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House Votes to Extend Expiring Law on Warrantless Surveillance for 10 Days

The Senate would need to also approve the stopgap measure that passed the House early Friday. Libertarian-leaning House Republicans had balked at a long-term extension.

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Apr 17 • 3:14 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

The same ChatGPT chatbot that gave OpenAI’s Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar a tilapia recipe for a recent Sunday night dinner at home is also...

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Apr 16 • 8:22 PM EDT • Business • post-gazette.com
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Immersive entertainment venue breaks ground in downtown Cleveland

Construction began on an immersive entertainment venue in Cleveland’s Gateway District, across the street from Rocket Arena.

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Apr 16 • 5:45 PM EDT • Entertainment • cleveland19.com
OpenAI starts offering a biology-tuned LLM

GPT-Rosalind is an LLM trained on biology workflows, available in closed access.

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Apr 16 • 5:17 PM EDT • Science • arstechnica.com
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OpenAI launches AI model GPT-Rosalind for life sciences research

OpenAI on Thursday introduced an artificial intelligence model touting increased biology knowledge and scientific research capabilities, ​as the startup deepens its push into the ‌life sciences field.

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Apr 16 • 3:01 PM EDT • Science • reuters.com
Temper your post-season expectations for the Cavaliers

The Cavaliers are a sheep in wolves clothing.

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Apr 16 • 12:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Intel launches Wildcat Lake: Core 7 360 gets 6 CPU cores and 2 Xe3 GPU cores

Intel launches Core non-Ultra Series 3 with Wildcat Lake die The competitor to Apple's MacBook Neo systems has arrived, I mean, that should be the

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Apr 16 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • videocardz.com
Pens Points: Waiting Game

Pens Points recaps all the news as we sit and wait for the playoffs to begin.

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Apr 16 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Gaubert Oil expanding fuels business

The company has agreed to buy the wholesale and transportation division of Mississippi-based Buffalo Services, giving it a foothold in The Magnolia state.

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Apr 16 • 4:35 AM EDT • Business • cstoredive.com
Airport's Darrell Mossburg named Girls Basketball Coach of the Year

Monroe County Region Coach of the Year Darrell Mossburg of Airport savors each day more after near-death experience during season.

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Apr 16 • 3:55 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
ChatGPT’s new ‘Thinking’ mode just hit a 94% reasoning score — 7 prompts it can solve that standard AI can’t

OpenAI's latest flagship model, GPT-5.4, introduces an "Extended Thinking" toggle — here is how to use its 94% reasoning power to solve "impossible" tasks

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Apr 16 • 2:15 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

OpenAI executives say they will introduce a new artificial intelligence model for “high-value professional work” as the company faces heightened competition with rival Anthropic in attracting corporate customers to adopt AI assistants in their workplaces.

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Apr 16 • 12:08 AM EDT • Business • bostonglobe.com
ChatGPT maker OpenAI shifts its focus to business users amid Anthropic pressure

The same ChatGPT chatbot that gave OpenAI’s chief financial officer Sarah Friar a tilapia recipe for a recent Sunday night dinner at home is also now doing her most mundane tasks at work like summarizing her emails and Slack messages.

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Apr 16 • 12:03 AM EDT • Business • wral.com
AMD Linux Graphics Driver Introducing "Power Module" To Better Match Windows Behavior

With the set of today's AMDGPU kernel graphics driver Display Core (DC) patches is a rather curious addition with wiring up the Linux code to a 'power module' that looks like it will better match Microsoft Windows behavior with the AMD Radeon driver around display-related power savings features.

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Apr 15 • 8:48 PM EDT • Technology • phoronix.com
Indigenous Leadership for Health: Virtual Preparatory Webinar to UNPFII 2026

