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Results for " predict " 3,108 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Miami Heat or Boston Celtics? Predicting Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Landing Spot

Giannis Antetokounmpo is likely nearing the end of his tenure with the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee’s self-imposed trade deadline for Antetokounmpo […]

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Jun 19 • 12:13 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Kansas City’s Black-owned businesses court World Cup visitors with a new shopping guide

The hope is that the World Cup, predicted to bring in more prospective shoppers than Kansas City has ever seen at once, jumpstarts long-term growth.

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Jun 19 • 11:15 AM EDT • Business • startlandnews.com
Exclusive | Charles Schwab Breaks into the Prediction Market Business

The brokerage is working with Cboe to offer yes-or-no contracts tied to the performance of the S&P 500 index.

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Jun 19 • 11:12 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Oregon Football: 2026 Ducks Season Preview and Prediction

Athlon Sports previews Oregon's 2026 season and where coach Dan Lanning's team projects in the Big Ten.

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Jun 18 • 5:30 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Former Patriots Quarterback Predicted To Be Traded To Panthers Midseason

The New England Patriots have found their franchise quarterback in Drake Maye, but his predecessor is still looking for another opportunity to shine.

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Jun 18 • 4:18 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Steil pushes bill to ban lawmakers from political prediction markets - Live Updates

The Wisconsin Republican's legislation follows a string of high-profile episodes of alleged insider trading on the new markets.

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Jun 18 • 3:47 PM EDT • Politics • politico.com
GOP Rep. Steil pushes bill curbing members of Congress from prediction market betting

The new proposal on limits on members of Congress making such bets come as scrutiny increases on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Jun 18 • 10:20 AM EDT • Politics • cnbc.com
Prediction markets are creating new opportunities for unregulated insider trading and unethical betting by turning politics into a game

Matt Motta, Boston University and Robert Ralston, University of Birmingham

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Jun 18 • 6:25 AM EDT • Politics • jerseyvindicator.org
Prediction markets are skeptical of California's billionaire tax

Kalshi and Polymarket bettors are unsure if California Gov. Gavin Newsom can prevent a proposed billionaire tax from reaching voters.

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Jun 18 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Kansas City’s Black-owned businesses court World Cup visitors with a new shopping guide

Kansas City G.I.F.T, a nonprofit focused on growing Black entrepreneurship, will distribute a guide in June that features 30 Black-owned businesses. The hope is that the World Cup, predicted to bring in more prospective shoppers than Kansas City has ever seen at once, jumpstarts long-term growth.

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Jun 18 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • kcur.org
Analyst predicts 49ers star to break long-standing NFL record

Christian McCaffrey has been in the NFL long enough where he is now staring at some NFL records.

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Jun 18 • 12:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & Predictions: 2026 Philadelphia Eagles

This year promises to be a big year of transition in Philadelphia. A.J. Brown is gone, and Makai Lemon, Dontayvion Wicks and Hollywood Brown are here now. Kevin Patullo and Jeff Stoutland are gone as offensive coordinator and offensive line…

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Jun 17 • 8:46 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Vibrating pill could help predict relapse risk for anorexia nervosa patients

UCLA study shows a vibrating pill could help doctors determine if a patient with anorexia nervosa may have a higher risk of relapse.

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Jun 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • uclahealth.org
Can Your Scalp Health Predict How Well You're Aging?

The scalp undergoes age-related changes just like any other part of the body. However, scalp health can't reveal much about how well you'll age.

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Jun 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • health.com
Soccer is a ‘poorly designed experiment.’ And that makes it great.

Look no further than Cape Verde tying Spain in the World Cup and embrace the unpredictability.

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Jun 17 • 6:30 AM EDT • Sports • washingtonpost.com
Soviet institutes, Martian neighbours, Whovian science, stellar patterns and dystopian predictions: micro reviews of recent books

Condensed natter: Physics World editors give their compressed verdicts on top new books

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Jun 17 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • physicsworld.com
Is gambling the reason we have pro sports?

To hear author David Bockino tell it, gambling has always been a key ingredient of pro sports in the U.S.—it’s as American as apple pie. Bockino is the author of the new book Over/Under: An Unexpected History of Sports Betting. So what gave rise to this new wave of sports gambling? And what are we risking placing so many bets on games? Fact checking by Sierra Juarez. Your Next Listen — Prediction markets are threatening national security. Who’s gonna fix it? Connect with The Indicator — Sign up for The Indicator’s brand new newsletter — Buy the Planet Money book — Find our socials, YouTube and more! — For sponsor-free episodes, subscribe to NPR+

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Jun 17 • 3:00 AM EDT • Sports • npr.org
High-Signal Publisher
Australian Predictive Healthcare Startup Raises $46 Million

Sydney-based Airtree Ventures led the financing, joined by Left Lane Capital in New York.

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Jun 16 • 5:43 PM EDT • Health • wsj.com
NBA offseason bold predictions: Stars on the move, LeBron James leaves Lakers, Draft shocker and more

The NBA offseason has arrived, and plenty of big moves will be made over the coming weeks... so let's get bold

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Jun 16 • 3:35 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
People are betting on elections. Congress is watching

As prediction markets stir debate over betting on politics, the Los Angeles mayoral race raised a new question: What happens when people wager on elections?

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Jun 16 • 2:03 PM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
Play Chaos Cubed Today

Chaos Cubed has landed in Minecraft! Explore a striking cave biome filled with bubbling sulfur pools, build with sulfur and cinnabar, and discover the sulfur cube’s curious appetite for blocks! From bouncing and sliding to explosive surprises, this unpredictable mob unlocks exciting new ways to build, compete, and survive. Play Chaos Cubed today in Minecraft!

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Jun 16 • 1:00 PM EDT • Technology • minecraft.net
Novig wins CFTC approval as competition intensifies in sports prediction markets

Novig is building a peer-to-peer sports trading platform that allows users to trade directly against one another rather than bet against the house.

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Jun 16 • 11:13 AM EDT • Sports • cnbc.com
Flutter Entertainment is called undervalued by Wedbush

Wedbush starts Flutter (FLUT) at Outperform, citing FanDuel’s U.S. strength and prediction market upside after a 50% drop.

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Jun 16 • 9:22 AM EDT • Entertainment • seekingalpha.com
Prediction markets are opening many new opportunities for unregulated insider trading and unethical bets – in the name of making a game out of politics

The rapidly growing popularity of prediction markets is sparking worries about the markets’ effects on US politics, where campaign staff has bet on its candidate’s electoral performance.

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Jun 16 • 8:13 AM EDT • Politics • theconversation.com
Lawmakers fight to stop the Trump administration's dismantling of a $386 million ocean observatory project

Monday’s pushback against the Republican administration’s actions comes as scientists are set to remove instruments from the Pacific and as an El Niño event is predicted to arrive this summer.

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Jun 15 • 4:44 PM EDT • Science • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
Uruguay XI vs Saudi Arabia – Predicted lineup and team news

Uruguay launch their World Cup campaign against Saudi Arabia in Miami on Monday.La Celeste aim to secure a dominant victory in this Group H opener. Marcelo Bielsa has implemented a high-pressing tacti...

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Jun 15 • 1:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay – Predicted lineup and team news

Saudi Arabia kick off their 2026 World Cup campaign against Uruguay on Monday evening.Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium hosts this highly anticipated Group H encounter. The Green Falcons want to secure a po...

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Jun 15 • 1:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Cape Verde XI vs Spain – Predicted lineup and team news

Cape Verde face Spain in Atlanta on Monday to make absolute World Cup history.This monumental match represents their first-ever appearance at the global finals, completing a remarkable journey. The Bl...

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Jun 15 • 1:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
NFL Analyst Makes Prediction for Bucs' Season

Former Super Bowl champion Logan Ryan envisions a dominant NFC South run for Tampa Bay, forecasting a double-digit win season fueled by Todd Bowles’ sophisticated defensive schemes.

