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'Atmosphere inside Stamford Bridge growing quieter with each game'
There were chants of "we want our Chelsea back" during a protest march before kick-off - then the chorus spread to the stands during the second half of the defeat by Manchester United. The frustration from supporters is understandable, given Chelsea have now lost their past four Premier League games without scoring - their joint-longest run since November 1912. Chelsea head coach Liam Rosenior admitted his side face a "mountain to climb" in their pursuit of Champions League qualification, after the latest 1-0 loss to United left them four points off the top five, having played a game more.
Inside California Politics
(INSID CALIFORNIA POLITICS) — This week on Inside California Politics, host Nikki Laurenzo is joined by political analysts Rob Stutzman and Andrew Acosta to discuss the latest developments in the g…
Inside California Politics
(INSID CALIFORNIA POLITICS) — This week on Inside California Politics, host Nikki Laurenzo is joined by political analysts Rob Stutzman and Andrew Acosta to discuss the latest developments in the g…
Midland business roundup highlights credit union wins
Wildfire Credit Union, which has a branch in Midland, celebrated the addition of David Satek as its new Vice President of Business Services on March 16.
Eckerd students present research at scientific conferences around the world
This spring, Eckerd students travelled around the world to present their research at conferences. In February, marine science students attended the Ocean Sciences Meeting in Glasgow, Scotland. In March, chemistry
American Cancer Society awards grant to Monument Health to help cancer patients with travel costs
The American Cancer Society awarded up to $30,000 to Monument Health’s Cancer Care Institute to help patients with transportation and lodging during treatment through March 31, 2027.
First-ever SPHEREx images spark hope to finally unlock the Universe’s origin mysteries - Futura-Sciences
SPHEREx Takes Off: A Mission Begins On March 11, a Falcon 9 rocket launched from California’s Vandenberg Space Force Base, carrying a particularly precious piece of NASA’s scientific arsenal: the SPHEREx space telescope. Its mission? To map the cosmos with its high-precision instruments and spectacular image quality. No pressure, right?...
AMC Entertainment price target raised to $2 from $1.50 at B. Riley
B. Riley raised the firm’s price target on AMC Entertainment (AMC) to $2 from $1.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Industry box office revenue rose 22% year over year in the period, outperforming expectations and driven by strong releases in March, particularly Project Hail Mary, alongside solid contributions from Scream 7 and Hoppers, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Looking ahead to Q2, box office is expected to grow slightly, with gains in June offset by weaker April
Sentinel Sports: MEHS boys basketball team's historic state tournament
March was a big month for Mt. Edgecumbe sports. The high school's boys basketball team won their first state championship, ending a 75-year history without a title.
Arc Raiders Players are Disappointed in the New Expedition Changes
Embark Studios has once again announced tweaks to the Arc Raiders Expedition window, and players who have spent months saving millions of credits are feeling left behind.
In memoriam: Pavithra Sundaresh, senior, College of Science
Sundaresh, a senior in the School of Neuroscience, passed away on March 30. She was 20 years old.
ICE acting director will resign at the end of May, DHS officials say
Todd Lyons, who was named acting director in March 2025, led the agency at the center of President Donald Trump’s plans to reshape immigration to the U.S.
Centrepoint to cut ties with Sharon Osbourne after she backs Tommy Robinson rally
Homelessness charity distances itself after Osbourne says she plans to attend far-right ‘unite the kingdom’ march
Why science communication has become a matter of life and death
Scientists have always been trained to do research. For 40 years, they’ve been asked to ensure people believe it. How’s it going?
Christina Applegate's rep addresses report the actress is in the hospital
Christina Applegate's rep addresses report she's been hospitalized since late March amid her ongoing battle with multiple sclerosis.
