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Results for " Election " 5,247 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Indiana Fever fans react to 2026 WNBA Draft haul

Following the completion of the 2026 WNBA Draft, here are some of the most notable social media reactions to the Indiana Fever's three selections.

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Apr 15 • 5:46 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Democrats aim to keep their special election gains going: From the Politics Desk

Plus, Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales officially resign.

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Apr 14 • 5:10 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
How Canada’s Carney Used His Political Savvy to Win a Majority

In six months, the prime minister orchestrated the defection of five lawmakers to his side and won a special election.

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Apr 14 • 5:06 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com
Spanberger's 'unconstitutional' push to redefine presidential elections makes voters 'NULL AND VOID': critics

Virginia joins the national popular vote compact as Gov. Spanberger signs bill awarding electoral votes to the national popular vote winner.

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Apr 14 • 4:32 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Macon County election supervisor, four others, charged with health-fraud conspiracy
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Apr 14 • 2:04 PM EDT • Health • 13wmaz.com
Louisiana political donors would have addresses redacted from public reports under bill

The Louisiana Legislature might block the public from seeing the addresses of political donors who give money to election campaigns starting Aug. 1.

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Apr 14 • 1:41 PM EDT • Politics • lailluminator.com
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore falls short in bid to redraw congressional map to boost Democrats

A proposal for a new Maryland congressional map has officially died with the conclusion of the state's legislative session.

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Apr 14 • 1:34 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Democrats line up to run in Virginia congressional districts, even before voters approve them

Virginia voters are set to decide next week on a Democratic-drawn redistricting plan that could boost the party's chances in the U.S. House | TALK 980am

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Apr 14 • 1:03 PM EDT • Politics • audacy.com
Young voters shun Trump, plan to vote blue in midterms, poll says

With the midterm primary season underway, a new national poll is measuring how the nation's youngest voters feel about Trump and the November election.

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Apr 14 • 12:07 PM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (14%)
wow
64%
love
36%
Postal Service union launches ad campaign promoting mail voting as Trump seeks to limit it

The 30-second message features a variety of voters, among them a busy farmer and a flight attendant, explaining why they cast their ballots by mail.

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Apr 14 • 12:05 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
WNBA draft picks are about to get paid like never before: 'It's an incredible time'

This year’s top draft pick is projected to earn $500,000, six times the $78,000 last year’s No. 1 selection was paid.

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Apr 14 • 9:38 AM EDT • Sports • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Get Money Out of Politics

Individuals and corporations alike can spend infinite sums of money to influence elections and push candidates that will support and – at the very least –

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Apr 14 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • counterpunch.org
Orbán’s Election Defeat Resonates in Washington, Tel Aviv

Vance praised Orbán’s 16-year tenure as “transformational,” portraying him as a key ally who challenged European Union policies.

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Apr 14 • 4:19 AM EDT • Politics • politicstoday.org
Trump and MAGA Embraced Orban. Now, They’re Worried by His Loss in Hungary’s Election.

Viktor Orban, the Hungarian prime minister, and his right-wing playbook were embraced by parts of the American right. Now some are worried by his defeat.

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Apr 13 • 8:56 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
UCLA makes WNBA draft history with record number of selections

Entering Monday night, UCLA had only produced six first-round draft picks since 1997. The program nearly matched that at the 2026 WNBA Draft alone.

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Apr 13 • 8:48 PM EDT • Sports • usatoday.com
Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales of Texas says he will retire after admitting to affair with staffer

Gonzales had already said he would not seek reelection after admitting to an affair with a staff member who later died by suicide.

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Apr 13 • 7:30 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
What’s behind Viktor Orban’s defeat in Hungary’s election?
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Apr 13 • 5:58 PM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Lone Star Politics: April 12, 2026

Texas Senators consider social media ban for children. Plus, we take a deep dive into one of the largest bond elections in the history of the state. NBC 5’s Phil Prazan and Gromer Jeffers with The Dallas Morning News bring you the latest in Texas politics.