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Jun 14 • 9:52 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Why Marketing Feels Harder as Your Business Grows by Nathan Tayloe

At some point, most growing businesses hit the same moment. What used to feel straightforward starts to feel more complicated. Marketing takes more effort. Results feel less predictable. What once worked consistently begins delivering mixed outcomes. It is easy to assume something is broken. In many cases, nothing is. The business has simply reached a different stage. What Worked Before Starts to Lose Its Edge Early on, growth is often driven by a few things working well at the same time: Referrals are strong The value of the offering is clear The team is aligned Decisions are made quickly Marketing, in that stage, tends to feel easier because the business itself is easier to understand. As the company grows, that simplicity fades. The audience expands. Services evolve. New people join the team. More channels are added. More decisions are made across more touchpoints. Marketing is no longer communicating one clear story. It is trying to represent a more complex business. Complexity Creates Friction That added complexity does not always show up immediately. It builds over time. Messaging starts to drift. Different parts of the business describe what they do in slightly different ways. The website no longer reflects how the company actually operates. Sales conversations evolve faster than the brand. At the same time, more activity is introduced to try to keep growth moving: New campaigns More content Additional platforms More tools and reporting The volume increases. The clarity does not always keep pace. That is when marketing starts to feel harder. It’s Not a Lack of Effort Most teams respond to this stage by doing more. More output More meetings More adjustments More experimentation That effort is not misplaced. It is often pointed in the wrong direction. When the underlying issue is a lack of alignment, more activity tends to create more noise. Results become harder to interpret. Decisions take longer. Progress feels inconsistent. From the outside, everything looks active. From the inside, it feels less certain. The Real Shift As businesses grow, marketing becomes less about execution and more about alignment. The companies that navigate this transition well tend to refocus on a few fundamentals: A clearly defined audience A strong, consistent position in the market Messaging that reflects how the business actually operates Alignment between leadership, marketing, and sales When those elements are in place, execution becomes more effective again. Marketing does not necessarily become easier, but it becomes more consistent. A Different Kind of Discipline Growth introduces more opportunity, but it also demands more discipline. What worked when the business was smaller often cannot be scaled without adjustment. The systems, messaging, and decision-making that once felt intuitive need to become more intentional. That is not a sign of failure. It is a normal part of growth. Marketing feels harder because the business has become more complex. The solution is not to outwork that complexity. It is to bring clarity to it. The companies that do that well tend to regain momentum quickly. Those who do not often stay busy without seeing the same level of progress. — Learn more about how we help organizations align strategy, brand, and execution. Visit tayloegray.com, or reach out directly at nathan@tayloegray.com.

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Jun 14 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • wilmingtonbiz.com
Roundup: The Results From Our Xbox Games Showcase 2026 Predictions

They seemed like safe-ish bets, but we didn't do that well!

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Jun 14 • 11:00 AM EDT • Technology • purexbox.com
Amputated, one-eyed and unstoppable: how a lion stunned scientists with new hunting tricks - Futura-Sciences

A Lion’s Journey of Survival For years in Queen Elizabeth National Park, western Uganda, a gravely mutilated lion has managed to defy every prediction. Living with only three legs and a single eye, left almost entirely to his own devices, Jacob the lion somehow found a way to stay alive....

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Jun 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • futura-sciences.com
Interpretable AI in materials discovery: Uncovering how models make predictions

A method to interpret artificial intelligence (AI) models used in materials discovery by analyzing their learned features has been developed by researchers from Japan. The method extracts key features from an AI model trained on atomic structural data and optical absorption spectra, and then groups materials with similar structural and spectral characteristics. This approach can be extended to reveal how atomic arrangements influence other material properties, paving the way for more efficient materials design.

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Jun 14 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • eurekalert.org
New Steelers safety shares bold prediction for 2026 season

New Pittsburgh Steelers safety Jaquan Brisker has high hopes for the 2026 season, as he predicts the defense could become a top-three unit in the NFL.

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Jun 14 • 6:05 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Saturday, June 13

MLB expert Phil Naessens offers a moneyline prediction for all 15 games on Saturday's massive card!

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Jun 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
In Retrospect: Poland, Russia, Europe

