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Gov. JB Pritzker doling out big bucks to help Democrats — and boost a 2028 presidential run
Pritzker is taking out $40 million from his vast personal wealth to boost candidates in contentious races, and building coalitions with Democrats across the country, including in 2028 early primary states. "It's a terrific strategy," says former presidential candidate Howard Dean.
Inside the Cleveland business keeping home winemaking alive, for now
Nestled on a residential street in a historic haven for immigrants, a tradition lives on at Collinwood Grape.
Brazil's runoff: Lula's legacy vs. Bolsonaro's dynasty
Brazil's tight presidential runoff pits a political giant against a Bolsonaro heir in a battle over the country's political future.
Rockland Trust provides $9.4m financing for historic Hallsville School
The project will transform the vacant 1891 elementary school into a 36-unit, mixed-income residential community
Dismas Home of New Hampshire names Angel Colarusso philanthropy director
Colarusso will lead fundraising as the organization expands its residential capacity and completes its $2.5 million capital campaign
DHS watchdog refers its Corey Lewandowski investigation to Justice Department for review
Lewandowski, the first manager on Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign, was a top aide to then-Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem before she was fired.
New US drug launches need price check to counter access impediments, ICER, West Health urge
As policies from the last two presidential administrations put heightened focus on drug affordability in the United States, a new report suggests much work remains to be done when it comes to the l | As policies from the last two presidential administrations put heightened focus on drug affordability in the United States, a new report suggests much work remains to be done when it comes to the launch prices of novel medicines.
Seniors Left Waiting as Treatment Bill Faces Uphill Climb
This is an exclusive BHB+ story. Many adult seniors have been locked out of accessing residential addiction treatment for the sector's entire
Seniors Left Waiting as Treatment Bill Faces Uphill Climb
This is an exclusive BHB+ story. Many adult seniors have been locked out of accessing residential addiction treatment for the sector's entire
Riots leave France divided and shadowed by debt as Macron enters his final run
The tensions are festering in the street but also in a presidential race that will determine Emmanuel Macron’s successor.
Romania Politics Government
Romanian Prime Minister Luca Niculescu walks during a swearing in ceremony for the new government at the Cotroceni Presidential Palace, in Bucharest, Romania, Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. (AP Photo/Vadim Ghirda)
Romania Politics Government
Romanian Prime Minister Luca Niculescu, left, smiles standing next to Romanian President Nicusor Dan after a swearing in ceremony for the new government at the Cotroceni Presidential Palace, in Bucharest,
Romania Politics Government
Ministers of the Luca Niculescu cabinet stand during a swearing in ceremony at the Cotroceni Presidential Palace, in Bucharest, Romania, Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. (AP Photo/Andreea Alexandru)
Vivek Ramaswamy gets a political education in a grueling Ohio governor’s race
Vivek is attempting a rare route in politics, going from national notoriety as a presidential candidate to running for state office, eschewing his hard-charging and provocative tone during his presidential campaign. He’s making his pivot during an election cycle where headwinds are blowing against all kinds of Republicans. It hasn’t been easy.
Spanberger demands 6-year rate freeze in Dominion merger
Gov. Abigail Spanberger called for the Virginia State Corporation Commission to reject the $67 billion merger between Dominion Energy and Florida's NextEra Energy unless the two utilities agree to freeze residential power rates for six years and triple monthly customer bill credits.
Build Your Future in Healthcare: Free Workshop Opens Door to Business Ownership Team Abilities Foun
On Thursday, October 22, from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m., Rachel Jelks, founder of TEAM Abilities, will host DREAM IT. DO IT., a FREE, hands-on workshop introducing participants to the business of providing residential and community-base
Direct strike hits Irpin community in Kyiv region, setting business on fire and damaging homes
A direct enemy strike was recorded in a residential area of the Irpin community in Kyiv region. — Ukrinform.
Vance struggles to tame GOP struggles in 2026, and may suffer for them in 2028
JD Vance’s 2026 arguments on Iran war, energy prices and immigration are a test of how, as a 2028 presidential contender, he might handle President Donald Trump’s legacy.
