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Small business confidence surges as Trump tax cuts deliver ‘blockbuster’ job growth
Small Business Administration Administrator Kelly Loeffler joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ to tout President Donald Trump’s small business agenda, highlight job growth from tax cuts and detail a crackdown on $22B in suspected fraud.
A GOP lawmaker supported an immigration crackdown. Her husband paid a price.
The situation cost Idaho state Sen. Glenneda Zuiderveld and her husband most of their income and highlights an escalating split in the party.
Chargers depth chart: Projecting the 11 starters on defense
Now that free agency and the draft are over, we take a crack at projecting who will be the starters on defense under new coordinator Chris O'Leary.
All Life on Earth Comes From One Single Ancestor. And It's So Much Older Than We Thought.
Google Maps has a big problem, and it's getting worse in 2026
Local discovery feels more like advertising, making it difficult to find trustworthy results
L.A. Measure CB voter guide: taxing illegal cannabis businesses
L.A.'s measure CB represents a hope to crack down on illegal cannabis businesses by closing a legal loophole. Opponents say the measure may normalize illegal activity.
ESPN loses sole executive who cracked down on political, racial rhetoric
ESPN EVP David Roberts, who oversaw the network's turnaround by cutting divisive programming and boosting SportsCenter ratings, plans to retire in August.
N.Y. state Senate passes bill aiming to crack down on 'ghost job' postings
The legislation would require job advertisements to disclose if and when an employer intends to hire someone for a position.
‘Weed City’ pushback: New Buffalo crackdown sparks legal fight
New Buffalo, a popular vacation destination — and a draw for Chicagoans seeking lower-cost cannabis products — and is trying to rein in that trade, but dispensaries are fighting back in court.
Playing 007: First Light makes me wonder if it's actually possible to nail James Bond - but IOI has made a cracking attempt
Our impressions of 007: First Light after a multi-hour hands-on, and interview with the James Bond game's art director, IOI's Rasmus Poulsen.
New science cracks open the mystery of the world's largest fish
For a decade, Konservasi Indonesia — Conservation International's local partner — tracked whale sharks across the open ocean, offering new clues for how to protect them.
Instagram cracks down on content aggregators
The update targets content aggregators that don't post original content and instead simply re-upload others' posts.
With supreme court ruling, Republicans able to marginalize Black political power
Decision gives mapmakers in Republican states power to crack districts into pieces and dilute votes into oblivion
Trump cracks down on women’s retreats, putting ‘new girls’ clubs’ at risk
The administration claims these retreats perpetuate the discrimination they purport to fight
From science to stage- Mary Johnson’s final weeks leading to graduation
You can find Mary Johnson sitting in the lounge area of Chase Science Center at Lakeland University, surrounded by her friends and classmates, cracking jokes and being an absolute academic weapon. Normally sitting on the front seat of the table facing everyone, Johnson spreads her positive attitude through determination and an incredibly high academic drive....
Earth is splitting open beneath the Pacific Northwest, scientists say
For the first time, scientists have watched a subduction zone literally fall apart beneath the ocean floor. Using advanced seismic imaging, they found the Juan de Fuca plate splitting into fragments as it sinks beneath North America. Rather than collapsing all at once, the plate is tearing piece by piece, like a train slowly derailing. The finding helps explain ancient plate fragments and could refine how scientists understand earthquake behavior.
Denuvo Responds to Day-Zero DRM Hypervisor Crack: "We're Already Working on Updated Security Versions"
A Hypervisor bypass recently appeared giving game crackers an alternative way to circumvent protections like Denuvo DRM. The bypass is so effective that popular game repacker, FitGirl, has declared that "all single-player/non-VR Denuvo games are now cracked/bypassed." The announcement comes after fo...
Denuvo Has Been Fully Cracked And 2K Is Fighting Back
Using a relatively new bypass technique, hackers claim to have effectively cracked all games using Denuvo protection software
Denuvo is finally dead: every PC game protected by the DRM can now be cracked or bypassed
A decade-long fight comes to an end.
Denuvo and 2K Reportedly Add Two-Week DRM Checks After Pirates Crack All Denuvo-Protected Single-Player Games
Denuvo and 2K Games have reportedly added a two-week DRM check after pirates found a way to bypass Denuvo on all Denuvo-protected SP games.
