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Saoirse Ronan addresses husband Jack Lowden’s 007 rumors after admitting she wants to play a Bond villain
Saoirse Ronan discussed her husband Jack Lowden’s rumored new 007 role after admitting she’d love to play a Bond villain one day.
Popular Jersey Shore pizza spot closes after 32 years
The pizzeria was one of the first businesses to reopen on the town's Main Street after a devastating fire years before its 1994 founding.
IBD's 30 Most Trusted Financial Companies
See which 30 companies scored highest in IBD's 2026 poll of the most trusted financial companies across eight business categories.
Why politicians should pay more attention to the polls (reprise)
Welcome to the 231st edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), a polling newsletter that always welcomes new readers. So please don’t keep TWIP a secret; share it with your friends and colleagues: Share The Week in Polls With all the stories swirling around Reform, JL Partners and political polling, I am finally tearing myself away from talking about the regulation of polling this week - and instead re-running a previous piece reminding us why the solution to problems with polls isn’t simply to ban or ignore them. Rather, we need them to play a vital role in making our politics - and politicians - better. This is followed by summaries of the latest national voting intention polls, seat projections from MRPs and the most recent party leader ratings. Subscribers who pay for the full edition can also read ten insights from the latest polls and analyses, including: A trio of organisations and a pair of professors have been casting their eyes over the Liberal Democrats ahead of the party’s autumn conference; What impact did the summer heatwave have on views on climate change? and Which wins out between chocolate and cheese? If you are not yet a paid subscriber, you can read all ten by starting a free trial now: Get FREE 7-day trial For more polling news as it comes in ahead of next week’s edition, you can also follow The Week in Polls on Bluesky. Picking up on my doubt last week about whether or not 35% of British train travellers have tried to order a takeaway for delivery to a railway station or carriage, thank you to reader Iain, who has been in touch to say he has done just that… in India. Another quick pair of updates, this time on the controversies around Reform and polling. Politico has a further scoop - “Farage aide caught in donor sting attended Egypt retreat with JL Partners” - and Ian Dunt has written about the problems with polling too: “Seeing the response of many polling experts in the last few weeks suggests that they are nervous about what is happening and keen to mitigate against it. Seeing the response of journalists, which has been basically non-existent, suggests the precise opposite.” My usual reminder as well: please do hit reply if you’ve spotted a poll, focus group or new piece of poll-based research that you think should be in contention for coverage in a future edition. Thank you! And with that, on with the show. How politicians get public opinion wrong I have written before about the benefits that come from widespread availability of high-quality political polling. We need more polls and more good coverage of polls. However, what I’ve not dug into before is the research into how accurately politicians estimate public opinion on issues. Thankfully we have academic research to tell us. First, the bad news: We present results from a study of 866 politicians in four countries.1 Politicians were asked to estimate the percentage of public support for various policy proposals. Comparing more than 10,000 estimations with actual levels of public support, we conclude that politicians are quite inaccurate estimators of people’s preferences. They make large errors and even regularly misperceive what a majority of the voters wants. Politicians are hardly better at estimating public preferences than ordinary citizens. Walgrave, S., Jansen, A., Sevenans, J., Soontjens, K., Pilet, J.B., Brack, N., Varone, F., Helfer, L., Vliegenthart, R., van der Meer, T., Breunig, C., Bailer, S., Sheffer, L. & Loewen, P.J. (2023a), “Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries”, The Journal of Politics, 85(1): 209-222. The bad news is not quite as bad as that makes it sound because, when asked whether the majority of public opinion was for or against various policies, politicians picked the wrong option ‘only’ 29% of the time. However, this included getting it wrong even when public opinion is far from evenly split on an issue: They do not only get it wrong when the public is divided and hard to read (e.g., when there is a 51%:49% distribution). Seventy percent of the misplacements occur for policies with a relatively clear distribution of at least 60% (dis)agreeing citizens. Moreover, the public scored only slightly worse than politicians, picking the wrong option 2.7 out of 8 times on average, compared with 2.3 times for politicians. Turning to the other measure of accuracy (not which side is in the lead but what the percentage support is for each side), politicians on average were 18 percentage points out in their guesses. Again, this was only slightly better than the public, whose error came in at 21 percentage points.2 Further research, using the same mix of countries, gives a little more comfort about how (in)accurate perceptions are: We show that politicians have a better understanding of public opinion when they think the issue matters to voters. Further, when an issue is personally important to politicians they more accurately estimate their party supporters’ opinions. The results confirm that politicians hold more accurate perceptions of voters’ preferences when they think it is important to do so but not necessarily when the issues actually are important to voters. Butler, C., Walgrave, S., Soontjens, K. & Loewen, P.J. (2024), “Politicians are better at estimating public opinion when they think it is more salient”, Party Politics: 1–13. Even so, it’s not a good picture. The remedy for this? Politicians should spend more time reading the polls. So forward this newsletter to someone you know… Share For a more general argument against banning polls, see my 2024 piece. Is “Let Bartlet Be Bartlet” good advice or not? The latest episode of my Political Fictions podcast heads across the Atlantic for a dip into one of the political TV classics: Mark and Cory talk about a giant of American political drama for the first time this week, as they tackle The West Wing. They talk about Let Bartlet Be Bartlet, the nineteenth episode of series one. In it, Mark wonders if The West Wing is actually the epitome of the “Boris Johnson school of politics”, Cory outmanoeuvres Mark into confirming we will record a Christmas Special about Love, Actually and they debate whether the central message of this episode has been misunderstood. Cory’s email newsletter is Paperback Rioter and Mark has a family of email newsletters. Subscribe to our newsletter for some additional bonus content and to get alerted whenever a new episode comes out. Our theme tune is “Monkeys Spinning Monkeys” by Kevin MacLeod/incompetech.com and licensed under the Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License. You can also listen to our episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the web or YouTube. Elsewhere from me… [ A Lord's Eye View How to fix the problem of money in our politics Welcome to my latest update on work in the House of Lords. This time I am taking a look at how our political system is regulated, and the protections we need to keep democracy safe from becoming simply a contest to see who has the biggest bank account… Read more 5 days ago · 3 likes · 2 comments · Mark Pack ](https://lordseyeview.substack.com/p/how-to-fix-the-problem-of-money-in?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web&embedding_publication_id=1269283) If you spot a factual error… Borrowing an idea from Stuart Ritchie and others, if you spot a factual error in an edition of this newsletter, I will give you a free 12-month subscription to the paid-for version (or an extra 12 months on your existing one). Factual errors qualify, but grammatical errors or disagreements over interpretation do not, and my decision is final. Messages about both of those are always welcome, though. Voting intention and leadership ratings Here are the latest voting intention polls from different pollsters. It is all pretty static at the moment, with a small and consistent Labour lead in nearly all the polls. The table is also online here, along with explanations about what is included. It is updated regularly throughout the week as new polls are released. Next are the seat projections from MRPs, also sorted by fieldwork dates, listing those which are based on dedicated fieldwork (rather than models based on averages of other polls). Because such MRPs are published infrequently, some of the entries below are quite old. Finally, here is a summary of leadership ratings, with a graph from PollCheck: Detailed numbers from the latest polls are online here, and both that and the graph are updated regularly throughout the week as new data comes out. For historical figures on both voting intention and leader approval stretching back to the 1930s, including Parliamentary by-election polls, see PollBase. Catch up on the previous two editions [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ A crisis point for political polling Sep 13 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Extra questions about the polls in Reform’s funding scandal Sep 6 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) My privacy policy and other legal information are available here. Links to purchase books or other items are usually affiliate links which pay a commission for each sale. Quotes from social media messages are occasionally lightly edited for punctuation and clarity. If you are subscribed to other email lists of mine, please note that unsubscribing from this one will not automatically remove you from the others. If you wish to be removed from all my lists, simply reply to this email to let me know. A quintet of Lib Dem polling analyses, and 9 other polling insights you shouldn’t miss The following ten findings from the most recent polls and analyses are only for subscribers who pay for the full edition, but you can sign up for a free trial to read them straight away. Ahead of the start of Liberal Democrat conference, we have a trio of organisations and a pair of professors with pieces out about Ed Davey’s party:
Gold Miner's Luster Lures Funds; Stock Trades Around Buy Point
Gold stock Wheaton Precious Metals is trading around a double-bottom base entry of 154.17. The stock leads IBD's mining sector.
