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Why Gen Z Fashion Shoppers Are Flocking to Shoppable Livestream Shopping Events
The way young shoppers find, judge and buy clothes is being rebuilt in real time.
March of Dimes and the Arthur M. Blank Family Foundation launch partnership to advance maternal and infant mental health innovation
/PRNewswire/ -- March of Dimes, the nation's leading nonprofit fighting for the health of all moms and babies, today announced a partnership with the Arthur M....
Alaska gubernatorial forum puts healthcare at center stage
Medicaid enrollment, rural issues and mental health were among the topics discussed at an Alaska Hospital and Healthcare Association event.
The Business Case for Responsible AI: Enabling Growth by Going Beyond Compliance
Together with CMS, the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI), the Thomson Reuters Foundation and WBCSD members, we explored why Responsible AI governance is far more than a compliance requirement. It is a business imperative: enabling companies to deliver safe and secure AI-powered services, protect and strengthen workers’ skills and knowledge, maintain oversight of their operations
Jakirovic on team news, expectations and international break
Hull City boss Sergej Jakirovic has been speaking to the media before Saturday's Premier League game against Newcastle at St James' Park (kick-off 15:00 BST). Nobel Mendy will not feature because of concussion protocols, but "everything is fine" and he is "good". Matt Targett is a doubt after twisting his ankle.
Popular comic coming to Turlock theater. See the iconic character he made famous
He’s also appeared in TV shows and films, and leads a nonprofit called Laughter Heals.
Burna Boy to headline halftime at the NFL's first regular-season game in Paris
Burna Boy is set to headline the halftime show at the NFL's first regular-season game in Paris. The Grammy-winning Nigerian star will perform on October 25 when the Pittsburgh Steelers
They played for Celtic
The 27 year old Norwegian international Vidar Riseth was the first signing of the Jozef Venglos era at Celtic, after the club sanctioned a fee of £1.5 million to sign the player from Austrian side AS...
Vokes returns to Wycombe in coaching role
Former Wales international Sam Vokes returns to Wycombe Wanderers as a coach.
Alation CEO Warns That Smarter AI Agents Can Still Get Your Business Wrong
Alation CEO Satyen Sangani bets AIOS can make enterprise AI agents more reliable through independent data governance as Snowflake and Databricks expand competing tools.
Can researchers trust that AI models won’t leak their ideas?
Research funders are asking how they can stop confidential scientific ideas in grant proposals from leaking out through large language models (LLMs), for example if reviewers use AI to help them judge applications. Last week, a row erupted in mathematics after OpenAI announced it had solved a notoriously difficult problem, only for another mathematician to demand answers over whether the company had used ideas he had fed into its models. The spat, and the broader issue of idea leakage through AI models, was discussed by funders at an R&D policy conference held in Paris on September 14. At worst, it threatens to undermine the correct attribution of breakthroughs, one of the foundations of modern science. The mathematics dispute around OpenAI is “certainly something we're looking at” Jason Gallo, head of the newly established Office of Metascience at the US National Science Foundation (NSF), told the Blue Sky Forum, hosted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The controversy started on September 8, when OpenAI announced it had cracked a mathematical problem that had gone unsolved for 90 years. Using a swarm of AI agents, millions of dollars’ worth of computing power and a new internal model, the company said it had finally proved that a long-used formula for modelling fluid dynamics breaks down under certain conditions. However, Tristan Buckmaster, a New York University mathematician who had been independently working with collaborators on the same problem using OpenAI’s Codex tool, hit back with a statement questioning whether the company had snooped on his Codex sessions to gain an advantage. OpenAI has always denied it looked up the “specific user data” of Buckmaster and colleagues. However, the company initially admitted that “while unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models,” although its proofs “differ significantly” from Buckmaster’s. The firm later said that, following an investigation, it concluded that Buckmaster’s Codex prompts “could not have influenced the [OpenAI] system in any way, including through training.”Funder concernYet OpenAI’s initial admission that its model might have ingested Buckmaster’s ideas, then spat them out to its own mathematicians, has scientistsworriedthat their work could leak out if shared with AI. Some AI tools give users an opt-out option to stop their sessions from training the model. If such guarantees can be trusted, this gives scientists