a four-quarter moving average of UK government debt issuance (black line) in percent of GDP and which sectors absorb this issuance, including the Bank of England (blue bars). The right chart above compares the Bank of England’s accumulation or run-off of government bonds (blue line) with that of other central banks, where this blue line is the same as the blue bars in the left chart. The Bank of England was quicker and more aggressive than other central banks in downsizing its bond holdings, so UK yields will have risen more than elsewhere also for this reason, not just because of Governor Andrew Bailey’s remarks in October 2022. Back in October 2025, after a conversation in New York with friends in British politics, my sense of dysphoria was such that I raised the issue of the Bank of England openly in the FT Since 2008, the UK has slid into a deep economic and political predicament. Growth has stagnated to a degree far worse even than in the 1970s. The Tory leadership’s wager on the Brexit referendum spectacularly backfired, leaving the UK isolated from Europe and at the mercy of its special relationship with the US, many of whose political class regard the UK as a basket case. After years of austerity, the Labour party lurched to the left and then back to the centre. The Tory party has been eclipsed by the populist nationalism of Reform. Any British government should be worrying first and foremost about how to restart growth. Instead, Keir Starmer is beset by shades of the gilt market panic triggered by the Liz Truss government in 2022. The debt level is higher than in recent years, but there is no cause for panic. UK debt is at far from critical levels and of long duration. Whether you want to “take back control” or launch progressive economic policy, a democracy dogged by fear of bond market vigilantes is unhealthy. In a country that is a monetary sovereign, this climate points to one thing: a disconnect between the government and the central bank. Since 1997, the independence of the Bank of England has become a sacred cow. But independence is what you make of it. And in the wake of the gilt market crisis of September 2022, relations between the Bank of England and the UK government need a reset. In normal times, there is no doubt that an inflation-targeting independent central bank can serve a country well. But since 2008, the UK and other advanced economies have not had the luxury of such simple problems. To their credit, central bankers around the world have not stood on orthodoxy. After 2008, the US Federal Reserve rescued the global banking system and, through quantitative easing, it stabilised the Treasury market in the face of huge deficits. In Europe, things were trickier. Both the Bank of England under Mervyn King and Jean-Claude Trichet’s European Central Bank played cat and mouse with national governments. This was a high stakes wager that between 2010 and 2012 escalated bond market tension and triggered a disastrous turn to austerity. Shaken by the impact of those shocks, their successors, Mark Carney and Mario Draghi adopted a more protective stance (assuming you were not the government of Greece). Recall that Draghi’s legendary slogan, “Whatever it takes”, was uttered to face down the City of London’s bond vigilantes. In 2015, Draghi launched QE — financial repression by another name. In 2016, Carney used the authority of the Bank of England to stabilise markets following the vote for Brexit, an exemplary demonstration of how central banks can underpin democratic choice, even when those choices are wrong headed. All these were independent central bankers steeped in the best practice of the 1990s, who recognised that historic crises demanded radical action. It was the price surge of 2021-2023 that poisoned the atmosphere. Though the shock came mainly from the supply side, central banks ended up in the dock. Nowhere more so than in the UK. The Bank of England reacted with aggressive normalisation. Faced with a cost of living crisis, the governor called for workers to accept real wage cuts. In early 2022, as gas prices were at record levels and Russia’s army was poised to invade Ukraine, the Bank adopted a stringent programme of quantitative tightening, elevating interest rates. When the Truss government got itself in trouble, the Bank took almost a week to come to the rescue. Rather than enacting a charade of normality, it is time to recognise that in 2025 the UK faces a period of historic transition. To meet this challenge, what is needed is a new concordat with the Bank. This should not ignore inflationary pressures or the long-run trajectory of debt, but should affirm the priority of reviving investment-led growth. One could follow Donald Trump in demanding interest rate cuts. The Bank could shadow the ECB in its commitment to capping Eurozone yields. But the top priority should be to lay the ghost of September 2022. The Bank’s slowing of QT last month was a concession. An immediate and complete end would send the right signal. Such a concordat will not by itself restore sanity to politics, solve the housing problem or rebuild the NHS. But it would help to lift the fear of bond market crisis, which is paralysing the effort by democratic politicians to answer the fundamental questions facing the nation. Now, that call for a new concordat between government and Bank of Englands seems more urgent than ever. The problem is that in October 2025, Starmer still had some authority. Today the government is in tatters. And when you are the “under the harrow” - to echo a phrase of Montagu Norman’s from the 1920s - it is the worst possible time to consider institutional change. To make general arguments at a time of crisis can only seem like special pleading rather than a general argument for long-term change. The same, unfortunately, is also true for the other basic institutional reform that Britain urgently needs i.e. the abolition of the out-dated first past the post electoral system and its replacement by a moderated form of proportional representation. And thirdly - whilst we are saying the quiet parts out loud - Britain needs to reopen the question of EU membership. What the local election results of 2026 show is that this remains a key issue. And what they also show is that there is a clear majority that would favor a return. Until these basic features of Britain’s political economy are addressed the country will carry on its politics as though in a haunted house, governed by governments that lack actual majorities, conjuring up false constraints whilst ignoring the real ones. This one is for DG and MI. I love writing the newsletter. If you enjoy it too and fancy buying me a coffee once a month, you know what to do. Click below! Subscribe