NFIB small business optimism index falls below 52-year average in March
Small business optimism declined in March as profit trends worsened and uncertainty climbed, according to a survey released Thursday by the National Federation of Independent Business. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.0 points in March to 95.8, dropping below its 52-year average of 98.0 for the first time since April 2025. The NFIB […]
In memoriam: Nicholas 'Nick' Xavier Kuehn, junior, Pamplin College of Business
Born in Burlington, North Carolina, the 19-year-old was pursuing a degree in cybersecurity management and analytics and was a member of the Securitas Living Learning Community. He passed away March 29.
Leadership styles vary among local champions
Mark Hughes Cobb reflects on local leadership styles in football, Mercedes, art and music.
Progressive reports solid premium and earnings growth for Q1
It posted a double-digit March earnings growth and a sub-90 combined ratio for Q1
Kalshi faces Ohio fine amid sports betting legal battle
The fine comes on the heels of a court loss Kalshi suffered in March, when a federal judge said its offerings should be considered gambling.
Kalshi faces Ohio fine amid sports betting legal battle
The fine comes on the heels of a court loss Kalshi suffered in March, when a federal judge said its offerings should be considered gambling.
Bayern Munich, Arsenal march on to Champions League semifinals, while Real Madrid and Sporting bow out
Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences Faculty Recognized at the ARIS 2026 Summit
Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences (DMCS) Department Chair Oscar Schofield and Professor Kay Bidle were honored for their work elevating research impact at the 2026 Center for Advancing Research Impact in Society (ARIS)’s 2026 Summit, “Impact by Design”, which took place March 30 – April 1. Schofield was awarded the Enduring Achievement Award, which honors those with a long and storied history […]
Small business optimism drops, more owners cautious on spending: NFIB
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index fell 3 points in March to 95.8, falling below the 52-year average of 98.0. NFIB Research Center executive director Holly Wade breaks down the data and what factors are impacting American small business owners, including price pressures, as uncertainty rises.
Stony Brook School of Health Professions Honors Alumni Leaders
The Stony Brook University School of Health Professions (SHP) celebrated a group of graduates whose careers reflect both professional excellence and a commitment to service, mentorship and innovation in healthcare. At the School of Health Professions Outstanding Alumni Awards, held March 25 in the Health Sciences Center (HSC) Galleria, nine alumni were recognized for achievements
Reward offered after 71-year-old was found fatally beaten inside her business
The North Carolina governor is offering a reward after a 71-year-old business owner was fatally beaten inside her fitness studio in March.
BizTalk: Innovators and Healthcare Professionals Convene in Arlington
Leaders in healthcare, technology and research gathered in Arlington last month to explore how artificial intelligence is shaping the future of patient care. The Healthcare + AI Forum, held March 26 at Arlington Economic Development (AED), brought together healthcare professionals, researchers, entrepreneurs and industry leaders to discuss real-world applications of AI in healthcare, from clinical
Business owners 'spooked' by oil price surge, national survey shows
A monthly national barometer of small business optimism released by the National Federation of Independent Business shows a dip in March.
Report: iPad Air to Gain OLED Display Next Year
Apple will bring OLED displays to its iPad Air models next year, according to a new report from Korea's ET News. Citing industry sources, the outlet says Samsung Display will begin mass production of OLED panels around the end of 2026 or January next year, with a view to supplying panels for Apple's next iPad Air, expected to be released in early 2027. Apple last updated the iPad Air in March 2026 with an M4 chip.
How five UF business students faced 7,000 international competitors and took home first place
From mid-January to mid-March, the five of us competed in the Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest — an international tournament where participants assign probabilities to macroeconomic and geopolitical questions and get scored on relative accuracy.
These Memphis restaurants got perfect health inspection scores in March
Tennessee Health Department inspectors performed hundreds of health inspections in Shelby County in March. These 46 restaurants earned perfect scores.
This simple change stops robot swarms from getting stuck
In crowded environments, more robots don’t always mean faster results—in fact, too many can bring everything to a standstill. Harvard researchers discovered a surprising fix: adding a bit of randomness to how robots move can actually prevent gridlock and boost efficiency. By allowing robots to “wiggle” slightly instead of marching in straight lines, they can slip past each other and keep tasks flowing smoothly.
