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South Carolina bolsters OL depth with transfer portal addition
The South Carolina Gamecocks have made a late addition to their offensive line room, signing offensive tackle Vincent Chen out of the transfer portal.
3 Free Agent Forwards That Could Revitalize Jets Depth Offense
Southeast Utah Health Dept. asks those with foodborne illness symptoms to report online
The Southeast Utah Health Department began investigating a potential foodborne illness outbreak.The health department said that the outbreak is in Carbon County
Yankees urged to trade for Giants' 5.18 ERA veteran after Max Fried's elbow injury
New York's depth will be tested.
Giant squid discovery uncovers a hidden deep-sea world off Australia
Scientists exploring deep underwater canyons off the coast of Western Australia uncovered a hidden world packed with bizarre and elusive marine life — including signs of the legendary giant squid. By analyzing traces of DNA floating in seawater from depths exceeding 4 kilometers, researchers identified 226 species ranging from deep-diving whales to strange fish rarely or never seen in the region before. Some of the creatures may even be unknown to science.
Falcons depth chart projection: New starting kick returner?
Falcons depth chart: Vinny Anthony II is our projected starting kick returner
Phillies sign 27-year-old to bolster outfield depth
The Philadelphia Phillies added to their outfield depth by signing former St. Louis Cardinal Dylan Carlson to a minor league deal.
iOS 27 to Bring Customizable Camera App, Tweaks to Weather, Safari and Liquid Glass
Apple plans to make the Camera app more customizable in iOS 27, reports Bloomberg. Users will be able to select the features they want to see in the Camera app, like flash, exposure, timer, depth of field, photo styles, and resolution. Camera controls, labeled as widgets, will be able to be placed at the top of the Camera interface in any order. Users will be able to select widgets from a transparent widget tray that comes up from the bottom of the app.
Arisa Health to exit Arkansas CMHC contract, citing $4.4M funding cut
LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – After more than 55 years serving Arkansas as the designated Community Mental Health Center (CMHC) in 41 counties, officials with Arisa Health announced Friday that the company h…
Montana commerce dept. announces funding for Native American owned tourism businesses
The Montana Department of Commerce has announced that 21 Montana businesses will share $210,000 dollars of funding to assist small start-up or expanding Native
Restaurant owner warns many businesses ‘will go under’ if minimum wage hits $30
DeLuca’s Italian Restaurant owner Robert DeLuca discusses running a small business in New York, citing policy shifts, rising labor costs and the impact of tax cuts on ‘FOX Business In Depth.’
There is a big gap between the supply and demand for small business capital, Fundbox CEO says
Fundbox CEO Prashant Fuloria discusses small business growth on 'FOX Business In Depth.'
Anime News, Top Stories & In-Depth Anime Insights
Stay on top of anime news and updates straight out of Japan with Crunchyroll News. From breaking stories to evergreen content, get all your anime and manga news updates in one place. You heard it here first!
Dwayne Haskins Jr. was not OK. His dad is ready to talk about it
Dwayne Haskins Jr.'s dad is speaking publicly about his son's death for the first time, determined to add depth to the legacy of the QB's complicated life.
Projecting Texas A&M's post-spring 2026 offensive depth chart
Four months before the 2026 season opener, here is how Texas A&M's 2026 offensive depth chart could look post-spring.
Greenpeace launches “Deep Arctic Expedition” livestreaming deep sea science from 3000m depth
Greenpeace departs on a month-long mission to the Arctic deep-sea.
Vikings Linked to Veteran CB in Free Agency
Last year, when the Minnesota Vikings needed summer cornerback depth, some argued that the club should sign veteran Rasul Douglas. […]
FIGHT YOUR FIGHT: EA SPORTS UFC 6 ARRIVES JUNE 19, DELIVERING NEXT-LEVEL FIGHTER INDIVIDUALITY AND GAMEPLAY DEPTH
Powered by Fighters, UFC 6 Features Alex Pereira and Max Holloway Stepping onto the Cover
Fight Your Fight: EA SPORTS™ UFC® 6 Arrives June 19, Delivering Next-Level Fighter Individuality and Gameplay Depth
Powered by Fighters, UFC ® 6 Features Alex Pereira and Max Holloway Stepping onto the Cover Watch the Reveal Trailer HERE Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: EA) today unveiled EA SPORTS™ UFC® 6 , launching June 19, 2026 on PlayStation®5 and Xbox Series X|S. Powered by fighters, UFC 6 brings unparalleled fighter authenticity to players with true-to-life fighter movement and striking. Former UFC middleweight and light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira and former UFC featherweight and BMF champion Max Holloway headline the Standard and Ultimate Edition covers, ushering in a new era of fighter individuality appearing in gameplay, allowing players to fight their fight like never before. UFC 6 Standard Edition EA SPORTS™ UFC® 6 delivers the most realistic and authentic fighting experience yet. Athletes move, strike, and react like their real-life counterparts thanks to Markerless Capture and the next generation of Sapien Technology, setting a new standard for authenticity in the Octagon and a
ENTERTAINMENT: Indigenous-Centered ‘Dark Winds’ Adds Depth to the Crime TV Genre
There are moments of both literal and emotional darkness, including night scenes and times of human turmoil and tragedy. But the series is usually sun-baked and starkly beautiful…
Kansas State basketball adds depth with Nashville high school prospect
Kansas State basketball wanted another body for practices and got one with the addition of Nash Stark, an incoming freshman from Nashville.
