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Beshear vetoes bill that would have reshaped JCPS board

In his April 13 veto of Senate Bill 4, Beshear said the legislation violates the state's constitution by attempting to control the boards of Louisville and Lexington's school districts.

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Apr 14 • 3:55 PM EDT • Politics • wdrb.com
This Bustling Florida City's Walkable Downtown Has Artsy Attractions, Entertainment, And Top-Notch Eateries

St. Petersburg, Florida, is highly popular for its countless attractions, such as museums, restaurants, and theaters, all of which are close to one another.

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Apr 14 • 3:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • islands.com
Register Now: 2026 Ohio Small Business Day & Legislative Reception!

Join NFIB in Columbus on May 12 & 13.

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Apr 14 • 2:54 PM EDT • Business • nfib.com
What's new at Kings Island this year? Highly anticipated ride, entertainment & more

Kings Island is ready to open for the season, with new and returning rides, entertainment and more.

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Apr 14 • 2:18 PM EDT • Entertainment • wlwt.com
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Louisiana political donors would have addresses redacted from public reports under bill

The Louisiana Legislature might block the public from seeing the addresses of political donors who give money to election campaigns starting Aug. 1.

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Apr 14 • 1:41 PM EDT • Politics • lailluminator.com
CBIA slams Appropriations Committee for rejecting small business health care bill

The state’s largest business organization is taking Connecticut legislators to task after the Appropriations Committee failed Monday to approve a bill that aims to help small businesses with their health care costs.

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Apr 14 • 1:38 PM EDT • Health • hartfordbusiness.com
CBIA slams Appropriations Committee for rejecting small business health care bill

The state’s largest business organization is taking Connecticut legislators to task after the Appropriations Committee failed Monday to approve a bill that aims to help small businesses with their health care costs.

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Apr 14 • 1:38 PM EDT • Business • hartfordbusiness.com
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore falls short in bid to redraw congressional map to boost Democrats

A proposal for a new Maryland congressional map has officially died with the conclusion of the state's legislative session.

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Apr 14 • 1:34 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Business Woman, Legislator, Philanthropist and Alumna Toni Boucher Describes Her Journey from Poverty to the American Dream

Boucher, one of the School of Business’ most important alumni benefactors and the undergraduate commencement speaker this spring, has long been a champion o ...

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Apr 14 • 1:12 PM EDT • Business • today.uconn.edu
Ethics panel clears Life Science Hub board member for paid adviser gig under ‘hardship’ exception

The Rhode Island Ethics Commission unanimously approved a staff recommendation Tuesday allowing Patrice Milos to serve as a paid advisor to the Life Science Hub, despite Milos' recent role on the 15-person, volunteer board for the agency.

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Apr 14 • 12:17 PM EDT • Science • rhodeislandcurrent.com
Ethics panel clears Life Science Hub board member for paid adviser gig under ‘hardship’ exception

For the second time in less than two years, Patrice Milos is temporarily swapping her volunteer role on the board for the Rhode Island Life Science Hub to take a paid agency position. And again, the s...

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Apr 14 • 12:17 PM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Small business R&D tax credit proposal makes progress in CT legislature

State lawmakers have moved along a proposal to expand access to research and development tax incentives for small businesses, an effort that has failed in previous legislative sessions.

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Apr 14 • 10:04 AM EDT • Business • hartfordbusiness.com
Millions of people are pretending to be AI chatbots

Websites like youraislopbores.me have become playgrounds for people looking for light relief in a bot-heavy world.

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Apr 14 • 9:30 AM EDT • Technology • npr.org
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Tulsa, OKC business leaders unite for first joint Washington, D.C. trip

Business leaders from across Oklahoma are heading to the nation's capitol this week to advocate for a shared legislative agenda aimed at boosting economic development across the state.

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Apr 14 • 8:14 AM EDT • Business • newson6.com
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10 Reasons to Wait for the iPhone 18 Pro

Apple's iPhone development roadmap runs several years into the future and the company is continually working with suppliers on several successive iPhone models at the same time, which is why we often get rumored features months ahead of launch. The iPhone 18 series is no different, and we already have a good idea of what to expect for the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max.

