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How Americans’ Financial Health Is Faring In The “K-Shaped” Economy
Hey all, Jason here. Money20/20 is still two weeks away, but I’ve already started packing (not procrastinating for once!). My calendar is already filling up with various sessions I want to catch, meetings, and of course happy hours, dinners, and other side events. If you’ll be in Vegas and want to catch up, let me know by replying to this email, and we can try to find a time amidst the chaos of the Venetian. A big if not totally unexpected piece of news dropped on Friday: the Independent Community Bankers of America, a trade group that represents smaller U.S. banks, filed a lawsuit against the OCC and Comptroller Jonathan Gould, arguing that the regulator’s move to grant trust bank charters to firms seeking to use them to conduct substantial non-fiduciary activities exceeds the authorities granted to the OCC by Congress. I haven’t had time to fully digest the legal filing or speak to folks in my network about it, but you can expect to see coverage and analysis on it in next week’s newsletter. Subscribe or Support by Upgrading The NerdCon agenda just dropped. It’s stacked. Partner content: Nubank built an AI-first bank. Chime built its own banking core. Figure and Valon are rebuilding the mortgage stack. At NerdCon, you’ll hear from the people behind those bets: what they chose, what they learned, and what they’re still figuring out. The agenda is live, with leaders from Nubank, Chime, OpenAI, Remitly, Mercury, Figure, Valon and more. Follow the mainstage conversations, bring the problem your team is wrestling with to a hands-on workshop, or pull up a chair at a roundtable. Pick your quests. Meet us in San Diego, November 18–20. Fintech Business Weekly readers save 20% with code FBW20. Explore the Agenda Things To Know & Other Good Reads Federal Reserve Board finalizes changes to enhance the transparency and public accountability of its stress test and reduce volatility in its stress test-related capital requirements (Federal Reserve Board of Governors) FDIC Announces Conclusion of Independent Monitorship (FDIC) Modernizing Financial Regulation: Initial Observations from eSLR (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman) The Data Version of Godzilla versus Kong: FRED Takes on AI (Fed Governor Christopher Waller) Financing the AI buildout (Brookings) Q3’26: Rules for Banks but Not for Crypto (Fintech Takes Banking) The Inevitability of Local Stablecoins (Lombard Notes) Delusions of AI Governance: The Human-in-the-Loop Comfort Blanket (Fintech Snark Tank) Stripe agrees to acquire Parafin to expand revenue opportunities for platforms and help small businesses grow (Stripe) Listen: Fighting Fraud in the Age of AI, with SEON’s Tamas Kadar (Fintech Business Weekly) How Americans’ Financial Health Is Faring In The “K-Shaped” Economy If there is one overarching theme across the economy and politics in the U.S. at the moment, it’s “affordability.” The term is vague enough to encompass a panoply of factors shaping Americans’ day-to-day lives: rising costs for the hallmarks of being “middle class,” including healthcare, housing, childcare, and education, inflation and rising interest rates, and a job market with the specter of AI hovering over it. At the same time, policy shifts under the Trump administration have resulted in reduced subsidies to those who get health insurance under the Affordable Care Act and new restrictions on qualifying for Medicaid and SNAP, the impacts of which have yet to be fully felt. These factors are contributing to declining consumer confidence and general dissatisfaction with the economy, despite continuing GDP growth and stock market records. This divergence is encapsulated in the idea of the “K-shaped” economy, in which a small proportion of Americans have seen their wealth balloon, while the majority of American households struggle to preserve the lifestyle they have. Perhaps the greatest determinant of which branch of the “K” a household is on is whether their wealth and income are primarily derived from employment vs. from assets. Nearly two decades of low interest rates and, more recently, elevated rates of inflation have benefited asset owners, while those whose income is primarily or solely derived from labor have largely seen real purchasing power stagnate or decline. This is reflected in recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data showing that labor share of U.S. GDP — the fraction of economic output that accrues to workers as compensation in exchange for their labor — dropped to just 52.8% in Q2 2026, the lowest since the BLS began keeping records. In 1947, approximately 2/3rds of economic output accrued to workers; even as recently as 2001, labor’s share of GDP was 64.1%. Against this backdrop, we’ve seen the rise of more credit and credit-like products: cash advance apps, “no-fee” overdraft, earned wage access, and buy now pay later, which are often used as small-dollar short-term borrowing mechanisms to