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Lennar snags 444 lots near TSMC for $60M
Lennar Corp. has secured 444 lots near the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.'s $265 billion development in north Phoenix.
Justin Timberlake and Jessica Biel’s Marriage in a ‘Precarious Position’ Amid His Recent Outburst
McCaughey to Newsmax: 44 Days an 'Eternity' in Politics
McCaughey to Newsmax: 44 Days an 'Eternity' in Politics
Timberwolves’ Underrated Offseason Addition Could Have a Breakout Year
Cody Williams could have a career resurgence in Minnesota.
1977 Fleetwood Mac Hit, Written by Christine McVie, Wasn't About a Dog
Christine McVie tried to hide the inspiration behind one of her biggest songs.
1977 Fleetwood Mac Hit, Written by Christine McVie, Wasn't About a Dog
Christine McVie tried to hide the inspiration behind one of her biggest songs.
Philadelphia Phillies Should Be Thoroughly Embarrassed
Yankees' Heliot Ramos is Doing Something He's Never Done Before
Heliot Ramos hasn't been good since joining the New York Yankees, but he is excelling in one area.
Joey Cantillo thriving after Guardians use opener in his outings
Joey Cantillo began to struggle with his command, leading to a parade of walks. He's now finding out how the simplest solution might be best.
Auxerre only Ligue 1 side to make Anthony Martial approach
Anthony Martial’s (30) future is expected to be decided next week, L’Équipe understands. The Frenchman will not be making the move to Ligue 1, however. The publication understands that the former...
"I've heard good updates on his progress and the …
"I've heard good updates on his progress and the …
Dejounte Murray: I wish it could have been better. I …
Dejounte Murray: I wish it could have been better. I …
It'll be controversial! Liverpool's eye bizarre new transfer
Liverpool have a new transfer plan in mind and it'll prove controversial. The Reds need to have a big think on this one.Liverpool are weighing up their transfer plans for the January transfer window a...
I tried to upgrade myself to business class without my kids. I never thought it would work
Chalk it up to a failed experiment.
Trinidad Chambliss seals Ole Miss legacy game with NSFW celebration
The Ole Miss QB may have etched himself as one of the great athletes in school history.
Stukenholtz: Huskers Answered Questions in Workmanlike Non-Con Slate
With Big Ten play on the horizon, we did actually learn some important details about this team in their blowout wins.
Nebraska Finishes Non-Conference Undefeated After Topping North Dakota
The Huskers moved to 3-0 with a 34-7 win over the Fighting Hawks.
Duke 35, Stanford 7: Three instant takes
Nate Sheppard once again reminds everyone why he is special plus Duke's defense comes through in a 35-7 rout of Stanford.
TCU Gets Positive, Negative Injury Updates Before Arkansas State
TCU is set to face off with Arkansas State on Saturday night and the Horned Frogs are ready to welcome back one of their biggest threats. Meanwhile, an offensive powerhouse will wait at least another week to suit up for the team.
Melissa Barrera Says Ed Sheeran Could Have Rebooked His Shows and “People Would Have Rallied Behind Him”
Melissa Barrera was fired from the Scream franchise in 2023 over social media posts criticizing Israel and praising Ed Sheeran’s decision to remove himself from the U.S. leg of his… The post Melissa B...
SMU Defense Crumbles As Louisville Hands Mustangs 41-31 Loss
SMU piled up 479 yards but couldn’t overcome Kevin Jennings’ two interceptions or a defense shredded for 269 rushing yards in a 41-31 loss at Louisville.
Kansha grateful to serve community
Spouses recently located their business to Sandusky area
Notre Dame releases injury report for Michigan State matchup
Notre Dame has released its injury report for tonight's game versus Michigan State.
‘Sweet Magnolias’ Creator Reacts to Netflix Cancellation: ‘I Hope Serenity Will Always Have a Place in Your Heart’
Following the news that “Sweet Magnolias” has been canceled at Netflix, creator and showrunner Sheryl J. Anderson is looking back on the romantic drama’s 5 Season run. “Living in Serenity for five sea...