Xtreme One Entertainment Adds Seasoned Public Company Exec as CEO & Expands Leadership Team Depth to Scale its Fast-Growing MMA Business
Xtreme One Entertainment Adds Seasoned Public Company Exec as CEO & Expands Leadership Team Depth to Scale its Fast-Growing MMA Business...
In depth: A flood of rural healthcare money could reshape Idaho, and seep into higher ed
This story was originally posted on IdahoEdNews.org on April 30, 2026. POCATELLO — A $930 million flood of federal grants could address Idaho’s rural healthcare needs — shortages that stretch across its landscape and reach into nearly all professions. The money could also bolster programs that serve small towns and align with Idaho State University’s […]
Chargers depth chart: Projecting the 11 starters on defense
Now that free agency and the draft are over, we take a crack at projecting who will be the starters on defense under new coordinator Chris O'Leary.
Jaguars' updated defensive depth chart after 2026 NFL draft
Following the 2026 NFL draft, here is an updated look at the Jaguars' defensive depth chart.
Investigation takes in-depth look at Illinois' mental health courts
An Illinois Answers Project investigation is taking an in-depth look at the state's network of mental health courts.
Underwater robot tracks sperm whale conversations in real time
Understanding how they communicate remained difficult because these marine mammals dive to depths of more than a mile for around 50 minutes each hour.
House passes Corrections Dept. health bill with FOI restrictions
Read More at Inside Investigator >>
Comey Indictment Shows Justice Dept. Got the Message From Bondi’s Firing
In naming only an interim successor as acting attorney general, President Trump has established even greater incentives to execute his most extreme demands, current and former officials say.
Ildemaro Vargas’ hitting streak makes franchise history, ties Diamondbacks legend
MILWAUKEE – The beauty of baseball isn’t just in its stars, it’s in the slow burn of players who refuse to fade out. Ildemaro Vargas is no longer just a name penciled into multiple positions; he’s becoming one of the reasons the Diamondbacks lineup feels relentless with depth.
Entertainment this week: Wild and Scenic Film Fest, Cushing Crossing and more
Friday, May 1 Coloso – 8 p.m.-12 a.m., Crystal Bay Casino, 14 Highway 28. Roots For The Depths Benefit Feat: COLOSO For more information, visit https://www.bandsintown.com/e/1038305529?app_id=pkvts0on0m&came_from=287&utm_medium=api&utm_source=partner_api&utm_campaign=event or call (775) 833-6333. Jeshua Marshall and The Flood...
U.S. to issue passport for America's 250th celebration with Trump's portrait
The booklets will also include an image of the Founding Fathers, according to designs shared by the State Department
District Health Dept. No. 4 offers free water sample kits in Cheboygan, Presque Isle
CHEBOYGAN & PRESQUE ISLE COUNTIES, Mich., (WPBN/WGTU) -- Free water sample test kits are being offered by the District Health Department No. 4 to residents in C
Play Thrilling New GTA Online Experiences Built by the Community with the Rockstar Mission Creator
The Rockstar Mission Creator is the latest expansion to our suite of innovative, in-depth tools empowering the community to unleash their creativity and bring their own GTA Online adventures to life. Play a wide range of exciting missions across Los...
Mystery of golden orb found in depths of ocean off Alaska finally solved: 'Everyone was like, What the heck? What is that?'
A two-and-a-half-year-old mystery concerning a strange golden object found miles below the sea surface isn't an egg or sponge — it's from an anemone-like animal.
What to watch for in WPIAL sports for April 27, 2026: Key series on tap in 5A baseball
In the eight-season history of WPIAL Class 5A baseball, the regular season races and the district playoffs have been very competitive because of the depth of talented programs in that class.
Hurricanes use postseason experience to advance again in NHL playoffs sweep
Carolina showed its scoring depth with a dominating performance from its second line.
