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Sports Daily: Could Wichita be host option for expanded NCAA Tournament games?
Could Wichita be an option for the expanded NCAA tourney games? Should it? We dive into what could lie ahead with March Madness and the Air Capital.
Sports Daily: Royals get set for week on road after series win; Did KU add missing piece?
The Royals take the weekend series against Detroit and reset the division race.
Mother's Day brunch rush brings families and big business to Billings restaurants
Mother's Day is the top holiday for full-service restaurants, according to the National Restaurant Association, with nearly half of Americans choosing to dine out.
Game 40: Twins at Guardians
First Pitch: 1:10 pm CDTTV: Twins.TVRadio: TIBN / WCCO 830 / The Wolf 102.9 FM / Audacy Forty games of baseball is probably “enough” games of baseball to feel like you have a sense of the team you’re watching. After 40 games, my sense is roughly the same as it was after 34 games, when I remarked that […]
Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United: Key stats and talking points
Having had their dreams of European glory ruthlessly dashed by Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest must now pick themselves up and secure the points they need to secure their Premier League status for next season. Six points clear of West Ham with three games to go, four points would definitely see them stay up, but a win should also prove to be enough given their vastly superior goal difference over the Hammers. The improvement by Vitor Pereira's side in front of goal in recent weeks has been astonishing.
Cowboys news: Caleb Downs is turning heads in Dallas
Check out the latest news surrounding the Dallas Cowboys!
Palmetto Sports Shorts: Journaling Through Injury
WATCH: Palmetto Sports Director Carmine Gemei speaks with Clemson guard Zac Foster about how journaling has helped his faith and his recovery from ACL surgery.
In The Lab: Checking In On Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve is an anomaly. What does this mean for his future?
Sports Daily: Royals settle for split, continue crucial stretch; NCAA Tourney expanding
The Royals can’t take the series against Cleveland and now set their sights on the Tigers in another key showdown.
Russia's internet crackdown hobbles small businesses
Russian dogwear entrepreneur Natalia Kukovinets has had to switch messaging apps multiple times to stay in touch with customers, one of many web-dependent businesses struggling with the Kremlin's widening internet crackdown.
JJ Redick addresses Luka Doncic’s involvement with Lakers amid injury
Los Angeles Lakers coach JJ Redick did not stutter when asked about how guard Luka Doncic has been contributing on the bench.
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Last-minute Mother’s Day ideas including free admission, concerts and shows
Mother’s Day events from museums to concerts still have tickets available.
Sports Daily: Royals streak ends with potential injury to key pitcher
The Royals streak ends at five with potentially another Cole Ragans injury.
Authorities scramble to limit hantavirus outbreak, trace contacts around globe
Dutch authorities said a flight attendant is being tested as the race is on to trace passengers who left a cruise ship and two flights linked to an ill woman.
Sports Daily: Reaction to surprise announcement from Wichita State; visit from KU insider
We react to Wichita State’s surprise announcement that the university is cutting its golf team.
College athletics leaders are begging for federal takeover. Another sport warns of ‘world of storms’
West Texas small business owners recognized during annual luncheon
Three small business owners were recognized during a Small Business of the Year Luncheon.
Mental Health Awareness Month highlights rising needs across western North Carolina
May is Mental Health Awareness Month. Nearly 30 million people across the U.S lack access to affordable, comprehensive mental health and substance treatment.
Goose Island traffic worsens amid bridge closures, business leaders call for solutions | ChicagoLIVE
Traffic congestion on Goose Island is intensifying as nearby bridge closures create major bottlenecks along Division Street and Elston Avenue.
Sports Daily: Royals stay hot early in critical stretch
The Royals are right back in it, continuing a recent hot streak with a series-opening win against Cleveland.
KidStrong offers science-based training program for children in Louisiana
KidStrong is a science-based kids training program designed to help children develop strength, confidence and character.
Atrium Health, WakeMed propose to merge
WakeMed would become part of Advocate Health, Atrium’s parent company. The deal has sparked concern from local lawmakers, who worry it could raise healthcare prices in North Carolina’s most populous county.
The best, boldest and most ‘wait, what?’ Met Gala outfits, from Bad Bunny’s old-man look to Heidi Klum's marble sculpture costume
Check out the most showstopping — and headscratching — looks from the 2026 Met Gala.