In April I spent a few days with Zryw, a Polish non-profit organization that recruits young people to enter politics and public life. Their aim is to build a new generation of civic leaders in Poland. I’ve followed their evolution from the beginning; my son is one of the founders. (“Zryw” means “impulse” or “burst of speed” in Polish). Julie Chmielewska, one of Zryw’s leaders, interviewed me at the event. Here is the conversation, lightly edited for grammar and context: Julia Chmielewska: Assuming that culture shapes institutions, could we conclude that some cultures are more prone to authoritarianism? Anne Applebaum: I don’t think so. Every culture, every nation, and every country has the potential for change. When we look at history, we can see that nations do change. Poland has changed, for example, from the 1980s to today. There’s a completely different mentality here than the one I encountered when I first visited, in 1988. The current generation sees the world through a different frame. So no, I don’t believe that certain nations are doomed to authoritarianism, or to anything. Of course, there are political and cultural traditions, but they can always be challenged. JC: So do you think there’s something intrinsic in human nature that pushes people to democracy, freedom? AA: I think there is something in human nature, a deep instinct, that pushes people towards freedom, yes. People who live in authoritarian countries – and I’ve heard this from them over and over again – sooner or later find themselves angered by a feeling of helplessness. They can see the unfairness of crooked courts, irrational political decisions. They naturally dislike the fact that somebody has all the power while they have none. In those circumstances, people who have no political background at all sometimes are politicized just by that frustration. I’m thinking of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, for example, who was a Belarusian housewife, until the circumstances of her husband’s arrest forced her to become a politician. I met a woman who is a Uyghur from China, and who had come to live in Turkey. After several of her family members were arrested, she too was propelled into a political role. These kinds of experiences make people interested in democracy or political reform, even if they thought they didn’t care. I also think that the opposite is true: some people instinctively prefer homogeneity, order, hierarchy. They don’t like the confrontation of opinions or the noise of debate, and they lean towards a single leader or a unified regime. I think that most of modern history is shaped by the clash between those two different sides of human nature. JC: Which force do you find more powerful today? AA: I think they both have a lot of power and there’s no way of predicting who wins. Even in countries that seem very shut off or stuck in an authoritarian system can change. We’ve seen that happen. And vice versa, I think democracies can also begin to fail and slide into authoritarianism. So it’s very important not to be complacent in either direction. JC: I want to go into your history and your experiences. You’ve lived in Russia during a time of incredible change in the late 80s, and then you came back to do research in post-Soviet Russia. AA: I was a student in Russia just before the collapse of the Soviet Union. I then traveled and worked there extensively in the 1990s, and I met people who really were full of hope. They hoped that Russia could become a democracy, or at least a place that guaranteed freedom of speech, freedom of the press. These weren’t ideas that came from Washington. Although now the narrative in the Kremlin is different, I met many people who were working towards exactly that kind of transformation. A friend of mine ran a series of seminars – once a year, and then later several times a year, in cities all over Russia – designed to get people to discuss politics in new ways. She invited young politicians and journalists, as well as foreigners. I went to many of them, in Moscow as well as Volgograd and Novosibirsk. Over two decades, hundreds of people came to these seminars, and all of them wanted Russia to be different. I remain convinced that many Russians still want Russia to be different. It’s just that the old system, in the form of Putin, a representative of that system, returned. The KGB reimposed their power. And this wasn’t because of something to do with culture, this was to do with money and politics, and who was in charge. JC: You’ve partially answered my question... I wanted to ask whether that excitement of the 1990s was an exception from the Russian historical norm which has been rather authoritarian? AA: Of course, if you look at the history of Russia since the 18th century, there have always been liberal groups, reformers and revolutionaries. There were the Decembrists, in the early 19th century, and the rural populists later on, who tried to organize the peasantry. A significant group of liberal Russians appeared at the turn of the 20th century, people like the father of the writer Vladimir Nabokov, who was a Russian politician before the revolution. These groups were small in number, but sometimes had a broader significance. The Russian dissident movement in the 1950s and 1960s actually invented the modern human rights movement. It was their idea to hold the leaders of the Soviet Union accountable for the language they used, to remind them of the treaties they had signed and the promised they had made. They created the Helsinki group, for example, that held Soviet leadership to the language of the Helsinki Treaty, which formally ended the Second World War and which contained guarantees of human rights, at least on paper. That idea spread to Eastern Europe, and similar tactics were used here in Poland. (Benjamin Nathans recently wrote a great book about the Soviet dissidents, To the Success of Our Hopeless Cause) JC: But seemingly, even if they do ever get power, they could never hold on to it. AA: We don’t know, because they have never really had power. But in any case, we also don’t know what will happen in the future. There is no reason to assume that Russia will forever be condemned to totalitarianism. Even during the first fifteen years of Putin’s regime there was some form of democratic politics. Only when the full-scale war began did he bring everything to an end: he shut down all remaining independent organizations and killed his most important opponent, Alexi Navalny. But does that mean he is popular, that he enjoys legitimacy? Even now, we don’t really know what Russians think about him, or about the war. There is no way of doing real polling in Russia because nobody will answer an independent pollster over the phone. JC: Do you think that the flock of young people, especially young men, who fled Russia after the start of the war represent a continuation of liberal movements that refuse to partake in the authoritarian state, or do you think they are moving for the sake of self-preservation – “I don’t want to go to the army, so I leave”? AA: I’m sure it’s both. I actually know many people who left Russia for political reasons either in the very last years before the war, or else just after the war began. JC: And do you see a change in the young generation versus the old one that have fled? AA: It’s hard for me to say because the people who I know were mostly already politicized. I do know some younger people who left, but most of them were already either active in the opposition, or working as journalists. Many of them very self-consciously think of themselves as maintaining Russian culture abroad, just as in the 20th century the Soviet dissidents or the anti-communist White Russians once thought of themselves as people who maintained the true Russian culture, outside of Bolshevik Russia. JC: Let’s move on to Poland. One of your first experiences with Poland was reporting on Margaret Thatcher’s first state visit, in the autumn of 1988. You followed her around the farmers’ market. AA: She was making a symbolic gesture. She wanted to welcome free markets, but the only one she could really visit was the farmers’ market at Hala Mirowska. JC: And I want to talk about this area because today you can look out of any window in that district, Mirów, and see rows and rows of skyscrapers. How does it feel to see a country built from the ground in such a short time, both politically and economically? AA: You know, when you’re living in a period of dramatic change, it’s always hard to know whether the change is positive or negative. The transformation in Poland created winners and losers, as well as new classes of people, new political movements of different kinds. At the time, it sometimes just felt like turbulence. Now, we can look back at the 1990s and early 2000s in Poland and see in retrospect that the country was headed in towards prosperity and European integration. In around 2009 or 2010, I remember speaking to a woman who worked cleaning government offices, and who asked me if her daughter should study in Amsterdam or in London. This seemed to me to be a real transformation, and it happened very fast: within a few years, Poles stopped feeling like second-class Europeans, and a generation of younger Poles appeared who had no qualms about crossing borders. JC: We again live in turbulent times. Do you think we’re heading towards positive outcomes? AA: I can’t make predictions, because everything that happens tomorrow depends on what people do today. Also, history doesn’t have a trajectory. It doesn’t move in a particular direction. You only think it does afterwards. As I said, you can look afterwards at Poland in the 1990s and you could say this was a period of great progress. But not everybody at the time saw that. Sometimes people are very wrong about a given country’s trajectory. I remember people writing about Ukraine in the 1990s, about how dangerous it was that Ukraine was independent, that this was going to be an anti-semitic state, that Ukrainian nationalism was going to come back... and although you can say many bad things about Ukraine, the country made many bad choices, actually it became a pretty tolerant state which now has a Jewish president and until recently a Muslim defense minister. JC: In the 1990s Poland’s and Ukraine’s GDP were roughly similar. Ukraine was even a bit richer. So the starting point was similar for both of these countries, but they’ve turned out very, very differently. Even if we stop in 2014. Why do you think Ukraine “chose East”? Was it external influence? AA: No, I think Ukraine was in a different position. First of all, central and eastern Ukraine had been part of the Soviet Union since the 1920s, and had therefore experienced a longer period of occupation, repression, Sovietization and even Russification. Ukraine did not have, as Poland did, an alternative elite: a large cadre of economists and politicians, who already had some experience in opposition politics and in independent thinking. In Poland, the transformative finance minister, Leszek Balcerowicz, had already thought about how an economy might be decentralized before he took office. We can argue about how successful he was, but at least he was prepared to try something new. In Ukraine, people weren’t prepared. For one, there hadn’t been much space even for an illegal opposition in the previous couple of decades. Ukraine was also in many ways still emerging from colonial occupation. For the previous couple of centuries, many of the most capable Ukrainians had moved to Russia, and the first generation of leaders in independent Ukraine tended to be former Soviet apparatchiks. They didn’t immediately seek to become closer to western Europe. Instead, they looked for some kind of economic and political “third way” and an accomodation with Russia. Ukraine became stuck in this position, half-in, half-out and became pretty profoundly corrupt. JC: The Polish alternative elite had a vision of where they wanted the country to go. I think the general perception now is that this vision ends with the next election, right? Is this a natural process of gaining power? AA: Their vision, and it was shared by the time by politicians who now call themselves both left and right, was that Poland should join the EU and NATO, as fast as possible. My husband (Radek Sikorski) was in the very first government that said it wanted to join NATO. At the time this was taken very badly in Washington: the demand for NATO membership absolutely came from Poland, not from the US. But even then, in the early 1990s, many Poles already understood that the Russian sphere of influence would grow once again, that it was important to become part of the transatlantic alliance and an integrated Europe as fast as possible: NATO, the EU, the Council of Europe, all of the trading and security alliances. That consensus lasted through several different governments and over many years, even governments containing former communists. For twenty years, right, left and center disagreed about many things, but they all agreed on the direction that the country should go. In retrospect, that consensus created the basis for prosperity in Poland. JC: And regarding the Polish-Ukrainian relations. We know that antagonisms, e.g. the myth of Wołyń [a massacre of Poles that took place in what is now Western Ukraine, in 1943] are increasingly used in Polish political discourse today. In Ukraine, nationalist historians make heroes out of UPA, the Ukrainian revolutionary army, which is held responsible for this tragedy. Where do you see a start for burying the hatchet? Is the reconciliation of our nations possible? AA: So here’s a strange thing: For more than a decade after they both gained independence, Poland and Ukraine participated in a number of projects that were designed to solve exactly these kinds of Polish-Ukrainian differences. Books were published that were jointly written by Polish and Ukrainian historians, monuments were built. These projects were successful: If you’d asked me this question in 2010, I would have said that there are no real historical issues between Poland and Ukraine, that the two countries had mostly reconciled. For a number of reasons, this began to shift. In Poland, children and grandchildren of victims of the Wołyń massacre felt their tragedy hadn’t been fully recognized. In Ukraine, nationalist groups wanted the UPA partisans who had fought against the Soviet Union recognized for their heroism, despite the fact that some in this broad and not well-defined group were also linked to Wołyń. In both eastern Poland and western Ukraine, the memory of the ethnic cleansing that took place there in the late 1940s - Poles were moved West, Ukrainians East - to accomodate new borders has left feelings of displacement and bitterness. The wave of Ukrainian immigration, which started before the war, may have provoked some of this. But don’t underestimate the role played by Russia, which has always wanted to create discord between Poland and Ukraine, and pumps out propaganda to that effect in both countries. Vandalism on both sides of the border, damage done to cemeteries and monuments, is sometimes carried out by provacateurs working for Russia, just to create bad feelings. The Polish-Ukrainian conflict also hides a different reality: although there are real grievances and bad memories, the truth is that the biggest tragedies both nations experienced in the twentieth century were inflicted by the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany. That should unite these two countries, not divide them. JC: This week (19.04.2026 – Ed.) in Hungary we saw that using historical narratives to create grievance has no longer worked. Are you optimistic about the direction after Orban’s loss? AA: The Hungarian election was really important because it shows that people can actually resist powerful, dominant propaganda. The ruling party Fidesz controlled all of the TV, 90% of the newspapers, the constitutional court, the bureaucracy... and yet people had the nerve to vote against it and resist it. It’s also an important election because Hungary created a huge network of well-funded think tanks and foundations that were funding other far right groups and projects. So that loss is going to have a knock-on effect in other places too, maybe even in Poland. JC: What you’ve said about resisting propaganda reminds me of one of the interviews you did about talking to Russians in the post-Soviet era who claimed that people knew that the system was lying. Why do people choose to believe in these regimes anyway? AA: Because it’s useful. Stephen Kotkin, an American historian, once described how people would learn how to “speak Bolshevik”: It was just a language that you needed to use in order to get by in society. If you didn’t talk the way the regime wanted you to talk, then you might have problems, or lose your job, or your kids would not get into university. It was a way of getting along. Communist Poland was similar, at least in the early years. When I was writing a book about the Sovietization of Eastern Europe after World War II, I met a lot of people who wanted to talk a lot about the war, when many of them had done really heroic things. But almost nobody wanted to talk about the decade afterwards, between 1945 and 1956. This was when you had the short period of terror, violence and Polish Stalinism. To stay safe, people felt the need to just go along with what others were saying, or stay out of politics, or use communist jargon without necessarily believing it. I don’t judge them for it, and I wouldn’t describe all of those people as collaborators. It’s easy to feel moral certainty in retrospect, because we know that communism ended. But if you were living in 1949, it might not have been clear to you that communism was going to end. In very repressive societies, maybe about 10% of people who are really evil – collaborators, torturers. Maybe 10% of people are really brave and who find ways to resist. And then around 80% of people have kids, they have parents, they have to have jobs and they’ve had to get through it somehow. Strange though it may sound, I’ve found that the work I did on that book is now very useful in explaining some of what’s going on in the United States today. There are plenty of members of the Republican Party in Congress who know perfectly well that Donald Trump says many things that aren’t true. But they avoid criticizing him because it’s inconvenient, because they would get in trouble, because someone would attack them on the internet. So actually you don’t even need mass terror to get people to conform. JC: Is Gen Z reinventing agency? AA: We’ll see. In any generation you can find groups of people who want agency. If you live in a society that’s unfair, for example where a tiny number of people have captured most of the wealth, then at a certain point people rebel. This is always easier for younger people, who have you have less to lose. The question now is how the internet will affect the relationships between citizens and the state, and how it will change organizations. The “Twitter revolutions” people spoke about as early as 2008-9, mass protests organized online, have often proved to be very superficial. Although you can easily join something just by clicking, the work of creating a real movement requires physical participation. Successful mass movements of the past, for example the Civil Rights movement in the United States, were built by people who had spent many years together. They had participated in non-violent workshops together. They practiced and prepared. Just using the you can get everybody to show up at a certain moment, but then when the protest is broken up, nothing happens. It’s also true that the repressive regimes have more recently learned how to use the internet to undermine leaders and movements. Most of all, they now understand how to make people cynical. The form of propaganda that most modern authoritarians use - and I think the Russians really pioneered this - deploys sneering cynicism. Instead of praising the rulers, the regime propagandists mock the opposition movement leadership for being supposedly corrupt or sexually degenerate, with the goal of undermining any kind of idealism. JC: MAGA grew on the internet? AA: MAGA is a real grassroots movement. They had symbols, red hats, they showed up at rallies. But you’re right that the cynicism, the sarcasm and the distrust that the movement embodies came originally from the internet, and this is different. Fifty years ago, most European political parties had a social base in real organizations, in trade unions for Social Democrats, in church groups for Christian Democrats. As people stopped going to church and as the trade unions became smaller, the social base of these parties disappeared. Now people who wouldn’t have known one another in the past meet on the internet and create new movements, many of which don’t last. JC: Is history ending? Going in stale circles? AA: History never ends. In truth, human beings want contradictory things at the same time: order and freedom, stability and change. These things are never resolved, and when a society swings too far in one direction, people always push it the other way. But each time that happens, the result is different. Certainly it is true that we are now in a period when old philosophers and ideas from the 1930s are undergoing a revival. Carl Schmitt, who was a philosopher who was very influential on the Nazis, is back as an influence on both the far left and the far right, once again inspiring people to think that all politics has to be existential, that all politics is about defining and defeating enemies. In the US, some are also bringing back dominionism, the idea that we need a Christian and not a secular state. It’s also true that we are living through a more fundamental shift. The old left-right divide, which was mostly about the size of the state, is much less important now. Instead, we are arguing about more fundamental things: what are our rights, what protects our freedom. Or how much power do we want to give small elites, versus how much power to give ordinary people. In America a small group of very wealthy people now control information, because they control the social media platforms and AI, which means they determine what people will read and learn. Finding a way to preserve preserve zones of autonomy and independent thinking, this is going to be the main task for the next generation. JC: What is the one book that a person interested in Central Europe should read? AA: You could read my book “Iron Curtain: the Crushing of Eastern Europe” which tells the story of how the Soviet Union imposed its culture on the region. Or read Tim Snyder’s history of the region, “The Reconstruction of Nations: Poland, Ukraine, Lithuania, Belarus 1569-1999.” And everyone should read “The Captive Mind” by Czesław Miłosz, which describes exactly the phenomenon we were talking about: why do people collaborate? I joined Scott Galloway and the brilliant Fiona Hill in a discussion about the wars in Ukraine and Iran, the future of global power, and what these conflicts reveal about America's role in the world. Scott told us that this was the 400th edition of his podcast, which is quite a number: My friend Francesco Chiamulera runs a brilliant series of literary events, Una Colline di Libri, A Hill of Books, in the Prosecco Hills, a region of vineyards and elegant hill towns in the Veneto, north of Venice. We did an event in Vittorio Veneto and also drove and biked around the countryside. Buy Autocracy Inc Buy Iron Curtain Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe

