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Betting on Trump's influence? How GA-14 runoff became a testing ground as prediction markets reshape 2026 elections
Prediction markets and political betting platforms are raising new questions about democracy, regulation, and voter behavior ahead of the 2026 midterms.
As 2028 looms, Jennifer Siebel Newsom faces increased conservative attacks
Conservative media outlets and GOP operatives are churning out an array of content attacking California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s wife.
Michigan Democrats keep control of state Senate in election win that offers clues about midterms
Democrat Chedrick Greene won a special election in Michigan on Tuesday, securing his party’s control of the state Senate through the remainder of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s term.
Political parties make final pitches ahead of key elections
A final push for votes is under way on the last day of campaigning ahead of elections across England, Scotland and Wales.
Trump's Indiana wins show his power over GOP with more primaries and redistricting debates ahead
Tuesday's election results in Indiana prove President Donald Trump can still punish wayward party members after he endorsed a slate of challengers who defeated almost every one of those lawmakers he wanted to dislodge.
Takeaways from Indiana, Ohio and Michigan: Trump's flex pays off and Democrats win special election
Elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan on Tuesday reinforced a picture that's becoming increasingly clear — while President Donald Trump still dominates the Republican Party, Democrats seem to have the momentum ahead of November's midterm elections.
State of Insecurity: New poll shows Mass. middle class is more squeezed than ever
The results are a warning shot for the Bay State’s political class, who have touted their efforts to make the state more affordable during a critical midterm election year.
Trump's Indiana wins show his power over GOP with more primaries and redistricting debates ahead
The primary election results in Indiana show how President Donald Trump can punish Republican lawmakers who defy him.
Exclusive: Deleted tweets reveal new surgeon general pick criticized Trump and RFK Jr. health policies
Just two months before she was selected as President Donald Trump’s nominee for surgeon general, Dr. Nicole Saphier suggested the administration was hiding that measles was spreading widely enough in the United States for the country to lose its “elimination” status until after the midterm elections.
Exclusive: Deleted tweets reveal new surgeon general pick criticized Trump and RFK Jr. health policies
Just two months before she was selected as President Donald Trump’s nominee for surgeon general, Dr. Nicole Saphier suggested the administration was hiding that measles was spreading widely enough in the United States for the country to lose its “elimination” status until after the midterm elections.
A Look Inside the Case That Enshrined Political Power for Billionaires
After Watergate, Congress tried to curtail the role of money in politics. But a pivotal Supreme Court case nipped it in the bud. Years later, new details are emerging on how wealthy Americans were conferred with a “right to spend” on elections.
Candidates clash over affordability, health care in California governor's race debate
Candidates in California's crowded race for governor clashed over affordability and health care Tuesday night during a high-stakes debate, using the forum to draw sharp contrasts as voters prepare to narrow the field ahead of the June 2 primary election.
Trump-backed Ramaswamy wins Ohio governor primary, setting up a competitive Nov. race
In Ohio, where a Democrat hasn't won an election for governor in 20 years, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton could be in for a tight race this fall.
Mamata Banerjee, West Bengal election results 2026: India’s fiercest female politician faces a fight for survival
Mamata Banerjee loses West Bengal state, throwing her party - and political future - into doubt.
Live results: Michigan state senate special election
Democrats need to win this highly competitive State Senate district if they want to maintain their narrow margin in the chamber.
The most coveted endorsement in SF politics — and why Pelosi hasn’t given it
The speaker emerita’s nod would have unlocked funding and allies in a heavily contested election.
What to watch for in Indiana tonight: From the Politics Desk
Plus, Iowa emerges as a midterm battleground.
Alito and Jackson’s fiery debate over the Voting Rights Act exposes Supreme Court tensions
The November election is still a long way off, but patience is already running thin at the Supreme Court.
