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If You Visit JoJo’s Diner, Bring Your Appetite
By Stefan Yablonski Q: When did you open? A: We opened Oct. 1. Q: Did you have a previous business? A: This is my first business ever. Q: So why did you start this? A: I was cooking for people my entire life and I decided I’m just going to try it on my own. And here we are! Q: How’s business been? A: It’s been good. Kind of slow over the winter, but starting to pick up now that the weather is getting better. We have high hopes for spring. We were really hopping over the weekend when it was much nicer out. Q: What’s your best dish? A: Our junkyard plates are our huge specialty. It’s a huge messy plate of goodness. We also have breakfast sandwiches, waffles, smashburgers and more. Q: Do you own this building? A: We lease from Chuck Burger. He’s our landlord. He has been super helpful. He provided all the equipment. I didn’t have to. Q: You’re a breakfast spot? A: We do breakfast and lunch all day. It’s kind of our thing. We are open 7-3 every day except Tuesdays. Q: How big is your staff? A: Currently it’s one other person. It’s just been me on the front end and someone in the kitchen or vice versa. Q: It’s all to go? A: Everything comes out ‘to go’ — served in to-go containers. You can eat inside or you can take it with you. We don’t have to provide extra staff for waitresses and dishwashers and all that. Q: Do you have any business background? A: I did the small business program at the college. But that’s about it. We’re new, but we’re still building. We hope to grow and stay here for a long time.
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Apple’s Biggest Camera Jump Ever: The iPhone 18 Pro Max Brings Pro-Level Glass to Your Pocket
Everything you need to know about the iPhone 18 Pro Max camera jump. From Pro-level glass to the 35% smaller Dynamic Island.
State of Small Business in Austin- The Economic Outlook in 2026
Explore how 2026 economic trends are shaping growth opportunities for Austin's small businesses. Kick off Austin Small Business Week (May 4-8) with Austin Economic Development at the State of Small Business in Austin breakfast and panel discussion.
U.S. Small Business Administration in Helena to hear local perspective
A leader with the U.S. Small Business Administration was in Helena this week, to hear what’s on the minds of local business owners.
Small Business Administration offering relief to Arkansas businesses impacted by drought
The U.S. Small Business Administration announced on Friday that small businesses and private nonprofit organizations can apply for low interest federal disaster loans to offset economic losses caus…
Billionaire Duff brothers wrongly got federal PPP loans, lawsuit says
Billionaire brothers Tommy and Jim Duff improperly took advantage of a COVID-era loan program meant to keep small businesses afloat, a lawsuit says.
How science is rewriting the rules of marine taxonomy, one seaweed at a time
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Towanda farm market named national rural small business of the year
The SBA named the family-owned Shores Sisters Farm Market on Golden Mile Road in Towanda as its national rural small business of the year.
HSU tops list for producing small business owners
A new study reveals Hardin-Simmons University in Abilene ranks first in producing small business owners in the U.S.
MSI MPG 322UR QD-OLED X24 Review - Less Expensive and Even Better
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Six Flags Entertainment Corp (FUN): Leadership Changes Increase Operating Agency
Six Flags Entertainment Corp (NYSE:FUN) is one of the small cap stocks that make up 0.28% of George Soros stock portfolio. On April 1, Oppenheimer maintained its Outperform rating on Six Flags Entertainment Corp (NYSE:FUN) stock but lowered the price target to $26 from $40. According to the equity research firm, a new chief executive […]
Goodbye Traditional Bathtubs & Showers – There's A New Trend Taking Over
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Scientists think dark matter might come in two forms
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UGA SBDC Business Summit in Savannah returns May 5, 2026
The University of Georgia Small Business Development Center (UGA SBDC) in Savannah is set to host its annual Business Summit on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, at the Savannah Convention Center, offering a full day of learning and collaboration for regional business owners, professionals, and community leaders.
Washington, DC Small Business Opportunities: 2027 NFL Draft
Local DC businesses can join a procurement process with NFL Draft Source to provide services and gain national visibility.
Washington, DC Small Business Opportunities: 2027 NFL Draft
Local DC businesses can join a procurement process with NFL Draft Source to provide services and gain national visibility.
Eureka! Flathead Valley students have their moment at state science fair
Flathead Valley students displayed their fortitude for the scientific method at the Montana Science Fair with Kalispell Montessori School bringing home the first-place Division II trophy for its outstanding performance among small middle schools.