some confidence they can use an LLM to develop an idea without the risk of it leaking out.But there’s a bigger potential vulnerability. To win money to investigate ideas, scientists have to share them with funding bodies. These grant proposals are normally kept strictly confidential, to prevent other scientists from scooping them, or to protect commercially valuable intellectual property. To preserve this confidentiality, when the NSF uses AI models, “we have to be sure that it's not making server calls out to an external party, leaking that data,” said Gallo to delegates in Paris. Leaks through reviewersHowever, funders normally use external academic reviewers to assess proposals. And there are growing worries that these reviewers are feeding grant ideas into AI models to help them make a judgement. Research funders have noticed that peer review reports and funding recommendations have “suddenly become much longer, more detailed and complex,” said Diogo Machado, head of the data science unit at Technopolis, a science and technology-focused consultancy. “The sense is that reviewers are increasingly using generative AI in their review work, even where guidelines sometimes forbid it,” he told Science|Business. “This is very difficult for funders to control or prove.” Happening at scaleThis sharing of confidential proposals with AI models is “happening at scale already,” said James Wilson, executive director of the Research on Research Institute, based at University College London, during the debate in Paris. In response, Gallo said the NSF had “strict guidance” around the uploading of proposals to AI models. But he added the NSF was mulling new types of assessment to make sure applicants were truly the originators of their ideas, such as following a short-form proposal with an oral presentation, which would allow the foundation to “really interrogate the investigator on their intellectual contribution.” Related articlesHow can Europe cope with a flood of AI-assisted research grant proposals?The risks and benefits of AI in screening research grant proposals Viewpoint: AI could make scientific overload worse“For us as funders, a lot of the ways to ensure that the application remains the applicant's own intellectual contribution, those ways are quite regressive,” Peter Clifford, head of strategy at Research Ireland, told delegates. “They're maybe ten or 15 or 20 years old, and they don't scale particularly well.” Disputes over the origin of ideas are as old as modern science. Isaac Newton and Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz spent more than a decade arguing over who invented calculus, for example. And long before LLMs emerged, academics would agonise over how much of their early work to reveal at conferences, in case their colleagues scooped them, Jack Leahy, a senior metascience advisor to the UK government, told delegates. But AI was “accelerating” the “problems of the system,” he said.
Canada looks to deepen research and education links with the EU
Canada is looking for deeper research and education links with the EU, according to its prime minister, Mark Carney. His comments followed hard on the heels of an offer from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to give his nation associate membership of the EU, a status that currently has no legal status or definition. Both sides have yet to detail how this newfound political enthusiasm will translate into concrete action.Addressing the European Parliament on September 17, Carney cited both the Horizon Europe research and innovation programme and the Erasmus+ student mobility scheme as areas for future collaboration.Association with the next iteration of Horizon Europe “would allow us to pool resources, cooperate on frontier technology, leverage our world-class research institutes and universities,” he told MEPs. Canada joined the present programme in 2024, but only takes part in Pillar 2, which supports collaborative research projects. Carney also said that young people should be allowed to work, study and live where they want, on either side of the Atlantic. “Canadian membership of Erasmus+ would give your students and ours more opportunity to learn at some of the world’s top universities, to broaden their horizon and to build those lasting ties that will sustain our alliance,” he said.Limited exchanges with Canada are already possible, for example in the Erasmus Mundus strand of the scheme, which supports joint master’s programmes. This would be considerably increased if the country became a full associate member, a club currently limited to nations neighbouring the EU.Most favoured nation?As for the offer of associate membership of the EU, the aim would be to build “an alliance for the future to create a common prosperity and economic security base,” von der Leyen said during her state of the European Union address, also in the European Parliament in Strasbourg, on September 16.