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2026 Week 6 Preview: Tulane Green Wave @ Army Black Knights
Two high-powered rushing attacks meet in West Point for the first time since the 2024 American title game.
Democrats’ mail ballot shift: From the Politics Desk
Plus, what we learned from last night’s debates.
Boston’s rats are talking. Scientists are listening with AI.
Boston rats call all night at pitches humans can’t hear. AI is helping Northeastern scientists figure out what they’re saying.
Netflix’s Summer of Bummer
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) Today, I’ve got a guest post from longtime friend of the newsletter, Brandon Katz. I’ve been trying to find time all summer to look at Netflix’s straight-to-streaming film slate, but between a pre-planned trip and Nielsen moving up their streaming data timeline, I’ve been swamped. So I reached out to Brandon, one of my favorite fellow analysts, to write about it. And I feel like he captured the tone and data focus of the newsletter perfectly. You can connect with Brandon on LinkedIn and Twitter. Enjoy! Don’t worry, folks. You’re in safe hands with me. To ease any anxieties about an interloper in ESG’s domain, I’ll start by stealing one of his best framing devices: headlines. Box office flops are covered in the same way the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles eye pizza: with cartoonish insatiability. I would know. I’m a former reporter who wrote nearly identical headlines: Yet, intentionally or not, streaming misses get treated with kids gloves, filtered through a rosy lens: In the last six years, U.S. streaming viewership has become nearly as transparent as the box office, but the data often arrives weeks later, in a number of less intuitive metrics, and with nary an official budget to be found. This plays into the Wall Street-whispering narratives major streamers have been cultivating for years. They get a pass in a way that theatrical studios simply don’t. Subscribe Netflix’s Summer Slate Not a single Netflix original film released between May and August this year opened above 20 million U.S. TV hours, per Nielsen. That benchmark usually serves as the EntStrategyGuy’s floor for a streaming hit on Netflix. None of these films enjoyed a hit-cementing single week of 20-plus million hours during their runs. Netflix’s two best films were true crime docs, Maternal Instinct (16.5 million hours) and The Crash (19.7 million), the best overall week for a film this summer. Great for most other streamers, but not necessarily what we’re used to seeing from Netflix. For an overly-dramatic comparison, Happy Gilmore 2 opened last summer to around 47 million hours (celebrity cameos, baby!). Zooming out, the picture looks even worse. In 2026, Netflix’s five biggest scripted summer films posted the lowest average (28.6 million hours) and median (28.8 million hours) eight-week viewership totals of the past four years. Now, it’s unrealistic and unfair to expect Netflix to deliver a _KPop Demon Hunters-_sized hit every year. But it’s also not ideal to see the size of their hits shrinking over the last few summers. Let’s quickly run through some of the notable summer misses. Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein’s perfectly fine romcom, Office Romance, fell off the charts after 20 million hours in its first two weeks. Top films usually last for four-plus weeks. Starry titles ideally don’t decay that fast either. Homegrown star Millie Bobby Brown couldn’t prevent the snappy Enola Holmes franchise from diminishing returns. At 14.3 million U.S. hours, the third film posted roughly half of what the first two films did in their first two weeks. What’s on Netflix calculated that per-day global views were down nearly 60% from the second movie. The Whisper Man did okay with more than 36 million hours over its first four weeks. But I expected a little more juice from a film featuring Robert De Niro, Michelle Monaghan, and Adam Scott. Kevin Hart’s Ladies First collected just 11.2 million hours total across two weeks. That’s a big miss for one of Netflix’s go-to stars. Plopping into the same bucket are Sunny Sandler’s Don’t Say Good Luck (10.3 million in two weeks) and John Cena’s Little Brother (17.5 million). Meanwhile, English-language originals Color Book (June 19), In the Hand of Dante (June 24) and Heartstopper Forever (July 17) never sniffed Nielsen’s Top 10 at all, despite needing only 2 to 5 million hours to land in the top ten most weeks. (By my count, eleven English-language scripted original films released between May and August did chart). It’s only fair to mention that Swapped (1-May) posted nearly 42 million U.S. hours over five weeks (the longest Netflix original run this summer) and is currently their eighth most-watched English-language film ever worldwide. Remarkably Bright Creatures (37 million, 4 weeks) and Voicemails for Isabelle (27 million, 4 weeks) weren’t bombs either. Still, overall, I think it’s fair to say this was a quieter summer season than we’re used to seeing from the market-leader. You might not realize that given the language commonly used in public analysis. The Twist Despite the starkly black-and-white tone of the coverage, here’s the twist: when many box office bombs arrive on streaming, their viewership looks a whole lot like many of Netflix’s supposedly successful summer releases. Hmm, where have we heard that one before? Masters of the Universe topped out at $65 million stateside against a $170 million budget_._ I’ll admit, Skeletor ripping sleeveless curls as a gym bro and bodyslamming Adam’s co-workers was funny. But, much to the chagrin of my bank account, my laughter doesn’t launch franchises. Yet the He-Man reboot opened to 19.6 million hours (from a Wednesday five-day opening instead of just one weekend), on par with Hoppers on Disney+ (19.4 million). It put up nearly 47 million hours over its first six weeks, bigger than all of Netflix’s summer releases. Pretty darn healthy and likely to land among the 25 most-watched movies on streaming this year. Sticking with Amazon, The Sheep Detectives just barely broke even at the box office with $133 million worldwide (and only $66 million domestic). I never expected cloven-hooved, cud-chewing mammals to be able to bring me to tears. Yet that’s exactly how I found myself at the end of this surprisingly affecting movie (#NoShame). It was likely the unexpected quality in a family-friendly film that powered its streaming over-performance. Sheep Detectives delivered a solid run for Prime video netting 26.2 million hours! How about franchise IP? Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu had the lowest opening ($81 million) and lowest-grossing Disney-era live-action Star Wars film ($178 million domestic). One day before release, its Heat score (19.8%)—audiences who list their interest as a 7/7—fell behind blockbusters Wicked (21%), Superman (23%), Fantastic Four: First Steps (23%), Michael (23%), Toy Story 5 (26%) and Avatar: Fire and Ash (27%), according to Greenlight Analytics. The urgent enthusiasm just wasn’t there. On streaming, Mando opened to weeks of 12.1 million, 6.1 million and 2.7 million hours (21 million total) over its first three frames. Not the numbers Lucasfilm was hoping for nor the numbers of a streaming hit. But they’re in the same vicinity as some Netflix summer releases with $345 million at the global box office to offset a smidgen of the pain. Final Thoughts So why oh why does this nuance gap exist? Four key reasons: Data Literacy: A “$100 million opening” just makes sense. After decades of box office reporting, even casual movie fans are well-versed in the benchmarks of hits and home runs. There’s an immediate shorthand. But “16.5 million” hours doesn’t land nearly as cleanly. Despite leaps of progress, the streaming ratings era is still in its infancy compared to theatrical. The EntStrategyGuy and I met thanks to a late 2010s group chat of data nerds hungry to find a shred of certainty in nebulous streaming performance. I’m not surprised to see “No. 1 on Netflix” still getting misconstrued out in the wild. Timing: By Friday morning, we have the box office’s Thursday night previews totaled, allowing us to better project the weekend’s expectations. From there, ticket sales are reported daily. By Sunday, the film’s fate is usually finalized, at least in terms of public perception. In streaming, Nielsen recently improved its delay to…two weeks. The medium isn’t forced to contend with instant gratification as harshly. Financials: Theatrical film budgets are a mere Google away. Profit and loss is calculated in the cold and unforgiving naked light of day for all to see. But finding the vast majority of streaming exclusive movie budgets requires the forensic investigation skills of a Criminal Minds detective. Also, it’s very difficult to calculate how much revenue/value a straight-to-streaming films provides a streamer. This is why there are so few stories about streaming original movies “losing X amount of money”. On top of that, marketing budgets are far greater for theatrical movies than streaming exclusive movies, which leads to earlier and better awareness. This then translates to a wider pool of potential interest. Narrative Control: Netflix is the only major streaming service to publish weekly first-hand viewership data and annual engagement reports. Naturally, some headlines borrow their first-hand framing**.** Other streamers benefit from their comparative lack of transparency. They may occasionally announce vague performance platitudes such as Apple TV’s Mayday becoming its “biggest film debut on the platform to date over its first 18 days,” and that it ranked No. 1 with left-handed viewers in its first weekend. (Fine, I made up that second one). But, for the most part, they keep first-hand viewership shrouded in mystery to avoid bad press. Especially for outlets that demand multiple articles per day from their writers, it’s an easy (and understandable) way for some reporters to hit their daily article quota by just repeating what the streamers have told them. TL:DR version: Streaming-exclusive movies are asked to do different things than theatrical movies, but that doesn’t mean they should escape judgment. Both still need to draw enough eyeballs to justify their cost within the proper performance contexts. The more cleanly we can inject a little nuance into streaming analysis, the better we’ll understand the audience and content trends that drive this industry. And that’s what all of this is really about: knowing what audiences actually want! Brandon Katz is the Director of Insights & Content Strategy at Greenlight Analytics where he focuses on evaluating the ever-fluid media landscape to unearth understanding, opportunity and value. Greenlight Analytics is the entertainment intelligence consulting company redefining how Hollywood finds, understands, and activates audiences. Prior to joining Greenlight Analytics, he served as the senior entertainment industry strategist at Parrot Analytics, and as a full-time entertainment industry reporter covering the Xs and Os of Hollywood, most notably with TheWrap and the Observer.
Late-night snacking may affect liver health
New research led by Oregon Health & Science University suggests you should think twice about indulging in a late-night snack if you'd like to preserve liver health.
College of the Redwoods Hosting 35th Annual Science Night October 16th
“College of the Redwoods will hold its 35th annual Science Night Friday, October 16th, 2026, 5 pm – 8 pm.”
