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Netflix’s Summer of Bummer
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) Today, I’ve got a guest post from longtime friend of the newsletter, Brandon Katz. I’ve been trying to find time all summer to look at Netflix’s straight-to-streaming film slate, but between a pre-planned trip and Nielsen moving up their streaming data timeline, I’ve been swamped. So I reached out to Brandon, one of my favorite fellow analysts, to write about it. And I feel like he captured the tone and data focus of the newsletter perfectly. You can connect with Brandon on LinkedIn and Twitter. Enjoy! Don’t worry, folks. You’re in safe hands with me. To ease any anxieties about an interloper in ESG’s domain, I’ll start by stealing one of his best framing devices: headlines. Box office flops are covered in the same way the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles eye pizza: with cartoonish insatiability. I would know. I’m a former reporter who wrote nearly identical headlines: Yet, intentionally or not, streaming misses get treated with kids gloves, filtered through a rosy lens: In the last six years, U.S. streaming viewership has become nearly as transparent as the box office, but the data often arrives weeks later, in a number of less intuitive metrics, and with nary an official budget to be found. This plays into the Wall Street-whispering narratives major streamers have been cultivating for years. They get a pass in a way that theatrical studios simply don’t. Subscribe Netflix’s Summer Slate Not a single Netflix original film released between May and August this year opened above 20 million U.S. TV hours, per Nielsen. That benchmark usually serves as the EntStrategyGuy’s floor for a streaming hit on Netflix. None of these films enjoyed a hit-cementing single week of 20-plus million hours during their runs. Netflix’s two best films were true crime docs, Maternal Instinct (16.5 million hours) and The Crash (19.7 million), the best overall week for a film this summer. Great for most other streamers, but not necessarily what we’re used to seeing from Netflix. For an overly-dramatic comparison, Happy Gilmore 2 opened last summer to around 47 million hours (celebrity cameos, baby!). Zooming out, the picture looks even worse. In 2026, Netflix’s five biggest scripted summer films posted the lowest average (28.6 million hours) and median (28.8 million hours) eight-week viewership totals of the past four years. Now, it’s unrealistic and unfair to expect Netflix to deliver a _KPop Demon Hunters-_sized hit every year. But it’s also not ideal to see the size of their hits shrinking over the last few summers. Let’s quickly run through some of the notable summer misses. Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein’s perfectly fine romcom, Office Romance, fell off the charts after 20 million hours in its first two weeks. Top films usually last for four-plus weeks. Starry titles ideally don’t decay that fast either. Homegrown star Millie Bobby Brown couldn’t prevent the snappy Enola Holmes franchise from diminishing returns. At 14.3 million U.S. hours, the third film posted roughly half of what the first two films did in their first two weeks. What’s on Netflix calculated that per-day global views were down nearly 60% from the second movie. The Whisper Man did okay with more than 36 million hours over its first four weeks. But I expected a little more juice from a film featuring Robert De Niro, Michelle Monaghan, and Adam Scott. Kevin Hart’s Ladies First collected just 11.2 million hours total across two weeks. That’s a big miss for one of Netflix’s go-to stars. Plopping into the same bucket are Sunny Sandler’s Don’t Say Good Luck (10.3 million in two weeks) and John Cena’s Little Brother (17.5 million). Meanwhile, English-language originals Color Book (June 19), In the Hand of Dante (June 24) and Heartstopper Forever (July 17) never sniffed Nielsen’s Top 10 at all, despite needing only 2 to 5 million hours to land in the top ten most weeks. (By my count, eleven English-language scripted original films released between May and August did chart). It’s only fair to mention that Swapped (1-May) posted nearly 42 million U.S. hours over five weeks (the longest Netflix original run this summer) and is currently their eighth most-watched English-language film ever worldwide. Remarkably Bright Creatures (37 million, 4 weeks) and Voicemails for Isabelle (27 million, 4 weeks) weren’t bombs either. Still, overall, I think it’s fair to say this was a quieter summer season than we’re used to seeing from the market-leader. You might not realize that given the language commonly used in public analysis. The Twist Despite the starkly black-and-white tone of the coverage, here’s the twist: when many box office bombs arrive on streaming, their viewership looks a whole lot like many of Netflix’s supposedly successful summer releases. Hmm, where have we heard that one before? Masters of the Universe topped out at $65 million stateside against a $170 million budget_._ I’ll admit, Skeletor ripping sleeveless curls as a gym bro and bodyslamming Adam’s co-workers was funny. But, much to the chagrin of my bank account, my laughter doesn’t launch franchises. Yet the He-Man reboot opened to 19.6 million hours (from a Wednesday five-day opening instead of just one weekend), on par with Hoppers on Disney+ (19.4 million). It put up nearly 47 million hours over its first six weeks, bigger than all of Netflix’s summer releases. Pretty darn healthy and likely to land among the 25 most-watched movies on streaming this year. Sticking with Amazon, The Sheep Detectives just barely broke even at the box office with $133 million worldwide (and only $66 million domestic). I never expected cloven-hooved, cud-chewing mammals to be able to bring me to tears. Yet that’s exactly how I found myself at the end of this surprisingly affecting movie (#NoShame). It was likely the unexpected quality in a family-friendly film that powered its streaming over-performance. Sheep Detectives delivered a solid run for Prime video netting 26.2 million hours! How about franchise IP? Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu had the lowest opening ($81 million) and lowest-grossing Disney-era live-action Star Wars film ($178 million domestic). One day before release, its Heat score (19.8%)—audiences who list their interest as a 7/7—fell behind blockbusters Wicked (21%), Superman (23%), Fantastic Four: First Steps (23%), Michael (23%), Toy Story 5 (26%) and Avatar: Fire and Ash (27%), according to Greenlight Analytics. The urgent enthusiasm just wasn’t there. On streaming, Mando opened to weeks of 12.1 million, 6.1 million and 2.7 million hours (21 million total) over its first three frames. Not the numbers Lucasfilm was hoping for nor the numbers of a streaming hit. But they’re in the same vicinity as some Netflix summer releases with $345 million at the global box office to offset a smidgen of the pain. Final Thoughts So why oh why does this nuance gap exist? Four key reasons: Data Literacy: A “$100 million opening” just makes sense. After decades of box office reporting, even casual movie fans are well-versed in the benchmarks of hits and home runs. There’s an immediate shorthand. But “16.5 million” hours doesn’t land nearly as cleanly. Despite leaps of progress, the streaming ratings era is still in its infancy compared to theatrical. The EntStrategyGuy and I met thanks to a late 2010s group chat of data nerds hungry to find a shred of certainty in nebulous streaming performance. I’m not surprised to see “No. 1 on Netflix” still getting misconstrued out in the wild. Timing: By Friday morning, we have the box office’s Thursday night previews totaled, allowing us to better project the weekend’s expectations. From there, ticket sales are reported daily. By Sunday, the film’s fate is usually finalized, at least in terms of public perception. In streaming, Nielsen recently improved its delay to…two weeks. The medium isn’t forced to contend with instant gratification as harshly. Financials: Theatrical film budgets are a mere Google away. Profit and loss is calculated in the cold and unforgiving naked light of day for all to see. But finding the vast majority of streaming exclusive movie budgets requires the forensic investigation skills of a Criminal Minds detective. Also, it’s very difficult to calculate how much revenue/value a straight-to-streaming films provides a streamer. This is why there are so few stories about streaming original movies “losing X amount of money”. On top of that, marketing budgets are far greater for theatrical movies than streaming exclusive movies, which leads to earlier and better awareness. This then translates to a wider pool of potential interest. Narrative Control: Netflix is the only major streaming service to publish weekly first-hand viewership data and annual engagement reports. Naturally, some headlines borrow their first-hand framing**.** Other streamers benefit from their comparative lack of transparency. They may occasionally announce vague performance platitudes such as Apple TV’s Mayday becoming its “biggest film debut on the platform to date over its first 18 days,” and that it ranked No. 1 with left-handed viewers in its first weekend. (Fine, I made up that second one). But, for the most part, they keep first-hand viewership shrouded in mystery to avoid bad press. Especially for outlets that demand multiple articles per day from their writers, it’s an easy (and understandable) way for some reporters to hit their daily article quota by just repeating what the streamers have told them. TL:DR version: Streaming-exclusive movies are asked to do different things than theatrical movies, but that doesn’t mean they should escape judgment. Both still need to draw enough eyeballs to justify their cost within the proper performance contexts. The more cleanly we can inject a little nuance into streaming analysis, the better we’ll understand the audience and content trends that drive this industry. And that’s what all of this is really about: knowing what audiences actually want! Brandon Katz is the Director of Insights & Content Strategy at Greenlight Analytics where he focuses on evaluating the ever-fluid media landscape to unearth understanding, opportunity and value. Greenlight Analytics is the entertainment intelligence consulting company redefining how Hollywood finds, understands, and activates audiences. Prior to joining Greenlight Analytics, he served as the senior entertainment industry strategist at Parrot Analytics, and as a full-time entertainment industry reporter covering the Xs and Os of Hollywood, most notably with TheWrap and the Observer.
Bears QB Caleb Williams returns to practice, questionable for Sunday
Bears starting quarterback returned to practice Friday and is questionable for Sunday's game against the Packers.
Expert Game Picks: Raiders or Patriots?
Take a look at who the experts are picking to win Sunday's game.
What reception awaits Man City at Anfield?
Bus welcomes, banners and flags expected as Man City head to Liverpool on Sunday for their first game since they were found guilty of breaching Premier League rules.
Oliver Glasner Issues Injury Warning for Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest have been dealt a major injury blow ahead of their trip to Crystal Palace on Sunday.
Scouting the Enemy: Los Angeles Chargers
The Denver Broncos battle the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. Here is a deeper look at their Week 5 opponent.
The Bear’s Den: Green Bay Packers Sunday, let’s do this!
The Chicago Bears head north for a noon-time matchup at the Green Bay Packers. Can the good guys win?
Where to watch Cagliari vs Juventus in Serie A
The Men's First Team returns from the international break with a trip to Sardinia, as Luciano Spalletti's side take on Cagliari.The match kicks off at 20:45 CEST on Sunday, October 11. Here are all th...
Gasperini ready to rely on Mora in Como showdown
Roma played a test match against Sorianese yesterday at Trigoria to maintain their rhythm and prepare for Sunday’s 12:30 pm match away to Como. The final score was 20-0. Everyone was present except ...