Massachusetts labor union endorses nearly all incumbents as businesses, workers flee
The Massachusetts AFL-CIO is endorsing 14 of 15 incumbents in major state and federal races in the general election as a massive outmigration of businesses and working-aged residents continues.
Eagles roster news: Maximus Pulley temporarily elevated for Titans game
Week 2 updates.
Oktoberfest Findlay! celebrates heritage, history
Event features live German entertainment, music
Oklahoma residents, hydrologist say water board's dam report is 'not based on science'
Residents also suspect politics may be shaping the agency's response.
COMMENTARY: Will Tennessee be playing Kennesaw State -- or Texas?
Keeping Volunteers focused in the moment will be the challenge for Josh Heupel.
Brentford 3-0 Chelsea
Campbell: Fantastic win; Damsgaard outstanding, Keane Lewis-Potter was also very good. Took on and beat Chelsea in midfield and never reverted to a low block; a clear sign of the development of the team under Andrews. Brilliant game and evening if you're a Brentford fan and I hope we see more.
Onvida Health reports 43% drop in sepsis deaths after launching new alert system
Providers at Onvida Health in Yuma say a new hospital-wide alert system is significantly improving patient outcomes.
Arts and entertainment throughout the region
A listing of arts and entertainment events throughout the region.
Arts and entertainment throughout the region
A listing of arts and entertainment events throughout the region.
Weather forces cancellation of Science Hill's game against Cocke County
The only thing capable of slowing down Kiantai Harris and Science Hill's rushing attack so far this season is Mother Nature.
ECU Health experts, advocates work to raise awareness, expand care for sickle cell disease
National health experts and Greenville advocates gathered Friday in Greenville to raise awareness and offer hope for patients living with sickle cell disease.
New Lakers owners reportedly telling investors they expect team's value to hit $30 billion within 10 years
Guardians Pitcher Has Set Back in Rehab Outing
Cleveland Guardians' Colin Holderman was taken out of his most recent rehab appearance.
Science Hill boys, Tenn. High girls win 1-AA golf titles
The Science Hill boys made themselves at home to capture the District 1-AA golf championship.
Science Hill boys, Tenn. High girls win 1-AA golf titles
The Science Hill boys made themselves at home to capture the District 1-AA golf championship.
Johnson City Press | Local News, Weather and Sports
Stay informed with Johnson City: Get the latest local news, weather forecasts, and sports coverage in Johnson City and the Tri-Cities region
Pa’ La Cancha, Chivas’ Official Video Game
Guadalajara, Jalisco, September 18, 2026.- Chivas announces the launch of its official video game, available for download on mobile devices starting today. It is the first video game created from the ...
Pa’ La Cancha, Chivas’ official video game
Guadalajara, Jalisco, September 18, 2026.- Chivas announces the launch of its official video game, available for download on mobile devices starting today. It is the first video game created from scra...
Doctor’s Memorial Hospital, Tallahassee Memorial HealthCare connects Taylor Co. residents to health resources
Taylor County residents got connected to vital health resources on Friday.
National Legal and Business Media Cover Arrival of Chicago Partner Andrew Barrios
Law360, Global Legal Chronicle, Corporate Counsel Business Journal, Benchmark Litigation and Pulse 2.0 were among the legal and business news outlets that covered the arrival of McGuireWoods partner Andrew Barrios,...
Kim Kardashian’s New Health Diagnosis Hits Painfully Close to Home
Kim Kardashian revealed a new health diagnosis in The Kardashians Season 8 trailer, and the moment quickly became personal. Her esophagitis affects the esophagus, the same organ where her late father,...
Everton v Ipswich: Key stats and talking points
Everton aim to continue their unbeaten start against an Ipswich side bidding for back-to-back away wins. BBC Sport examines some of the key themes going into their meeting at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday. The win over Wolves in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday provided the dual positives of extending Everton's unbeaten start to the season and allowing fringe players to come to the fore.