Layne Riggs Tops NASCAR Truck Series Practice at Charlotte
Layne Riggs, who finds himself behind the eight ball, err, the No. 11 truck of Kaden Honeycutt — in the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship standings, began his quest to reclaim the point lead by pacing practice for Friday night’s Ecosave 200 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. With a lap time of 30.132 seconds (179.211 mph), […] The post Layne Riggs Tops NASCAR Truck Series Practice at Charlotte appeared first on TobyChristie.com.
Think your dog is ruining your sleep? Science says it might be you
Can sleeping with your dog help you get a better night's sleep? New research suggests it might. There's nothing better than waking up with a pup curled up next to you. (Scripps News)
Eminem appears on new track 'Madara' with rappers Ez Mil, Hideyoshi
DETROIT — Eminem appears on "Madara," a new track from Philippines-born rapper Ez Mil, released overnight on Friday, Oct. 9. "Madara" also features Tokyo rapper Hideyoshi and voice actor Neil
How to Watch Fire Country Season 5 Premiere
Fire Country is back for a fifth season and the first episode of the season premieres Friday night at 9 p.m. ET on CBS CBS debuts the fifth season of Fire
Mitch Marner Gets Latest Laugh vs. Maple Leafs
Thursday night marked the third time that Mitch Marner has played against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Marner still hasn’t lost to his former team while now suiting up for the Vegas Golden Knights. The Golden Knights pulled out a 4-3 victory in a shootout to ensure that Marner is now 3-0 lifetime against the team […] The post Mitch Marner Gets Latest Laugh vs. Maple Leafs appeared first on HEAVY.
Does ‘Galactic Racer’ Deserve The Best ‘Star Wars’ Metascore In 23 Years? Yes
Galactic Racer is the best-reviewed Star Wars game since Knights of the Old Republic, and it deserves that crown.
Cowboys have plenty of reason for concern after home loss to winless Buccaneers
The Cowboys (2-3) fell 24-16 on Thursday night to a Bucs team with undrafted rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels filling in for the injured Baker Mayfield.
How to watch no. 8 BYU Football vs. Iowa State
BYU Football is back home in Provo on Friday night and will face the Iowa State Cyclones. BYU is a perfect 4-0 on the season while Iowa State is 3-2. Both the Cyclones and BYU Cougars hail from the Big 12 Conference, where BYU is 2-0 and Iowa State is 1-1. BYU most recently played […]
Man leaving Jacksonville business shot in head, arm by person he’d argued with earlier in the day: JSO
Hurricane Isaias is strengthening over the Gulf of Mexico, with landfall expected tonight or early Saturday in the warning area, the National Hurricane Center said Friday morning.
In New York Governor's Race, a Republican Rallies With Trump and Leans Into His Political Playbook
NEW YORK (AP) — In his campaign to become the next governor of New York, Republican Bruce Blakeman has suggested Democrats might steal the election, played up fears about immigrant criminals and posted AI-generated videos depicting the state as dangerous and unaffordable. And on Friday night, he'll ...
Detroit Pistons: Scouting The End Of The Bench
The Detroit Pistons played a total of 16 players during their two-point preseason win over the Phoenix Suns on Monday night
Why Magic's Wendell Carter Jr. Needs to be Consistent
Orlando Magic center Wendell Carter Jr. showed more flashes of what he can do on Wednesday night, and his team needs that consistency.
The 2026 Lookout List: Arts and Entertainment
Theaters, galleries, ballet, dancing, concerts, karaoke and dive bars: the arts and entertainment scene in Lane County is bursting at the seams with options for a night out, no matter what you’re into. (We’re a multifaceted kind of place; you can be just as into the fine arts as you are into belting at karaoke.)
Five Premier League home games back on sale next week
City’s Premier League home clashes with Spurs, Nottingham Forest, Arsenal, Newcastle United and Everton will all go back on sale on Friday 16 October. Club News Make a Night of It: Champions League ...
Museum of Science opens another immersive venue for live events
The 10,000-square-foot William and Charlotte Bloomberg Public Science Common was supported by a $155 million gift from Bloomberg Philanthropies. It can transform into an immersive environment with video projections and movable LED walls.
Josh Tolentino: Orioles’ missteps testing limits of fan support
BALTIMORE — Bryan Baker closed out a playoff sweep of the New York Yankees for the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday night, all while his former organization made national headlines
Unity woman paralyzed in sledding accident partners in new styling business
Angela Vaslavsky knows she will walk again. After being launched into a pair of downed trees while sledding on New Year’s Eve, Vaslavsky, 44, suffered a paralyzing spinal cord injury. Doctors thought she might not survive the night, let alone regain mobility in her arms or legs. Ten months later,
When is trick-or-treat night 2026 in Lancaster County?
Halloween falls on a Saturday this year — does that change anything with trick-or-treating in Lancaster County?
'NAZA' review: Israeli documentary is a living nightmare
Documentary "NAZA" examines how Israeli forces use AI and surveillance systems to target and kill Palestinians.
Opinion: Trust fall: ads for Kansas candidates address voters’ slumping faith in almost everything
Opinion from Eric Thomas: I watched 52 Kansas campaign commercials today so that you don’t have to. Actually, for the next few weeks you will still be watching them. Whether you want them or not, they will still be on during the nightly news, college football games and re-runs of “Everybody Loves Raymond.”
