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Mike Love 'Facing Serious Health Challenges,' John Stamos Says
Mike Love, the sole remaining original member still touring as The Beach Boys, is "facing serious health challenges," John Stamos wrote on Oct. 11.
The science, instinct and hard work behind Roosters’ success
Enter your email address to get each Tribune edition sent to your inbox Subscribe There’s a fair bit of unseen work that goes into winning an NRL premiership, dating back many months - just ask Simon Jones. The Sydney Roosters Head of Performance, who hails from Southland, has been in the thick of it. He played a lead role in guiding the 2026 champions through a marathon campaign that ended with a grand final win over the Newcastle Knights. The Roosters had to navigate the lengthy round-robin competition, including the pre-season, before playing through all four weeks of the finals series. It was a demanding stretch that tested the players and the staff responsible for keeping them on the field. “It is a hell of a beast, mate, to be honest,” Jones told The Roar Podcast. “There’s such a great group of staff there that know what they’re doing, and the boys are pretty professional.” Jones believed the Roosters managed the physical demands well, pointing to the health of the squad throughout the campaign and the decision to rest a significant portion of the playing group in the final round of the regular season. That call, made by head coach Trent Robinson and his coaching staff, proved valuable as the Roosters entered the finals with some energy in reserve. “We did finish the season physically where we needed to be, and we’d sort of had a pretty healthy squad all year,” Jones said. “To the team that do that, mate, mission accomplished, really.” It is the sort of work that often goes unnoticed when the spotlight falls on the players scoring tries and making match-winning plays, but Jones knows the cumulative effect of those decisions can be significant over a long season. After a win over Penrith had helped establish them as premiership favourites, losses to the Wests Tigers and Dolphins were followed by a defeat to the Panthers in the opening week of the finals. Rather than panic, the club refocused to position itself to challenge for the title. “The Tigers’ performance was probably the only one where you’re really quite disappointed because it’s hard to get to the top of the competition,” Jones told The Roar Podcast. “We had proof that we could; we knew what we needed to do. We just had to get back to that.” For Jones, the answer was not necessarily a radical change to the programme. It was about executing the basics consistently, both on the field and in preparation. “We just do the basics better than anybody else,” he said. “Whether that is actually the way you play the game or how you’re preparing, it’s just be really consistent, do the basics really, really well.” Like many professional sports teams, the Roosters are entrenched in sports science and performance data. The club has access to a range of information, including players’ sleep, GPS metrics and neuromuscular scores, helping staff assess how individuals are coping with training and competition. “We are very science-backed, and some people would say data-driven, but it’s people first,” he said. “The reason you collect all this data is to try and be the best for that person.” Jones said the club was also prepared to reconsider testing methods if they were not generating useful discussions or helping staff make better decisions. In an environment where technology is continually evolving, he believes experience and gut instinct remain important. “The data is no good unless you have conversations,” he said. “When you strip it right back, mate, trust the gut still and obviously, you know, just doing the basics really, really well.” The return of halfback Sam Walker provided a further example of the importance of individual determination and the work of the club’s medical team. Walker underwent ankle surgery late in the regular season, with his premiership campaign appearing in doubt. However, he was determined to return for the preliminary final. Jones said Walker was back at the training ground three days after surgery, walking freely enough to surprise those around him. While the surgeon’s work was crucial, Jones credited the halfback’s mindset as a major factor in the remarkable turnaround. “He was quite clear with Robbo after he got the surgery that he was going to make it back for the prelim finals,” Jones said. The Roosters’ performance programme also sits within a wider club culture that Jones believes is central to their success. Each season, players develop their own team mantra through a lengthy process facilitated by Robinson. It provides principles that the squad can connect to its actions on the field. Rather than simply carrying over the previous year’s wording after a successful campaign, the club repeats the process because the players’ ownership of it is what gives it meaning. “When it’s led, player-owned and player-led, mate, it’s really powerful,” Jones said. Get more from Logan Savory in the Substack app Available for iOS and Android Get the app Jones joined the Roosters in 2024 and said the environment had evolved as experienced players departed and younger members of the squad took on greater responsibility. Maintaining continuity in the club’s culture and preparation had helped the group navigate those changes. The premiership was a significant achievement for Jones, who acknowledged how difficult it was to win the NRL’s ultimate prize. However, he is already looking at how the performance programme can improve. “There’s still things within my role and things that I’d like to help improve at the club,” he said. For Jones and his team, the challenge now is to review the season, refine their systems and prepare for another campaign. The celebrations may have followed a memorable title win, but the work behind the scenes never really stops. The Southland Tribune is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe
Hinge Health (HNGE) Stock Still Looks Pricey On Earnings Power
Hinge Health has delivered very strong share price gains recently, which puts fresh attention on whether that move lines up with what the business is actually earning. With the stock now trading at US$102.90, the immediate issue for investors is how that price stacks up against its earnings power. The share price is up 125.9% year to date, which raises the question of whether the earnings picture has kept pace with the market's optimism. The business model depends heavily on converting its...
