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Results for " 1d " 25,265 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Iowa State Fair hints at expanded entertainment lineup ahead of reveal

DES MOINES, Iowa — The Iowa State Fair is not just another summer tradition this year. It is shaping up to feel bigger, louder, and more unpredictable as it ties into the nationwide America 250 celebr...

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Apr 12 • 8:52 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
DHS investigating claim about Swalwell nanny filed by conspiracy theorist

Joel Gilbert, who mailed anti-Barack Obama film to voters in 2012, accuses congressman of violating immigration law

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Apr 12 • 8:04 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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Scottish Association for Marine Science: Unlocking red seaweed for food flavor, color & hybrid proteins
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Apr 12 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • foodingredientsfirst.com
MSU hosts Out of the Darkness Campus Walk for mental health awareness

Michigan State University students gathered this morning to raise mental health awareness.

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Apr 12 • 7:35 PM EDT • Health • wilx.com
Is Caesars Entertainment (CZR) Offering Value After Recent Share Price Swings?

If you are wondering whether Caesars Entertainment at US$26.88 is a bargain or a value trap, the key is understanding what you are really paying for today. The stock is up 1.3% over the last week and 14.1% year to date, but that sits alongside a 4.2% decline over the last month and longer term returns of 6.1% over 1 year, 38.2% over 3 years and 71.3% over 5 years. Those mixed returns sit against a backdrop of ongoing attention on Caesars Entertainment as a major US gaming and hospitality...

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Apr 12 • 7:09 PM EDT • Entertainment • finance.yahoo.com
Jim Cramer on D-Wave (QBTS): “Maybe the Science Project Works Out, But It Is More of a Science Project”

D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) is among the stocks Jim Cramer discussed alongside the tech market divide. A caller asked if Cramer thinks companies like D-Wave Quantum are positioned to rebound. In response, Cramer commented: Well, I think it’s more of a, candidly, it’s more of a science project, which I don’t mean, you know, look, […]

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Apr 12 • 6:02 PM EDT • Science • finance.yahoo.com
Baseball great Phil Garner dies aged 76 after cancer battle

Phil Garner has passed away at the age of 76

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Apr 12 • 3:10 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
News Analysis: Trump's Strait of Hormuz blockade risks clash with China

It is a high-stakes moment ahead of a closely watched summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing next month.

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Apr 12 • 1:37 PM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
Will thrilling Scottish title race be decided on goal difference?

Rangers' 6-3 win over Falkirk extends the Ibrox side's advantage over leaders Heart of Midlothian and Celtic should the Scottish Premiership title be decided on goal difference.

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Apr 12 • 1:02 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Educate, empower, and advocate: Mercy Medical Center midwife discusses Black Maternal Health Week

Mercy Medical Center midwife Kia Hollis joins Jenyne Donaldson to discuss Black Maternal Health Week.

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Apr 12 • 12:30 PM EDT • Health • wbaltv.com
👑 Muriqi cements Mallorca legacy with brace against Vallecano

There's a new name atop the goalscoring pantheon in the Balearic Islands after Kosovar star Vedat Muriqi continued his scintillating 2025/26 form against Rayo Vallecano. The 31-year-old Prizren-born t...

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Apr 12 • 12:23 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Dons boss Robinson will not relax until safety is secured

Stephen Robinson does not want Aberdeen to relax during their two-week break after they recorded a much-needed 2-0 win over Hibernian to boost their William Hill Premiership survival hopes. Kevin Nisbet netted from the penalty spot after Grant Hanley was sent off for hauling down Toyosi Olusanya and the Scotland striker added a second with 15 minutes to go to end a nine-match winless league run. The Dons are five points above Kilmarnock, who sit in the relegation play-off spot with five games to play, and the two teams clash at Pittodrie in the next round of Premiership fixtures which does not take place until April 25.