Roundup: Business optimism / Cleveland’s housing answer / America at 250
Slipping further: U.S. small business optimism fell for a third straight month in March, hitting its lowest level in nearly a year as the Iran conflict drove up energy costs and uncertainty. Owners reported weaker expectations for profits, sales and economic conditions, while plans for capital spending dropped sharply. Rising input costs are also prompting […]
Oil Price Spike Erodes Small Business Confidence, NFIB Says
Small business optimism dipped below its 52-year average for the first time in a year in March, driven by the Iran war and the subsequent surge in oil
Building a mission-ready DAF mental health enterprise for the future fight
Air Force Medical Service leaders advanced the efforts to align mental health policy, training and leadership practices to mission readiness requirements outlined in the Department of War’s 2026 National Defense Strategy, during the Mental Health Leadership and Readiness Symposium in Orlando, Florida, on March 9-12.
US small business sentiment falls to 11-month low in March
small-business sentiment dropped to an 11-month low in March as a surge in oil prices because of the war in Iran overshadowed the benefits from low taxes, a survey showed. The National Federation of Independent Business said on Tuesday its Small Business Optimism Index dropped 3.
US small business sentiment falls to 11-month low in March
U.S. small-business sentiment dropped to an 11-month low in March as a surge in oil prices because of the war in Iran overshadowed the benefits from low taxes, a survey showed.
Amy Hillyard: $10,000 reward posted for info on missing Oakland business owner
Amy Hillyard, 52, left her home near Oakland's Lake Merritt on March 25. She is considered at-risk due to an undisclosed medical condition.
Iran: Israel’s Oil Depot Strikes Endanger Environment, Health
Israeli attacks on four oil depots around Tehran on March 7, 2026 may cause long-term health and environmental harm for civilians.
Australian business sentiment crashes in March on worries about fallout from Iran war
Australian business confidence plunged last month by a magnitude only seen during financial crises as the Iran war gave rise to a global oil shock, a survey showed on Tuesday.
Opening of Hercules Park spurring growth of business in area
A local park is helping contribute to business growth. Hercules Park opened in March last year, marking the city’s first public park to open in 40 years. Investment in the city’s parks is coinciding with its growth.
Mills pushes for Jay exemption in data center bill
On March 23, the Jay Board of Selectpersons wrote to Mills to encourage her to veto the bill in its current form or ensure that there’s an exemption for their town.
Altoona alumnus presents small business strategies during Startup Week
Penn State Altoona alumnus Asher Carr recently participated in Startup Week, held in March, with a talk titled “The First Steps to Small Business Success."
"You think we're stupid?" - Players react to Pokémon and Palworld lookalike Pickmon being renamed to "better align with our brand identity and lore"
After a divisive reveal in March, the developers behind the Pokémon and Palworld lookalike Pickmon are renaming the game, but players aren't convinced.
Deloitte's Space Business Reaches New Heights as Two New Satellites Enter Orbit
/PRNewswire/ -- Key takeaways Deloitte-2 and Deloitte-3, launched on March 29, 2026, from Vandenberg Space Force Base to expand Deloitte's on-orbit footprint....
'Air traffic control' for hospital beds? How it works at Brown Health
A 24/7/365 command center operates like air traffic control for Brown Health's six hospitals, monitoring every patient and bed.
High school sports top performers of the week for March 30-April 11
A look at the best performances in high school sports from the week before spring break.
CVS Health Corporation (CVS): Legal Clarity and Core Strengths Support the Bull Case
CVS Health Corporation (NYSE:CVS) is one of the undervalued large cap stocks to buy. On March 25, UBS analyst Kevin Caliendo reiterated a Buy rating and $97 price target on CVS Health Corporation (NYSE:CVS). Caliendo said that CVS’s proposed settlement with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over insulin pricing could lift a major cloud that […]
Commissioner Bill Canda created septic business to evade taxes
Thanks to a miscommunication in March between the Custer County Sheriff’s Office and the 12th Judicial District Attorney’s Office in Alamosa, the majority of the Colorado Bureau of Investigation (CBI) inquiry into Custer County Commissioner Bill Canda for alleged sales tax fraud was made public. The
Cologne wins Bundesliga relegation duel 3-1 against 10-man Werder Bremen
Cologne eased its Bundesliga relegation worries on Sunday with a 3-1 win over 10-man Werder Bremen that left the visiting team just outside the drop zone. Wagner has been handed the reins for the rest of the season after Cologne fired Lukas Kwasniok as coach on March 22.