WA ‘millionaires tax’ debate pits budget needs against fears of taxes for all
Despite some heated exchanges and dire forecasts of budget holes and secret tax plans, neither side in the fight over Washington’s new "millionaires tax" landed a knockout blow Thursday night in a Seattle Times-KING 5 debate on a voter initiative...
Dr. Texas Rüegg explains the science behind every sip at Rueggenbach Brewing Co.
When it comes to the craft beer scene in East Texas, Dr. Texas Rüegg has made a name for himself as co-owner of the Rueggenbach Brewing Co in Marshall. In this edition of East Texas Tonight, we learn why Dr. Rüegg went from working in education to opening his own brewery, the challenges of starting your own business, and the science behind every sip!
El-Sayed's Vow to "Uncap the Payroll Tax" Would Impose a 57% Tax Rate on Michigan Small and Midsized Businesses and the Self-Employed
On Thursday night Democrat senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed vowed to drastically raise the payroll tax on Michiganders by removing the payroll tax cap. "We
Science Hill and Sullivan East capture District volleyball championships
(WJHL) — It was high school district volleyball championship night in Classes 2 and 3-A in the region. Science Hill faced Dobyns-Bennett at David Crockett High School, and Sullivan East faced Eliza…
Marble Hill ICE shooting sparks protests, outrage from political leaders, activists
New York City officials and political leaders condemned federal immigration authorities Thursday night after a shooting involving a federal immigration officer in Marble Hill.
El-Sayed, Rogers trade barbs over Iran war, gas prices in Michigan Senate debate
What began as a debate over Michigan families’ rising costs quickly turned into a heated political showdown Thursday night, as Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers traded personal attacks in their race for the U.S. Senate.
Bucky Irving gives Bucs 21-10 lead
Bucky Irving has 122 rushing yards, and his second touchdown of the night has given the Buccaneers a 21-10 lead.
East Texas Tonight: Dr. Texas Rüegg explains the science behind every sip at Rueggenbach Brewing Co.
In this edition of East Texas Tonight, we learn why Dr. Rüegg went from working in education to opening his own brewery, the challenges of starting your own business, and the science behind every sip!
‘Con man’ and ‘cowardly’: Personal insults fly in heated Michigan, Georgia Senate debates
It didn’t take long for the personal attacks to fly in Thursday night’s debates for two marquee Senate races in Georgia and Michigan.
Michigan Senate debate between Rogers and El-Sayed grows hostile quickly
Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed are facing in their first debate in Michigan's closely watched Senate race. The Thursday night debate in Grand Rapids comes after weeks of
📋 Palmeiras and Bahia line-ups confirmed for Brasileirão clash
It's a night of Brasileirão 2026 action at Nubank Parque. Palmeiras and Bahia face off at 9:30 p.m. (Brasília time) this Thursday (8).The clash is part of Matchday 29 of the competition. Bráulio da...
Maple Leafs Handed Clear Fight Prediction Before Golden Knights Game
The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Vegas Golden Knights this Thursday, October 8, and the conversation ahead of the game centers not only on possible lineups and outcomes, but also on potential fights.In the latest edition of The Leafs Morning Take, Nick Alberga and Jay Rosehill discussed who could be the first Leafs player to […] The post Maple Leafs Handed Clear Fight Prediction Before Golden Knights Game appeared first on HEAVY.
How Trump Has Alienated Republican Voters
Plus, a big debate night in Senate battlegrounds.
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys live updates, inactives, news: Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb host UDFA rookie Jalon Daniels & Co. on 'Thursday Night Football'
Katie Nolan genuinely baffled by ‘the rehabilitation of Deshaun Watson’
If you made it to this Thursday still blissfully unaware that Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson played on Thursday Night Football last week, how? Amazon’s Prime Video really wanted everyone to know about Deshaun Watson playing on Thursday Night Football. Before kickoff, Taylor Rooks sat down with Watson. During the game, Al Michaels and Kirk Herbstreit glossed over…
Arts and Entertainment lineup for Oct. 9-19
Note: for a complete list of calendar events from around Garfield County and the Roaring Fork Valley, go to http://www.postindependent.com/entertainment/community-calendar/. Embervine: A Night of ’70s, ’80s and ’90s Hits What: Bring your friends and your...
Garrity missed crucial opportunities during debate, political experts say
Pennsylvania Treasurer Stacy Garrity missed opportunities to defend her ties to President Donald Trump and deliver stronger attacks on Gov. Josh Shapiro during Wednesday night’s gubernatorial debate, according to five
Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed debate tonight in Grand Rapids
Here's how to watch tonight's U.S. Senate debate between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed.
12 things to do around the Seattle area this weekend
From a must-try spot for date night to a pumpkin-studded trail, here are the latest local things to do around the Seattle area.
City council debates higher taxes on big corporations, expanding small business exemptions
The proposal could exempt 18,000 small businesses from city taxes while generating millions in new revenue, but critics warn it could drive companies away.