meet immediate consumption needs or pay other bills (eg utilities, cell phone, other debt payments). With the markers of a middle class existence and, increasingly, basic financial stability seemingly out of reach for many, it should be no surprise there’s been an increase in “financial nihilism,” something industry peers like Alex Johnson and Frank Rotman have discussed and analyzed the roots of. The explosion of gambling and gambling-adjacent products and services — often marketed under the guise of being an “investment” — is inextricably intertwined with the rise of financial nihilism. Crypto, sports betting, and, more recently, prediction markets offer an escape or even hope of sorts, like a contemporary, digital version of a scratch-off lottery ticket, while leaving the overwhelming number of people who use such products worse off. Share of Households That Are Financially “Vulnerable” Ticks Up The Financial Health Network’s 2026 Financial Health Pulse® report adds context on how American households are faring. (I linked to this report in last week’s newsletter, but wanted to take time to further unpack the data in the report this week.) The Financial Health Network publishes the report annually, providing insight into how Americans’ financial circumstances are changing over time. The 2026 report is derived from a survey fielded in April and May 2026. The report leverages survey responses to assess indicators of financial health across spending, saving, borrowing, and planning/protecting and to determine a zero to 100 “FinHealth” score. Those with scores between 0 and 39 are considered “Financially Vulnerable,” consumers with scores ranging between 40 and 79 are defined as “Financially Coping,” and those with scores of 80 to 100 are “Financially Healthy.” The report found that moderate improvements in 2025 were reversed, with the share of respondents considered financially “vulnerable” rebounding to 17%. The longitudinal data reflect the impact of pandemic-era programs, like expanded unemployment, cash stimulus payments, and pauses of federal student loan payments. The positive impacts of those programs, as reflected in the Financial Health Pulse reports, had largely disappeared by 2023. While pandemic-era inflation — to be fair, in part caused by the various support and stimulus measures — had come down from as high as 9% in 2022, it has rebounded since the start of Trump’s second term, with tariffs and energy market disruptions owing to the war in Iran pushing prices back up. Specific indicators in the survey that deteriorated from 2025 to 2026 include the share of respondents spending less than their income over the past 12 months, the share paying all bills on time over the past 12 months, the share that have a manageable amount or no debt, the share that are “moderately” or “very” confident their insurance is adequate to cover them in an emergency, and the share that “somewhat” or “strongly” agree that their household plans ahead financially. Unsurprisingly, lower- and moderate-income households are more likely to struggle to pay their bills on time and have any funds leftover to save. The share of low-income households whose income exceeded their spending dropped from 35% in 2025 to 31% in 2026, while the share of upper-income households whose income exceeded expenses remained unchanged at 63%. Households with student loans or revolving credit card debt reported having “a bit more” or “far more” debt than was manageable at rates far higher than those not carrying these types of debts. The share of those with student loan debt indicating their debt load was too high to manage increased from 50% in 2025 to 55% in 2026, while the share of those with revolving credit card debt saying the same ticked up from 51% in 2025 to 54% in 2026. Households that had student loans were markedly more likely to be financially “coping” or “vulnerable” vs. those without student loans. In 2026, 27% of households with student loans were considered financially vulnerable, a jump of 6% points vs. 2025. Households without student loans saw just a 1% point increase (not statistically significant) in those considered financially vulnerable. Households’ perception of the affordability of categories of goods and services paints a stark picture, with less than one-fourth considering higher education affordable, about a third deeming childcare affordable, and less than half viewing healthcare as affordable. Fintech Business Weekly is made possible by the generous support of paying subscribers — bringing you independent analysis of banking, fintech, and crypto without fear or favor. You can support my work by becoming a paying subscriber if you aren’t already. Paying subscribers enjoy: access to the entire archive of nearly six years of newsletters extended versions of the weekly newsletter, with additional content and analysis and (for founding member tier) quarterly personal 1:1 fintech Q&A / strategy calls with me, tapping into my unparalleled knowledge of the intersection of banking and fintech and