SCROLL NEWS / DISCOVERY

Search headlines

Find the stories shaping the conversation.

Search mode
Refine results
Active filters Keyword All time

Results for " EU " 15,700 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Brewers score vs Nationals today, live game updates, highlights, lineups

The Brewers will try to avoid being swept by the Nationals on Sunday afternoon at American Family Field.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 12:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Ravens Scott Elliott praises Trey Hendrickson's 'elite' work ethic

Ravens Director of Strength & Conditioning Scott Elliott praised newly signed linebacker Trey Hendrickson's 'elite' physical makeup and work ethic.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 11:39 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Inside a decommissioned nuclear silo from the Cold War

Nik Halik, an entrepreneur and venture capitalist, bought a decommissioned nuclear silo for more than $10 million. He plans to turn it into a data center.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 12 • 11:01 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Close of polls nears in Hungary's most crucial election in decades

As record numbers of Hungarians head to the polls, the EU is preparing for two scenarios: continued obstruction under Orbán or a victory for Magyar that could reset relations, though Brussels remains cautious about both.

euronews.com logo
Apr 12 • 10:58 AM EDT • Politics • euronews.com
Mississippi Museum of Natural Science hosts 2026 NatureFEST

JACKSON, Miss. (WJTV) – The Mississippi Museum of Natural Science (MMNS) hosted its annual NatureFEST on Saturday. Community members were able to experience and learn about the tangible research by sc...

yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 10:20 AM EDT • Science • yahoo.com
'Euphoria' Season 3 returns with new plot and dedications

After four years, 'Euphoria' Season 3 premieres this weekend, dedicated to Angus Cloud and others. What to know.

democratandchronicle.com logo
Apr 12 • 10:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • democratandchronicle.com
GSK sees blockbuster potential in targeted cancer therapy after promising early data

British drugmaker GSK's experimental targeted cancer drug Mo-rez has blockbuster potential, its head of oncology research has told reporters, after early data showed the drug helped ​shrink tumors in patients with advanced, hard-to-treat cancers.

reuters.com logo
Apr 12 • 10:12 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
‘Euphoria’ has outgrown itself, on screen and off

(CNN) — Everything was different when “Euphoria” premiered in 2019.

kten.com logo
Apr 12 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • kten.com
‘Euphoria’ has outgrown itself, on screen and off

Everything was different when “Euphoria” premiered in 2019. Now, as the series makes its long-awaited return Sunday, the third and final season of the show is emerging into a drastically different world, both in terms of the story being told on screen and the generation of stars the show helped launch off screen.

cnn.com logo
Apr 12 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • cnn.com
Alums bring entrepreneurial spirit to downtown businesses

Two graduates of ETSU's College of Business and Technology share what it's like to be an entrepreneur in Johnson City.

news.etsu.edu logo
Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • news.etsu.edu
FULL SHOW: Inside INdiana Business 4/12/26