English - French - Portuguese - Spanish - Russian Indigenous Peoples have the right to the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health. WHO invites you to join Indigenous Leadership for Health, a virtual preparatory webinar to the 25th Session of the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues (UNPFII 2026), to be held on Thursday, 16 April 2026, from 13:30 to 16:00 CEST, via Zoom. Interpretation will be available in English, French, Portuguese, Russian, and Spanish.This event brings together Indigenous leaders working on health to help shape the forthcoming WHO Global Plan of Action on the Health of Indigenous Peoples (GPoA). It is co-organized by WHO, the Government of Brazil, the Government of the Philippines, and the Johns Hopkins Center for Indigenous Health.The webinar will be divided into two parts, each with a corresponding objective:Part I – Contents of the draft Global Plan of Action. Part I's objective is to provide an update on the process for development of the Global Plan of Action on the Health of Indigenous Peoples, to share important lessons learnt from previous work and inputs received thus far, and to invite participants to send written inputs to the Plan. The linkages to the health topics to be discussed at the forthcoming UNPFII will also be highlighted.Part II – Panel on Indigenous Leadership for Health. Part II's objective is to highlight Indigenous leadership, knowledge systems, and community-driven approaches that contribute to improving the health and well-being of Indigenous Peoples, through the sharing of select country and regional examples.Registration is free and open to all. Register hereWe encourage all Indigenous organizations, communities, partners, and individuals to join us and contribute to this important global process.

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Apr 15 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • who.int
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Siri Engineers Sent to AI Coding Bootcamp as Apple Prepares to Deliver Siri Overhaul

Apple is sending a large portion of its Siri engineers to a multi-week bootcamp to learn to code using AI, reports The Information. Apple's decision to teach its programmers to better use AI for coding comes just two months before Apple is expected to unveil a smarter, more capable version of Siri at WWDC. While employees attend the coding bootcamp, around 60 members of the Siri development team will stick around to work on Siri, and an additional 60 will evaluate how Siri is performing.

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Apr 15 • 4:19 PM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Protester yells 'Jesus Christ does not support genocide' at JD Vance

The moment came after an event host asked Vice President JD Vance about a spat between President Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV.

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Apr 15 • 1:51 PM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
Rockets vs. Lakers: Can LeBron James shoulder the load if Luka Dončić can't go? Series keys, schedule and prediction
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Apr 15 • 11:47 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Allbirds shares surge over 430% as footwear firm trades shoes for AI business

In a radical strategic overhaul, Allbirds is divesting its footwear business while securing $50 million (€42.4 million) in new financing to acquire GPUs and rebrand as NewBird AI.View on euronews

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Apr 15 • 11:07 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
We're questioning the wrong leaders in Theetge saga

Cincinnati's police chief deserved to end her career with dignity. Instead, taxpayers are paying the bill for an unnecessary, misguided investigation.

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Apr 15 • 8:46 AM EDT • Politics • cincinnati.com
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Green Bay area high school sports results for Tuesday, April 14

High school baseball, softball, track and field, and golf teams were in action.

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Apr 15 • 8:44 AM EDT • Sports • greenbaypressgazette.com
New Sony PS6 Portable leak confirms one of the biggest features of handheld console

The handheld version of the Sony PlayStation 6, the PlayStation 6 Portable, is expected to launch alongside the main console. With an RDNA 5 GPU and a 6-core Zen 6 CPU, the PS6 Portable is shaping up to be a beastly handheld that will reportedly be able to play games that launched for previous consoles.

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Apr 15 • 8:18 AM EDT • Technology • notebookcheck.net
MSI accidentally announces GeForce RTX 5070 12GB Laptop GPU in new Crosshair 16 Max spec sheet

MSI GeForce RTX 5070 laptop with 12GB VRAM, GPU spec which does not officially exist MSI may have just added another piece to the GeForce RTX 5070 Laptop

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Apr 15 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • videocardz.com
I replaced ChatGPT with Google's offline AI on my phone for 24 hours

No internet or cloud needed — and definitely no data leaving my device

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Apr 15 • 2:30 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
NBA play-in predictions: Magic-76ers? Warriors-Clippers? Our takes on who will advance
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Apr 15 • 1:01 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Polls show why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice. A Gallup poll out Wednesday found that about 1 in 4 U.S. adults had used AI for health information in the past month.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • apnews.com
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Why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice, according to recent polls

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • ksat.com
Why many Americans are turning to AI for health advice, according to recent polls

Many Americans are turning to artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT for health advice.

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • clickondetroit.com
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Why Many Americans Are Turning to AI for Health Advice, According to Recent Polls

NEW YORK (AP) — When Tiffany Davis has a question about a symptom from the weight-loss injections she’s taking, she doesn’t call her doctor. She pulls out her phone and consults ChatGPT. “I’ll just basically let ChatGPT know my status, how I’m feeling,” said the 42-year-old in Mesquite, Texas. “I ...