White House says Trump's deals with pharmaceutical companies offer billions in savings
WASHINGTON (AP) — White House economists estimate that President Donald Trump’s deals with pharmaceutical companies to drop some of their U.S. prescription drug prices to what they charge in other countries could save $529 billion over the next 10 years. The analysis obtained by The Associated Press includes the first economy-wide projections behind a policy at the core of Trump’s pitch to voters going into November’s midterm elections for control of the House and Senate.
National Academy of Sciences elects Hart, Schmitz to 2026 class
With the election of University of Georgia professors Gerald Hart and Robert Schmitz, the university now has 19 NAS members.
Ohio voters talk politics, issues after casting primary ballots
Voters across the greater Columbus area cast their ballots for statewide office nominees with politics and specific issues on their mind.
Montana Free Press publishes ‘Big Sky Politics: Campaigns and Elections in Modern Montana 1945 to 2025.’
The book, now in its revised, expanded and updated second edition, is author Jon Bennion’s definitive history of electoral politics in Montana.
U.K. 30-Year Gilt Yields Hit 28-Year High Amid Political Concerns
Borrowing costs on U.K. 30-year government bonds surged ahead of local elections on Thursday due to concerns about a potential political crisis in the U.K.
Special election for control of Michigan's state Senate may offer fall midterm clues
A special election in a small Michigan swing district on Tuesday could have outsized consequences.
Abortion pill rulings bring the issue back to the forefront in a midterm election year
Back-to-back court rulings on abortion pill access are thrusting a contentious political issue back into the spotlight ahead of this year’s midterm elections that will determine control of Congress for the second half of President Donald Trump's term.
What to watch in Tuesday's elections in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan
President Donald Trump's campaign to politically punish Republicans who stand in his way moves through Indiana on Tuesday, when seven state senators face Trump-backed primary challengers.
Fulton County asks court to stop DOJ subpoena of 2020 election workers’ personal information
The Fulton County Board of Registration and Elections in Georgia wants to block the Justice Department from gaining access to the personal information of thousands of 2020 election workers.
Justice Department seeks the names of 2020 election workers in Georgia's Fulton County
The Justice Department is seeking the names of every person who worked in the 2020 election in Georgia’s Fulton County, a Democratic stronghold Donald Trump has accused of widespread voter fraud he says cost him victory against Joe Biden in the state that year.
Georgia Democrats want voters to remember 2020 when they vote in 2026
The state Democratic Party has paid for a TV ad referencing Donald Trump's attempt to overturn Georgia's 2020 election results.
‘Starmer’s referendum’: How local elections could expose a fractured UK
Thursday’s polls could deliver a sharp setback for Labour, with Reform UK and the Greens expected to gain, analysts say.
Redistricting battles back on midterm political map as Ohio, Indiana vote in primaries
Alabama and Tennessee move into redistricting fights while midterm voters in Indiana and Ohio head to the polls, spotlighting election maps, primaries and 2026 political stakes.
Live Results: Ohio state primaries
Ohio is expected to play a high-profile role in the midterm elections.
These 7 Primary Elections Will Test President Trump’s Power in Indiana
The president is seeking political payback for Republican state legislators in Indiana who rejected his push to redraw the state’s political map last year.
As Louisiana makes big, sudden changes to elections, many voters report confusion
Louisiana voters were left confused on the second day of early voting.
With Sanford out, who are top contenders to succeed Mace in SC’s 1st district
The winner of the November election will succeed U.S. Rep. Nancy Mace, who is running for governor of South Carolina.
Vijay, Tamil Nadu election results 2026: How a film star won in the Indian state
Film star Vijay has defied naysayers to almost sweep Tamil Nadu polls, marking a break in the political order.
What to know about the Ohio 1st District U.S. House election
Local Democrats and Republicans will vote today in Ohio's 1st District, a closely-watched seat currently held by Rep. Greg Landsman.
Abortion pill rulings bring the issue back to the forefront in a midterm election year
Recent court rulings on abortion pill access have reignited a contentious political issue in a midterm year.