.video-js, .video-js .vjs-tech { position: relative; width: 100%; height: auto; z-index: 0; } var player = videojs('player_block_43d59ed240e49efe2fe7651ae8a70894'); player.nuevo({ contextMenu: false }); var vast = { started: false, paused: false, resumed: false, ended: false, }; var video = { started: false, paused: false, resumed: false, ended: false, } var event_label = 'Video: 200642 - Article: FULL SHOW: Inside INdiana Business 4/12/26'; var post_id = 200640; var post_url = "https://www.insideindianabusiness.com/videos/full-show-inside-indiana-business-4-12-26"; player.vastAds({ tagURL: "https://servedbyadbutler.com/vast.spark?setID=13487&ID=177008&pid=117129", id: "PreRoll" }); player.on('vast.adStart', function() { vast.started = true; }); player.on('vast.adError', function() { vast = { started: true, ended: true }; }); player.on('play', function() { if (vast.ended && !video.paused) { video.started = true; window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Played", eventLabel: event_label }); var audio_insight_data = { event_type: "video_played", data: { video_id: post_id, video_url: post_url }, ...insight_data, }; insight.track(audio_insight_data); } if (video.started && video.paused) { video.resumed = true; window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Resumed", eventLabel: event_label }); var audio_insight_data = { event_type: "video_resumed", data: { video_id: post_id, video_url: post_url }, ...insight_data, }; insight.track(audio_insight_data); } }); player.on('pause', function() { if (vast.ended) { video.paused = true; window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Paused", eventLabel: event_label }); var audio_insight_data = { event_type: "video_paused", data: { video_id: post_id, video_url: post_url }, ...insight_data, }; insight.track(audio_insight_data); } }); player.on('ended', function() { //vast.adEnd fires after ended, pointless to use. vast.ended = true; if (video.started && !video.ended) { video.ended = true; window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Ended", eventLabel: event_label }); } var audio_insight_data = { event_type: "video_completed", data: { video_id: post_id, video_url: post_url, percentage: 100, }, ...insight_data, }; insight.track(audio_insight_data); }); player.on('fullscreenchange', function() { window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Fullscreen Toggled", eventLabel: event_label }); }); player.on('enterpictureinpicture', function() { window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Picture-in-Picture Opened", eventLabel: event_label }); }); player.on('leavepictureinpicture', function() { window.dataLayer.push({ event: "Videos", eventCategory: 'Video', eventAction: "Video Picture-in-Picture Closed", eventLabel: event_label }); }); let lastReportedPercentage = 0; player.on('timeupdate', function() { const currentTime = player.currentTime(); const duration = player.duration(); if (duration) { const progressPercentage = Math.floor((currentTime / duration) * 100); if (progressPercentage % 5 === 0 && progressPercentage !== lastReportedPercentage) { lastReportedPercentage = progressPercentage; var audio_insight_data = { event_type: "video_completed", data: { video_id: post_id, video_url: post_url, percentage: progressPercentage, }, ...insight_data, }; insight.track(audio_insight_data); } } });

insideindianabusiness.com logo
Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Business • insideindianabusiness.com
Philippines says any energy deals with China must respect its sovereignty

The Philippines said on Sunday that any decision to pursue oil and gas cooperation ​with China would be made strictly in line ‌with its constitution and respect its sovereignty.

reuters.com logo
Apr 12 • 7:33 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Anker's EufyMake E1 Finally Brings Printers Out of the Dark Ages

This ultraviolet printer prints on literally anything—canvas, wood, metal, plastic, you name it. Like all things that are the first of their kind, it also costs a heavy premium.

gizmodo.com logo
Apr 12 • 7:30 AM EDT • Technology • gizmodo.com
I grew up in a family of entrepreneurs. Here’s what I had to unlearn to build a $1 billion business

I grew up in Switzerland surrounded by entrepreneurs: my grandfather in construction, my father in surveying, my uncles in packaging and construction.

fortune.com logo
Apr 12 • 7:30 AM EDT • Business • fortune.com
😐 Neutral (10%)
wow
41%
love
31%
ahah
28%
China's Chery looking to expand car production in Europe, top executives say

Chery is looking to expand car production in Europe through partnerships with other automakers allowing it to use existing factories, top executives at the Chinese carmaker said ​at an event in Paris.

reuters.com logo
Apr 12 • 6:37 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Early data promising on RI's evolving behavioral health model

Rhode Island's certified community behavioral health clinics are showing promising results, increasing access and improving outcomes, the author says.

providencejournal.com logo
Apr 12 • 6:05 AM EDT • Health • providencejournal.com
Falcons projected starting defense with player grades

Projecting the Falcons starting lineup on defense with player grades

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 6:04 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Country music star says UFOs chased her plane for hundreds of miles

She said the orbs followed her plane from Arkansas to Nashville.

lehighvalleylive.com logo
Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • lehighvalleylive.com
📺 Sunday schedule (12): Brasileirão, derbies and crackers in Europe

Sunday (12) features big rivalries across Brazil and plenty of European football. Check the schedule and where to watch, and plan ahead!Brasileirão 🇧🇷11am - Athletico vs. Chapecoense: Premiere...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 5:43 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
3 big questions for Tennessee quarterback battle after spring practice

Josh Heupel spoke in the future tense about the Tennessee quarterback competition. He needs to see more development. Here are factors to consider.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 5:06 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Mental Health Awareness of Michiana holds cake fundraiser

Mental Health Awareness of Michiana offers a bite of comfort food — cake. The fundraiser at Howard Park will feature professional and amateur bakers.