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Apr 15 • 12:14 AM EDT • Health • usnews.com
NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5060 and 5060 Ti Planned With 9 GB VRAM

It was recently revealed that NVIDIA plans to launch a version of the RTX 5050 GPU with 9 GB of VRAM—three 3 GB modules of GDDR7 over a 96-bit bus and 336 GB/s total memory bandwidth. Now, according to a new leak by Hakuitado on the Board Channels forum (via Gazlog), NVIDIA is planning to make the s...

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Apr 14 • 7:33 PM EDT • Technology • techpowerup.com
Microsoft Raises Prices for All Surface PCs, Making Them More Expensive Than Equivalent Macs

Microsoft increased prices for all of its Surface PCs this week, with most models priced hundreds of dollars higher than they were when launching. Windows Central highlighted the increases, which now see Microsoft's mid-range models priced above $1,000 and flagship models priced starting at $1,500. A Microsoft spokesperson said the price increase was due to "recent increases in memory and component costs".

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Apr 14 • 7:21 PM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
MLB power rankings: No. 1 Dodgers joined by Braves, Yankees, Brewers and Padres in top 5
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Apr 14 • 4:37 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Binance founder Zhao says Gensler had to align with Dems' political agenda

Binance founder Changpeng 'CZ' Zhao sheds light on his book, 'Freedom of Money,' as well as his interactions with Sam Bankman Fried and Gary Gensler during an interview with FOX Business' Charlie Gasparino.

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Apr 14 • 3:42 PM EDT • Politics • foxbusiness.com
NBA playoff preview, part one + WNBA draft & free agency recap
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Apr 14 • 2:27 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Using atomic nuclei could allow scientists to read time more precisely than ever

Most clocks, from wristwatches to the systems that run GPS and the internet, work by tracking regular, repeating motions.

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Apr 14 • 2:20 PM EDT • Science • phys.org
TFT patch 17.1

Choose your Space God, earn their powerful boon, and assemble your galactic roster!

Binance’s CZ says Biden crackdown led to prison in FOX Business interview

FOX Business' Charlie Gasparino speaks to former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao in a wide-ranging interview about the Biden Administration's war on crypto, Sam Bankman-Fried and his relationship with the Trump family on 'The Big Money Show.'

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Apr 14 • 1:27 PM EDT • Business • foxbusiness.com
/dev: Leveling Up Arena

A rundown of all the changes coming to Arena in Season 2.

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Apr 14 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • leagueoflegends.com
Arteta on team fitness, 'pure fire' and Sporting

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has been speaking to the media before Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg against Sporting at Emirates (kick-off 20:00 BST). Arteta was vague on team news, adding that "a few of the boys" will be assessed Wednesday morning to see if they can play. Declan Rice, who did not train on Tuesday, is one of those but Arteta would not give details on the reason he is sidelined.

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Apr 14 • 9:41 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Hospitals offer chatbots to fight off ChatGPT

In this edition of STAT Health Tech: Hospitals offer their own chatbots, Medicare's ACCESS pilot, and an update Utah's 'AI doctor' experiment.

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Apr 14 • 9:26 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
How Ai Ogura is starting to fulfil his MotoGP potential

After a muted rookie campaign, Ogura is beginning to show the form that made him a Moto2 champion

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Apr 14 • 6:33 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Gossip: Howe still involved in transfer plans despite uncertain future

Newcastle's hierarchy are continuing to include boss Eddie Howe in discussions on transfer plans for the summer despite uncertainty over his future at St James' Park for the first time. The I) Arsenal and Chelsea are leading the chase to sign Newcastle's Lewis Hall, 21, but the Magpies will not let the left-back leave easily. (Caught Offside)

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Apr 14 • 3:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Can WR prospect with question marks fix 49ers WR corps?

The San Francisco 49ers have added two veterans wideouts to their room, but now they're looking at intriguing prospect in the 2026 NFL draft.

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Apr 14 • 12:15 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Secrets of Strixhaven MTG Arena Event Schedule

Prepare for the release of Magic's latest set on MTG Arena! Check out all the events ahead of the set's digital release on April 21.

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Apr 13 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • magic.wizards.com
Rock stars to car culture showcase highlight Grand Prix of Long Beach entertainment

Kings of Chaos and Lupe Fiasco bring the music while car culture and Lifestyle Expo are family-friendly festivities at the Grand Prix of Long Beach.

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Apr 13 • 11:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • presstelegram.com
Scientists Discover Liquids Can Snap Like Solids

"What we observed was so unexpected."