‘You got to have amnesia’: How John Mateer looks to bounce back after Michigan loss
John Mateer can’t let the moment take hold of him.
Arlington officer kills man armed with knife during mental health call, police say
ESPN Projects Jalen Hurts' Stat Line for Eagles-Titans Game
ESPN projected Jalen Hurts' stat line for the Philadelphia Eagles-Tennessee Titans game.
‘Jersey Shore’ Star Closes the Door on Seven-Month Health Nightmare
Nicole Polizzi shared a major health update seven months after receiving a stage 1 cervical cancer diagnosis, saying doctors found no evidence of disease following her hysterectomy. The Jersey Shore s...
Porsha Williams reveals health emergency: "It all happened so fast"
Alliance Entertainment and BioVie Interviews to Air Nationally on the RedChip Small Stocks, Big Money(TM) Show on CNBC and Bloomberg TV
ORLANDO, FL / ACCESS Newswire / September 18, 2026 / RedChip Companies will air interviews with Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp. (Nasdaq:BIVI) on the RedChip Small Stocks, Big Money™ show, a sponsored television program airing on Bloomberg TV this Saturday, September 19, at 7:00 p.
Control Resonant's Has Remedy's Signature Touch, Uplifting Its Sharp Combat That Eventually Dulls
Remedy's follow-up to 2019's Control moves to action combat in an open world and tells a more character-focused story with its paranatural edge intact.
Burglary suspects smash car into Broomfield business, steal vapes worth $5,000
Behind Enemy Lines: MSU insider previews Notre Dame contest
Notre Dame football will host Michigan State this weekend Andrew Brewster, and we asked SpartansWire’s editor what to expect this weekend.
MORNING BUSINESS REPORT: Reining in data center utility hikes, A.I. bot shopping, McDonald's deals
A bill to raise utility bills for data centers, A.I. bot shopping, and new McDonald's deals. Here's the Morning Business Report for Sept. 18.
National team manager wants Arsenal man to change environment
Viktor Gyokeres has endured a difficult start to the season at Arsenal, but Sweden will use him during the international break, with his national manager believing a change of environment could benefi...
Guardant Health (GH) Lands First FDA Cleared Breast Cancer Liquid Biopsy Role
Guardant Health (NasdaqGS:GH) received FDA approval for its Guardant360 CDx liquid biopsy as a companion diagnostic in advanced HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. The decision makes Guardant360 CDx the first FDA approved liquid biopsy companion diagnostic for longitudinal ctDNA testing in breast cancer care. The approval is supported by clinical trial data where early detection of ESR1 mutations using Guardant360 CDx informed treatment changes for patients. The Guardant360 CDx breast...
Ex-Browns Star Gives Shedeur Sanders Blunt Outlook on Future
A former Cleveland Browns star questioned Shedeur Sanders' path to a prominent role with the team. The post Ex-Browns Star Gives Shedeur Sanders Blunt Outlook on Future appeared first on HEAVY.
Women keep politics honest
A recent sign that women place more value on being a force for good comes out of conservative Utah. Both parties gerrymander, that is, draw voting district boundaries to give unfair advantage to their candidates. But a faith-based group called Mormon Women for Ethical Government wanted to stop that practice. In 2018, they backed Proposition 4, a ballot measure to create an independent districting commission that would prevent gerrymandering. It passed a statewide vote.
49ers Scouting: UNT’s Jahiem White
Browns Hit With Troubling Deshaun Watson Locker Room Report
The Cleveland Browns appear to be losing their patience with Deshaun Watson and the constant drama. The post Browns Hit With Troubling Deshaun Watson Locker Room Report appeared first on HEAVY.
AI reshapes political campaigns as South Carolina weighs whether new rules are needed
Artificial intelligence is rapidly changing the way political campaigns operate, allowing candidates to create content faster and often at a fraction of the cost of traditional campaign operations.
