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Here’s the 2026 Polish Fest entertainment lineup

June 12-14 at Henry Maier Festival Park.

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Apr 14 • 1:05 AM EDT • Entertainment • milwaukeerecord.com
In the West, businesses can only watch, not stop drone threats

With few options available, businesses and the wealthy in the West are buying drone detectors, a technology used often in Ukraine, to spot threats.

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Apr 14 • 12:01 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
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From War Hero to Politics, Zelenskiy’s Top Aide Steps out of the Shadows

Kyrylo Budanov was taken from military intelligence to run Ukraine’s presidential office. It’s a political post that has Kyiv powerbrokers speculating over his future career path.

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Apr 14 • 12:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
Bongbong Marcos fights ill-health rumours with star jumps

The Philippine President challenged anyone questioning his fitness to join him in the gym.

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Apr 13 • 11:16 PM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona, Champions League: Preview

Barça travel to the capital looking to overturn a two-goal deficit and book a spot in the semis

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Apr 13 • 11:00 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Harry and Meghan: Sussexes arrive in Australia for four-day tour

It is the couple's first visit to Australia since 2018 when they were working royals.

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Apr 13 • 8:14 PM EDT • Business • bbc.com
Bethel conference highlights how ‘better science occurs’ with local knowledge at the table

Researchers and local experts gathered in Bethel in early April to share and compare environmental knowledge at the Western Alaska Interdisciplinary Science Conference, particularly across issues facing the Yukon-Kuwkoksim Delta.

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Apr 13 • 7:47 PM EDT • Science • kyuk.org
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Washington Nationals Announce Roster Moves After Waldichuk Injury

After some bad news was sprinkled into Sunday's win against the Brewers, securing the first sweep against the team since 2011 and first in Milwaukee since 2006, the Washington Nationals announced a flurry of moves ahead of the four game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

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Apr 13 • 5:58 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Chagos Islands treaty is now ‘impossible to agree at political level’, UK minister says

Stephen Doughty says US withdrawal of support means bill cannot complete passage through parliament

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Apr 13 • 3:58 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Decades-old Idaho campaign finance laws remain on the books. Why reforms failed

“If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. And I can tell you, nothing’s broke with people raising money,” said Nampa Republican Rep. Brent Crane.

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Apr 13 • 3:19 PM EDT • Politics • idahostatesman.com
Nige and Zia set out plan to send ‘Boriswave’ traitors to the gulag

Farage and sidekick are still sore about how the Tories handled Brexit, although new mates Braverman and Jenrick are forgiven

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Apr 13 • 1:17 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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Does anyone really want to deal with Kanye West?

A UK ban coming days after selling out two nights in California perfectly encapsulates Ye’s decades long career.

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Apr 13 • 12:51 PM EDT • Entertainment • cnn.com
Hacker group threatens to release Grand Theft Auto VI data in Rockstar Games attack

The group named ShinyHunters have accessed a third party server and have given the company a deadline of 14 April to enter ransom negotiations

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Apr 13 • 12:51 PM EDT • Technology • theguardian.com
Dobbin retires with 'serious and life-changing health issue'

Scottish 200m record holder Beth Dobbin announces her retirement following "a three-year battle with a serious and life-changing health issue".

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Apr 13 • 8:16 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Riding momentum from sweep, Nationals ready for Pirates, Paul Skenes

Fresh off their first three-game road sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers in 20 years, the Washington Nationals will try to keep their momentum going when they face the Pirates and ace Paul Skenes on Monday night in the first contest of a four-game series in Pittsburgh.

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Apr 13 • 8:13 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
County Tyrone: Campaigners claim gold mine plans would risk public health

Dalradian says its said it its proposals would "build an environmentally responsible project".

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Apr 13 • 7:29 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Paris-Roubaix: How a brutal race still thwarts Tadej Pogagcar

Paris-Roubaix's remains elite's sport's most volatile journey of daring and dust. And the Hell of the North is the one race legend Tadej Pogacar still can't win.