India’s iPhone Hub Stunned by Movie Star Vijay’s Political Rise
In most of his films, Tamil superstar C. Joseph Vijay has saved the nation and its poor from powerful forces. He used that same script in politics this week to emerge as the unlikely winner in elections in one of India’s most economically important states.
Charting how Trump became a historically unpopular president
President Donald Trump appears to be more unpopular than he’s ever been. In fact, his 35% average approval rating in the CNN Poll of Polls means he’s now flirting with George W. Bush territory. Bush is the only president since Jimmy Carter to spend a sustained period of time in the mid-30s or lower. And all of it is putting the Republican Party at risk of a severe rebuke from voters in just six months’ time in the 2026 midterm elections. It’s been a pretty gradual, steady deterioration throughout Trump’s more than 15 months back as president, but a few things stand out.
Big business strikes back against new hope for corporate spending ban in Nevada elections
Plus: Huge ad spending in the AG's race, a look at self-funded campaigns and the number of votes cast so far.
Fulton seeks to block federal subpoena targeting 2020 election workers
The subpoena seeks personally identifying information for thousands of paid and volunteer election workers.
Trump Administration Demands Names of 2020 Election Workers in Georgia
The Justice Department again appears to be using the investigative power of the federal government to rehash debunked claims that Democrats stole the 2020 election.
Trump Administration Demands Names of 2020 Election Workers in Georgia
The Justice Department again appears to be using the investigative power of the federal government to rehash debunked claims that Democrats stole the 2020 election.
Latest Calif. governor's race poll shows 2 candidates are tied for 1st
Election Day is June 2, and voters are becoming more decisive.
The May Primary Elections Will Test Trump’s Power Over Republicans
A series of Republican contests will test his grip on the party.
NWA Business Journal seeks nominations for awards programs - Talk Business & Politics
The Northwest Arkansas Business Journal is accepting nominations for multiple awards recognition programs, including its longest-running awards program, Forty Under 40. Selection to the recognition programs is based on nominees’...
Dez Bryant's Son Receives Scholarship Offer from Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys selected wide receiver Dez Bryant out of Oklahoma State with the No. 24 pick in the 2010 NFL Draft. All three of his Pro Bowl nods and one First-Team All-Pro selection also came with the Cowboys. The wide receiver out of Southlake, Texas is an unranked recruit in the 2028 cycle, according to 247Sports.
Democrats look for a foothold in Iowa as Vance visits to boost GOP candidate
Republican Donald Trump may have won the state by double digits in the last presidential election, but growing dissatisfaction with his leadership and rising costs from the Iran war could help set the stage for Democrats to make previously unattainable gains.
Trump keeps saying the quiet part out loud on changes to the 2026 election
President Donald Trump’s latest gerrymandering push is an extremely desperate partisan power grab that would invalidate votes already cast.
Redistricting war accelerates winner-take-all politics straining American democracy
The arcane art of drawing legislative lines is the most powerful tool that politicians have for gaming elections.
Supreme Court ruling on voting won’t change California districts, but could hurt Democrats
The U.S. Supreme Court has narrowed the Voting Rights Act over the past decade. The law in California was primarily used to help Latinos gain political representation. The U.S. Supreme Court has narrowed the Voting Rights Act over the past decade. The law in California was primarily used to help Latinos gain political representation.
Will Texas turn blue this year?
With midterms around the corner and President Trump's approval rating low, Democrats expect to flip a lot of seats this election. Polls show a Democrat could win a statewide seat in Texas for the first time in the 21st century.
How Xavier Becerra became the Joe Biden of California’s governor race
He is defying conventional wisdom about what Democratic voters want and is surpassing flashier, more progressive opponents pledging to upend the status quo.