southbendtribune.com logo
Apr 12 • 5:05 AM EDT • Health • southbendtribune.com
Yankees news: Boone angry with ABS failures

Yanks worst in baseball at challenges; bottom of lineup a Problem; farewell to Winquest; RIP to an old-timer.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Hungarians head to polls in crucial election

Pollsters predict a record turnout as EU future is likely at stake.

tvpworld.com logo
Apr 12 • 2:28 AM EDT • Politics • tvpworld.com
Scientists Finally Crack the 100-Million-Year Evolutionary Mystery of Squid and Cuttlefish

Genomic analysis reveals squid and cuttlefish evolved in deep oceans, survived mass extinction in refuges, and later rapidly diversified, following a “long fuse” evolutionary pattern.

scitechdaily.com logo
Apr 12 • 12:09 AM EDT • Science • scitechdaily.com
One UI 8.5 rollout possibly delayed for these two reasons

With the 9th beta, Samsung has delayed the One UI 8.5 rollout for the Galaxy S25 series, and these two reasons could be responsible for this move. It’s expected that the 9th beta may not be the final, and we may have a 10th coming soon. These test firmwares may be released in April, and […]

sammyfans.com logo
Apr 11 • 11:48 PM EDT • Technology • sammyfans.com
Young entrepreneurs shine at Memphis Children’s Business Fair

MEMPHIS, Tenn. — Dozens of Mid-South kids put their creativity and business skills to the test Saturday during the Annual Memphis Children’s Business Fair. The event, held April 11 at Wolfcha…

wreg.com logo
Apr 11 • 10:05 PM EDT • Business • wreg.com
Ballon d'Or Favorite? England, Bayern Munich Star Harry Kane Tabbed As Frontrunner

Harry Kane is currently playing at a level that few are able to match, cementing his status as the premier marksman in European football.

foxsports.com logo
Apr 11 • 9:38 PM EDT • Sports • foxsports.com
😐 Neutral (6%)
angry
100%
Health-Related Quality of Life in Burn Injury Victims Attending a Specialized Institution

Introduction Burn injuries cause long-term physical, psychological, and social consequences that substantially affect health-related quality of life (HRQOL), particularly in LMICs. The eviden...

cureus.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • cureus.com
Bridging Oral Health and Integrated Care: A Scientometric Study of Integrated Care for Older People (ICOPE) and Removable Prosthodontics in Older Adults

Population aging has shifted healthcare priorities from disease-centered models towards functional ability and quality of life. The WHO Integrated Care for Older People (ICOPE) framework operati...

cureus.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • cureus.com
Late-Inning Pushes Lift Shenandoah Past Lynchburg in Doubleheader Sweep

The University of Lynchburg softball team dropped both ends of an ODAC doubleheader against Shenandoah on Friday at Moon Field, falling 11-7 in game one and 6-5 in game two.

lynchburgsports.com logo
Apr 11 • 7:08 PM EDT • Sports • lynchburgsports.com
Get on ‘board’ with Aspen’s charcuterie board business

Borde + Kurv offers handmade boards, along with baskets, spanning everything from brunch to charcuterie to dessert — with thoughtfully sourced and mostly local produce evoking European flavor and tradition.

aspentimes.com logo
Apr 11 • 7:00 PM EDT • Business • aspentimes.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (20%)
love
45%
wow
30%
ahah
25%
UBS Raises Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) Target Amid Growth Strategy

Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) is one of the best cheap penny stocks to buy that aren’t scams. On March 16, UBS raised its price target on Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) to $4.00 from $3.50, while keeping a Neutral rating. The positive stance underscores the research firm’s confidence about the […]

finance.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 6:08 PM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
Chamber of Commerce Presents Achievement Awards