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May 15 • 3:04 AM EDT • Politics • adamtooze.substack.com
Senate confirms Trump pick Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve, following Powell

The Senate confirmed President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, bringing new leadership to the world's most powerful central bank at a fraught moment for the global economy.

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May 13 • 3:20 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Fed's Miran hopes Powell staying at Fed is transitional

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said on Friday that he hopes current central bank ​Chair Jerome Powell will stay on as a governor ‌only for a short period of time.

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May 8 • 7:42 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Romania Lets Leu Weaken as Politics Again Tests Managed Float

A Romanian political crisis is once again testing the country’s managed float currency regime, with the central bank allowing the leu to weaken to record lows this week.

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May 6 • 1:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Guindos Rules Out Return to Politics After ECB Term Ends: Pais

European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos rejected the idea of returning to Spanish politics once his term ends in May.

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May 3 • 3:06 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged as Powell's chairmanship nears end

Federal Reserve policymakers left interest rates unchanged in April amid concerns about elevated inflation and as Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term as central bank chairman draws to a close.

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Apr 29 • 2:00 PM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Trump wants to turn Fed into another 'political animal': Sen. Warren

The Senate Banking Committee will vote on Wednesday, April 29, over whether to confirm Kevin Warsh's nomination as the next chair of the Federal Reserve. This comes on the same day as Jerome Powell's last FOMC meeting as the head of the US central bank. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Ma.) — the ranking member of the Senate Banking Committee — speaks with Yahoo Finance Senior Fed Reporter Jennifer Schonberger about her questioning of Warsh, the likelihood that Powell will stay on the Fed's Board of Governors, and her perspective on President Trump's economic agenda.

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Apr 28 • 6:50 PM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
The ‘Lasting Damage’ of Pirro’s Investigation of the Federal Reserve and Powell

The Trump administration’s attacks on the Federal Reserve have rattled confidence in the central bank’s ability to operate independently before a leadership transition.

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Apr 24 • 5:43 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Structure, Agency, and Structural Reform: The Case of the European Central Bank -

Structure, Agency, and Structural Reform: The Case of the European Central Bank By Benjamin Braun, London School of Economics and Political Science, Donato Di Carlo, The London School of Economics and Political Science, Sebastian Diessner, [...]