“We will work on intelligent manufacturing,” she went on. “We will create a tech alliance. We will integrate defence industrial bases. We will make the Arctic a flagship joint project. We will work on energy-critical minerals and batteries, on [artificial intelligence], quantum, cyber and economic security.”Mona Nemer, Canada’s chief science advisor, told Science|Business that the political speeches by Carney and Von der Leyen will open the door to even more scientific cooperation between Canada and the EU. She even attributed the broader political partnership to the scientific diplomacy of Horizon Europe association. “The science and research collaborations have predated this political rapprochement,” she said.While she is not part of the government decision-making process, Nemer thinks Carney’s speech in the European Parliament is more than “political posturing” and the Canadian government is likely to come up with more practical ideas for how to boost collaboration in the near future. “The prime minister mentioned Horizon [Europe] and Erasmus+, maybe there is something more concrete around this,” she said.She went on to suggest that Canada and Europe could also work more closely together on setting international standards for emerging technologies, AI safety, data sovereignty and joint research infrastructures, such as particle accelerators and marine research fleets.Nemer confirmed that science cooperation will be on the agenda at an upcoming EU-Canada summit in October. She met recently with EU ambassadors to Canada to "see where the possibilities are, to signal that there is interest."Room for expansionLike other countries outside Europe that are associated to Horizon Europe, such as South Korea, Australia or Japan, Canada is not allowed to host European Research Council (ERC) grantees. However, Canadian universities hint they would like re-open that discussion. “Canada’s participation in Horizon Europe, the world's largest research funding programme, has been a big success,” said Robert Asselin, the chief executive of U15 Canada, an umbrella body for some of the country’s biggest research universities, in a statement. “Ensuring swift re-association to the next research programme, will be vital to maintain this momentum. We would welcome efforts to explore further opportunities to collaborate with European partners, such as through the European Research Council,” he said. Related articlesHow a new multilateral defence bank could boost innovationEurope’s independence hinges on innovation, von der Leyen saysBut so far, there are no details from the Commission on how von der Leyen’s proposal would boost Canadian access to the ERC or other sensitive research calls in Horizon Europe. And it is unclear how other non-European associated countries, such as New Zealand or Australia, would react if Canada was given better access than them. The same questions may arise closer to home. “How would a new category of associate member of the EU differ from Norway’s participation in EU programmes through the European Economic Area?” asked Jan Palmowski, secretary general of the Guild of European Research-Intensive Universities. “And how does this proposal for Canada change discussion for the UK, Norway and Switzerland for the next Multiannual Financial Framework?”Another area for discussion is how far Canadian organisations can participate in sensitive projects. “I would expect some of the most crucial issues at hand to be whether Canada can participate more closely and predictably in calls that are deemed sensitive on research security or EU preference grounds, on critical technologies, for instance,” Palmowski said. Canada’s participation in other parts of Horizon Europe, as well as the European Competitiveness Fund, might also be discussed, he added.Whatever the details, closer cooperation between the EU and Canada represents a “substantial” opportunity, according to Mattias Björnmalm, secretary general of the Cesaer university group. “Scientific excellence depends on talented people being able to work together, exchange knowledge and access complementary expertise and infrastructure,” he said. “A closer EU-Canada partnership would strengthen these conditions and provide greater certainty for long-term collaboration.”
Man and Woman Accused of Stealing Gold from Wiscasset Business
A man and woman from New York allegedly stole gold from a Wiscasset business as part of an international theft ring.
Paso Robles takes another step to expand cannabis business in the city
The City Council took other steps to further expand cannabis business in the city.
Koumas 'a good stylistic match' for an Iraola team
Liverpool.com journalist Matt Addison has said young forward Lewis Koumas "certainly made the most" of his opportunity to start Tuesday's Carabao Cup win over Tottenham. The 20-year-old played 86 minutes, was relentless in leading the press from the front, and was denied a goal by a fine save from Spurs goalkeeper Martin Dubravka. "I thought he was excellent," Addison told BBC Radio Merseyside.
Sheff Utd's Kitching earns first international call
Sheffield United defender Liam Kitching earns his first senior international call-up for the Republic of Ireland's Nations League campaign.