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Jun 13 • 4:15 AM EDT • Politics • anneapplebaum.substack.com
Dalton and Tristi's NBA mock draft 3.0: Who Warriors, Kings pick in first round

NBC Sports Bay Area and California predicts who the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings will pick in the 2026 NBA Draft's first round.

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Jun 12 • 10:50 AM EDT • Sports • nbcsportsbayarea.com
Clemson doubt continues? Athlon Sports predicts Tigers’ 2026 finish

Clemson is seemingly outside the Top 3 in every ACC rankings yet. Are the Tigers being undervalued?

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Jun 12 • 8:53 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
2026 Men's College World Series: Storylines, predictions and players to watch

Our experts break down top storylines, players and predictions for this year's MCWS.

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Jun 12 • 7:30 AM EDT • Sports • espn.com
Xbox Memo Predicts over 5x Increase in Storage and Memory Costs by Holiday 2027

"While the entire industry is facing a components crisis, we believe we have been impacted more greatly than many of our peers".

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Jun 12 • 6:51 AM EDT • Technology • digitalfoundry.net
Mega-bull Dan Ives shares 5 stocks to buy ahead of a coming shift in AI

Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities predicts a coming shift in the AI market that will favor a handful of stocks including Palantir and MongoDB.

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Jun 12 • 5:40 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
907 Sports: Recapping a wild weekend that capped off the spring sports season

In this edition of 907 Sports, the team breaks down the Division I and Division II baseball state championships, both of which brought an unpredictable ending. Then, we head up to Fairbanks for the State Softball Tournaments where Chugiak reclaims the DI title and Palmer rattled off four victories in one day to become the Division II champs.

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Jun 11 • 7:51 PM EDT • Sports • alaskasnewssource.com
Former CFTC Chair Gary Gensler on regulating sports betting: Let the states do it

Gary Gensler, former CFTC chairman under President Obama and former SEC chairman under President Biden, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss why he's filing an amicus brief arguing Congress did not intent to make the CFTC the nationwide regulator of sports betting when it passed the Dodd-Frank Act in 2010, regulating sports betting, his thoughts on prediction markets, insider trading concerns, and more.

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Jun 11 • 8:16 AM EDT • Sports • cnbc.com
United States World Cup 2026 Odds, Predictions & Best Bets

The World Cup 2026 is on home soil, the squad is named, and the nation is watching — but can the United States turn home advantage into a genuine deep run, and are the outright odds worth a punt?…...

