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Explainer: The political chess behind the ECB's next leadership shake-up
The euro zone will choose a new European Central Bank president next year and replace up to two-thirds of the bank's six-member executive board in an intricate game of political chess among the bloc's 21 countries.
Federal funding package includes $17 million for projects on Long Island
The funding reflects the work of Long Island's four House members and New York's two senators, mostly in joint efforts.
Wisconsin will lose to High Point, CBS Sports’ Clark Kellogg predicts
Should Wisconsin basketball be on upset alert in March Madness? CBS Sports’ Clark Kellogg says Badgers will lose in the first round.
Embodying the Moment: Paloma Elsesser On Beauty, Bodies and Business
The model and muse explained her supermodel origin story and her plans for her next act onstage at The Business of Beauty Global Forum.
Denver Broncos roster review: Cornerback Brent Austin
Undrafted rookie free agent cornerback Brent Austin has an intriguing skillet, but can he earn a spot on the Broncos’ final 53-man roster?
Hershey names Pepsico vet as president of US business
Heather Hoytink will oversee the Reese’s maker’s confection, salty and protein portfolio when she takes over July 8.
Cleveland Browns DC Mike Rutenberg: ‘The ball is our oxygen’
Rutenberg is fired up about the defense causing turnovers, even if HC Todd Monken might be a bit perturbed.
Chargers named potential landing spot for All-Pro wide receiver
This All-Pro wide receiver has been linked to the Chargers.
Iran war’s cost grows to $43.6 billion in new US military estimate
The U.S. military’s price tag for the Iran war has grown to $43.6 billion as of Sept. 3
Departing UWM School of Freshwater Sciences dean reflects on her time in Milwaukee
UWM’s School of Freshwater Sciences is the nation’s only school dedicated to the study of freshwater and aquatic sciences. Rebecca Klaper has led it for the last three years and has been a water scientist for more than 20 years.
UWM primate researcher honored as fellow for national science organization
Trudy Turner, distinguished professor emerita of anthropology at UW-Milwaukee, has been elected to the 2025 class of fellows of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
iPhone 18 Pro Max Requires 'Prepare to Ship' Battery Drain Before Shipping
The iPhone 18 Pro Max has a battery capacity over 20 watt-hours, which means there are additional shipping requirements. If an iPhone 18 Pro Max needs to be shipped somewhere, its maximum battery capacity has to be limited through firmware. According to Apple, the iPhone 18 Pro Max uses an "innovative battery-firmware solution" that limits battery capacity to below 20Wh between when the iPhone is manufactured and its delivery to a customer.
UWM gets $10 million gift to expand freshwater sciences research
Liberal philanthropist Lynde Uihlein gave $10 million to UWM to support the only graduate school of freshwater sciences in the country.
UWM helps student grow her love of science
In high school, a research project into a type of virus helped stir Ally Ruffino’s love for science. In college, she discovered a professor who worked with that same virus, and it spurred her into an academic path she loves.
Spotted lanternflies are invading the US. They may have gotten their evolutionary superpowers in China's cities.
The alarming spread of spotted lanternflies across the U.S. has been made possible by cities acting as evolutionary incubators, fine-tuning the insects and enabling them to thrive.
Bouwman, Blind, Dolberg And Adingra: Latest Ajax Injury News
A couple of Ajax players may not be fully fit when Ajax return to action on 10 October against NEC Nijmegen.
Vikings, other NFL teams not surprised Commanders hired Daronte Jones
Other NFL executives raved about new Commanders DC Daronte Jones.
The true story of why Carolyn Bessette quit Calvin Klein — and how her relationship with JFK Jr. factored in
Episode 6 of FX's 'Love Story' depicts Carolyn Bessette's resignation from Calvin Klein. Here's what we know about why she really left the iconic fashion brand.
Rams make surprising addition to roster on Sunday
Jack Bouwmeester will not count against L.A.’s practice squad limit if he makes it there
Ethics Watchdogs To Investigate Whether Troubled Multnomah County Health Board Got Dubious Legal Advice
A Washington state attorney has been advising a Portland-area governance board on Oregon Public Meetings Law.
Amazon is selling a 2-in-1 laptop and tablet for $60 that comes with a 5-piece accessories bundle
It's great for everyday computing tasks.