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
DoctorGPT: AI’s rising role in Gainesville healthcare

Alachua County Deputy Fire Chief Jeff Taylor said the department uses AI for administrative tasks but remains wary of bringing the technology into patient care.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • alligator.org
2026 Best Business Schools | Average SAT, ACT & GPA Scores At The Top B-Schools

What does it take to get into a top-ranked undergraduate business program? All the SAT, ACT & GPA data from our 2026 ranking.

Archer teams with ‘Mandalorian and Grogu’ for first entertainment deal

As the meat snacks marketer expands, it is collaborating with the “Star Wars” universe for a campaign spanning retail, digital, social and out-of-home.

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Apr 13 • 6:35 AM EDT • Entertainment • marketingdive.com
The Apple Watch Series 11 is back down to its lowest-ever price at Amazon

Grab this sleek smartwatch for under $300.

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Apr 13 • 6:23 AM EDT • Technology • mashable.com
Apple Testing Four Smart Glasses Styles Made of High-End Materials

Apple is developing at least four different styles of smart glasses, and the company is betting that their superior design will set them apart from rival products, according to Bloomberg's Mark Gurman. Writing in his latest Power On newsletter, Gurman says that Apple's latest designs are made from a high-end material called acetate, which is "more durable and luxurious" than the standard plastic used by most existing brands.

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Apr 13 • 5:29 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Hospitals roll out chatbots, looking to reclaim their role in patients' health conversations

A handful of hospitals are launching their own chatbots, a risky bet aimed at better serving current patients and gaining new ones.

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Apr 13 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
🙂 Positive (33%)
Howe accepts accountability after Newcastle collapse at Crystal Palace

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe accepted full responsibility after his side squandered another lead in a 2-1 defeat at Crystal Palace on Sunday afternoon.Consequently, the Magpies have plummeted t...

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Apr 13 • 3:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
The largest orbital compute cluster is open for business

Kepler Communications is flying 40 GPUs in Earth orbit. And its latest customer is Sophia Space.

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Apr 13 • 3:01 AM EDT • Technology • techcrunch.com
The largest orbital compute cluster is open for business

Kepler Communications is flying 40 GPUs in Earth orbit. And its latest customer is Sophia Space.

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Apr 13 • 3:01 AM EDT • Business • techcrunch.com
Spark! Imagination and Science Center hosts Earth Fest for families

Spark hosts a Spark! Sunday event each month to encourage fun while exploring the basics of STEM concepts.

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Apr 12 • 4:39 PM EDT • Science • wdtv.com
Bay Area business owner re-dumps mountain of trash on customer driveway after broken promises on payment. Was he right?

This dumpster dispute really dumped things on a whole new level turning one missed payment into a trashy pile of fines, fees and chaos.

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Apr 12 • 2:30 PM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
I use Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT every day—here's the only one you should pay for

The battle of the bots.

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Apr 12 • 1:30 PM EDT • Technology • howtogeek.com
Green Bay area high school sports results for Saturday, April 11

High school baseball, softball, soccer, track and field, and golf teams were in action.

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Apr 12 • 12:51 PM EDT • Sports • greenbaypressgazette.com
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Things to do in Cincinnati this week, April 13-19

If you're looking for the best events happening in Cincinnati, you're at the right place. Find your next concert, game, festival or family event.

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Apr 12 • 12:49 PM EDT • Entertainment • cincinnati.com
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Appleton area high school sports results for Saturday, April 11

High school baseball, softball, soccer, lacrosse, track and field, and golf teams were in action.

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Apr 12 • 12:42 PM EDT • Sports • postcrescent.com
New York Jets Flight Connections 04/12/26

Happy Sunday, Jets fans! Here are your links for the last day of this April weekend. Nick Faria – Jets have another potential trade partner in the first round Nick Faria – One line from scout highlights Jets’ real draft ‘plan’ Stefan Stelling – Slipping WR prospect could fall into Jets’ laps at No. 16 […]

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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What Now? Vance Leaves Iran Talks Without a Deal.

The lack of a breakthrough after 21 hours of negotiations leaves the Trump administration facing several unpalatable options.

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Apr 12 • 12:09 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
The Dirt: Frontier Behavioral Health planning new Spokane location

The longstanding location of Spokane Roofing Company will soon become a Frontier Behavioral Health location, according to a construction permit application submitted to the city of Spokane.