Patriots prioritize depth, competition to close out NFL Draft
The Patriots made six selections on the final day of the draft.
Why the Broncos drafted OL Kage Casey
With their 111th overall selection in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Denver Broncos selected Boise State offensive linemen Kage Casey. He is a 6-5, 310-pound offensive lineman who played tackle in college, but was announced as a guard and is expected to provide depth at the interior of the Broncos’ offensive line. He will join […]
Interview transcript: Game File x Xbox's Asha Sharma and Matt Booty
I’m trying something different today: offering all Game File readers a free write-up of a big interview, while also offering the interview transcript to paying readers. If you want to get the essence of my conversation with new Xbox CEO Asha Sharma and Xbox chief content officer Matt Booty, with context around their comments, check out the free piece. If you want more depth, this transcript is for you. I’ve lightly edited the conversation for clarity and flow, but you’ll still get plenty of Sharma and Booty’s thoughts, my questions, and a good sense of how our conversation progressed—complete with follow-ups, some conversational detours, and the best quotes that made it into the free piece.
Health Dept. to present workshop with resources for problem gambling
JACKSON, Wyo. — Join the Teton County Health Department (TCHD) for a workshop about the “hidden addiction” of problem gambling. The workshop is designed to help the community recognize the signs of and find support for gambling addictions. It is often referred to as a “hidden addiction” because there are no physical signs like those […]
Scientists just discovered a 60-foot long, kraken-like octopus
The discovery, using novel techniques to analyze fossilized jaws, details how colossal octopuses hunted the Late Cretaceous depths, competing with apex predators.
Tennessee softball vs Alabama is matchup of two best SEC pitching staffs
Tennessee softball will face an Alabama pitching staff with just as much depth as its own in a top 10 series at home from April 25-27.
Health Dept. report on S.F. hospital stabbing confirms Mission Local reporting
San Francisco will direct $15 million to Health Department security after fatal hospital stabbing.
Dept. of Health and Human Services declares public health emergency for Hawaii after March storms
The declaration aims to address the health impacts caused by severe storms, flooding, landslides, and mudslides that occurred in March 2026.
Three URI students awarded prestigious National Science Foundation graduate research fellowships
KINGSTON, R.I. – April 21, 2026 – Three students from the University of Rhode Island were selected from a highly competitive pool of candidates for the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program for the 2026-27 academic year. David Amirsadri and Colby Constantine, who earned bachelor’s degrees in chemical engineering from URI last spring, and […]
Cornerback could be Ravens’ wildcard pick in Round 1
The Baltimore Ravens could pivot to cornerback in Round 1 if value aligns, adding depth and future flexibility in the secondary.
$1 Billion Attack? France Boasts Scoring Depth Other World Cup Teams Only Dream Of
France will have rich depth in attack at the World Cup.
S.F. health dept. plans to cut managers, clinics and more. Here’s what you need to know.
Half of the proposed savings will come from axing 121 full-time staff positions, mostly managers. Nurses say it will impact their services.
Philadelphia Eagles' final seven-round mock draft
In a final seven-round mock draft using PFF's simulator, the Eagles prioritize offensive firepower, adding line help, playmakers, and depth ahead of the 2026 season.
State House moves forward with Health Dept. budget
LANSING — Two and a half months before the state’s budget deadline, members of the Republican-led Michigan House of Representatives unleashed a flurry of budget proposals from their respective subcommittees, including a three-part plan to fund the Department of Health and Human Services. With the department making up nearly half of the state budget, members […]
Wisconsin hockey signs Penn State's JJ Wiebusch, Cornell's Alexis Cournoyer
Wisconsin men's hockey coach Mike Hastings added scoring, goaltending depths with his latest signings from the transfer portal.
Dept. of Public Health confirms measles case in Midlands
The South Carolina Department of Public Health has confirmed a case of measles in Saluda County.Health officials say the infection is tied to international trav
Analysing Arsenal ahead of Sunday’s Premier League clash
An in-depth look at our opponents this weekend… Men's Team One moment in time: Haaland lets his hair down! In a game that needs little introduction, we welcome Arsenal to the Etihad Stadium in a 16:...
Blue Prince Devs Want You To Go Into These Indie Games Blind
Pick up Animal Well, Blue Prince, Outer Wilds and more, but don't find out anything else about them first
Scientists Stunned: A Giant Sea Creature Still Hides Unseen in the Ocean - Futura-Sciences
The Elusive Ghost of the Depths In the vast expanse of the world’s oceans, some species still manage to escape the all-seeing gaze of humankind. Among these slippery escape artists, one creature in particular consistently evades every scientific effort to observe it. In fact, scientists have never witnessed a single...