Today on Pinstripe Alley
At least someone other than the Miz is pitching tonight in Milwaukee.
Vikings Rumor Buzz: Rasul Douglas, Fabian Moreau, Top Roster Battle
It’s the second weekend in May, and Minnesota Vikings rookie minicamp is off and running. In unison, we have the […]
Rocket boosts bid to woo UWM brokers with new program, referral bonus
UWM pushed back on Rocket’s effort, saying its rival's new program relies on cash incentives rather than technology and service.
Texans GM Nick Caserio Questioned Over $106 Million Roster Decision
This is arguably their greatest X factor. The post Texans GM Nick Caserio Questioned Over $106 Million Roster Decision appeared first on HEAVY.
Windows 11 KB5077181 Security Update Causing Some Devices to Restart in an Infinite Loop
Microsoft's February 10, 2026, security update KB5077181 for Windows 11 versions 24H2 (build 26200.7840) and 25H2 (build 26100.7840) has triggered widespread reports of critical boot failures just days after deployment.
Johnson County Criminal Mental Health Court would offer treatment plans instead of jail time
Johnson County is considering adding a criminal mental health court program aimed at helping repeat offenders with serious mental illness.
Harrison Ford returning as Indiana Jones in new Disney project
Harrison Ford will return as Indiana Jones inside Disney World’s new Animal Kingdom ride based on the film series. The ride replaces Dinosaur, which closed ahead of a new Tropical Americas land.
'How can all of this be happening?': Scientists spot massive group of ancient galaxies so hot they shouldn't exist
An inexplicably hot, fast-growing cluster of galaxies in the early universe has scientists questioning theories of galactic evolution.
Northwestern Mutual Data Science Institute Welcomes Three New Academic Institutions: Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee School of Engineering, and Waukesha County Technical College
The Northwestern Mutual Data Science Institute (NMDSI) – a first-of-its-kind partnership between Northwestern Mutual, Marquette University, and the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee (UWM) –...
Using multiple AI health tools could pose reliability risks
Hundreds of AI tools for health care tout accuracy rates above 90%, but most are tested only in isolation.
Phoenix Suns owner Mat Ishbia predicts team will win opening round playoff series — and the NBA season hasn't even started
Phoenix Suns owner Mat Ishbia predicts first-round playoff win, says UWM stock decline won't affect team ownership.
UWM takes home first NCAA Tournament win in 27 years, defeating Auburn 13-8
The Panthers pulled ahead early, making the score 10-0 by the fourth inning.
Pieter Mulier to Design Versace, Prada Group Confirms
The outgoing Alaïa designer and long-time lieutenant of Prada co-creative director Raf Simons will be tasked with revitalising Prada Group’s new acquisition, following the ouster of Dario Vitale in December.
Thursday’s camps see Ohio State’s send out several new offers
Thursday’s one-day position camp sees Ohio State’s staff sending out several new offers in the 2028 and 2029 classes
NFL analyst grades Chargers' offseason moves
The Los Angeles Chargers made a multitude of moves in the offseason. Here is how a CBS Sports analyst graded them overall.
Monumental, Capital One renew arena naming-rights deal for two more decades
Monumental Sports and Entertainment and Capital One Arena have extended their arena naming rights deal for two more decades.
Tennessee football offers 2028 in-state offensive lineman
Tennessee offers a 2028 offensive lineman from Lipscomb Academy.
Mat Ishbia's United Wholesale Mortgage notches profitable year
The Pontiac-based mortgage lender saw a boost in mortgage refinancing activity in the later half of 2025.
Secretary Collins: Veterans are a business advantage
VA Secretary Doug Collins told employers at the Disney Veterans Institute Summit to put Veterans at the center of how they think, hire and operate.
How school coaches are prioritizing mental health for student athletes
To get the best out of students, "we have to learn to love them holistically," says one Virginia wrestling coach who has taken mental health awareness training.
Euclid Space Warps – help us hunt for galaxy-galaxy lense
“Space Warps,” the new citizen science project on the Zooniverse platform, aims to identify gravitational lensing in Euclid data and study dark matter.