Scientists discover how to freeze transplant organs without cracking them
Scientists are making a major leap toward freezing organs for future use without damaging them. A new study reveals that one of the biggest obstacles—cracking during ultra-cold preservation—can be reduced by carefully tuning the temperature at which tissues enter a glass-like state. This breakthrough builds on recent successes in cryopreserved organ transplants and could bring the long-imagined idea of “banking” organs for later use much closer to reality.
Scientists finally solve mystery of strange “golden orb” found 2 miles deep
A mysterious “golden orb” found more than two miles deep in the Gulf of Alaska left scientists baffled for over two years, sparking wild speculation about its origins. After an intensive investigation combining deep-sea expertise, microscopic analysis, and advanced DNA sequencing, researchers finally cracked the case. The strange object turned out not to be an egg, sponge, or anything alien, but the remains of tissue from a giant deep-sea anemone.
FTC crackdown pushes auto dealers to treat compliance as a core business function
Industry experts discuss the FTC crackdown, dealer transparency and how compliance, culture and pricing strategy impact M&A and valuation.
The Help That Many Older Americans Need Most
With shortages of medical professionals and an aging population, thousands of community healthcare workers prevent older adults from falling through the cracks.
Clash over Trump family businesses entangles Senate crypto bill
Democrats want a provision in a landmark crypto bill that would crack down on the Trump family.
Mezcal worm in a bottle DNA test reveals a surprise
The famous mezcal “worm” has long puzzled scientists, but DNA testing has finally cracked the case. Researchers found that all sampled larvae were actually agave redworm moth caterpillars—not a mix of species as once believed. While the discovery clears up a long-standing mystery, it also raises concerns about sustainability. Growing demand for mezcal and edible larvae could put pressure on wild populations and the agave plants they depend on.
Opinion | This Minnesota bill would crack down on outrageous resale ticket prices
"There’s nothing free about a market where tickets listed don’t even exist, consumers don’t have a shot at tickets on on sale because they’re scooped up by algorithms, and prices are driven up by bots," Dayna Frank writes.
Private-Sector Sleuthing Becomes Big Business for US Tech Startup
Trump’s economic crackdown on China’s US interests is creating opportunities for a Utah-based intelligence firm
NYC immigration commissioner talks Trump, immigration crackdown
Faiza Ali said she supports the mayor’s position on abolishing ICE.
AMA calls for regulatory crackdown on chatbots, wellness AI
In this edition of STAT Health Tech: OpenAI's targets clinicians, AMA's call for regulatory crackdown, and bargain-basement telehealth visits.
After 2 Years, NOAA Scientists Crack Case Of Strange "Golden Egg" Found On The Seabed Off Alaska
“I just hope when we poke it, something doesn’t decide to come out. It’s like the beginning of a horror movie.”
Kalshi fines & suspends 3 political candidates for betting on their own campaigns
The prediction market platform Kalshi is cracking down on insider trading by political candidates. On Wednesday.
Enforcement update: Kalshi continues crackdown on political insider trading
Three cases target candidates trading on their own races.
Scientists Finally Crack Decades-Old Mystery of “Breathing” Lasers
A new model reveals that two very different laser pulse behaviors are fundamentally connected.
The mystery of the universe's missing exploding stars
According to scientists, red supergiant stars should produce more supernovas. But astronomers just aren’t spotting them. Here's how they plan to crack the case.
This fantastic adaptation of a classic book will burrow into your subconscious
Based on the 1942 novella by Albert Camus, "The Stranger" proves cracklingly, urgently alive in a way most other literary adaptations could only dream of.
Opinion | Seizing Property Can’t Be ‘Business as Usual’
From California to Hong Kong, asset seizure—whether a wealth tax or communist crackdown—discourages growth and liberty.
Apple’s Cal AI crackdown signals it’s still policing the App Store
Apple tells TechCrunch Cal AI was removed not for web payments alone, but for deceptive billing, manipulative tactics, and App Store rule violations.
Virginia Ballot Measures Special Election 2026 Live Results
See live results from the 2026 Virginia Ballot Measures Special Election. Follow live outcomes as votes are added up on Election Day.
He always cracked up his clients, and now he's a local comedy club star
Hugh Howser has gotten so good at telling jokes on stage that he made Nashville Lifestyles' 2026 'Inspiring People' list
Delivery apps can't outrun the fee backlash anymore
Local and federal regulators — from New York to the FTC — are cracking down on "junk fees" on food delivery platforms like DoorDash and Uber Eats.