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Apr 12 • 11:41 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
'Steve Witkoff, Trump's favorite negotiator, boosts his business more than peace'

COLUMN. The billionaire's fortune has risen by 15% since Donald Trump appointed him special envoy for peace, historian Jean-Pierre Filiu observes in his column.

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Apr 12 • 11:30 AM EDT • Business • lemonde.fr
NH's Business: NH labor force participation

Fred Kocher sits down with Jessica Williams with the NH Fiscal Policy Institute to talk about data from the 2025 labor force participation in New Hampshire.

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Apr 12 • 10:15 AM EDT • Business • wmur.com
Jon Jones may ‘feel the fire’ to return after UFC 327 but Dana White definitely does not

Jon Jones continues to flip flop on whether or not he intends to retire from the sport, which doesn’t surprise UFC CEO Dana White one bit. White spent the last couple of years glazing Jon Jones as the GOAT of MMA, but that all ended after “Bones” retired in June 2025, reneging on a reported […]

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Apr 12 • 10:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Up a ramp, finally off the big river

KALTAG — A few hours ago, Forest Wagner and I shoved our loaded bikes up a ramp of snow and onto Front Street.

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Apr 12 • 10:00 AM EDT • Science • newsminer.com
Heartland Sports on The Breakfast Show 4/12

Heartland Sports on The Breakfast Show 4/12

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Apr 12 • 9:33 AM EDT • Sports • kptv.com
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The Rundown | Last Week in Michigan Politics (4-10-26)
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Apr 12 • 9:30 AM EDT • Politics • wzzm13.com
Old Forge library to host two original plays

Two original plays will be performed April 16 at Old Forge Library. The free event features local actors and a debut production.

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Apr 12 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • romesentinel.com
2026 Greenville Heart Walk shines spotlight on survivors and heart health

The Heart Walk will be holding their first walk in Spartanburg County on Friday, April 17, at Fifth Third Park.

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Apr 12 • 8:37 AM EDT • Health • hawaiinewsnow.com
😐 Neutral (13%)
TikTok vigilante Daadi Snacks calls out obnoxious influencers

The creator behind the Daadi Snacks TikTok account posts videos criticizing influencer behavior. Some of his targets have not been amused.

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Apr 12 • 8:15 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
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Broussard: LeBron James runs Lakers' offense better than Luka Doncic

Chris Broussard of Fox Sports 1 feels that as great as Luka Doncic has spearheaded the Lakers' offense, LeBron James may be even better in that area.

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Apr 12 • 8:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Player status report, presented by Orlando Health: Orlando City SC at Columbus Crew SC

Here is the Player Status Report, presented by Orlando Health, for Saturday's away match at Nashville SC

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Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • orlandocitysc.com
How do you give a giant otter a health check?

Staff at Jersey Zoo had to overcome challenging logistics to help one of their large mammals.

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Apr 12 • 7:44 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Philippines says any energy deals with China must respect its sovereignty

The Philippines said on Sunday that any decision to pursue oil and gas cooperation ​with China would be made strictly in line ‌with its constitution and respect its sovereignty.

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Apr 12 • 7:33 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Best 2-in-1 Laptops (2026): Microsoft, Lenovo, and the iPad

Whether you want a detachable tablet or a laptop screen that spins, these 2-in-1 devices manage to balance being both a tablet and a laptop.

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Apr 12 • 7:30 AM EDT • Technology • wired.com
How the Mall of Louisiana survived the retail apocalypse — and how it can continue to stay afloat

Since 1997, the Mall of Louisiana has served as Baton Rouge’s go-to shopping center, surviving a period when many malls suffered from financial pressures and competition with online shopping.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • theadvocate.com
Pulling Reports, Playing Politics

The CIA’s retraction of intelligence reports should raise concerns about politicization and the Trump administration’s embrace of white supremacist rhetoric.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • lawfaremedia.org
Taco Bell's Golden Bell awards are key to its company growth

Taco Bell's annual management retreat is more than recognition for its top-performing staff — it's a key driver of growth and staff retention.