Kennedy tells anti-vaccine group he previously led that he’ll ‘stay in this fight’
Amid the worst measles outbreak in the US in decades, a surge that’s been driven largely by unvaccinated people, US Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received a standing ovation Thursday at the conference of the anti-vaccine advocacy group Children’s Health Defense, where he gave the keynote.
Final stretch: Science Hill JROTC nears $25,000 fundraising goal
Science Hill High School's Army JROTC program has raised about $21,096 toward a $25,000 fundraising goal, with 11 days remaining in its campaign as of Thursday afternoon. The program is also seeking a 10 to 15 passenger van to help transport cadets to competitions and community events.
From Science to Signals, Part II: What the SEC-FDA Cooperation Agreement Means for Life Sciences Companies
The SEC and FDA have formalized an emerging enforcement trend. We recently described the SEC’s evolving approach to insider trading,...
Oktoberfest Findlay! celebrates heritage, history
Event features live German entertainment, music
Rams officially place Myles Garrett on injured reserve
The Rams have made one of their expected roster moves official on Thursday.
Liverpool contact agents of £100m sensation
Liverpool still have many areas among their ranks that could do with an upgrade or two. The Reds did manage to spend over £150 million on new players this summer but, there are still a few issues tha...
Swiss wealth management firm consolidates suburban locations into Birmingham office
Swiss wealth management firm UBS is consolidating its locations in metro Detroit into its newly renovated 36,000-square-foot space in Birmingham.
Arizona women’s basketball announces 2026-27 Big 12 schedule
Year 2 of Becky Burke’s tenure starts in about six weeks
Irish PM worried over hostility to politicians after lawmaker assaulted
Irish Prime Minister Micheal Martin on Thursday condemned an assault on an independent politician as "an attack on democracy" and said the country needed to take very seriously a rise in hostility to those in office.
Jack’s Daily: NHL Camps Begin; Storylines To Watch; Blackhawks Signing
Just like that, the Chicago Blackhawks 2026 training camp is here, and the first official practice session is already underway […] The post Jack’s Daily: NHL Camps Begin; Storylines To Watch; Blackhawks Signing appeared first on Chicago Hockey Now .
Wilder can't give players an excuse
Former Reading midfielder Jobi McAnuff believes that Sheffield United boss Chris Wilder's criticism over the scheduling of the football season could have contributed to the side's shock 1-0 loss to Fleetwood Town in the Carabao Cup.
Why Cubs have massive bullpen problem before MLB postseason
This could be a major issue for the Cubs.
First Saturday Photo: The Potsdam Pitches and Local Sponsor
Tom Burns, owner of Frog Acres Farm and The Dirty Business Bath Company, is pictured with The Potsdam Pitches during First Saturday, the Potsdam Chamber of Commerce’s welcome event for
Snoop Dogg is hosting the 2026 MTV VMAs — and of course, it’s a West Coast party
Snoop Dogg will host the 2026 MTV VMAs in Los Angeles, marking a full-circle moment for the three-time winner as the ceremony returns to the West Coast.
Oliver Glasner Confirms Nottingham Forest Injury Boost
Nottingham Forest have been handed a fresh injury boost, Oliver Glasner has confirmed.
Roma in contact with free agent Matteo Darmian
A new name has been linked with Roma.According to TUTTOmercatoWEB.com, in recent weeks there have been contacts between Roma and Matteo Darmian, a defender released after several positive seasons with...
Rangers’ Top Prospects Headline Strong Arizona Fall League
The Texas Rangers will send three of their top 30 prospects to the Arizona Fall League.
Judging St. Louis Cardinals Walk-Up Songs
I went to the game on Monday – and I am grateful I went to the one win of the series if you’re wondering – and for some reason a few of the players walk-up songs stood out to me. Just some surprising picks that threw me off briefly. I instantly wanted to write this […]
Germany's Nations League squads
Germany coach Jürgen Klopp has announced two squads for his first four matches in charge in the Nations League. Squad one for the games in the Netherlands on September 24 and against Greece on September 27: Goalkeepers: Finn Dahmen (Augsburg), Alexander Nübel (Besiktas), Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) Defenders: Hennes Behrens (Augsburg), Yann Aurel Bisseck (Inter Milan), Nathaniel Brown (Bayern Munich), Max Rosenfelder (Freiburg), Nico Schlotterbeck (Borussia Dortmund), Jonathan Tah (Bayern Munic
Why life insurers are losing clients they already won
Consumers still want a human advisor for life insurance, but most carriers stop talking to them the moment the policy is signed
Huron takes care of business in 6-1 win over Clyde
The Tigers scored the first three goals of Wednesday's win over Clyde.