Sports Daily: Are the Royals back? KC hoping to build off of Seattle sweep
Are the Royals back? After an overall dismal April, the Royals are off to a strong start to May, completing a sweep in Seattle.
Power & Politics: Hofstra Exec. Dean of Suburban Studies, Real Estate Broker discuss Levittown growing pains; Billions of dollars missing from school funding
Hofstra Executive Dean of Suburban Studies Larry Levy and Chris Montalbano, a real estate broker, join the show.
Titans Rookie Minicamp Photos
See the Top Images from the Titans Rookie Minicamp practice on Saturday at Vanderbilt Health Football Center
Browns release panoramic rendering of new dome after groundbreaking
Like it or not, the Browns are building a dome, and the ground has been broken. They then teased with a panoramic video of the new stadium.
Sports Daily: What can we expect? K-State’s new men’s hoops coach discusses his first class
We dive into Kansas State basketball, hearing from new Head Coach Casey Alexander and what to expect with his first class in Manhattan.
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Weekend events: Strawberry Festival, Taco’Ritas, Derby party and more
Food festival Saturday at Berglund Center features live music and wrestling
Trump pulls Casey Means' stalled surgeon general nomination, picks Nicole Saphier instead
President Donald Trump said Thursday he’s nominating former Fox News Channel contributor and radiologist Dr. Nicole Saphier for surgeon general after Dr. Casey Means’ path forward stalled in the Senate over questions about her experience and her stance on vaccines.
“It’s a must-win,” center Wendell Carter Jr. said. …
“It’s a must-win,” center Wendell Carter Jr. said. …
Sports Daily: Royals streak snapped; transfer portal news heating up
The nation’s top basketball recruit picked KU. How much of a difference maker will Tyran Stokes be for the Jayhawks?
Analysis | Trump is a target of political violence, but he’s hardly its only cause
Social upheaval, deep polarization and social media are primary drivers of the phenomenon, which has touched Republicans and Democrats alike.
Blue Jays' Trey Yesavage delivers win over Red Sox in first start of rookie season, receives standing ovation
Sports Daily: New college eligibility rules could be on horizon
New college-eligibility rules could be on the horizon. What could this mean for the prospects of Wichita State, KU and K-State?
Australia's Star Entertainment narrows third-quarter losses
Australian embattled casino operator Star Entertainment narrowed its third-quarter loss on Tuesday, reflecting the impact of cost savings and higher operator fee revenue.
1.2K views · 31 reactions | US House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries...
US House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has called for unity amongst all sides in politics on Fox News after the WHCD shooting.
Meryl Streep tears up after receiving message from actress who played her daughter in 'Sophie's Choice'
Meryl Streep's eyes welled with tears when watching a current-day video of Jennifer Lawn Lejeune, the actress who played her daughter over four decades ago in 'Sophie's Choice,' showering her with praise.
Troopers cordon off Armstrong County business while investigating shooting
The incident took place by Nicki’s Quick Six, but a 911 official was unable to tell Channel 11 how many people were hurt or killed.
Player availability report, presented by Orlando Health Jewett Orthopedic Institute: Orlando Pride at Racing Louisville FC
Here is this week's player availability report, presented by Orlando Health Jewett Orthopedic Institute, for Friday's away match at Racing Louisville FC.
Sports Daily: Recapping wild first night for Chiefs in NFL Draft
Did the Chiefs make the right move? We recap what they did with their first pick on the first night of the NFL Draft.
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Theatre, festivals and concerts this weekend
Attic Productions presents fairytale twist in Never After Happily through May 3
'A landmark moment for the field': FDA approves first-ever gene therapy for inherited deafness
A gene therapy made by Regeneron is the first treatment of its kind approved for genetic hearing loss.
Meet Carter Faith, the breakout country star who’s not afraid to speak up
With witty and heart-breaking songs, Carter Faith is already playing sold-out rooms — and turning down a spot on the Kid Rock tour — even without radio airplay
No. 6 Oregon State baseball vs. No. 19 Oregon Ducks: Preview, starting lineups, how to watch
Previewing Wednesday's game between the Beavers and Ducks
Sports Daily: What will Chiefs do? NFL Draft starts tomorrow
In a season full of tough losses for the Royals, Monday night’s setback might’ve been the worst. Is there hope in KC after a season-worst 7-16 start?