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Apr 14 • 7:39 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Ultimate science trip

Thirteen juniors and seniors, led by three Westminster Christian Academy science teachers, spent their spring break exploring Quito, Ecuador and the Galápagos Islands. The trip was an unforgettable hands-on journey

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Apr 14 • 7:30 AM EDT • Science • westnewsmagazine.com
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Safeguarding health care in rural Missouri demands a new approach

Missouri lawmakers are right to treat the collapse of rural health care as an urgent crisis. Nearly half of the state’s remaining rural hospitals are at risk of closure, and many communities already know what it means to lose emergency rooms, labor and delivery services and timely stroke care. In this environment, legislation allowing MU […]

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Apr 14 • 6:50 AM EDT • Health • missouriindependent.com
21 Long Island students win first place at science competition

The winners are eligible to compete at the International Science and Engineering Fair in Phoenix.

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Apr 14 • 5:00 AM EDT • Science • newsday.com
Tap THC beverage tax to address budget gap

By Christine Lafferty Colorado is faced with the largest budget deficit in recent memory — calculated to be a $1.5 billion hole according to the state’s Joint Budget Committee. Legislators have been scrambling to address this gap, which signals massive cuts to important state services such as education, climate management, and health care. It’s time for […]

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Apr 14 • 2:45 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
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Gov. Wes Moore falls short in push to redraw Maryland's congressional map to boost Democrats

A proposal for a new Maryland congressional map has officially died with the conclusion of the state’s legislative session

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Apr 14 • 12:44 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Businesses look back at a week fueled by Merrie Monarch rush

With thousands flying into Hawaii Island, it’s a crucial sales week for local businesses, but many are navigating steep prices and high operating costs.

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Apr 13 • 11:35 PM EDT • Business • hawaiinewsnow.com
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How information disorder shapes global politics

In international politics, outcomes are shaped not only by what countries do, but by how those actions are perceived. UC Santa Barbara political scientist Julia Morse studies how information disorder — a media environment where it’s easy to create content and spread false or misleading material — shapes international politics. “At the end of the day, it may or […]

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Apr 13 • 10:58 PM EDT • Politics • yubanet.com
US crude futures fall over $1 as traders weigh supply risks

U.S. crude futures fell ​more than $1 in ‌early Asian trade on Tuesday as ​traders balanced heightened ​supply risks linked to ⁠a U.S. blockade ​of Iranian shipping ​in the Strait of Hormuz with reports that Washington ​and Tehran ​were still open to talks ‌after ⁠a tense meeting in Islamabad.

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Apr 13 • 6:13 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Kelly vetoes sports tourism program, allows religious freedom bill to move forward

Gov. Laura Kelly vetoed legislation to create a sports tourism grant program focused on expanding state investment in sporting events.

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Apr 13 • 5:55 PM EDT • Sports • kansasreflector.com
Chagos Islands treaty is now ‘impossible to agree at political level’, UK minister says

Stephen Doughty says US withdrawal of support means bill cannot complete passage through parliament

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Apr 13 • 3:58 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Kansas governor signs sports authority bill to guide Kansas City Chiefs’ developments

The governor, state legislative leaders and owners of the NFL franchise announced in December the framework of a deal for developing a domed stadium surrounded by an entertainment district in Wyandotte County, in addition to the team’s headquarters, training facility and related developments in Johnson County.

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Apr 13 • 11:20 AM EDT • Sports • hppr.org
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Sewell pitches Medicare reimbursement bill during rural health roundtable

Bipartisan legislation would raise Medicare reimbursement rates for rural hospitals to help them stay afloat.

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Apr 13 • 9:19 AM EDT • Health • aldailynews.com
Filmmaking Stony Brook Brothers to be Honored at Long Island Music and Entertainment Hall of Fame

Screening of Famulari brother’s debut film “Best Man” as part of Local Filmmaker Series Brothers Anthony and Ryan Famulari from Stony Brook will be recognized by LIMEHOF with a screening and Q&A of their debut feature ‘Best Man’ on April 24 th as part of the local filmmaker series. Stony Brook, NY — The Long Island Music and Entertainment Hall of Fame (LIMEHOF) will host Stony Brook filmmaking brothers Ryan Famulari and Anthony Famulari on April 24 th at 7pm at LIMEHOF in Stony Brook (97 Main Street) as part of its Local Filmmaker Series. The two will screen their debut feature ‘Best Man’. The film screening will be followed by Q&A moderated by LIMEHOF Vice Chairman Tom Needham. The event is free for members and $10 for non-members.