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Apr 23 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • politicalsciencenow.com
Warsh vows to keep monetary policy independent of politics

STORY: :: Fed chief nominee Warsh vows to keep monetary policy independent of politics:: Washington, D.C. / April 21, 2026:: Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve chief nominee“Monetary policy independence is essential. Monetary policymakers must act in the nation's interest. Their decision is the product of rigor, deliberation and unclouded decision-making. And as Senator Warren said, I do not believe that independence of monetary policy is threatened when elected officials state their views on rates. Fed independence is up to the Fed." // :: Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Ranking Democrat on Senate Banking Committee“So, independence takes courage. Let's check out your independence and your courage. We'll start easy. Mr. Warsh, did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?”WARSH: “Um, we try to keep politics, if I’m confirmed, out of the Federal Reserve.”WARREN: “I’m just asking you a factual question. I need to know. I need to measure your independence and your courage.”WARSH: “Senator, I believe that this body certified that election many years ago.”WARREN: “That’s not the question I’m asking. I’m asking did Donald Trump lose in 2020?”WARSH: “And I’m suggesting to you in 2020…”WARREN: “I’m suggesting you can’t answer that.”WARSH: “… the Fed had a huge inflation problem, and you certified the election…[crosstalk]… let’s keep the politics out of monetary policy.” //WARREN: "Just one little place where you disagree with Donald Trump.”WARSH: “Well, I do have a disagreement actually, Senator, with the president. I think even this morning, he said that he thought I was out of central casting. I think central casting, I'd look older, grayer, maybe show up here with a cigar of sorts.”WARREN: “Quite adorable. But, you know, we need a Fed chair who is independent. That's the only way we preserve the independence of the Federal Reserve. If you can't answer these questions, you don't have the courage and you don't have the independence.”In a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee that quickly hinted at major changes to come at a Warsh-led Fed, the 56-year-old lawyer and financier blamed the central bank for an inflation surge in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic that continues to hurt U.S. households.Warsh's hearing quickly turned contentious. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren pressed Warsh on his independence and "courage", saying President Donald Trump had made clear Warsh would be his "sock puppet".

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Apr 21 • 12:43 PM EDT • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
South African rand flat as traders eye business confidence index, central bank policy report

The South African rand was flat in early trade on Tuesday as investors tracked ​geopolitical developments and awaited the release of a ‌domestic business confidence survey and a central bank monetary policy review later in the day.

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Apr 21 • 2:44 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Kevin Warsh to say Fed independence not threatened by political pressure

Donald Trump’s pick for chair will tell powerful Senate committee that central bank must ‘stay in its lane’

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Apr 20 • 2:10 PM EDT • Politics • ft.com
Why Political Pressure on Central Banks Can Raise Your Borrowing Costs

The question of central bank independence came up during a fireside chat on Grounds with Philip Lane, chief economist of the European Central Bank, hosted by economist and Darden professor Frank Warnock.

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Apr 17 • 1:59 PM EDT • Politics • news.darden.virginia.edu
Trump threatens to fire Powell, blasts Fed leadership as ‘incompetent’

Trump backs Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed as he threatens to fire Jerome Powell and blasts the central bank’s leadership as “incompetent."

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Apr 15 • 9:38 AM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
BOJ to raise rates with eye on Iran war fallout, central bank official says

The Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates while keeping a close ​eye on how the Middle East conflict affects ‌the economy and underlying inflation, a senior central bank official said on Friday.

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Apr 3 • 12:00 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Registrations open for São Paulo School of Advanced Science on Regulatory Governance

School at the Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil) covers emerging regulatory frontiers, including central banks in climate risk regulation and antitrust in digital markets. Apply by April 30.

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Apr 2 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • eurekalert.org
Central banks' inflation mood puzzle: more judgment than science

The world's central bankers may be attempting the impossible: to get into the psyche of business executives, labour unions and ordinary households in real time to understand how they are navigating their finances ​through yet another energy shock.

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Apr 2 • 2:02 AM EDT • Science • reuters.com
China's Bank of Ningbo readies digital yuan business as Beijing expands e-CNY

China's Bank of Ningbo said it is inviting suppliers to help build a system to handle ​the digital yuan, in a sign that the country's ‌central bank may soon hand out more licenses as it tries to broaden the use of its e-CNY.