Celtics' second-string rotation impresses against Cleveland Cavaliers
The Boston Celtics sat eight players in their opening preseason game, and still found a way to defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers
Red River Rivalry: OU's offense learns what winning requires but still has much to prove
OU stunned Texas with a 27-24 come-from-behind win at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
“I Have a Lot of Unfinished Business”: Frankie Muniz Wins First Racing Championship, But NASCAR Still Awaits
Frankie Muniz could have chased a race win at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Instead, he settled for second, secured the championship and walked away with something he has never done in racing before.
Here's How Much A DVD Player Cost In 1997 Vs. 2026
Streaming content may be popular in 2026, but you can still buy a DVD player today, and for quite a bit less than the $749 you could have spent in 1997 dollars.
Jessica Lange says FX was ‘too f---ing cheap’ to do 1 key thing for “American Horror Story ”stars on set
“That’s still a bone of contention for me,” Lange said while seated next to Sarah Paulson at a PaleyFest event.
Jessica Lange says FX was ‘too f---ing cheap’ to do 1 key thing for ‘AHS’ stars on set
Jessica Lange says FX was ‘too f---ing cheap’ to do one key thing for ‘American Horror Story’ actors on set: ‘That’s still a bone of contention for me,’ she said.
New insider tip claims the Samsung Galaxy S27 Ultra will only be available with a Qualcomm chipset
The S27, S27+ and S27 Pro are still slated to have Exynos variants in some regions and Snapdragon ones in others. This always seems to be a pressing...
Brad Keselowski Says RFK Is ‘Clearly Not Tier One’
Brad Keselowski says RFK Racing's cars are good but "clearly not tier one." He believes he can still win plenty of races with the right team.
What Will the Lineup Look Like When Connor Brown Returns?
A lot of depth is a good problem to have, but Sheldon Keefe is still going to have tos hake it out with Connor Brown’s return.
Is Arsenal Striker Viktor Gyökeres Being Unfairly Treated?
Viktor Gyökeres scored in each of his four fixtures for Sweden during the recent international break yet the Arsenal striker is still waiting for his first Premier League start of the season.
Who's in, who's out for Texans-Titans in Week 5?
With how this Houston Texans team looks and given that no team has started off the season 0-5 and still made the playoffs, the easy answer is that with a loss against the Tennessee Titans, Houston's season is over.
Bowen Byram Sabres-to-Blackhawks Contract Questioned After Aho Embarrassment
Bowen Byram still has a long career ahead of him with the Chicago Blackhawks. He can still turn into the high-end defenseman they believed they were getting when they sent a big package to the Buffalo Sabres for him and then signed him to an expensive contract extension. But the early returns have been less […] The post Bowen Byram Sabres-to-Blackhawks Contract Questioned After Aho Embarrassment appeared first on HEAVY.
What is the oldest Samsung device that still gets software updates in 2026?
Knowing how long your phone will get updates is important for deciding when to upgrade.
Spurs still without De'Aaron Fox
The two-time All-Star guard missed his second straight preseason game on Saturday night with a minor ailment.
What to like about Ohio State’s win over Maryland
Despite failing to cover the point spread, there still was a lot to like about Ohio State’s 45-16 win over Maryland on Saturday
Sunday football open thread
Rejoice, Spurs fans — Tottenham Hotspur are no longer bottom of the Premier League! …Okay, they’re still in the relegation zone and could fall behind Coventry City into 19th, but thanks to Fulham’s loss to Ipswich yesterday, Spurs are no longer the worst team in the Premier League! Isn’t that something worth celebrating? Well, maybe […]
Three years after October 7, Israeli reservists are still fighting to save their businesses
Hundreds of days in uniform have left self-employed reservists struggling with lost clients, stalled projects and businesses that can be difficult to restart. Three business owners describe the financial and personal toll of repeatedly leaving work to serve, and the support helping them prepare for the next call-up.
