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“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 PM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
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Acting CDC director delayed release of study showing benefit of Covid vaccines

An HHS spokesperson said Dr. Jay Bhattacharya had concerns about the paper’s methodology. Some current or former CDC employees worry about political interference.

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Apr 10 • 4:38 PM EDT • Health • nbcnews.com
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Billionaire Duff brothers wrongly got federal PPP loans, lawsuit says

Billionaire brothers Tommy and Jim Duff improperly took advantage of a COVID-era loan program meant to keep small businesses afloat, a lawsuit says.

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Apr 10 • 4:32 PM EDT • Business • clarionledger.com
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Alamo Drafthouse showing 'The Pitt' finale free for health care workers

Ten Alamo Drafthouse locations are hosting free screenings of "The Pitt" Season 2 finale on Monday, April 13. Limited tickets are available online.

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Apr 10 • 4:30 PM EDT • Health • usatoday.com
Manipulating Science, Manipulating Us

Four decades ago, I and Gerald Markowitz published an article in the American Journal of Public Health that attracted a fair amount of attention. The article was about the history of the introduction of tetraethyl lead into gasoline in the 1920s. The article detailed the controversy over putting lead, even then a known industrial poison and neurotoxin, into the gasoline that was powering the new automobile, particularly those that were produced by the General Motors Company.

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Apr 10 • 4:21 PM EDT • Science • milbank.org
Baptist Health confirms Cigna contract termination, here’s what that means for patients

Certain Baptist Health patients are expected see a shift in insurance coverage after Cigna Healthcare terminated its agreement with the health system, set to take effect June 23, 2026.

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Apr 10 • 3:47 PM EDT • Health • news4jax.com
Pontiac Once Ran A Super Bowl Commercial Featuring An Option That Was Cancelled Almost Immediately Because The Suits Freaked Out

Super Bowl commercials have always been a big deal, right from the beginning. You have a massive captive audience, suitable primed on beer and nachos to be as suggestible as possible. That’s why carmakers have always been some of the most eager purchasers of Super Bowl ad time, and why they’ve tended to use it […]

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Apr 10 • 3:17 PM EDT • Technology • theautopian.com
A New Case Exposed the Clever Workaround the FBI Uses to Read 'Secure' Messages on iPhones

Law enforcement used Apple's push notifications database to gather messages sent through Signal, and convict defendants for terrorism activities.

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Apr 10 • 2:58 PM EDT • Technology • inc.com
Towanda farm market named national rural small business of the year

The SBA named the family-owned Shores Sisters Farm Market on Golden Mile Road in Towanda as its national rural small business of the year.

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Apr 10 • 2:42 PM EDT • Business • stargazette.com
HSU tops list for producing small business owners

A new study reveals Hardin-Simmons University in Abilene ranks first in producing small business owners in the U.S.

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Apr 10 • 2:38 PM EDT • Business • reporternews.com
Entière Dermatology founder Dr. Melissa Levin dives into science of sunscreen

Entière Dermatology founder Dr. Melissa Levin dives into science of sunscreen

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Apr 10 • 2:30 PM EDT • Science • qz.com
Michigan State's Jeremy Fears Jr. declares for NBA Draft, keeping college eligibility

Michigan State star Jeremy Fears Jr. announced on social media on Friday he is declaring for the NBA Draft but keeping his college eligibility.

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Apr 10 • 2:28 PM EDT • Sports • freep.com
European business aviation association cancels annual convention

European business aviation convention EBACE scheduled for June in Geneva, Switzerland has been cancelled by the organizer

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Apr 10 • 2:05 PM EDT • Business • privatejetcardcomparisons.com
Reform UK local election candidate was twice disciplined by Tories over ‘racist comments’

Tories disowned Derek Bullock in 2023 after he allegedly used a racial slur to called for people of Pakistani heritage to be shot

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Apr 10 • 2:04 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
College basketball transfer portal fill up with more than 2,000 men's players

Mid-major conferences are being hit hard by transfers, but so are the Power Conferences as more than 320 players enter from P-4 schools

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Apr 10 • 2:02 PM EDT • Sports • usatoday.com
Cenkusha Launches C1: An AI-Enabled Business Management System that Reveals How Value Flows in Organizations

Cenkusha is a technology company that provides the organizational nervous system and structural backbone that modern enterprises need to operate intelligently in an increasingly complex world.