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Apr 13 • 6:25 AM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
Fifteen bucks a signature: the crisis of money in US politics is growing

The fight over California’s billionaire tax is just the latest symptom of a crisis that has escalated since 2010

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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Delta has big hopes to build a $5 billion maintenance business

A fast-growing revenue stream to watch at Delta Air Lines doesn’t have to do with Sky Clubs, new routes or more airplane seats. It has to do with maintenance.

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Apr 13 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • ajc.com
'It's incredible, like science fiction': How a new wave of immunotherapy is eliminating cancers

After nearly 100 years of development, treatments that bolster the body's immune system to fight cancer are coming of age – and saving patient's lives.

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Apr 13 • 5:01 AM EDT • Science • bbc.com
UK Charts: Pokémon Pokopia Is Starting To Prove Its Staying Power

But RE Requiem reigns supreme

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Apr 13 • 5:00 AM EDT • Technology • nintendolife.com
Starmer confirms UK will not support US blockade of strait of Hormuz

PM says opening waterway is ‘vital’ as he rules out any UK involvement in US moves to blockade strait

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Apr 13 • 4:13 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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UK employees invited to submit to the 12th annual Arts in HealthCare art call

In continued celebration of the many talents of the faculty and staff of the University of Kentucky and UK HealthCare, Arts in HealthCare is issuing the 12th annual juried call for art. The purpose of this call is to encourage employees to think about and experience the healing power of art and understand how art enhances the healing environment.

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Apr 13 • 4:00 AM EDT • Health • uknow.uky.edu
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Nukes and Nassau Hall: Inside Princeton’s Science and Global Security Program

Co-directors of Princeton's Science and Global Security Program Zia Mian and Alexander Glaser are working to understand nuclear arms control, nonproliferation, and policies around disarmament alongside a team of researchers and visiting scholars.

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Apr 13 • 1:42 AM EDT • Science • dailyprincetonian.com
How is online abuse putting young people off Manx politics?

A youth parliamentary committee warns online abuse is impacting attitudes towards Manx politics.

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Apr 13 • 1:20 AM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
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Doc Rivers out as Milwaukee Bucks coach, per report

Doc Rivers is out as coach of the Milwaukee Bucks after a disappointing 32-50 finish to the 2025-26 NBA season.

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Apr 12 • 9:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
DHS investigating claim about Swalwell nanny filed by conspiracy theorist

Joel Gilbert, who mailed anti-Barack Obama film to voters in 2012, accuses congressman of violating immigration law

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Apr 12 • 8:04 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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SIR in West Bengal: How exclusion of nine million voters could shape state politics

Nine million voters have been dropped from rolls in West Bengal, raising concerns over exclusion and fairness.

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Apr 12 • 7:59 PM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
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Stormont urged to delay workers' rights reforms by business leaders

The Good Jobs Bill would give workers a range of enhanced rights including an effective ban on zero hour contracts.

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Apr 12 • 7:07 PM EDT • Business • bbc.com
Florida State freshman linebacker shining at spring practice

Florida State true freshman linebacker Karon Maycock has been putting on a show during spring practice.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Christian Yelich leaves Brewers' game against Nationals with hamstring tightness

Christian Yelich left the Milwaukee Brewers' game against the Washington Nationals on Sunday with tightness in his left hamstring. It wasn't immediately clear how Yelich got hurt. He was the designated hitter and went 0 for 2, hitting grounders each time.

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Apr 12 • 4:08 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Chelsea 0-3 Man City: What Rosenior said

If you go down against teams as good as this, what you have to do for the next five minutes is to stay in the game. It ended up being a really, really difficult second half." On building resilience in the team: "I am accountable.

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Apr 12 • 2:36 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Brewers score vs Nationals today, live game updates, highlights, lineups

The Brewers will try to avoid being swept by the Nationals on Sunday afternoon at American Family Field.

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Apr 12 • 12:56 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
The Guardian view on AI politics: US datacentre protests are a warning to big tech

Editorial: In both Republican and Democratic states, scepticism and hostility towards an unregulated construction boom is growing

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Apr 12 • 12:42 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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Scottish election 2026: Party leaders to go head-to-head in debate

The leaders of six political parties face questions from a live studio audience at Paisley Town Hall.