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Apr 13 • 3:28 PM EDT • Politics • nbcdfw.com
Decades-old Idaho campaign finance laws remain on the books. Why reforms failed

“If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. And I can tell you, nothing’s broke with people raising money,” said Nampa Republican Rep. Brent Crane.

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Apr 13 • 3:19 PM EDT • Politics • idahostatesman.com
White House says it’s boosting affordability through physician reforms

A new report distills the Trump administration’s strategy as officials jockey to shape health care messages ahead of this year’s midterm elections.

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Apr 13 • 11:50 AM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
Democrat-Leaning Plan Takes Aim At Health Insurers With Proposed New Regulations

Healthcare initiatives being proposed like Patients' Bill of Rights offer a roadmap for Democrats’ priorities, with midterms looming and a presidential election in 2028.

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Apr 13 • 10:24 AM EDT • Health • forbes.com
How Orban Lost His Touch, and Hungary’s Election

The election defeat for Prime Minister Viktor Orban is less the result of an ideological shift in Hungary, and more the playing out of a fundamental rule of politics.

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Apr 13 • 10:22 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Who is Peter Magyar, Hungary’s new leader who trounced Viktor Orban?

Magyar's centre-right Tisza Party has won a two-thirds majority in Hungary's parliamentary elections.

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Apr 13 • 6:55 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Early voting begins this week. What positions are on the ballot?

Shelby County will effectively have a new set of elected officials after the election; many current representatives are term-limited or seeking other offices.

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Apr 13 • 6:02 AM EDT • Politics • commercialappeal.com
Sam Wang, Politician-in-Training

The neuroscientist went from analyzing elections to running for Congress. But can this rookie win over New Jersey locals—and Trump voters?

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • newyorker.com
New law may delay Knoxville elections a year. What do candidates think?

A bill in the Tennessee legislature would force some officeholders to stay in office a fifth year and others to wait their turn.

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Apr 13 • 5:06 AM EDT • Politics • knoxnews.com
As Iran war drags on, midterm forecasts for Republicans get even worse

The GOP was already bracing for a tough election, but with the ceasefire in doubt, gas prices are likely to stay high, and voters’ economic outlook is dismal.

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Apr 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
How the AI and crypto industries are pouring tens of millions of dollars into elections

An analysis of campaign finance reports shows the web of super PACs backing — and going negative — on candidates with funds from big-name executives and companies.

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Apr 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Key Test Looms for South Africa’s Coalition, New DA Leader Warns

The new leader of South Africa’s second-biggest political party expects the stability of the nation’s coalition government to be put to the test when its larger rival holds internal elections next year.

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Apr 13 • 4:55 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Election loss for Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán has ripple effects for Trump, US conservatives

The big election over the weekend was in a small European country nearly half a world away from Washington, but the defeat of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has significant reverberations in the United States

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Apr 13 • 12:08 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Election loss for Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán has ripple effects for Trump, US conservatives

The big election over the weekend was in a small European country nearly half a world away from Washington, but the defeat of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has significant reverberations in the United States.

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Apr 13 • 12:07 AM EDT • Politics • news4jax.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
Hungary's Election Sends a Jolting Message

The Hungarian election was a setback for MAGA. But the winner’s campaign should be a wake-up call for Trump’s opponents.

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Apr 13 • 12:01 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Trump attacks Pope Leo, taking credit for his election as bishop of Rome

President Trump wrote that Pope Leo XIV, the first U.S.-born pontiff, was “weak” and “terrible” on crime and foreign policy. Leo has criticized the Iran war.

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Apr 12 • 10:46 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Laura Gersony on the SRP election and Turning Point's impact

Arizona Republic reporter Laura Gersony joins us to talk about the SRP election, and why it was a loss for Turning Point USA. Then Dennis and Colin talk about the President’s threat to end a civilization and Melania Trump's Epstein-focused press conference.

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Apr 12 • 7:50 PM EDT • Politics • azfamily.com
Leah Halton-Pope named Democratic candidate for 141st Assembly District

It comes after Crystal Peoples-Stokes announced this past week she would not seek reelection.