A Fiesta’s Serious Business
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Bengals Get Positive Injury Update on Ja'Marr Chase
Cincinnati’s star receiver returned to practice in full pads Thursday, a vital step toward clearing concussion protocol as the offense faces mounting injuries before Sunday's matchup.
Discover Southern Flames: Fairfield's new restaurant + entertainment destination
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First Ever Nite Life Car Show Expected to Boost Business in Downtown Santa Barbara
SANTA BARBARA, Calif. (KEYT) - Downtown Santa Barbara will have some new horsepower Sunday. The NITE LIFE car club of Santa Barbara presents its first car
Laramie County Library to host science fair workshop this Sunday
Laramie County School District 1 is teaming up with the Laramie County Library to help students get their projects off the ground.
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh reacts to ‘insult’ from reporter
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-4 to start the 2026 NFL season, and after Sunday’s 30-23 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, criticism of the coach-and-QB duo has begun to boil over. According to the New York Post, during a media conference Monday, head coach Jim Harbaugh called out a reporter after he believed that their…
F1 Singapore: George Russell Penalized for Engine Change
The Briton will start from the back of the grid after the power unit failure in Malaysia. Mercedes brings forward the engine change planned for later. The sanction will be applied on Sunday, not in the Sprint, which gives him an opportunity to score.
Soule eyeing starting role in Como showdown
Roma is approaching their match against Como, scheduled for Sunday, October 11th, at 12:30 PM at the Sinigaglia Stadium. After the international break, Gian Piero Gasperini can finally count on an alm...
Hearthside House Museum's Gone But Not Forgotten exhibit opens Oct. 18
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TAKE3 comes to Lebanon as LCCCA continues 93-year tradition of live entertainment
The Lebanon County Community Concert Association will welcome TAKE3 to Lebanon on Sunday, Oct. 11, for the second performance of its 2026–27 concert season.
Dodgers, Brewers meet again in second straight NLCS
If the Dodgers are going get back to the World Series to finish off their third consecutive championship, they’ll have to travel the same path as in 2025 to complete their trek through the National League. The Dodgers will play the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLCS beginning Sunday night, October 11 at American Family Field […]
Jaguars Wednesday: “This is a Business Trip …”
Head Coach Liam Coen spoke to the media at the Miller Electric Center Wednesday as the AFC South-leading Jaguars prepare to play back-to-back games in London, including Sunday’s game against the Philadelphia Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Vikings Trade Pitch Lands 2-Time NFL All-Pro
In Sunday’s victory over the Miami Dolphins, the Minnesota Vikings took a major blow.Jackson was flagged for holding on a play during the first quarter. However, that wasn’t the most consequential part of that snap. After the conclusion of the play, Jackson limped off the field, into the blue tent, and eventually into the locker […] The post Vikings Trade Pitch Lands 2-Time NFL All-Pro appeared first on HEAVY.
Kyle Larson Is Putting Together Historic NASCAR Chase Run
Current points leader Kyle Larson’s numbers have been ridiculous halfway through NASCAR’s Chase for the Cup. Larson drove the No. 5 Chevy to a second-place finish at Las Vegas last Sunday, extending his points lead and clocking in his fifth straight top-five finish in the Chase. After finishing 31st in the regular-season finale at Daytona, Larson has […] The post Kyle Larson Is Putting Together Historic NASCAR Chase Run appeared first on HEAVY.
Eagles Get Discouraging Saquon Barkley Update Despite ‘Not Major’ Injury
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is dealing with a hamstring injury he suffered in Sunday’s 24-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. ESPN lists his status as questionable ahead of Week 5. Head coach Nick Sirianni gave no update on Monday and said more answers would come Wednesday. Despite the lack of official details, […] The post Eagles Get Discouraging Saquon Barkley Update Despite ‘Not Major’ Injury appeared first on Gridiron Heroics.
Packers defense gets ready to take on Bears
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Seahawks' Mike Macdonald Reacts To Penalty Problem: 'Live That Life'
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Cincinnati Children's, First Ladies for Health to host Family Health Day
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Your 2026 NFL Week 5 announcing schedule
The 2026 NFL London Games continue in Week 5, when the Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars meet on Sunday. Dave Pasch, Kurt Warner, and Jason Kelce will be in the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium booth for the second straight week on NFL Network (9:30 a.m. ET). Kevin Burkhardt and Tom Brady will have the Fox call…
Juvenile patients arrested at Chandler mental health facility
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Broncos at Chargers preview: Denver hunts for first divisional win
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Patriots’ Latest Injury Could Open Door For Unexpected Breakout
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Pellegrini favored to start in Como-Roma
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'Something for everyone' at Maggie Valley Arts and Craft Show
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3 minors arrested after fights at Chandler health center
Three minors were arrested after two separate assaults Sunday night inside Oasis Behavioral Health in Chandler, police said.
3 minors arrested after fights at Chandler health center
Three minors were arrested after two separate assaults Sunday night inside Oasis Behavioral Health in Chandler, police said.
3 minors arrested after fights at Chandler health center
Three minors were arrested after two separate assaults Sunday night inside Oasis Behavioral Health in Chandler, police said.
3 minors arrested after fights at Chandler health center
Three minors were arrested after two separate assaults Sunday night inside Oasis Behavioral Health in Chandler, police said.