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Apr 12 • 12:35 PM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
Cologne wins Bundesliga relegation duel 3-1 against 10-man Werder Bremen

Cologne eased its Bundesliga relegation worries on Sunday with a 3-1 win over 10-man Werder Bremen that left the visiting team just outside the drop zone. Wagner has been handed the reins for the rest of the season after Cologne fired Lukas Kwasniok as coach on March 22.

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Apr 12 • 11:54 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Duke hosting Kansas transfer Flory Bidunga on visit

Duke is set to host top portal prospect Flory Bidunga out of Kansas as he evaluates NBA Draft interest and potential landing spots.

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Apr 12 • 11:45 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Duke basketball under Jon Scheyer: Insiders reveal transfer portal news, 2026 recruits, roster, best targets

TheDevilsDen, the 247Sports affiliate of the Duke Blue Devils, shares its latest college basketball transfer portal news

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Apr 12 • 10:49 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Shropshire sports charity's £510k award to get people moving

The funding will be used to support people who "face the greatest barriers to being active".

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Apr 12 • 10:19 AM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
Brewers ask Brandon Woodruff to salvage series finale vs. Nationals

The Milwaukee Brewers will turn to veteran Brandon Woodruff as they look to avoid a series sweep by the visiting Washington Nationals on Sunday afternoon.

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Apr 12 • 8:04 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Broussard: LeBron James runs Lakers' offense better than Luka Doncic

Chris Broussard of Fox Sports 1 feels that as great as Luka Doncic has spearheaded the Lakers' offense, LeBron James may be even better in that area.

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Apr 12 • 8:02 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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In a surprise move, Capcom now lets you buy the original Resident Evil games

Capcom recently re-released the original three Resident Evil games on Steam, and hopefully, it isn't a fluke.

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Apr 12 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • avclub.com
How do you give a giant otter a health check?

Staff at Jersey Zoo had to overcome challenging logistics to help one of their large mammals.

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Apr 12 • 7:44 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Are ancient grains better for you? The surprising truth about quinoa and spelt

Is the hype around the health benefits of ancient grains justified? Scientists say its not as clear-cut as you might think.

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Apr 12 • 6:00 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
UK’s Reeves to Set Out Plans to Help Business With Energy Bills

The UK government will set out plans to boost the competitiveness of businesses at a time of rising energy bills, Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves said, while warning against heavy government borrowing.

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Apr 12 • 4:38 AM EDT • Business • bloomberg.com
Pols & Politics: Romney, Patrick, Dukakis, Weld, and Healey to celebrate 20 years of MassHealth

A group of former Massachusetts governors will be joining Gov. Healey in Boston to celebrate 20 years of public health insurance as two of three GOP gubernatorial candidates gear up for a debate.

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Apr 12 • 4:17 AM EDT • Politics • bostonherald.com
Health Secretary Wes Streeting to face questions on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg

This week, Victoria Derbyshire is stepping in for Laura Kuenssberg. Tory MP James Cartlidge and Liberal Democrats leader Ed Davey will also be on the show.

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Apr 12 • 4:03 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
Reform’s Startup Culture Raises Risks Ahead of Local Elections

Earlier this year, as Reform UK official Shaun Wilkinson was shortlisting candidates for May’s local elections, he watched in astonishment as a superior remotely replaced one pick in the shared spreadsheet with a recent Conservative defector who he’d rejected.

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Apr 12 • 2:00 AM EDT • Politics • bloomberg.com
See How the Brewers Suffered Another Loss

The Milwaukee Brewers' skid has extended to four games, and a common theme continues to plague them.

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Apr 11 • 10:55 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Jarred Vanderbilt talks about incident with Lakers coach JJ Redick

Jarred Vanderbilt seems like he has put his heated interaction with Lakers coach JJ Redick in the past.

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Apr 11 • 9:33 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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The Dirt: Frontier Behavioral Health planning new Spokane location

The longstanding location of Spokane Roofing Company will soon become a Frontier Behavioral Health location, according to a construction permit application submitted to the city of Spokane.