Politics & Power: How one primary could reshape the midterm map
John Truscott, a political analyst and CEO of Truscott Rossman, joins News4JAX anchor Bruce Hamilton for this week’s episode of “Politics & Power” to discuss the key issues about data centers and why it matters for the midterms.
Former Suns owners sues ex-business partners
Sarver alleges a "corporate maneuver" unfairly deprived him of his contractual rights.
Licensable picture: In this Feb. 24, 2004 photograph, Abilene Reporter-News entertainment writer Brien Murphy and KTXS sportscaster George Levesque
In this Feb. 24, 2004 photograph, Abilene Reporter-News entertainment writer Brien Murphy and KTXS sportscaster George Levesque discuss what they enjoyed and...
NBA Finals: De'Aaron Fox's gaffe helps give Game 4 away for good in Knicks' historic comeback
49ers News: (Officially) welcome to the Bay, Jack Bouwmeester!
Your daily San Francisco 49ers news for Sunday, July 19th, 2026
Horizon League, City of Noblesville, Hamilton County Sports Authority and REV Entertainment Announce The Arena at Innovation Mile as the Future Site of Basketball Championships
NOBLESVILLE, IND. (March 12, 2026) – The Horizon League Council has selected The Arena at Innovation Mile (AIM) in Noblesville, Ind. as host of the second rounds, semifinals and championships of the 2027-2031 Horizon League Men's and Women's Basketball Championships, the League office announced in conjunction with its new partners on Thursday.
UWM Student Spotlight: Paul Victor & World Entertainment
Paul Victor, who is an Information Studies major has a passion for spotlighting creatives and giving recognition to people's favorite things.
Broadband access predicts health tracker use, UWM research suggests
As Fitbits, Apple watches and Oura Rings grow ubiquitous, UWM research suggests digital inequity doesn't allow them to reach those who could benefit most.
Mike Krzyzewski reveals his reaction to Duke's last-second loss to UConn in Elite Eight: 'It was heartbreaking'
Shaky political "science": breakdown of the peer review process
[This article is the latest in our “Shaky Political Science” series. In our 38 page report, “Shaky political ‘science’ misses mark on ranked choice voting,” released in December 2025, we examined over 40 studies focused on ranked choice voting (RCV). Many of these studies suffered from puzzling research methodologies, poorly constructed surveys, unrealistic simulated elections, cherry picked data and faulty analyses that often were contradicted by results from real-world elections (a link to our full paper is here). Here are links to the first four articles in our series: the first one summarizing the overall results of our report; the second one analyzed a study co-authored by University of Minnesota academic Larry Jacobs, which was one of the most error-prone of all the research we reviewed in our report; a third article showing an admirable example of two political scientists holding two other political scientists accountable for their flawed, sloppy research; and a fourth article that analyzed seven studies sponsored by New America’s political reform program that deployed flawed methodology based on “simulated” elections instead of real-world elections, which when combined with some basic misunderstandings of RCV, produced odd and misleading results]. In this fifth article in our “Shaky Political Science” series, we examine two flawed studies on the impact of RCV on voter turnout authored by San Francisco State University professor Jason McDaniel. McDaniel’s research in these two papers stands out for its puzzling methodology, inadequate and cherry-picked data, and faulty analyses that not only misunderstands ranked choice voting but reflects a basic misunderstanding of politics in general. The first of the McDaniel studies actually passed through a peer review process and then was subsequently published by the Journal of Urban Affairs, despite its obvious errors. It is perplexing that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the errors and send it back to McDaniel for a rewrite or outright rejection. This calls into question the credibility of the peer review process itself. The peer review process is supposed to represent the intellectual pinnacle of the profession – a way for academics to certify the quality of each other’s work, and to act as a check against sloppy research. In the case of the McDaniel study, the peer review process failed. Yet his flawed study has been cited dozens of times by other political scientists in their own flawed works — an unvirtuous circle of academic research. Here is the first Jason McDaniel study that we analyzed: “Writing the Rules to Rank the Candidates: Examining the Impact of Instant-Runoff Voting on Racial Group Turnout in San Francisco Mayoral Elections,” by Jason McDaniel, 2016, Journal of Urban Affairs. This study covered San Francisco’s use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in mayoral elections, purporting to show that RCV reduces voter turnout overall, increases voter errors, and has a negative impact on “marginal populations,” i.e. racial minorities, mainly as the result of the alleged complexity of RCV asking voters to rank candidates and