Who Were the Vikings? 21 Graves Weave a Tale of Hunters, Nomads and Sorceresses.
“The Sea-King and the Sorceress” examines the lives and deaths of the diverse people who called themselves Vikings.
Leclerc Points at Ferrari: “We Have Lost Pure Performance”
The Monegasque is not satisfied with third position in the Sprint qualifying in Singapore, assures that the SF-26 has lost competitiveness in the last races and that it is still not at the level of Verstappen and Russell over one lap.
Knicks champion Karl-Anthony Towns opens up about grief for World Mental Health Day
Knicks champion Karl-Anthony Towns is still grieving the loss of his mother six years ago to COVID-19.
Myles Garrett still unable to practice
Los Angeles Rams DE Myles Garrett still not close to returning
USWNT Gets a Measuring Stick Ahead of the World Cup
The USWNT is still finding its footing after falling to No. 1 Spain.
Two former starters remain out for Purdue football vs Minnesota
Not much has changed on Purdue football's injury report. It's still missing a full time starting lineman from last season and a key defensive back.
Knicks' Karl-Anthony Towns opens up about grieving his mother
Knicks champion Karl-Anthony Towns is still grieving the loss of his mother six years ago to COVID-19
Mystery surrounds young worker's death at Russia lab studying severe diseases
The World Health Organization says it still doesn't know what caused the death of a young worker at a Russian lab focused on plague and other illnesses
Mystery surrounds young worker's death at Russia lab studying severe diseases
The World Health Organization says it still doesn't know what caused the death of a young worker at a Russian lab focused on plague and other illnesses.
REO Town businesses forced to adapt amid economic slowdown
Small businesses in Lansing’s REO Town are adapting to economic challenges by shifting toward experiential services and receiving grants to attract customers, even as some local establishment…
Squadron 42 Storms Onto Steam With Surprisingly Low Minimum PC Requirements, but Fans Still Face a Wait Until Q2 2027
Cloud Imperium Games has opened Squadron 42's Steam page and released a new trailer, while some fans and content creators played the game.
How One Player's Downfall Has Hurt the Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers are still a force to be reckoned with, but one player who used to be great is now unplayable for them.
Jim Cramer Breaks Down the Complicated Story Behind CVS Health’s (CVS) Decline
During the October 6 episode of Mad Money, Jim Cramer examined whether CVS Health Corporation’s (NYSE:CVS) turnaround still has room to run after the stock’s sharp retreat from its summer highs. CVS ranked ninth among 10 stocks screened for a potential bear market. The criteria behind its inclusion offer another way to assess the turnaround […]
The Daily Mauling: 10/10/26
Links! The time for tonight’s game has changed to 7pm to beat the storms headed to the southwest This SI article says weather may still be a factor in the game Kansas basketball players give their thoughts on the return of Tre White and Melvin Council, Jr Hall of Famer Mike Ditka died Friday at […]
‘Primetime’ reveals the story behind ‘To Catch a Predator’
Lance Oppenheim’s A24 film goes behind the scenes of the sting house. FSU and TSC students react to Robert Pattinson’s Chris Hansen.
One 'Little Shop of Horrors' song still makes Ellen Greene cry
Ellen Greene can be reluctant to leave the house, so there needs to be a good reason. “Somewhere That’s Green” is an excellent one.
Three Keys To A Spartans Homecoming Win Over Illinois
Pat Fitzgerald still seeks his first Big Ten win as Illinois visits for homecoming Saturday. #GoGreen
In Small-Business Lending, AI Reads The Numbers But Bankers Still Make The Call
AI is starting to read small firms’ books and draft advice. For generative tools, federal guidance leaves the job of checking that advice to each bank.
Sales take a hit at ‘Trump Town’ merch store as shoppers voice frustration over president’s policies
Fans are still coming through the doors to buy Trump merchandise but even they are disappointed in some of the president’s moves.
A year after the ‘ceasefire’, Gaza’s healthcare is still collapsing
Continuing attacks, restrictions on medical aid and delayed evacuations are still killing Palestinians.