Free classes offer first aid skills for mental health
Astra Mental Health and Recovery has free community Mental Health First Aid classes coming up Sep. 10 and Sept. 23.
Scientists Discover a Hidden Defect That Could Explain Why IBD Keeps Coming Back
A hidden molecular defect in inflammatory bowel disease may help explain why flare-ups can return even when patients appear well. Even when inflammatory bowel disease appears under control, intestinal cells may remain primed to die. In a WEHI-led study, researchers found this hidden molecular defect in patients with few or no symptoms, and higher levels
Android 17 Adds OS-Wide ECH to Hide Website Visits From Network Providers
Android 17 adds OS-wide ECH, local network permissions, default certificate transparency, and carrier-controlled 2G blocking.
Walter’s TWG taps Goldman lawyer Markowitz amid federal probe
The former co-head of litigation and regulatory proceedings at Goldman, Markowitz joins Mark Walter's holding company as the firm faces a U.S. Department of Justice investigation.
Monumental, Capital One renew arena naming-rights deal for two more decades
Monumental Sports and Entertainment and Capital One Arena have extended their arena naming rights deal for two more decades.
Atlanta’s legendary Manuel’s Tavern celebrates 70 years of beer, politics and history
The historic Poncey-Highland bar kicks off a weekend of live music, food specials, and limited-edition anniversary merchandise.
The New York Times
Sony Pictures Entertainment will reopen Hollywood's iconic Cinerama Dome theater in 2028 after a renovation. The venue closed in 2020 because of the pandemic. https://nyti.ms/4gSfAvH
Port-A-Pet back in business after anonymous donor steps in following crash
An anonymous donor has provided a replacement vehicle to Trevon Petty, owner of Port-A-Pet, a local pet transportation company that lost its only vehicle in a crash on July 9.
Nippon Paint Offers $8.6 Billion for Akzo Nobel’s Paint Business
Nippon Paint Holdings Co. has made an offer for Akzo Nobel NV’s decorative paints business in the past month.
Massive raw sewage discharge into Hudson River prompts health advisory in NYC and Westchester County
SoFi enters small-business loan market
“For many of our members, their financial lives do not stop at personal goals, they also include the businesses they are building,” said SoFi CEO Anthony Noto.
Heartland business collecting donations for tornado victims
As the community of Mount Vernon begins to move forward, one local business is stepping up in an effort to aid those impacted by Sunday’s deadly tornado.
Skip Bayless finds new target of criticism after LeBron James
After spending nearly two decades as a staunch critic of LeBron James, Skip Bayless has found a new target in San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama, who is one loss away from dropping his first career NBA Finals. Wembanyama drew…
'The View' cohost grills Laverne Cox on dating pro-Trump policeman: 'Didn't plan to fall in love'
Laverne Cox responded to 'The View' cohost and former Donald Trump staffer Alyssa Farah Griffin grilling her on dating a pro-Trump police officer: 'People show you who they are eventually,' Cox said.
Closing Michigan’s growing healthcare gap
Detroit employers and unions adopt advanced primary care to reduce costs, improve access and address care gaps.
Cisco Patches CVSS 10.0 Secure Workload REST API Flaw Enabling Data Access
Cisco fixed CVE-2026-20223; CISA added Langflow and Apex One flaws to KEV, forcing fixes by June 4, 2026.