Raiders-Chiefs showdown scores record-breaking viewership
Sunday’s Week 4 matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs certainly delivered. CBS Sports reported that the 30-27 thriller between the two teams had 28.4 million viewers,...
Minors break into medicine room, assault officers at Chandler mental health facility, police say
Three minors were arrested after two separate assaults Sunday night inside an East Valley mental health center, police said.
Vikings Coach Explains Why Offense Is Taking Different Approach
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Guided Fossil Collecting at Caesar Creek Highlights Ohio Earth Science Week
Earth Science Week officially runs Sunday, Oct. 11, through Saturday, Oct. 17.
Predict the Packers’ record in NFC North games in 2026
The Packers can take a big step back into the NFC North race next Sunday, but will they?
ODNR Invites Ohioans to Celebrate Earth Science Week 2026
Article presented by Litter Quality Propane and Hometown Motors, Inc … COLUMBUS, Ohio – The Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) Division of Geological Survey is celebrating Earth Science Week from Sunday, October 11, through Saturday, October 17. Four special events will be offered throughout Ohio and will coincide with the annual national celebration. “We […]
Tyreek Hill receives warning about going back to Kansas City
The Kansas City Chiefs saw wide receivers Tyquan Thornton and Rashee Ric go down in Sunday’s win over the Las Vegas Aces, leading to heavy speculation that former franchise superstar Tyreek Hill, who is working his way back from a knee injury, could be a prime candidate to replace Thornton and Hill’s production as he…
Broncos Get Encouraging Riley Moss Injury Update
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Lions First-Round Pick Spotted in Walking Boot
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Bears Break Record With 34 First Downs As Jets Stumble
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Evan Williams praises Jonathan Gannon after Packers’ dramatic win
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Brazil: Lessons from a Disaster
By Antonio Martins (Outras Palavras) Defeats become deeper and more prolonged when we misunderstand what caused them, avoid correcting course, and embrace “solutions” that only compound our mistakes. Lula’s government and the Brazilian left suffered a disaster in Sunday’s election. Contrary to every poll, the president finished the first round 2.2 million votes behind Flávio Bolsonaro—and, more significantly, 3.4 million votes below his total four years ago, when the machinery of the state was working against him and in favor of his opponent. His vote share declined in 98 percent of Brazil’s municipalities. The PL, the main party of the far right, elected 121 deputies and 28 senators, becoming the largest caucus in both houses of Congress. The parties aligned with the Centrão—Brazil’s bloc of transactional center-right parties—were somewhat diminished, but will still hold roughly 250 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 35 in the Senate. That will make it easier to assemble the majorities needed to amend the Constitution or impeach Supreme Federal Court justices. If elected, Flávio Bolsonaro could appoint four members of the Court, substantially altering its internal balance of power. What produced these results? How can the far right be prevented from consolidating them into a prolonged political hegemony? And what is the essential change of direction the left now needs? Explaining the Disaster Across the commercial media and the exuberant chaos of digital platforms, interpretations are multiplying. Some focus on specific episodes: Lula’s absence from the Globo debate, his very close relationship with Alexandre de Moraes, or his emphasis on issues supposedly remote from most people’s everyday concerns, such as rare earth minerals. Among the more systemic interpretations, three seem especially questionable. One argues that the principal defeat was not the left’s, since its congressional representation declined only slightly. The decisive movement captured at the ballot box, according to this view, was a shift within the right itself—from the more moderate and transactional forces of the Centrão toward the more ideological and radicalized forces of the PL and Novo. A second interpretation holds that the nature of electoral and political processes has changed. The material interests and aspirations of society, it argues, no longer play the central role they once did; they have given way to forms of subjective self-identification that the left has yet to understand. And a third concludes that, because of these two developments, we should expect a political winter: a prolonged period in which the far right and the broader right dominate Brazilian political life. There are important elements in all three interpretations. The problem lies in what they deny or leave out: Lula’s third government was a small-bore government. It offered the majorities that elected it neither a clearly better life nor reasons to believe again in politics and its power to transform society. These failures flowed from two fatal accommodations, which I will examine below. As a result, the government suffered a slow but steady erosion of support. And, as has happened in so many Western countries, it gave the far right the opportunity to present itself as anti-system and to benefit from popular frustration and distress. The interpretation that emphasizes the migration of votes from the center-right and traditional right toward the far right has been advanced, among others, by the courageous journalist Leonardo Sakamoto. In his UOL column on Monday, October 5, he highlights the miserable behavior of the traditional conservative parties. Over the past four years, they repeatedly joined forces with the “neo”-fascists, helping to “normalize” them—a criticism that could equally be directed at almost the entire corporate media. Believing they could use the far right as a stepping stone, they instead ended up partly devoured by it. This was especially true in the Senate, where the PL’s gain of 13 senators and Novo’s gain of two came at the expense of the PSD, which lost nine; the MDB, which lost two; the PSDB, which lost two; and the PP, which lost one. Sakamoto’s observation is accurate and necessary, but it leaves uncomfortable questions unanswered. Why did the erosion of the Centrão benefit the far right rather than, for example, producing growth for the left—as has happened so many times before, both in Brazil and elsewhere? The answer is not