EDITORIAL: Normalization of misconduct in U.S. politics
President Donald J. Trump's 2016 presidential campaign propelled conversations regarding sexual assault into the national spotlight. A handful of women slowly began coming forward with allegations of unwanted advances and perverse comments over the course of the election cycle, and concerns were further solidified after a secret recording from a 2005 Hollywood Access tape was leaked. Trump had been caught on a hot mic stating he was able to touch women as he pleased, and due to his social status as a "star," they would let him do it. The New York Times published a series of interviews from individuals who had both witnessed and experienced his inappropriate behavior soon after.
Should a California union dictate how clinics spend money? Employers sue to block ballot measure
California’s billionaires are not the only ones fighting back against the state’s largest health workers union this election season.
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Ohio's state primaries
Candidates for Ohio’s top elected offices will stand before voters in a statewide primary on Tuesday, although many of them are already looking ahead to the November general election. In
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Michigan's special election for control of the state Senate
Voters in a competitive Central Michigan district will decide control of the state Senate on Tuesday in a special election to fill the seat last held by Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who's now a congresswoman.
Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso join Nigeria Democratic Congress in major political shake-up
Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso, who came third and fourth respectively in the last elections, switch parties.
Elections could be crucial for WI mental health legislation
This election year in WI may be pivotal for mental health legislation. There'll be new lawmakers in Madison, so let's be prepared to seek changes.
Insight: Warned off vaccine actions, Kennedy seeks quick health wins ahead of midterms
U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is aiming for quick wins on new health initiatives to help Republicans in November’s midterm elections, after the White House asked him to pivot from a widely criticized campaign to rewrite U.S. vaccine policy, senior administration officials told Reuters.
Christian Menefee and Al Green, rivals in TX-18, align on aim of strengthening voting rights
The two congressmen, in a Democratic primary runoff election for the same Houston-based seat, both came out strongly for the need to pass new legislation to counteract the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that crippled enforcement of the Voting Rights Act.
Is it just me, or are elections being fought in a new arena?
Voters, candidates and campaigns are getting savvier about how they target their opponents.
Trump and GOP push for aggressive voter roll purges up until Election Day, testing precedent
For decades, it’s generally been assumed that any mass purges of voter rolls had to be completed at least 90 days out from an election.
Calvin Duncan cleared to assume New Orleans court clerk role in federal court ruling
A federal judge blocked a Louisiana law abolishing the Orleans Parish criminal clerk's office, allowing Calvin Duncan, who won the November election with 68% of the vote, to take office Monday.
Chris Mason: Elections this week a smorgasbord of competitiveness
The scale of these elections looks set to vividly expose the breadth of Labour's vulnerabilities, Chris Mason writes.
Cleo Fields, other House candidates ask to join to lawsuit over Louisiana suspending election
U.S. Rep. Cleo Fields has asked a judge to join a lawsuit challenging Gov. Jeff Landry’s suspension of congressional primaries in the wake of a Supreme Court ruling declaring Louisiana’s U.S. House map unconstitutional.
Analyst reveals surprising choice for favorite Chiefs draft selection
This might not be everyone's choice.
Disabled Seneddd election candidates on the barriers they face
Disabled election candidates speak about their own personal experiences of disability and politics.
‘All INdiana Politics’
On Sunday's edition of "All INdiana Politics," U.S. Rep. André Carson discussed the potential impact of a recent Supreme Court ruling on the Voting Rights Act, as well as a shooting at the White House correspondents' dinner. News 8's Garrett Bergquist and the two members of the "All INdiana Politics" team provided an overview of the upcoming state Senate primary races in Tuesday's election.
Iowa lawmakers limit governor’s power ahead of 'toss-up' 2026 election
The GOP-led Iowa Legislature has sent outgoing Gov. Kim Reynolds a bill limiting the governor's powers ahead of a competitive 2026 governor's race.
