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AI needs science’s search history

“Actually, that’s where the gold is,” said Alasdair Russell, my graduate school friend who leads a pre-clinical genome editing group at Cambridge. He was talking about the winding road of science that is omitted from published papers. “When you’re discussing how to do the experiment, and why this way is better than another way, and what does the data really mean? I know what it shows, but what does it mean?” At RAAIS 2026, he described how his group has begun logging the twisting path of discovery as it happens, recording the verbal and written exchanges that normally disappear. Ideas become nodes in a living graph: they branch when a meeting produces two plausible experiments, merge when separate lines of evidence converge, and go dark when someone quietly stops pursuing them. In his implementation, one agent scores novelty, while another tries to learn “how scientists think and how they navigate through a complex world of data,” so that high-potential nodes can trigger deeper investigation. As frontier AI labs deploy agents toward scientific discovery, giving AI authentic scientific taste remains a trillion-dollar dilemma. The bottleneck is that the record we have kept for centuries of science might be insufficient to get us there. The experiments that never make the paper Peter Medawar, 1960 Nobel laureate and “father of transplantation,” asked in 1963 whether the scientific paper was a fraud, and answered yes: the form of the paper misrepresents the thinking that produced it. Sixty years on, the diagnosis is unchanged. A paper presents a clean progression from hypothesis to result to conclusion. Lost along the way are the unconventional theories, the abandoned or unaffordable methods, and the underwhelming and inconclusive data. It reads like a browser history with every dead end deleted: the ten open tabs, the four rephrased queries, the wrong turn down a subforum. All scrubbed, leaving one clean path from question to answer as the canonical path. What has changed since then is that the discarded material is now worth something. No high-impact journal wants these artifacts, but raw trial and error is the most likely source of the training data required to develop scientific intuition, or what researchers call taste. Earlier attempts to capture the discards were motivated by scientific integrity. The Journal of Negative Results in Biomedicine launched in 2002 to publish rigorous studies that disputed established models or exposed ineffective treatments. Its archive preserved negative conclusions after they had become papers, rather than the live alternatives and arguments that produced them. BioMed Central closed it in 2017, saying the mission had been served now that other journals publish null results. A less generous reading is that in fifteen years it published around 200 papers because almost nobody wants to read a negative result, let alone write one up when it will not count toward academic tenure. AI models are different. Even an uninteresting negative result can be useful, provided it is labeled. Earlier this year, Anthropic put a version of this to the test. The company pulled 129 decision points from real Claude Code sessions between January and March 2026, showed models the work up to a human detour, and asked what should happen next. Claude Mythos Preview beat the human choice 64% of the time, while Opus 4.5 managed 51%. The comparison was tilted toward the models because Anthropic deliberately chose moments where the human decision had room for improvement. On 127 further scenarios where the human action was already strong, the models improved on it only about 20% of the time. The study was possible because Anthropic’s researchers work inside a tool that logs by default. The reasoning, detours and outcome are produced in the same working environment. Biology has no equivalent. Its reasoning happens in hallways, at benches, in Slack threads and on whiteboards, while the outcome arrives weeks later somewhere else. The record has to emerge from the work itself. Ask scientists to reconstruct it afterwards and we’ll create another polished account. Subscribe A log is not a label Before any of this becomes training data, a negative result has to say what failed. The first paper published in the Journal of Negative Results in Biomedicine examined 234 negative studies across five leading medical journals. Only 30% discussed statistical power, and half clearly defined a primary outcome. Tell a model an experiment failed, without telling it whether the assay was underpowered, a reagent had degraded, or the hypothesis was simply wrong, and it will learn noise with confidence. Decision histories have a second missing label too. When a lab considers five experiments and runs one, only the chosen branch returns an outcome. The other four are experimental counterfactuals. Researchers call this the selective labels problem: the data reveal results only for the actions someone chose to take. Such a record can teach a model to imitate a lab’s taste, but it cannot establish that the taste was good. It also smuggles local constraints into general lessons. A lab that never ran cryo-EM because it did not own a microscope teaches a model that cryo-EM is rarely the right call. Alasdair’s nodes preserve the candidate set, which is the necessary first step. To be useful, each decision record needs six fields: The evidence available at that moment, and nothing that arrived later. The candidates considered, including the ones dismissed in a sentence. For each candidate: the expected result, the confidence attached to it, and the cost in time and money. The route chosen, and the reason. What happened next. How the evidence changed the scientist’s view. These must be timestamped before the outcome, because hindsight turns uncertainty into inevitability. Disagreement also has to survive. Averaging three scientists into one clean rationale reproduces exactly the information loss we are trying to fix. But there is an obvious failure mode here. Once decisions are logged and scored, people log for the record post-facto. Anyone who has watched an electronic lab notebook fill up with retrospective tidying knows how quickly a research tool becomes a compliance exercise. A record that costs a scientist ten minutes of honest reflection per decision is worth far more than one that costs an hour of performance. A publication initiative called Registered Reports offers a useful starting point. Here, researchers submit their rationale, methods and analysis plan for peer review before the data exist, and the journal commits in principle to publish if they follow the approved plan. Nature has now expanded the format across every field it covers. This approach to paper writing timestamps intent before the outcome, but it freezes one plan. A useful search history must also preserve how the plan changed, which alternatives were rejected, when, and on what evidence. Subscribe Run the runner-up Autonomous labs show what happens when decisions and outcomes are connected in a loop. Liverpool’s mobile robotic chemist ran 688 experiments over eight days in a ten-variable formulation space. A batched Bayesian search used each result to choose the next experiments and found photocatalyst mixtures six times more active than the starting formulations. Every completed experiment changed what the system did next. The robot optimized within a goal and search space that humans had already chosen. It did not decide which scientific question mattered. So what this work demonstrates is narrower, but still useful: a search history pays off when the options return standardized outcomes quickly. Open-ended biology is harder because branches can take weeks and the discarded alternatives may never be run. Some exploration therefore has to be bought. Where two branches are plausible and the stakes justify the cost, a lab should sometimes run the runner-up. Otherwise the record captures what today’s scientists usually chose and stays silent on what they systematically overlooked. A funder could ring-fence a small fraction of a grant for the branch not taken, provided that the decision record and the outcome are both deposited. That costs money, but so does having every lab rediscover the same abandoned path. Test whether taste transfers When it comes time to evaluate if our new AI system exhibits taste, the comparison should run across laboratories and fields. At selected decision points in a live research campaign, we should freeze the six fields: the evidence, the candidates, expected results, confidence, costs and the choice made. Experts then rank the options before the outcomes are known, and those outcomes are checked independently later. We could give models one of two diets - papers alone, or papers plus decision histories - and ask them to rank the next experiment on unfamiliar projects. Then, we score information gained per dollar and week, calibration, and how quickly weak branches are abandoned. If histories improve choices only inside the lab that produced them, they amount to useful organizational memory. If they improve choices on unfamiliar problems elsewhere, Alasdair’s group will have captured something science has never managed to write down: a transferable record of taste. Until that happens, a scientific search history is a promising record, not yet a training set.