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Apr 12 • 6:29 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Hungary Has Ousted an Autocrat

Viktor Orbán had support from Moscow and Washington, but not from his own people.

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Apr 12 • 5:53 PM EDT • Politics • theatlantic.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (4%)
wow
53%
love
47%
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán ousted after 'painful' election result, ending 16 years in power

Hungarian voters on Sunday ousted long-serving Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power, rejecting the authoritarian policies and global far-right movement that he embodied in favor of a pro-European challenger.

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Apr 12 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán concedes defeat after 'painful' election result, ending 16 years in power

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat on Sunday after what he called a ″painful″ election result, ending 16 years in power.

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Apr 12 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Polling stations close in pivotal Hungary election that could unseat long-time Prime Minister Orbán

Hungarians cast ballots Sunday in Europe's most consequential election this year, setting a record turnout in a vote that could unseat populist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power.

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Apr 12 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Early results in Hungary's election show opposition party leading and Prime Minister Orbán's trailing

Hungarians cast ballots Sunday in Europe's most consequential election this year, setting a record turnout in a vote that could unseat populist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power.

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Apr 12 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Polls close in high-stakes Hungarian election as Magyar seeks to oust Orbán

Polls closed with a record-high turnout in Hungary’s crucial general election, with a freshly released survey suggesting Péter Magyar’s insurgent opposition is set to beat...

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Apr 12 • 1:13 PM EDT • Politics • tvpworld.com
Scottish election 2026: Party leaders to go head-to-head in debate

The leaders of six political parties face questions from a live studio audience at Paisley Town Hall.

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Apr 12 • 12:35 PM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
Close of polls nears in Hungary's most crucial election in decades

As record numbers of Hungarians head to the polls, the EU is preparing for two scenarios: continued obstruction under Orbán or a victory for Magyar that could reset relations, though Brussels remains cautious about both.

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Apr 12 • 10:58 AM EDT • Politics • euronews.com
Hacking women's political underrepresentation, Dutch-style

Some 504 women were elected in recent Dutch local elections, with a "Vote for a Woman" campaign boosting their chances to gather preferential votes. Despite the record figure, women remain underrepresented.

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Apr 12 • 9:59 AM EDT • Politics • dw.com
Cuban leader does not commit to releasing political prisoners amid U.S. demands

In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel is asked whether he is willing to commit to meeting key U.S. demands, including releasing political prisoners and scheduling multi-party elections.

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Apr 12 • 8:13 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Fractured politics, security fears shape Peru’s presidential election

Despite cycling through 8 presidents in 10 years, Peru remains Andean economic outlier | Anadolu

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Apr 12 • 7:27 AM EDT • Politics • aa.com.tr
Key South African Coalition Member Gets New Leader as Vote Looms

The second-biggest political party in South Africa’s ruling coalition appointed a new leader as it gears up to contest municipal elections that look set to reshape the country’s political landscape.

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Apr 12 • 7:11 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Maria Elvira Salazar raises nearly $1M in three months as she gears up for re-election

The South Florida Republican is running for a fourth term in a battleground district.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Former ‘Citgo 6’ political prisoner sees ‘karma’ in Maduro ouster, but Venezuelan oil won’t rebound until there’s true regime change

Former 'Citgo Six' captive sees democratic elections as the only way to build international business trust in Venezuela again.

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Apr 12 • 3:03 AM EDT • Politics • fortune.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (6%)
wow
54%
ahah
46%
Hungarians head to polls in crucial election

Pollsters predict a record turnout as EU future is likely at stake.

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Apr 12 • 2:28 AM EDT • Politics • tvpworld.com
Reform’s Startup Culture Raises Risks Ahead of Local Elections

Earlier this year, as Reform UK official Shaun Wilkinson was shortlisting candidates for May’s local elections, he watched in astonishment as a superior remotely replaced one pick in the shared spreadsheet with a recent Conservative defector who he’d rejected.