Lucy Powell says Labour has ‘no magic bullet’ as MPs brace for heavy losses in local elections
Deputy leader plays down leadership talk and says party must focus on long-term challenges rather than personnel
NFL Draft Expert Reassures Bears Fans About Polarizing Pick
An NFL expert defends a surprising third-round tight end selection, revealing strategic foresight for the Bears' future personnel and blocking needs.
Want a say in Central Ohio elections? Better vote in the primary
Gerrymandered maps put Ohio’s real election on May 5. Low turnout is expected, but the primary may decide who holds power in many districts.
Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics
There's fallout galore after Florida lawmakers pushed through a new congressional map just months before the election.
Gov. Jeff Landry canceled the May 16 House elections. What happens now?
“I’m sure we’re going to have fireworks somewhere,” one key state legislator said.
Kenya violence: As political tension cranks up fears grow of a return to unrest
More than 100 gangs are operating nationwide as the growing use of political thugs raises fears of election violence.
Barnsley candidates speak out ahead of 2026 local elections
Candidates from Barnsley speak to BBC Politics North, ahead of the all-out elections.
North Texas voters weigh in on transit, school bonds and more on Saturday
The results are in and North Texans have decided on city races, school bonds, transit propositions and more. NBC 5’s Meredith Yeomans has the latest on Election Night.
Surging gas prices loom over pivotal special election in Michigan
The special election in the 35th District will be an early test of where Michigan voters stand in a key election year.
FBI seizure of Fulton County election ballots happened quickly after criminal probe opened, new timeline shows
A newly released timeline from the Justice Department reveals the FBI seized 2020 election materials from Georgia just a few weeks after opening a criminal probe, which experts told CNN is an unusually fast pace for a case of its kind.
State redistricting battles intensify following U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Voting Rights Act
A Supreme Court decision striking down a majority Black congressional district in Louisiana has amplified an already intense national redistricting battle. Here’s a look at how some states are responding.
Kemp won't seek to change Georgia's congressional map this year
There will be no changes to Georgia's congressional map before the 2026 midterm elections are held, Gov. Brian Kemp said on Friday.
Rory Diamond calls for 'race-neutral' Jacksonville City Council map before next local election
The Beaches Republican has not ruled out a run for Mayor.
Ted Cruz warns of high stakes during Iowa visit as 2026 midterms loom
As Republicans gathered at a conservative event in Clive ahead of a pivotal midterm election, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, warned that what happens in Iowa could help determine the direction of the country.
Times Opinion: Corporations spend big in Florida politics
Before Florida's legislative session began in January, corporations, political committees and lobbyists showered the accounts of some of the state's most influential lawmakers with a fresh $14 million in a single day.
The politics of Trump's ballroom
WEST PALM BEACH, Florida — President Trump was about a half-hour into his second speech of the day, musing about the danger he faced last week at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner. “Saturday night, it was good for one thing. People are loving my ballroom now,” Trump told a crowd last night. “That’s the only thing. They love my ballroom.” Ever since he was hustled off stage at the Washington Hilton last week, after an attempted shooter breached the dinner’s security perimeter and sent guests diving to the floor, the president has argued that the incident is proof for why his White House ballroom is needed. Only his planned $400 million, 90,000-square-foot project, Trump has reasoned, can keep a president truly safe at major events. It’s true that a bunch of GOP lawmakers have jumped on board with new legislation and words of support for Trump’s project. House Speaker Mike Johnson, Sen. Rand Paul and other prominent Republicans went on TV to talk about the need for a ballroom. But as we reported at The Washington Post this week, “people” aren’t really changing their minds on Trump’s ballroom. A new Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll found that most Americans still oppose the ballroom project: 56 percent against it versus 28 percent in favor. The numbers are the same as a poll from last year, the Post’s polling whiz Scott Clement found. Other new polls have found similar margins, too. “I’m just not a giant fan, especially of extravagance,” one independent voter told me. “I mean, in the era we’re in right now, given how much people are struggling, it just doesn’t make a lot of sense to me to spend $400 million on a ballroom.” How we got here The Washington Post has followed Trump’s ballroom project very closely. (My colleague Jonathan