2028 Presidential ‘Shadow Primary’ Descends on the Midterm Elections
The schedule is especially packed in New Hampshire, an early presidential nominating state where there is a competitive Senate race Democrats are flocking to this month.
Trump holds rare presidential rally on tribal land
OKLAHOMA Trump rallies on tribal land DURANT — President Donald Trump’s rally Oct. 1 on the Choctaw Nation of Oklahoma put him in the company of just a handful of U.S. presidents who have visited tribal reservations while in office. The rally was part of Trump’s recent campaign push through deep red states, where he […]
What the final stretch of the midterms says about the 2028 presidential field
A shake-up of the Democratic primary calendar adds to the intrigue as potential hopefuls join a sprint to help their parties in the midterms.
Meta denies accusation of anti-Lula political bias in Brazil after electoral court ruling
SAO PAULO (AP) — Tech giant Meta denied accusations Friday that it acted with political bias during Brazil’s presidential campaign, less than a day after the country’s electoral court ruled the platform must give equal treatment to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and opposition candidate Fláv...
Meta denies accusation of anti-Lula political bias in Brazil after electoral court ruling
SAO PAULO (AP) — Tech giant Meta denied accusations Friday that it acted with political bias during Brazil’s presidential campaign, less than a day after the country’s electoral court ruled the pla…
Meta denies accusation of anti-Lula political bias in Brazil after electoral court ruling
Tech giant Meta has denied accusations it has acted with political bias during Brazil’s presidential campaign.
Appeals Court Questions Justice Dept. Claim that Trump Owns White House Records
A three-judge panel appeared unconvinced by claims that a federal law requiring the president to preserve and hand over his presidential papers was unconstitutional.
Gov. Josh Shapiro takes new step into national politics by launching federal PAC
As rumors swirl about Josh Shapiro's potential presidential ambitions, the Pennsylvania governor has taken another step into national politics.
Gov. Josh Shapiro takes new step into national politics by launching federal PAC
As rumors swirl about Josh Shapiro's potential presidential ambitions, the Pennsylvania governor has taken another step into national politics.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) on Public Service & the Midterm Elections
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) discussed the 2026 midterm elections, public service, and the direction of American politics at an event hosted by Georgetown University's Institute of Politics & Public Service. Walz reflected on his unsuccessful 2024 vice presidential campaign, the need for Democrats to deliver policy wins if they hope to win the presidency in 2028, and his contentious relationship with President Trump. He also encourages young people to pursue public service and help shape the country's future.
Black Hills Energy rates rise 8% for Arkansas customers
Rapid City, S.D.-based utility Black Hills Energy said Thursday (Oct. 15) new natural gas base rates will increase the average residential customer’s monthly bill by $6 or 8% for Arkansas...
French soccer ethics body calls on fans to keep politics out of stadiums amid student protests
The ethics body of the French soccer federation has urged fans to stay neutral amid nationwide student protests. The protests are influencing the presidential election campaign and drawing international attention.
Brazil investigates Amazon wildfires that disrupt daily life and have fueled political attacks
SAO PAULO (AP) — Brazilian authorities are investigating whether a recent surge in wildfires in the Amazon rainforest have been set on purpose for political motives ahead of the second round of presidential elections later this month.
Jean-Marc Jancovici: 'As long as there is no shared understanding that the impact of a heatwave is lasting, politicians will not act'
The energy engineer and founder of the Shift Project think tank lays out the major climate challenges facing future governments, with six months to go before France's 2027 presidential election.
Karen Gaski & Drew Malter
Residential real estate firm Cross Street has hired Karen Gaski as vice president of people and culture.
Midterm Election Ad Spending Topped $10 Billion, and It’s Still Rising
The campaign is set to be more expensive than the 2024 presidential election cycle, and has already exceeded the ad total booked by the N.F.L. last season.
Newsom heads to New Hampshire to stump for Democrats
California Gov. Gavin Newsom's trip follows voyages to other early primary voting states that could be critical to his campaign if he officially joins the 2028 presidential contest.