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UFC Freedom 250 Fails to Knock Out The Ratings

(Welcome to my weekly streaming ratings report, the single best guide to what’s popular in streaming TV and what isn’t. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. If you were forwarded this email, please subscribe to get these insights each week.) If UFC fans wanted one image to say, “Hey, Paramount+ is crushing it with their UFC rights deal,” I could provide that image. Here it is: (Reminder: this is my creation of the Nielsen Top 30, since Nielsen doesn’t combine the lists or include sports. I take all three lists and combine them. Some streaming TV shows probably have higher ratings than many of the films on this list.) Look at that! UFC Freedom 250 is number one! It topped the Nielsen “Top 30” list for shows and films that made the top ten the week of 15-June. So if you’re a UFC fan or supporter of Paramount+, that’s the good news for you this week. This program topped the ratings charts for one week. Everything else is bad news, or at least a huge caveat to that story, which I’ll explain today in the first part of this week’s Streaming Ratings Report—for the weeks of 8-June and 15-June—which is a double issue since I’ve been writing on a bunch of topics recently. UFC Freedom 250 is one of the biggest streaming events of the year, and super relevant to Paramount+’s strategy, so it merited its own article. Let’s dive in! (Reminder: The streaming ratings report focuses on the U.S. market and compiles data from Nielsen’s weekly top ten viewership ranks, Luminate’s Top Ten Data, JustWatch and Reelgood interest data, Samba TV household viewership, company datecdotes, Netflix hours viewed data, Google Trends, and IMDb to determine the most popular content. While most data points are current, Nielsen’s data covers the weeks of June 8th to June 21st 2026. You can find a link to my terminology here.) Subscribe Check Out My Interview on UFC 250 at MMA Draw After you read this article, if you want even more thoughts on UFC and Paramount-Skydance/Paramount+, I did a written interview with MMA Draw. They asked me to answer some questions about UFC Freedom 250, and I was happy to chat with them. Find it here: [ The MMA Draw Newsletter Did Paramount really overpay for the UFC? What the data tells us so far If you know the history of American television, you also know that combat sports is often a leading indicator of the future… Read more a day ago · 10 likes · 1 comment · Nate Wilcox and Zach Arnold ](https://www.themmadraw.com/p/did-paramount-really-overpay-for?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web) I never thought I’d need a combat sports newsletter in my life, but the good folks at MMA Draw publish an excellent one on UFC, MMA, pro wrestling, boxing and more, analyzing both the sports themselves and the politics, economics and antitrust issues that impact them. Check the article and their newsletter out! Paramount+ Has Its Best Sporting Event of All Time…But Was It Worth It? Before we look at the UFC Freedom 250 data in particular, let’s talk about what we can’t say. Namely, let’s start with the lack of comparisons. First off, I’d love to put a chart out comparing this fight to past UFC fights on Paramount+…but we don’t have the data. This is the first time we’ve gotten Nielsen data about a Paramount+ UFC fight. As far as I can tell, Paramount provided data for the first fight, but it was a proprietary datecdote (saying it had “an average minute audience” of 5 million “views”) and then, for two fights, we got the linear viewership numbers when they aired on CBS, but no streaming data. Everything else was crickets. We also can’t compare this fight to other fights/combat sports on streaming, in particular the MMA and boxing, because Netflix also didn’t use Nielsen to track those events, opting for TVision and VideoAmp, respectively. (This isn’t Paramount’s fault, but does still suck.) We also can’t compare to UFC’s fights that used to be on ESPN+, since we don’t have any data for that, plus Disney+ didn’t have marquee fights. The comparisons would not be apples-to-apples. Can we compare to past Pay-Per-View fights? Absolutely not. The comparisons would absolutely NOT be apples-to-apples. That didn’t stop Paramount+, though, who bragged that their UFC events have reached drastically more people than past PPV fights. Duh. Sorry, but I gotta make this point again. A basic tenet of economics is that the cheaper something becomes, the more people consume or buy it. That’s Econ 101. (Sometimes pundits call things “Econ 101” that are actually like Econ 210 or even PhD-level economics, but no, this is really like first or second class basic economics.) Yet I still see one analytics firm consistently say that more people watch films on streaming than PVOD proves streaming which means that the streaming window is more valuable than the PVOD window. No, it’s not! Same thing here. Pay-Per-View events back in the day could be really, really, really expensive! So whole groups of people pitched in to buy them. That increased the perceived value of, say, the Mike Tyson fight. Or a UFC numbered event. So yes, the fact that Paramount+ makes numbered UFC fights essentially “free” if you’re already a Paramount+ member means consumption will go up. Obviously. Same for Netflix and their boxing matches. They’re talking about fights that used to cost consumers, in some cases, $50 in 1996…which is over $100 in today’s dollars. Over 1.6 million people paid that to watch the Tyson-Holyfield fight! Again, streaming is essentially “free”. Or $10 to $20, depending on what streamer we’re talking about and what tier you’re on. No wonder more people are “watching”. (Plus, Nielsen’s out-of-home viewing also helps these numbers.) UFC Freedom 250 Did Well…But I Have A Lot of Worries So what can we compare the fights to? Well, the good news is Nielsen put out that the fight averaged 7.0 million viewers for UFC Freedom 250, which is a solid number for a fight. We also know the length, at roughly 4 and a half hours. (I saw different run times, but this seems to be the consensus considering it started at 8 pm, had a delay and then finished after midnight on the East Coast. If you assume a shorter run time, then yes, the total hours viewed would go down.) That means I have the two numbers needed to add this to my Nielsen database. And then…I can compare this viewership to the NFL: And, uh, not great. But also within striking distance, mainly because the runtime for this event was so long. I’d also add that this event had viewership equal to a regular season NFL game on streaming, but if anything, it was more comparable to an NFL playoff or Super Bowl-esque event. And you can compare viewership to the top football games on broadcast, cable and streaming, and it’s not impressive at all: We can also compare it to other sports that week, including the NBA Finals and start of the World Cup: Again, not great. The NBA generated roughly four times as many average viewers each game for its NBA Finals. The World Cup has similarly big numbers. Also, that’s just a tiny fraction of the 25 most watched sporting events each week. The NBA, NHL and FIFA World Cup had many, many more games racking up hours. We could also compare this to other streaming programs to get an idea of “is this a good investment?” and here is how it ranks compared to other top Paramount+ programs: The worry here? Well, unlike scripted programming, which has rewatchability, older fights/sporting events have very little library value. Very, very few people are rewatching these fights, especially years from now. Paramount has also released datecdotes bragging about their subscriber numbers. Earlier this year, they claimed that the first UFC fight on Paramount+ brought in 1 million subscribers. Then, in their quarterly earnings report, they only ended up with 700K subs. Not great! They claimed they dropped lower-value international subscribers, but that’s why I tend to discount subscriber additions when they’re leaked to the press.1 I expect we may see a bump again for UFC Freedom 250, but I’d caution using subscriber growth so soon after these events to judge the success, since new subs with high churn (see Peacock) aren’t great either. Also, analysts often want to attribute all subscriber growth to their favorite/pet show, and that just doesn’t make sense. The biggest caveat for UFC Freedom 250 and Paramount’s very first UFC marquee event is that these could be high watermarks for the sport. UFC Freedom 250 had an incredible amount of earned media coverage compared to most UFC fights. I mean, it had wall-to-wall national news coverage in the lead up to the event. (The first fight also had a lot of promotion from Paramount since it was first.) Other fights could reach this bar—say the Conor McGregor return to the Octagon—but they’ll be fewer and far between. Was This Deal Worth It? All to ask: is this Paramount deal worth it? In this case, I think the UFC Freedom 250 numbers are more distracting than helpful. This fight did well and compares well to other top sporting events. But we know that the first marquee event was at least a third smaller, if Paramount’s own data is to be believed. And it’s likely the other fights are much, much, much smaller. And then you get to the paycheck that Paramount-Skydance paid. FIFA’s World Cup cost about the same for Fox, but clearly generated multiples more total viewership. (Though it’s only every four years.) The NBA is much more expensive, but until the playoffs, they likely didn’t pay for itself. Even still, Disney, NBCUniversal and Amazon Prime Video likely overpaid. So, in that context, the NBA may be an overpay that makes the UFC look not so bad. But two overpays don’t make an underpay, to paraphrase the old cliché about wrongs and rights. And looking at UFC Freedom 250 as the likely ceiling of MMA on Paramount+, Paramount-Skydance likely paid too much. Share 1 I would love regular reports on subscriber additions by programs, but as is, it’s mostly leaked or rumored in haphazard ways.