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Jun 11 • 4:50 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
WHO urges targeted action to strengthen emergency workforce capacities for shared health risks across the Asia-Pacific region

At a time when the world is more interconnected than ever, the World Health Organization (WHO) is disseminating a comprehensive regional analysis of shared health risks across Asia and the Pacific, urging Member States to invest in enhancing workforce capacities regionwide to mitigate these risks and ensure health systems are better prepared to anticipate, tackle and withstand a range of crises and shocks. Over 100 delegates from 49 countries and areas in the Asia-Pacific region reviewed results from the regional risk analysis during the WHO-led Asia Pacific Health Security Action Framework (APHSAF) Stakeholders Meeting in Malaysia. Synthesizing insights from 21 strategic risk assessments and more than 800 multisectoral experts, the regional analysis highlighted an urgent imperative: countries must proactively invest in emergency workforce preparedness to navigate a landscape where climate hazards, disease outbreaks and geophysical events increasingly overlap. These complex converging crises create devastating, compounding impacts on health systems and communities – reiterating the need for investing in a fit-for-purpose regional health workforce and multisectoral action.Key findings: an evolving risk landscape More than half of the participating countries ranked flooding, cyclones, dengue and pandemic-potential respiratory pathogens as being of high or very high risk, while antimicrobial resistance, landslides and gastroenteritis remain widespread concerns as well. “Given that 51% – over half – of these assessed hazards are deeply interconnected, isolated health interventions are no longer sufficient,” said Dr Saia Ma’u Piukala, WHO Regional Director for the Western Pacific. “Extreme weather events like cyclones and floods directly trigger subsequent disease outbreaks, while environmental degradation – driven by sea-level rise, coastal erosion and saltwater intrusion – fuels health risks across the Pacific. Mitigating these cascading risks requires unified, cross-sectoral action linking environmental, agricultural and public health policies to build true regional resilience.” Priority recommendations for action To address critical vulnerabilities, WHO calls on Member States in the Asia-Pacific region to urgently prioritize the following strategic actions: Bridge workforce capacity gaps. Embed and standardize emergency preparedness within academia to promote regional workforce interoperability. Foster multisectoral coordination. Address ad-hoc taskforce responses and fragmented surge support through formalized contingency plans and standard operating procedures that are frequently updated and tested. Secure sustainable financing for emergencies. Overcome systemic barriers to access dedicated funding for both immediate anticipatory actions and long-term emergency preparedness initiatives. Enable emergency-ready primary health care. Embed emergency management into public health workforce readiness planning. Ensure that emergency planning is inclusive. Establish clear pathways for inclusive emergency planning that actively involves communities most at risk and other vulnerable groups. Optimize communication. Update risk communication and community engagement strategies, aligning them with seasonal risk calendars. Elevating workforce readiness to meet regional health risks While the gaps identified are significant, the Asia-Pacific region possesses solid foundational pillars, including dedicated clinicians, laboratory staff, rapid response teams, emergency medical teams and extensive community networks. However, to adequately address the compounding nature of modern crises, the various components of the emergency workforce must collaborate cohesively. True resilience depends entirely on transforming this currently fragmented workforce into a highly trained, interconnected and rapidly deployable asset. To achieve this, WHO is actively advancing regional workforce capacities through the Global Health Emergency Corps initiative. This initiative – supported by the Gates Foundation and the Institute of Philanthropy – seeks to build a seamless network of emergency workforce across borders and sectors, ensuring that when a crisis strikes, a standardized, well-coordinated and trained workforce is immediately ready to respond. “Scaling up emergency workforce readiness is no longer optional,” said Dr Gina Samaan, Regional Emergency Director for WHO in the Western Pacific. “It is the definitive factor that will determine how effectively the Asia-Pacific region safeguards health and protects lives in an increasingly unpredictable future.” ____________________For more information, or to arrange media interviews, contact: Ara Johannes, WHO Western Pacific Health Emergencies Division: johannesa@who.int WHO Western Pacific Communications: wprocom@who.int

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Jun 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • who.int
2026 World Cup: Predictions, rankings, team-by-team schedules, rosters and everything else you need to know before kickoff
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Jun 10 • 4:52 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Nvidia Buys Kumo AI To Bring AI Predictions To Business Data

Nvidia's reported $400 million acquisition of Kumo AI is a bet that the next wave of enterprise AI value will come from business data, not just documents and code.

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Jun 10 • 2:40 PM EDT • Business • forbes.com
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World Cup 2026 predictions: Who gets the Golden Ball amd Golden Boot, biggest disappointments, championship picks and more
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Jun 10 • 2:31 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Ben Roethlisberger Predicts Steelers Record Under Mike McCarthy

Pittsburgh's former quarterback expects a solid season.

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Jun 10 • 1:40 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
No injuries, no props: CFTC proposes prediction market rules

Prediction markets could soon be barred from offering certain types of sports-related event contracts, including those involving officiating outcomes or player injuries.

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Jun 10 • 12:40 PM EDT • Sports • espn.com
Trump administration proposes new rules on prediction markets that would still allow most sports activity

The Trump administration on Wednesday proposed a set of new federal regulations for prediction markets that appear to largely leave the booming industry intact.

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Jun 10 • 11:51 AM EDT • Sports • cnn.com
Nancy Mace's unpredictable career is up in the air after finishing last in South Carolina primary

Rep. Nancy Mace has finished a distant fifth in South Carolina's Republican primary for governor, leaving her political future uncertain.

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Jun 10 • 11:30 AM EDT • Politics • wsls.com
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Feds move to formally allow sports "trading" on prediction markets

The CFTC moved Wednesday to formalize rules allowing prediction markets to offer the equivalent of sports betting nationwide.

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Jun 10 • 10:59 AM EDT • Sports • axios.com
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2026 World Cup viewer's guide: Format, new rules, predictions, how to watch and everything you need to know before kickoff
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Jun 10 • 9:03 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Yankees news: Good news on Austin Wells

Austin Wells receives promising MRI results; an All-Star prediction; Yesavage starting Friday for Jays

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Jun 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Kalshi wants to know where you work

The prediction market has added several new guardrails to weed out insider trading and bad actors.

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Jun 10 • 12:02 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Exclusive: SBA's Kelly Loeffler predicts AI will fuel Main Street growth

Despite economic fears, Americans are filing to start new businesses at near-record rates.

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Jun 9 • 11:05 AM EDT • Business • axios.com
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Micah Parsons' Caleb Williams prediction should worry Packers fans

Micah Parsons singled out Caleb Williams when asked who could become the NFL's best player, adding more momentum to the Bears quarterback's rise.

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Jun 9 • 9:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Scientists Built a Tool to Predict When You’re Going to Die

Scientists are using the secrets of the genome to predict one of life’s most cryptic events.

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Jun 9 • 8:30 AM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Tokenomics will lead to opportunities in 'edge AI,' Citrini says

Citrini Research predicts that the economics of tokenmaxxing will prompt a shift to "edge AI" that will have implications for investors.

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Jun 9 • 5:15 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
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Coaches, ADs 'disgusted,' 'stunned' with Brendan Sorsby ruling

A judge's decision to rule Texas Tech's Brendan Sorsby eligible Monday drew the ire of college coaches and athletic directors, with reactions ranging from doomsday predictions to informal talk about Big 12 schools attempting to not play the Red Raiders.

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Jun 8 • 5:44 PM EDT • Sports • espn.com
We can create the future of science right now