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Apr 12 • 2:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Iraq elects Kurdish politician Nizar Amidi as president amid Iran war fallout

Iraq's parliament voted Saturday to elect Nizar Amidi as president, five months after a parliamentary election that didn't produce a decisive majority.

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Apr 11 • 2:49 PM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Peru holds presidential election amid a decade of political tumult

In the span of a decade, Peru has seen nine presidents come and go. How has that affected this year's presidential race?

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Apr 11 • 11:22 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (4%)
wow
58%
ahah
42%
Iraq elects Kurdish politician Nizar Amidi as president amid war fallout

BAGHDAD (AP) — Iraq’s parliament voted Saturday to elect Nizar Amidi, a political official with one of the country’s two main Kurdish parties, as president, five months after a parliamentary election that didn’t produce a bloc with a decisive majority.

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Apr 11 • 11:08 AM EDT • Politics • wral.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (11%)
wow
55%
angry
45%
Iraq elects Kurdish politician Nizar Amidi as president amid war fallout

Iraq’s parliament has elected Nizar Amidi as president, five months after elections failed to produce a decisive majority. The vote took place Saturday.

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Apr 11 • 11:07 AM EDT • Politics • apnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
For aging Supreme Court justices, the politics of retirement looms large

Discussion among experts about a possible Supreme Court vacancy has increased as two men draw closer to the average age of retirement for Supreme Court justices since 2000 and with the November congressional elections looming.

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Apr 11 • 10:39 AM EDT • Politics • ksl.com
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😐 Neutral (8%)
wow
100%
Hungary’s Viktor Orban struggling for political survival ahead of vote

Hungarian prime minister and his Fidesz party ‌face first closely contested polls in Sunday's parliamentary election.

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Apr 11 • 8:04 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
As Election Looms, Will Alito Retire, Giving Trump a New Supreme Court Pick?

Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. is the subject of intense speculation about whether he will retire in the coming months and give President Trump a fourth nominee.

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Apr 11 • 5:02 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Peru's election: A battle for the Presidency amid political chaos and crime

With 35 candidates in the race, Peru is set to elect its 9th president in less than a decade. Amid rising corruption and crime, voters are left asking: Can this election finally break the cycle?

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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • npr.org
High-Signal Publisher
Knox County Board of Education District 9 primary election voter's guide

Three candidates are vying to represent District 9: Brandy Jenkins, Kristi Kristy and William Sofield.

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Apr 11 • 4:40 AM EDT • Politics • knoxnews.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (23%)
love
44%
wow
32%
ahah
24%
Red Sea Military Hub Djibouti’s President Extends 27-Year Rule

Djiboutian President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh won elections by a landslide, extending his 27-year rule of the strategically located nation that’s an international military and maritime hub.

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Apr 11 • 2:50 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Trump likes to back winners in foreign elections. The upcoming vote in Hungary will test his clout

Donald Trump has made a public flex of his political influence abroad on a scale that few, if any, U.S. presidents have, trying to marshal power he’s used domestically to sway races around the world

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Apr 11 • 12:07 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Trump likes to back winners in foreign elections. The upcoming vote in Hungary will test his clout

Donald Trump has made a public flex of his political influence abroad on a scale that few, if any, U.S. presidents have, trying to marshal power he’s used domestically to sway races around the world.

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Apr 11 • 12:06 AM EDT • Politics • news4jax.com
☹️ Negative (-20%)
Trump Likes to Back Winners in Foreign Elections. the Upcoming Vote in Hungary Will Test His Clout

WASHINGTON (AP) — In Hungary, President Donald Trump and his top officials used social media and an election-eve trip to Budapest to promote the country’s far-right prime minister in his reelection campaign. In Argentina, the U.S. administration worked to prop up the country’s financial markets to ...

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Apr 11 • 12:06 AM EDT • Politics • usnews.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • ktiv.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • keyc.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • kttc.com
Delaware County election board member's voter status, candidacy revoked

Delaware County elections board voted 2-1 to cancel Melanie Leneghan's voter registration and candidacy for an Ohio GOP State Central Committee seat.