experience working in the sector, including helping to launch Goldman Sachs’ retail bank Marcus Support Fintech Business Weekly You can also support Fintech Business Weekly by sponsoring a newsletter or podcast, putting you in front of 93,000+ of the most influential decision makers in banking, fintech, and crypto. Learn more about sponsor opportunities or request a media kit by dropping me an email. Democratic Senate Report Highlights How Iran Uses Tether to Evade U.S. Sanctions Iran uses stablecoins, specifically Tether, to evade sanctions, fund regional proxies, and to purchase military drones, a report released last week by the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations says. The report was authored by committee ranking member Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) and the minority staff. Crypto and stablecoin proponents will often push back on criticism that criminals make use of these assets by arguing that, on an absolute dollar basis, far more illicit funds flow through traditional banking systems and payment rails than via crypto and stablecoins. And while that is likely true, it elides the reality presented in news story after news story: whether state actors — Russia, Iran, North Korea — or criminal groups, those looking to engage in illicit transactions increasingly favor stablecoins and, specifically, Tether (USDT). The report from the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations released last week adds context to how Iran uses Tether has a lynchpin in its shadow banking system. The report analyzed 846 wallets that have been sanctioned or targeted for seizure, finding that 84% of them transacted exclusively or primarily in Tether. The ability to create near limitless, anonymous wallets and to move funds effectively instantaneously and irreversibly have made crypto a favored financial mechanism for bad actors. Stablecoins solved key drawbacks of bitcoin, namely, the original cryptocurrency’s highly volatile value in dollars. And while Tether (the company) has the technical ability to “freeze” or destroy funds, the company is often limited and reactive in its approach to doing so, the Senate report argues. Tether, which is nominally based in crypto-friendly El Salvador, “has stated that its compliance with OFAC sanctions is ‘voluntary’ and that it follows ‘OFAC guidelines,’” the Senate report says. Owing to these favorable attributes, Tether “became a primary cryptocurrency for Iran, Hamas, Hizballah, and the Houthis beginning in 2023 and has expanded in scale since,” according to the report. Tether’s role in Iran’s shadow banking system, the report says, is enhanced by crypto exchanges like Bybit, Kyrrex, OKX, Gate, and Binance, and through “over the counter” exchanges and hawala networks. The consequences of these financial flows aren’t hypothetical. The Senate report links Tether as a funds transfer mechanism to Iranian proxies in the region, including Hizballah, the Houthis, and Hamas. Tether has also been used to make payments to secure components necessary to manufacture drones, the report says. The report concludes by arguing that “[s]tablecoin issuers with a significant nexus to the United States, particularly those that offer dollar-denominated stablecoins, should be subject to American sanctions law rather than being allowed to hide behind foreign jurisdictions.” Stablecoin issuers like Tether must be held accountable for repeated failures to prevent illicit finance and sanctions violations by law enforcement, the Department of Justice, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and OFAC, the report argues. [Paying Subscriber Exclusive] OUSD Goes Live, Make Your Own Neobank, U.S. Sanctions Russia’s A7 Network As “Transnational Criminal Organization” OpenUSD, the stablecoin issued by the Open Standard consortium that includes Stripe, Visa, Mastercard, core providers, crypto firms, and numerous banks, went live last week. Social commerce platform Whop raised eyebrows in fintech by offering creators on its platform the ability to launch their own neobanks, which the company describes as “great businesses that are easy to run,” in just 15 minutes. And OFAC and FinCEN target Russia’s “shadow banking” A7 Network — more on these stories after the paywall.
A Black community in Louisiana faces a future without a champion in Congress after redistricting
Scotlandville is a predominantly Black community in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, that’s facing challenges in its political representation
A Black community in Louisiana faces a future without a champion in Congress after redistricting
Scotlandville is a predominantly Black community in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, that's facing challenges in its political representation.
A Black community in Louisiana faces a future without a champion in Congress after redistricting
Scotlandville is a predominantly Black community in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, that's facing challenges in its political representation.