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Apr 11 • 9:30 PM EDT • Health • spokesman.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Apple Highlights Photos Shot on iPhone During NASA's Mission to Moon

As we previously reported, astronauts aboard NASA's Orion spacecraft used the iPhone 17 Pro Max to take selfies of themselves with the Earth in the background during the Artemis II mission around the far side of the Moon last week. Now that the crew members have safely returned to Earth, Apple's CEO Tim Cook and marketing chief Greg Joswiak have both turned to social media to congratulate them on their successful mission and highlight the iPhone's involvement.

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Apr 11 • 11:17 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
A Shot to Lose Weight, Then a Pill to Keep It Off

America has a new GLP-1 playbook.

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Apr 11 • 7:30 AM EDT • Health • theatlantic.com
Green Bay area high school sports results for Friday, April 10

High school baseball, softball and soccer teams were in action.

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Apr 11 • 6:05 AM EDT • Sports • greenbaypressgazette.com
I found the ‘memory cheat code’ for ChatGPT — and it fixed my worst problem with AI

One simple prompt stopped ChatGPT from “forgetting” everything mid-conversation — and it completely changed how I use it

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Apr 11 • 5:00 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com
Arts and entertainment throughout the region

A listing of arts and entertainment events throughout the region.

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Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • johnsoncitypress.com
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43%
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29%
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DGPT Returns to CBS Sports with Big Easy Open Special Airing April 11 - Disc Golf Pro Tour

Tune in at 5:30 PM ET to relive all of the excitement from the MVP Big Easy Open presented by Flight Factory

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Apr 10 • 6:55 PM EDT • Sports • dgpt.com
Can sports media really change the way you look at sports?

While stats are helpful, very rarely do numbers tell the full story.

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Apr 10 • 6:00 PM EDT • Sports • timesnews.net
Maricopa County confirms first heat-related death of 2026

Health officials have confirmed that a person has died from heat-related complications, the first in the Phoenix metro in 2026.

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Apr 10 • 5:54 PM EDT • Health • azfamily.com
Adyen tool speeds business payments

Financial operations at global enterprises remain “stubbornly complex,” as treasury teams juggle multiple banking and payment systems, the company said.

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Apr 10 • 6:51 AM EDT • Business • paymentsdive.com
Green Bay area high school sports results for Thursday, April 9

High school baseball, softball, soccer, and track and field teams were in action.

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Apr 10 • 12:11 AM EDT • Sports • greenbaypressgazette.com
OpenAI has quietly launched its ads manager as it races to build out its ads business

The AI platform launched the ads manager within its ChatGPT ads pilot advertisers last week, and also lowered the barrier to joining the test.

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Apr 10 • 12:01 AM EDT • Business • digiday.com
China’s Huatai Is Seeking to Start Securities Business in Japan

Huatai Securities Co., one of China’s largest brokerages, is preparing to start a securities business in Japan as a revival in the country’s financial markets draws firms from around the world.

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Apr 9 • 7:30 PM EDT • Business • bloomberg.com
‘Blaming the conduct of companies may provide some comfort’

Opinion, comment and editorials of the day

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Apr 9 • 2:57 PM EDT • Politics • theweek.com
Laptops Are About to Get Very Exciting Again... Thanks to Nvidia

Nvidia is about to throw another wrench into laptops led by Intel, AMD, and Qualcomm.

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Apr 9 • 11:15 AM EDT • Technology • gizmodo.com
Google bakes NotebookLM, its research tool, into Gemini

Google has fully integrated NotebookLM, its AI-powered research tool, into the Gemini app.

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Apr 9 • 6:18 AM EDT • Technology • engadget.com
Pick of the stats: Southampton v Derby County

BBC Sport highlights some of the key statistics and facts for the Championship match between Southampton and Derby County

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Apr 9 • 5:43 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Cleveland Browns NFL Draft Profile: DE Keldric Faulk, Auburn

A young player with room to reach his potential is catnip to Browns GM Andrew Berry.

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Apr 8 • 6:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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70%
love
30%
Prepare your business for summer energy demand

Spring is the ideal time to evaluate your facility’s energy use, identify opportunities for improvement and take steps to reduce costs before peak demand arrives.

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Apr 8 • 12:53 PM EDT • Business • entergy.com
Gen Alpha drives shift toward AI-powered entertainment discovery

Gracenote has released a new report examining how artificial intelligence is reshaping the way audiences ... Read More

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Apr 8 • 12:13 PM EDT • Entertainment • newscaststudio.com
Patients Are Using Chatbots to Fight Medical Bills, With Mixed Results

While chatbots like Claude and ChatGPT can help narrow the information divide between patients and providers, they can also dispense flawed advice.