BGHS students earn multiple honors at science competitions - Sent-trib
Bowling Green High School students demonstrated their scientific knowledge, teamwork, and problem-solving skills at two regional science competitions held on March 14, earning multiple top finishes and one student advancing to the state level.
UBS Raises Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF) Target Amid Growth Strategy
Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) is one of the best cheap penny stocks to buy that aren’t scams. On March 16, UBS raised its price target on Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc. (NASDAQ:WOOF) to $4.00 from $3.50, while keeping a Neutral rating. The positive stance underscores the research firm’s confidence about the […]
ON THE JOB: “What is the Best Business Advice You’ve Ever Received?
Interviews by Deborah Jeanne Sergeant Sound advice can contribute to your success. We recently asked area business leaders, what was their best advice they’d ever received. Here’s what they said: “The best advice I ever received was from my then –boss, Gerry Church, Fulton plant manager at Miller Brewing Co. He told me that whenever I wanted to discuss a business problem or issue with him, I should also be prepared to offer possible solutions. It’s the difference between being proactive or reactive. It’s also the difference between being a leader or follower. That has served me well in any business relationship I have had since then.” — Stephen Chirello, Owner, Steve Chirello Advertising, Fulton “Someone will always do it for less; they will also take the most effort to service or satisfy and leave you for the next lower price.” — John M. Henry, Owner, Speedway Press, Mitchell Printing, Phoenix Press, Oswego “I’m going to answer this question by turning it around and giving my own advice that is, ‘Always treat every customer as if they were your only customer!’ We are celebrating our 50th anniversary in business this year. We started our business on March 25, 1976. My advice works.”” — Nick Chervinsky, President, Brewerton Pharmacy, Brewerton “’You need to toot your own horn, my grandfather, Howard D. Dice, told me.” — Beth Ann Dice, Women’s active aging and cancer recovery coach, Mission Movement Wellness Studio & Breast Cancer Recovery Studio, Fulton “In the micro enterprise class, they taught, ‘Get a good lawyer, accountant and bank.’ That was over 30 years ago and I still have those three today. I chose good people I could grow with.” — Tony Pauldine, Owner, Anthony M. Pauldine General Contractors Inc., Oswego “From my grandfather; ‘Listen to everyone! You never know where you will get the solution you need.’” — Kevin Dean, Executive director, Oswego County Opportunities, Fulton “‘Preparation is the mother of success.’ My dad always drilled that into my head growing up, and it has helped me avoid a lot of snags in both my personal and professional life. Thanks, Dad!” — Bekkah Frisch, Owner and president, iHeart Holdings, Inc., Fulton “If you don’t take a risk and try, you will never know.” — Justin Taber, Owner, Torbitt’s Service Center, Oswego “Be ready to take a loss.” — Cody Seymour, Manager, Damiano’s Eatery, Mexico “I’ve received so much good business advice over the years. When people are giving you advice, always be curious rather than judgmental. Follow your gut. Doing the right thing is never the wrong thing.” — Dana Decker, Principal owner/broker, Berkshire Hathaway Home Services, Oswego ’Do it and figure it out later.’ It hasn’t failed me yet. Too many people take time to think about doing this and this and this and then the opportunity is over with. If it’s somewhat reasonable — if it’s not something outrageous — do it and figure it out later.” — Jeremy Allen, Licensed real estate salesperson, Acropolis Realty Group, Syracuse “’Try to meet the needs of the customer. Treat them like you’d like to be treated.’ It’s like the Golden Rule says.” — Douglas Dickson, Physician and associate at CNY Foot Surgery and Podiatry Care, East Syracuse “The best piece of business advice I’ve ever received applies to life in general: always be honest. Never overstate your capabilities and always be willing to ask questions. The more specific you can be in any given topic will always lead to a better outcome.” — Tom Fernandez, President, Woodbine Hospitality, Syracuse “As a business owner, the advice would be ‘Don’t overextend yourself. Especially in agriculture, expect issues to come up.’ If something is going right, it’s not true agriculture. This last season, we scaled very hard to field another crew. We got more drones, crew and generators based on projections. This last season hit the ag community hard with a very wet spring. We did 15,000 to 20,000 acres for fungicide and the same for cover crop seeding in 2024. We scaled to 25,000 to 30,000 for 2025. We ended up doing 2,000 for fungicide and 3,000 for cover crop seeding. That’s why that advice was good.” — Rick Jordan, Operations manager, CNY Drove Services, Clinton “’Keep your head down, mind your own business and do the best for your clients that you can do.’ It has a lot to do with my success in working for Galloway Century 21.” — Ed Fayette, New York state licensed real estate agent, Century 21 Galloway, Oswego “’Expand in all ways, always.’ It just keeps you going and keeps you growing.” — Stephen Baier, Licensed real estate person, The Real Estate Agency & Bouck Commercial, Auburn “The best advice is, ‘Your biggest asset you won’t see on the books because it comes from your employees.’” — David Flickinger, Owner, Edible Arrangements, Syracuse “Don’t take things personally when you’re working with the public.” — Leeann Desimone, Manager, Annie’s Hallmark Shop, Auburn “‘Follow up.’ The customer knows that you care about what you are doing and that their opinion counts. Sometimes they might be on the fence about whether they want to use your company. If they’re asking your opinion on things, they feel you are concerned about what you’re doing. They like to be kept in the loop if they’re spending money with you.” — Dorothy Casper, Saslesperson, SweetWoods Memorials, Phoenix “The best business advice I received is ‘Never be the smartest person in the room. Surround yourself with people who are smarter than you.’ That’s how you learn.” — Debbie Bilello, Owner, Virtual Office Solutions, Central Square “’You need to grow your business but you can’t grow too big too fast.’ That’s what we’ve done at Pinnacle Maintenance. We’ve tried to grow but not too fast. Along those same lines, there’s another good piece of advice, ‘Don’t take on more than you can handle because it only leads to a bad name for your business and a bad experience for your customers.’ It goes along the same lines as growing your business slowly and carefully.” — David Wines, Owner, Pinnacle Maintenance, Central Square “Always be on time and do what you say you are going to do.’ I’ve done very well following that advice. Most of my work is referral and I don’t really do any advertising so I have a pretty good customer base. It’s mostly word-of-mouth from satisfied customers.” — Robert J. Fleming, Owner, Bob Fleming Windows & Doors, Brewerton “’Concentrate on your finances, always pay your taxes, and form a team you can depend on. Try to help the community you’re in as much as you can.’ We do all of these all the time here. We give and give and give to the community and the community gives back to us always.” — Susan Bonnet, Co-owner, Bonnet Sales and Service, Central Square “Keep smiling. It brings a positive attitude to the workplace.” — Karin Lindsley, Vice president, DTS Truck Service, Syracuse “‘Customer service above all.’ Following this advice has served us very well.’ — Guy Fox, Owner, Fox’s Discount Parts, West Monroe “The best thing to do is to make sure you’re taking in more money than you’re spending. I wish I could say I’m a good businessman but I have been in business since 1981. I’m not a bean counter but work well with my hands and its’s served me well all these years and I am still in business.” — Matt McGill, Owner, Matt McGill Collision, Brewerton
Chamber of Commerce Presents Achievement Awards