Edwards may have written the most total words of any reporter about the project; I may be second.) The project exploded as a national issue after Trump tore down the White House’s East Wing after initially promising not to touch it.1 Historic preservationists sued, and about a month ago, a federal judge ordered a halt to ballroom construction.2 The only way the ballroom could proceed, U.S. District Judge Richard Leon ruled, was if Congress explicitly authorized Trump’s plans. (An appeals court has stayed Leon’s order for now.) The judge’s ruling raised an obvious question: would Congress authorize the project? Keep in mind, “authorization” doesn’t mean that Congress needs to necessarily fund the planned $400 million project; they could just sign off on the private donations that Trump has solicited to pay for the ballroom.3 But GOP lawmakers really didn’t want to talk about the ballroom, we reported at The Post just a few weeks ago. One major reason was the ballroom’s bad polling — not a small detail with many of their own midterm elections looming. The White House Correspondents’ Dinner incident, and Trump’s advocacy, may have changed the political conversation around the ballroom. As this week’s polling shows, it doesn’t seem to have affected the fundamental questions surrounding the project. To put it another way, voters still say that cost-of-living concerns are top-of-mind heading into the midterms. Some Republican and independent voters have told me that they see the ballroom as a vanity project that will help Trump but do nothing for their own lives. It might not help Republicans that Trump has dismissed some of the cost-of-living concerns. He’s described “affordability” as a buzzword manufactured by Democrats whose policies helped cause inflation. “They’ve got one good line of bullshit,” Trump said in his first speech yesterday, delivered at a Florida retirement community known as The Villages. Thanks for reading Dan Diamond's newsletter! Subscribe for free to stay up-to-date on my work. Subscribe Speaking of Trump’s speeches… I’m down in Florida because it’s my “duty week” as a White House reporter — basically, I follow the president wherever he goes. (And then hand the baton off to one of my Washington Post colleagues next week.) As part of my duty week, I’ve spent a few days covering the White House’s reaction to Saturday’s attempted shooting, including officials’ review of the security protocols to protect the president. Trump was restrained in the wake of the incident, addressing the nation from the White House briefing room about the need for peaceful dialogue and trying to lower the temperature. But he’s clearly been itching to get back out of the White House, and I was curious to hear how his Florida speeches would go. And — to my ears — it was an unburdened Trump. Not the one we saw Saturday night in the White House briefing room, but the one we witnessed on the campaign trail in 2024. Loose, dropping profanities, mocking everyone, including members of his team. “We have a man here who knows more about Medicaid, Medicare, medical crap than any human being. Where’s Dr. Oz? Where the hell are you, stand up,” Trump said, referring to Mehmet Oz, the administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. “It’s the most boring trip I’ve ever made. He’s telling me about Medicare, Medicaid. All I want to do is take care of you, I don’t care. I said, ‘You work out the details.’” I wrote up the speech, as Trump headed to West Palm Beach to deliver more remarks a few hours later. The White House didn’t like my story. Their rapid-response team called it the work of a “total loser”4 and “a miserable TDS-ridden moron.” You can be the judge of whether it’s a fair story or the product of someone afflicted with “TDS.” (The White House’s shorthand for “Trump Derangement Syndrome.”) I’ve pasted the story below with a gift link, meaning that you don’t need to be a Washington Post subscriber to read it. It might prompt you for an email address, though. Meanwhile, I’ll be down in Florida for the rest of the weekend, covering the president. It’s TBD whether those stories will be deemed TDS-afflicted, too. 1 Jonathan details the past six months of ballroom fallout, reactions and the implications for executive authority here. I also had a great time talking about Trump’s ballroom and other projects with Australia’s ABC News Daily on a podcast this week. 2 The judge allowed underground construction and national security-related work to continue. But that hasn’t been enough for Trump, who says the ballroom itself is essential for his protection. 3 The ballroom donors include companies like Palantir, Google and Amazon. For transparency, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos owns The Washington Post, where I work. No one has ever interfered with our team’s coverage of the ballroom or our mentions of Amazon or Bezos, and if that changed, I’d speak out. 4 To be fair, I’ve spent the morning working on stories and writing this Substack post rather than enjoying the beautiful Florida weather. So they may be onto something about who’s winning and who’s losing.