Low-cost Android phones ship with residential proxy malware
A malware campaign dubbed 'Midnight Mimosa' has been discovered on low-cost Android smartphones that ship with malicious software embedded in their firmware, allowing attackers to silently install apps, perform ad fraud, and turn devices into residential proxies.
Cosmic Baseball brings Neon Night to Gwinnett Field in 2027
Gwinnett baseball fans will get a chance to see the ballpark in a whole new light next year when Cosmic Baseball brings its blacklight baseball experience to Gwinnett Field as
A strange journey indeed: Rocky Horror takes Garfield stage
CHESTERTOWN — Stage rehearsals for the musical thriller “The Rocky Horror Show” are underway at the Garfield Center for the Arts. After months of practice, Monday night marked the cast’s
TST Best Bets: October 8, 2026
The Vegas Golden Knights return home tonight to play the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Think your dog is ruining your sleep? Science says it might be you
Can sleeping with your dog help you get a better night's sleep? New research suggests it might. There's nothing better than waking up with a pup curled up next to you.
5 House districts where Republicans are looking to turn the tables as Democrats eye big midterm wins
Here's a look at places where a cash bump and prime issues might help the party hold their own on election night.
Five Things presented by Compass Minerals: Sporting back at home to take on Portland
Sporting Kansas City returns home following a two-game road swing this weekend when the team hosts the Portland Timbers at Sporting Park on Saturday night. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. CT and will be available to stream on Apple TV, while the game will also be broadcast locally on
How to secure Aerosmith presale tickets for Hollywood Bowl comeback shows
The band reunites for 2 nights in Los Angeles with Run-D.M.C., Heart, Slash, Tom Morello and many more.
TENNESSEE LADY VOLS SOCCER: Time to recover after two losses
Just five regular season matches remain for the Tennessee soccer team in the 2026 season as the Lady Vols head to the Palmetto State to face No. 11 South Carolina on Friday night. Kickoff from Eugene E. Stone III is set for 7 p.m. ET.
Citizen Science: To Sleep, Perchance To Dream: Ay, But Not To Rest
Sleep is divided into two broad categories based on whether our eyes move (rapid eye movement sleep; REM) or not (non-rapid eye movement sleep; NREM). Over the course of a night, we will cycle between these two categories four to six times.
You'll Have One Last Shot At The Zelda: Ocarina Of Time Switch 2 That Keeps Selling Out Everywhere During A Midnight Launch
A midnight release for Ocarina of Time? What year is it?
Free Play Days – ARC Raiders, S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl, Little Nightmares III, Screamer, and More
This weekend, Polterguys: Possession Party is available this weekend for XBOX Game Pass members, while WWE 2K26 and Wildgate are free for all. Jump in!
\'Ghost Hunters\' star to speak in Millersville Friday night; here\'s how to get tickets
A “Ghost Hunters” personality will visit Millersville this week.
Best Buy Announces Midnight Opening for Ocarina of Time Launch, Zelda Switch 2 Consoles Also Up for Grabs
Best Buy is opening select stores at midnight on Nov. 5 for The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time launch day, featuring surprise restocks of the limited-edition Zelda 40th Anniversary Switch 2.
Mr GameShow turns Venice game nights into Suncoast business
Founder Andy Geremia joined Suncoast View to talk about the company's game show events
Official Coventry City injury update ahead of Newcastle United match
Ahead of facing Newcastle United there has been an official Coventry City injury update. The Sky Blues return to Premier League action on Monday night.
Jonathan Groff gets rave reviews in Royal Shakespeare Theatre debut
A technical glitch with the set may have thrown a wrench into his latest opening night on stage, but that didn’t prevent Jonathan Groff from getting some glowing reviews earlier
NFL Thursday Night Football preview: Cowboys get a break by facing shorthanded Buccaneers
Boston Celtics Preseason: Four Stories to Watch vs. Cavaliers
The Celtics will play their first game since June on Thursday night when they travel to Cleveland.
How scary is 'Carrie'? Critics are divided over Mike Flanagan's new Stephen King series.
The filmmaker behind "Midnight Mass" puts a modern spin on King's classic, but not everyone is convinced it delivers the chills.
Mary Means Business: Dawg House 44 opening in Starkville this month
The Cotton District is adding a new spot to its nightlife rotation.
The surprising new idea that is reshaping how we think about ADHD
Scientists are starting to uncover the links between being a night owl and some neuropsychiatric conditions.
Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction: The Wolfpack Are Back
NC State bounced back from a nightmarish first few weeks with two big wins, but Wake Forest is the biggest test yet. Here's the CFN game preview and prediction.
Dodgers, Brewers meet again in second straight NLCS
If the Dodgers are going get back to the World Series to finish off their third consecutive championship, they’ll have to travel the same path as in 2025 to complete their trek through the National League. The Dodgers will play the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLCS beginning Sunday night, October 11 at American Family Field […]
Nebraska soccer prepares for Maryland and Rutgers
After a gauntlet of ranked matches, Nebraska will travel eastward to face Maryland and Rutgers. The Terrapins and Scarlet Knights will pose a challenge to the Huskers this weekend.