Terms limits could help to stem the divisiveness in American politics [letter]
Tom Tillett’s Oct. 3 LNP | LancasterOnline column on town hall meetings was right to the point (“Town halls have become a casualty of the Trump era’s divisive politics”).
Scientists planted 40,000 native seedlings in Yosemite's damaged Tuolumne Meadows; three years later, soil organic matter was improving, but the meadow was still losing more carbon than it gained
Scientists who planted 40,000 native sedge seedling to restore the damaged Tuolumne Meadows in California's Yosemite National Park, have found early signs of improvement after. The results, however, also show that restoring the meadow's soil and its ability to store carbon could take several decades.
Kenya prepared for Ebola. It still slipped through — a warning of wider cross-border spread
Kenya had spent months preparing for Ebola, one of the world’s deadliest viral diseases, screening hundreds of thousands of travelers and training nearly 5,000 health workers in case it crossed the borders.
Tottenham XI vs Manchester United – Predicted lineup and team news
Tottenham Hotspur go to Old Trafford on Saturday evening still waiting for a first Premier League win, with Roberto De Zerbi’s side bottom on two points.Spurs have won five and lost one of their las...
Why Sen. John Curtis says Utahns should care about global health
Sen. John Curtis said the U.S. still has a vested interest in promoting global health, even as the Trump administration has made public efforts to curb spending on programs like USAID and others.
Trump again says he should have won Nobel Peace Prize
President Donald Trump said the Nobel Peace Prize is “forever discredited” after the 2026 honor was awarded to human rights pioneer Navi Pillay, speaking to supporters at a rally in Syracuse, New York.
EAST TEXAS POLITICS: Smith County Clerk Karen Phillips, write-in candidate Terry Morrow discuss race
Smith County Clerk Karen Phillips (R) and write-in candidate Terry Morrow join Blake Holland on this week’s edition of East Texas Politics.
Wisconsin measles cases climb to 263, no source of outbreak confirmed
Wisconsin has reported the fourth-most measles cases in 2026, after Pennsylvania, South Carolina and Utah.
New CPT codes are expanding reimbursement for AI-powered CCTA tools
New codes for these technologies have made a world of difference for clinicians. Reimbursement for the use of AI is an area where cardiology is far ahead of most other healthcare specialties.
"There's still a pathway with Karl-Anthony Towns and …
"There's still a pathway with Karl-Anthony Towns and …
SMU Bowl Projections Raise Questions About Mustangs' Playoff Hopes
SMU football is projected for bowl games against Florida, Arizona and USC, but Kevin Jennings and the Mustangs still have a path toward the ACC title and playoffs.
Netflix’s Summer of Bummer
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) Today, I’ve got a guest post from longtime friend of the newsletter, Brandon Katz. I’ve been trying to find time all summer to look at Netflix’s straight-to-streaming film slate, but between a pre-planned trip and Nielsen moving up their streaming data timeline, I’ve been swamped. So I reached out to Brandon, one of my favorite fellow analysts, to write about it. And I feel like he captured the tone and data focus of the newsletter perfectly. You can connect with Brandon on LinkedIn and Twitter. Enjoy! Don’t worry, folks. You’re in safe hands with me. To ease any anxieties about an interloper in ESG’s domain, I’ll start by stealing one of his best framing devices: headlines. Box office flops are covered in the same way the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles eye pizza: with cartoonish insatiability. I would know. I’m a former reporter who wrote nearly identical headlines: Yet, intentionally or not, streaming misses get treated with kids gloves, filtered through a rosy lens: In the last six years, U.S. streaming viewership has become nearly as transparent as the box office, but the data often arrives weeks later, in a number of less intuitive metrics, and with nary an official budget to be found. This plays into the Wall Street-whispering narratives major streamers have been cultivating for years. They get a pass in a way that theatrical studios simply don’t. Subscribe Netflix’s Summer Slate Not a single Netflix original film released between May and August this year opened above 20 million U.S. TV hours, per Nielsen. That benchmark usually serves as the EntStrategyGuy’s floor for a streaming hit on Netflix. None of these films enjoyed a hit-cementing single week of 20-plus