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Apr 10 • 7:54 PM EDT • Politics • dispatch.com
Hungarian election could end Orbán's grip on power and alter Europe's political landscape
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Apr 10 • 6:40 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Trump Moves Top Aide James Blair to Political Operation Ahead of Midterms

Mr. Blair will “lead the charge from the outside,” the president said on social media. The move comes as Republicans are bracing for a potentially difficult November election.

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Apr 10 • 6:07 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Trump Moves Top Aide James Blair to Political Operation Ahead of Midterm

Mr. Blair will “lead the charge from the outside,” the president said on social media. The move comes as Republicans are bracing for a potentially difficult November election.

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Apr 10 • 6:07 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
City to consider seeking declaratory judgement on entertainment district TIF election

The Norman City Council will meet Tuesday to consider authorizing the city attorney’s office to initiate litigation to obtain a declaratory judgment on whether it has the legal authority to

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Apr 10 • 6:02 PM EDT • Entertainment • normantranscript.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (25%)
ahah
45%
wow
33%
love
22%
Trump’s divisive role in California politics is on display as GOP prepares election endorsements

Trump's endorsement of Steve Hilton for governor over Chad Bianco has upended the California GOP's strategy, forcing the party to refocus on other races.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 PM EDT • Politics • laist.com
WATCH: Is Harris running in 2028? 'I'm thinking about it'
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Apr 10 • 4:08 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Reporter, Politics & Policy

We need an experienced, mission-driven reporter for a four-month stint to help us cover the 2026 election and the changing world of politics and policy.

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Apr 10 • 3:22 PM EDT • Politics • coloradosun.com
AP report: Trump administration admits a glaring error in its New York health fraud accusations

The error, which the administration admitted first to The Associated Press, prompted health analysts to question how many of the Republican administration’s sweeping anti-fraud efforts around the country were based on faulty findings.

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Apr 10 • 2:41 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Harry Cohen banks $144K in Q1 for re-election, but he might wind up unopposed

Cohen's opponent doesn't live in the district.

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Apr 10 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Reform UK local election candidate was twice disciplined by Tories over ‘racist comments’

Tories disowned Derek Bullock in 2023 after he allegedly used a racial slur to called for people of Pakistani heritage to be shot

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Apr 10 • 2:04 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Viktor Orbán Could Actually Lose Sunday’s Hungarian Election

The Hungarian leader faces an energized opposition—and questions about whether he would accept defeat.

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Apr 10 • 12:15 PM EDT • Politics • theatlantic.com
Trump's divisive role in California politics is on display as GOP prepares election endorsements

Trump's endorsement of Steve Hilton for governor over Chad Bianco has upended the California GOP's strategy, forcing the party to refocus on other races.

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Apr 10 • 8:15 AM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (10%)
wow
63%
love
37%
Top takeaways from Youngkin's Hannity interview

The former governor talked future plans, Trump ties and his Richmond election strategy.

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Apr 10 • 6:19 AM EDT • Politics • axios.com
High-Signal Publisher
May elections: what five politics experts are looking out for

Five experts tell us what they will be keeping their eye on during the May elections in England, Scotland and Wales.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Politics • theconversation.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (11%)
wow
47%
ahah
28%
love
25%
Searching for Truth Inside Viktor Orban’s Media Machine

In Hungary, politics often splits along generational lines. The election result may hinge on how many voters still trust what they see on state television.

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Apr 10 • 12:02 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Agriculture secretary’s religious Easter message to all employees sparks internal backlash and a formal complaint

A “Christ is Risen” Easter message sent by the secretary of agriculture has sparked backlash inside the department, angering some of its nearly 100,000 employees and prompting a formal complaint against the secretary for the religious message.

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Apr 9 • 10:19 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
When and why political leaders polarise rhetoric: Evidence from Twitter/X

Standard theories of electoral competition predict that politicians should converge toward the centre as elections approach. This column challenges this prediction, using 3.4 million tweets from 367 political leaders across 21 Western democracies. Rhetorical polarisation between populist and non-populist leaders rises sharply in the two quarters before an election and reverts to average levels once it is over. Both groups adopt a more emotionally direct communication style as elections near, but they increasingly talk about different topics. The findings suggest that social media turns electoral campaigns into an engine of political polarisation.