difficult. Throughout its four years in office, Lula’s third government was almost invariably associated with the Centrão. Here lies its first accommodation: accepting the limits imposed by conservative institutions; avoiding, as much as possible, any attempt to strain those limits through popular pressure; and believing only in the modest changes that could be squeezed through openings in Congress. The failure of the campaign to end the six-day workweek is emblematic. Lula could have electrified the presidential race by pairing it with a popular campaign for passage of the measure. Instead, he chose to place his hopes in the hands of Senate president Rodrigo Alcolumbre. He generated no mass mobilization, did not force his opponents onto an uncomfortable defensive, and won no victory. In September 2025, the government squandered the greatest of its many opportunities to shake up conservative power in Congress. Popular opposition to the so-called Shielding Amendment—which, if approved, would have restricted criminal proceedings against members of Congress—brought crowds into the streets, mobilized primarily by artists and social movements. This opened the possibility for a broader political education: a campaign that could begin exposing the limits and dysfunctions of Brazil’s political system while putting Bolsonaro’s movement on the defensive for its predictable support of political privilege. The amendment was defeated. But the executive branch then backed away from the fight. It remained associated with an institutional world widely seen as corrupt, elitist, and indifferent to ordinary people’s struggles. In doing so, it forfeited its credibility as a vehicle for the protest vote. On Sunday, it reaped the bitter fruits. Are We Doomed? Taking a different approach from Sakamoto, the philosopher Moysés Pinto Neto and other writers have drawn attention, in their first analyses of October 4, to the fragmentation of the public sphere produced by Big Tech platforms. Through their algorithms, these platforms present each person with a different view of social reality. As a consequence, it becomes much harder to identify common material problems and demands—for example, the fight for labor rights or for a properly funded public health system. Voters no longer embrace such demands, these authors argue, because they no longer see themselves as part of a collective. Instead, they tend to value the identities assigned to them by neoliberal subjectivity—the role of the entrepreneur, for example. On this interpretation, the left’s possible error lies in clinging to outdated illusions. Moysés’s warning is highly relevant and resonates with arguments such as Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor’s “Apocalyptic Fascism and the Billionaires’ Bet.” Unlike a century ago, the far right no longer promises a radiant future. It concentrates instead on resentment—especially that of young men. “They belong to a generation that fears it may never own a home, but compensates with the pleasure it gets from constantly provoking progressives online. Convinced their future has been stolen, they share memes romanticizing historical authoritarian regimes,” the authors write. But Moysés seems to confuse this danger with inevitability. He fails to see that the left’s answer cannot be adaptation. On the contrary, it must strengthen the possibility of politics as collective action. Nor does he recognize that precisely such a reversal is already becoming possible in some of the most promising mobilizations of the twenty-first century: the election, at the end of 2025, of the young Muslim Zohran Mamdani as mayor of New York, on a platform centered on the intensely material fight for an affordable city; the Left Party’s victory in Berlin two weeks ago, built around the demand to expropriate private real-estate corporations; and the very recent wave of demonstrations in Spain—including an occupation of Madrid’s Puerta del Sol—in which tens of thousands of young people mobilized by the Tenants’ Union have demanded limits on rents. By putting itself in the straitjacket of the “fiscal framework” in the first months of 2022, Lula’s third government adopted the second fatal accommodation of its term. Faced with conservative institutions and a country devastated by four years of Bolsonaro, increased public investment was the government’s remaining weapon for offering a more dignified life to the majority and forging an anti-conservative pact with them. The same state that disburses 1 trillion reais a year to enrich a small class of rentiers could instead spend money to extend the Family Health Strategy to every Brazilian, at a cost of 30 billion reais; provide full-day public schooling and childcare to all adolescents and children—and, especially, relief to their mothers; achieve universal sanitation while cleaning up polluted urban rivers; multiply metro systems; begin transforming the urban peripheries; and undertake many other urgently needed projects. In April 2023, an article in Outras Palavras warned that the fiscal framework could “shrink the Lula government and preserve the forces that condemn the country to inequality and regression.” A year later, another article showed that restraints on public spending were strangling policies vital to ordinary people and undermining the president’s popularity. In November 2024 came a reality check, in the form of the government’s humiliating defeat in the municipal elections. Even then, the fiscal lock was neither removed nor loosened. On the contrary: throughout the government’s four years, fiscal restraint remained central to its political narrative. The administration proudly proclaimed that it had “put the state’s accounts in order,” without grasping either how misleading that phrase was—given the payment of 1 trillion reais in interest—or how badly the message was hurting it politically. Lula finally woke up in September 2026. The increase in Bolsa Família benefits, after four years of being frozen; the announcement that anti-obesity drugs would be offered through Brazil’s public health system; and the ban on online betting showed that the state has the power to act decisively on behalf of the majority when those in government are willing to confront obstacles. The huge marches that closed the campaign in Fortaleza, Salvador, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo on the eve of October 4 showed how such initiatives can mobilize activists and the broader public. But it was too late—and too little to change the outcome of the first round. History has not ended The possibility of a turnaround in the three weeks