Witham Health Services signs affiliation agreement with Parkview Health
Lebanon-based Witham Health Services signed an affiliation agreement with Fort Wayne-based Parkview Health on Wednesday, aiming to expand services and enhance clinical capabilities in Boone County.
Chivas’ Weapon to Win El Clásico de México
El Clásico de México is just around the corner and will arrive at an ideal moment for Guadalajara, which will look to extend its unbeaten streak to seven consecutive matches this Saturday at Estadio...
UFC is becoming WWE, claims MMA legend
In its current condition, the UFC resembles the WWE, claims one MMA legend.
What Does the Science of Climate Change Really Look Like?
Editor’s Note: This is the second in a three-part series on how the Right should think about environmental and climate policy. Read Chris Barnard on Reclaiming Environmental Policy from the Left. More than a decade ago, the world’s governments negotiated and signed the Paris Climate Agreement, committing to hold global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius. In the following years, climate had immense cultural power. Greta Thunberg emerged. Fortune 500 companies established net-zero plans. The U.S. got the Inflation Reduction Act. Then the pendulum swung back. President Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office, speaking of green energy as a “scam” and carbon footprints as a “hoax” and on all matters of international policy emphasizing bilateral engagement and power over globalism and cooperation. The technology companies that had been at the forefront of net-zero pledges and green leadership discovered the importance of all-of-the-above power to their visions for artificial intelligence and began quietly postponing or removing their targets. On the left side of the political spectrum, rising concerns about inflation and cost pushed climate lower down in the stated priorities of voters and stump speeches of politicians. The moment is ripe for a reset on the politics of climate change and for conservatives especially to chart a course that acknowledges and addresses the real challenges in plausible ways. So what should we think about climate change as we enter a post-peak climate era? If it is neither an apocalypse nor a hoax, what will hold up as a durable view of climate change? And how does it project onto the concerns and priorities of the right-of-center’s emerging coalition? New to Commonplace_? Subscribe below to get the magazine in your inbox._ Subscribe A Solid Foundation As the politics and economics of climate careened over the past ten years, the physics carried on regardless. In 2015, the year the Paris Climate Agreement was adopted, the world emitted 41.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide. By 2025, emissions had risen only 2.4%, to 42.2 gigatonnes, because falling emissions from land use offset increasing emissions from fossil fuels. But slow growth in annual emissions is not rapid decline, let alone net-zero, so carbon dioxide kept accumulating in the atmosphere, going from 399 to 426 parts per million. Global temperature kept rising too, from about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 average in 2015, to 1.4 degrees above it in 2025. None of this should surprise anyone. Even most prominent skeptics, like the authors of the 2025 report commissioned by the Trump administration’s Department of Energy, accept the basic physics. Carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere at industrial volumes accumulates and traps heat that would otherwise escape to space. That heat warms the upper ocean and increases temperatures at the surface. Increased ocean heat and melting of land ice cause sea levels to rise. Changes in the climate become noticeable to us as subtle shifts in temperature and precipitation, seasons arriving early or late, changes in the surrounding ecosystem, and weather extremes. The much more meaningful debate is not about whether these things are happening, but about what it all means for human societies. (While it is a proxy measure of overall risk, no one experiences global surface temperature.) This debate invokes at least three interesting questions: how much today’s warming is showing up in regional climate trends, how much more warming we should anticipate, and how extreme weather events can be understood in the context of climate change. Recent scientific advances give us new insights into each of these, but there is still much to learn. This is the context in which the next generation of conservative leaders will be the first to deal with significant climate change as a fact, not a forecast. It will be with them for their entire careers. Our evolving scientific picture of climate change will come from weather and climate records stretching further into the past, new kinds of observations in the present, better modeling tools for the future, and simply more time to observe the emergence of climate signals and their tangible effects on ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. The policy landscape will be shaped by not only the impacts of changes in the climate, but also by the ways in which societies respond and by the