The New Entertainment Utility: An In-Depth Look at Netflix (NFLX) in 2026
The New Entertainment Utility: An In-Depth Look at Netflix (NFLX) in 2026
Golden Demon 2026 – AdeptiCon finalists part two
Take a look at the work of the other talented painters who earned a coveted Finalist pin.
UW Football Spring Preview: Running Backs
Who’s Gone Jonah Coleman has been the keystone of the UW running back room for the last two seasons. While nagging injuries prevented him from consistently hitting fifth gear, he still rushed for 1811 yards (5.2 yards per carry) and 25 TDs over his two years in Seattle. He also proved himself an adept pass-catcher, […]
Justice Dept. Moves to Vacate Jan. 6 Convictions for Far-Right Extremists
Defending the convictions would likely have required administration officials to assert that far-right groups were acting on behalf of President Trump on Jan. 6, 2021.
New investigative newsroom launches at ASU's Howard Center for Investigative Journalism
A new investigative newsroom focusing on accountability reporting, innovation and experimentation with AI-driven tools launches today at the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication as part of the Howard Center for Investigative Journalism.The Beam is a multimedia newsroom that produces in-depth, high-impact reporting on issues that matter to Arizona communities, while building modern tools for the public to engage directly with the decision-makers shaping their lives.
Welcome to Half Moon Grey
At Rivian, our paint palette has always been an extension of the places we explore, from the deep woods of Forest Green to the vibrant sunset warmth of Red Canyon. Half Moon Grey is the newest color in our lineup, carrying a similar depth to El Cap Granite that it replaces, while introducing more warmth and a finer metallic that is a more natural expression of grey. It is subtle in tone and designed to shift with its surroundings. But this is more than just another shade of grey; it’s a masterclass in color science and organic inspiration.
First-Class Seats Drive Airline Profits. It Wasn’t Always This Way.
Airlines have become adept at selling increasingly nice seats to travelers, and customers have grown much more willing to pay for them.
Podcast provides in-depth coverage of area food, restaurant scene - Talk Business & Politics
John Engleman, a former sports anchor and director with over a decade of media relations experience, started a podcast to keep tabs on the ever-evolving food and restaurant sector in...
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Eagles add WR depth by reportedly trading for Dontayvion Wicks with A.J. Brown's future uncertain
Green Bay will receive two future late round picks for Wicks.
I On Politics
DUTCH KILLS CIVIC ASSN MEETING APRIL 9: The next general meeting of the Dutch Kills Civic Association will be held on Thursday, April 9, at 7:00 pm at the Growing Up Green school, 39-27 28th Street. Joseph Ottomanelli from the NYC Sanitation Dept will be the guest speaker discussing the bin mandate going into effect
Orioles-Cardinals Trade Brings Relief To An Injured O's Bullpen
The Baltimore Orioles added bullpen depth on Tuesday by acquiring left-hander Nick Raquet from the St. Louis Cardinals in exchange for infielder/outfielder Brayden Smith. According to the Orioles X account, Raquet has not yet reported to the team; Raquet was designated for assignment by the Cardinals on Sunday. On Monday, the Orioles placed left-hander Dietrich Enns on the 15-day injured list with a left foot infection and called up right-hander Brandon Young to start Monday against the Chicago White Sox.
Eagles could reload defensive line in 2026 NFL Draft
While they have outstanding depth at defensive tackle, Howie Roseman could look to add a true defensive end or a versatile edge rusher to enhance their explosive potential and reinforce their depth.
Beauty’s New Challenger Conglomerate Has Always Been Here
By shedding its food and ice cream businesses, Unilever is betting big on beauty. But matching the scale, valuation and category depth of rivals like L’Oréal and The Estée Lauder Companies will require sharper focus and strategic discipline.
Health Ministry reveals wartime preparations in Eilat, Dead Sea amid tense security situation
An internal document from the Ministry of Health reveals the depth of the preparations, which include increasing the number of teams operating around the clock and the number of intensive care units. ...
The depths of Neptune and Uranus may be “superionic”
Sophisticated models predict that a quasi-one-dimensional superionic state of carbon hydride exists under the extreme pressures and temperatures found deep inside Neptune and Uranus.
Health Dept. shuts down Pensacola vitamin store after undercover investigation
State health officials issued a cease-and-desist notice to The B-12 Store after a man claimed an injection by unlicensed staff gave him nerve damage.
New Electronics Manufacturing Business Comes to Alamosa County with Support from Rural Jump-Start Program - by Ark Valley Voice Staff
This week, Governor Jared Polis and the Business Funding and Incentives (BF&I) division of the Colorado Office of Economic Development and
Dayton health dept. launches hub showing community health data
The data includes community health outcomes, environmental measures, emergency preparedness data and more.