Venezuela’s Machado tops poll as US-backed negotiations resume
María Corina Machado holds a commanding lead in presidential voting intentions in Venezuela even as she remains sidelined from U.S.-backed negotiations between the government and opposition aimed at restoring democratic
Grimes growth surges behind residential, commercial development
The city of Grimes’ population now stands at just under 18,000 following a special census last year, and that growth is representative in the number of building permits being issued, both residential and commercial, which for the year to date have already surpassed the previous high number by 32%. As of Oct. 1, the city…
Why being from California is no longer a presidential asset
California was a springboard for the White House ambitions of Nixon and Reagan. Now it's an anchor on the aspirations of Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris and others.
Supreme Court sides with Trump administration in lawsuit seeking records on Elon Musk’s DOGE
The Trump administration argues that DOGE is exempt from FOIA’s requirements as a presidential advisory body.
Florida Republican running for re-election snags presidential endorsement
Rep. María Elvira Salazar has received political support from right-wing stalwarts overseas as she finds herself on the outs with President Donald Trump.
Belton City Council votes Tuesday on $250M tax incentive plan for major uptown entertainment district
About 40 acres of farmland in Belton could be transformed into a major multi-use district that includes dining, retail, and residential, but the project hinges on Tuesday city council vote.
Political rhetoric preceding autocratic rule | The Pajaronian
Columnist Theo Wierdsma opines about the current presidential administration, and what he sees as similarities to autocratic regimes.
Judge orders Trump to cancel $20 million in taxpayer-funded political ads ahead of the midterms
The ads praised Trump and included footage from his presidential campaign, drawing criticism from Democrats and some Republicans
Doctored 2006 front page falsely portrayed as genuine article about Nigerian politician's 'madness'
As political activity intensifies ahead of Nigeria’s January 2027 election, misinformation is circulating online, including a purported 2006 newspaper front page with claims that presidential candidat...
Public priorities for the future of atmospheric science
A new public dialogue will explore how people across the UK think about atmospheric science and its future priorities, led by NERC and Sciencewise.
Can you guess how much France lets you spend to become President?
French presidential spending limits put Florida’s costly campaigns in perspective.
Rallying in Sao Paulo, Presidential Candidates Seek Votes and Political Support
By Isabel Teles and Luciana Magalhaes SAO PAULO, Oct 11 (Reuters) - With Brazil's polarized presidential election entering its final stretch, candidates rallied supporters and politicians on Sunday in Sao Paulo, the nation's largest state capital, ahead of the October 25 runoff. Conservative ...
Election forecaster says ‘winds are blowing against Republicans’ in midterms
The election forecaster who called nearly every presidential race since 1984 says Democrats are well positioned this fall.
Can the midterm campaign trail point to 2028 presidential viability for Democrats?
After Clinton and Harris's losses, cautious voters might worry that for Democratic female presidential candidates the third time may not be a charm.
Weekend Reading on Women's Representation: Arizona Congress Candidate Speaks Out About Her Rape, 'It’s OK to Talk About It’: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Run for President?
Weekend Reading on Women’s Representation is a compilation of stories about women’s representation in politics, on boards, in sports and entertainment, in judicial offices and in the private sector in the U.S. and around the world—with a little gardening and goodwill mixed in for refreshment! —Friday, Oct. 9, marked 115 years since the men of California went to the polls to decide whether the women they lived alongside would be permitted to join them there. —Bernadette Greene-Placentia, the Democratic nominee in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with a real chance to upset her opponent, was reportedly raped while fixing one of her yard signs. "She chose to share her story because she knows many survivors struggle in silence, and she hopes that by speaking about her experience, others will know they are not alone," said a campaign spokesperson. —Pew Charitable Trust reports that 37 percent of Americans now believe a woman will not be elected president in their lifetime. I urge women like AOC to seriously consider a presidential bid in 2028. —The poet, essayist and translator Anne Carson was awarded the Nobel Prize in literature for her genre-defying work. Since 1901, the Nobel Prize in literature has been awarded 122 times to 104 men and just 18 women. ... and more.