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Apr 11 • 9:30 PM EDT • Health • spokesman.com
Costco Just Introduced the Kirkland Product Fans Have 'Been Waiting For,' and It's Selling Out Fast

Costco’s Kirkland Signature Ultra-Filtered Reduced Fat Milk, which is remarkably similar to Fairlife 2% Lactose-Free Milk, boasts 13 grams of protein per serving and half of the sugar compared to regular milk, at a fraction of the cost.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 PM EDT • Technology • allrecipes.com
Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy can't stop riding Augusta rollercoaster

Rory McIlroy says he will have to play better on Sunday if he is to defend his Masters title after letting slip a six-shot lead at Augusta National.

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Apr 11 • 7:55 PM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
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Milwaukee Marathon proves healthy way to deal with college stress

Three college students ran the Milwaukee half marathon together, dressed up as the cutest of cows, as a way to run off stress.

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Apr 11 • 7:52 PM EDT • Health • sports.yahoo.com
Late-Inning Pushes Lift Shenandoah Past Lynchburg in Doubleheader Sweep

The University of Lynchburg softball team dropped both ends of an ODAC doubleheader against Shenandoah on Friday at Moon Field, falling 11-7 in game one and 6-5 in game two.

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Apr 11 • 7:08 PM EDT • Sports • lynchburgsports.com
Brian Cox: ‘We don’t know how powerful AI is going to become – it’s both exciting and potentially a problem’

The physicist, BBC presenter and author on snowflakes, art v science and the time Paul McCartney quizzed him about one of Saturn’s moons

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Apr 11 • 4:00 PM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
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‘I jumped at it’: Australia’s new CDC chief on trust, misinformation and never being surprised by a health threat

Zoe Wainer’s parents started the country’s first public abortion clinic. Now she is making history too, as the inaugural head of the Australian Centre for Disease Control

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Apr 11 • 4:00 PM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
Are the Bills better after offseason additions and departures?

The Bills made some big moves, including trading for DJ Moore and signing Bradley Chubb. Is Buffalo’s roster improved?

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Apr 11 • 12:01 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Detroit Lions 2026 NFL Draft Need Analysis: Quarterback

The Lions seem solid at the QB position for 2026, but could they add a developmental QB?

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Apr 11 • 11:46 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Women's Six Nations 2026: England 33-12 Ireland - hosts open title defence with victory

England open title defence with comfortable win over Ireland in front of a record Women's Six Nations crowd of 77,120 at Allianz Stadium.

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Apr 11 • 11:24 AM EDT • Sports • bbc.com
Photo Of Cameron Brink, LeBron James Grabs Basketball World's Attention

WNBA star Cameron Brink was at Crypto.com Arena on Friday night to watch LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers square off against the Phoenix Suns. Unfortunately for the Lakers, this month hasn't been very kind to them. A few days ago, All-Star guard Luka Doncic suffered a grade 2 hamstring ...

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Apr 11 • 10:38 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani breaks Ichiro Suzuki all-time MLB record

Shohei just keeps making baseball history.

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Apr 11 • 9:43 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
2026 a huge year for one veteran Cowboys player

2026 is a huge year for DeMarvion Overshown.

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Apr 11 • 9:00 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Major Wolverhampton genetics study targets community health gaps

A study invites Pakistani and Bangladeshi residents in Wolverhampton to help improve health care.

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Apr 11 • 8:25 AM EDT • Health • bbc.com
From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead

Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page star in a slinky new romcom, while the dissolute teens of the US drama are back in their 20s

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Apr 11 • 1:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • theguardian.com
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Shohei Ohtani breaks Ichiro Suzuki's MLB on-base streak record for Japanese players
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Apr 10 • 11:57 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Shohei Ohtani passes Ichiro Suzuki for another Japanese MLB record

Ohtani has reached base in 44 consecutive regular season games, dating back to last August.

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Apr 10 • 11:37 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Healthdaq: Recruitment platform used by health trusts targeted by cyber attackers

Hackers claim to have stolen hundreds of thousands of files containing personal data from the platform.