Why Do Animals Glow? The Science of Bioluminescence
From ocean depths to forests, some animals glow — and it’s key to their survival.
Frankie and the Witch Fingers to perform at Gabe’s for Stop/Time Festival
Catch the electrifying on-stage dynamics of Frankie and the Witch Fingers at Stop/Time Festival as they effortlessly shift between the rumbling depths of sludgy metal and high-octane frantics of garage rock, showcasing their talent for stirring up a storm of melodies.
Eagles add linebacker depth with former Raven Chandler Martin
The Eagles have signed linebacker Chandler Martin to a two-year deal.
Golden Demon Show Review from Adepticon 2026
Golden Demon 2026 hosted superlative painters from around the world as they competed in this prestigious painting competition. In this video, the Warhammer team debrief after the judging, discuss the winners, and take a look at some of the highlights from the event.
Scientists Stunned: Colossal Eggs Discovered 3,500 Meters Beneath an Active Volcano
Beneath an active seafloor volcano off Vancouver Island, researchers have documented a congregation of giant eggs at roughly 3,500 meters, a discovery that reframes how life can flourish under extreme conditions. The eggs belong to the Pacific white skate, an elusive deep‑sea species adapted to cold, crushing pressure and perpetual darkness. What seemed an unlikely nursery is actually a geothermally warmed refuge, where subtle heat helps embryos survive a marathon incubation. The finding links volcanic energy to a quiet engine of biodiversity, turning a hostile landscape into an incubator. A living volcano, a hidden nursery The seamount long assumed dormant now exhales mineral‑rich, shimmering plumes, proof of hydrothermal life at depth. Expedition cameras swept across black basalt and pale bacterial mats, revealing vents that pulse with warmth. That warmth, though modest by human standards, alters the physics of development for cold‑adapted embryos. In a realm where metabolism creeps, even a few degrees can mean faster growth and higher survival. The volcano is not only active; it is ecologically formative, drafting a blueprint for a thriving oasis. Giant eggs and a skate built for the abyss The Pacific white skate, Bathyraja spinosissima, is built for the abyss: broad wings, armored spines, and a life history that trades speed for endurance. Females lay outsized, rectangular “mermaid’s purses,” often 46–50 centimeters long, packed with rich yolk to fuel years of growth. In the frigid deep, embryos can require around four years to hatch, a timeline that magnifies every energetic advantage. The scale is striking—large eggs, large adults, and a textbook case of deep‑sea gigantism. The volcano’s gentle heat may literally shave months or years from the wait. Why heat matters at the bottom of the sea Hydrothermal circulation delivers low‑level warmth without the turbulence that would scatter fragile egg‑cases. Slightly elevated temperatures accelerate enzyme kinetics, nudging development along while keeping embryos within a safe range. Mineral‑laden fluids likely shape local microbiomes, which, in turn, can influence biofilms on egg surfaces. The environment acts like a slow, steady incubator, countering the deep sea’s tyrannies of cold and scarcity. For a species with long maturation and few offspring, every incremental boost compounds across generations. An ecosystem sculpted by fire and water Seafloor volcanoes create steep environmental gradients, stitching together hot vents, cool eddies, and mineral gardens into mosaic habitats. Microbes harvest chemical energy, seeding food webs that support crustaceans, fishes, and skates. Cameras documented egg‑cases nestled among rocky ledges, near communities nourished by vent‑driven chemistry. These islands of productivity behave like deep‑sea oases, sustaining life far beyond the vent orifice’s flickering light. The nursery’s success underscores how geological forces engineer biological opportunity. “Finding a cradle of life tucked beneath a breathing volcano reminds us that the planet’s harshest places can be profoundly generous.” What the discovery could change The nursery reframes conservation priorities in regions where volcanism quietly underwrites reproduction. Protecting hydrothermal corridors could safeguard entire lifecycles, not just charismatic adults spotted during occasional surveys. It also sharpens questions about how climate‑driven shifts in ocean circulation might influence vent activity, temperature fields, and embryo survival. With methodical mapping, time‑series cameras, and environmental DNA, scientists can track whether nurseries remain stable or drift with geologic rhythms. Key implications include: Enhanced understanding of deep‑sea reproduction at hydrothermal sites. New conservation targets centered on geothermal nurseries. Comparative studies with other volcanic regions, from the Galápagos to rift zones. Biotechnological insights from organisms adapted to long, cold development. Better models of how seafloor heat shapes regional biodiversity. Methods behind the revelation Remotely operated vehicles threaded through chimney fields, gathering video, temperatures, and mineral signatures. High‑definition imagery captured the distinctive, horned egg cases, their edges dusted with fine volcanic silt. Geochemical profiles mapped how heat and chemicals disperse, outlining the “thermal lanes” where eggs most cluster. Combined, these datasets reveal a nursery organized by geothermal topography, with egg‑cases concentrated in pockets of gentle, sustained warmth. A fragile boon in a changing ocean Deep‑sea environments feel remote, yet they intersect with global pressures: mining proposals, cable routes, and shifting oxygen levels. The nursery’s resilience hinges on stable heat flow, intact substrates, and minimal disturbance from noise or sediment. Safeguarding such places is not just about protecting novelty; it preserves a slow, ancient strategy that lets large, long‑lived animals endure in the coldest reaches of the Pacific. Where geology and biology meet, the planet’s deep time still writes living stories. This volcano‑warmed nursery adds a vital chapter to that story, revealing how subtle thermal gifts can tip the scales toward life in the abyss. With each dive, researchers trace the contours of an unseen world, where fire feeds water, and water—against all odds—feeds the future.