Paul Litvak is the founder and Executive Director of the Robyn Dawes Institute and a Visiting Scholar at UC Berkeley. He has a PhD in Behavioral Decision Research from Carnegie Mellon where he studied emotions and the sunk cost bias. Over 15 years in industry, he solved a wide range of challenging technical problems. At Meta he created models optimizing the ad review process. At Google he ran experiments to measure social influence. At Airbnb, he was a product manager leading machine learning teams optimizing search ranking and price suggestions. He also co-founded and led product at Rhythmic Health, a venture-backed biosensing startup, creating an accurate low cost system using a color changing strip and a smart phone to measure salivary lactate. The bottleneck At this point, it is uncontroversial to say that science needs to stop using the PDF article as the unit of knowledge and currency. The unbearable slowness of scientific publishing, the profit motive and margins: I’m not saying anything new. The PDF also sucks because it’s hard to extract structured information, which makes it hard to do evidence synthesis. As a result, we do much less evidence synthesis than is needed. And evidence synthesis ultimately undergirds most policy and medical decision-making. I can see second-by-second real-time odds for any sporting or newsworthy event, but a school board can’t see the best evidence on whether their 8th graders should be taught algebra. As a society, we don’t treat this as an important problem. Again, not controversial. Not only is the problem well understood, but the solution has already been laid out. What we need is AI-assisted living evidence synthesis - (1) an open knowledge graph of atomic claims, (2) claims linked to evidence, (3) assessment and synthesis of each piece of evidence, and (4) continuous updating with new data. What few realize (yet) is that the technical capacity to build this vision for a significant portion of science already exists. Not only that, scientists and startup teams are already building many of these components. I know this because I’ve been surveying the space and talking to many of the builders. There are some missing pieces: for example, evaluations of how well some of the components work. But at this point, most of what’s missing is a fully end-to-end working integration of all of these parts. In the rest of this essay, I’m going to lay out all the parts of a working living evidence layer for science and who is working on them, and propose concrete next steps for building this system. What’s now possible The diagram above outlines the components of a living evidence synthesis platform, including some of the teams working on each component1. Scientific PDFs are processed into claims with associated evidence. The evidence is subjected to a forensic audit, methodological evaluation and robustness and reproducibility checks. Finally it’s given a weight in a continuously updating synthesis. What follows is a description and status of each component and a few of the teams working on them. Document understanding The first thing you need to be able to do is turn an article into structured data. Mostly that means parsing PDFs. There are often multicolumn layouts that confuse non-specialized PDF to text processing libraries. For scientific papers, there is the added complexity of parsing formulas and tables and figures. This is a really hot area - there are startups offering APIs, and it seems like a new open source package gets posted to Github every few weeks. What follows isn’t exhaustive. A package called GROBID was the state of the art for a while, they didn’t update their package for nearly two years until very recently. In the meantime reducto.ai released an AI powered PDF extraction API, PaddleOCR became popular, IBM released a model called Docling, and both Mistral and Gemini created models and libraries. I also know of at least one other well-funded psychology research group working on a paper parser. By contrast, there are few open evals in this space, with no extensive evals for complex table comprehension in particular. Nonetheless, I’m confident this will be a solved problem soon, given the combination of LLM advances and developer interest. Hypothesis level extraction There has been increasing interest in comprehending the extracted text of papers and linking information to evidence for each hypothesis. A lot of work has already been done. Trialstreamer (Marshall et al. 2020) and RobotReviewer LIVE (Marshall et al. 2023) demonstrated automated extraction of trial population, intervention, and outcome at scale on clinical RCTs. PaperQA2 (Skarlinski et al. 2024) and Ai2 ScholarQA (2024) extended this to retrieval-augmented question answering with citation grounding. Elicit, Consensus, and SciSpace operationalized claim-level extraction for end users. OpenEval (Booeshaghi et al. 2026) is the most recent and most ambitious: 1.96 million atomic claims extracted from 16,087 eLife manuscripts using Claude Sonnet 4.5, grouped into ~299,000 results, with LLM evaluations showing 81% agreement with human peer review on a 2,487-paper subset. None of these solutions link claims to test-statistics, as you would need to evaluate randomized controlled trials. This is why I built the evidence.guide API - to extract hypotheses and associated test statistics from behavioral science papers. The best public eval of this kind of extraction I’m aware of comes from the recent SCORE project - they had humans code thousands of psychology papers to extract their claims by hand. It would be extremely helpful to the world if all scientific PDFs were available as structured open data. I’ve been working to make this happen, both directly at Berkeley and through coordination with large entities I can’t yet speak of; as hard as it is to do, I think it’s possible2. Forensic audit A lot of work has been done on forensic audit, but some gaps remain. Of course, for biology papers that rely on images for evidence, there are a variety of tools (notably Proofig and ImageTwin) to spot anomalies. These are still well short of what sleuths like Elizabeth Bik can do on her own, but these tools are constant companions among fraud analysts. There’s someone working on auditing Excel files for anomalies, and a number of teams are automating numerical checks like GRIM and SPRITE, including Scrutiny project, the INSPECT-SR team as well as statcheck. The regcheck team is building a way to use AI to compare preregistrations to analyses in papers, to ensure there aren’t significant deviations. Nonetheless, there are many other kinds of anomalies to screen for, both public and less publicly known. And there are no formal evals for anomaly detection that I’m aware of. Still, there’s a lot to draw from in this space and I’m pretty certain we will be able to scan papers for most kinds of obvious anomalies in the near future. Methodological review This area has been white hot, though I fear for many of the startups in this space, because this capability may become commoditized. There are at least six different AI peer review companies, including Refine.ink, Reviewer3, ReviewerZero.ai, Q.E.D. Science, Paper Wizard, and Isitcredible. Coarse (a pun on refine) was also recently created as an open source alternative. These systems provide qualitative feedback on the content of papers, spotting methodological weaknesses and mathematical errors. They seem to work pretty well, and many academics report bitterly that they exceed the average quality of typical peer reviewers. But there are few evals here either. What evals exist so far involve using LLM-as-judge (circularity problems abound) or comparing against human reviews of questionable quality. What you’d ideally want is an eval that measures capturing known errors in papers3. Reproducibility and robustness Another active area has been using AI agents to automate computational reproducibility4 and robustness5 checks in papers that report numerical results. For more recent papers where data and code are available, AI agents can see whether they can re-run the analyses and produce the numbers reported in the published paper. In addition to a handful of individual academics who have been experimenting using Claude Code for this, the Institute for Replication is a leading group working on building an end to end system. The evals related to this problem are the most mature, with CORE-Bench (Siegel, Kapoor, Narayanan 2024) and PaperBench (OpenAI 2025) available to benchmark agents on this task. There is also work on getting AI agents to test alternative ways of analyzing the data to ensure the results are robust to small analytic design choices. Synthesis This is the most underdeveloped area where significant investment is required. Although some automated evidence synthesis systems exist — for example, otto-sr is building an AI agent to write systematic reviews — none of these incorporate the full range of paper level signals to weight evidence appropriately. Nor is there anything like an eval or a gold standard for a good systematic review. Arguably Cochrane reviews are the closest we have to gold standard human systematic reviews, though I’ve heard academics in the know complain about their uneven quality. A key question for a synthesis platform is how to weight anomalies and methodological issues in assessing the quality of a piece of evidence. This is an unsolved problem and one I’m very keen to work on. Continuous updating There are many pieces of basic infrastructure available for monitoring for new research and initiating updates. OpenAlex is the current open citation graph. Retraction Watch integrated into Crossref in October 2023. Scite tracks how citations support, contrast, or mention prior claims. The Living Evidence Network demonstrated continuous-update workflows in clinical guidelines. Engineering this is a relatively straightforward task. When you look over this technical architecture and all the progress being made, it’s hard not to be optimistic that a living guide to scientific evidence will be built. The stakeholders are ready The social infrastructure for this is starting to coalesce — it’s not just a pie in the sky academic exercise to imagine this coming into existence. Institutions like the Center for Open Science, the Institute for Replication, the INSPECT-SR, the Living Evidence Network and more are all working on scaling work to improve research quality. Funders are also aligned. The Sloan Foundation has funded living evidence work through COS. Coefficient Giving supports the Institute for Replication and COS. The Astera Institute and the Institute for Progress have shown interest in this space. NIH has established an Office for Replication and Reproducibility. Although there are (very unfortunately) serious headwinds in science funding generally, there is an active group of funders interested in metascience. A brief word about what I’ve been doing at RDI. First, as a Visiting Scholar at Berkeley I’ve been actively figuring out how a non-profit and a public university can conduct and make public the results of large-scale academic article data mining. With some of the money I raised from donors, I commissioned a legal analysis of recent case law and publisher text data mining (TDM) agreements in order to understand whether a massive open data mining of academic articles is possible (with caveats, it is). I’ve also been working to bring together stakeholders in this space, and identify gaps. I’ve also been doing some software development in this space, with more to come. A pilot proposal The assumption undergirding all of this is that an AI, given all this information, would make the right judgment about a scientific claim with lots of conflicting evidence, weighing all the factors appropriately. That’s the hypothesis we need to test. Randomized control trial research is the best place to focus on first. RCTs are used to make many of the important decisions in society - from medical trials to public policy changes. And they use a relatively uniform set of inferential statistics with lots of known and available diagnostics. Behavioral science experiments, within the broader realm of RCTs, should be first used as a testbed whose results can be generalized. Because behavioral science is at the vanguard of open science practices, replications abound (there are thousands of them) to serve as ground truth training data. Key Hypothesis Therefore the pilot would test, in behavioral RCTs that have been replicated, whether the quality of evidence for a claim can be used to accurately predict whether that claim will replicate. Secondary Hypotheses Compared to claims that replicated, non-replicated claims demonstrate a greater share of forensic anomalies in their source literatures. Hypothesis level claim and statistic extraction is accurate enough to scale living evidence without onerous human review costs. Replication prediction is more accurate than prediction markets6 or journal prestige. If all the different quality signals we gather do accurately predict which studies will replicate, then we can use that model to score evidence to power the living evidence layer. Why this is informative regardless of outcome If the pilot succeeds, the architecture extends to medical RCTs (where Living Evidence already operates and integration is mostly about claim representation), then to slices of basic biology with stable replication structure. If it fails, the field learns which quality signals are load-bearing and which ones metascience has oversold. Either result is a contribution to knowing what the literature supports. Implications for funders Because this burgeoning ecosystem of builders already exists, a well-informed philanthropic or government funder could play a crucial catalyzing role in bringing this future about. They could play at least three roles: creating open structured datasets, publishing open benchmarks and incentivizing the solving of key technical challenges. First, open archives of papers that the government maintains, like PubMed, could be turned into structured data amenable to large scale metascience and claim aggregation. I know the US government already has an interest in doing this, though some key open questions remain unanswered. How do you determine the best models and systems for accurately extracting information from papers? How can you establish a robust way to allow researchers to flag errors and correct them? And finally, how do you create a legal regime in working with publishers to maximize the scope of available papers? For the latter, a university or a private philanthropy may be better positioned to make structured data publicly available under journal subscription terms or fair use. Philanthropists or government funders could also coordinate to create or commission benchmarks that evaluate whether important problems have been solved. For example, an open benchmark for claim extraction from a range of different scientific article types would be extremely helpful. Ensuring the underlying data are accurate is vital for creating these evaluations. I’ve discussed opportunistically using various human-created datasets for this purpose, but a consistent problem is that errors in human data make it difficult for them to serve as a gold standard. Finally, with structured data and benchmarks available, the government or private philanthropy could use them to incentivize groups to develop machine learning systems that meet these benchmarks. Prizes are one potentially valuable tool for this. For example, you could establish a prize for a system that accurately updates a living meta-analysis for a small set of claims. Prizes are particularly useful as signals of problem importance, and can help create vibrant ecosystems of public and private research—see, for example the role the government played in kickstarting the current work on nuclear fusion. Conclusion The drawbacks of the current scientific publishing system are known. Scientists agree, metascientists agree, philanthropists agree: the published PDF plus citation graph isn’t the right substrate for maintaining a representation of the evidence base in science. The pieces needed to build the alternative either already exist or are rapidly taking shape. The community is forming around exactly this problem, with concrete partnerships and shared infrastructure. A pilot should start on behavioral science RCTs because that’s the slice of empirical science most amenable to legibility, where replication ground truth is richest, and where the failure modes are best documented. What’s been missing is the galvanizing mission to assemble these pieces into something that works. That’s what I’m proposing to build. *** 1 I have a broader field map that I’ll release publicly soon. This is me, building in public! 2 If this is something that you are excited about, please reach out and talk to me. 3 More on this very soon too! 4 This tests whether, given the code and the data, you can get the same statistics as reported in the published paper. 5 This tests whether the results are the same as a paper’s given alternative analytical decisions in conducting the analysis (like outlier omission). Closely related is the idea of a “multiverse” where you come up with many different ways of answering the same underlying research question with the same data, and test whether the results hold in all those alternative methods. There’s been work on the latter as well. 6 Some of the replications, e.g. those from the SCORE project, had paired the experiments with forecasts from prediction markets. So we get to look at this for free.