Welcome to the 'Funky' Politics of the Tech in Schools Debate
The Trump administration is cheerleading AI in schools as GOP lawmakers crack down on ed tech.
Lansing politics are blocking a crackdown on fleeing, eluding cases
Michigan's 'fleeing and eluding' cases are rising, but legislation to stiffen penalties is stalled in the Senate.
Ohio Valley Health Center Helps Patient Rebuild Health, Life
STEUBENVILLE — Helping people who might have fallen through the cracks is one of the many important goals of the Ohio Valley Health Center. And for that, Ray Scurry is a thankful man. The 55-year-old Steubenville resident had operated Heavenly Rides, what was then the largest cab service in the Steubenville area, for about 15 […]
Is Six Flags (FUN) Turning Ride Upgrades Into a Test of Its Per-Guest Value Strategy?
Six Flags New England recently held an exclusive press preview for Quantum Accelerator, New England’s first dual-launch straddle coaster, alongside broader upgrades to Crackaxle Canyon and park-wide dining and retail offerings. The combination of a headline coaster and enhanced food, beverage, and pass benefits highlights Six Flags’ focus on deepening guest engagement and extracting more value per visit. We’ll now look at how Quantum Accelerator’s debut and related guest-experience...
High School Roundup: Kearney, Secor lead Londonderry softball team
Elisabeth Kearney pitched a one-hitter and Paige Secor cracked two homers for all three RBIs in Londonderry's 3-1 victory over Portsmouth in Division I softball on Friday.
Poll: Trump's approval rating hits second-term low as Americans sour on the economy and Iran war
Two-thirds of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of inflation, according to an NBC News Decision Desk Poll, with some cracks emerging in his GOP support.
‘The current system right now is unsustainable’: top economist sees a crucial crack in the economy
“The current system right now is unsustainable,” one economist said. As baby boomers age, the problems may only intensify.
Nvidia's once-tight bond with gamers is cracking over AI, 'and that breaks my heart'
Gamers once helped save Nvidia from bankruptcy. Now they feel left behind as the memory crunch drives focus to AI chips and DLSS 5 disrupts game design.
The Help That Many Older Americans Need Most
With shortages of medical professionals and an aging population, thousands of community health care workers prevent older adults from falling through the cracks.
New Jersey Devils Hit Home Run With Sunny Mehta Hire
The New Jersey Devils have entered the “Mehtaverse” after hiring Sunny Mehta as the team’s new general manager. The former Florida Panthers assistant GM now gets his first crack as the head man in charge. It’s also a homecoming for Mehta, who grew up in Wycoff, NJ, and was the team’s head of analytics […] The post New Jersey Devils Hit Home Run With Sunny Mehta Hire appeared first on The Lead.
Tired of 2026 mock drafts? Meet the 32 future stars who could define the 2027 NFL Draft
Jeremiah Smith headlines the list, while Arch Manning cracks top five but isn't QB1
2026 NFL Mock Draft: Houston Texans take guard
With the 28th overall pick in the 2026 Bleeding Green Nation community mock draft, Houston Texans GM CrackTheEaglesNut selects ...
How much Orban influence remains in Hungary's politics?
Hungary's incoming Prime Minister Peter Magyar vows to crack down on cronyism and corruption. However, dismantling the apparatus of state put in place by Viktor Orban's regime is likely to prove a significant challenge.
Back button hijacking to be penalised in Google crackdown
The tech giant said it will punish sites that block back button navigation from June.
Helene exposed cracks in western NC’s health care safety net
Analyses of emergency room use and a doctor’s scramble to reopen his clinic raise questions ahead of the next big storm.
Binance’s CZ says Biden crackdown led to prison in FOX Business interview
FOX Business' Charlie Gasparino speaks to former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao in a wide-ranging interview about the Biden Administration's war on crypto, Sam Bankman-Fried and his relationship with the Trump family on 'The Big Money Show.'
Pixel battery drain issues persist for some, but one user may have cracked the problem
Now we just need Google to fix it
From curiosity to conservation: How citizen science is teaching children and adults to see, experience nature
It often starts with something small, such as a new bird in a branch, a vibrant butterfly in a yard, a colorful plant growing through a crack in the sidewalk, or as part of a lawn. Suddenly, you are engaged and can't help ...