Corey Lewandowski officially departs from Dept. of Homeland Security
Last week, Democrats on the House Oversight Committee sought an internal investigation into Lewandowski.
AdeptiCon Preview 2026 – A new Lumineth Realm-lords warband breezes into Warhammer Underworlds
Awesome aelves and their adorable vulpine spirit revealed.
AdeptiCon Preview 2026 – The Red Terror hunts elite Cadians in new Kill Team expansion
A man-eating Tyranid terror stalks Devlan.
Marathon has sold 1.2M copies across Steam, PS5, and Xbox
Alinea Analytics estimates show that Marathon has generated gross revenues of $55M via 1.2M copies sold on Steam, PS5, and Xbox: Looking at the split between Steam, PS5, and Xbox, Steam is clearly the main platform for Marathon, accounting for a little under 70% of the audience (800K copies sold). Meanwhile, PS5 takes about 19% (217K) and Xbox (including console, PC, and cloud) accounts for a bit over 11% or 133K. Marathon is technically a first-party Sony title, so seeing the home console struggle to break 20% of the volume is a notable data point for the ongoing platform-agnostic debate. PlayStation Studios online games will almost certainly continue being multiplatform (despite Sony reportedly pulling back on PC releases). Subscribe for free to get the most accurate games estimates in your inbox twice a week 🫶 Subscribe As for Marathon, the consensus among hardcore players who pushed through the awkward onboarding phase – myself included – is that it’s fantastic. The gunplay, aesthetic, and presentation are among the best in the shooter genre. A great game doesn’t always equal an immediate hit, though, as shown by our estimates. Things are looking lukewarm right now. But this might be one of those marathon-not-a-sprint situations. Had to, didn’t I? Why wasn’t Marathon a hit on the same level as Arc Raiders? One topic that came up in a lot of conversations at GDC this year was why Marathon hasn’t hit the same stratosphere as Arc Raiders. On paper, they’re both extraction shooters, and Marathon has the Bungie pedigree – the house that built the gold standard for gunplay in Halo and Destiny. Marathon’s neon-futuristic aesthetic also distinguishes itself from the gritty realism of Tarkov or the post-apocalyptic hope of ARC Raiders. But vibes can only get you so far for first impressions if the onboarding feels like a brick wall. Marathon is a sweaty PvP-focused experience with a first-time user experience and UI that I can only describe as dreadful. Players are dropped into a complex ecosystem where the UI, though visually striking, is functionally uninformative, forcing users to manually hover over nondescript, identical icons just to identify basic gear or weapon mods. This lack of clarity is compounded by punishing mechanics like a severe heat gauge for movement and a scarcity of vital resources, all without a clear tutorial or a low-stakes mode to learn the ropes. Most people – even top streamers and veteran shooter players – have no idea what’s going on in Marathon at first. Arc is on the complete other end of the spectrum. As we covered here and here, Arc Raiders offers a more collaborative, approachable loop where players often work together toward shared goals. And the objectives are instantly clear. To many players, this contrast only emphasised Marathon’s issues, especially during the testing period. Players understand the Arc Raiders loop within 30 minutes, while Marathon acts as a massive filter, chewing up newcomers and spitting them out before they can experience the depth of Bungie’s signature gunplay. What I’m getting at here is that the poor first-time user experience of Marathon’s Server Slam likely stifled launch sales, while the opposite was true for Arc. Let’s look at the pre-launch copies sold for each game during their respective Server Slams (launch-aligned) : Looking at the trajectory: Arc Raiders saw a massive 80% jump in copies sold during its three-day Server Slam (day -13 to -11). Players jumped in, realised the water was fine, and immediately opened their wallets. Marathon, meanwhile, saw a 49% increase in the four days following its Slam (Day -7 to -3). At the time of each game’s respective launch, Arc Raiders had nearly double the Steam footprint of Marathon – and word of mouth only continued to grow. Bungie could have had more time to fix the onboarding process had the beta happened earlier. But Marathon launched three days after the beta finished. These factors limited the launch sales quite a bit, I reckon. Marathon has found a niche audience, though Despite the friction-heavy start, the data suggests that those who survived Marathon’s onboarding are loving life. We’ve been tracking cross-platform DAUs, and while there’s the expected post-launch leakage, many players are sticking with it. After peaking at 478K total DAUs on its first Saturday, Marathon has settled into a respectable