Event also marked 110th of the chamber’s presence in Oswego [caption id=attachment_10469 align=alignright width=450] Abby Waever and Keara Patterson (in the middle) receive the Community Leadership & Legacy Award, presented to The Alberts Group.[/caption] The Greater Oswego-Fulton Chamber of Commerce (GOFCC) on March 4 hosted its 2026 Annual Meeting, presented by Constellation, at the Lake Ontario Event and Conference Center in Oswego. The event’s theme, Rooted in Community. The meeting celebrated the GOFCC’s 110th anniversary in the Oswego community and 10th anniversary of integration with CenterState CEO. The chamber also unveiled a new logo. “I am proud to say the GOFCC has been a force for business success, growth and opportunity, supporting organizations of every size, connecting neighbors and entrepreneurs and ensuring that every voice in Oswego County is heard,” said GOFCC Executive Director Sara Broadwell. The event featured keynote remarks from Novelis’s Kevin Schutt, vice president, manufacturing and production support at Novelis North America. [caption id=attachment_10454 align=alignright width=450] Maria Hudson of Constellation, holding the award, receives the Nancy L. Premo Woman of Distinction Award.[/caption] The GOFCC recognized the following organizations and individuals with achievement awards: • Oswego County Impact & Excellence Award, presented to Oswego County Office of Mobility Management. This award Honors a small business or nonprofit organization that demonstrates outstanding achievement through innovation, growth and measurable positive impact on Oswego County’s economy or quality of life. • Community Leadership & Legacy Award, presented to The Alberts Group. This award recognizes an individual, business or organization whose long-term leadership, investment or philanthropy has significantly advanced the vitality, resilience and future of Oswego County’s communities. • Nancy L. Premo Woman of Distinction Award, presented to Maria Hudson of Constellation. This award honors a woman in business who has made a meaningful impact on her community, inspired others through her leadership, and exemplified the values of service, integrity and empowerment. This award is presented in tribute to the late Nancy Premo, CenterState CEO’s former vice president of Human Resources.
Record-breaking Bayern march closer to Bundesliga title
Bayern Munich romped to a 5-0 win at St Pauli on Saturday, breaking a 54-year Bundesliga goalscoring record and moving to within touching distance of a 35th league crown. The goal continued the 19-year-old's impressive debut Bundesliga season, in which he has scored 11 times.
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Maryville Entertainment Pavilion work underway
By Kathy Turner • Work is progressing on the new American Legion Entertainment Pavilion at Fireman’s Park in Maryville. Boeker Construction Company was awarded the bid for the project and had a milder-than-usual February and March to thank for the progress. The pavilion will be the setting for many activities and concerts at the park…
Nevada reports 8,099 new business registrations in March, nearly $21M in revenue
Nevada saw a jump in new business activity in March, with 8,099 new business registrations filed statewide, according to Secretary of State Francisco Aguilar.Ag
Missing Oakland woman's husband gives details on her mental health
Amy Hillyard, 52, has been missing since March 25.
CPI: Inflation rose to 3.3% amid Iran war in March, missing forecasts
The new CPI report showed headline inflation sped up in March to the highest rate since 2024. The Iran war is affecting gas prices.
Inflation surged in March as Iran war's energy impact hit consumers
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest consumer price index data which showed that CPI inflation surged in March as the Iran war's imapct took a toll on consumer prices.
Southampton's Eckert wins manager of the month award
Southampton head coach Tonda Eckert is named the Championship's manager of the month for March.
China South Korea Entertainment Ban
Chinese fans of K-Pop group Seventeen line up outside a pop up booth in Beijing, Friday, March 27, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
UCI Health rehires critical care workers it laid off in March
UCI Health has rescinded the layoffs of seven of the 150 workers laid off last month as part of a restructuring of its hospitals across Orange County — and apologized” for the “oversight.”
Physics Professor Receives Prestigious Science Fellowship
A Georgetown University physics professor was named to a prestigious scientific association to honor her work on rheology, the movement and deformation of material caused by external forces, the university announced March 30. Emanuela Del Gado’s research focuses on soft matter — material that exists between solids and liquids, such as gel, glass and plastic —...