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Mar 19 • 10:07 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Justice Department probe of Powell could backfire on Trump and keep Fed chair in office

President Donald Trump has for months wanted to remove Jerome Powell as chair of the Federal Reserve. But instead, an investigation by one of his own officials could end up extending Powell's time at the top of the central bank even after his term formally ends May 15.

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Mar 19 • 5:31 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
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Norway’s Improving Business Outlook in Survey Dents Easing Bets

A key survey of Norway’s business sentiment signaled somewhat better prospects for the nation’s companies, suggesting less pressure on the central bank to consider any easing moves in the near term.

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Mar 19 • 5:35 AM EDT • Business • bloomberg.com
Bitcoin has no business on a central bank’s balance sheet

Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh says it’s the new gold, but bitcoin’s plunge proves that it belongs in a trading account — not a national reserve.

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Feb 27 • 8:39 AM EST • Business • marketwatch.com
Business Lookahead: Nvidia earnings take center stage

STORY: As global markets react to the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on President Trump's tariffs, Nvidia earnings head for center stage. These are the stories to watch in business and finance in the coming week. :: Nvidia's momentMarkets will be watching for Nvidia's quarterly results Wednesday...as investors worry about returns on AI spending and industry disruptions caused by the emerging tech.Nvidia shares have soared following the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022.But shares of the company and others in the "Magnificent Seven" have stalled so far in 2026.:: Anniversary angstTuesday marks the four-year anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.While the push for a ceasefire continues, getting one over the line remains difficult.Ukraine has faced sustained pressure to agree to a deal that could mean painful concessions, as Russian forces pound its power grid and slowly advance on the battlefield.The International Monetary Fund looks set to rubberstamp extended support, meaning Kyiv's bonds are flying high.:: Key Australia dataAustralia's consumer price reading Wednesday will be closely watched by investors, who are betting the central bank will hike rates at least once more this year.Earlier this month, Australia's central bank became the only one in the G10 outside Japan to tighten policy, as it struggles to bring inflation under control in a supply-constrained economy.:: British uneaseBritish Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces a reckoning Thursday in a Manchester special election.Investors will be watching the results closely. Friday could be another volatile day for British markets and Westminster.British gilts and the pound wobbled earlier this month as a crisis engulfed Starmer over what he knew of Peter Mandelson's links to late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein when he appointed the former as U.S. ambassador.

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Feb 20 • 6:27 PM EST • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Exclusive: ECB President Lagarde tells colleagues she is still focused on her post

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has told colleagues she remains focussed on her job and she would tell them first if she was about to step down, four sources told Reuters, in a private message the recipients took to mean she was not about to resign.

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Feb 19 • 4:26 AM EST • Politics • reuters.com
Indian central bank raises loan limits for small businesses, backs REIT lending

India’s central bank on Friday announced measures to boost credit to small businesses and the real estate sector to improve access to formal financing and strengthen last-mile lending, Governor Sanjay Malhotra said in his policy address.

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Feb 6 • 12:26 AM EST • Business • reuters.com
Euro zone banks tightening access to business credit, ECB survey shows

Euro zone banks tightened access to corporate credit last quarter and expect to see further tightening ahead due to widespread economic uncertainty, partly related to trade policies, the European Central Bank's quarterly Bank Lending Survey showed on Tuesday.

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Feb 3 • 4:03 AM EST • Business • reuters.com
Gold and silver extend selloff after market meltdown

Before Friday's selloff, gold and silver had been on a blistering yearlong rally, fueled by heavy central bank buying and geopolitical tensions.

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Feb 1 • 9:18 PM EST • Business • businessinsider.com
🙂 Positive (50%)
Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair

The new Federal Reserve chair will step in as the world’s most powerful central bank faces scrutiny over interest rates and rising prices affecting Americans.

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Jan 30 • 6:51 AM EST • Business • foxbusiness.com
US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady despite political pressure

The central bank will maintain rates at 3.5 to 3.75 percent and warned of 'elevated' economic uncertainty.