How the Iran war’s unpopularity compares to Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam

An increasing volume of data suggests the Iran war has become about as unpopular as Iraq and Vietnam ever were — and it became so much more quickly.

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Jul 20 • 2:16 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Joint statement from Monaco Sports Group, Citroën Racing, Stellantis

Monaco Sports Group (MSG), operator of the Citroën Racing Formula E Team, Citroën, Stellantis Motorsport, the FIA, and the entire Formula E community are deeply saddened to confirm the passing of

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Jul 20 • 12:51 AM EDT • Sports • fia.com
Brent oil tops $90 as US, Iran intensify attacks in Middle East

Oil prices jumped 3% on Monday, with Brent surpassing $90 a barrel, as the United States and ​Iran expanded attacks in the Middle East that have curbed energy shipments ‌in the Strait of Hormuz.

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Jul 19 • 8:16 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
UCLA scientists develop mineral sunscreen without the chalky white cast

Scientists have redesigned zinc oxide particles to create a mineral sunscreen that protects against ultraviolet radiation without leaving such a noticeable white cast. The SPF 30 formula could make sunscreen easier and more appealing to use across a wider range of skin tones.

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Jul 19 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
How Sport Will Change on a Hotter Planet (We Might Have to Move the Olympics) | Climate & Energy for July 16

Plus: The Strait of Hormuz isn’t going back to normal, and the Chinese EV wave threatens Volkswagen’s vast, well-paid workforce

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Jul 16 • 9:30 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Shipping Choke Points Raise Business Costs Even After The Iran War

Shipping choke points like Hormuz and Malacca keep raising business costs after the Iran War, forcing companies to pay more for reliable supply chains

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Jul 15 • 2:01 PM EDT • Business • forbes.com
Experts Debate How MAHA Is Reshaping Food Science and Regulation

Experts at IFT FIRST examined how the MAHA movement is influencing food regulation, ingredient reformulation, consumer expectations, and food science.

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Jul 15 • 10:11 AM EDT • Science • ift.org
US Reimposes Blockade on Iranian Ports, Launches New Strikes

Gharibabadi said Tehran no longer considers itself bound by the memorandum of understanding, including on the Strait of Hormuz.

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Jul 15 • 6:15 AM EDT • Politics • politicstoday.org
Strait of Hormuz remains 'de facto closed', no matter what the US says: Expert

Lars Jensen, CEO of Vespucci Maritime, says the economics and legalities of President Trump's proposed toll on the Strait of Hormuz made his U-turn on this inevitable. He also explains why he believes the Strait remains de fact closed despite U.S. assertions on the contrary, noting that freight rates and insurance premiums have surged on Trump's latest comments.

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Jul 15 • 3:06 AM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
U.S. War Against Iran Enters a New Phase

As President Trump resumes his war, the focus is now on the Strait of Hormuz. But it remains unclear how far the U.S. military will go to exert control.

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Jul 14 • 7:54 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Trump’s “Highly Productive” Talks About the Strait of Hormuz Probably Involved Middle Eastern Leaders Telling Him to Shove It

And another TACO Tuesday passes us by.

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Jul 14 • 6:21 PM EDT • Politics • esquire.com
OpenAI's First Device Will Be Movable, Screenless Speaker Built as AI Companion

(Bloomberg) -- OpenAI's much-anticipated push into consumer devices is slated to begin with a mobile, screen-free smart speaker designed to be a new type of home computer for the AI era, according to people familiar with the matter.Most Read from BloombergUS Hits Iran With Strikes, Blockade as Trump Plans Hormuz ChargeTrump Shelves 20% Fee for Hormuz Cargo After Gulf PressureA Cocaine Bust in Spain Leads All the Way to Wall StreetUS CPI Falls for the First Time Since 2020, Core Gauge Flat'We Fal

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Jul 14 • 4:52 PM EDT • Technology • finance.yahoo.com
Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) Could Be 15% Undervalued After F1 Afterparty Deal

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) is drawing investor interest after announcing an F1 Afterparty collaboration with the Formula 1 Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix. The partnership features bundled race, hospitality, and concert ticket packages at the Las Vegas Sphere venue. See our latest analysis for Sphere Entertainment. Despite the F1 Afterparty announcement, Sphere Entertainment’s recent share price has eased, with the stock down 5.4% over the past month but still showing strong year to date share...

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Jul 13 • 7:37 PM EDT • Entertainment • simplywall.st
Is the Iran war back on for real?

After days of newly intense fighting, Trump asserted he’ll take control of the Hormuz Strait — and charge for access.