'Aberdeen not safe yet'
Aberdeen fans, we asked for your views on Friday night's 2-2 draw against Livingston. Chris: To be perfectly honest after last night my worry is Stephen Robinson and his team selection. As time passes my real fear is who Robinson will show the door and who will come in.
The long shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic creeps into the race for Ohio governor
Democrat Amy Acton is running unopposed in her party’s primary for Ohio governor, but she’ll face some steep challenges in the November general election
The long shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic creeps into the race for Ohio governor
Democrat Amy Acton is running unopposed in her party’s primary for Ohio governor, but she'll face some steep challenges in the November general election.
The long shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic creeps into the race for Ohio governor
Democrat Amy Acton is running unopposed in her party’s primary for Ohio governor, but she'll face some steep challenges in the November general election.
‘Don’t Minnesota’ my state: Land of 10,000 Lakes becomes a political punching bag
After a tumultuous political year, a higher profile for Gov. Tim Walz and problems with fraud in state programs, Minnesota popping up as a talking point elections far beyond its borders.
Gov. Jeff Landry’s order halting Louisiana congressional elections faces barrage of lawsuits
But several of those lawsuits already faced rejection from judges.
Election battle for Birmingham council never been harder to call
The number of candidates and challengers from non-traditional parties make results hard to predict.
Business Lookahead: Eyeing oil, US jobs, and European earnings
STORY: From high oil prices and the conflict in the Middle East to U.S. jobs data and corporate earnings, here’s what you need to watch in business and finance in the week ahead.:: Crude and currencyOil prices briefly topped $120 a barrel this week to hit their highest level since 2022 as the war with Iran enters a third month.While the U.S. and Iran face pressure to end a conflict that has shut the Strait of Hormuz, the world watches anxiously as the biggest-ever disruption to energy supplies unfolds.For each week the Strait is closed, keeping oil elevated, the greater the economic risks via higher inflation or weak growth or, for some, both. Oil importer Japan just intervened to prop up a yen that has been weakened by the conflict.A new month is now underway and some traders will be mindful of that old adage, "Sell in May and go away.":: Jobs gyrationsAs the U.S. economy grapples with fallout from the Middle East war, Wall Street's radar turns to Friday's April monthly payrolls report.The U.S. economy likely created 73,000 new jobs, economists polled by Reuters forecast. In March, payrolls increased by 178,000, the most since December 2024, but that followed a sharp decline in February.The U.S. employment data comes amid signs of hawkishness at the Federal Reserve, as Donald Trump pick Kevin Warsh prepares to take over as chair with the U.S. president keen on rate cuts.:: Starmer’s statusThursday's local elections in Britain, usually a non-event for investors, could move markets in a big way, with opinion polls pointing to a heavy defeat for Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour Party.A heavy defeat could spark more widespread demands for his dismissal among his own lawmakers and stoke expectations of a successor more willing to run looser budgets. That would bring more bad news for British bonds.::European earningsIt's a big week for European earnings with Shell and Commerzbank among those reporting.On aggregate, profits are expected to grow 3.2% in Q1, according to LSEG I/B/E/S. Under the surface, it's a little bit more complicated. Growth is expected to be driven by just three sectors: financials, tech and energy. The latter is seen as the biggest beneficiary of the Iran war due to higher oil and gas prices.But if the war, and energy surge, persist, the overall outlook for Europe's earnings could turn.