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms. Democratic and Republican presidential prospects have
TeraWulf to double data center size near Ashland; Ky. Power to add unit at Big Sandy
TeraWulf Inc. plans to double the capacity of its AI data center at the EastPark industrial park near Ashland a year ahead of schedule, which the two companies say would lead to lower residential electric bills for residential customers. Also, the data center could double in capacity again, TeraWulf says. Kentucky Power says it plans to add a new generating unit at the Big Sandy Power Plant near Louisa, Kentucky, as part of the expansion.
Louisiana politicos angle for presidential run in 2028
Just how serious they are remains to be seen.
The Presidential Prayer Team
Each day, we invite you to join us in prayer for our national leaders. As mandated by 1 Timothy 2:1-2, we encourage prayer for those in positions of authority.
Trump asks Supreme Court to revive his 2016 election lawsuit against Hillary Clinton
President Donald Trump urged the Supreme Court on Friday to wade into his years long legal battle with former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and ex-Justice Department officials over the 2016 election, appealing a case that a lower court concluded was “frivolous.”
R&S Holdings Acquires Residential Addiction Treatment Operator Innovo Detox
R&S Holdings, a behavioral health organization that offers addiction treatment and behavioral health services through its subsidiaries, has added a
R&S Holdings Acquires Residential Addiction Treatment Operator Innovo Detox
R&S Holdings, a behavioral health organization that offers addiction treatment and behavioral health services through its subsidiaries, has added a
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
As most of the political world focuses on next month's midterm elections, the shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out in public view.
Margaret Hamilton, who led a software team for NASA’s Apollo program, dies at 90
Hamilton received many awards and accolades, including being awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the nation’s highest civilian honor, in 2016.
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms. Democratic and Republican presidential prospects have
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms.
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms.
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms.
The midterms stakes are high for these 2028 presidential prospects
The shadow primary for the 2028 presidential contest is quietly playing out as most of the political world is focused on next month's midterms. Democratic and Republican presidential prospects have
The Presidential Prayer Team
Each day, we invite you to join us in prayer for our national leaders. As mandated by 1 Timothy 2:1-2, we encourage prayer for those in positions of authority.
Anthropic is launching a ‘presidential engagement’ effort to advise candidates on AI policy ahead of the 2028 election
“We want every serious candidate and elected official, in both parties, to understand the technology and the case for governing it well.”
Trump Sports Suspicious Bulge at Make-a-Wish Medal Ceremony
What is being stowed in the presidential caboose?
Trump bucks and the politics of mailing checks
The checks started going out last week, nearly one million of them, and mostly to battleground states. With a return address for the U.S. Treasury and a letter enclosed signed by President Donald Trump, these one-time checks for $500 were ostensibly government rebates for Obamacare enrollees who overpaid. In the accompanying letter, however, Trump attacks his predecessor and talks about his record in office on an important issue he’s not polling well on, which makes it seem more like the most expensive political mailer in U.S. history. The average piece of direct mail costs between 30 cents and $3, according to Mail Processing Associates, a print, mail, and fulfillment company. At $500 a pop plus roughly 50 cents each to issue the paper check, the cost of Trump’s healthcare mailer sent to more than 950,000 enrollees comes in at more than $475 million. Trump’s midterm healthcare message “For years, the Biden Administration overcharged you to fund the operation of HealthCare dot gov,” Trump wrote in the letter. “That money belongs to hard-working Americans, not the Government, and now, I am returning it to you!” In the letter, Trump makes false and misleading claims about his administration’s record on healthcare costs, an issue Democrats have a 20 point advantage on over Republicans, according to a recent poll from KFF, a nonpartisan health policy think tank. Trump touts his administration’s TrumpRX program, which he claims is “delivering massive discounts.” However, new research from KFF found that of a selection of drugs available on the TrumpRX platform, just five were the lowest price, while 13 were the highest price. Trump also falsely claims in the letter that he’s fighting to lower healthcare costs. In reality, average monthly premium payment costs for enrollees rose 58% under Trump while marketplace sign-ups declined 5%, per KFF. Under Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it’s estimated 10 million more Americans will be uninsured by 2034. You get a check and you get a check and you get