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Apr 12 • 4:11 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Scottie Scheffler blitzed Augusta National. And then a reporter's question

Scottie Scheffler played his best-ever Masters round on Saturday.

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Apr 12 • 2:18 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Pacoima business owners say Montague Street conditions are driving customers away
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Apr 12 • 2:14 AM EDT • Business • yahoo.com
Politics: Iowa gubernatorial race shifts to 'toss-up'

The nonpartisan political prediction source Cook Political Report has classified Iowa’s 2026 gubernatorial race as a “toss-up” ahead of this November’s midterms.

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Apr 12 • 2:00 AM EDT • Politics • telegraphherald.com
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Illinois football hosts Mom’s Weekend practice

CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (WCIA) — Illini football took a break from the traditional spring practice for one that featured a special twist. Amidst mom’s weekend on the U of I campus, players’ moms took to the practice field with their sons for a second straight season. These football families are grateful for the quality time together […]

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Apr 12 • 12:20 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
What Now? Vance Leaves Iran Talks Without a Deal.

The lack of a breakthrough after 21 hours of negotiations leaves the Trump administration facing several unpalatable options.

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Apr 12 • 12:09 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Trump Was Watching a U.F.C. Fight in Miami While Iran Talks Collapsed

On his way to Florida, President Trump said it did not matter to him if a deal with Iran was reached or not: “We win, regardless,” he said.

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Apr 11 • 11:44 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Southern Illinois Earth Science Club hosts 56th annual Gem Mineral Fossil and Jewelry Show

Click here to view this video from wpsdlocal6.com.

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Apr 11 • 10:54 PM EDT • Science • wpsdlocal6.com
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2026 Masters odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions into Round 4 by golf model that nailed 16 majors

Mike McClure's model has simulated the final round of the Masters 10,000 times and revealed golf picks for Augusta National

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Apr 11 • 9:29 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
🚨 Atlético Nacional line-up confirmed

Atlético Nacional plays its second match of the week and arrives at the Atanasio Girardot as the away side for the Clásico Paisa. El Verdolaga will defend the outright lead against DIM on Matchday 1...

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Apr 11 • 9:13 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Two First-Party Switch 2 Ratings Have Been Spotted

We're ready when you are, Nintendo

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Apr 11 • 9:05 PM EDT • Technology • nintendolife.com
Legendary basketball coach, broadcaster Dick Vitale reveals health status

The basketball world has come together to support one of its most legendary figures. Former NCAA and NBA coach and current broadcaster Dick Vitale has faced challenges larger than basketball. Recent reports revealed that Vitale has been dealing with numerous…

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Apr 11 • 8:05 PM EDT • Health • sports.yahoo.com
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Colorado's Deion Sanders eager to be more hands-on heading into next season after health concerns
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Apr 11 • 6:33 PM EDT • Health • kare11.com
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25th Annual Arbor Day celebration at Yakima Area Arboretum focuses on tree health

The Yakima Area Arboretum celebrated the 25th anniversary of their Arbor Day celebration on Saturday.The theme of the 2026 ArborFest was 'From Seed to Sapling,'

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Apr 11 • 6:26 PM EDT • Health • kimatv.com
Saturday Sports: The first Watertown girls’ flag football game and more

Here’s a recap of your North Country sports this Saturday.

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Apr 11 • 6:21 PM EDT • Sports • 1011now.com
Saturday Sports: The first Watertown girls’ flag football game and more

Here’s a recap of your North Country sports this Saturday.

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Apr 11 • 6:21 PM EDT • Sports • fox8live.com
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UBS Raises Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) Target Amid Growth Strategy

Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) is one of the best cheap penny stocks to buy that aren’t scams. On March 16, UBS raised its price target on Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) to $4.00 from $3.50, while keeping a Neutral rating. The positive stance underscores the research firm’s confidence about the […]

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Apr 11 • 6:08 PM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
Role reversal: Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Almost the exact same scenario as last night played out, only in reverse

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Apr 11 • 5:17 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Musicians and music lovers flock to Little River’s Star Tavern

There’s a small blue and red building that sits back from a busy highway in Little River, that one regular customer describes as an “artistic mecca” for musicians. And it is flourishing under Ron Johnson's leadership.