having to be familiar with multiple candidates and related dynamics. McDaniel reached these conclusions by examining five San Francisco mayoral elections taking place in odd years (i.e. where there are no federal or state races on the ballot) from 1995 to 2011, comparing three earlier non-RCV races (in 1995, 1999 and 2003) with the later two RCV races (in 2007 and 2011). Only two RCV races were studied, and as McDaniel acknowledged, only the contest in 2011 was “competitive” (that contest in 2007 was the first mayoral election using RCV, and incumbent mayor Gavin Newsom won easily in the first round of counting, earning 74% of first choices and far ahead of the second place candidate who had just 6.3% of first choices). Yet even the allegedly competitive contest in 2011was won by an incumbent with a landslide margin of nearly 20 points. No other elections were studied by McDaniel, even though San Francisco elects 17 other offices besides mayor with RCV, including the 11 seats on the Board of Supervisors (the name for the city council) in even years, and six other citywide offices in odd years. Previous academic research has found that competitive elections can stimulate greater voter involvement and higher turnout. For unexplained reasons, this study ignored at least 34 other RCV races between the years 2004 to 2011, many of which were very competitive and had high voter turnout. Instead, McDaniel’s analysis based its conclusions on data from only a single, marginally-competitive mayor’s race using RCV. These 2007 and 2011 mayoral elections were the only two RCV elections that McDaniel used as the sole basis for his small data set to determine the impact of RCV on voter turnout. Despite having no meaningful data to inform his study, McDaniel nonetheless concluded that RCV lowered turnout when compared to the previous three mayoral non-RCV elections using two-round runoffs. Then, using the same inadequate database of San Francisco elections, McDaniel also found that “Instant-runoff voting is associated with a significant decline in Black voter turnout and White voter turnout…On average, Black voter turnout decreases by 18 points and White voter turnout decreases by 16 points …” But how could he credibly arrive at that conclusion when his study was based on voter turnout in two RCV contests that were not even remotely competitive? Beyond that, McDaniel tacitly admits that the key determining factor driving Black voter turnout was not RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable Black candidate. McDaniel wrote, “Black voter turnout was about 17 percentage points higher for the two elections that featured an African American candidate compared to the three elections that did not” — but one of those three elections did not use RCV. The same dynamic was present for White voter turnout, in which higher turnout was not correlated with RCV vs non-RCV elections, but the presence of a viable White candidate. Beyond that, McDaniel’s voter turnout results, whether correlated with the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections, showed no clear patterns. In his Figure 1, he shows low Asian voter turnout in the non-RCV elections in 1999 and 2003 when there was no viable Asian candidate running, but in the 2007 mayoral election using RCV, there is still no viable Asian candidate, yet Asian turnout increases dramatically. For Latinos, voter turnout is virtually the same in 1999 (no viable Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2003 (leading Latino candidate, non-RCV elections), 2007 (no viable Latino candidate, RCV elections) and 2011 (leading Latino candidate, RCV elections). Meanwhile White voter turnout increased dramatically from a low in the 2007 mayoral election, in which the leading candidate was a white incumbent, to the 2011 election in which there were no leading white candidates that finished any higher than sixth place with 5.6% of the vote. Clearly other factors were determining voter turnout than either the race of the candidates or RCV vs non-RCV elections. Despite these inconsistent findings, McDaniel boldly marches forth to render conclusions about the impact of RCV on different groups of racial voters, even though his conclusions are not remotely supported by his data. This looks like the worst kind of “data cherry picking” to cover up a puzzling conclusion based on a poor data set involving only two RCV elections, neither of which were remotely competitive. McDaniel’s cherry picking didn’t stop there. In calculating voter turnout for the three non-RCV mayoral elections in 1995, 1999 and 2003, he failed to mention that in each of these years there was a two-round runoff election, with a first round election in November in which no candidate garnered a winning majority of the vote, followed by the decisive runoff in December. So there were two non-RCV elections in each election year. But McDaniel only decided to include one of the two elections in his data set, apparently the December runoff in each year (which had higher turnout in two out of the three mayor’s races, and lower turnout in the third). So he ignored the November 1995 election, the November 1999 election when turnout was only 45 percent, and the November 