Scoot Henderson’s 31-point performance added another …
Scoot Henderson’s 31-point performance added another …
Oak Court Mall officially closes after nearly 38 years in business
A lot has changed in the 38 years since the mall opened. Now that it has closed, all that is left are memories.
Cleveland’s workplace evolution: Why the old office playbook no longer works
Cleveland companies rethink office strategy to balance cost and employee experience, using flexible space and focusing on cognitive wellness.
What to know about tariff refund site that's set to go live Monday
This is the 1st phase in the administration complying with court orders that could see billions of dollars in paid tariffs refunded.
Matt Fitzpatrick holds off Scottie Scheffler in a playoff to claim RBC Heritage for second win of the season
Matt Fitzpatrick has now won twice in his last three starts on the PGA Tour.
Avera Health hosts hundreds of families for NICU reunion
Families with children who spent some of their first days in the NICU got to reunite with those who took care of them.
Trey Hendrickson comments rile up Bengals fans again
Trey Hendrickson made a comment about the AFC North and some Bengals fans were not happy.
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: Is Portland ready for Wemby? Series keys, schedule and prediction
Russia drafts time limit on privatisation lawsuits to reassure business
A new Russian draft law would set a 10-year limit on legal claims disputing privatisation deals, after business leaders complained about a surge in state seizures of private property since the start of the military campaign in Ukraine.
Central Wisconsin high school sports roundup
D.C. Everest and Central Wisconsin picked up wins in high school sports action Thursday.
Peltola posts massive campaign fundraising, but Republicans maintain cash advantage in Alaska congressional races
In the Senate race, Mary Peltola raised close to $9 million in funds, but has less cash on hand than Dan Sullivan.
'It's a pretty transformational time': Broncos President Damani Leech joins Denver sports leaders to discuss future of sports development in Mile High City
"I think a lot of us have an opportunity to do some really, really special things, when we step back and think about what we can really do for this city," Leech said. "… We’re going to play a role in that, and I’m excited about that."
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Blue Ridge Marathon and other outdoor weekend events return to our region
Blue Ridge Marathon, wine festival, home show and kite festival happening in our region this weekend
Health Subcommittee: The Fiscal Year 2027 Department of Health and Human Services Budget
The Committee on Energy and Commerce is the oldest standing legislative committee in the U.S. House of Representatives and is vested with the broadest jurisdiction of any congressional authorizing committee.
One position group will make or break the 2026 season
Which position group do you feel the most confident in right now?
OpenAI's latest Codex update builds the groundwork for its upcoming super app
OpenAI is pushing out a major update to Codex that significantly expands what that software can do, and offers a glimpse of what OpenAI hopes to build with its upcoming super app.
Russian Influencers Turn From Cosmetics To Politics, But Don't Mention The War
Russian influencer Victoria Bonya made a personal address to Russian President Vladimir Putin: In a country where political debate and criticism of the authorities is tightly controlled, she brought up problems people face in their everyday lives. Except the war in Ukraine.
Sports Daily: Royals try to avoid sweep in Detroit, K-State Insider breaks down Wildcat portal additions
More transfer portal movement comes Tuesday with a solid addition for Wichita State.
Broker Marsh's profit rises on strong risk and insurance business
Insurance broker Marsh reported a rise in first-quarter adjusted profit on Thursday, driven by robust results in its risk and insurance services unit.
Chairman Griffith Delivers Opening Statement at Subcommittee on Health Legislative Hearing Discussing Solutions to Improve Public Health of Americans
The Committee on Energy and Commerce is the oldest standing legislative committee in the U.S. House of Representatives and is vested with the broadest jurisdiction of any congressional authorizing committee.
Asian shares mostly rise after Wall Street rallies on lower oil prices
Asian shares are mostly rising, echoing the rally on Wall Street that came as oil prices eased on hopes the United States and Iran may try again on talks to end their war.
Sony’s latest gaming headset offers great open-back audio
Stellar sound performance, if you don’t mind its lack of noise cancellation.
Sports Daily: Wildcats make a couple moves in transfer portal, Royals on road for touch stretch -
Where do KU and K-State sit as transfer portal action picks up throughout college basketball? We look into a couple of moves the Wildcats made as we wait to see what the Jayhawks do.