a check Trump’s long promised cash outs to his fans, from his days as a casino operator and gameshow host to his presidency. During the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the first Trump administration made the unprecedented move to put Trump’s name on checks that went out under the CARES Act (notably the $500 refund checks this time around don’t feature Trump’s name). Ever since, Trump’s been chasing that high. In his second term, Trump’s promised more stimulus that never arrived, like refund checks from DOGE cuts and tariffs, while he said at his party’s convention last month that he’d give out $5,000 checks to everyone if Republicans win in November. In reality, DOGE overstated its cost cutting and Trump’s government actually now spends more than former President Joe Biden’s, while Trump’s tariffs actually grew the trade deficit. His proposal for $5,000 checks would add about $1.2 trillion to the national debt. The problem is there’s no money to give. These $500 checks — plus $90 Medicare rebate checks also going out as well as $250 deposited this week in some Trump Accounts for kids courtesy Dell Technologies CEO Michael Dell and his wife Susan — represent the closest Trump’s going to get to making good on his promise to deliver cash fast. And the checks seem especially targeted. Though the $500 checks went out to enrollees in one of 30 states that use the federal HealthCare dot gov marketplace, a Reuters review found 71% of the payments, or $339 million, went to enrollees in 13 states that have the most competitive elections for governor and U.S. Senate. Most Americans don’t buy it Could Trump bucks sway the election? An Economist-YouGov poll found 57% of U.S. adults doubt Trump will deliver on his promise for $5,000 checks, compared to 21% who do. “I’m waiting on my DOGE check and I’m still waiting on my tariff check,” one 2024 Trump voter who’s since turned on him told a recent focus group. “It felt like kind of trying to buy people’s votes, which honestly felt like in elementary when the class president was like, hey we’re going to take you to the water park if you vote for me. It’s like, I don’t think it works like that.” But for voters in swing states who got a check, it could still matter. One survey published in 2022 found receiving a physically personalized check in the mail during the pandemic was associated with a much greater self-reported likelihood of voting for Trump in 2020, and those gains mainly came from out partisans. The issue for Trump comes if these checks are mostly going to Obamacare enrollees whose premiums have gone up by more than just $500 since he took office and who view the money as something like a bribe before the election rather than an actual long-term solution to lowering household costs. Spending $500.50 per mailer would be absurd as a normal campaign expenditure, but since Trump’s checks and letter are a government rebate, his campaign and super PAC didn’t have to spend a dime and he got out his message regardless. If enough voters in key states are swayed by the one-time payment, it could prove to be the best $0 the Trump campaign spent. Subscribe [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ Why independent candidates are making independence central to their brand ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 6 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/why-independent-candidates-are-making) [ ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) [ These designers and grocery nerds will brand Mamdani’s NYC grocery stores ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Hunter Schwarz · Oct 2 [ Read full story ](https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/these-designers-and-grocery-nerds) Trump wants to turn his first-ever golf course into a government course for presidents
Trump bought over $1 million in SpaceX debt days before unveiling space policy
The purchase, revealed in his latest financial disclosure, involved a firm directly affected by his administration’s actions — and led by presidential ally Elon Musk.
Low-cost Android phones ship with residential proxy malware
A malware campaign dubbed 'Midnight Mimosa' has been discovered on low-cost Android smartphones that ship with malicious software embedded in their firmware, allowing attackers to silently install apps, perform ad fraud, and turn devices into residential proxies.
Bass Bay Brewhouse announces groundbreaking months after devastating fire
Bass Bay Brewhouse in Muskego, Wis., was destroyed in a fire on Dec. 12, 2025. In December, officials said the entire structure — both the restaurant and residential sections — was a “total loss.”
Margaret Hamilton dies at 90. Her programming helped astronauts reach the moon.
Working behind the scenes at MIT, she played a key role in the success of NASA's Apollo missions. She was later awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
Moment Margaret Hamilton receives presidential medal of honour
Barack Obama awarded the Apollo 11 software engineer with the America's highest civilian honour in 2016.
President Trump announces Roger Clemens will receive Presidential Medal of Freedom, calls for him to enter Hall of Fame
The president said he called MLB commissioner Rob Manfred about Clemens' Hall of Fame candidacy earlier this year. Manfred does not control the Hall of Fame.