The Midterm Elections Won't Keep Trump From College Football on Saturday. A Hurricane Might
WASHINGTON (AP) — The midterm elections are looming and the first hurricane of the Atlantic Season is menacing the Gulf Coast. But President Donald Trump is really, really hoping the weather doesn’t stop him from going to another big college football game — this one in Alabama on Saturday night.
Breast cancer survivors join together as CHI Health St. Elizabeth shines pink for October
CHI Health hosted its 16th annual ladies night on Wednesday, celebrating those impacted by the disease as they gathered to support one another.
Breast cancer survivors join together as CHI Health St. Elizabeth shines pink for October
CHI Health hosted its 16th annual ladies night on Wednesday, celebrating those impacted by the disease as they gathered to support one another.
Editorial: Dave McCormick dreams of strengthening science, but Trump is researchers’ worst nightmare
In a recently published op-ed extolling the lifesaving virtues of federally funded research at institutions such as Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Sen. Dave McCormick called for doubling funding for the National Institutes of Health.
Breast cancer survivors join together as CHI Health St. Elizabeth shines pink for October
CHI Health hosted its 16th annual ladies night on Wednesday, celebrating those impacted by the disease as they gathered to support one another.
Takeaways from the first Iowa Senate debate
Donald Trump’s shadow looms over every contest in November’s midterm elections — but on an Iowa debate stage Wednesday night, the president’s name was rarely mentioned.
MLB Division Series: Rays at Yankees, Brewers at Padres
The Rays and Brewers can close out their series tonight.
Who Won August and September: Original Films or Franchises?
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) I just heard someone say that if you’re reading a pundit or data analyst, and they don’t tell you that they got anything wrong, they’re not a pundit but an “influencer”. I agree with that. You have to tell your audience when you get things wrong, or they won’t (or shouldn’t) trust you as much. Today, we’ve got another edition of “What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong”. In general, I’m patting myself on the back (and patting very hard) about a few things like IP at the box office, LIV golf, horror films, crowdfunding movies, superheroes, and old people going to the theaters. That said, I also made a couple of data mistakes on the streaming bubble popping and HBO’s datecdotes, so I’m not perfect. But first, I need your feedback... Subscribe Follow-Ups: What Should We Call Mid-Budget Movies Which Aren’t Cinematic Enough for Theaters But Are Too Expensive to Make Money on Streaming? After I asked for feedback on what we should call straight-to-streaming films that are too big to pencil out on streaming but not really big enough to resonate in theaters, I got some great suggestions from you all, including... “Moldilocks” from John Aboud “Little Big Indie” from Travis Frick1 “Midflicks” from Jonathan Funke. “Extra-Medium” from Jona Nwuke. (Read the explanation in the footnote.) Between these and Brandon Katz—who suggested “Bermuda Budget Triangle”, “The Platform Gap” and “The Distribution Deadzone”—we’ve got some excellent suggestions. And they’re better than my suggestion, the “Streaming Budget Dead Zone”, so let’s take a poll! The winning entry becomes the new term. Loading... RIGHT: LIV Golf is Fully Bankrupt…Is Anyone Else Next? A few years ago, I was always a bit perplexed at all the articles I’d read praising LIV Golf and their strategy to disrupt the PGA. LIV Golf, a brand new professional golf league, offered PGA stars ten times what they made on the PGA Tour to join their new league. And folks praised this strategy for its initial “success” in that a lot of big names did indeed leave the PGA. Yeah, of course the players came over. LIV Golf paid them so, so, so much more! But LIV Golf hadn’t discovered a way to increase potential revenue. So think about this in basic business terms… They paid much more in costs… …but had no real way to increase revenue. That’s not a strategy! That’s deficit financing. It won’t work unless you bankrupt the competition (and then turn around and pay those same golfers much, much less). It’s not a sustainable strategy and only lasts as long as the company/person/nation backing it decides they’re cool with losing money. For LIV Golf, that meant Middle East oil wealth, in particular Saudi Arabian money. Clearly, the current Iran War has hurt Middle East finances, so they need to trim their more exorbitant spending. And LIV Golf was part of that trimming. This should be a major warning for others. TGL’s parent company, TMRW Sports, just got a $1 billion valuation, despite TGL’s (the indoor golf league) horrible TV viewership of less than half a million viewers per match. Unrivaled, the women’s basketball league, just secured a $650 valuation, despite its horrible TV viewership and a new rival (Project B) entering the scene next year. To relate this to streaming, Hollywood should ask which streamers may have wealthy patrons funding their losses. (Let’s be clear: Google, Amazon and Apple.) Could those patrons lose their appetite? For Amazon, probably not. But Apple has a new boss, so maybe! WRONG: My Analysis of the Streaming Bubble Was Missing a Week I’m going to be congratulating myself a lot today, but I make mistakes too, like this data goof. When I last compiled the data on the decline in TV shows, I was missing one week at the end of June. If you look at the first image, you can see that one week was mislabelled as “July”. Mainly, this image got updated to show a 27% decline, not 29%: This change doesn’t really impact the overall analysis, but it is two percent better. By the way, through the third quarter, the decline increased and it’s