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Apr 10 • 1:57 PM EDT • Business • usatoday.com
VA to roll out long-delayed electronic health records system in Michigan

Four Veterans Affairs sites in Michigan go live on Saturday. The rollout comes almost 10 years after President Donald Trump announced transition in 2017.

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Apr 10 • 1:56 PM EDT • Health • detroitnews.com
Injecting humour into science is risky

Letters: Roger Downie notes that jokes can be lost in translation, while Tim Jones remembers a feeble attempt at humour, and Denis McCullough recalls a few physics gags

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Apr 10 • 12:42 PM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
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What's in Wisconsin's plan for latest round of opioid settlement funds?

The state health department released the plan April 9. State lawmakers have the ultimate say in how opioid settlement funds are spent.

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Apr 10 • 12:40 PM EDT • Health • jsonline.com
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MSU transparency proposal for sports nonprofit gets pulled over dissent

The resolution would require that materials from any entity the university's administration created could be accessed by the public and the trustees.

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Apr 10 • 12:37 PM EDT • Sports • detroitnews.com
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Professor Layton and the New World of Steam gets a release window and adds PS5 and PC versions

Professor Layton and the New World of Steam is coming later in 2026, and will now also hit PC and PS5. Plus, new features have been revealed.

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Apr 10 • 11:58 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
Gallery: Atrium Health Motorsports Athletic Center Facility Photos

Hendrick Motorsports opens a state-of-the-art training and wellness facility on its campus to serve its athletes and employees.

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Apr 10 • 11:58 AM EDT • Health • sports.yahoo.com
Why do we love Memphis so much? See the reasons in photos

There's no shortage of reasons why we love Memphis. Here's a look in photos at some of what makes the Bluff City so special.

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Apr 10 • 11:38 AM EDT • Entertainment • commercialappeal.com
How Trump’s ‘wall of noise’ is changing Australian politics – Back to Back Barries podcast

Tony Barry and Barrie Cassidy discuss the fragile ceasefire in Iran and the pressure building on Australian politicians to respond to Donald Trump’s escalating rhetoric.

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Parental Depression: How Does Timing Impact Mental Health in Adult Offspring?

Research from Yale Child Study Center reveals how the timing of maternal and paternal depression affects adult mental health outcomes in the next generation.

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Health • medicine.yale.edu
Why the World’s Biggest TikTok Star’s $975 Million Business Deal is Suddenly Falling Apart

Khaby Lame’s landmark merger drew in traders and creator economy optimists alike, but the stock has since plunged more than 90 percent and major brokerages are restricting trading.

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Apr 10 • 10:35 AM EDT • Business • inc.com
Swashbuckling co-op survivor Windrose sets sail into early access next week, which means it's time to battle Blackbeard and a big flower

Pirate survival game Windrose releases in early access next week, its devs have revealed with a new trailer.

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Apr 10 • 10:22 AM EDT • Technology • rockpapershotgun.com
MDOT plans $1.5M repair project on I-94 Business Loop in Marysville

Drivers in Marysville can expect lane shifts and closures as MDOT begins a $1.5M repair project on the I-94 Business Loop starting April 20.

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Apr 10 • 10:00 AM EDT • Business • thetimesherald.com
Car Keys in Apple Wallet coming soon to major new vehicle brand

Apple Wallet’s car key feature is building momentum among automakers, and now we can add another “coming soon” brand to that list: Lexus.

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Apr 10 • 9:56 AM EDT • Technology • 9to5mac.com
Professor Layton and the New World of Steam Adds PC and PS5 Release to 2026 Global Simultaneous Launch — but There’s No Xbox Version

Professor Layton and the New World of Steam is coming to PC via Steam and PlayStation 5 as well as Nintendo Switch and Nintendo Switch 2, developer Level 5 has confirmed.

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Apr 10 • 9:06 AM EDT • Technology • ign.com
Here's two words employers deserve to hear more often

Businesses create jobs, build housing, and a community partners. Are we appreciating what they bring to WA?

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Apr 10 • 9:05 AM EDT • Business • kitsapsun.com
23 leaders share their most influential business books

These reads shaped how executives think and continue to lead.