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • iloveny.com
Hawaiʻi businesses reminded to file their second quarter annual business reports

The annual report filing period is related to the business entity’s registration date and can be filed at any time during the quarter in which the filing is due; second quarter reports must be filed by midnight June 30.

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Apr 13 • 9:00 AM EDT • Business • bigislandnow.com
Opinion: I was recruited to play a sport here, but first, my family had to pay for it

It was a hot summer day in east Long Island. Hundreds of kids and parents from across the country piled into a sports complex consisting of four adjacent turf baseball fields. The gates were manned by a brigade of staff who were commandeering the large crowd. “Are these credentials right?” they asked as they showed...

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Apr 13 • 8:52 AM EDT • Sports • thesandb.com
How information disorder shapes global politics

UC Santa Barbara political scientist Julia Morse studies how information disorder — a media environment where it’s easy to create content and spread false or misleading material — shapes international politics.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • news.ucsb.edu
New law may delay Knoxville elections a year. What do candidates think?

A bill in the Tennessee legislature would force some officeholders to stay in office a fifth year and others to wait their turn.

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Apr 13 • 5:06 AM EDT • Politics • knoxnews.com
Politics made Alabama power bills high. It can lower them

The Alabama Legislature passed a law to cut the public out of the rate-making process. Here’s the flaw in it.

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Apr 13 • 5:03 AM EDT • Politics • montgomeryadvertiser.com
Sand, science and strategy: Strengthening the shores of Presque Isle

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Buffalo District, has just released a very interesting video named ‘Sand, science and strategy: Strengthening the Shores of Presque Isle’. This video shows how the Buffalo District – using modern technology and hands-on expertise – fights erosion and protects the coastline of Presque Isle for the future: This content […]

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Apr 13 • 4:43 AM EDT • Science • dredgingtoday.com
Minnesota politics: Previewing governor's race, Iran war impact | FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul

Political analyst Blois Olson takes a look ahead to what could be the most expensive legislative race in Minnesota history. He also examines how the war in Iran could impact voting choices in rural areas.

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Apr 12 • 6:27 PM EDT • Politics • fox9.com
Sunday Sports: Thousand Island Spirits still in need of a home and more

Here’s a recap of your North Country sports this Sunday.

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Apr 12 • 6:18 PM EDT • Sports • wwnytv.com
New York's Largest Shopping Mall Is An Entertainment Hub With Premium Shops And Restaurants

Destiny USA mall in New York is more than just a place to shop and eat -- it's also a destination people travel to for the experience.

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Apr 12 • 2:25 PM EDT • Entertainment • islands.com
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Things to do in Cincinnati this week, April 13-19

If you're looking for the best events happening in Cincinnati, you're at the right place. Find your next concert, game, festival or family event.

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Apr 12 • 12:49 PM EDT • Entertainment • cincinnati.com
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Scottish election 2026: Party leaders to go head-to-head in debate

The leaders of six political parties face questions from a live studio audience at Paisley Town Hall.

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Apr 12 • 12:35 PM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
👑 Muriqi cements Mallorca legacy with brace against Vallecano

There's a new name atop the goalscoring pantheon in the Balearic Islands after Kosovar star Vedat Muriqi continued his scintillating 2025/26 form against Rayo Vallecano. The 31-year-old Prizren-born t...

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Apr 12 • 12:23 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Trump says gas prices could be same or 'a little bit higher' before midterms

One of the sticking points in the negotiations held in Islamabad has been Iran's stranglehold over the Strait of Hormuz.

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Apr 12 • 11:58 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Minnesota politics: Previewing governor's race and Iran war impact | FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul

Political analyst Blois Olson takes a look ahead to what could be the most expensive legislative race in Minnesota history. He also examines how the war in Iran could impact voting choices in rural areas.

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Apr 12 • 11:42 AM EDT • Politics • fox9.com
Sports Roundup: Girls Tennis Wins At Home, Baseball & Boys Lax Win…

Nantucket Current is the island's leading online news source. We deliver the news, stories, and people of Nantucket, unbiased and unfiltered.