From curiosity to conservation: How citizen science is teaching children and adults to see, experience nature
It often starts with something small, such as a new bird in a branch, a vibrant butterfly in a yard, a colorful plant growing through a crack in the sidewalk, or as part of a lawn. Suddenly, you are engaged ...
Smart Adhesive Is Key to Crease-Free Foldable iPhone Display
Advances in optically clear adhesive (OCA) will be a key factor in achieving a near-invisible crease in Apple's first foldable iPhone expected later this year, according to TrendForce. The supply chain intelligence firm outlined the key technologies in a new report on foldable display innovation, explaining that creases form when layers within the display panel fall out of alignment, concentrating stress at the fold and causing micro-cracks or permanent deformation over time.
Scientists Finally Crack the Mystery of Water’s Strangest Behavior After Decades of Research
A hidden transition between two forms of liquid water may explain its most puzzling properties.
📺 Sunday schedule (12): Brasileirão, derbies and crackers in Europe
Sunday (12) features big rivalries across Brazil and plenty of European football. Check the schedule and where to watch, and plan ahead!Brasileirão 🇧🇷11am - Athletico vs. Chapecoense: Premiere...
Young Republicans more skeptical of Iran war, dividing Trump base
Even within Trump’s GOP base, cracks are showing when it comes to the Iran conflict. Younger Republicans are much less likely to support the war.
Scientists Finally Crack the 100-Million-Year Evolutionary Mystery of Squid and Cuttlefish
Genomic analysis reveals squid and cuttlefish evolved in deep oceans, survived mass extinction in refuges, and later rapidly diversified, following a “long fuse” evolutionary pattern.
How aggressive breast cancer turns off the immune system
Researchers are launching a new project to crack the mystery of aggressive breast cancer, where predicting disease progression remains a major hurdle. By studying how tumors interact with and suppress the immune system, scientists aim to identify new biomarkers that reveal how the cancer evolves. Using real patient samples, the team hopes to turn earlier discoveries into practical clinical tools. The goal: more precise, personalized treatments that can outsmart even the most dangerous tumors.
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Marathon's Top Players Are Begging Bungie To Do More About Cheaters
The scale of the issue is hard to pin down but the studio says its taking more steps to crack down
Wisconsin Supreme Court Election 2026 Live Results
See live results from the 2026 Wisconsin State Supreme Court election as votes are counted.
Georgia House Special Runoff Election 2026 Live Results
See live results from the 2026 Georgia House Special Runoff election as votes are counted.
Graduate programs in health sciences and engineering rose in U.S. News & World Report rankings
Seven health sciences specialty programs cracked the top 10, including a No. 1 ranking for occupational therapy, and the Swanson School of Engineering ranks No. 24 for public universities.
Trump’s immigration crackdown may put doctors out of jobs
Trump administration policy changes are putting a growing number of immigrant doctors in limbo. Some hospitals have already lost doctors, a loss felt across the communities they serve.
Kids will spring into science with April’s Parents’ Night Out at DHDC
From 5:30 to 9:30 p.m. on Friday, April 10, the Don Harrington Discovery Center is offering a chance for children ages 4-11 years old to crack into hands-on experiments while caregivers enjoy an evening to themselves.
Gov. DeSantis signs domestic terrorist bill that Democrats fear will lead to crackdown on college liberals
The Governor said he expects Florida will be sued over the new legislation.
Amid Trump support, prediction markets face political headwinds
Concerns about illegal gambling have prompted lawmakers to introduce proposals in Congress and the California Legislature to crack down on prediction markets, which are growing in popularity.
Is it time for both parties to bail on Colorado’s political nominating system?
Cracks are beginning to appear in Colorado’s political nominating system. Recently, Mario Nicolais, a formerly Republican-leaning pundit, and Doug Friednash, former Democratic legislator, have opined regarding the imminent demise of the caucus/assembly framework which controls partisan candidate selection. There has always been a legal detour around this process whereby candidates petition directly onto the ballot. […]
Vibe coding is flooding Apple’s App Store, and Apple is fighting back
AI vibe coding tools drove an 84% quarterly surge in App Store submissions, straining review times to 30 days. Apple has started pulling apps that violate its self-containment rules.