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Apr 11 • 5:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • myhorrynews.com
Cleveland Browns NFL Draft Profile: RB Cash Jones, Georgia

Are the Browns considering this Bulldog as the newest member of the Dawg Pound?

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Apr 11 • 4:07 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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NFL Draft Scouting Report: Romello Height, EDGE, Texas Tech

Height is a true designated pass-rusher, which comes with positives and negatives.

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Apr 11 • 3:52 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
UNA celebrates entertainment industry program's 50th anniversary with hall of fame exhibit
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Apr 11 • 3:45 PM EDT • Entertainment • rocketcitynow.com
Starfield Has a Serious Crashing Issue on PS5, PS5 Pro

Seeing stars

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Apr 11 • 3:30 PM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
Record-breaking Bayern march closer to Bundesliga title

Bayern Munich romped to a 5-0 win at St Pauli on Saturday, breaking a 54-year Bundesliga goalscoring record and moving to within touching distance of a 35th league crown. The goal continued the 19-year-old's impressive debut Bundesliga season, in which he has scored 11 times.

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Apr 11 • 2:50 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Postal Service, Under Pressure, Now Faces Trump’s Mail Ballot Order

President Trump’s executive order, which has been challenged as unconstitutional, would limit the Postal Service to sending only the ballots of voters deemed eligible.

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Apr 11 • 2:40 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
U.S. Moves to Deport Son of Prominent Figure in Iranian Revolution

Federal agents arrested a man whose mother served as a spokeswoman for the Islamist embassy captors during the hostage crisis that began in 1979.

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Apr 11 • 1:56 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Entertainment venues keep packing Fresno-area calendar. 10 (more) shows to watch

Among a slew of announcements, Broadway in Fresno put out its next lineup: We’re getting the Neil Diamond musical and a return of “Jersey Boys.”

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Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Randolph Elementary holds annual Science Fair

Here are the Science Fair's fifth grade winners. Pictured, from left to right, are Emma Wernimont, Hunter Bussian, Riley Irrthum, Emmett Endres, Jude Quinnell and Finley Garner. Submitted photo

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Apr 11 • 12:00 PM EDT • Science • cannonfallsbeacon.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Iraq elects Kurdish politician Nizar Amidi as president amid war fallout

BAGHDAD (AP) — Iraq’s parliament voted Saturday to elect Nizar Amidi, a political official with one of the country’s two main Kurdish parties, as president, five months after a parliamentary election that didn’t produce a bloc with a decisive majority.

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Apr 11 • 11:08 AM EDT • Politics • wral.com
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Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov odds, prediction: Picks for April 11 fight from proven boxing expert

Expert Josh Nagel reveals his boxing best bets for the April 11 Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov bout

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Apr 11 • 10:05 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Mets to call up Craig Kimbrel

Sure, why not?

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Apr 11 • 10:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
How AI used Adobe Lightroom like a human, only faster

OpenAI's Codex AI coding service worked out how to use Adobe Lightroom like a human, denoising 50 photos without an API or plugin.

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Apr 11 • 9:40 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
7 adrenaline-pumping entertainment apps to survive the wait between Shark Week 2026 episodes

With the brand new 2026 season, millions of viewers are again gearing up for a week of jaw-dropping marine biology, storytelling, and cinematography.

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Apr 11 • 9:28 AM EDT • Entertainment • thedailyjaws.com
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Heartland Sports on The Breakfast Show 4/11

Heartland Sports on The Breakfast Show 4/11

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Apr 11 • 9:24 AM EDT • Sports • fox10tv.com
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College football's most experienced players in 2026: Penn State's Rocco Becht leads among QBs

As eligibility stretches careers, snap counts provide a clearer look at which players have truly logged the most time on the field

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Apr 11 • 9:19 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Amazon ends support for these older devices

Some have criticized it for making up to two million devices “obsolete."