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Apr 12 • 11:25 AM EDT • Sports • nantucketcurrent.com
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Illinois Court Hears Final Lawsuit Challenging Marijuana Social Equity Business Licensing Lottery

“We just want a fair shot. We’re not asking for anything special, no special privileges, but what they promised from the very beginning.” By Hannah Meisel, Capitol News Illinois Nearly seven years after Illinois lawmakers approved recreational cannabis legalization, applicants who lost out on coveted business licenses are still battling the state in court, alleging […]

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Apr 12 • 10:15 AM EDT • Business • marijuanamoment.net
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Prosecutors seek reforms to California’s ‘broken’ mental health diversion program

District attorneys throughout the state are pushing for legislative changes that would tighten up requirements under which a judge can grant diversion.

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Apr 12 • 9:50 AM EDT • Health • ocregister.com
Cuba leader says island will ‘resist’ U.S. threats, refuses to release political prisoners

“I have no fear. I am willing to give my life for the revolution.”

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Apr 12 • 9:05 AM EDT • Politics • miamiherald.com
Early data promising on RI's evolving behavioral health model

Rhode Island's certified community behavioral health clinics are showing promising results, increasing access and improving outcomes, the author says.

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Apr 12 • 6:05 AM EDT • Health • providencejournal.com
Home rule has protected Colorado cities for more than 125 years

Colorado is currently gripped by a political struggle. It’s one between the governor and state legislature in Denver on one side and populous “home rule” city governments, mainly on the Front Range — such as Colorado Springs. The state legislature in the past few years has been passing bills that applied to city government policies, […]

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Apr 12 • 2:45 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Tribal and Rural Healthcare at Risk in Oklahoma Gov. Stitt’s Attack on Medicaid

Guest Opinion Oklahoma leaders often visit Cherokee Nation’s Health System and celebrate our progress and tout our unmistakable impact on the health and economy of rural communities. Now, Governor Stitt is putting us on a path that will damage that very system. Recently the Oklahoma legislature passed Oklahoma HB 4440 and HJR 1067 to reverse […]

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Apr 12 • 12:00 AM EDT • Health • nativenewsonline.net
Pastors Scott Bottoms, Victor Marx win spots in Colorado GOP’s gubernatorial primary at party assembly

Two pastors from Colorado Springs qualified Saturday for the Republican gubernatorial primary ballot at the Colorado GOP’s state assembly in Pueblo in a party meeting that dragged late into the night. State Rep. Scott Bottoms, who is known as one of the legislature’s most conservative members, won top line on the June ballot, while missionary […]

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Apr 11 • 11:41 PM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Arkansas legislators seek input from health care professionals to help inform policy

FAYETTEVILLE -- Health care workers are the foot soldiers in the battle to improve care in Arkansas, and legislators need their input to make sure state policies and programs are having the most impact, according to state Rep. Aaron Pilkington.

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Apr 11 • 11:20 PM EDT • Health • nwaonline.com
Dauphin Island Sea Lab hosts Discovery Day open house

The event offered hands-on science lessons and free aquarium admission for children.

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Apr 11 • 11:19 PM EDT • Science • fox10tv.com
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High school sports don't stop for the weekend. Here's what happened Saturday

The high school sports schedule doesn't take a weekend off. We've got the stories, scores and more from all of the games in Rhode Island played on Saturday, April 11, 2026.

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Apr 11 • 10:24 PM EDT • Sports • providencejournal.com
U.S. Moves to Deport Son of Prominent Figure in Iranian Revolution

Federal agents arrested a man whose mother served as a spokeswoman for the Islamist embassy captors during the hostage crisis that began in 1979.

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Apr 11 • 1:56 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
This Week in Politics: New York's (late) state budget | WNYC | New York Public Radio, Podcasts, Live Streaming Radio, News

What's holding up the state budget this time? WNYC's Jon Campbell charts the distance between the governor and the Legislature.

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Apr 11 • 1:13 PM EDT • Politics • wnyc.org
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Rhode Island Marijuana Business License Lottery Blocked By Federal Judge Amid Challenge To Residency Rules

“Knowing the Act was facing legal challenges…CCC continued forward with its plan to implement the Act and its licensing scheme. The resulting fall-out will be, to be blunt, self-inflicted.” By Christopher Shea, Rhode Island Currant Nearly 100 applicants vying for 20 new cannabis retail licenses that were supposed to be awarded via lottery as soon […]

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Apr 11 • 12:23 PM EDT • Business • marijuanamoment.net
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Apple’s Biggest Camera Jump Ever: The iPhone 18 Pro Max Brings Pro-Level Glass to Your Pocket

Everything you need to know about the iPhone 18 Pro Max camera jump. From Pro-level glass to the 35% smaller Dynamic Island.