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Jul 13 • 5:20 PM EDT • Politics • vox.com
The Quintessential Trump-era Politician

In 2020, I wrote an article about collaboration and collaborators. The title was History Will Judge the Complicit, and it started with the story of two famous East Germans, Markus Wolf and Wolfgang Leonhard, who both landed in East Berlin just after the end of the war. Although they came from very similar backgrounds, the former stuck with the regime, eventually becoming its spy boss; the latter, horrified by the brutal reality of Soviet-style communism, escaped. By way of juxtaposition, I also wrote about Lyndsey Graham and Mitt Romney. These two men also made very different decisions when confronted by Donald Trump’s assault on the ideals that they had both grown up believing: A glance at their biographies would not have led many to predict what happened next. On paper, Graham would have seemed, in 2016, like the man with deeper ties to the military, to the rule of law, and to an old-fashioned idea of American patriotism and American responsibility in the world. Romney, by contrast, with his shifts between the center and the right, with his multiple careers in business and politics, would have seemed less deeply attached to those same old-fashioned patriotic ideals. Most of us register soldiers as loyal patriots, and management consultants as self-interested. We assume people from small towns in South Carolina are more likely to resist political pressure than people who have lived in many places. Intuitively, we think that loyalty to a particular place implies loyalty to a set of values. But in this case the clichés were wrong. It was Graham who made excuses for Trump’s abuse of power. It was Graham—a JAG Corps lawyer—who downplayed the evidence that the president had attempted to manipulate foreign courts and blackmail a foreign leader into launching a phony investigation into a political rival. It was Graham who abandoned his own stated support for bipartisanship and instead pushed for a hyperpartisan Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s son. It was Graham who played golf with Trump, who made excuses for him on television, who supported the president even as he slowly destroyed the American alliances—with Europeans, with the Kurds—that Graham had defended all his life. By contrast, it was Romney who, in February, became the only Republican senator to break ranks with his colleagues, voting to impeach the president. “Corrupting an election to keep oneself in office,” he said, is “perhaps the most abusive and destructive violation of one’s oath of office that I can imagine.” In the wake of Graham’s unexpected death on Saturday, I wrote about him again. He was, in many ways, the quintessential politician of Trump’s Washington, a man who shifted 180 degrees. Graham had been a fervent American patriot, proud reserve officer and military lawyer; he became one of the most important defenders of a president who believes soldiers are “suckers and losers” and shows no respect for law of any kind. As his politics changed, his language grew coarser and his behavior grew worse: He urged Israel to “level the place” in Gaza, and insulted the Danish prime minister in Munich, prompting a colleague, Senator Elissa Slotkin, to issue an apology. Here’s an excerpt from the article, which you can read in The Atlantic (gift link here) Like his close friend John McCain, Graham believed that America should stand at the center of a broad democratic alliance. The few times I met him were in that context, at the Munich Security Conference or at other European-American gatherings, which he once attended with great regularity. He also took seriously the practice of American democracy at home. In a 2014 conversation with The Atlantic, he described himself as a pragmatic politician who eschewed populist slogans. “I know Washington is broken, but what’s broken about it is everybody yelling and nobody trying to fix it,” he said. “I’m trying.” When Donald Trump first appeared in U.S. politics, Graham recognized him immediately for what he was: the spokesman for an alien ideology, one radically different from the idealistic patriotism that Graham had practiced and preached since childhood. Trump privately mocked the military that Graham loved as nothing but “suckers and losers.” He put falsehoods, cynicism, and personal greed at the center of his politics, while expressing disdain for transparency, accountability, and democracy itself. In 2015, Graham described Trump as a “race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot” who should “go to hell.” Also as a “nutjob.” When Trump won, Graham understood, as did so many others, that he would have to make some important choices. For a while, he went silent. In the spring of 2016, I saw him at one of those conferences in Europe. He seemed too depressed to speak. But then, like many other Republicans—and, more important, like many other people who have lived under political occupation or experienced radical regime change—he made the decision to abandon his previous ideals, to bury the patriotism that was once so important to him, and to become, instead, a loud, opportunistic collaborator. As I wrote in 2020, it’s very hard to look in to anyone’s heart and to understand their motivations from the outside. But it does seem that Graham had a deep need to be relevant, to be in the game, to be a player, at any cost. And that, rather than any particular achievement, is what he will be remembered for. Continuing to monitor conflicts of interest, ostentatious emoluments, outright corruption and policy changes that will facilitate outright corruption. (Read my original article, Kleptocracy Inc and check out the SNF Agora Institute chart) June 27 Trump diverted funds from more than 900 projects nationwide—including safety upgrades at national parks—to finance beautification projects around Washington, including $700,000 used to fix a White House walkway. June 28 After a years-long Department of Justice investigation