million hours during their runs. Netflix’s two best films were true crime docs, Maternal Instinct (16.5 million hours) and The Crash (19.7 million), the best overall week for a film this summer. Great for most other streamers, but not necessarily what we’re used to seeing from Netflix. For an overly-dramatic comparison, Happy Gilmore 2 opened last summer to around 47 million hours (celebrity cameos, baby!). Zooming out, the picture looks even worse. In 2026, Netflix’s five biggest scripted summer films posted the lowest average (28.6 million hours) and median (28.8 million hours) eight-week viewership totals of the past four years. Now, it’s unrealistic and unfair to expect Netflix to deliver a _KPop Demon Hunters-_sized hit every year. But it’s also not ideal to see the size of their hits shrinking over the last few summers. Let’s quickly run through some of the notable summer misses. Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein’s perfectly fine romcom, Office Romance, fell off the charts after 20 million hours in its first two weeks. Top films usually last for four-plus weeks. Starry titles ideally don’t decay that fast either. Homegrown star Millie Bobby Brown couldn’t prevent the snappy Enola Holmes franchise from diminishing returns. At 14.3 million U.S. hours, the third film posted roughly half of what the first two films did in their first two weeks. What’s on Netflix calculated that per-day global views were down nearly 60% from the second movie. The Whisper Man did okay with more than 36 million hours over its first four weeks. But I expected a little more juice from a film featuring Robert De Niro, Michelle Monaghan, and Adam Scott. Kevin Hart’s Ladies First collected just 11.2 million hours total across two weeks. That’s a big miss for one of Netflix’s go-to stars. Plopping into the same bucket are Sunny Sandler’s Don’t Say Good Luck (10.3 million in two weeks) and John Cena’s Little Brother (17.5 million). Meanwhile, English-language originals Color Book (June 19), In the Hand of Dante (June 24) and Heartstopper Forever (July 17) never sniffed Nielsen’s Top 10 at all, despite needing only 2 to 5 million hours to land in the top ten most weeks. (By my count, eleven English-language scripted original films released between May and August did chart). It’s only fair to mention that Swapped (1-May) posted nearly 42 million U.S. hours over five weeks (the longest Netflix original run this summer) and is currently their eighth most-watched English-language film ever worldwide. Remarkably Bright Creatures (37 million, 4 weeks) and Voicemails for Isabelle (27 million, 4 weeks) weren’t bombs either. Still, overall, I think it’s fair to say this was a quieter summer season than we’re used to seeing from the market-leader. You might not realize that given the language commonly used in public analysis. The Twist Despite the starkly black-and-white tone of the coverage, here’s the twist: when many box office bombs arrive on streaming, their viewership looks a whole lot like many of Netflix’s supposedly successful summer releases. Hmm, where have we heard that one before? Masters of the Universe topped out at $65 million stateside against a $170 million budget_._ I’ll admit, Skeletor ripping sleeveless curls as a gym bro and bodyslamming Adam’s co-workers was funny. But, much to the chagrin of my bank account, my laughter doesn’t launch franchises. Yet the He-Man reboot opened to 19.6 million hours (from a Wednesday five-day opening instead of just one weekend), on par with Hoppers on Disney+ (19.4 million). It put up nearly 47 million hours over its first six weeks, bigger than all of Netflix’s summer releases. Pretty darn healthy and likely to land among the 25 most-watched movies on streaming this year. Sticking with Amazon, The Sheep Detectives just barely broke even at the box office with $133 million worldwide (and only $66 million domestic). I never expected cloven-hooved, cud-chewing mammals to be able to bring me to tears. Yet that’s exactly how I found myself at the end of this surprisingly affecting movie (#NoShame). It was likely the unexpected quality in a family-friendly film that powered its streaming over-performance. Sheep Detectives delivered a solid run for Prime video netting 26.2 million hours! How about franchise IP? Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu had the lowest opening ($81 million) and lowest-grossing Disney-era live-action Star Wars film ($178 million domestic). One day before release, its Heat score (19.8%)—audiences who list their interest as a 7/7—fell behind blockbusters Wicked (21%), Superman (23%), Fantastic Four: First Steps (23%), Michael (23%), Toy Story 5 (26%) and Avatar: Fire and Ash (27%), according to Greenlight Analytics. The urgent enthusiasm just wasn’t there. On streaming, Mando opened to weeks of 12.1 million, 6.1 million and 2.7 million hours (21 million total) over its first three frames. Not the numbers Lucasfilm was hoping for nor the numbers of a streaming hit. But they’re in the same vicinity as some Netflix summer releases with $345 million at the global box office to offset a smidgen of the pain. Final Thoughts So why oh why does this nuance gap exist? Four key reasons: Data Literacy: A “$100 million opening” just makes sense. After decades of box office reporting, even casual movie fans are well-versed in the benchmarks of hits and home runs. There’s an immediate shorthand. But “16.5 million” hours doesn’t land nearly as cleanly. Despite leaps of progress, the streaming ratings era is still in its infancy compared to theatrical. The EntStrategyGuy and I met thanks to a late 2010s group chat of data nerds hungry to find a shred of certainty in nebulous streaming performance. I’m not surprised to see “No. 1 on Netflix” still getting misconstrued out in the wild. Timing: By Friday morning, we have the box office’s Thursday night previews totaled, allowing us to better project the weekend’s expectations. From there, ticket sales are reported daily. By Sunday, the film’s fate is usually finalized, at least in terms of public perception. In streaming, Nielsen recently improved its delay to…two weeks. The medium isn’t forced to contend with instant gratification as harshly. Financials: Theatrical film budgets are a mere Google away. Profit and loss is calculated in the cold and unforgiving naked light of day for all to see. But finding the vast majority of streaming exclusive movie budgets requires the forensic investigation skills of a Criminal Minds detective. Also, it’s very difficult to calculate how much revenue/value a straight-to-streaming films provides a streamer. This is why there are so few stories about streaming original movies “losing X amount of money”. On top of that, marketing budgets are far greater for theatrical movies than streaming exclusive movies, which leads to earlier and better awareness. This then translates to a wider pool of potential interest. Narrative Control: Netflix is the only major streaming service to publish weekly first-hand viewership data and annual engagement reports. Naturally, some headlines borrow their first-hand framing**.** Other streamers benefit from their comparative lack of transparency. They may occasionally announce vague performance platitudes such as Apple TV’s Mayday becoming its “biggest film debut on the platform to date over its first 18 days,” and that it ranked No. 1 with left-handed viewers in its first weekend. (Fine, I made up that second one). But, for the most part, they keep first-hand viewership shrouded in mystery to avoid bad press. Especially for outlets that demand multiple articles per day from their writers, it’s an easy (and understandable) way for some reporters to hit their daily article quota by just repeating what the streamers have told them. TL:DR version: Streaming-exclusive movies are asked to do different things than theatrical movies, but that doesn’t mean they should escape judgment. Both still need to draw enough eyeballs to justify their cost within the proper performance contexts. The more cleanly we can inject a little nuance into streaming analysis, the better we’ll understand the audience and content trends that drive this industry. And that’s what all of this is really about: knowing what audiences actually want! Brandon Katz is the Director of Insights & Content Strategy at Greenlight Analytics where he focuses on evaluating the ever-fluid media landscape to unearth understanding, opportunity and value. Greenlight Analytics is the entertainment intelligence consulting company redefining how Hollywood finds, understands, and activates audiences. Prior to joining Greenlight Analytics, he served as the senior entertainment industry strategist at Parrot Analytics, and as a full-time entertainment industry reporter covering the Xs and Os of Hollywood, most notably with TheWrap and the Observer.
Testing on animals draws backlash while scientists say it's still needed
Scientists say we still need to utilize animals to advance medical research, at least for now.
Mac Mini (M6) Review: Still Great, But A Tougher Sell
Price hikes have come for the Mac mini, and while it's still a great miniature computer for those who want one, the value proposition isn't quite as strong.