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Apr 11 • 11:00 AM EDT • Technology • geeky-gadgets.com
UMA, UMPI launch online medical laboratory science bachelor's degree to expand Maine’s healthcare workforce

The University of Maine at Presque Isle and the University of Maine at Augusta are launching a bachelor of science in medical laboratory science degree

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Apr 11 • 8:59 AM EDT • Science • thecounty.me
‘It’s solid gold’: Some Texas Republicans ramp up criticisms of Muslims to energize primary voters

Running in a contentious race to keep his seat, US Sen. John Cornyn put out an ad vowing to fight “radical Islam.”

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Apr 11 • 8:57 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
UMA, UMPI launch online medical laboratory science bachelor's degree to expand Maine’s healthcare workforce

The University of Maine at Presque Isle and the University of Maine at Augusta are launching a bachelor of science in medical laboratory science degree

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Apr 11 • 8:57 AM EDT • Science • bangordailynews.com
Vance, who wasn’t keen on Iran war, now tasked with trying to end it

The weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad mark Vance’s highest-profile assignment as vice president, with concomitant political risk.

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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Blake Dowling: Delilah app aims to simplify legislation, boost civic engagement

People in The Process: Legislation? There is an app for that; meet Joseph Visconti and Delilah.

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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Isla Vista Businesses Share Exclusion Concerns After Soltopia Festival

While Soltopia succeeded in lowering arrests, citations and hospitalizations compared with past Deltopia events in Isla Vista, some business owners felt

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Apr 10 • 11:35 PM EDT • Business • noozhawk.com
Ayush Shetty in Badminton Asia C'ship semifinal; Candidates resumes after rest day; ISL; shooting WC continues: Indian Sports LIVE, April 11

Here are all the updates from Indian sports on April 11, 2026.

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Apr 10 • 10:30 PM EDT • Sports • africa.espn.com
Ayush Shetty in Badminton Asia C'ship semifinal; Candidates resumes after rest day; ISL; shooting WC continues: Indian Sports LIVE, April 11

Here are all the updates from Indian sports on April 11, 2026.

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Apr 10 • 10:30 PM EDT • Sports • espn.com
Artemis II returns: Oakland science center celebrates end of historic moon mission

THE CHABOT SPACE AND SCIENCE CENTER in Oakland hosted an event on Friday to celebrate the Artemis II mission ahead of the touchdown of the project’s

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Apr 10 • 9:00 PM EDT • Science • localnewsmatters.org
Nominate Your Company for the Hawai‘i Excellence in Business Awards

Hawaii Business Magazine invites you to recognize the companies making a difference across the islands

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Apr 10 • 8:30 PM EDT • Business • hawaiibusiness.com
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BIA Business Perspective: Legislative crossover brings business priorities into focus

By Natch Greyes

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Apr 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • unionleader.com
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Democrats turn to strikers to talk politics under GOP majority

With only a handful of their bills getting a chance to be heard in committee, legislative Democrats have turned to striker amendments to generate attention.

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Apr 10 • 3:42 PM EDT • Politics • azcapitoltimes.com
URI’s Biomechanics Day event exposes younger students to high-tech science, promotes STEM fields

KINGSTON, R.I. — April 10, 2026 — High school and middle school students from around the state got a hands-on experience with the high-tech equipment used by the University of Rhode Island College of Health Sciences during URI’s annual celebration of National Biomechanics Day in Mackal Field House on April 8. More than 500 students […]

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Apr 10 • 1:44 PM EDT • Science • uri.edu
Gov. Laura Kelly signs bills altering defendant competency process, child health care program

Gov. Laura Kelly announces the signing of more than 50 bills approved by the 2026 Kansas Legislature.