into Abbott Laboratories over its management of a baby formula facility where potentially deadly bacteria turned up enough evidence to criminally charge the firm, top department officials instead opted for a financial penalty—illustrating the department’s move away from strict corporate enforcement under the Trump administration. June 29 Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stacked the Defense Policy Board—which is charged with providing independent national security recommendations to the Office of the Secretary of Defense—with Trump allies, including tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, who has invested in defense contractors like OpenAI and SpaceX, after purging the panel last year. Trump purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of stock in Axon—which makes about 90% of US tasers—two weeks before ICE solicited bids for a $220 million taser contract. The White House unveiled limited-edition US passports for America’s 250th birthday, featuring a portrait of Trump overlaid on the Declaration of Independence. June 30 Trump made around $1.2 billion from his various crypto companies last year, including more than $500 million from World Liberty Financial and $600 million from sales of his meme coin. Trump is considering issuing 250 pardons to commemorate America’s 250th birthday. These are expected to be largely doled out through the Office of the Pardon Attorney’s informal network of intermediaries. White-collar defense attorneys say they can typically win pardons for clients for $2 million. Last year, Trump administration officials awarded a no-bid contract worth up to $500 million to Clark Construction for the White House ballroom—negotiations in which the president was directly involved. July 1 The Amazon MGM Studios documentary about Melania Trump earned the First Lady more than $10 million. Trump made hundreds of individual stock purchases worth as much as $12.8 million the day before his announcement pausing “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days sent the S&P 500 soaring nearly 10%—one of the largest single-day gains ever. Mar-a-Lago and Trump National Doral saw record surges in revenue during Trump’s first year in office, earning $77.5 million and $121.9 million respectively, compared to average annual revenues of $25 million and $75 million during Trump’s first term. Entities across the Persian Gulf paid more than $300 million to Trump’s businesses last year, including $263 million from the sale of half his stake in World Liberty Financial to a firm backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a top UAE royal and brother of the country’s president. Kash Patel failed to properly disclose his stock purchase of a Department of Justice contractor, MicroStrategy, worth up to $250,000 last year, despite laws requiring disclosure within 45 days of the trade. July 2 Trump has been directing administration officials to steer more government contracts—so far worth more than $2.4 billion—to Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin aerospace firm, after Amazon gave $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund, donated to the White House ballroom project, and reached a $40 million deal to license a Melania Trump documentary. Alongside the billions he made from cryptocurrency last year, Trump earned millions of dollars from real estate licensing fees, including $21 million from organizations in the UAE and $9.2 million in Saudi Arabia, along with smaller sums from merchandise sales, including $4.7 million from Trump Watches and $35,920 from 45 Guitar, a guitar brand endorsed by the president. House Democrats accused consultants tied to the Trump administration of financial fraud, alleging they gave prospective donors to America250—the bipartisan committee created by Congress to celebrate the nation’s semiquincentennial—the banking and routing numbers for Freedom 250, the White House’s fund for events like the UFC cage fight. Democrats also allege that Freedom 250’s CEO traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos to solicit donations from foreign government officials and business leaders. The Trump administration’s proposed rollback of gun regulations would lift the prohibition on mailing handguns to individuals, a significant win for GrabAGun—the direct-to-consumer firearm retailer on whose board Donald Trump Jr. sits and in which he holds a 1.1% ownership stake. GrabAGun currently must rely on a middleman to transfer firearms to customers. Trump’s financial disclosure revealed that he made more than 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in office, growing his investment account to at least $858 million across stakes in around 1,600 companies, compared to the 13 total trades Joe Biden made during his entire presidency. July 4 Nearly 1 million people who bought the president’s meme coin—Trump Coin—collectively lost $3.8 billion on the token, while he walked away with $636 million. July 6 Shares of Dell closed up 4.4% after Trump recommended people buy the firm’s computers during a speech announcing the launch of Trump investment accounts for children, boosting the more than $1 million worth of shares the president owns in the company. July 9 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh named crypto investor and Trump ally Marc Andreessen to a task force aimed at modernizing the Federal Reserve, including rethinking its approach to inflation—a key factor keeping interest rates elevated. Palm Beach International Airport has officially changed its name to Trump International Airport—a move that will require Florida to pay royalties to the president’s family for licensing his name. I was there a few months ago, during a trip to Barcelona. The sculptures were a revelation, I’d never seen so many together before. Each one has its own personality. Enjoy the good weather, if you are lucky enough to have it. History Will Judge the Complicit The Quintessential Politician Autocracy Inc Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe

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Jul 13 • 4:19 PM EDT • Politics • anneapplebaum.substack.com
U.S. and Iran assert control over Strait of Hormuz after latest attacks

President Donald Trump told Fox News Monday: "We're taking over the strait"

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Jul 13 • 9:53 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
U.S. and Iran assert control over Strait of Hormuz after latest attacks

President Donald Trump told Fox News Monday: "We're taking over the strait"

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Jul 13 • 9:53 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
The Latest: Trump demands 20% toll for passage through strait

President Donald Trump said Iranian ships will no longer be able to travel through the Strait of Hormuz and America would charge a 20% toll on other countries’ eligible cargo, escalating tensions after weekend of attacks by both nations to assert control of the critical waterway

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Jul 13 • 8:51 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Solésence Brings Patent-Backed Skin Health Innovation to Hair and Scalp

New White Label Collection, Powered by WHSPR™ and Kleair™, Debuts with Revitalizing Scalp Serum and Scalp Screen Dry Shampoo SPF 45+ Sunscreen Scalp Screen Dry Shampoo SPF 45+ Sunscreen Named a Finalist for the 2026 Cosmopack Award for Best Formulation at Cosmoprof Las Vegas ROMEOVILLE, Ill., July 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Solésence, Inc. (Nasdaq: SLSN), a leader in scientifically-driven health care solutions across beauty and life science categories, today announced the launch of two new mar

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Jul 13 • 8:30 AM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
Sen. McConnell breaks weeks of silence about health, US and Iran vie for Strait of Hormuz control

Welcome back.