Margaret Hamilton, whose software helped land Apollo 11 on the moon, dies at 90
Pioneering computer scientist led the development of the software for Nasa's Apollo mission and was awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
Margaret Hamilton, trailblazer whose software powered Apollo 11 moon landing, dies at 90
MIT computer scientist led development of software for moon mission and earned Presidential Medal of Freedom
Margaret Hamilton, trailblazer whose software powered Apollo 11 moon landing, dies at 90
MIT computer scientist led development of software for moon mission and earned Presidential Medal of Freedom
Readers Write: International Falls Broncos, U.S. healthcare system, Israel, presidential chaos
Regardless of record, a supportive community is a winner.
Rubio’s big speech in Greece will supercharge speculation on presidential bid
In the golden light of an Athens evening, with the Acropolis over his shoulder, Marco Rubio hardly looked like a man planning to ride off into a political sunset.
To the top of the tower
From the top floor of the 515 Walnut Tower you can see the Des Moines metro roll out in front of you, the views cutting through even the darkest and gloomiest fall mornings. The Business Record toured the 33-story high-rise residential building on Wednesday, Sept. 30, riding the yellow freight elevator up the side of…
WATCH: Gov. Wes Moore, GOP challenger Dan Cox face off in Maryland governor’s debate
Gov. Wes Moore, a possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, is set to face a familiar GOP opponent, former state Del. Dan Cox, in a debate Tuesday, as he bids for a second term as Maryland’s chief executive.
Brazil: Lessons from a Disaster
By Antonio Martins (Outras Palavras) Defeats become deeper and more prolonged when we misunderstand what caused them, avoid correcting course, and embrace “solutions” that only compound our mistakes. Lula’s government and the Brazilian left suffered a disaster in Sunday’s election. Contrary to every poll, the president finished the first round 2.2 million votes behind Flávio Bolsonaro—and, more significantly, 3.4 million votes below his total four years ago, when the machinery of the state was working against him and in favor of his opponent. His vote share declined in 98 percent of Brazil’s municipalities. The PL, the main party of the far right, elected 121 deputies and 28 senators, becoming the largest caucus in both houses of Congress. The parties aligned with the Centrão—Brazil’s bloc of transactional center-right parties—were somewhat diminished, but will still hold roughly 250 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 in the Senate. That will make it easier to assemble the majorities needed to amend the Constitution or impeach Supreme Federal Court justices. If elected, Flávio Bolsonaro could appoint four members of the Court, substantially altering its internal balance of power. What produced these results? How can the far right be prevented from consolidating them into a prolonged political hegemony? And what is the essential change of direction the left now needs? Explaining the Disaster Across the commercial media and the exuberant chaos of digital platforms, interpretations are multiplying. Some focus on specific episodes: Lula’s absence from the Globo debate, his very close relationship with Alexandre de Moraes, or his emphasis on issues supposedly remote from most people’s everyday concerns, such as rare earth minerals. Among the more systemic interpretations, three seem especially questionable. One argues that the principal defeat was not the left’s, since its congressional representation declined only slightly. The decisive movement captured at the ballot box, according to this view, was a shift within the right itself—from the more moderate and transactional forces of the Centrão toward the more ideological and radicalized forces of the PL and Novo. A second interpretation holds that the nature of electoral and political processes has changed. The material interests and aspirations of society, it argues, no longer play the central role they once did; they have given way to forms of subjective self-identification that the left has yet to understand. And a third concludes that, because of these two developments, we should expect a political winter: a prolonged period in which the far right and the broader right dominate Brazilian political life. There are important elements in all three interpretations. The problem lies in what they deny or leave out: Lula’s third government was a small-bore government. It offered the majorities that elected it neither a clearly better life nor reasons to believe again in politics and its power to transform society. These failures flowed from two fatal accommodations, which I will examine below. As a result, the government suffered a slow but steady erosion of support. And, as has happened in so many Western countries, it gave the far right the opportunity to present itself as anti-system and to benefit from popular frustration and distress. The interpretation that emphasizes the migration of votes from the center-right and traditional right toward the far right has been advanced, among others, by the