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Jun 8 • 4:44 PM EDT • Science • goodscience.substack.com
The Odds: Trump’s hometown

CNN News Central’s John Berman and Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten explore what the latest polling and prediction markets say about the President’s popularity in his hometown of New York City.

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Jun 8 • 9:54 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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FIFA World Cup 2026 bold predictions

The 2026 FIFA World Cup starts on Thursday. Running from June 11th to July 19th, the much-anticipated tournament will bring exciting matches in the world’s sport. 48 teams, through 104 fixtures, will give their all to achieve world glory. Argentina…

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Jun 8 • 9:47 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
ORNL scientist: How AI helps scientists predict Earth's future

Oak Ridge scientist Forrest Hoffman explains how AI and supercomputers help predict Earth's complex climate systems.

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Jun 8 • 9:40 AM EDT • Science • oakridger.com
Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & Predictions: 2026 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Have the recent Buccaneers been a success? Over the last four years, the team has three division titles, and in the fourth, it tied for the division lead and lost out on a tiebreaker. On the other hand, that amounts…

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Jun 8 • 8:36 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Bengals News (6/8): More positive predictions for Cincinnati

Some pundits are really buying into the Bengals plan.

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Jun 8 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
How Six Flags’ Expanded Membership Model At Six Flags Entertainment (FUN) Has Changed Its Investment Story

In recent weeks, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation expanded its flexible Membership program to six additional parks, introducing year-round, multi-park access with regional tiered options and low monthly payments to strengthen guest loyalty and recurring revenue. This shift toward a subscription-style model is material because it increases revenue predictability, deepens customer engagement, and may reshape how investors assess the resilience of Six Flags’ business. We’ll now examine how...

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Jun 7 • 5:18 PM EDT • Entertainment • finance.yahoo.com
Opinion - NASA’s moon base might be nothing like science fiction’s predictions

NASA officials expressed several reasons for making the moon base, in effect, a small city.

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Jun 7 • 10:00 AM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
Opinion: Lisa Kudrow’s ‘The Comeback’ predicted our political moment

Lisa Kudrow stars in “The Comeback,” an HBO show about seeking out fame no matter the cost — a reflection of American politics today in the age of artificial intelligence.

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Jun 7 • 10:00 AM EDT • Politics • ajc.com
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WHO urges targeted action to strengthen emergency workforce capacities for shared health risks across the Asia-Pacific region

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 11 June 2026 – At a time when the world is more interconnected than ever, the World Health Organization (WHO) is disseminating a comprehensive regional analysis of shared health risks across Asia and the Pacific, urging Member States to invest in enhancing workforce capacities regionwide to mitigate these risks and ensure health systems are better prepared to anticipate, tackle and withstand a range of crises and shocks. Over 100 delegates from 49 countries and areas in the Asia-Pacific region reviewed results from the regional risk analysis during the WHO-led Asia Pacific Health Security Action Framework (APSHAF) Stakeholders Meeting in Malaysia. Synthesizing insights from 21 strategic risk assessments and more than 800 multisectoral experts, the regional analysis highlighted an urgent imperative: countries must proactively invest in emergency workforce preparedness to navigate a landscape where climate hazards, disease outbreaks and geophysical events increasingly overlap. These complex converging crises create devastating, compounding impacts on health systems and communities - reiterating the need for investing in a fit-for-purpose regional health workforce and multisectoral action. Key findings: an evolving risk landscape More than half of the participating countries ranked flooding, cyclones, dengue and pandemic-potential respiratory pathogens as being of high or very high risk, while antimicrobial resistance, landslides and gastroenteritis remain widespread concerns as well. “Given that 51% - over half - of these assessed hazards are deeply interconnected, isolated health interventions are no longer sufficient,” said Dr Saia Ma’u Piukala, WHO Regional Director for the Western Pacific. “Extreme weather events like cyclones and floods directly trigger subsequent disease outbreaks, while environmental degradation - driven by sea-level rise, coastal erosion and saltwater intrusion - fuels health risks across the Pacific. Mitigating these cascading risks requires unified, cross-sectoral action linking environmental, agricultural and public health policies to build true regional resilience.” Priority recommendations for action To address critical vulnerabilities, WHO calls on Member States in the Asia-Pacific region to urgently prioritize the following strategic actions: Bridge workforce capacity gaps. Embed and standardize emergency preparedness within academia to promote regional workforce interoperability. Foster multisectoral coordination. Address ad-hoc taskforce responses and fragmented surge support through formalized contingency plans and standard operating procedures that are frequently updated and tested. Secure sustainable financing for emergencies. Overcome systemic barriers to access dedicated funding for both immediate anticipatory actions and long-term emergency preparedness initiatives. Enable emergency-ready primary health care. Embed emergency management into public health workforce readiness planning. Ensure that emergency planning is inclusive. Establish clear pathways for inclusive emergency planning that actively involves communities most at risk and other vulnerable groups. Optimize communication. Update risk communication and community engagement strategies, aligning them with seasonal risk calendars. Elevating workforce readiness to meet regional health risks While the gaps identified are significant, the Asia-Pacific region possesses solid foundational pillars, including dedicated clinicians, laboratory staff, rapid response teams, emergency medical teams and extensive community networks. However, to adequately address the compounding nature of modern crises, the various components of the emergency workforce must collaborate cohesively. True resilience depends entirely on transforming this currently fragmented workforce into a highly trained, interconnected and rapidly deployable asset. To achieve this, WHO is actively advancing regional workforce capacities through the Global Health Emergency Corps initiative. This initiative - supported by the Gates Foundation and Institute of Philanthropy - seeks to build a seamless network of emergency workforce across borders and sectors, ensuring that when a crisis strikes, a standardized, well-coordinated and trained workforce is immediately ready to respond. “Scaling up emergency workforce readiness is no longer optional,” said Dr Gina Samaan, Regional Emergency Director for WHO in the Western Pacific. “It is the definitive factor that will determine how effectively the Asia-Pacific region safeguards health and protects lives in an increasingly unpredictable future.” For more information, or to arrange media interviews, contact: Ara Johannes, WHO Western Pacific Health Emergencies Division: johannesa@who.int WHO Western Pacific Communications: wprocom@who.int