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Jul 13 • 6:44 AM EDT • Health • apnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
'House of the Dragon's Ormund Hightower cooks up a villainous plan that isn't in 'Fire and Blood'

A new challenger for the Iron Throne approaches.

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Jul 12 • 10:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • mashable.com
'House of the Dragon' Season 3, episode 4: Ormund has the ultimate WFH situation

Gimme that bath desk.

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Jul 12 • 10:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • mashable.com
The real Daeron speaks: ‘House of the Dragon’ star unpacks the Ormund relationship

‘House of the Dragon’ star behind Daeron Targaryen (the real one) speaks. The actor talks the ‘uncontrollable, chaotic’ Ormund and the ‘inherent conflict of power.’

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Jul 12 • 10:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
'House of the Dragon' Season 3, episode 4: Ormund Hightower's crash out is destined to become a meme

Calm down, Ormund.

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Jul 12 • 10:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • mashable.com
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Who’s more to blame for frustration at the pharmacy—insurers changing formularies or prescribers failing to keep up?

Patients increasingly wait for—or never receive—drug treatments deemed appropriate and timely by their doctors.

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Jul 12 • 8:09 PM EDT • Health • healthexec.com
Oil Rises After Weekend of Back-and-Forth Strikes by U.S. and Iran

The renewed hostilities posed fresh risks to ships seeking to navigate the Strait of Hormuz.

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Jul 12 • 6:24 PM EDT • Business • nytimes.com
Bausch Health’s (BHC) Canadian Subsidiary Lists PrOKEDI Dosages in RAMQ Formulary

Bausch Health Companies Inc. (NYSE:BHC) is one of the 15 best NYSE penny stocks to buy according to hedge funds. On July 6, Bausch Health Companies Inc.’s (NYSE:BHC) subsidiary, Bausch Health Canada, shared the listing of PrOKEDI’s 75mg and 100mg dosages in the Régie de l’assurance maladie du Québec (RAMQ) formulary. PrOKEDI is an injectable […]

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Jul 12 • 1:21 PM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
How Trump Failed to Secure the Strait of Hormuz in His Iran Deal

President Trump signed an agreement that Iran said gave it control of the waterway — and global energy supplies. Now, Iran’s military is violently asserting authority.

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Jul 12 • 12:43 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Don’t know where to start with strength training? This expert-approved formula is the simplest way to build muscle at home

If you get bored working out, this sports scientist’s home workout formula could be a game changer

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Jul 12 • 12:00 AM EDT • Technology • fitandwell.com
Jon Gray tells Blackstone interns the 'winning formula' for success

Business Insider sat in on Jon Gray's talk to Blackstone interns, where he shared the number one quality that sets potential leaders apart.

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Jul 11 • 7:14 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
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The US was overconfident before the war. Iran may be overconfident now.

Iran may have bitten off more than it can chew in the Strait of Hormuz.

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Jul 11 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • vox.com
U.S. demands Iran publicly state Strait of Hormuz is open

U.S. officials said Friday that internal Tehran power struggles have made it difficult to reach and keep a deal

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Jul 10 • 5:25 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Iran needs to see that we mean business: GOP lawmaker

Rep. Carlos Gimenez, R-Fla., discusses concerns over a clause regarding the Strait of Hormuz in the MoU, reports of Iran-made drones in Cuba and NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani meeting a Cuban delegation.

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Jul 10 • 1:20 PM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
Why Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) Shares Are Sliding Today

Shares of content production and distribution company Sphere Entertainment (NYSE:SPHR) fell 0.1% in the afternoon session after the company and Formula 1's Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix announced a five-year partnership extension through 2030.

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Jul 9 • 6:31 PM EDT • Entertainment • finance.yahoo.com
‘Check your ingredients’: A new blueprint for using Fermi’s ‘Golden Rule’

Fermi’s “Golden Rule” is a formula that connects theoretical quantum mechanics and what scientists observe in experiments, yet it is often misapplied. A new study by Yale physicists put this foundational formula through its paces.

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Jul 9 • 5:00 AM EDT • Science • news.yale.edu
Trump says Iran ceasefire is ‘over,’ so what now?

President Donald Trump said the Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran is “over” after a fresh escalation that included attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and US retaliatory strikes. CNN’s Kevin Liptak reports on what could happen now.

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Jul 8 • 7:17 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Trump admin reimposes oil sanctions after Iran strikes ships near Strait of Hormuz

The Trump administration is reimposing sanctions on Iranian oil sales in retaliation for a series of attacks on commercial ships near the Strait of Hormuz.