Riverfront hotel closes for renovations just before Louder Than Life, Bourbon & Beyond
Sheraton Louisville Riverside Hotel closes ahead of Louder Than Life and Bourbon & Beyond festivals, forcing tens of thousands of attendees to seek alternative accommodations.
Benson, James offer differing plans on tariffs, data centers, health care at Detroit Economic Club
The two major party candidates for Michigan governor answered questions before the Detroit Economic Club Wednesday. As Russ McNamara reports, Republican John James and Democrat Jocelyn Benson had differing visions of governance.
What Will Trump Pick Mean For World Food Programme And Humanitarians?
Is the World Food Programme getting Luke Lindberg, “America First” Trump appointee, or Luke Lindberg, rookie international civil servant and impartial
SPC, FilmNation Flocked the NY Film & Entertainment Soccer Tournament
Filmmakers and executives flocked the NY Film and Entertainment Soccer Tournament which raised $15,000 for charities.
🚨 Morocco: Mohamed Ouahbi's squad, with some new faces!
With some new faces!Morocco coach Mohamed Ouahbi has just unveiled this Thursday at midday his list of players called up for the September-October international break.It is the first post-World Cup ca...
Why EFL matches get postponed for international call-ups
BBC Sport's Ask Me Anything team explains why some League One and League two matches get postponed due to international call-ups.
Netflix content chief Bela Bajaria defines event strategy as streamer eyes more live sports
Bajaria said Netflix would be open to a package of international NFL games if one becomes available when the league renegotiates its media rights agreements.
James Milner returns to Liverpool to help coach academy players
James Milner has returned to Liverpool to take his first step into coaching, according to The Athletic.The former England international has joined Liverpool’s academy to temporarily help coaches wor...
Jim Alexander: Will - or can - Congress actually ‘protect' college sports?
If you watch ESPN's "College Game Day" - and if you do, you're way more tolerant of self-serving idi...
New platform launched to help stroke survivors and families “understand the science shaping stroke care”
The European Stroke Organisation (ESO)—in partnership with the Survivors Honouring Inclusion, Networking and Empowerment (SHINE) Global Stroke Collaboration—today announced the launch of Stroke Insights, a new online platform designed to translate complex stroke science into clear, trusted and practical information, ensuring stroke survivors and their families can navigate the latest medical research in a more […]
HSCC backs healthcare cybersecurity bills, calls for broader funding and stronger HHS-CISA coordination
HSCC backs healthcare cybersecurity bills, calls for broader funding and stronger HHS-CISA coordination across healthcare sector.
Austrian bank Raiffeisen’s Russia business is ‘very active,’ Grizzly CEO says after short-seller report
Siegfried Eggert, CEO of Grizzly Research, discusses the short seller’s report on Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI), which alleges that the bank was involved in activity that helped evade sanctions. A spokesperson from RBI told CNBC: “We stand by the strength of our compliance systems, which have been reviewed many times - both prior to and since the start of the full scale invasion." They added that there are "a number of factual wrong and misleading statements.”
Property tax cut could cost Miami’s public hospital $64M. What it means for care
If Amendment 3 passes, Jackson Health — which already operates on a low margin — will have to figure out a way to continue its mission.
Whatley campaign event featured sex offender + Ruling allows weaker NC governor
A panel of the Court of Appeals ruled 2-1 against Stein.
‘The secret is finally out’: Upstate teams weigh in on national sports recognition
The Upstate is getting national recognition for its minor league sports scene, with Greenville-Spartanburg named the No. 1 minor league market in the country by Sports Business Journal.