emergence of new technologies for both altering the trajectory of emissions and adapting to new climate realities. Global climate records now show the fingerprints of warming in different phenomena around much of the world. The IPCC, in its most recent assessment report, documents warming trends over all land regions, even as natural variability adds substantial variance to local trends. And the highest temperature extremes have become more intense and frequent, almost everywhere, since the 1950s. Scientists are highly confident that these changes are attributable to human influence. But confidence in detecting trends and attributing them to human influence degrades across heavy precipitation events; drought trends are heterogeneous and not attributable to human activity with great confidence. For hurricanes, tornadoes, and other severe storms there is even less confidence in trends or their relationship to climate change. In general, a fair summary of the evidence is that for well-observed phenomena, like surface temperature or heavy rainfall, with a clear relationship to warming, our multidecadal observations are consistent with human influence overcoming natural variability over long time periods and extremes increasing. For regions that are sampled more sparsely, or phenomena with a higher noise-to-signal ratio, we will need to observe them longer to understand the magnitude of the climate signal or improve dynamical understanding using models and observations together. But for Climate For those who can’t wait, we also have new techniques that attempt to understand the role climate change has in influencing particular extreme events. When the climate is changing and disaster strikes, it is natural to ask whether that disaster was somehow “caused” by climate change. For scientists and policymakers acting in good faith, answering that question helps develop a more accurate picture of the problem, how it may be getting worse, and what preparations we should be making to respond to it. It may, at some point, give some weight to how liability is assigned by courts or adaptation funding is distributed by society. But how we ask this question is extremely important. It is easy to get the analysis wrong by discounting the role that meteorology plays. As meteorologist Theodore Shepherd explained in a clear 2016 review of climate attribution methods, “if a weather or climate event is truly extreme in the present climate, then perforce it requires unusual meteorological conditions, which means that climate change is at most a contributing factor.” Share Scientists have two ways to probe climate as a contributing factor, both of which have entered media coverage of extreme weather events. One asks a probabilistic question: How much more likely is a particular event (e.g., a temperature record over a particular area) amid global warming? The answer involves using historical records and computer simulations to estimate the likelihood of such an event in both a changed and a preindustrial climate. The findings are less about the specific event, and more about events of that nature. The other question is: How has the changed climate affected the specific event in question? Here, scientists try to understand what a similar event would have looked like in the preindustrial climate. This is sometimes called the storyline approach, where the story is the specific meteorological details of the event. These methods offer ways to test the intuition of scientists about real weather extremes. In late June and early July of 2021, a persistent high-pressure ridge, or heat dome, set up over the Pacific Northwest and an extraordinary heat wave affected the area from Oregon to British Columbia. For six days, it shattered temperature records across the region and hundreds died from heat-related causes, in an area where such high, and persistently high, temperatures were well outside of experience and many live without air conditioning. Scientists have studied its connection to climate change using multiple approaches. This specific event was created by a rare combination of meteorological factors, a strong high-pressure ridge created the conditions for extreme heat, which occurred on top of higher average temperatures in the region from global warming. Probabilistic analyses showed that climate change increased the likelihood of such an event by at least 8-fold to more than 100-fold. One standout example found that such an event had effectively zero probability of occurring in the preindustrial climate. The enormous range in these assessments reflects how hard it is to estimate probabilities of events at the tail of the historical record. Estimates of the effect on the temperature of the event are more clustered. A recent review paper documents how multiple methodologies have found a positive influence, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius of an anomaly that exceeded 15 degrees, of climate change on the temperature magnitude of the event. Multiple studies have investigated and found some positive influence of climate change in other extreme events. Attribution studies found climate likely increased the heavy rainfall that accompanied