2003 election when turnout was only 45.7 percent. This is flawed methodology based on blatant cherry picking, since McDaniel simply omitted three elections worth of data that did not fit within his frame. His study should never have made it through a peer review process, and it is an embarrassment to political science that not only was it approved for publication, but it has been uncritically cited by dozens of other political scientists. Share A “study” without wider context or credible data Lacking a data set that included even a single competitive RCV mayoral race, McDaniel declared that RCV lowered voter turnout in 2011, when turnout was 42.5 percent. But he also ignored -- or did not realize -- that voter turnout in mayoral elections during 2011 had sharply declined in all big cities, including far more steeply in nearby Los Angeles and other cities. In fact, San Francisco’s election in 2011 had the second highest turnout of any mayoral election in the nation’s 22 largest cities from 2008-2011. Was 2011 just a particularly low turnout year all across the country, perhaps because the country was still reeling from the aftermath of the housing market collapse in 2008-2010? McDaniel ignored this factor and did not search for alternative explanations beyond his flawed thesis. Furthermore, while McDaniel suggested that RCV leads to more “overvotes” – which is an invalidated ballot in which a voter, in either a non-RCV or RCV race, makes a mistake and selects two candidates for a single choice – he failed to address that in the June 2012 US Senate primary contest, which used the typical “one-choice” plurality method and did not use RCV, there was more than five times as many overvotes in San Francisco and Oakland than in the RCV mayoral elections in those cities. Additionally, turnout had been significantly higher and more representative in RCV elections for the San Francisco Board of Supervisors races -- that McDaniel didn’t even bother to study -- as compared to previous “delayed two-round runoffs” for those offices, often higher by as much as 40% in the RCV races. Perhaps the most surprising irony was that an earlier study co-authored by McDaniel (Overvoting and the Equality of Voice under Instant-Runoff Voting in San Francisco by Francis Neely and Jason McDaniel, 2015, California Journal of Politics and Policy) found that overvotes are often more common in lower-income precincts, but that the pattern of overvoting is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. Wrote Neely and McDaniel: “[Overvote] errors appear to be a function of complexity in general and not IRV per se…. the pattern of overvoting is similar in both IRV and non-IRV contests…Even among votes cast in a top-of-the-ticket race like U.S. Senate, overvoting occurs in an uneven fashion” (IRV, or ‘instant runoff voting,’ is another name for ranked choice voting in single-winner contests). So McDaniel not only contradicted his own conclusion in his earlier study with Neely, but the earlier study had been an important corrective for one of the most frequently made mistakes made by anti-RCV political scientists – a continual failure to provide crucial context by pairing a comparative analysis of real world RCV elections with an analysis of real world plurality or other electoral methods. Unfortunately McDaniel’s earlier study does not get cited much by other researchers, and McDaniel did not even cite it in his own flawed study analyzed above. Incredibly, McDaniel cherrypicked McDaniel, even as his flawed study has been cited dozens of times. Despite being a textbook example of poor political “science,” featuring both inadequate as well as cherrypicked data, the shelf life of McDaniel’s study has been extended endlessly by other political scientists and media outlets who have cited it uncritically. Equally troubling, the Journal of Urban Affairs put this paper through its peer review process and published it despite its numerous flaws. McDaniel gets it wrong, Part II Not content with producing one shoddy, confused paper, McDaniel produced another one a few years later, here is the link: Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout in Mayoral Elections: An Analysis of Ranked-Choice Voting by Jason McDaniel. San Francisco State Univ. (McDaniel, 2019). In this paper, McDaniel extended his previous flawed research focused on San Francisco, about voter turnout and voter impact, to multiple RCV cities through the 2018 elections. In his data set he included San Francisco, Minneapolis, St Paul, Oakland, Berkeley, San Leandro and Santa Fe. He then compared their turnout in mayoral elections to non-RCV cities, and to mayoral elections in those cities held before first RCV usage, and concluded “a significant decrease in voter turnout of approximately 3–5 percentage points in RCV cities after the implementation of RCV.” But he replicated many of the same mistakes as his first study presented above. While in this study McDaniel attempted to distinguish between various factors, such as odd year vs. even year elections, competitive races vs. noncompetitive, contests with open seats and other factors, the analysis is superficial and inadequate. He attempts to incorporate so many often-conflicting