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Apr 8 • 11:31 AM EDT • Health • nytimes.com
Green Bay area high school sports results for Tuesday, April 7

High school softball, baseball and girls soccer teams were in action.

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Apr 8 • 9:12 AM EDT • Sports • greenbaypressgazette.com
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😐 Neutral (17%)
wow
75%
love
25%
DA identifies man killed by Boston Police after alleged sword attack, mental health crisis

A 29-year-old Boston man has been identified as the person shot and killed by police over the weekend after he allegedly stabbed first responders with a sword during a mental health crisis.

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Apr 7 • 3:51 PM EDT • Health • bostonherald.com
Buccaneers sign WR David Sills, DL Rakeem Nuñez-Roches
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Apr 7 • 2:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
NVIDIA DLSS 5 — Everything We Know So Far About NVIDIA’s Latest Neural Rendering Technology

NVIDIA's DLSS 5 is set to launch Fall 2026, offering real-time neural rendering for photoreal graphics on RTX 50 Series GPUs.

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Apr 7 • 2:05 PM EDT • Technology • wccftech.com
Apple is Reportedly Facing a 'Massive Dilemma' With the MacBook Neo

The all-new MacBook Neo has been such a hit that Apple is facing a "massive dilemma," according to Taiwan-based tech columnist and former Bloomberg reporter Tim Culpan. In the iPhone 16 Pro models, the A18 Pro chip has a 6-core GPU. During the chip manufacturing process, however, sometimes a CPU or GPU core can turn out to be faulty.

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Apr 7 • 10:56 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Alex Jones Calls for Trump’s Removal After Panicking About Failing Health

The former stooge has reached the end with Donald Trump.

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Apr 7 • 8:28 AM EDT • Health • thedailybeast.com
The Blogs: The Difference Between Ideological “Research” and Evidence-Based Science

From the blog of Monique Dietvorst at The Times of Israel

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Apr 7 • 12:11 AM EDT • Science • blogs.timesofisrael.com
Think Twice Before Asking ChatGPT About Your Health

Obsessively Googling symptoms is bad. Going down an AI rabbit hole may be worse.

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Apr 6 • 6:30 PM EDT • Health • theatlantic.com
Colorado football makes top five for 2027 Texas edge rusher

Three-star 2027 edge rusher James Harris Jr. has narrowed his college choices to five, including the Colorado Buffaloes.

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Apr 6 • 6:27 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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50%
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50%
Governor Spanberger signs bills to spur business investment and jobs

Governor Abigail Spanberger has signed bipartisan legislation her office says will grow Virginia’s economy.

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Apr 6 • 3:51 PM EDT • Business • wdbj7.com
Arteta on key fitness news, doubters and hunger

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has been speaking to the media before Tuesday's Champions League game against Sporting CP at Estadio Jose Alvalade (kick-off 20:00 BST). On the latest team news, Arteta confirmed defender Gabriel is fit after coming off with a knock in the defeat to Southampton in the FA Cup.

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Apr 6 • 3:22 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Do You Have Questions About a No-Bid Federal Contract? Tell Us Here.

The government is supposed to let many vendors compete for contracts, to get the best deal for taxpayers. We are looking at cases where it did not.

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Apr 6 • 1:11 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Apple Sued by Three YouTube Channels

Three established YouTube channels have sued Apple, alleging that the company violated the U.S. Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA) by unlawfully accessing and scraping millions of copyrighted videos from YouTube to train its AI models.

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Apr 6 • 11:53 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Scientists may have found a way to keep your bones strong for life

Scientists have identified a little-known receptor, GPR133, as a powerful regulator of bone strength. By activating it with a newly discovered compound called AP503, they were able to boost bone density in mice and counteract osteoporosis-like damage. The finding opens the door to a new kind of treatment that could not only prevent bone loss but also rebuild weakened bones, offering fresh hope for millions affected by osteoporosis, especially aging populations.

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Apr 6 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencedaily.com
I’m an AI power user — this 7-line ‘critical thinking’ prompt finally stops chatbots from being a ‘Yes-Man’

Tired of ChatGPT or Gemini just nodding along? This 'critical thinking' prompt forces AI to challenge your assumptions and make your decisions sharper

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Apr 6 • 7:03 AM EDT • Technology • tomsguide.com