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Apr 11 • 9:08 AM EDT • Technology • al.com
Business notes: Providence St. Mary Medical Center welcomes new surgeon

A new surgeon joined St. Mary Medical Center, and the United Way's popular mini golf tournament returns to Walla Walla.

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Apr 11 • 8:30 AM EDT • Business • union-bulletin.com
Universal Orlando announces upcoming changes to CityWalk
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Apr 11 • 7:16 AM EDT • Entertainment • wtsp.com
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New York Jets Flight Connections 04/11/26

Happy Saturday, Jets fans! Here are your links to kick off this weekend. Jack Bell – TE Kenyon Sadiq Could Be a ‘Really Interesting’ Pick for the Jets Antwan Staley – Jets still high on Mason Taylor, but Oregon TE Kenyon Sadiq could be draft option Michael Nania – Should Jets seize chance to trade […]

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Mission Creek’s latest music festival is all in a day’s work

After 20 years, one of Iowa City’s most quintessential arts and music festivals is revamping with a single-day format and new elements.

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • thegazette.com
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Gut troubles? This gastroenterologist has tips to help you achieve 'poophoria'

In her new book You've Been Pooping All Wrong, Dr. Trisha Pasricha shares habits and practices to make your relationship with your solid waste as smooth as possible

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Health • npr.org
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Cody Canada to receive Restless Spirit Award at Stillwater's Gypsy Cafe

Cody Canada of Cross Canadian Ragweed will receive the Restless Spirit Award at the Bob Childers' Gypsy Cafe festival.

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Apr 11 • 6:15 AM EDT • Entertainment • oklahoman.com
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For aging US Supreme Court justices, the politics of retirement looms large

When Donald Trump was asked about the prospect of conservative Justices Samuel Alito or Clarence Thomas retiring, the Republican president voiced his support for the U.S. Supreme Court's two oldest members to remain on the bench.

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Apr 11 • 6:07 AM EDT • Politics • reuters.com
Today on Pinstripe Alley

Looking to turn the page after the first series loss of the season.

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Apr 11 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
'Now is the time' for North West 200 debut

North West 200 newcomer Franco Bourne believes the time is right for him to make his international road race debut at the event in May.

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Apr 11 • 5:57 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
People in Business for April 11, 2026

People in Business for April 11, 2026

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Apr 11 • 2:00 AM EDT • Business • bozemandailychronicle.com
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5-9: Chart

The one who shids: Randy Arozarena, +.30 WPA Who cares: Cole Wilcox, -.06 WPA Game Thread Comment of the Day:

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Apr 11 • 12:58 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • ktiv.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • keyc.com
Inside Iowa Politics: Rob Sand’s plan to change elections

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand wants to change Iowa's primary election system.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • kttc.com
Rachael Rollins claps back at rivals over her Suffolk DA bid

Rollins took out papers earlier this week, signaling her intention to run to regain her old job as Suffolk district attorney.

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Apr 10 • 8:18 PM EDT • Politics • bostonglobe.com
Masters 2026 3rd round tee times, how to watch: Can Rory McIlroy hold his historic lead at Augusta National on Moving Day?

Rory McIlroy holds a six-shot lead entering the weekend at Augusta National.

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Apr 10 • 7:57 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Could treble hero Dante return to Bayern Munich as coach?

Pep Guardiola's favorite player might return soon.

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Apr 10 • 7:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Maricopa County confirms first heat-related death of 2026

Health officials have confirmed that a person has died from heat-related complications, the first in the Phoenix metro in 2026.

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Apr 10 • 5:54 PM EDT • Health • azfamily.com
'Black market' business led to deadly CA explosion, prosecutors say | Ringleader arrested at Disney park

Man described as ringleader of black market explosives operation in California was arrested at Walt Disney World's Hollywood Studios.