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Apr 10 • 7:01 PM EDT • Health • bbc.com
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Personal trainer shocked to find health company using his photos

Sion documented his weight loss journey online and was shocked to find a company was using his photos.

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Apr 10 • 5:55 PM EDT • Health • bbc.com
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Player Availability Report: #SKCvSJ

Player Availability Report is SportingKC.com’s look at the latest status updates around the team ahead of upcoming matches and is presented by Saint Luke’s. All details listed are from the league’s official Player Status Report that is submitted the day prior to the match. Sporting Kansas City is set to

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Apr 10 • 5:47 PM EDT • Sports • sportingkc.com
DC beauty supply store facing evictions, trying to keep business and hope alive

Kuku Rose sat outside of her beuty supply store on Georgia Avenue

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Apr 10 • 5:10 PM EDT • Business • wjla.com
Reform UK local election candidate was twice disciplined by Tories over ‘racist comments’

Tories disowned Derek Bullock in 2023 after he allegedly used a racial slur to called for people of Pakistani heritage to be shot

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Apr 10 • 2:04 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Science finds surprising link between your martial status and risk of cancer

Married people tend to have greater financial stability and stronger social support, which can help them maintain healthier habits and get medical care earlier, researchers noted

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Apr 10 • 1:25 PM EDT • Science • independent.co.uk
Injecting humour into science is risky

Letters: Roger Downie notes that jokes can be lost in translation, while Tim Jones remembers a feeble attempt at humour, and Denis McCullough recalls a few physics gags

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Apr 10 • 12:42 PM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
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Italy's UniCredit says no plans to liquidate Russian business

UniCredit ​said on ‌Friday it had ​no ​plans to liquidate ⁠its ​Russian business ​or return the banking ​licence ​held by its ‌local ⁠subsidiary, which the Italian ​lender ​has ⁠held onto ​during ​the ⁠Ukraine conflict.

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Apr 10 • 12:26 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
How Trump’s ‘wall of noise’ is changing Australian politics – Back to Back Barries podcast

Tony Barry and Barrie Cassidy discuss the fragile ceasefire in Iran and the pressure building on Australian politicians to respond to Donald Trump’s escalating rhetoric.

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Apr 10 • 11:00 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
CPUID site hijacked to serve malware instead of HWMonitor downloads

: Six-hour breach turned trusted links into a coin toss between legit tools and credential stealers

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Apr 10 • 8:53 AM EDT • Technology • theregister.com
Legislators, behavioral health professionals discuss Westmoreland County mental health goals, challenges

Legislators and behavioral health professionals will discuss the mental health challenges and priorities among Westmoreland County residents Friday. The fourth annual mental health legislative breakfast, held at the Westmoreland Intermediate Unit, is a partnership between Westmoreland County Commissioner Doug Chew, Mental Health America of Southwestern Pennsylvania and Adelphoi. This year’s

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Apr 10 • 8:32 AM EDT • Health • triblive.com
The best recent science fiction, fantasy and horror

Loss Protocol by Paul McAuley; Night Babies by Lucie McKnight Hardy; Honeysuckle by Bar Fridman-Tell; Japanese Gothic by Kylie Lee Baker

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • theguardian.com
Team IMPACT CEO Krissie Kelleher understands the healing power of sports, teamwork and community

Krissie Kelleher used lessons from her lacrosse career to guide her daughter through surgeries and treatment for a spinal cord tumor. Witnessing how sports helped her daughter heal emotionally and physically inspired Kelleher to lead Team IMPACT, a national nonprofit connecting children facing serious illness with NCAA sports teams. Today, the organization partners with more than 400 schools and 1,100 teams to help kids build confidence, find community and experience hope through teamwork.

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • ncaa.org
Adyen tool speeds business payments

Financial operations at global enterprises remain “stubbornly complex,” as treasury teams juggle multiple banking and payment systems, the company said.

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Apr 10 • 6:51 AM EDT • Business • paymentsdive.com
Trump started the Iran war with 5 goals. How far has he really gotten?