Small business owner: Tariffs still hurting all of us despite Supreme Court ruling
Fuel price impacts felt by truckers, small businesses as inflation's grip tightens
The impact of the war in Iran is still being felt in the Bay Area, whether its at the pump or the Port of Oakland. Some industries are being hit harder than most.
Aviatra Accelerators to host Women-Owned Business Crawl April 25 in Covington
Aviatra Accelerators will showcase a new retail marketplace during its Women-Owned Business Crawl in downtown Covington and MainStrasse neighborhoods on Saturday, April 25, from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m. The event will feature more than thirty women-owned businesses – from retail shops to bars, restaurants, and service providers – across Covington’s thriving small business community,...
Trump small business admin Kelly Loeffler talks tariffs, taxes, gas prices
Small Business Administrator Kelly Loeffler was back in Georgia to tour a factory Thursday afternoon.
Lansing small business empowerment program accepting applications
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Mario Kart World Has Been Updated To Version 1.6.1, Here Are The Full Patch Notes
This small update is available now
Highway ad sign costs double, pricing out Montana business owners
Sponsorship of businesses on Montana highway exit signs have doubled in cost, pricing out some small business owners.
Inside Ag: Nampa business bridges the gap between small vanilla farmers and the U.S. market
‘I don’t see any new faces’: Rochester Road construction changes daily life for small businesses in Troy
Some businesses along Rochester Road in Troy say ongoing roadwork is cutting into their bottom line.
Small business, big questions
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Dave Chappelle helps keep Ohio radio station rooted in hometown with restored building
Dave Chappelle has helped secure the future of a small-town radio station by funding the renovation of a historic building in Yellow Springs | KMBZ
Dave Chappelle helps keep Ohio radio station rooted in hometown with renovated building
Dave Chappelle has helped secure the future of a small-town radio station by funding the renovation of a historic building in Yellow Springs | WBEN
Take It from a New Business Owner: Your SMB Bankers Just Don't Get It
You're treating SMB onboarding as a set of tasks. Wrong: Your new small business client is looking to start a relationship.
Davids Hosts Tariff Discussion with Wyandotte County Small Business Owners
KANSAS CITY, KS — Today, Representative Sharice Davids hosted a discussion with Wyandotte County small business owners and economic development leaders to talk about the successes and challenges facing local businesses, including the impact of reckless tariffs.
TROY SBDC to present its model "Start Your Business" program at national conference in Washington, D.C. in April
The Small Business Development Center at Troy University has been invited to present its Start Your Business program at the National Community Reinvestment Coalition’s Just Economy Conference, held in Washington D.C. April 13-16.
Upcoming event to help small-business owners go 'beyond the hype' with AI
Trying to figure out how AI applies to your small business? A free upcoming event will offer expert advice on where to begin.
U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index
Small businesses are healthy but cautious in Q1 2026, with inflation back as the No. 1 concern and owners dialing back growth plans.
SBA official visits Rochester business that builds all-wheel-drive motorcycles
The future of small businesses was the center of a visit from federal officials in Rochester on Wednesday.
2026 Peabody Awards Entertainment Nominations
Additional noteworthy TV shows up for the prestigious honor, designed to recognize impactful small-screen storytelling, include 'Adolescence,' 'Andor,' 'Death by Lightning,' 'Dying for Sex,' 'Forever,' 'Mussolini: Son of the Century,' 'Pluribus' and 'The Rehearsal.'
Maguire's Gene Jones Jr., Scott Jones named SBA South Dakota Small Business Champions
“Gene and Scott are the real deal. You can see it in the way they support our community with their time. You can also see it in the way they do business."
Registration open for 2026 Mayor’s Small Business Conference
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Arlington Supports Businesses Ahead of World Cup 2026™
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Pitt’s philosophy program ranked No. 5 in the 2026 QS World University Rankings by Subject
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A simple step to support Minnesota’s small businesses
To show a commitment to owners of small businesses, Minnesota should extend the pass-through entity tax election.
Longtime Bloomington landmark Laserlite has closed. Here’s what’s coming.
The former Laserlite property is at 4505 E. Third St., just west of Bruster’s ice cream shop.
Strait of Hormuz traffic still stalled despite US-Iran ceasefire
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GUEST COLUMN: NC State students turn their campus experiences into a business
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Local man named Ohio’s Small Business Person of the Year
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Small business owners in Maryland face challenges due to high gas prices
Measles outbreak spreads in Utah, hitting people without the vaccine
What started as a small outbreak of measles along the Utah-Arizona border has spread to every corner of the Beehive State.