Event also marked 110th of the chamber’s presence in Oswego [caption id=attachment_10469 align=alignright width=450] Abby Waever and Keara Patterson (in the middle) receive the Community Leadership & Legacy Award, presented to The Alberts Group.[/caption] The Greater Oswego-Fulton Chamber of Commerce (GOFCC) on March 4 hosted its 2026 Annual Meeting, presented by Constellation, at the Lake Ontario Event and Conference Center in Oswego. The event’s theme, Rooted in Community. The meeting celebrated the GOFCC’s 110th anniversary in the Oswego community and 10th anniversary of integration with CenterState CEO. The chamber also unveiled a new logo. “I am proud to say the GOFCC has been a force for business success, growth and opportunity, supporting organizations of every size, connecting neighbors and entrepreneurs and ensuring that every voice in Oswego County is heard,” said GOFCC Executive Director Sara Broadwell. The event featured keynote remarks from Novelis’s Kevin Schutt, vice president, manufacturing and production support at Novelis North America. [caption id=attachment_10454 align=alignright width=450] Maria Hudson of Constellation, holding the award, receives the Nancy L. Premo Woman of Distinction Award.[/caption] The GOFCC recognized the following organizations and individuals with achievement awards: • Oswego County Impact & Excellence Award, presented to Oswego County Office of Mobility Management. This award Honors a small business or nonprofit organization that demonstrates outstanding achievement through innovation, growth and measurable positive impact on Oswego County’s economy or quality of life. • Community Leadership & Legacy Award, presented to The Alberts Group. This award recognizes an individual, business or organization whose long-term leadership, investment or philanthropy has significantly advanced the vitality, resilience and future of Oswego County’s communities. • Nancy L. Premo Woman of Distinction Award, presented to Maria Hudson of Constellation. This award honors a woman in business who has made a meaningful impact on her community, inspired others through her leadership, and exemplified the values of service, integrity and empowerment. This award is presented in tribute to the late Nancy Premo, CenterState CEO’s former vice president of Human Resources.

oswegocountybusiness.com logo
Apr 11 • 4:39 PM EDT • Business • oswegocountybusiness.com
Maryland Curiosity Lab Children’s Business Fair Draws Big Crowd in Severna Park

The Maryland Curiosity Lab’s Children’s Business Fair drew a strong crowd Saturday at Park Plaza in Severna Park, where more than 80 booths filled the event with young entrepreneurs selling everyth…

eyeonannapolis.net logo
Apr 11 • 3:32 PM EDT • Business • eyeonannapolis.net
Science Museum of Minnesota ramps up for big fundraiser
kare11.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:56 PM EDT • Science • kare11.com
Science Museum of Minnesota to host their biggest annual fundraising event
kare11.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:47 PM EDT • Science • kare11.com
😐 Neutral (21%)
love
100%
Entertainment venues keep packing Fresno-area calendar. 10 (more) shows to watch

Among a slew of announcements, Broadway in Fresno put out its next lineup: We’re getting the Neil Diamond musical and a return of “Jersey Boys.”

yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Entertainment venues keep packing Fresno-area calendar. 10 (more) shows to watch

Among a slew of announcements, Broadway in Fresno put out its next lineup: We’re getting the Neil Diamond musical and a return of “Jersey Boys.”

fresnobee.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • fresnobee.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

natesilver.net logo
Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
A mom and tech entrepreneur building AI advocate for rare-disease families like hers

AI-powered healthcare startup Citizen Health is using the technology to focus on rare disease, helping manage patient lives as well as advance treatments.

cnbc.com logo
Apr 11 • 9:41 AM EDT • Health • cnbc.com
Alaska business plan competition awards Native entrepreneurs tackling rural service gaps

Alaska Growth Capital’s Alaska Marketplace competition awarded Indigenous entrepreneurs up to $20,000 to grow businesses addressing service gaps across rural Alaska.

tribalbusinessnews.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:32 AM EDT • Business • tribalbusinessnews.com
I shut down my successful brick-and-mortar business to reinvent myself

I spent two decades as a solopreneur building my photography studio. In my 50s, I wanted to try something new. I'm now reinventing myself in midlife.

businessinsider.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:27 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
🙂 Positive (50%)
Pool at Altru Sports Complex will also house UND diving facility to simulate low gravity

The neutral buoyancy facility will be built under the floor of the pool's deep end and used for experiments, research and training in the space studies program.

grandforksherald.com logo
Apr 11 • 8:05 AM EDT • Sports • grandforksherald.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (12%)
wow
36%
ahah
32%
love
32%
For aging US Supreme Court justices, the politics of retirement looms large