leading up to November 25 cannot be ruled out. It will not be simple or easy. Lula must not only make up a deficit of 2.2 million votes; he must also offset the movement of voters who backed other right-wing candidates in the first round, most of whom are likely to move toward Flávio Bolsonaro. Pulling that off will require a broad, grassroots effort to win over voters, potentially reinforced by new initiatives from Lula. The coming hours and days will be decisive. If Bolsonaro’s movement also wins the presidency, the result will create a high-risk situation for Brazilian sovereignty and democracy. The enormous challenges posed by such an outcome would require the left to reexamine, in depth and with a genuine willingness to engage in self-criticism, its political projects—or its lack of them—and its practices. But would that mean we are condemned to the long winter of far-right hegemony that some analyses are beginning to forecast? It is far too early to say, suggests a recent text by Álvaro García Linera, the thinker who served as vice president of Bolivia under Evo Morales. His central hypothesis is that this political current will prove short-lived. At a moment when the entire world is once again talking about sovereignty and protecting national economies, the far right offers a stale, recolonizing neoliberalism. Its submission to the United States is as blatant and pathetic as Flávio and Eduardo Bolsonaro’s overtures to Donald Trump. Its project amounts to something like every man for himself: greater inequality, capitalism without limits, devastation, and supremacism. Will it work? In the United States, just two years into his second term, Trump himself is reaching record levels of unpopularity and may be on the verge of losing Republican control of both the House and Senate in November. Every new beginning is difficult. Whatever the outcome of the second round, the defeats of October 4 show how profoundly the Brazilian left will have to rethink and rebuild. But just as it would be foolish to underestimate the seriousness of its mistakes, it would be equally foolish to conclude that rebuilding a political project is no longer possible. History has not ended. The times are moving faster than ever. Originally published in Portuguese by Outras Palavras. English translation by Eric Blanc; I’ve added the subtitles. More We can’t stop the far right at home or abroad without a revitalized labor movement, which is yet another reason why you should become a sustaining supporter of the Emergency Workplace Organizing Committee (EWOC) — one of US labor’s pivotal bright spots. Relatedly, Jacobin published a short piece of mine reflecting on a decade of Bernie Sanders inspiring a whole new generation of young worker organizers.
5 final observations from the 49ers win over the Broncos
What stood out from the 49ers win on Sunday?
Saints vs. Vikings odds: Opening lines for Week 5 matchup
The Saints will take the undefeated Vikings in the Superdome on Sunday
New London Fire Dept. to host fall pancake breakfast
The New London Fire Department will hold a fall pancake breakfast from 8 to 11 a.m. on Sunday, Oct. 11, according to department officials.
Sean McVay 'really chapped' about Rams' constant penalties
Sean McVay is not happy about the Rams' rash of penalties, including one that was called on an assistant coach Sunday.
Do Pompey have the edge over troubled Saints?
Portsmouth have not won Southampton since 2010 but could their rivals' current predicament provide a good opportunity to end that run on Sunday?
Aziz Ansari's Hypothetical Tour finally comes to L.A.
The multihyphenate has been touring for nearly 20 months, with breaks for his film projects, and his tour is finally making a stop in L.A. at the Dolby Theatre.
Countdown now on to proper football returning
When the final whistle blew on the Premier League match at Craven Cottage on Sunday 20 September, we new it was going to be tough, but this tough??? Yes, this absolutely ridiculous three week break for largely meaningless internationals, so many pointless friendlies (including the Nations League nonsense). The Premier League had only kicked off four weeks earlier and then a break of three weeks so early in the season… Please let it make sense.
De Roon to start alongside Kone vs Como
Roma returns to training today ahead of the trip to Como, scheduled for Sunday at 12:30. Gian Piero Gasperini will gradually reunite all the players who have been on international duty in recent weeks...
NFL suspends official Jeff Seeman for two games for swearing at Arizona Cardinals tight end Trey McBride
The NFL suspended two officials for separate incidents on Sunday, including Jeff Seeman after he was caught swearing at Arizonas Trey McBride; watch the second NFL London game of the season between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Philadelphia Eagles at 2.30pm Sunday, live on Sky Sports
Former Lions Veteran Edge Rusher Released By Ben Johnson’s Bears
Things aren’t going swimmingly right now for the Detroit Lions, who recently dropped their Sunday evening contest against the Carolina Panthers to drop to 2-2 through the first four games of the campaign.While their offense is clicking, their defense has been woeful, and more closely resembles the defensive issues experienced by the 0-16 2008 edition […] The post Former Lions Veteran Edge Rusher Released By Ben Johnson’s Bears appeared first on HEAVY.
Zac Robinson’s Offense Fails Tampa Bay Once Again
It was the same story on a different day for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs fell to the Green Bay Packers 17-14 on Sunday, marking. the 10th consecutive one-score game the Bucs have played in, and they’ve lost eight of those games. Tampa Bay is now 0-4 for the first time since 2013, when …
Former Michigan DE suffers season-ending injury with Jets
According to a report from ESPN’s Adam Schefter, McGregor suffered a torn pectoral muscle during Sunday’s loss to the Chicago Bears.
Chiefs' Wide Receiver Tyquan Thornton's Recovery Timeline Revealed
In this past Sunday's win against the Las Vegas Raiders, Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyquan Thornton suffered a gruesome leg injury. His timetable for return has finally been revealed.
Sacramento’s Aftershock music festival draws record crowd during sweltering weekend
Festival organizers said attendance for the four-day music festival, which concluded Sunday, drew 15,000 more attendees this year.
'Tacoma isn’t safe’: Downtown businesses call for action after double homicide
Tacoma police are investigating after two men were shot and killed downtown just before 12:30 a.m. Sunday.