The 2026 WNBA Draft board is a puzzle — here’s how it fits together now
In USA TODAY's latest WNBA mock draft, UCLA's Lauren Betts takes the No. 1 spot, her highest position yet, after March Madness.
Women in Business club holds first annual symposium
BuzzBallz founder Merrilee Kick gave a keynote speech on starting a business at the first-ever University of Montana Women in Business symposium on March 27.
China's car sales extend declines in March
China's car sales fell for a sixth straight month in March, as rising fuel prices hit demand for gasoline models while electric vehicle sales still reeled from reduced incentives as the economic recovery is sputtering.
UC Davis Launches Aggie Venture Accelerator to Advance Early-Stage Life Science Innovation
The UC Davis Innovation and Economic Development Office has launched the Aggie Venture Accelerator, an initiative designed to support early-stage startups developing solutions at the intersection of life science, food and health. Delivered in partnership with The March Group, a thematic early-stage venture capital firm, the program will provide selected startups with mentorship, structured programming and investment with the aim of accelerating their path to market.
New report shows another jump in NC sports betting
North Carolina recorded its third month with more than $700 million in paid sports wagers during a March dominated by tournament betting.
Teen takeover concerns grow in Columbus as business tightens security
Concerns over so-called teen takeovers are growing in Columbus as flyers circulating on social media suggest March gatherings could happen locally.
Pistons' Cade Cunningham returns against the Bucks on Wednesday
Cunningham last played on March 17 and is no longer eligible for NBA awards.
TNT Sports & CBS Sports Deliver Most Watched NCAA Men’s Basketball National Championship Game in Seven Years with 18.3 Million Viewers on TBS, TNT and truTV
Poll: Colorado Gov. Jared Polis loses support among Democrats
Gov. Jared Polis is losing steam among members of his party, particularly progressive Democrats, according to a recent poll. Other statewide Democrats also saw their favorability ratings drop, though relatively stable compared to the governor’s numbers, the poll conducted by the Colorado Polling Institute in late March said. Forty-four percent of respondents said they view […]
Amid license review, Camp Mystic being investigated by Texas Rangers and state health officials
Camp Mystic filed to renew its license in March. Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick has repeatedly urged state officials to reject the application.
iPhone Air 2 and iPhone 18e Reportedly Launching Early Next Year
Apple plans to release an updated iPhone Air and a lower-end iPhone 18e early next year, according to the latest word from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman. In a report this week, he said Apple plans to unveil the two devices in spring 2027, alongside a standard iPhone 18. If so, Apple will likely announce the trio of devices in March or April next year. It is unclear if there will be a live-streamed event.
AMD Ryzen 9 9950X3D2 To Be Priced At $899 USD
At the end of March AMD announced the Ryzen 9 9950X3D2 processor with both dies having 3D V-Cache
Science happens here! Institute of Marine and Environmental Technology invites public to free Open House Saturday, May 2, 2026
Dive into the world of marine science and explore cool tech at this open house you won't want to miss! Have you ever wondered what happens in that unique
8GB of RAM Hasn’t Hurt MacBook Neo Sales at All
And you can bet Apple is already planning a sequel with slightly more RAM.
Business license revoked from Greenwood restaurant after deadly shooting, officials say
Uptown Grill on Seaboard Avenue was at the center of a recent shooting in March that resulted in the death of 41-year-old Knowledge Kwame Shakur.
McLeod Health Teams Honored at Harbor Freight Summit
In March, seven McLeod Health Engineering/Facilities Management team members were recognized with awards at the 2026 Harbor Freight Skilled Trades Youth Summit for
Rumor: 007 First Light delayed indefinitely on Nintendo Switch 2 [update: summer delay]
Original: Rumor has it that the Nintendo Switch 2 version of 007 First Light has been hit with its own delay. 007 First Light was originally planned for release for all platforms on March 27, 2026. IO Interactive later pushed the launch back to May 27, 2026, and last we heard, the new date also applied to Nintendo Switch 2....