Hurricane Helene in North Carolina and surrounding regions in 2024. The extensive fires that struck Los Angeles in 2025 illustrate how the causal chain can become messy, though. Studies do detect a positive influence of climate on the event’s likelihood, but while climate change likely contributed to underlying aridity, it would not have played a role in the heavy winds or land practices that preceded disaster. These event attribution studies will become more common for extreme, or damaging, weather events. They can be produced quickly, and often are reported before peer review. As the Pacific Northwest heatwave example shows, when multiple methods converge on a positive attribution, the finding should probably carry some weight even if you have to be careful about accepting the results from a single study. I expect that as climate change proceeds and the climate thus departs further from a preindustrial counterfactual, the influence will become more detectable across a variety of extreme events and more easily identified. This will be used to cast blame, but can also be used to inform how communities and society adapt to ongoing change. We May Still Be Surprised One positive development, insofar as less climate change is better, has been that our central estimates for future climate change should probably be revised downward. Mostly, that is because the high-end warmings that scientists regularly analyzed about ten to 20 years ago, driven by high emissions throughout the twenty-first century, now appear to be somewhere between unlikely and impossible. At one time, the upper end of mainstream climate projections extended well into 4 to 6 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of this century, which, models suggest, would have wrought enormous real-world damage. Current energy and policy trends now point toward 2.5 or 3 degrees. Damages and risks are commonly modeled as increasing steeply with more warming, so this is already a better-than-previously-expected outcome for the climate (which is independent of the physical response to emissions). But we should maintain a wide range for plausible outcomes and prepare for the possibility of being surprised. Emissions trajectories are subject to deep uncertainty, the physical climate response is still developing, and whatever change occurs in the climate will then be mediated through unpredictable economic, social, and political institutions. Over the past decade, the pace of warming surprised some keen observers and appeared to accelerate, though not yet outside the range of expectation provided by climate models. The reasons for that apparent acceleration are being actively studied (as was the apparent pause in warming from 1998 to 2012), but no single driver has emerged. Some blame it on the El Niño, variability which would have no bearing on climate. Some think it is a result of factories in East Asia and global shipping fleets cutting aerosol emissions, which in the strongest version of the argument would indicate higher climate sensitivity to carbon-dioxide emissions. Others are more measured, not yet ready to draw solid conclusions as to whether climate projections require revision. We will have to see. Long-Term Thinking Climate change asks us to think over long time scales. But the pace of human-driven warming is compressing a large global change into a century. Changing weather patterns and extreme events are already causing adjustment costs and damages and will do more. Adaptation will help, but it is not free. For some communities, these costs will erode livelihoods and well-being, and may force migration. Are we prepared for large-scale managed retreats in the United States? Thankfully, American wealth, geographical diversity, and moderate climates may leave us better prepared than many around the world. But wealthy countries can still suffer serious disruption from narrowly concentrated costs, even if they appear entirely manageable in aggregate. Readers of Commonplace are familiar with the challenges of rapidly adapting to economic forces. The displacement that came from the China Shock is barely perceptible in aggregate GDP and employment data, but it affected millions of people and those people were far less mobile than economic models tended to assume. Deindustrialization rippled through the nation with enormous effects for not only our economic vitality, but also our national security. The forces surrounding climate change may not be so different; the world gets richer and must accept some diffuse costs. Those may be modest overall, but cause all manner of unpredictable effects with which policymakers must cope. In the case of the China Shock, our faith in a growing pie served us poorly. We’ll need to do better on climate. Leave a comment
Students spotlight animal science program at Jefferson County JVS board meeting
BLOOMINGDALE, OH (WTRF) – Students in the animal science management program and FFA at Jefferson County Joint Vocational School addressed the school board during the Sept. 15 session, giving …
Seahawks rule Sam Darnold out for Week 2
Kitan Crawford on Injured Reserve
Cardinals S Kitan Crawford placed on IR after Week 1 injury