Chiefs get major timeline for potential Tyreek Hill signing
The buzz for Tyreek Hill to Kansas City is growing after a report on Sunday night. On Monday, Hill's timeline to sign with a team was revealed and it is very close.
Lamar Jackson Drops 1-Word Reaction As Sports Doctor Assesses Ravens QB’s Ankle Injury
Lamar Jackson offered a brief response after a sports doctor weighed in on his ankle injury during Sunday’s win over the Tennessee Titans. Dr.
Mike Vrabel: Efton Chism III has earned more opportunities
On Sunday, OBJ met EC3.
Bills player dismisses Patriots hero as ‘practice squad player’
After a 0-3 start to the season, the New England Patriots were able to bounce back in a big way on Sunday afternoon, pulling off an upset win over the Buffalo Bills on the road after Patriots wide receiver Efton Chism III made a ridiculous catch to give the Patriots the lead with under two…
Did Jaguars' Pass Rush Turn a Corner in Sunday's Victory?
The Jacksonville Jaguars had their most productive pass-rushing game of the season in Sunday's victory, with the EDGE pair of Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker leading the way.
Harris County judge candidates find common ground on flooding, Houston Health, at Sunday forum
Democratic candidate Letitia Plummer and Republican candidate Orlando Sanchez shared the stage at a forum organized by The Metropolitan Organization on Sunday, October 4.
Kings Symphony Orchestra to perform Fall Classics Concert
The Fall Classics Concert to be held on Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026, at
Seedy K’s Pigskin Palaver: House of Cards & Much Mo’
Ah yes, October; the pigskin campaign is morphing more fully developed. And, fully enveloping. This week, there’s a football game on every single night. Not just the more traditional Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday. Because Draft Kings and Fan Duel and The World Wide Leader need content, we get Southern Miss and Troy on Tuesday, […]
Gambit's Election Guide Fall 2026
This fall’s elections are fast approaching. Early voting starts Oct. 20 and will run through Oct. 27 (excluding Sunday, Oct. 25), and Election Day is scheduled for Nov. 3.
Bolsonaro and Lula head to a runoff in Brazil's presidential election
Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, an ally of President Donald Trump, and Brazil’s incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will face off in a runoff Oct. 25 for the top job of Latin America’s powerhouse economy after neither won a majority in Sunday's vote.
Kim Kardashian Says She Has to ‘Hold Back’ North West, but the 13-Year-Old Calls Waiting the ‘Worst’ Advice
Kim Kardashian supports North West’s entertainment ambitions while trying to control how quickly her 13-year-old daughter takes on new opportunities. In a new Sunday Times ... Read More
⚾️ Y! Sports AM: Magic in Milwaukee
Jackson Chourio played the hero on Sunday, lifting the Brewers to an epic victory.
Bromley Women 1-0 Reading Women: Match Report
The Royals are out of the cup, following a narrow defeat in South London on Sunday.
MLB playoff schedule: It’s American League Monday
The National League had the MLB playoff stage to itself on Sunday, but while those four teams switch cities, Monday belongs to the American League Division Series, with a pair of Games 2 in Cleveland and St. Petersburg. Major League Baseball in recent years has started the Division Series round with all four series playing […]
Jobs in health care. Jobs for women. The US labour market is segmenting. Chernobyl’s radiation and Lenin’s love of literature.
Thank you for opening your Chartbook email. Elmer Bischoff, Two Figures at the Seashore, 1957 The only really dynamic job-creator in the US economy is health care: The largest crunch has come in Federal government, which has shed 2.7 m jobs. Source: tchouvkov on Twitter Tech is struggling. [ Joey Politano 🏳️🌈@JosephPolitano The US tech sector continues bleeding jobs in official data released today—overall, employment decreased by 17k last month and is down 69k over the last year That's nearly as bad as the worst of the 2024 tech-cession, and much worse than the 2022 boom or even pre-2020 norms 12:42 PM · Oct 2, 2026 · 15.2K Views 15 Replies · 47 Reposts · 390 Likes ](https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/2106001807847940232?s=20) The new jobs are all for women. [ Justin Wolfers@JustinWolfers I'm not sure who saw this coming, but so far nearly all the jobs created during the second Trump administration have gone to women. 1:09 PM · Oct 2, 2026 · 33K Views 70 Replies · 146 Reposts · 644 Likes ](https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/2106008723533533601?s=20) Meanwhile, real wages are being eaten up by modest over-target inflation. [ Heather Long@byHeatherLong The financial pain is real: Wage growth fell to 3% (y/y) in September. That's the lowest in 5 years. Wage growth: 3% Inflation: ~3.4% Inflation has eaten up all wage gains for the average worker since April. Many people are having to make hard choices about what to buy and what … 1:24 PM · Oct 2, 2026 · 37K Views 24 Replies · 275 Reposts · 533 Likes ](https://x.com/byHeatherLong/status/2106012367712620728?s=20) HEY READERS, THANK YOU for opening the Chartbook email. I hope it brightens your day. I enjoy putting out the newsletter, but tbh, what keeps this flow going is the generosity of those readers who clicked the subscription button. If you are persuaded to click, please consider the annual subscription of $60. It is both better value for you and a much better deal for me, as it involves only one credit card charge. Why feed the