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Apr 10 • 12:31 PM EDT • Health • kansasreflector.com
Cozy RPG Deleted From Steam After Seemingly Ripping Off Tetris

The farming sim was removed from Steam last night by the developers, who cited "insufficient verification during the planning stage of a minigame" as the cause

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Apr 10 • 9:57 AM EDT • Technology • kotaku.com
Legislators, behavioral health professionals discuss Westmoreland County mental health goals, challenges

Legislators and behavioral health professionals will discuss the mental health challenges and priorities among Westmoreland County residents Friday. The fourth annual mental health legislative breakfast, held at the Westmoreland Intermediate Unit, is a partnership between Westmoreland County Commissioner Doug Chew, Mental Health America of Southwestern Pennsylvania and Adelphoi. This year’s

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Apr 10 • 8:32 AM EDT • Health • triblive.com
Cuban president defiant despite Trump pressure to resign

Miguel Diaz-Canel vows to resist US pressure as Trump escalates threats, tightens oil blockade on the island.

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Apr 10 • 7:34 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Group behind transgender school sports referendum opposes drafted ballot question wording

The group 'Protect Girls Sports in Maine' is taking issue with how ballot question is worded, arguing it is "not dutifully faithful to the proposed legislative text and has departed from the most critical language."

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Apr 10 • 7:07 AM EDT • Sports • wmtw.com
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Slate of new Virginia laws address health care and housing affordability

Addressing health care and housing affordability were prominent pillars of Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s successful campaign and Virginia Democrats’ legislative agenda this year. Cost-conscious proposals saturated the 2026 legislative session and many have become law.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • virginiamercury.com
Southampton's Eckert wins manager of the month award

Southampton head coach Tonda Eckert is named the Championship's manager of the month for March.

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Apr 10 • 3:09 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship set for Hawaii debut

Combat sports are back in the islands this weekend.

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Apr 10 • 12:03 AM EDT • Sports • hawaiinewsnow.com
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KAMIKURA: Weaponization of religion in U.S. politics

In the U.S. Constitution, written in 1787, the founders did not mention any god. In god's absence on paper, the founders reinforce the separation of church and state. The First Amendment, passed in 1789 and ratified in 1791 in the Bill of Rights, states that Congress may not do anything to legislatively restrict the free practice of religion. But in the current political climate, the state and church are becoming increasingly intertwined.

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Apr 9 • 8:48 PM EDT • Politics • dailytargum.com
Borders Railway extension business case due by late 2027

It could ultimately pave the way for extending the rail line from Tweedbank to Carlisle.

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Apr 9 • 6:05 PM EDT • Business • yahoo.com
Starting a Business

Marco Island has strong household income, steady tourism, and a customer base that values quality. On paper, it looks like an ideal market. But the longer you spend here, the more you realize something familiar: The opportunity is real. So are the constraints.

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Apr 9 • 5:46 PM EDT • Business • coastalbreezenews.com
The Politics Hour: Prince George's County anti-ICE bills

WAMU's Alex Koma on the D.C. budget, VA Rep. Suhas Subramanyam gives the latest on the Iran War, and Prince George's County Council Vice Chair Eric Olson talks anti-ICE legislation.

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Apr 9 • 4:28 PM EDT • Politics • wamu.org
Goodwill closes behavioral health services program in Grand Island

Goodwill is shutting down behavioral health programs in Grand Island, which served those struggling with developmental disabilities, brain injuries, mental health, substance use and more.

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Apr 9 • 4:17 PM EDT • Health • nebraskapublicmedia.org
Apple Apparently Still Undecided on iPhone 18 Pro Dynamic Island

Apple is weighing two options for the iPhone 18 Pro's Dynamic Island, and a final decision has yet to be made, according to the Weibo leaker known as Digital Chat Station.

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Apr 9 • 11:11 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Abortion Pill’s Safety Called into Question in Congressional Actions Based on Misleading Data — The Monitor

False claims about the safety of mifepristone are driving legislative and investigative action in Congress, even as major medical organizations and decades of clinical evidence support the drug’s safety. And competing interpretations of what censorship and free speech mean are impacting how health misinformation is moderated.

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Apr 9 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • kff.org
Conservative Activists Take Aim At Native Hawaiian Health Scholarship

A new lawsuit filed by a legal advocacy nonprofit says a 35-year-old federal scholarship program that brought Native Hawaiian doctors to the islands is unconstitutional.

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Apr 9 • 6:01 AM EDT • Health • civilbeat.org
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A shooting shattered their family. Annapolis is playing politics with their grief.