When Donald Trump was asked about the prospect of conservative Justices Samuel Alito or Clarence Thomas retiring, the Republican president voiced his support for the U.S. Supreme Court's two oldest members to remain on the bench.

reuters.com logo
Apr 11 • 6:07 AM EDT • Politics • reuters.com
Splatoon Raiders rated by PEGI, suggests imminent release

Nintendo has updated the official EU eShop listing for Splatoon Raiders, adding a “PEGI 7” age rating classification to the upcoming Switch 2 exclusive. As spotted by a Splatoon superfan on Twitter/X…

mynintendonews.com logo
Apr 11 • 5:45 AM EDT • Technology • mynintendonews.com
Burnley XI vs Brighton – Predicted lineup and team news

Burnley host in-form Brighton today, aiming to narrow a ten-point gap to Premier League safety.The Clarets have moved closer to relegation after winning only once in 22 league games. Manager Scott Par...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 3:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Barcelona vs Espanyol – Predicted lineup and team news

Barcelona will look to make it seven La Liga wins in a row when they host Espanyol at the Camp Nou on Saturday.The Catalan giants have dominated this fixture in recent years — Espanyol haven’t bea...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (12%)
love
60%
ahah
20%
sad
20%
Juventus predicted lineup and team news vs Atalanta

Juventus make the trip to Bergamo this Saturday night to take on Atalanta in Serie A.Only four points separate the two sides — Juventus sit fifth with 57 points from 31 games, while Atalanta are sev...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:40 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (6%)
wow
67%
love
33%
From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead

Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page star in a slinky new romcom, while the dissolute teens of the US drama are back in their 20s

theguardian.com logo
Apr 11 • 1:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • theguardian.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (10%)
ahah
40%
wow
37%
love
23%
Fallout of War Piles Economic Pain Onto Europe’s Political Stress

Europe is finding itself on the outs with Russia, China and the U.S., in what’s amounting to its very own “Mean Girls” moment.

nytimes.com logo
Apr 11 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Hungarian election could end Orbán's grip on power and alter Europe's political landscape
pbs.org logo
Apr 10 • 6:40 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Maricopa County confirms first heat-related death of 2026

Health officials have confirmed that a person has died from heat-related complications, the first in the Phoenix metro in 2026.

azfamily.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:54 PM EDT • Health • azfamily.com
DC beauty supply store facing evictions, trying to keep business and hope alive

Kuku Rose sat outside of her beuty supply store on Georgia Avenue

wjla.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:10 PM EDT • Business • wjla.com
Impressive Ulster into Challenge Cup semi-finals

Ulster are one game away from a first European final since 2012 after a 41-24 win over La Rochelle in the Challenge Cup quarter-finals.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:05 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Manipulating Science, Manipulating Us

Four decades ago, I and Gerald Markowitz published an article in the American Journal of Public Health that attracted a fair amount of attention. The article was about the history of the introduction of tetraethyl lead into gasoline in the 1920s. The article detailed the controversy over putting lead, even then a known industrial poison and neurotoxin, into the gasoline that was powering the new automobile, particularly those that were produced by the General Motors Company.

milbank.org logo
Apr 10 • 4:21 PM EDT • Science • milbank.org
France to Ditch Microsoft Windows as Europe's War on American Tech Rages On

Linux feels more French anyway.

gizmodo.com logo
Apr 10 • 4:10 PM EDT • Technology • gizmodo.com
Your Next Breach Will Look Like Business as Usual

These are the fundamental detection model shifts cybersecurity teams need to make to keep up with the rising number of credential-based attacks.

darkreading.com logo
Apr 10 • 3:21 PM EDT • Business • darkreading.com
Sunset Buzz: In a world of AI, Jay Pham says, consider an Irish sports bar

The Four Deuces, 2319 Taraval Street, has anchored the neighborhood for decades. The latest chapter comes with a change in ownership.

missionlocal.org logo
Apr 10 • 3:01 PM EDT • Sports • missionlocal.org
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (13%)
ahah
56%
love
22%
wow
22%
How to Capture the Moments That Matter (in Life and in Business)

I'm a CEO and also the videographer for my son's football team. Here's what that experience has taught me about documenting processes and motivating teams.