payments companies if we don’t have to. Subscribe Elmer Bischoff, Bathers, 1960 Americans are disillusioned with higher ed. For contributing subscribers only. Subscribe Where the Chernobyl radiation went. h/t Simon Kuestenmacher aka simongerman600 How Lenin’s love of literature shaped the Russian Revolution - Tariq Ali This, then, was the intellectual atmosphere in which Lenin came of age. His father, a highly cultured conservative, was the chief inspector of schools in his region and much respected as an educationalist. At home, Shakespeare, Goethe and Pushkin, among others, were read aloud on Sunday afternoons. It was impossible for the Ulyanov family – “Lenin” was a pseudonym adopted to outwit the tsarist secret police – to escape high culture. At high school, Lenin fell in love with Latin. His headteacher had high hopes that he might become a philologist and Latin scholar. History willed otherwise, but Lenin’s passion for Latin, and taste for the classics, never left him. He read Virgil, Ovid, Horace and Juvenal in the original, as well as Roman senatorial orations. He devoured Goethe during his two decades in exile, reading and rereading Faust many times. Lenin put his knowledge of the classics to good use in the time leading up to the October revolution of 1917. In April of that year, he broke with Russian social-democratic orthodoxy and, in a set of radical theses, called for a socialist revolution in Russia. A number of his own close comrades denounced him. In a sharp riposte, Lenin quoted Mephistopheles from Goethe’s masterwork: “Theory, my friend, is grey, but green is the eternal tree of life.” Source: The Guardian Elmer Bischoff, The River, 1953 If you’ve scrolled this far, you know you want to click: Subscribe
Dan Campbell: I'm not talking about firing Kelvin Sheppard
The Lions defense was unimpressive in the first three weeks of the 2026 season and things didn't get any better in Sunday night's loss to the Panthers.
Tetairoa McMillan: Everything just clicked on Sunday night
Panthers wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan's first Sunday night game was one to remember.
Pape Gueye describes situation of former club Marseille as ‘sad’
Pape Gueye (27) has described the situation at his former club, Olympique de Marseille, as “sad”. The Villarreal midfielder returned to the Vélodrome on Sunday.Gueye featured in Senegal’s 1-0 w...
Seven-goal Clásico keeps Barcelona five points clear
Barcelona beat Real Madrid 7-0 in Liga F on Sunday, with Clàudia Pina scoring four goals to extend the Blaugrana’s perfect start and open a five-point lead at the top. The Guardian reported that mo...
Bryce Young carves up Detroit's secondary on Sunday night
Bryce Young took advantage of Detroit's porous secondary on Sunday night, passing for 329 yards and a pair of scores.
Eagles Fans Hurl Projectiles at Rams Coaches in Ugly Altercation
The Philadelphia Eagles blew a 20-10 fourth-quarter lead to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 4.That alone would be reason enough for Eagles fans to lose their minds. However, according to one person in the stands, there was another reason why Philly fans blew their lid during Sunday’s 24-20 loss.X user @RBPhillyTake posted a video […] The post Eagles Fans Hurl Projectiles at Rams Coaches in Ugly Altercation appeared first on HEAVY.
Serb nationalist Milorad Dodik credits 'vast majority' to Trump, Putin
Pro-Russia Serb nationalist politician Milorad Dodik – who is serving a six-year ban from holding public office for defying rulings of Bosnia’s international envoy and Constitutional Court, claimed victory on Sunday, saying his party would hold a “vast majority”.
Chiefs HC Andy Reid provides Rashee Rice injury update
The Kansas City Chiefs got a hard fought 30-27 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday.However, it came at a cost with a pair of wide receiver injuries. Late in the game, Tyquan Thornton sustained a gruesome ankle injury in which he had to be carted off the field for. On the opening drive, […] The post Chiefs HC Andy Reid provides Rashee Rice injury update appeared first on HEAVY.
Sunday Night Football: Tetairoa McMillan's big night powers Panthers to 32-26 victory
McMillan caught 14 passes for 192 yards with two touchdowns against Detroit, as Carolina moved to 2-2 in 2026.
Eagles: Brandon Graham Makes Curious Retirement Comment on Lane Johnson
Hours before the Philadelphia Eagles were set to play the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, right tackle Lane Johnson was added to the injury report for a personal reason. Johnson, 36, has won two Super Bowls with the Eagles, made six Pro Bowl appearances, and earned All-Pro honors five times. It’s unclear when the 2013 […] The post Eagles: Brandon Graham Makes Curious Retirement Comment on Lane Johnson appeared first on Gridiron Heroics.
Darius Slay Roasts Detroit Lions Defense on X
Former Detroit Lions CB Darius Slay took to X to deliver a brutal assessment of Detroit's defense during Sunday night's game against Carolina.
‘Our Week 4 Super Bowl,’ ‘No Tougher Job in NY Sports’ — Jets’ ‘4 Straight Plays, 26 Yards’ Post Gets Roasted in 492-157 Loss to Bears
The New York Jets’ official X account celebrated four straight plays that gained 26 yards during Sunday’s 23-12 loss to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, a game in which Chicago outgained New York 492-157. The loss dropped the Jets to 1-3 and was their third straight.
Organization helps connect Kansas City parents to perinatal health and resources
A walk through Loose Park Sunday offered healing, hope and community for new parents and families.