New York Small Businesses Win Legal Challenge to Onerous New Wetlands Regulations
NFIB joined a lawsuit in 2025 challenging a harmful, vague wetlands mandate in New York.
Portland City Council approves tax relief to thousands of small businesses
Monkey business: Small fleet keeps getting violations for handling lab animals
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Comptroller Review Finds City's Small Business Forward Program Failed to Cut Red Tape or Limit Fines
New York, NY — A new review conducted by auditors of New York City Comptroller Mark Levine found the Small Business Forward program, aimed at easing regulatory and financial burdens on small businesses across the five boroughs, failed to achieve meaningful change for small businesses in New York City. Vague definitions, a lack...
Businesses in Rochester's EMMA, Beechwood neighborhoods to receive grant funding
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National Public Health Week: How do we contribute to public health in our community?
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Apple's New M5 MacBook Air Hits $949 Record Low Price on Amazon
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Insta360’s Snap is a tiny magnetic phone screen for taking rear-camera selfies
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Avalara to Deliver Fully Embedded, Automated Sales Tax Compliance Tool to Small Businesses Within the Clover Platform
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Southern cafeteria are closing. Can small business owners save them?
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Metro Detroit small businesses weigh in on economy
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Lieutenant Gov. Kim Driscoll boosts economy at Springfield business roundtable
A small business roundtable convened Tuesday in Springfield, bringing together local business owners and state leaders to discuss the challenges facing the region’s economy.
Roger Marshall visits Topeka to talk with NFIB, small business owners
Senator Roger Marshall met with Kansas small business owners to discuss health care costs, tax cuts and regulations.
How sports betting is hooking some young men
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How sports betting is hooking some young men
Not everyone who uses sports betting apps will get in trouble — but with so many people taking part, even a small percentage represents a big problem.
Mayor Mamdani appoints 'mom and pop czar' to reduce red tape for NYC small business owners
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The East Baton Rouge Parish Library: Where entrepreneurs go to grow
Sponsored by East Baton Rouge Parish Library When it comes to powering local entrepreneurship, the East Baton Rouge Parish Library and The Alliance are building one of the region’s most dynamic engines for small business growth. Their collaborative Small Business Engine Series has evolved into a practical, boots-on-the-ground resource for aspiring and established business owners alike, blending […]
Barbershop named the West Virginia Family-Owned Small Business of the Year
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Small business sentiment declines as concerns about inflation rise
The quarterly Ipsos/U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index in Q1 2026 is down slightly from Q4 2025
Jason Archer Chosen for Small Business Monthly’s Top 100 St. Louisans List
Award ceremony for recipients held on April 7 Jason Archer, vice president of business development at St. Louis Economic Development Partnership (STL Partnership), was among the group chosen in St.…
Small Business of the Month: Wolf Metals
Each month throughout the season, one local company will be recognized by the Blue Jackets and First Merchants Bank
Small Business Bankruptcies Surge 67 Percent in First Quarter
A sharp rise in small business reorganizations and consumer filings signals mounting financial pressure as debt levels and interest rates remain high.
Small Business Expo coming to Bladen County this month
The event brings together entrepreneurs, startups and businesses to network, collaborate and grow.
Small Businesses Cut Back Hiring Plans as Inflation Concerns Grow
The U.S. Chamber's Q1 2026 Small Business Index reflects rising concerns among small businesses about inflation and the economy.
Ella Duggan Promoted to Branch & Business Development Manager at The Merrimack
Merrimack County Savings Bank (The Merrimack) congratulates Ella Duggan on her promotion to Branch & Business Development Manager. In this role, Duggan will oversee branch operations while continuing to serve Contoocook and its small business community. “Ella’s promotion is well-earned and reflects her consistent growth over the years,” said Michelle Olivier, RVP Branch Manager at The Merrimack. “I’m […]
Report: Iran, inflation concern small businesses
(The Center Square) - U.S. small businesses reported reduced spending and hiring amid concerns over military strikes against Iran and looming inflation data, according to a new report.
Small businesses are ‘doing fine.’ That’s a problem for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Small business owners are feeling uneasy about the Iran war. They're doing just fine, but that's not good considering all of the tax incentives created to help them do much better.