Trump, 79, Posts Bonkers ‘Forever Young’ Video of Himself Amid Health Fears
The AI-slop video depicted the president from age 4 onwards.
Susquehanna Valley 10th graders learn the science behind hot air balloons
The presentation is taught to the kids to help bring their earth science class into the real world.
House DFL hopeful that small-business relief from Operation Metro Surge could get GOP votes
Minnesota’s House Ways and Means Committee heard testimony from several business owners, school district members, and city leaders on Monday, as testifiers explained the impact of Operation Metro Surge on their respective spaces.
House DFL hopeful that small-business relief from Operation Metro Surge could get GOP votes
Minnesota’s House Ways and Means Committee heard testimony from several business owners, school district members, and city leaders on Monday, as testifiers explained the impact of Operation Metro Surge on their respective spaces.
Rochester resident, business team up to feed TSA workers amid partial shutdown
The Med City is seeing community members lend a hand to those in need, one boxed lunch at a time.
Spurs captain Romero out for rest of season with injury
Tottenham captain Cristian Romero is set to miss the rest of the season with the knee injury he sustained their 1-0 defeat at Sunderland.
Sports Daily: Rory goes back-to-back; Royals offensive struggles continue
We recap a dramatic Master’s Tournament in which Rory McIlroy won his second straight green jacket.
Artificial sweeteners: Why the science war is raging on
Conflicting studies on artificial sweeteners are fuelling fresh debate across food and drink, as health risks, regulation and reformulation collide worldwide.
ESPN's Mark Jones calls final game for network, gets standing ovation from 'Inside the NBA' crew, tribute from Doris Burke
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Microsoft Starts Removing Copilot from Notepad, Snipping Tool, and More in Windows 11
Microsoft's Copilot AI has generated significant negative sentiment among Windows 11 users, to the extent that even Microsoft has recognized the need to scale back some of the Copilot functionality it has long promoted. According to Windows Latest, Microsoft has updated core Windows applications suc...
LeBron James dunks right behind KTVU sports reporter Bailey O'Carroll
It's all eyes on Lakers LeBron James ahead of the Warriors final home game of the regular season. While warming up with some free throws ahead of their game with the Warriors, LeBron James decides to dunk, nearly taking out our sports reporter!
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Weekend entertainment guide: Comedy, music and spring festivals
Enjoy a variety of events this weekend, including stand-up comedy, dance parties and a spring festival
How the FBI Extracted Deleted Signal Messages From a Defendant's iPhone
The FBI was able to pull Signal messages from a defendant's iPhone—even though that user had deleted the app. Here's how they did it.
Sports Daily: Royals’ bullpen continues to haunt them; transfer portal dominates offseason basketball news
The Royals bullpen continues to haunt them as KC drops two straight in Cleveland.
Health Subcommittee: Healthier America: Legislative Proposals to Improve Public Health
The Committee on Energy and Commerce is the oldest standing legislative committee in the U.S. House of Representatives and is vested with the broadest jurisdiction of any congressional authorizing committee.
Sen. Cory Booker shouts out an Oregon high school science teacher
The New Jersey Democrat recorded a selfie video during his visit to a Southeast Portland high school.
Woman escapes kidnapping, drives to Polk County sheriff’s office after business owner killed
The Nebraska State Patrol has released new details as the investigation continues into an apparent murder and attempted suicide in Polk County.
Sports Daily: Transfer talks continue with more players entering portal
Talk continues surrounding the NCAA men’s basketball transfer portal as more players enter.
Direct mail company to eliminate 106 Portland jobs
Direct Marketing Solutions said it’s expanding elsewhere. It also has operations in Illinois and Pennsylvania.
Michigan health officials recommend early measles vaccine -- what to know
There are now eight confirmed cases across two counties -- seven in Washtenaw and one in Monroe.
Sports Daily: A national champion is crowned
As the University of Michigan men’s basketball team wakes up as national champions, we recap last night’s game and dive into what to expect with the NCAA transfer portal officially opening.
Health insurers rise after US lifts 2027 Medicare Advantage payment rates
Shares of U.S. health insurers climbed in premarket trading on Tuesday after the government said it plans a larger-than-expected increase in 2027 payment rates for Medicare Advantage plans.