Gears of War: E-Day sells 230K copies
Gears of War: E-Day has sold 230K copies since its advance-access launch on October 1 and full release on October 6. Steam accounts for 168K of those, with Xbox (console and PC) selling 62K. But there’s more to this story, as Xbox makes up the bulk of revenue. E-Day is the best-reviewed Gears game in nearly two decades (and the best one ever made, in my opinion). The Coalition has made a banger here (it’s currently in my top 10 of the year). Despite E-Day’s undeniable quality, this is a soft result. And it’s down to the business model, really. E-Day has made $37M so far, thanks to the Premium upgrade On Xbox, Game Pass is cannibalising much of the premium revenue. Our estimates show that 1.7M folks accessed E-Day via their subscription rather than a copy. But Xbox is having it both ways – or having it halfway, at least – via its Premium Edition Game Pass upgrade. Game Pass subscribers could pay $30 (or their local equivalent) for up to five days of early access starting October 1. Our estimates show that of the 1.7M who accessed E-Day through Game Pass, 722K paid for the upgrade. Between the review embargo lifting on October 1 and the full release, E-Day managed to shift another 250K early-access upgrades – no doubt helped by the campaign’s rave reviews. So despite selling far fewer copies on Steam, Xbox accounts for almost three-quarters of the revenue (roughly $26M of the $37M, versus about $11M on Steam). So “230K copies” undersells the paying audience. Including the 722K upgrades, nearly 950K people actually paid something for E-Day. The $30 upgrade is a halfstep from cannibalisation, but will Xbox go all the way? While E-Day is a sublime game, these are soft numbers for a flagship when Xbox badly needs revenue wins. E-Day sold 62K copies on Xbox against 722K Premium upgrades, so for every one copy sold on Xbox, nearly 12 Game Pass upgrades were sold. The $70 premium SKU is – functionally – dead on Xbox. Normally you can’t see what a Game Pass player would have paid, because the game’s just there in the subscription. But the $30 early-access upgrade estimate shows that 722K people demonstrated they’ll spend real money on this game. In a world without day-one Game Pass, many of these folks would have bought E-Day at $70. They paid $30 for five days early access to something they don’t own. Xbox is, in effect, charging its most valuable customers the least, based on a hangover from a tried-and-exhausted strategy from a previous administration. Those 722K willing-to-pay players generated about $21.7M via the upgrade. If three quarters of this group – mostly US and European audiences – bought E-Day outright, that’s nearly $40M. Of course, Game Pass does bring in meaningful recurring revenue, and E-Day is adding value for hundreds of thousands of subscribers. However, Game Pass is no longer growing, so Xbox is at a crossroads. Xbox is reportedly looking to do a Netflix and bolt on an ad-supported tier to pad it further. But that will just set a new floor, and leadership keeps telling us the priority now is revenue growth, which is subscriber-speak for ARPU. Xbox has already pulled Call of Duty from day-one Game Pass after day-one inclusion hammered its sales, with new CoD titles now arriving on the service around a year late. We know that some Microsoft executives believe the service devalues games outright, and rumours (which Microsoft has dismissed so far, to be fair) suggest that day-one releases could be taken off Game Pass. Want more free estimates and insights in your inbox twice a week? Subscribe below! Subscribe When a game this well-reviewed does this softly on its home platform, the model – not the game – gets brought into question. What else E-Day’s early adopters have played (including this month so far) Looking at E-Day‘s players on Xbox, most have played the franchise before (86% have played Gears 5, 76% Gears 4), and every game on the crossover list is either a shooter or a title from an Xbox-owned studio (though Game Pass is inflating those numbers, of course, more on that later): As for what else Xbox’s E-Day players have played this month, the top three are Fortnite (16%), Roblox (7%), and Call of Duty (6%). Another 5% played Minecraft Dungeons II, which is also on Game Pass and launched a couple of days before Gears‘ advance-access date. Many Game Pass players are happy to check out most big new additions. Want more free estimates and insights in your inbox twice a week? Subscribe below! Subscribe Over on Steam, the top crossover games are also mostly shooters (slightly more PC-coded ones), including Space Marine 2, which was itself heavily inspired by Gears: Looking at what E-Day‘s Steam players are into this month shows who they are – as subscriptions don’t skew the data. The top three are Wardogs (13%), Deadlock (12%), and CS2 (10%), so you’ve got the restless shooter crowd checking out the new hotness. A little further down are Helldivers 2 and Space Marine 2, your co-op PVE shooter players who’ll feel right at home in Horde mode. Game Pass is skewing the playtime distribution on Xbox Looking at the playtime distribution in our platform, E-Day players on Steam are – relatively speaking – playing for longer: 54% of E-Day players on Xbox have played for five hours or less (versus 32% on Steam) 19% of Xbox players played for over 15 hours (versus 33% on Steam) 14% of Xbox players played for over 20 hours (22% on Steam) The absolute number of people playing for over 15, 20, and 50 hours is, of course, bigger on Xbox, thanks to the sheer