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Apr 9 • 7:39 PM EDT • Politics • cepr.org
‘We need new blood’: Texas voters look for leadership changes, fresh faces this election year

Some vocal Texas voters say they want to get rid of politicians who've served the state for decades. Much of that sentiment can be boiled down to a preference for younger candidates with new energy — or even older ones who buck long-held status quo.

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Apr 9 • 5:19 PM EDT • Politics • houstonpublicmedia.org
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (11%)
wow
100%
'We got our butts kicked.' Republicans rattled by Democratic momentum ahead of midterms

Simmering discontent could boomerang on Republicans just two years after Trump harnessed voters' anger with his comeback presidential campaign.

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Apr 9 • 2:26 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
WATCH: Democratic presidential prospects flock to Al Sharpton's conference in New York

The Democratic Party's most ambitious politicians are courting African American activists in New York this week as the party's unofficial 2028 presidential nomination contest takes shape at an annual conference led by Rev. Al Sharpton.

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Apr 9 • 1:27 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
How national political analysts see the Wisconsin Supreme Court race

J. Miles Coleman from Sabato's Crystal Ball said far different results in Washington and Ozaukee counties could mark the end of the "WOW" grouping.

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Apr 9 • 12:48 PM EDT • Politics • jsonline.com
Colorado Springs’ mayor has a new chief of staff. It’s the guy he trounced in the election.

Mayor Yemi Mobolade on Thursday named Wayne Williams his chief of staff. Williams, a Republican who is Colorado’s former secretary of state, lost to Mobolade in the 2023 mayoral election.

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Apr 9 • 12:00 PM EDT • Politics • coloradosun.com
A record-breaking field: What to expect from Peru’s presidential election?

Crime and corruption are top issues for voters as the country struggles to cope with persistent political instability.

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Apr 9 • 11:52 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
What one campaign rally in Michigan reveals about young voters ahead of midterm elections
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Apr 9 • 9:57 AM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Rep. Seth Moulton picks: Josh Shapiro or Gavin Newsrom?

Democratic Rep. Seth Moulton, who launched a primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey to represent Massachusetts in the U.S. Senate, answered rapid-fire questions on his decision to return money from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), his past comments about trans athletes and his stance on ICE. With the 2026 elections underway, The Post's Anna Liss-Roy is grilling candidates in races across the country, pressing Democrats and Republicans to share their takes at high-speed.

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Apr 9 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
What one campaign rally in Michigan reveals about young voters ahead of the midterm elections

Many young voters say politics isn’t delivering and they want candidates who offer something new, not just opposition

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Apr 9 • 7:05 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
A simple step to support Minnesota’s small businesses

To show a commitment to owners of small businesses, Minnesota should extend the pass-through entity tax election.

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Apr 9 • 6:12 AM EDT • Business • civicmedia.us
Democrats Are Obsessed With the Wrong Senate Races

Sherrod Brown and Roy Cooper aren’t driving the political conversation, but their races may ultimately decide the Senate majority.

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Apr 9 • 4:45 AM EDT • Politics • politico.com
Who Is Funding the 2026 Midterm Elections? A Lot of the Money Is Untraceable.

A lot of the money flowing into the political system is ultimately untraceable.

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Apr 8 • 6:06 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Uncertainty swirls around Iran ceasefire: From the Politics Desk

Plus, Democrats post another big special election gain.

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Apr 8 • 5:39 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
Deep dive High-Signal Publisher
😐 Neutral (11%)
ahah
37%
love
33%
angry
30%
California Supreme Court orders GOP sheriff to pause election probe and preserve seized ballots

The dispute started earlier this year when Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seized 1,000 boxes of election materials to investigate a complaint from a local citizens group about the ballot count from a November 2025 special election on redistricting.

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Apr 8 • 5:35 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)