Week 11 and First Adjournment of the 2026 Session
This edition of Health at the Capitol reviews health policy issues considered by the Kansas Legislature the week of March 23 and actions taken by Gov. Kelly ahead of the veto session.
Stockton sports roundup features spring break tournaments, perfect game
Spring break may mean a break from school, but not sports. Tournaments and a perfect game highlight San Joaquin County action from March 30-April 4.
Warburton 'knocking on door' for World title shot
Gerome Warburton stunned former British champion Nathan Heaney with an unanimous win to secure the WBA Continental Middleweight title in March.
ASU DE Clayton Smith's spring run at WR ends
Clayton Smith, who spent the majority of ASU's spring camp working as a WR, returned to the DE group on Tuesday, where he's played the last three seasons.
U.S., Georgia partnership strengthens military mental health, resilie
As part of a comprehensive mental health engagement from March 2-6, experts from the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research Europe-Middle East (WRAIR-EME) and Global Health Engagements (GHE) Branch
Barbershop named the West Virginia Family-Owned Small Business of the Year
PARKERSBURG – A small local business that has been around for over 60 years is being honored for its continuing ties to the community. Marchell’s Barbershop, at 615 Market St., was named the West Virginia Family-Owned Small Business of the Year by the U.S. Small Business Administration’s West Virginia District Office, as part of National […]
Maryville Entertainment Pavilion work underway
By Kathy Turner • Work is progressing on the new American Legion Entertainment Pavilion at Fireman’s Park in Maryville. Boeker Construction Company was awarded the bid for the project and had a milder-than-usual February and March to thank for the progress. The pavilion will be the setting for many activities and concerts at the park…
Oscars set dates for 99th and 100th broadcast, before move to YouTube
The 99th Oscars will be held on March 14, 2027
Gemini overlay and Gemini Live start rolling out big Android redesign [Gallery]
After redesigns in February and March, Google is rolling out another big revamp for the Gemini overlay and Gemini Live.
Is MSG Entertainment's Tokyo Sphere Plan Shifting Its Concentration Risk Story (MSGE)?
Madison Square Garden Entertainment recently received fresh analyst attention with BTIG initiating coverage and the company advancing talks to bring its large-scale immersive Sphere venue concept to Tokyo, alongside appointing Allen Lo as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer in late March. Together, the analyst endorsement and potential Tokyo Sphere highlight how MSG Entertainment is pushing its immersive live-event format beyond its core U.S. venues, which could gradually reduce...
Spirit and Health Series Focuses on Mind and Wellness
The Spirit and Service Speaker Series continued into late March and early April with a focus on
From The Sports Desk: Michigan’s ‘Mercenaries’
The Wolverines became the first team to win the national title with a starting lineup featuring all transfers.
S.F. Supervisor Jackie Fielder extends leave of absence to June 30
Fielder had already missed two weeks’ worth of board and committee meetings before news broke on March 27 that she was in the hospital amid an “acute personal health crisis.”
Health roundtable discusses not just what, but when you eat
The inaugural Health Roundtable event on March 31 made space for students, alum, scholars and community members to discuss chrononutrition.
See the top high school sports performances from March 29 to April 4
See the top baseball, softball, boys volleyball and track and field performances from March 29 to April 4.
WSP-RC holds population health, wellness fair
Wasco State Prison-Reception Center (WSP-RC) held a health and wellness fair for the incarcerated population during the week of March 9-13.
Wellness Resource Center Tackles Sports Betting and Gambling
March Madness is well underway. As bets get placed and brackets get broken, it’s hard to ignore one aspect of the sports world: gambling. Sports betting and gambling are prevalent in college and…
Accel Entertainment, Inc. to Report First Quarter 2026 Results, Host Conference Call and Webcast on May 5
CHICAGO, April 07, 2026--Accel Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE: ACEL) ("Accel" or "the Company"), a leading locals-focused gaming operator partnering with small businesses, local communities, and state governments to provide entertaining, convenient, and safe gaming experiences nationwide, announced today it will release its financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, after market close on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. The Company will host a conference call and webcast that da