rhythm, holding 345K DAUs as of yesterday and averaging 380K DAUs across the weekend. Steam continues to do the heavy lifting here, consistently accounting for the lion’s share of the daily players. Players have been putting in the hours, too: On Steam, Marathon’s average playtime has climbed to 27.8 hours, significantly outpacing the console averages on PS5 (16.5h) and Xbox (17.3h). Even more telling than the averages: 22% of the Steam audience has surged past the 50-hour mark, and nearly 7% have already logged over 100 hours. Subscribe for free to get the most accurate games estimates in your inbox twice a week 🫶 Subscribe This data suggests that once the Bungie magic clicks, it hooks players deeper than the average extraction shooter. There’s also started to be a shift in the game’s discourse. Marathon launched as one of those games that’s cool to hate. But as Marathon’s 100-hour club grows, we’re seeing conversations around its mechanical merit outweigh the negativity. Several high-profile creators, who were initially vocal critics, have spent the last week coming around on the mechanical depth of the endgame. It’s a subtle but positive signal; the hate train is losing steam, and a new narrative about the game is emerging. Bungie faithfuls unite Another interesting metric in Marathon’s first few weeks is who, exactly, is playing. Bungie leans heavily on its prestige as the “makers of Halo and Destiny,” in its marketing, and that message has clearly hit the mark. On Steam, the gravity (hammer) of Bungie’s previous work is unavoidable. A staggering 78.2% of Marathon players also played Destiny 2. The trend carries across other platforms, with 74.2% of PS5 players and 82.7% of Xbox players also having played Destiny 2. The Halo legacy lives on, it seems. More on that in a bit. While Destiny 2 went free to play, these numbers still represent a high-intent migration of a fanbase that trusts Bungie’s specific brand of kinetic gunplay and cryptic world-building. The Xbox data adds another layer of legacy. About 85.7% of Marathon players on Xbox have played Halo Infinite, while over half of the Steam audience has spent time in Halo Infinite and 36.1% in the Master Chief Collection (a paid collection of the old Bungie-made legacy games). Interestingly, we see a 55.9% overlap with ARC Raiders on Steam. Overlap is even higher there on PlayStation (60.5%) and Xbox (66.5%). And there’s also significant crossover with Helldivers 2 on all platforms, too. Subscribe for free to get the most accurate games estimates in your inbox twice a week 🫶 Subscribe Bungie has found some of its fans with Marathon, and the challenge now is keeping this engaged in a high-stakes PvP environment when they’ve spent the last decade primarily enjoying the power fantasies of PvE. On that note… Go the full 26 miles? Or cut and run? Time for some could’ve, should’ve, would’ve. These things would have improved Marathon’s performance at launch: A more robust onboarding process, perhaps in the form of a short single-player/PvE campaign. We know Bungie fans love this stuff. A traditional arena-based mode akin to Destiny’s Crucible could have been a bridge for the cautious players who’d have been otherwise deterred by the Server Slam. It’s also a great palate cleanser after getting merked. Introducing a dedicated PvE environment would have similarly diversified the conversation and lowered the barrier for the Bungie faithful who found the pure PvP extraction loop too abrasive. PvE is safer than PvP these days. There’s an argument that a thin PvE mode would have just felt like a budget Destiny, potentially hurting the brand more. But given how dire the FTUE is, I think it would have been a net positive. Any kind of tutorialised loop that demystifies the stakes, really. While there is merit in a studio sticking firmly to a singular creative vision, and going all in on the hardcore extraction loop. Less forgiving is the technical reality is that the user interface and first-time user experience (FTUE) were not at a commercial standard for launch. Subscribe for free to get the most accurate games estimates in your inbox twice a week 🫶 Subscribe In a landscape where player time is oversaturated and the most contested currency, a flawed FTUE is a critical failure point. But it’s not all doom and gloom, as Marathon has an incredible, unique gameplay loop, suggesting that financial success is still attainable if Bungie can pivot effectively. Bungie and PlayStation now face a difficult strategic crossroads, though – one within a challenging games market. They could: Double down on Marathon with a long-term Rainbow Six Siege- or No Man’s Sky-style recovery plan, which is something I heard Last Stand Media’s Chris Maldonado mention last week. While this could be a sunk-cost fallacy in action, it could eventually yield the audience the game’s mechanical depth