Report: Panthers likely without top WR vs. Lions
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Arsenal get special Fabregas option under Como agreement
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New York Jets Flight Connections 10/04/26
Happy game day, Jets fans! The Jets look to improve their record to 2-2 today. Their opponent is the Chicago Bears. The Bears are coming off a big Monday night win over the Philadelphia Eagles with third string quarterback Case Keenum. However, reports suggest that Keenum will not make the start for the Bears. Instead, […]
Business Roundup: Olde Tymer’s space gets new life, Higher Purpose Homes honored
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Roma continue to follow Kvernadze ahead of January
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Report shows that Louisiana's adult obesity rate declined significantly
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Veteran political forecasters see midterm losses for GOP
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Costa’s coffee shops return to profit with iced drinks and matcha on the menu
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Democrats Lead Governor Races Deep in Republican Territory, Polls Show
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Some Democrats, Scarred by 2024, Take a Harder Line on Trans Athletes
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Latter-day Saints women turn away from scandal-plagued Republican candidate in Arizona
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Latter-day Saints women turn away from scandal-plagued Republican candidate in Arizona
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How Roy Cooper became Democrats’ best chance to flip a Senate seat
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‘And I beat them:’ Former U.S. Rep. Bob Livingston on ‘a politically motivated prosecution’
The former top leader in the U.S. House talks about his new book, Trump, and partisanship in Congress.
‘And I beat them:’ Former U.S. Rep. Bob Livingston on ‘a politically motivated prosecution’
The former top leader in the U.S. House talks about his new book, Trump, and partisanship in Congress.
FEC questions thousands of recurring online donations to Eric Schmitt
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Roma make contact for Endrick’s loan in January
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Pols & Politics: White House launches website on the ‘real cost of Socialism’
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ACO Expansion Might Change The Case For Investing In agilon health Stock (AGL)
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Business leaders deliver blow to calls for more North Sea oil and gas drilling
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Roma interested in Endrick loan deal -report
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Why Ken Paxton could lose a Texas GOP Senate seat to James Talarico
Plagued by ethics allegations, the Senate candidate is unusually vulnerable for a red state Republican.
Why Ken Paxton could lose a Texas GOP Senate seat to James Talarico
Plagued by ethics allegations, the Senate candidate is unusually vulnerable for a red state Republican.
India report card for Asian Games 2026: Archery, Boxing A+, B for Shooting while Tennis gets an F
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Flutter Entertainment PLC (NYSE:FLUT) Stock Has Average Target Price of $155.37
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Report: Simon Edvinsson asked Detroit Red Wings for a trade
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WQAD News 8
WQAD (Quad Cities) is your source for breaking news, weather, traffic, and live coverage in the Quad Cities and surrounding communities. Get the latest updates from the WQAD team — from major local headlines and investigations to severe weather, community stories, and the moments everyone’s talking about. Watch live newscasts, stream breaking coverage, and catch up on the top stories shaping Davenport, Rock Island, Moline, Bettendorf, and nearby areas. Subscribe for: • Quad Cities breaking news + live updates • Weather forecasts and severe weather alerts • Investigations and accountability reporting • Community stories across the region • Major events, sports, and local explainers WQAD — Quad Cities news and weather, live and on demand. 🔗 More: https://www.wqad.com
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Brandin Podziemski Is Reportedly Turning Heads at Warriors Training Camp
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Final Fantasy 7 Revelation Director Says He "Did His Best" to Fight for a Physical Release
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Provocative, sexually suggestive ad by Hilton campaign condemned by political allies on the right
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From saunas to psychedelics, how a health reporter sorts science from hype
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Provocative, sexually suggestive ad by Hilton campaign condemned by political allies on the right
GOP gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton faces backlash from fellow Republicans and Democrats over a provocative ad.
Provocative, sexually suggestive ad by Hilton campaign condemned by political allies on the right
GOP gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton faces backlash from fellow Republicans and Democrats over a provocative ad.
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In social post, Trump endorses Cunningham, mispronounces Vasquez’s name and doubles-down on renaming New Mexico
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Stanislaus County launches business one stop website to support entrepreneurs
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Ken Paxton’s estranged wife backs his candidacy — without mentioning him by name
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Oklahoma Sooners Football Bye Week Changes
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Women are turning to testosterone, but what does the science actually say?
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Trump, Critic of Voting by Mail, Urges Republicans to Do It in Midterms
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Barstool's Dave Portnoy blames Ohio State, Ryan Day for 'Big Noon Kickoff' exit
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HX Expeditions Closes Arctic Season, Largest-Ever Science Data Collection
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Dear Apple Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for October 13
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Dave Portnoy Says Ohio State Football Coach Ryan Day Led to His Ouster From Fox’s ‘Big Noon Kickoff’
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LETTER: Thompson puts people before politics in response to MIDA concerns
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Republicans tried to punt health care cuts until after the midterms. It didn’t work.