entrepreneur.com logo
Apr 10 • 3:00 PM EDT • Business • entrepreneur.com
European business aviation association cancels annual convention

European business aviation convention EBACE scheduled for June in Geneva, Switzerland has been cancelled by the organizer

privatejetcardcomparisons.com logo
Apr 10 • 2:05 PM EDT • Business • privatejetcardcomparisons.com
Flourishing entrepreneur: How one student manages college life with business hustle

Balancing school and work is never easy, but one Brigham Young University student has taken their ambitions outside of the classroom and said her success smells an awful lot like flowers.

universe.byu.edu logo
Apr 10 • 1:28 PM EDT • Business • universe.byu.edu
😐 Neutral (12%)
ahah
38%
love
37%
wow
25%
French government says au revoir Windows, bienvenue Linux

It's part of a broader European movement to reduce reliance on American tech.

engadget.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:54 PM EDT • Technology • engadget.com
NatureFEST returning to Mississippi Museum of Natural Science

NatureFEST is returning to the Mississippi Museum of Natural Science this weekend.

supertalk.fm logo
Apr 10 • 12:51 PM EDT • Science • supertalk.fm
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (19%)
love
50%
sad
25%
wow
25%
Italy's UniCredit says no plans to liquidate Russian business

UniCredit ​said on ‌Friday it had ​no ​plans to liquidate ⁠its ​Russian business ​or return the banking ​licence ​held by its ‌local ⁠subsidiary, which the Italian ​lender ​has ⁠held onto ​during ​the ⁠Ukraine conflict.

reuters.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:26 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Broncos ownership group joins Rockies as minority partners

DENVER -- Penner Sports Group, the family entity of Greg and Carrie Penner that owns the Denver Broncos, has made an investment that will make it the largest minority owner of the Rockies franchise. The move, approved by Major League Baseball, was announced by Rockies owner, chairman and CEO Dick

mlb.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:23 PM EDT • Sports • mlb.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (18%)
love
100%
From politics to punches: Biden Jr challenges Trump sons to cage fight

US politics already feels like a contact sport, but one of Washington's most bitter political feuds may literally be headed to the mat after former president Joe Biden's son challenged

insidenova.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:15 PM EDT • Politics • insidenova.com
Samsung says it has a One UI 8.5 device plan for ‘later’

Samsung has announced that the company will release a One UI 8.5 device plan once the software is ready for rollout. However, there are a couple of things you should know about this new statement. This statement comes after a wide user-based criticism of Samsung’s new feature limitation to the Galaxy S26 series. Users alleged that the company […]

sammyfans.com logo
Apr 10 • 11:54 AM EDT • Technology • sammyfans.com
📸 The maddest moments of the European week 👽

UCL, UEL, UECL — this is crazy! A closer look at the most captivating moments from this European week. The kilometer-long tunnel at Bologna’s stadium!When Olise does... ballet!We almost had the a...

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 10 • 11:42 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Potholes and progress: Mamdani reflects on 100 days as New York’s mayor
aljazeera.com logo
Apr 10 • 11:36 AM EDT • Politics • aljazeera.com
Photos: Makeup tests, shoulder cuff health and student presentations

Darryna Guy-Williams, a bioengineering and bio chemistry major, sprays Jenna King, class TA and postdoctorate candidate in chemistry and chemical biology, with a facial hydrating mist in Leila Deravi’s cosmetic chemistry class.

news.northeastern.edu logo
Apr 10 • 11:34 AM EDT • Health • news.northeastern.edu
😐 Neutral (0%)
'Euphoria,' returning for a third season, launched a generation of new stars

“Euphoria” returns Sunday with its starry cast for a third season on HBO Max | Talk 1370

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 10:37 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
'Euphoria,' returning for a third season, launched a generation of new stars

“Euphoria” returns Sunday with its starry cast for a third season on HBO Max | KNSS Radio

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 10:37 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Neuroscientist To Lead Engineering-Driven Brain Health Research

Dr. Matthew Walker joined UT Dallas in January to build the future of sleep science. His research spans fundamental neuroscience and the development of innovative engineering tools to improve the quality of life. Dr. Matthew Walker is helping to transform sleep research from an observational field into one in which engineered solutions can measure and […]

news.utdallas.edu logo
Apr 10 • 10:26 AM EDT • Science • news.utdallas.edu
Neuroscientist To Lead Engineering-Driven Brain Health Research

Dr. Matthew Walker joined UT Dallas in January to build the future of sleep science. His research spans fundamental neuroscience and the development of innovative engineering tools to improve the quality of life. Dr. Matthew Walker is helping to transform sleep research from an observational field into one in which engineered solutions can measure and […]

news.utdallas.edu logo
Apr 10 • 10:26 AM EDT • Health • news.utdallas.edu
This Women’s Health Company Is Drawing Takeover Interest. The Stock Is Soaring.