Government, Police Crack Down on Narcotics in Seoul Entertainment Areas
Government, Police Crack Down on Narcotics in Seoul Entertainment Areas No narcotics detected; food violations corrected. Future crackdowns to focus on clubs, high-foreigner areas
Scientists Finally Crack Decades-Old Mystery Behind Statins’ Painful Side Effects
A hidden effect of statins on muscle cells may explain why some patients cannot tolerate them.
Trump again orders changes to ‘save’ college sports
The order would restrict the amount of money student-athletes could get by cracking down on “fraudulent” NIL payments.
California cracks down on luxury car buyers evading taxes through 'Montana Loophole'
California targets wealthy luxury car owners and dealers using the Montana loophole to avoid sales tax, launching audits to recover millions in revenue.
Pritzker calls on Trump officials to testify over ICE crackdown, White House blasts move as ‘political stunt’
Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker calls on Trump administration officials to testify before his commission targeting ICE enforcement operations in the state.
8 arrests made in federal crackdown on alleged health care fraud in Southern California
Federal officials on Thursday arrested eight people they say were involved in various health care fraud schemes totaling $50 million in and around Los Angeles.
PSL crackdown! Fakhar Zaman’s appeal dismissed, ban confirmed
Pakistan Super League opener Fakhar Zaman's appeal against a two-match ban for ball tampering has been dismissed. The appellate body upheld the original decision, finding him guilty of breaching the code of conduct during a match against Karachi Kings. This means Fakhar will miss crucial upcoming fixtures for the Lahore Qalandars.
How Will Reading’s Playoff Rivals’ Seasons Pan Out?
Jamie has a crack at predicting how the teams around Reading will fare in the rest of the season.
Nebraska cracks the USA TODAY Sports baseball coaches poll
Nebraska baseball continues to fly high after cracking the USA TODAY Sports Top 25
Just 10,000 quantum bits might crack internet encryption schemes
Quantum computers based on atoms could provide access to encrypted data much sooner than scientists thought.
The secret to a great cup of coffee? Scientists think they’ve cracked it
Preparation rather than origin may dictate the taste of the drink, a study suggests, after X-ray scans reveal grind size is key for the perfect espresso
Most Californians still disapprove of immigration crackdown, poll says
Two-thirds of California voters disapprove of Trump's immigration policies and a majority believe those policies are biased against Latinos, a new poll finds.
How squid survived Earth’s biggest extinction and took over the oceans
Scientists have finally cracked a long-standing mystery about squid and cuttlefish evolution by analyzing newly sequenced genomes alongside global datasets. The research reveals that these bizarre, intelligent creatures likely originated deep in the ocean over 100 million years ago, surviving mass extinction events by retreating into oxygen-rich deep-sea refuges. For millions of years, their evolution barely changed—until a dramatic post-extinction boom sparked rapid diversification as they moved into new shallow-water habitats.
Caroline County business owner among arrests in narcotics investigation
The owner of a pet supply store in Caroline County is facing multiple drug charges following a narcotics investigation that authorities say is part of a broader crackdown on methamphetamine in the …
Manhattan DA pushes state lawmakers for tougher 3D-printed gun laws
The top Manhattan prosecutor is supporting Gov. Kathy Hochul’s effort to crack down on both 3D-printed ghost guns and 3D-printed auto sears.
Trump signs executive order to crack down on mail-in voting
President Donald Trump on Tuesday signed an executive order that the White House says is aimed at cracking down on mail-in voting.
Bruce Springsteen brings ‘Streets of Minneapolis' home to launch political tour
After honoring its residents for standing up against the federal immigration crackdown, Bruce Springsteen is using Minneapolis to launch his tour.
Bruce Springsteen brings 'Streets of Minneapolis' home to launch a political US tour
MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — Bruce Springsteen returns Tuesday to the “Streets of Minneapolis." After honoring its residents in song for their courage in standing up against the federal immigration crackdown, he's using the city to launch his latest U.S. tour.
Sarasota County business raided, 2 arrested after 66 slot machines seized in illegal gambling operation: SCSO
The Sarasota County Sheriff’s Office and Florida Gaming Control Commission cracked down on an illegal gambling operation last week, arresting two people and seizing 66 slot machines from a local business, according to SCSO.
Health care fraud whistleblowers could make millions as Bessent cracks down on sprawling scams
State bill aims to expand access to mental health evaluations. Will it help?
Measure would broaden access to court-ordered assessments and reach people who advocates say are slipping through the cracks