courageous journalist Leonardo Sakamoto. In his UOL column on Monday, October 5, he highlights the miserable behavior of the traditional conservative parties. Over the past four years, they repeatedly joined forces with the “neo”-fascists, helping to “normalize” them—a criticism that could equally be directed at almost the entire corporate media. Believing they could use the far right as a stepping stone, they instead ended up partly devoured by it. This was especially true in the Senate, where the PL’s gain of 13 senators and Novo’s gain of two came at the expense of the PSD, which lost nine; the MDB, which lost two; the PSDB, which lost two; and the PP, which lost one. Sakamoto’s observation is accurate and necessary, but it leaves uncomfortable questions unanswered. Why did the erosion of the Centrão benefit the far right rather than, for example, producing growth for the left—as has happened so many times before, both in Brazil and elsewhere? The answer is not difficult. Throughout its four years in office, Lula’s third government was almost invariably associated with the Centrão. Here lies its first accommodation: accepting the limits imposed by conservative institutions; avoiding, as much as possible, any attempt to strain those limits through popular pressure; and believing only in the modest changes that could be squeezed through openings in Congress. The failure of the campaign to end the six-day workweek is emblematic. Lula could have electrified the presidential race by pairing it with a popular campaign for passage of the measure. Instead, he chose to place his hopes in the hands of Senate president Rodrigo Alcolumbre. He generated no mass mobilization, did not force his opponents onto an uncomfortable defensive, and won no victory. In September 2025, the government squandered the greatest of its many opportunities to shake up conservative power in Congress. Popular opposition to the so-called Shielding Amendment—which, if approved, would have restricted criminal proceedings against members of Congress—brought crowds into the streets, mobilized primarily by artists and social movements. This opened the possibility for a broader political education: a campaign that could begin exposing the limits and dysfunctions of Brazil’s political system while putting Bolsonaro’s movement on the defensive for its predictable support of political privilege. The amendment was defeated. But the executive branch then backed away from the fight. It remained associated with an institutional world widely seen as corrupt, elitist, and indifferent to ordinary people’s struggles. In doing so, it forfeited its credibility as a vehicle for the protest vote. On Sunday, it reaped the bitter fruits. Are We Doomed? Taking a different approach from Sakamoto, the philosopher Moysés Pinto Neto and other writers have drawn attention, in their first analyses of October 4, to the fragmentation of the public sphere produced by Big Tech platforms. Through their algorithms, these platforms present each person with a different view of social reality. As a consequence, it becomes much harder to identify common material problems and demands—for example, the fight for labor rights or for a properly funded public health system. Voters no longer embrace such demands, these authors argue, because they no longer see themselves as part of a collective. Instead, they tend to value the identities assigned to them by neoliberal subjectivity—the role of the entrepreneur, for example. On this interpretation, the left’s possible error lies in clinging to outdated illusions. Moysés’s warning is highly relevant and resonates with arguments such as Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor’s “Apocalyptic Fascism and the Billionaires’ Bet.” Unlike a century ago, the far right no longer promises a radiant future. It concentrates instead on resentment—especially that of young men. “They belong to a generation that fears it may never own a home, but compensates with the pleasure it gets from constantly provoking progressives online. Convinced their future has been stolen, they share memes romanticizing historical authoritarian regimes,” the authors write. But Moysés seems to confuse this danger with inevitability. He fails to see that the left’s answer cannot be adaptation. On the contrary, it must strengthen the possibility of politics as collective action. Nor does he recognize that precisely such a reversal is already becoming possible in some of the most promising mobilizations of the twenty-first century: the election, at the end of 2025, of the young Muslim Zohran Mamdani as mayor of New York, on a platform centered on the intensely material fight for an affordable city; the Left Party’s victory in Berlin two weeks ago, built around the demand to expropriate private real-estate corporations; and the very recent wave of demonstrations in Spain—including an occupation of Madrid’s Puerta del Sol—in which tens of thousands of young people mobilized by the Tenants’ Union have demanded limits on rents. By putting itself in the straitjacket of the “fiscal framework” in the first months of 2022, Lula’s third government adopted the second fatal accommodation of its term. Faced