Legislative bumps and political infighting in Annapolis shroud passage of a NyKayla Strawder memorial bill, a teen killed by a 9-year-old with access to his grandmother's gun.

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Apr 9 • 5:30 AM EDT • Politics • thebanner.com
Riverhead moves to seize Long Island Science Center building by eminent domain

The center insists it has the resources to renovate the property and open soon.

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Apr 9 • 5:00 AM EDT • Science • newsday.com
Ohio Republican lawmakers proposed major new sports betting restrictions

Three Ohio Republican lawmakers are introducing legislation to place “guardrails” on the state’s sports betting system, including stopping online/phone gambling, limits on wagers, banning the use of credit for betting, and limiting advertisement.

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Apr 9 • 4:00 AM EDT • Sports • ohiocapitaljournal.com
The Future of Colorado condo development

By Peter LiFari For nearly two decades, the story of condominium construction in Colorado has been mistold, misunderstood and misrepresented. This outcome reflects the cumulative effect of more than two decades of Colorado policy, beginning with the Construction Defect Action Reform Act of 2001 and evolving through subsequent legislative changes, that have reshaped the risk landscape governing […]

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Apr 9 • 2:45 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Hasan Piker accuses Bill Maher of being an 'Islamophobe' and demonstrating 'anti-Blackness'

Twitch streamer Hasan Piker slams Democrats for refusing his show while appearing with Bill Maher, alleging a double standard on Islamophobia.

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Apr 8 • 6:52 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Health Subcommittee: Healthier America: Legislative Proposals to Improve Public Health

The Committee on Energy and Commerce is the oldest standing legislative committee in the U.S. House of Representatives and is vested with the broadest jurisdiction of any congressional authorizing committee.

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Apr 8 • 6:16 PM EDT • Health • energycommerce.house.gov
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Ohio legislation would require in-person sports betting, ban parlays and prop bets

Republicans in the Ohio Statehouse have proposed a pair of bills that would limit which kinds of sports bets could be placed and would eliminate mobile betting, requiring all wagers to be placed in…

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Apr 8 • 5:35 PM EDT • Sports • nbc4i.com
New Virginia economic laws: Gov. Spanberger signs legislation addressing cost of living, health care

Gov. Abigail Spanberger has signed another batch of legislation into Virginia law, the most recent bills addressing cost of living and health care, according to a news release from her office.

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Apr 8 • 3:55 PM EDT • Health • wtvr.com
Photos of Patriots coach Mike Vrabel and NFL reporter at Arizona hotel are misleading, reporter says

In photos published by Page Six, The Athletic reporter Dianna Russini and the New England Patriots head coach are seen hanging out at the Ambiente luxury hotel in Sedona.

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Apr 8 • 12:09 PM EDT • Sports • nbcnews.com
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Israeli strikes kill 89, wound 700 in Lebanon, health ministry says

A dozen medics are reportedly among those killed.

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Apr 8 • 12:07 PM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
William Wertheim Named One of Crain’s New York Business 2026 Notable Leaders in Healthcare

Recognition highlights leadership in advancing Stony Brook Medicine as an integrated academic health system serving Long Island William Wertheim, MD, MBA, executive vice president of Stony Brook Medicine, has been named one of Crain's New York Business 2026 Notable Leaders in Healthcare. This prestigious recognition honors professionals who have demonstrated exceptional leadership in healthcare, driven

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Apr 8 • 11:24 AM EDT • Business • news.stonybrook.edu
Riverhead Moves Forward with Condemnation Proceedings for Long Island Science Center

In a 3-2 vote, the Riverhead Town Board voted Tuesday afternoon to begin condemnation proceedings for the Long Island Science Center property at 111 East Main Street, on the Riverhead Town Square, over the objections of several community members and representatives of the Science Center. Pictured Above: Riverhead Councilman Bob Kern (left), with an architectural rendering of

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Apr 8 • 10:52 AM EDT • Science • eastendbeacon.com
Half of US States Are Now in Revolt Over Money in Politics

Idaho became the 25th state Wednesday to formally urge Congress to propose a constitutional amendment that allows federal and state legislative bodies to have greater authority over the flow of money in US politics.

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Apr 8 • 9:23 AM EDT • Politics • ivn.us
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