variables that his conclusions are once again unsupported by the actual data, and ultimately unconvincing (this second study never underwent a peer review process). For example, McDaniel declared that for RCV cities “in elections that are more competitive than average (margin of victory less than 20%), there is no significant RCV effect on voter turnout.” Yet McDaniel is a professor in a city, San Francisco, in which the 2018 special election using RCV to fill a mayoral vacancy was exceedingly close, decided by a margin of only one percentage point, and resulted in the second highest turnout in San Francisco history for a mayoral election. Illustrating the complexity involved in assessing the critical factors in turnout, that special election was held on the same election day as federal and state offices, which tends to boost turnout. Yet more voters participated in that RCV mayoral election than voted on the same day in the non-RCV primary for governor in which former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom was running. Even more puzzling, in this study McDaniel inaccurately cited his own previous study from 2015 with Neely. McDaniel wrote, “Neely and McDaniel (2015) examine individual ballot image files within a natural experiment, and find higher rates of ballot errors in RCV elections compared to non-RCV elections” (emphasis added). However, we quoted from that 2015 study several paragraphs above, and in actual fact Neely and McDaniel actually concluded the opposite -- that the pattern of overvoting – which is the most common form of ballot error – is similar in both RCV and non-RCV contests. McDaniel also ignored the fact that in Bay Area RCV elections held in even years – at the same time as federal and state elections, when turnout is highest -- the “undervote” (that is, the dropoff in ballots cast for governor or mayor) has declined, which contradicts his thesis that the act of ranking ballots in RCV elections is too complex and presents a barrier for certain demographics of voters. To his credit, McDaniel actually acknowledged another contradiction in his own paper, which found a negative RCV turnout effect in some odd-year elections but not others, admitting that “may present a challenge to the theory that increased complexity [from RCV] will have a marginal negative effect on voter turnout.” But he tried to wallpaper over that contradiction by blaming it on an unlikely source -- bad election administration. McDaniels wrote, “This would suggest that the negative impact of RCV on voter participation may be alleviated by high quality election administration,” without presenting any data or even anecdotes to support such an unfounded theory. While competent election administration of any election, whether RCV or non-RCV, is crucially important, there is no credible research that supports the far-fetched notion that the quality of election administration has much of an impact on voter turnout in US elections, whether using RCV or otherwise. Upgrade to a $5 subscription The unvirtuous circle of academic research It is puzzling how McDaniel’s first study could have survived the peer review process for the Journal of Urban Affairs. The mistakes in McDaniel’s first study above should have been obvious to anyone with a basic understanding of ranked choice voting as well as elections in general, and elections in San Francisco specifically. It undermines faith in the credibility of the peer review process to think that a jury of peer political scientists did not catch the egregious errors and reject McDaniel’s sloppy research and paper. And it remains a black mark on political science that this thoroughly discredited study has been cited dozens of times by other researchers. Indeed, in our research paper it became apparent that many political scientists cite each other’s flawed research to pad their list of citations and to legitimize their own flawed research, creating an unvirtuous circle of political science. More broadly, McDaniel’s voter turnout studies, like other studies evaluating RCV’s impact on turnout, lacked a recognition that no credible opinion or research can claim that RCV increases voter turnout merely because so many voters are excited to vote for their favorite candidates instead of “lesser evil” candidates without worrying about spoilers. Instead, with respect to turnout, the advantage of RCV has always been that, in most places where it has been used, it has eliminated a pre-November primary or post-November runoff, which usually saw about half the turnout of the November general election. This is especially true during even years when there are state and federal elections on the ballot which substantially drive turnout more than local contests. Any study that does not adequately account for this non-November primary/runoff vs November general election dynamic, or odd year vs even year election factors, is simply not credible. Both of McDaniel’s studies largely failed on those grounds. Steven Hill and Paul Haughey Share Upgrade to a $5 subscription Thanks for reading DemocracySOS…your digital portal for the pro-democracy movement. Subscribe for only $5 per month to receive full benefits and to support our work. Subscribe