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Jan 28 • 2:23 PM EST • Politics • aljazeera.com
For Trump, the Supreme Court Case Reflects Goal to Remake the Fed

The president has spoken repeatedly of his desire to install a majority of political loyalists on the board of the rate-setting central bank.

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Jan 21 • 9:56 AM EST • Politics • nytimes.com
BOJ to signal more rate hikes as yen, politics fuel inflation risks

TOKYO, Jan 20 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its growth forecast on Friday and signal its readiness to hike interest rates further, as recent yen falls and prospects of solid wage gains keep policymakers alert to containing inflationary ​pressure. But BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is likely to offer few clues on how soon the central bank could resume rate hikes, a decision complicated ‌by rising bond yields and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's announcement on Monday to call a snap

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Jan 19 • 10:14 PM EST • Politics • finance.yahoo.com
Federal Reserve Inquiry Clouds Trump’s Supreme Court Bid to Oust Lisa Cook

The court is set to hear Ms. Cook’s case challenging her firing as the Justice Department investigates Jerome H. Powell, the central bank chair.

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Jan 19 • 12:15 PM EST • Politics • nytimes.com
It’s not just the Fed. Politics looms over central banks everywhere

But can the public stomach higher inflation?

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Jan 14 • 1:19 PM EST • Politics • economist.com
Romanian Inflation Ends Tumultuous Year in Politics Close to 10%

Romanian inflation remained at nearly three times the upper band of the central bank’s target range after government action to curb the budget deficit helped fuel price growth.

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Jan 14 • 2:07 AM EST • Politics • bloomberg.com
Thune warns DOJ's probe of Fed Chair Powell 'better be real' and 'serious' amid political backlash

Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., acknowledged that planned blocks against future Federal Reserve nominees would cause issues and remained adamant that the central bank stay independent.

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Jan 12 • 11:11 PM EST • Politics • foxnews.com
New Zealand Business Confidence Nears 12-Year High on Rate Cuts

New Zealand business confidence surged to the highest in almost 12 years as aggressive central bank rate cuts spark an economic recovery.

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Jan 12 • 4:49 PM EST • Business • bloomberg.com
Smart people in economics and business react to DOJ Powell probe

Powell described the move as a part of a broader effort to pressure the central bank on monetary policy.

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Jan 12 • 3:38 AM EST • Business • businessinsider.com
🙂 Positive (50%)
Fed should deliver big rate cuts this year, Miran tells Fox Business

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran, whose term at the U.S. central bank ends later this month, said on Tuesday aggressive U.S. interest rate cuts are needed this year to keep the economy moving forward.

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Jan 6 • 9:53 AM EST • Business • reuters.com
Israel to Hold Rates as Regional and Domestic Politics Wobble

Israel’s central bank is set to hold interest rates steady in its first monetary decision of 2026, weighing lowered inflation expectations and a strong shekel against lingering geopolitical and fiscal uncertainty.

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Jan 4 • 11:00 PM EST • Politics • bloomberg.com
Politics and Disasters Challenge Thai, Indonesian Central Banks

Central banks in Thailand and Indonesia will make their last interest rate decisions of 2025 under a cloud of economic challenges from politics to weather.

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Dec 16, 2025 • 5:00 PM EST • Politics • bloomberg.com
Japan business mood hits 4-year high

TOKYO >> Big Japanese manufacturers’ business sentiment hit a four-year high in the three months to December, a closely watched survey showed on Monday, reinforcing market expectations the central bank will raise interest rates this week.

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Dec 15, 2025 • 4:50 AM EST • Business • staradvertiser.com
Fed's favored inflation gauge shows consumer prices remained elevated in September

The Commerce Department's delayed September PCE inflation report showed that inflation remained well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target ahead of a central bank decision next week.

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Dec 5, 2025 • 10:04 AM EST • Business • foxbusiness.com