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Apr 10 • 8:05 AM EDT • Business • fastcompany.com
What Business Immigration Looks Like in 2026

How founders should prepare now

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Apr 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • inc.com
2025-26 Detroit High School Sports Awards: See all fall nominees

The Detroit High School Sports Awards are on June 24 at Motorcity Casino Hotel. Here are all the fall player of the year nominees.

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • freep.com
The best recent science fiction, fantasy and horror

Loss Protocol by Paul McAuley; Night Babies by Lucie McKnight Hardy; Honeysuckle by Bar Fridman-Tell; Japanese Gothic by Kylie Lee Baker

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
Calls to Impeach Trump Collide With Reluctant Democratic Leadership

Democratic leaders are urging against efforts within the party to impeach Trump before the midterms, say those involved in the debate

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • time.com
Crimson Desert is getting boss rematches, difficulty settings, and extra skills in upcoming updates

Pearl Abyss has outlined some of the new content and features coming to Crimson Desert in future free updates.

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Apr 10 • 6:44 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
"This is not a game that is about to face some sort of imminent shutdown" - Marathon reportedly had a budget of $200m, and while player numbers are dipping, team morale remains good

Marathon reportedly had a development of over at least $200m, and likely over $250m.

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Apr 10 • 6:00 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
Ohio wants to ban mobile sports betting. It's about time

Ohio’s legalization of sports betting has turned a game into something with much higher stakes.

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Apr 10 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • beaconjournal.com
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Women’s Brains Are a $1 Trillion Opportunity

Women’s health is a macroeconomic opportunity we have ignored, write Lisa Mosconi and George Vradenburg.

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Apr 10 • 6:00 AM EDT • Health • time.com
NY ranks among best states for children's health

A new study ranks New York among the top states for children's health care. See how it scored.

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Apr 10 • 5:26 AM EDT • Health • democratandchronicle.com
Lefty's Alley & Eats to open in The Grove in Newark in July

The Lewes-based restaurant and entertainment venue is opening a second location in Newark this July.

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Apr 10 • 5:25 AM EDT • Entertainment • delawareonline.com
Seafood restaurant, entertainment venue to open on Rose Bay

This Rose Bay restaurant is in the midst of revival, says owners Dino and Victoria Maxwell, soon reopening with fresh seafood, Putt-Putt and more.

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Apr 10 • 5:08 AM EDT • Entertainment • news-journalonline.com
May elections: what five politics experts are looking out for

Five experts tell us what they will be keeping their eye on during the May elections in England, Scotland and Wales.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Politics • theconversation.com
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Women's health forum in Naples offers free insights from local doctors

The annual Women's Health Forum in Naples offers free educational sessions with 25 local physicians on various health topics.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Health • naplesnews.com
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Trump endorsed former Fox host. It could tip balance in this CA race.

Does Trump's backing of former Fox News host Steve Hilton for California governor boost the leading GOP candidate chances? Experts don't think so.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Politics • usatoday.com
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Dollywood discounts are here for the park and resorts. See who qualifies

Dolly Parton’s theme park has discount tickets and special rates for resort stays for community heroes. But the offer is only for a limited time.

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Apr 10 • 5:05 AM EDT • Entertainment • knoxnews.com
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What's that demolition on Middlebrook Pike? A business with a deep history

This family-owned Knoxville business was a throwback to another era, and it closed last year. The property was sold for $450,000.

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Apr 10 • 5:03 AM EDT • Business • knoxnews.com
EV shakeout: Everyone's losing in the US, except Tesla and Toyota

US EV sales plunge 27% in Q1 2026, with Tesla holding 54% share. Most automakers struggle, while Toyota posts rare growth.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Washington, DC Small Business Opportunities: 2027 NFL Draft

Local DC businesses can join a procurement process with NFL Draft Source to provide services and gain national visibility.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • uschamber.com
Washington, DC Small Business Opportunities: 2027 NFL Draft

Local DC businesses can join a procurement process with NFL Draft Source to provide services and gain national visibility.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • uschamber.com
How the White House tried – and failed – to push a candidate out of a Republican state Senate primary in Indiana

With Trump’s sights set on unseating Indiana lawmakers who opposed his redistricting effort, his aides and allies feared a third candidate could play spoiler in one race.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
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