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Jun 7 • 1:23 AM EDT • Health • who.int
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Kansas City Chiefs: ESPN Expert Drops Major Patrick Mahomes Prediction

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are once again entering a season with championship expectations, but one prediction has elevated the conversation surrounding the star quarterback even further. An NFL analyst recently projected that Mahomes will capture the third Most Valuable Player award of his career during the 2026 season, a forecast that underscores […] The post Kansas City Chiefs: ESPN Expert Drops Major Patrick Mahomes Prediction appeared first on Gridiron Heroics.

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Jun 6 • 5:29 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Alabama, Kalen DeBoer Slapped With Concerning 2026 Prediction

The Alabama Crimson Tide and head coach Kalen DeBoer have been handed a concerning prediction.

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Jun 6 • 3:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
World Cup a ‘shot in the dark’ for Seattle, but many businesses hopeful

Seattle businesses are holding their breath to see if the economic boom predicted to hit the city during the FIFA World Cup pans out.

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Jun 6 • 9:00 AM EDT • Business • seattletimes.com
How prediction markets could forecast the future of science

Online prediction markets are taking bets on everything from climate change to quantum computing. But researchers question their accuracy

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Jun 6 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • scientificamerican.com
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Ebola spread in central Africa could match 2014 record outbreak, US health officials say

Modelling from US CDC shows Ebola spread could be on ‘dangerous trajectory’, but experts warn outbreaks can be very hard to predict

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Jun 6 • 12:21 AM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
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How The 2026 World Cup Favourites Are Rated

International football has become harder to separate from the betting markets surrounding it. Predictions for the 2026 World Cup have been shifting long before the tournament itself, with qualificatio...

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Jun 5 • 5:20 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Bills, Vikings Connected in Massive $140M Trade Rumor

A proposal has been made from one prominent NFL Analyst, who predicted a blockbuster Justin Jefferson trade rumor connecting the Bills, Vikings.

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Jun 5 • 3:35 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
New poll shows narrow lead for Pingree

On the Republican side, Bobby Charles, a former federal official who runs a Washington DC lobbying firm, is predicted to reach the majority threshold after ranked choice voting counts are completed.

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Jun 5 • 1:55 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
CFB analyst provides intriguing prediction for Texas A&M's 2026 season

Popular X account CFB Home predicts Texas A&M to finish 10-2 in 2026, with both losses coming at the end of the year.

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Jun 5 • 8:03 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Scientists warn Trump plan to axe US ocean monitoring system will leave world ‘flying blind’

Experts say dismantling the ocean observation system will ‘severely degrade’ the accuracy of weather predictions

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Jun 5 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
NBA writer predicts Draymond Green will decline his player option

Draymond Green has a player option for next season with the Warriors, but the 14-year veteran has not yet decided to exercise it.

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Jun 4 • 6:33 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
NFL analyst makes bold prediction for Chargers' Tre Harris

Chargers wide receiver Tre' Harris could play a big role in 2026. An NFL analyst certainly believes he will.

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Jun 4 • 3:18 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
A New Biological Clock Could Predict When You'll Probably Die

Make the most of it.

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Jun 4 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
Male puberty is understudied — but when it starts may predict long-term health risks

Due to a significant gender gap, far less is known about the health risks of early or late puberty onset among boys than girls.

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Jun 4 • 4:30 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
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BofA Says Foreign Buyers Lured by UK Yields Despite Politics

Bank of America predicts a streak of gilt purchases by foreign buyers extended through May, as some of the highest government yields in major developed nations offset political turbulence and inflation fears.

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Jun 4 • 4:12 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Spain vs Iraq – Predicted lineup and team news

Spain host Iraq at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor on Thursday evening to commence their final World Cup warm-up campaign.The reigning European champions enter the tournament as one of the definitive favour...

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Jun 4 • 2:35 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Researchers decode hidden patterns in World Cup data

Northeastern’s Network Science Institute is using data to decode the 2026 World Cup, from passing networks to predictive models.

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Jun 3 • 3:45 PM EDT • Science • news.northeastern.edu
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Google's new Gemma 4 open AI model is sized for your laptop

Gemma 4 12B uses a new encoding scheme and token prediction to punch above its weight.

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Jun 3 • 3:10 PM EDT • Technology • arstechnica.com
Satellite science: FSU research increases accuracy of high-resolution ocean surface measurements

Florida State University research published today in Science Advances demonstrates a new framework for predicting the motion of kilometer-scale underwater

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Jun 3 • 2:41 PM EDT • Science • news.fsu.edu
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Sharks As Climate Scientists?Here’s How They Improve Ocean Forecasts.

A new study shows that data from tagged sharks can improve ocean forecasts by up to 40 percent in some regions, offering a surprising new tool for understanding and predicting climate patterns.

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Jun 3 • 12:17 PM EDT • Science • forbes.com
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Why Kalshi Wants Businesses To Bet on the Knicks, Too

A Manhattan bar is using Kalshi as an insurance policy for a free-drinks promotion. This is the future prediction markets want.

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Jun 3 • 10:47 AM EDT • Business • nymag.com
Curbing Congo’s Ebola outbreak is hampered by unknowns about the virus

Answers to key questions could help public health officials develop Ebola treatments, predict the outbreak’s trajectory and prevent a future one.

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Jun 3 • 9:00 AM EDT • Health • sciencenews.org
'That Looks Like Sh*t': God of War Creator Predictably Tears New PS5 Game to Shreds

"This game is not going to do well"

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Jun 3 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • pushsquare.com
George Santos reported to DOJ over suspicious Kalshi trades, AP source says

The prediction marketplace Kalshi detected trades made by Santos ahead of Trump's Feb. 24 speech

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Jun 3 • 7:38 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
George Santos reported to DOJ over suspicious Kalshi trades, AP source says

The prediction marketplace Kalshi detected trades made by Santos ahead of Trump's Feb. 24 speech

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Jun 3 • 7:38 AM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
2026 Memorial Tournament odds, picks: Surprising predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors

Mike McClure's model has simulated the Memorial Tournament 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA picks this week

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Jun 3 • 7:02 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Mixed federal messages on drug checking leave North Carolina harm reduction programs in limbo

Public health workers say new restrictions on drug-checking supplies come as street drugs become more contaminated and unpredictable.

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Jun 3 • 4:44 AM EDT • Health • northcarolinahealthnews.org
OECD predicts spate of recessions globally if Iran conflict drags into 2027

Policy forum lays out ‘prolonged disruption’ scenario in which world’s GDP falls to 2.1% this year from 3.4% in 2025

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Jun 3 • 3:00 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
Polls Close in Messy Primaries for California Governor and Los Angeles Mayor

Results may not be known for days, a fitting end to two unpredictable primaries that have surprised political analysts.

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Jun 2 • 11:33 PM EDT • Politics • wsj.com