The president claimed he achieved them all. The reality is more complicated.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
How Amazing Stories Served as the Blueprint for American Science Fiction

A century ago, at a Waukegan, Illinois boardinghouse run by his grandparents, an auburn-haired, six-year-old boy named Ray Bradbury used to search for copies of Amazing Stories left behind by the g…

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Apr 10 • 4:59 AM EDT • Science • lithub.com
Google Rolls Out DBSC in Chrome 146 to Block Session Theft on Windows

Google releases DBSC in Chrome 146 for Windows, binding cookies to devices to reduce session theft and prevent unauthorized access.

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Apr 10 • 3:58 AM EDT • Technology • thehackernews.com
Starmer says he is ‘fed up’ with Trump and Putin’s impact on UK energy costs

PM appears to draw comparison between Russian and US leaders and calls for plan to restore shipping through strait of Hormuz

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Apr 10 • 3:55 AM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Firefighters tackle blaze at Guildford recycling business

Six crews are sent to the scene in Fairlands, Guilford, after the fire broke out in the early hours.

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Apr 10 • 2:54 AM EDT • Business • bbc.com
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Welcome to Y’all Street: bullish Dallas aims to steal New York’s financial crown

Texas city believes loose rules and low taxes will make the US’s biggest banks come running – can it pull it off?

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Apr 10 • 2:00 AM EDT • Business • theguardian.com
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Lakers stay No. 4 seed, dominate Warriors on the road

SAN FRANCISCO — No Luka Dončić.

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Apr 10 • 1:33 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Clippers, Trail Blazers duke it out for No. 8 seed

Jockeying for positioning in the Western Conference play-in round hits the home stretch on Friday when the Portland Trail Blazers welcome the Los Angeles Clippers for a crucial showdown.

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Apr 9 • 10:39 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
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IT rules: India proposes new digital rules to regulate news and political posts on social media

The changes will give government more power over news-related posts shared by podcasters and influencers.

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Apr 9 • 8:23 PM EDT • Politics • bbc.com
Melania says her piece about Epstein – doth the lady protest too much?

The first lady unleashed a barrage of denials – and put one of her husband’s biggest political liabilities back on the agenda

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Apr 9 • 6:17 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
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Stanford star G Ebuka Okorie enters NBA draft

Stanford star guard Ebuka Okorie, of Nashua, said Thursday that he is declaring for the NBA draft after leading the Atlantic Coast Conference in scoring as a freshman.

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Apr 9 • 6:05 PM EDT • Sports • unionleader.com
Ancient Korean society practiced human sacrifice and high inbreeding, researchers find

A genomic analysis of dozens of ancient Korean skeletons revealed a special "sacrificial caste" of people.

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Apr 9 • 5:57 PM EDT • Science • livescience.com
US conservatives sue to dismantle Native Hawaiian healthcare scholarships

Do No Harm activist group alleges ‘racial discrimination’ in program designed to support under-served communities

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Apr 9 • 4:50 PM EDT • Health • theguardian.com
Kansas City health leaders announce new integrated theranostics research and treatment center

The center will unite diagnostics, molecular imaging, radiopharmaceutical production and targeted therapies under one coordinated platform.

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Apr 9 • 4:03 PM EDT • Health • aha.org
Wisconsin legalizes online sports betting after Evers signs bill

Gov. Tony Evers signed a bill legalizing online sports betting in Wisconsin on Thursday, April 9, but bettors must wait while the state negotiates agreements with tribal nations.

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Apr 9 • 4:02 PM EDT • Sports • fox6now.com
Judge rules youth organization can keep Waukee sports complex

A judge ruled in favor of the Iowa Youth Athletic Foundation, allowing the organization to retain ownership of the Kettlestone Sports Complex in Waukee after a property tax dispute.

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Apr 9 • 3:05 PM EDT • Sports • kcci.com
Israel’s attacks on Lebanon should not be happening, says Keir Starmer

In article for Guardian, PM also calls for Iran conflict to become watershed moment for future UK security

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Apr 9 • 1:32 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Amazon upsets ebook lovers by ending support for old Kindle devices

Up to 2m e-readers made before 2013 will no longer be able to download new titles

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Apr 9 • 1:17 PM EDT • Technology • theguardian.com