Accel Entertainment, Inc. to Report First Quarter 2026 Results, Host Conference Call and Webcast on May 5
CHICAGO, April 07, 2026--Accel Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE: ACEL) ("Accel" or "the Company"), a leading locals-focused gaming operator partnering with small businesses, local communities, and state governments to provide entertaining, convenient, and safe gaming experiences nationwide, announced today it will release its financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, after market close on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. The Company will host a conference call and webcast that da
MAGA Is Winning Its War Against U.S. Science
Source: NBER With all the other terrible news right now, you may not have noticed that Donald Trump is in the process of killing American science. OK, that’s an exaggeration — but not that much of an exaggeration. The Trump administration’s latest budget proposal calls for a gigantic increase in military spending combined with severe cuts to social programs. But as the chart above shows, it also calls for debilitating reductions in research funding. Furthermore, Trump appointees have already been strangling science by sharply reducing the rate at which research grants are approved. Here, for example, is the number of new grants approved by the National Science Foundation: Source: Nature Large numbers of existing grants have also been frozen or terminated, especially in the study of infectious diseases. Add to this a sharp drop in visas issued to foreign students, who often play a direct role in research and who help support academic departments that do research: Put all of this together, and much U.S. scientific research is set to come to a screeching halt — not a few years from now, but over the course of the next year or two. This new assault on U.S. science is taking place at a time when the role of American science in the world has already been greatly eroded. The chart below, based on research recently reported by the National Bureau of Economic Research, measures national strength in science by the share of publications in highly ranked journals. In the 1990s the United States had more such publications than the rest of the world combined. Since then we’ve dropped into third place — well behind China and slightly below the European Union. And this was before the Trump administration’s attack on science had time to take its full effect. Source Some erosion in U.S. scientific preeminence was inevitable given China’s growing sophistication and wealth. But we’ve also fallen behind Europe, even though everyone says that Europe is lagging economically and technologically. Claims about Europe’s underperformance are, in fact, dubious if one looks hard at the data. But it’s still striking to see America lagging. What’s going on? There are presumably multiple factors behind America’s scientific lag. But even before Trump II the growing hostility of the U.S. right to science surely had some negative effect. And since the rise of MAGA G.O.P. attitudes toward science in general have become overwhelmingly hostile. This is true even for the Republican rank and file: And while I haven’t been able to find good survey data, it’s obvious that the anti-science turn has been even more pronounced — and began earlier — among the Republican political elite. Chris Mooney published The Republican War on Science in 2005, and even then was describing a longstanding trend. Why have Republicans turned so anti-science? Part of the answer is that they believe that scientists don’t support them. And they’re right! A study of who scientists give money to shows that only a small percentage gave money to Republicans even 20 years ago, and that almost none of them donate to Republicans now: Social scientists have always been strongly pro-Democratic, while there used to be a significant number of physical, “hard” scientists supporting the GOP. But these days physicists are almost as uniformly Democratic, or at least non-Republican, as sociologists. Why are there almost no Republican scientists? It’s not a mystery. GOP political orthodoxy includes positions that are at odds with the scientific consensus on multiple issues, ranging from the validity of the theory of evolution, to the reality of climate change, to the efficacy and safety of vaccines. In each case the scientific consensus is solidly grounded in evidence. But even before the rise of MAGA the U.S. right was increasingly hostile to evidence-based policymaking — especially, of course, where the evidence is unfavorable to fossil fuel interests or quack medicine, both financial mainstays of right-wing politics. So scientists don’t support Republicans, and the feeling is mutual. Today’s Republican Party doesn’t like science or scientists. It doesn’t like having its preconceived views challenged by appeals to evidence. It knows that very few scientists are on its side electorally. In general, it sees scientific research as a threat to its grasp on political power. Add in MAGA’s combination of rabid anti-intellectualism and allergy to any hint of criticism, and one has the makings of a drastic anti-science turn in policy. “Ignorance is strength” might was well be an official MAGA motto. And as I said, we aren’t talking about something that will happen over the course of multiple years: The U.S. scientific enterprise is threatened with severe damage, even collapse, over just the next year. There are many reasons to find this prospect horrifying: Think of all the beneficial advances, affecting almost every part of life, that won’t happen because U.S. science — still crucial to the world — has been eviscerated. But think, also, of America’s international standing. Can a nation that has forfeited its role as a leader, or even a contender, in global science, still be a Great Power? No. MUSICAL CODA
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