Germany's Nations League squads
Germany coach Jürgen Klopp has announced two squads for his first four matches in charge in the Nations League. Squad one for the games in the Netherlands on September 24 and against Greece on September 27: Goalkeepers: Finn Dahmen (Augsburg), Alexander Nübel (Besiktas), Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) Defenders: Hennes Behrens (Augsburg), Yann Aurel Bisseck (Inter Milan), Nathaniel Brown (Bayern Munich), Max Rosenfelder (Freiburg), Nico Schlotterbeck (Borussia Dortmund), Jonathan Tah (Bayern Munic
Emily McBride on Maternal Mental Health and the Lindsay Clancy Trial
Fiction writer Emily McBride joins co-hosts V.V. Ganeshananthan and Whitney Terrell to discuss her debut novel, Queen Mab, and maternal mental health. McBride talks about the media frenzy around th…
Henderson 'gets the best out of us'
Crystal Palace midfielder Adam Wharton has said goalkeeper Dean Henderson signing a new deal is "great news for the club". Henderson, 29, has made 119 appearances since arriving at Selhurst Park from Manchester United in August 2023 and signed a new deal with the club until 2030 on Wednesday. Wharton has won the FA Cup, Conference League and Community Shield alongside his fellow England international since his own arrival in the winter of 2024, and has praised the Palace captain's presence in the dressing room.
Short-seller puts spotlight back on Raiffeisen's ties to Russia
Austria's Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI) is facing renewed scrutiny as the biggest Western bank still operating in Russia, after a short-seller alleged it was a key channel enabling more than $1 billion of Russian trade to circumvent sanctions.
Regents OK first Augusta University undergrad degree in public health
Augusta University's School of Public Health has announced its very first undergraduate program, designed to give students a foundation on which to build careers in health sciences.
Ohio Chamber sues healthcare giant, accusing it of deceit, misinformation
The Ohio Chamber of Commerce has sued UnitedHealth. It says the giant was to provide administrative services, but poached clients instead.
2. Bundesliga Preview: Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
Nürnberg will hope to bolster their promotion hopes with three points from Karlsruhe just before the extended international break. The visitors have only dropped points once this season – the 2-2 d...
GLE partners with ACOLAP in Latin America
Strategic collaboration brings Global Leisure & Entertainment's international development expertise closer to a region with significant potential for the next generation of leisure and entertainment destinations
Brookfield to invest up to $600 million in India's ACME green fuels business
US alternative asset manager Brookfield will invest up to $600 million in India's ACME Cleantech Ventures to help the company develop and build green ammonia and green methanol projects, the companies said on Thursday.
Ohio voters are mad as hell, but will they actually hold any politicians accountable in November?
Before it turned reliably red, Ohio was considered a bellwether for national politics. In every presidential election since 1964, the candidate who won Ohio, went on to win the White House. “As Ohio goes, so goes the nation,” was the old saying. We were the quintessential battleground state until we weren’t. That streak ended in […]
Bayern's Hoeness: Kane must win Ballon d'Or
Bayern Munich honorary president Uli Hoeness believes Harry Kane should be the clear choice for this year's Ballon d'Or. "He would absolutely deserve it.
Denver board faces ongoing governance and civility issues
It’s mostly impossible to herd cats. So imagine how hard it is to herd a pride of snarling lions. That’s the task of Xóchitl Gaytán, president of the Denver Public Schools Board of Education. She was re-elected in 2025 along with three new board members: Monica Hunter, Dr. D.J. Torres and Anne Klein Molk. Unexpectedly, […]
Unaffiliated voters’ political power depends on where they live
An election doesn’t have to change party control to change how a party can govern.
Bills Get Good News on Starting Linebacker After Injury Scare
The Buffalo Bills cleared linebacker Terrel Bernard to play against the Detroit Lions. The post Bills Get Good News on Starting Linebacker After Injury Scare appeared first on HEAVY.
Team effort puts Galo trio top of the scoring charts
Galo has three of its main attacking players at the top of the scoring charts this season. And on the night Atlético needed its forwards the most, Cuello, Reinier, and Bernard stepped up to score the...
Military blast exposure associated with long-term health conditions
Exposure to high-level blasts from incoming explosive devices or land mines among military veterans is associated with an increased risk of several conditions such as seizures, neuropathy and stroke years later, according to a study published September 16, 2026, in Neurology, the medical journal of the American Academy of Neurology.
Wynne business rebounds three years after tornado
Wynne’s high school is not the only one recovering from the tornado three years ago. Local businesses are also coming back.