While most GOP-enacted cuts to Medicaid and other safety net programs won’t happen until 2027, Democrats are speaking to the voters already feeling the squeeze.
Israel boss shuns politics before Republic of Ireland clash
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Opposing coaches and scouts reportedly diagnose Drake Maye's struggles
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Week 4 injury report for Falcons
Falcons announce their injury report for Week 4
Bears reportedly expected to start Tyson Bagent at QB in Week 4 vs. Jets
Report Reveals ‘Fractures’ Between Jalen Duren and Pistons
Shams Charania reports fractures developed between Jalen Duren and the Pistons during contract talks despite Duren signing a $200 million deal.
US Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez, State Sen. Braun to face off in KOIN 6 debate Wednesday: How to watch
A gut punch in Ohio: Nearly 1,400 laid off at truck factory just days before Trump rally
This year’s election is a test for the working-class coalition that lifted Trump into the White House and gave majorities to Republicans in the House and Senate.
Health Department releases food inspection reports for week of Sept. 20
Scores for the recent Health Department food inspection ranged from 76-100.
Pennsylvania nears 1,000 measles cases, state health department reports
Pennsylvania’s reported measles cases are almost at 1,000 for 2026, days after its health department confirmed the figure had passed 900. “977 measles cases have been confirmed across 39 coun…
AI Could Turn U.S. Media And Entertainment Into A $48 Billion Market
Scripts, storyboards, trailers, thumbnails, voiceovers and rough cuts are all becoming part of AI’s entertainment-industry résumé. A Research and Markets report projects the U.S. AI media and entertainment market will grow from $9.70 billion in 2025 to $47.95 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.43 per cent from 2026 through 2034. […]
Jordan Hall Out, Brady Pretzlaff In: Michigan State Availability Report
Reinforcements arrive in Madison as the Spartans regain key defensive depth, leaning on freshman standout Brady Pretzlaff to anchor the linebacking corps despite devastating injuries to two stars.
Whatever the motivation, Republican’s endorsement of Democrat deserves points for facts and reason
Since South Dakota’s Republican lame-duck Secretary of State Monae Johnson oddly endorsed the Democrat campaigning to replace her, voters reasonably might wonder: Is she for real? Even though she has ...
Chapel Bell Curve:
You’ve got to do something before kickoff. And if you’re looking to maximize your preparations for today’s matchup with Vanderbilt that something should be listening to Nathan and Yara preview the Commodores. Among other audio goodness in this episode you’ll find the following: As always we ask that you like, rate, subscribe, and patreonize the show wherever […]
America.gov: New AI Tool Streamlines Government Navigation for Small Businesses - Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council
By Karen Kerrigan – For small business owners and those entrepreneurs just launching businesses, a frustrating aspect of dealing with government is often trying to figure out the rules and navigating websites to find the right information. A new federal AI-powered tool, America.gov, could make that process significantly easier. Launched on September 29, America.gov is […]
Joey Porter Jr. not on injury report
Joey Porter Jr. expected to make Cowboys debut in Week 4
Governor candidate Bernadette Wilson has been sued repeatedly over unpaid bills, records show
Alaska judges have ordered the Republican candidate to pay thousands of dollars for overdue business and personal debts.
Michigan vs. Minnesota final injury report: Key players ruled out
Michigan football faces roster challenges against Minnesota with several key players ruled out.
Business Briefcase: Chamber to launch relational ‘accelerator’
POTTSVILLE — The Schuylkill Chamber of Commerce in November will launch Relational Leadership, a three-week “accelerator” led by county native Ed Wallace, a bestselling author and business relationship expert. According to a chamber event r…
Juventus prepare squad’s Italian revolution as targets identified
Serie A side Juventus did improve in the Serie A after an initial roadblock in the campaign but they’re now looking to initiate an Italian revolution in the squad.Today, La Gazzetta dello Sport delv...
Trump Negotiators’ Business Ties Collide With Multibillion-Dollar Russian Oil Deal: NYT
Trump’s negotiations with Russia about Ukraine reportedly now include an oil deal involving business figures connected to Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.