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Jul 7 • 3:27 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
What Does the Memorandum of Understanding Signed Between the US and Iran Mean?

Iran maintains that transit through the Strait of Hormuz should be under the control of both Oman and Iran with no international intervention.

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Jul 6 • 3:52 AM EDT • Politics • politicstoday.org
Who slept worst after the F1 British GP: Max Verstappen

No transfer options, no success, and two high-speed crashes: Can Max Verstappen even find happiness in Formula 1 anymore?

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Jul 6 • 1:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Oil slips after OPEC+ agrees to raise output targets

Oil prices inched lower on Monday after OPEC+ agreed to further increase its output targets from August while exports from key producers via the Strait of ​Hormuz are recovering, potentially adding to global supplies.

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Jul 5 • 8:36 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Baton Rouge residents engage with art and science during Free First Sunday event

BATON ROUGE — The Louisiana Art and Science Museum invited residents to a day full of exploration, creativity and discovery during Free First Sunday.

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Jul 5 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • wbrz.com
Why Circulation Health Supplements Are Gaining Attention for Supporting Healthy Vascular Function and Everyday Wellness, According to PureHealth Research

PureHealth Research is highlighting growing consumer interest in circulation wellness and the role of targeted nutritional supplementation in maintaining healthy blood flow, vascular function, and overall cardiovascular wellness.Circulation health supplements commonly feature ingredients such as Omega-3 Fatty Acids, Berberine and Butcher's Broom, which are frequently included in formulations designed to promote healthy circulation and vascular health.

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Jul 4 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
Why One Global Shipping Choke Point Isn’t a Blueprint for Another

The Strait of Malacca may be a model for how Oman and Iran could collect fees in the Strait of Hormuz, but the differences between the waterways are vast.

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Jul 3 • 5:01 AM EDT • Business • nytimes.com
Sports quiz of the week: World Cup, Ben Stokes, Wimbledon and LeBron James

Have you followed the big stories in football, cricket, tennis, rugby union, basketball, cycling and Formula One?

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Jul 3 • 3:00 AM EDT • Sports • theguardian.com
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Oil price ‘may fall to $60 a barrel’ as voyages through the strait of Hormuz jump

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

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Jul 3 • 2:41 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
The Iran MOU is a mess. It still might work

The 14-point “Memorandum of Understanding” is among the oddest international agreements in recent memory. Short on detail, its two pages purport to grant significant up-front American concessions to Iran in exchange for opening the Strait of Hormuz, which was already open before the war President Donald Trump started in February and now hopes to end.

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Jul 2 • 4:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Nigel Mansell auctions F1 memorabilia for charity

Motorsport fans will be able to buy pieces of Formula 1 history at the auction.

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Jul 2 • 1:51 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Aston Martin boss Newey reveals health issues led to 'difficult period'

Adrian Newey has revealed he was battling health issues during his first year at Aston Martin, leading to a "difficult period" as the team also struggled to adapt to Formula 1's 2026 regulations.

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Jul 1 • 8:09 AM EDT • Health • espn.com
How Elite Sports Coaches Make High-Pressure Decisions

Drawing on interviews with 11 elite coaches across major U.S., European, Australian, and New Zealand professional sports leagues, the authors show that high-pressure decisions aren’t a single “formula” but a set of practices that unfold before, during, and after pivotal moments—and translate directly to business leadership. Top coaches combine disciplined preparation with emotional control and social awareness during crunch time and accountability and continual system improvement after the fact.

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Jul 1 • 12:00 AM EDT • Sports • hbr.org
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Win Fin, Flow Fork, Speed Sniffer: Specialized launches 'fastest road bike ever made' in the S-Works Tarmac SL9

American brand draws on Formula 1 lap times software to quantify performance beyond just aero and weight

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Jun 30 • 9:14 AM EDT • Technology • cyclingnews.com
3M joins Cadillac Formula 1® Team as Official Material Science Partner to accelerate racing performance

/PRNewswire/ -- The Cadillac Formula 1® Team and 3M today announced a multi-year global partnership to push the limits of innovation in the world's toughest...

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Jun 30 • 9:02 AM EDT • Science • prnewswire.com
3M joins Cadillac Formula 1® Team as Official Material Science Partner to accelerate racing performance

Multi-year global partnership will focus on lightweight materials, manufacturing and testing to aid on-track performance ST. PAUL, Minn. and INDIANAPOLIS, June 30, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The...

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Jun 30 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • news.3m.com
Iran’s leverage over Strait of Hormuz snarls Trump’s push for a deal

Washington and Tehran are back at the negotiating table after a fragile ceasefire. But experts remain skeptical the two sides are close to a nuclear deal, even as calm oil markets reduce pressure to reach one.

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Jun 30 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
West Palm Beach business collecting items for Venezuela

Across the region, donation drives are collecting baby formula, medical supplies, nonperishable food and other essentials for families affected by the disaster.

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Jun 29 • 11:53 AM EDT • Business • wpbf.com