Wynne business rebounds three years after tornado
The Cordial Cottage was destroyed in the tornado but now has a new home, along with other businesses on Murray Avenue, about a mile and a half from its original location on Falls Boulevard.
Logan Henderson celebrated the clinch responsibly with a start looming
Logan Henderson enjoyed celebrating the Brewers' Central Division clinch, but not too much as he had to prepare for Wednesday's start vs. the Pirates.
Louisville Kings celebrate UFL title: 'The party's just getting started'
The Louisville Kings returned to Lynn Family Stadium to celebrate their UFL championship. "The party's just getting started," coach Chris Redman said.
🚨 Line-ups confirmed for Bogotá v Nacional
Internacional de Bogotá hosts Atlético Nacional for Matchday 13 of the Dimayor League, a clash the Verdolagas will be looking to win as they chase América de Cali for the top spot.For this match, C...
Study looking into solutions for maternal mental health shortfalls in Nebraska
A recent report shows Nebraska is behind on providing mental health support for new mothers. A study is now looking into what’s behind the problem.
Energy rebate checks fuel debates over politics and policy
Republican candidate Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman called the checks “peanuts” this week.
Energy rebate checks fuel debates over politics and policy
Republican candidate Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman called the checks “peanuts” this week.
10 Years, 10 Milestones: A Decade of Peer Recovery at RWJBarnabas Health
The RWJBarnabas Health Institute for Prevention and Recovery celebrates 10 years of its Peer Recovery Program with a lookback at the last decade of transforming substance use disorder care and services for patients across the RWJBarnabas Health system.
Carrick accepts blame for Manchester United's League Cup exit
Michael Carrick took responsibility for Manchester United's embarrassing League Cup collapse to Brighton and demanded a reaction after his side were booed off the pitch at Old Trafford. An evening that began with teenager Shea Lacey marking his first senior start with a dream goal and Mason Mount adding a second in the 10th minute ended in furious fans unloading at full-time.
Nonprofit helps clients rebuild wardrobes after health changes
Whether it’s a health journey or any other life change, Hernandez said the closet is free.
Brighton Complete Historic Comeback Against Manchester United
Pascal Groß sparked a stunning Old Trafford revival before Maxim De Cuyper sealed a legendary turnaround, ending a 48-year wait for a two-goal comeback against the Red Devils.
AMS Science Preview: High-Res Global Forecasting, Tornado Emergencies
Recent research in AMS journals spotlights tornado emergencies, kilometer-scale global weather forecasting, a new normal for polar sea ice, links between Tibetan snow cover and intense tropical…
Trio of powerful DeSantis appointments will face voters for the first time
Florida voters will decide in November whether to elected three powerful politicians appointed to their positions by Gov. Ron DeSantis.
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
Local business owner branches out from the savory side of life with new sweets food truck
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Trump administration has cut or frozen $177 billion in grants across every state, analysis shows
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Bendon continues strategic expansion; acquires Hinkler's North American business
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SPX Technologies acquires Fresno-based FIS Water for $410M
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Lobbying Update: $17,000 of SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION lobbying was just disclosed
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Discussion Panel Tackles Science, Democracy & Climate at NYC Climate Week
Cross-disciplinary panel discussion will explore the interplay between scientific consensus, democratic governance, and the climate crisis.
Discussion Panel Tackles Science, Democracy & Climate at NYC Climate Week
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Did Eagles violate NFL injury report rules with Landon Dickerson?
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The Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport is targeting the end of October to complete its transition from city-parish governance to a stand-alone airport authority. That’s according to Louis Hubbard I… Already an INSIDER? Sign in. Already an INSIDER? Sign in
Man Utd need positive end to week
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Spurwink opens Lewiston crisis center to offer 24/7 behavioral health services
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WTA Finals Moving to an NBA Arena Next Year as Tennis Tour Seeks 'Super Bowl for Women’s Sports'
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Like to drink outdoors? Where Sacramento will put new ‘entertainment zones’
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