deserves. Shift focus toward the inevitable Destiny 3 or another project, mitigating the escalating opportunity cost and cutting their losses, so to speak. Doing both is an expensive proposition, given the high overhead and burn rate of operating out of Bellevue, Washington. With Sony recently demonstrating a lower threshold for underperforming studios and projects, the margin for error has vanished. Whatever happens, the next six months will determine whether Marathon becomes a cornerstone of Sony’s live-service portfolio or a cautionary tale of vision exceeding accessibility. I’m hoping it’s the former, because Marathon rocks. As always, hit subscribe to get updates on Marathon and other relevant games. Subscribe Want to get your hands on our data for yourself – for free? We’re offering a free trial of our platform for games companies. Send us a message here, or reply to this email, and we’ll set you up. The last word Reply to this email – or reach out here – if you have any feedback for the newsletter – or want to request a game for us to cover. [Alinea Analytics boasts the most accurate PC and console estimates in the business. Game makers use our platform to understand their audience, keep an eye on the competition, monitor sales trends, and spot new opportunities. We equip game studios and financial institutions with accurate data and the confidence to make smarter, data-driven decisions. Want to talk about all things games market data? We’d love to chat!]
Ottawa County Health Dept. issues new 'no body contact advisory' following sewage discharge
Trump orders War Dept to postpone strikes on Iranian energy sites, citing 'productive' talks to end war
President Donald Trump, in an all-caps post early Monday morning, declared progress toward "resolution" of the war on Iran.
A massive freshwater reservoir is hiding under the Great Salt Lake
A hidden freshwater system deep beneath the Great Salt Lake has been revealed using airborne electromagnetic surveys. Scientists found that freshwater extends much farther under the lake than expected, reaching depths of up to 4 kilometers. The discovery began with mysterious reed-covered mounds formed by pressurized groundwater pushing upward. Researchers are now investigating whether this underground water could help control hazardous dust from the drying lakebed.
Vaz and Tsimikas to start vs Lecce
Good attacking depth and a knack for jostling opponents. Plus, an assist and a penalty won. It may not have been enough to eliminate Bologna from the Europa League, but it might have been enough to co...
Chargers depth chart: Where roster stands after several additions
Here is the Los Angeles Chargers' updated roster after several signings, re-signings, and departures.
Lawsuit Accuses Justice Dept. Leadership of ‘Political Retribution’
The suit filed by two fired F.B.I. agents aimed to hold the Trump administration accountable for the purge of personnel who had worked on the investigations of Mr. Trump or his allies.
NEWS CENTER Maine
Through in-depth storytelling, through direct contact on digital on social platforms, through long-standing community service programs like Coats & Toys for Kids, Project Heat and Buddy to Buddy, NEWS CENTER Maine is dedicated to keeping Mainers connected. We can't do it alone, though. Only by listening and interacting with YOU can we continue to connect ALL Mainers.
Devils Rally Past Bruins in OT
It’s nights like these that make you wonder, what could have been. The New Jersey Devils certainly didn’t look like the hapless, directionless mess of a hockey team that spent the past three-plus months struggling to get out of its own way while plummeting to the darkest depths of the Eastern Conference standings. Well, maybe […]
Cells can sense 10x farther than expected and it may explain cancer spread
Scientists have discovered that cells can sense far beyond the surfaces they touch. While individual cancer cells can probe about 10 microns ahead by tugging on surrounding collagen fibers, clusters of normal epithelial cells can combine forces to detect layers as far as 100 microns away. This long-range “depth sensing” helps cells decide where to migrate. Understanding how it works could reveal new targets to stop cancer from spreading.
Seahawks free agency 2026: Seattle brings back a reserve cornerback
Seattle re-signs Shemar Jean-Charles to bolster the cornerback depth.
Kansas star Darryn Peterson recounts 'traumatic' experience with full-body cramps early in the season
The Kansas freshman got in-depth on the health struggles that have limited his availability
Cowboys change offensive line depth with new signing
The Dallas Cowboys have a new offensive lineman.
Eight free agents the Eagles should target after Day 4
A look at eight remaining free agents the Eagles should consider targeting after Day 4 of NFL free agency as Philadelphia looks to add depth and talent.