Black licorice compound shows promise against inflammatory bowel disease
Researchers have developed a stem cell-based model of the human intestine that may transform how new IBD treatments are discovered. After testing thousands of compounds, they identified glycyrrhizin — a natural substance found in black licorice — as a promising anti-inflammatory candidate. In both lab-grown tissue and mice, the compound reduced intestinal damage and cell death linked to IBD.
Amazon Will Offer Supply Chain Services To Businesses
Amazon stock climbed Monday as the tech giant launched a supply chain services business it compared to its highly successful cloud offering.
From brain health to diabetes: 3 reasons to get your vitamin D levels checked
In this study roundup, Medical News Today compiles the latest evidence on the benefits of Vitamin D, focusing on the key findings from 3 studies on diabetes, IBD, Alzheimer's disease.
Ten years in, Nubian Square's Black Market is struggling
Black Market hoped to help small businesses plant roots in Nubian Square. Now after years of business struggles, they're at risk of losing their place there too.
‘Open for business, but there are extensive guardrails’: Birmingham weighs data center rules
The city council voted to push their vote on the regulations to the first week of June.
Pens Points: Another No Show
Maybe Pens Points can help make you feel better after last night.
Android 17 hits a major milestone as Google releases its last 'scheduled' beta
Google has released Android 17 Beta 4, marking the final scheduled beta of the cycle.
Dexter Lawrence trade destinations: Giants are reportedly talking with teams after extension talks get stuck with star d-lineman
Woman, from Large Filipino Family That Loves Food, Thought Health Issues Were Caused by Her Diet. They Weren't (Exclusive)
A woman thought her health issues were caused by her diet, growing up in 'a big Filipino American family, where food is often the center of all gatherings.' However, Jamie Nangpi Harris' ailments were tied to Crohn's disease, a chronic, autoimmune-driven inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) that affects the digestive tract, she tells PEOPLE exclusively.
Stalled train blocks Brazos County business, homes for nearly a week
Union Pacific confirms mechanical issues caused the delay; train expected to move soon
Free summits on men’s substance-misuse prevention, youth mental health set for Feb. 28 in Detroit
Community leaders, mental health professionals, and public safety officials are teaming up Saturday for a double summit on men’s substance misuse prevention and youth mental health in Detroit.
Benson Boone is (sort of) performing at the Super Bowl
Much to Ben Stiller’s dismay, Benson Boone is showing off his vocal prowess — and affinity for flips — in a Super Bowl ad for Instacart
Birmingham’s political dust-up and a quiz for you: Down in Alabama
Listen to "Down in Alabama" wherever you get your podcasts.
Square Enix Reveals Life Is Strange: Reunion Will Be the Series' Conclusion 'To the Max and Chloe Saga'
After a decade of storytelling, Square Enix has decided to wrap up the story of Max Caulfield and Chloe Price in the newly-revealed Life is Strange: Reunion.
Health inspectors find 13 violations at Lakeshore restaurant over holidays
A popular Lakeshore bar and restaurant suffered the worst health inspection it ever had last month, but the owner says everything has been “100% corrected.”
Windows 11 Update KB5074109 Critical Security Fixes and Major Bugs for AVD and Gaming
Analyze Windows 11 update KB5074109. Covers 114 security patches and battery improvements, but also critical bugs affecting Azure Virtual and gaming.
Bills vs. Jaguars history: Buffalo winless against Jacksonville in playoffs
The Bills have played the Jaguars in the playoffs twice and both times Buffalo's starting quarterback was knocked out of the game with a concussion.
The Business of Butterworths, the Hottest New Restaurant in Washington DC
The hot spot for the MAGA crowd.
Indiana football transfer portal target: JMU RB Wayne Knight
Wayne Knight spent two seasons with the current Indiana staff before remaining at JMU after the 2023 season.