now a 30% decrease since 2022. (I’ll write/visualize this in an upcoming article.) But I want you to trust me and my data. Especially these days, when many people are using LLMs that I know are inserting faulty data into their charts, I want to keep earning my audience’s faith. So that’s the accurate data. RIGHT: IP Remains Very, Very Popular In July, I wrote a giant (and I mean giant) article on Backrooms, Obsession, and the box office, going over what we know, what we don’t know about what works in theaters, looking at YouTubers, IP, the horror genre, comic book movies, and a whole lot more. The month of August really tested a lot of my theses and, being honest, mostly supported my arguments. Let’s start with IP. Looking at 8-Aug (the weekend after Spider-Man: Brand New Day came out) to 18-Sep (the weekend that Resident Evil came out, which I think provides a nice bookend to this time period), there were seven films based on pre-existing IP: Resident Evil (2026) ($126 million) Practical Magic 2 ($65 million) _Insidious: Out of the Furthe_r ($65 million) Coyote Vs. Acme ($59 million) Paw Patrol: The Dino Movie ($53 million) Tony ($15 million) Super Troopers 3 ($7 million) Compare those to the notable original films from the past month—I actually could have included more movies, but here are just thirteen, bringing us to an even twenty films—including.... The End of Oak Street ($54 million) Buddy ($26 million) Mutiny ($15 million) By Any Means ($15 million) The Dog Stars ($14 million) Runner ($14 million) One Night Only ($11 million) Hope ($8 million) Spa Weekend ($7 million) The Uprising ($6 million) Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma ($6 million) Onslaught ($3 million) Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man ($2.8 million) Here’s that in chart form: Five of the top six films in this time period were all based on IP. I made a big chart of films that grossed over $200 million at the box office before Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey hit theaters. Let’s update that chart! By the way, if you want to see how I categorized each film—so another bar chart—here it is: I know that many of my fellow critics/pundits/analysts dislike films based on IP and how Hollywood is making so many of them. And I’m sympathetic to this point of view. As I’ve written many, many times before, you need a balance between existing franchises, new IP, and original films. And Hollywood clearly needs to make more films like Resident Evil (a well-made film from a visionary director) and fewer Practical Magic 2’s (which didn’t get critical or customer buzz). But at some point, critics and pundits need to contend with what audiences are telling them: Movie-goers aren’t showing up to original films. Audiences are speaking with their dollars, telling you they want more IP and franchises. You can try to convince studio heads to make fewer IP-based films and franchises, but the data and numbers aren’t there. Instead, critics need to work harder to convince audiences to show up for original films. Aim your ire/concern at the average person, not studio heads.2 Because they’re just making the films that audiences are telling them to make. WRONG: Original Horror Films Didn’t Break Out I’ll be honest, even though I wrote an article casting some skepticism on the horror genre in July, if you asked me to make a prediction, I would have predicted that, in August, a new, original horror film would have blown up. No, seriously, I just assumed that Obsession and Backrooms presaged a change in audience behavior. But none of the buzzy new original horror films from August—Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, Onslaught (not an action film in spite of the ads), The End of Oak Street, Eli Roth’s Ice Cream Man, or _Buddy—_broke out. To be clear, exactly one of those films (Buddy) had good “ROI”, but again—I try to be specific in my language—none were “popular” in any broad sense of the word. None of them will be “saving” movies theaters like Backrooms or _Obsession_helped save the summer. The new Insidious film and Resident Evil, both based on IP, were far and away the biggest horror films since July. (We’ll see if this changes in October/Halloween season.) RIGHT: Stay Skeptical about Crowdfunding... I’ve long been skeptical about crowd-investing platforms as one of Hollywood’s saviors, mainly because there’s so much hype/buzz. People need to stay more skeptical about more things, explaining both the potential upside but also the downsides. In particular, the media often hypes crowdfunding at the start and never checks in on the actual results after they’ve come in later. And August gave us our first update! _Ice Cream Man—_directed by Eli Roth—grossed $6 million off of a $5.5 million budget. This is a production of The Horror Section, which was one of the first “crowd investing” studios with 2,400 investors, which means that 2,400 investors probably lost money. They certainly aren’t getting as great of returns as if they had just invested their dollars in the stock market. Hopefully Stiletto (Tagline: “Someone’s Going to Make it Rain Blood!”) does better next month. WRONG: Another Data Goof Here’s another data error. When the first episode of House of the Dragon came out, HBO put out that it had 21.5 million viewers in the first three days, and I read that to mean in the US…but no, it was global. So my US-only datecdotes charts shouldn’t have included it. We never got US-only numbers for the first episode, but for the final episode, HBO put out that it had 11 million US viewers. (And that global dropped to 21 million viewers.) Here’s the updated chart (which I’ve since used in the Streaming Ratings Report): Still, this show is absolutely huge. RIGHT: Superhero Films Remain Very, Very Popular After Supergirl flopped, I read a few takes that “comic book movies are going the way of the Western”. Post-Spider-Man: Brand New