Organon stock jumped after a report said Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is nearing an all-cash deal for the women’s health company.

barrons.com logo
Apr 10 • 10:01 AM EDT • Health • barrons.com
This Women’s Healthcare Stock Is Up 15% on Reports of a Takeover In the Works

Organon shares surged Friday following reports India’s Sun Pharmaceutical made a bid for the women's healthcare company.

finance.yahoo.com logo
Apr 10 • 9:25 AM EDT • Health • finance.yahoo.com
GlassWorm Campaign Uses Zig Dropper to Infect Multiple Developer IDEs

GlassWorm uses a fake WakaTime VS Code extension to infect IDEs, deploy RATs, and steal data, prompting urgent credential rotation.

thehackernews.com logo
Apr 10 • 9:23 AM EDT • Technology • thehackernews.com
Picture this: A raffle offers a Picasso for 100 euros to fund Alzheimer’s research

A raffle in France offers the chance to win a Picasso portrait for a 100-euro ticket | 1010 WINS

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 9:03 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
GSK says goodbye to leucovorin (again)

A revised ACIP charter, sports betting and gambling addiction, and other health news from Morning Rounds

statnews.com logo
Apr 10 • 9:02 AM EDT • Health • statnews.com
iPhone 18 Pro Color Leak: Meet the New Burgundy Red (and Say Goodbye to Black)

iPhone 18 Pro color testing points to burgundy as the main theme, with black excluded for a second year; foldable models stay neutral.

geeky-gadgets.com logo
Apr 10 • 9:00 AM EDT • Technology • geeky-gadgets.com
Masters 2026: Robert MacIntyre under fire for lewd gesture in Round 1

MacIntyre stuck up his middle finger — a no-no at Augusta National.

sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 10 • 8:25 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Team IMPACT CEO Krissie Kelleher understands the healing power of sports, teamwork and community

Krissie Kelleher used lessons from her lacrosse career to guide her daughter through surgeries and treatment for a spinal cord tumor. Witnessing how sports helped her daughter heal emotionally and physically inspired Kelleher to lead Team IMPACT, a national nonprofit connecting children facing serious illness with NCAA sports teams. Today, the organization partners with more than 400 schools and 1,100 teams to help kids build confidence, find community and experience hope through teamwork.

ncaa.org logo
Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • ncaa.org
Adyen tool speeds business payments

Financial operations at global enterprises remain “stubbornly complex,” as treasury teams juggle multiple banking and payment systems, the company said.

paymentsdive.com logo
Apr 10 • 6:51 AM EDT • Business • paymentsdive.com
The week that supercharged MAGA media feuds over the Iran war

The right-wing media ecosystem that has long served as a useful bullhorn for President Donald Trump unraveled into disarray this week, as deepening fears over his management of the war — and fragile ceasefire — with Iran spilled into public infighting among some of his most prominent allies.

cnn.com logo
Apr 10 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Italy's UniCredit considers liquidating Russian banking business, Kommersant reports

Italian bank UniCredit has abandoned plans to sell its Russian unit and is ​considering liquidating the business and relinquishing its ‌banking license in Russia instead, the Kommersant daily reported on Friday, citing unnamed sources.

reuters.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:01 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Countries are turning against U.S. fossil fuels after Iran war

As economies in Asia and Europe reel from the energy disruption, leaders make plans to permanently replace imported oil and gas with homegrown energy.

washingtonpost.com logo
Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Business • washingtonpost.com
Google Rolls Out DBSC in Chrome 146 to Block Session Theft on Windows

Google releases DBSC in Chrome 146 for Windows, binding cookies to devices to reduce session theft and prevent unauthorized access.