volume of folks who came in through Game Pass (upgraders included). None of that is cause for alarm. Game Pass is the reason Xbox playtime skews lower, as when a game is free to try, people try it and bounce without putting in even an hour (17% under an hour on Xbox versus 6% on Steam). Want more free estimates and insights in your inbox twice a week? Subscribe below! Subscribe The subscription brings in tourists alongside the committed, dragging down the average even when the game is excellent (but also perhaps winning over the uninitiated). It’s standard across every subscription-included title, on PS Plus too. Forza Horizon 6, for instance, had 11% of its Xbox players bounce under an hour, versus just 2% on Steam. So, Xbox’s crossroads So there we have it. Gears of War: E-Day is an incredible game whose revenues have been stifled by subscription inclusion and exclusivity. It’s the best-reviewed entry in the series in fifteen-odd years, but it still turned into one of the year’s softer flagship launches, not because players didn’t want it, but because Xbox’s own storefront gave its most willing buyers a reason not to pay. Which leaves Xbox at a crossroads. Will it keep making Gears games when the financial returns are this thin and the margins this low? And if it does, does the next one arrive off Game Pass at day one – the way CoD now does, or even on PlayStation? I think it should. Alright, back to E-Day for me! The last word Reply to this email – or reach out here – if you have any feedback for the newsletter – or want to request a game for us to cover. [Alinea Analytics boasts the most accurate PC and console estimates in the business. Game makers use our platform to understand their audience, keep an eye on the competition, monitor sales trends, and spot new opportunities. We equip game studios and financial institutions with accurate data and the confidence to make smarter, data-driven decisions. Want to talk about all things games market data? We’d love to chat!]
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In reality, average monthly premium payment costs for enrollees rose 58% under Trump while marketplace sign-ups declined 5%, per KFF. Under Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it’s estimated 10 million more Americans will be uninsured by 2034. You get a check and you get a check and you get a check Trump’s long promised cash outs to his fans, from his days as a casino operator and gameshow host to his presidency. During the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the first Trump administration made the unprecedented move to put Trump’s name on checks that went out under the CARES Act (notably the $500 refund checks this time around don’t feature Trump’s name). Ever since, Trump’s been chasing that high. In his second term, Trump’s promised more stimulus that never arrived, like refund checks from DOGE cuts and tariffs, while he said at his party’s convention last month that he’d give out $5,000 checks to everyone if Republicans win in November. In reality, DOGE overstated its cost cutting and Trump’s government actually now spends more than former President Joe Biden’s, while Trump’s tariffs actually grew the trade deficit. His proposal for $5,000 checks would add about $1.2 trillion to the national debt. The problem is there’s no money to give. These $500 checks — plus $90 Medicare rebate checks also going out as well as $250 deposited this week in some Trump Accounts for kids courtesy Dell Technologies CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan — represent the closest Trump’s going to get to making good on his promise to deliver cash fast. And the checks seem especially targeted. Though the $500 checks went out to enrollees in one of 30 states that use the federal HealthCare dot gov marketplace, a Reuters review found 71% of the payments, or $339 million, went to enrollees in 13 states that have the most competitive elections for governor and U.S. Senate. Most Americans don’t buy it Could Trump bucks sway the election? An Economist-YouGov poll found 57% of U.S. adults doubt Trump will deliver on his promise for $5,000 checks, compared to 21% who do. “I’m waiting on my DOGE check and I’m still waiting on my tariff check,” one 2024 Trump voter who’s since turned on him told a recent focus group. “It felt like kind of trying to buy people’s votes, which honestly felt like in elementary when the class president was like, hey we’re going to take you to the water park if you vote for me. It’s like, I don’t think it works like that.” But for voters in swing states who got a check, it could still matter. One survey published in 2022 found receiving a physically personalized check in the mail during the pandemic was associated with a much greater self-reported likelihood of voting for Trump in 2020, and those gains mainly came from out partisans. The issue for Trump comes if these checks are mostly going to Obamacare enrollees whose premiums have gone up by more than just $500 since he took office and who view the money as something like a bribe before the election rather than an actual long-term solution to lowering household costs. Spending $500.50 per mailer would be absurd as a normal campaign expenditure, but since Trump’s checks and letter are a government rebate, his campaign and super PAC didn’t have to spend a dime and he got out his message regardless. If enough voters in key states are swayed by the one-time payment, it could prove to be the best $0 the Trump campaign spent. 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