Day, that take didn’t age well. To be fair, I have a very nuanced take on the superhero genre right now; it’s down right now, for a lot of reasons. But it’s not “dead”. Maybe _Spider-_Man is just a really popular character? I saw that take, and it’s a fair counter-argument. (But pundits arguing that superhero movies were dead should have mentioned this $1.5 billion counter-argument…) But is it just Spider-Man? The next Avengers film already has $50 million in pre-sales (and I was skeptical that that film would do well) and the Avengers: End Game re-release topped the box office two weekends ago (over three original films). And I wouldn’t bet against Batman or Superman. So maybe it’s just Spider-Man, Batman, Superman and the Avengers. Oh, and Deadpool, of course. And Black Panther. And Wolverine. And probably the X-Men. Plus a well-made Wonder Woman or the Hulk film could break out. But that’s it! It’s just those ten characters/teams. Oh, what’s that? Lanterns is also doing well on HBO? (See previous section…) To be fair, I’m actually pretty sympathetic to the argument that more popular characters—like Spider-Man and Batman—anchor more popular films. In fact, I made that exact argument three years ago when I first wrote about the “Marvel-cession”. In many ways, you can blame The Guardians of the Galaxy for fooling Marvel Studios (and the rest of us) into believing that any character could pop. It turns out, the list of iconic characters is probably smaller than most people think. But it’s probably too early to say that superhero films and comic book movies are dead unless “death” means a slight decline over a longtime. RIGHT: Who Killed Theaters? Old People I get frustrated whenever I see headlines or analysis about how young people are “returning” to theaters. As I’ve detailed(for years), young people have always powered the US box office, despite narratives about “kids these days” and their “phones”. Really, what’s changed post-2020/pandemic is that old people aren’t going to the movies nearly as much. This summer, I saw a movie (from an older director) in a theater near a retirement community, and multiple older people at the theater were talking about how this was their first time seeing a movie in years. I dislike personal anecdotes, so YouGov can fill in the data, best summarized by this headline: “Who killed movie theaters? Not the youths”. According to them, 64% of people aged 18-29 have seen a movie in the last year, but only 30% of 65-and-older. 20% of 18-29 have seen a movie in theaters in the last week and 42% in the last month. Here’s the polling data: Most concerning? Many Americans (17%) think theaters are a worse or much worse experience than watching films at home. Slight WRONG: Hadestown Opens Big A live theater capture of the Broadway musical, Hadestown, made $20 million at the US box office, which begs the question: was I wrong to be skeptical about musicals a few years ago? Yes and no. On the one hand, $20 million is a far cry from being “popular”, so yeah, the genre isn’t that popular overall and Hadestown is one of the more popular musicals from recent years (i.e. the “Taylor Swift Data Fallacy” in action). On the other, I doubt filming this cost all that much, and I don’t think that they spent much on marketing, so this is a good source of ancillary revenue. Smaller Updates WRONG: As I mentioned in a Streaming Ratings Report, I underestimated the budget for Enola Holmes 3. It probably cost more like $50 million, if not more. But... I’m not sure that it really matters? At sub-10 million hours, prices have to come down to make this work. WRONG: Netflix is giving Ink a 27-day in theaters! To quote the kids/YouTubers these days, let’s go! Now I might actually have a chance to see Danny Boyle’s latest in theaters. I’d complained about this in a “Coming Soon” section, but I was heartened to read that Netflix is giving multiple films longer theatrical windows this year. RIGHT: Netflix is sending 4-5 films per year to theaters. Netflix is slowly but surely sending more and more films to theaters, as I cautiously predicted earlier this year. For now, it’s just three big films and a number of awards contenders, but still, this is great news. And they’ll be releasing box office grosses! Just this week, Ted Sarandos confirmed that KPop Demon Hunters 2 will come to theaters (and my guess is it performs in the box office top ten at a minimum). WRONG: Angel has 3 million subscribers! How do I know this? Well, they told Deadline, who reported it. I marked this as “wrong”, since they’ve doubled their subscribers in one year but, you know, they don’t really have a hit film to speak of and they’re still losing money. WRONG: Furious was only renewed for one more season. I accidentally wrote “two more seasons” in my latest “Renewals, Cancellations, Un-Orders and Removals Update”. RIGHT: House of David is ending with its third season. In July, Prime Video renewed House of David for a third season, as I just wrote in my latest “Renewals and Cancellations” report. Well, now it’s ending after that third season. Why? As I’ve been writing, its viewership wasn’t great. I got feedback that this show didn’t cost very much, but it cost enough that its limited viewership didn’t save it. WRONG: Adults was a Hulu original! So I missed Adults when it first came out last year; I saw that it aired on FX and just assumed that it was a linear-first program. Turns out, it aired three episodes on FX, but binge-released the rest of its episodes the next day on Hulu. Huh. So I should have covered it last year! But I just wrote about it. 1 “When I was a kid in the 90s, if you wore a t-shirt to school that wasn’t too big and also wasn’t too small, but somehow didn’t quite fit, we’d say you were wearing an “extra-medium” shirt.” 2 As always, a huge exception is Disney, which barely makes anything original anymore.
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