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Apr 10 • 5:49 PM EDT • Business • wesh.com
Scientists Successfully Made Advanced, Lab-Grown Brains—Could They Become Conscious?

Now, prototype spinal cords are part of the brain organoid assembly.

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Apr 10 • 5:04 PM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Research Days slam winner highlights role of cortisol in health

Nebraska psychology student Max Lottes won the 2026 Student Research Days Slam with a dynamic presentation reframing cortisol as a vital stress hormone, highlighting the annual event’s decade-long role in showcasing graduate and undergraduate research.

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Apr 10 • 4:47 PM EDT • Health • news.unl.edu
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Nevada reports 8,099 new business registrations in March, nearly $21M in revenue

Nevada saw a jump in new business activity in March, with 8,099 new business registrations filed statewide, according to Secretary of State Francisco Aguilar.Ag

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Apr 10 • 4:18 PM EDT • Business • news3lv.com
The ‘Emotional Support Daughter’—How Family Roles Shape Women’s Mental Health

Why many women were raised to manage everyone else’s feelings, and what it costs them in adulthood.

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Apr 10 • 2:29 PM EDT • Health • forbes.com
Science finds surprising link between your martial status and risk of cancer

Married people tend to have greater financial stability and stronger social support, which can help them maintain healthier habits and get medical care earlier, researchers noted

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Apr 10 • 1:25 PM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Businesses discuss winter water failures with Ofwat

Businesses meet the water regulator as a compensation fund opens following a water plant failure.

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Apr 10 • 1:04 PM EDT • Business • yahoo.com
Trump's 2027 Budget Deepens Cuts To Global And Domestic Health

US President Donald Trump wants to eliminate $4.3 billion from the US government’s global health budget, including all funding for the Pan-American Health

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Apr 10 • 12:47 PM EDT • Health • healthpolicy-watch.news
TXST to lead statewide academy strengthening financial stability of rural Texas hospitals

Texas State leads a statewide academy to strengthen the financial stability and leadership of rural Texas hospitals, helping prevent closures and protect healthcare access.

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Apr 10 • 12:34 PM EDT • Health • news.txst.edu
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UNC basketball reaches out to top Arkansas transfer

The UNC basketball program is pursuing Arkansas transfer Karter Knox.

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Apr 10 • 11:44 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
A local sports bar and grill is opening doors for inclusion and opportunity

As Autism Awareness Month continues, Wayne’s journey serves as a reminder of the importance of community support and the impact of giving everyone a chance to succeed.

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Apr 10 • 11:16 AM EDT • Sports • kolotv.com
NBA player prop picks, odds, predictions, free best bets: Model includes Deni Avdija on Friday, April 10

The SportsLine model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and revealed its best player prop bets

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Parental Depression: How Does Timing Impact Mental Health in Adult Offspring?

Research from Yale Child Study Center reveals how the timing of maternal and paternal depression affects adult mental health outcomes in the next generation.

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • medicine.yale.edu
NFL news, live updates: Texans reportedly pick up fifth-year options on QB C.J. Stroud and edge Will Anderson Jr.
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Apr 10 • 10:29 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
‘He crushed it.’ Rummel senior’s home run against Jesuit creates 3-way tie for district lead.

Joel Morange didn’t have much reason to think his fly ball to left field would leave the park.

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Apr 10 • 10:28 AM EDT • Sports • nola.com
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Google’s Gmail Upgrade Decision—2 Billion Users Must Act Now

You have been warned — do not lave this "overwhelming" decision until it's too late.

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Apr 10 • 10:23 AM EDT • Technology • forbes.com
Trump administration admits a glaring error in its accusations about New York health care fraud

President Donald Trump's administration has admitted to a major error in data used to justify a federal fraud probe into New York’s Medicaid program.

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Apr 10 • 10:06 AM EDT • Health • mprnews.org