with conservative institutions and a country devastated by four years of Bolsonaro, increased public investment was the government’s remaining weapon for offering a more dignified life to the majority and forging an anti-conservative pact with them. The same state that disburses 1 trillion reais a year to enrich a small class of rentiers could instead spend money to extend the Family Health Strategy to every Brazilian, at a cost of 30 billion reais; provide full-day public schooling and childcare to all adolescents and children—and, especially, relief to their mothers; achieve universal sanitation while cleaning up polluted urban rivers; multiply metro systems; begin transforming the urban peripheries; and undertake many other urgently needed projects. In April 2023, an article in Outras Palavras warned that the fiscal framework could “shrink the Lula government and preserve the forces that condemn the country to inequality and regression.” A year later, another article showed that restraints on public spending were strangling policies vital to ordinary people and undermining the president’s popularity. In November 2024 came a reality check, in the form of the government’s humiliating defeat in the municipal elections. Even then, the fiscal lock was neither removed nor loosened. On the contrary: throughout the government’s four years, fiscal restraint remained central to its political narrative. The administration proudly proclaimed that it had “put the state’s accounts in order,” without grasping either how misleading that phrase was—given the payment of 1 trillion reais in interest—or how badly the message was hurting it politically. Lula finally woke up in September 2026. The increase in Bolsa Família benefits, after four years of being frozen; the announcement that anti-obesity drugs would be offered through Brazil’s public health system; and the ban on online betting showed that the state has the power to act decisively on behalf of the majority when those in government are willing to confront obstacles. The huge marches that closed the campaign in Fortaleza, Salvador, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo on the eve of October 4 showed how such initiatives can mobilize activists and the broader public. But it was too late—and too little to change the outcome of the first round. History has not ended The possibility of a turnaround in the three weeks leading up to November 25 cannot be ruled out. It will not be simple or easy. Lula must not only make up a deficit of 2.2 million votes; he must also offset the movement of voters who backed other right-wing candidates in the first round, most of whom are likely to move toward Flávio Bolsonaro. Pulling that off will require a broad, grassroots effort to win over voters, potentially reinforced by new initiatives from Lula. The coming hours and days will be decisive. If Bolsonaro’s movement also wins the presidency, the result will create a high-risk situation for Brazilian sovereignty and democracy. The enormous challenges posed by such an outcome would require the left to reexamine, in depth and with a genuine willingness to engage in self-criticism, its political projects—or its lack of them—and its practices. But would that mean we are condemned to the long winter of far-right hegemony that some analyses are beginning to forecast? It is far too early to say, suggests a recent text by Álvaro García Linera, the thinker who served as vice president of Bolivia under Evo Morales. His central hypothesis is that this political current will prove short-lived. At a moment when the entire world is once again talking about sovereignty and protecting national economies, the far right offers a stale, recolonizing neoliberalism. Its submission to the United States is as blatant and pathetic as Flávio and Eduardo Bolsonaro’s overtures to Donald Trump. Its project amounts to something like every man for himself: greater inequality, capitalism without limits, devastation, and supremacism. Will it work? In the United States, just two years into his second term, Trump himself is reaching record levels of unpopularity and may be on the verge of losing Republican control of both the House and Senate in November. Every new beginning is difficult. Whatever the outcome of the second round, the defeats of October 4 show how profoundly the Brazilian left will have to rethink and rebuild. But just as it would be foolish to underestimate the seriousness of its mistakes, it would be equally foolish to conclude that rebuilding a political project is no longer possible. History has not ended. The times are moving faster than ever. Originally published in Portuguese by Outras Palavras. English translation by Eric Blanc; I’ve added the subtitles. More We can’t stop the far right at home or abroad without a revitalized labor movement, which is yet another reason why you should become a sustaining supporter of the Emergency Workplace Organizing Committee (EWOC) — one of US labor’s pivotal bright spots. Relatedly, Jacobin published a short piece of mine reflecting on a decade of Bernie Sanders inspiring a whole new generation of young worker organizers.
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