thehackernews.com logo
Apr 10 • 3:58 AM EDT • Technology • thehackernews.com
Eureka! Flathead Valley students have their moment at state science fair

Flathead Valley students displayed their fortitude for the scientific method at the Montana Science Fair with Kalispell Montessori School bringing home the first-place Division II trophy for its outstanding performance among small middle schools.

dailyinterlake.com logo
Apr 10 • 3:00 AM EDT • Science • dailyinterlake.com
😐 Neutral (24%)
love
100%
Singer Delta Goodrem follows in Celine Dion’s footsteps to Eurovision

Singer-songwriter Delta Goodrem, who is representing Australia at this year's Eurovision Song Contest, says she believes in the power of music | NewsRadio 1080 KRLD

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 2:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
Singer Delta Goodrem follows in Celine Dion’s footsteps to Eurovision

Singer-songwriter Delta Goodrem, who is representing Australia at this year's Eurovision Song Contest, says she believes in the power of music | WBBM Newsradio 780 AM & 105.9 FM

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 2:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
😐 Neutral (4%)
Singer Delta Goodrem follows in Celine Dion’s footsteps to Eurovision

Singer-songwriter Delta Goodrem, who is representing Australia at this year's Eurovision Song Contest, says she believes in the power of music | WWL

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 2:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
😐 Neutral (18%)
Singer Delta Goodrem follows in Celine Dion’s footsteps to Eurovision

Singer-songwriter Delta Goodrem, who is representing Australia at this year's Eurovision Song Contest, says she believes in the power of music | KNX News 97.1 FM

audacy.com logo
Apr 10 • 2:12 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
😐 Neutral (0%)
wow
100%
Inland Northwest families face mental health coverage gaps

COEUR D'ALENE, Idaho — A leader with the Northern Idaho Crisis Center said insurance coverage gaps are leaving some families without enough behavioral health support when they most need it.

khq.com logo
Apr 10 • 12:35 AM EDT • Health • khq.com
Drip Bros founders giving back to the community through growing business

At a Little League game in San Luis Obispo, two young entrepreneurs are stepping up to the plate, both on the field and in the business world.

ksby.com logo
Apr 9 • 9:16 PM EDT • Business • ksby.com
Penn researchers use AI to surface unreported GLP-1 side effects in Reddit posts

Could mining Reddit with AI help spot drug side effects earlier? A new Penn study suggests it might. Using large language models to map patient posts to standardized medical terms, researchers analyzed more than 400,000 Reddit posts about GLP-1s and found both known side effects and possibly underrecognized symptoms, like menstrual changes. The team says the approach could eventually help generate early safety signals for other drugs and wellness trends discussed online.

eurekalert.org logo
Apr 9 • 8:00 PM EDT • Science • eurekalert.org
Chinese business ‘hired lobbying firm with ties to Donald Trump Jnr’

Lobbying firm Checkmate helped China’s Grand Pharmaceutical Group beat a US national security challenge, public filings show.

scmp.com logo
Apr 9 • 7:16 PM EDT • Business • scmp.com
Deep dive
😐 Neutral (9%)
love
70%
wow
30%
What's really behind Phillies' recent offensive drought

The Phillies have gone cold again, but the numbers suggest the lineup isn’t entirely broken — it just isn’t clicking in its current order.

nbcsportsphiladelphia.com logo
Apr 9 • 7:00 PM EDT • Sports • nbcsportsphiladelphia.com
Fitch cuts FS KKR Capital rating to junk territory as asset quality weakens

Fitch Ratings on Thursday downgraded its rating on a private credit fund jointly run by Future Standard and KKR ​to junk territory, citing continued deterioration in its asset quality.

reuters.com logo
Apr 9 • 6:37 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
NBA Play-In Tournament 2026: Schedule, matchups, how it works
sports.yahoo.com logo
Apr 9 • 6:28 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
HOMETOWN ENTERTAINMENT: Weekend entertainment guide: Comedy, music and spring festivals

Enjoy a variety of events this weekend, including stand-up comedy, dance parties and a spring festival

wdbj7.com logo
Apr 9 • 5:30 PM EDT • Entertainment • wdbj7.com