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Frank signaled that the Clippers would like to extend …
Frank signaled that the Clippers would like to extend …
Mark Williams is out tonight for the Suns.
Mark Williams is out tonight for the Suns.
The Manthey Porsche Just Ran A Near-Perfect Nürburgring Lap. A Mustang Still Beat It
The performance pack enabled the 992.1-generation 911 GT3 RS to be nearly four seconds faster than the regular car
Intel eases reliance on TSMC with 'Merica-made Core Series 3 processors
: Stripped-down Ultra for laptops and low-power edge boxes
X-Men's 'Avengers: Doomsday' return is 'opportunity to pit multiple universes against each other' (exclusive)
The X-Men in 'Avengers: Doomsday' became 'an amazing opportunity to pit multiple universes against each other,' Marvel Studios head Kevin Feige tells EW at CinemaCon. 'I think people know that the story of Doomsday is inspired by a very famous comic run in which universes are colliding.'
How Dylan Patel and SemiAnalysis Grabbed Sway in Silicon Valley
For Dylan Patel, founder of SemiAnalysis, an influential AI industry newsletter and research firm, Nvidia deserves the kind of dogged observation and study the tabloid press once devoted to Princess Diana. Hescrutinizesthe chip giant’s new products,documentsits delays andscoopsdetails about its ...
The Corvette ZR1X Had 1,250 HP And AWD At The ‘Ring. The Mustang GTD Competition Had Neither, And Won Anyway
The GTD Competition beats the standard GTD's previous 'Ring time by more than 11 seconds, and the Corvette's by eight
LeBron’s going to have to decide whether he wants to …
LeBron’s going to have to decide whether he wants to …
In asking sources around the league Wednesday ahead of …
In asking sources around the league Wednesday ahead of …
Valley Health changes staffing contracts, trims service citing ‘Big Beautiful Bill’
Mark Nantz, president and CEO of Valley Health, attributed the changes as a response to how health care is evolving nationally. A rule from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services late last year reduced reimbursements while the H.R. 1, also known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” is expected to spur drops in Medicaid enrollment nationwide.
How to watch UFC Winnipeg ‘Burns vs. Malott’
The Ultimate Fighting Championship on Saturday takes the 1,300-mile journey north to Manitoba, as it drops in on the provincial capital for the first time since 2017.
Cosm Breaks Ground On New Cleveland Sports Entertainment Venue | 100.7 WZLX
A new immersive sports and entertainment venue is coming to downtown Cleveland's Gateway District.
Democrats want the full 2024 election autopsy released — no matter the findings
DNC Chair Ken Martin told party officials he planned to release some of the results, sources said. But more than a dozen Democrats said they want to see the full scope of the problems.
“Victor Wembanyama thoroughly embodies the spirit of …
“Victor Wembanyama thoroughly embodies the spirit of …
CBS Has Revealed What's Taking Over Stephen Colbert's Time Slot — And It's Not A New Host
After three decades, the 11:35 p.m. slot is going to look a lot different.
Saturn’s largest moon could see 10-foot waves from a tiny breeze
Surf's up, Titan.
"You've got another opportunity to get better. You've …
"You've got another opportunity to get better. You've …
Did Pete Hegseth just quote 'Pulp Fiction' during a Pentagon worship service?
Pete Hegseth seemed to quote 'Pulp Fiction' as he paraphrased a Bible verse during a recent Pentagon worship service.
Road America hints IMSA sports car racing after dark could come soon
Road America fans got their IMSA endurance event, so is racing in the dark next? The Wisconsin track's boss drops hints about the possibility.
Galaxy S27 Ultra may perform on par with desktops, and not just because of a 2nm chip
The Galaxy S27 Ultra may leave all 2026 Android flagships behind in performance.
Intel launches new Core Series 3 chips for mainstream laptops
The new chips promise all-day battery life and will be adopted by a number of brands throughout 2026.
DJI Osmo Pocket 4 Announced: 4K/240fps, ActiveTrack 7.0, and Built-in 107GB Storage
DJI Osmo Pocket 4 announced with 4K/240fps, 14 stops DR, 37MP photos, 107GB storage, and ActiveTrack 7.0 from €479.
Police officer injured in Rochester mental health detention
A 24-year-old man will be charged with second degree assault after a police officer was injured trying to detain him on Wednesday evening.
Angry researcher drops second Windows Defender zero-day exploit: “They mopped the floor with me”
A disgruntled researcher released a second zero-day Windows Defender exploit, dubbed RedSun, shortly after Microsoft patched the first vulnerability.
Darius Garland to focus on getting healthy
Darius Garland to focus on getting healthy
Jonathan Isaac is OUT for the Magic tonight
Jonathan Isaac is OUT for the Magic tonight
This Superintelligent Brain Sleeps, Develops a Personality—And Eventually Dies. Is the Singularity Here?
AI could become much less artificial—and much more organic.
Small business optimism drops, more owners cautious on spending: NFIB
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index fell 3 points in March to 95.8, falling below the 52-year average of 98.0. NFIB Research Center executive director Holly Wade breaks down the data and what factors are impacting American small business owners, including price pressures, as uncertainty rises.
Microsoft counters the MacBook Neo with freebies for students
PC makers are discounting laptops and bundling Microsoft 365 and Xbox Game Pass subscriptions.
Trump Mobile Drops Trashy Update on New Phone
Still no word on when exactly the garish device is supposed to hit the market, almost a year after the company’s launch.
Megalodon set to become Maryland’s state shark
The Bay State is now home to the first state shark in the country.
NBA play-in tournament scores: Deni Avdija drops 41 points to put Blazers in playoffs after Hornets beat Heat in OT
How to refresh your phone without upgrading it
You don't necessarily have to spend money on a new phone.
This simple change stops robot swarms from getting stuck
In crowded environments, more robots don’t always mean faster results—in fact, too many can bring everything to a standstill. Harvard researchers discovered a surprising fix: adding a bit of randomness to how robots move can actually prevent gridlock and boost efficiency. By allowing robots to “wiggle” slightly instead of marching in straight lines, they can slip past each other and keep tasks flowing smoothly.
Gov. Spanberger visits the Valley to support business investments, I-81 widening
Gov. Abigail Spanberger made her way to the Shenandoah Valley on Tuesday morning, with stops around Harrisonburg and Rockingham County highlighting major investments, a local business expansion and the kickoff of a long-awaited widening project on Interstate 81.
Fischer: LeBron James, Lakers not 'shutting the door' on return
Fischer: LeBron James, Lakers not 'shutting the door' on return
Microsoft raises prices on Surface PCs due to skyrocketing RAM costs
Microsoft Surface tablets, laptops and hybrids have all gone up in price. This brings the flagship 15-inch Laptop 7 to $1,600 and the 13-inch Pro 11 to $1,500.
Lebanon’s Death Toll Tops 2,100, Health Ministry Data Show
Lebanon’s health ministry said Tuesday that 2,124 people have been killed and nearly 7,000 wounded since the latest round of fighting between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. The Lebanese authorities said the fatalities include 1,702 men, 254 women and 168 children.
Candy now tastes different. It’s not just you.
From recipe changes to aging taste buds, here's why those peanut butter cups don't hit like they used to.
Final tour for Alabama stops in Cedar Rapids
Alabama, a band that marries country with Southern rock, was among the most successful acts of the '80s. Known for hits like "Tennessee River," they will perform on Sunday at the Alliant Energy PowerHouse.
Who’s giving big to Miami-Dade politicians this year? Townhouse builder tops the list
In county government, Miami-Dade Commissioner Vicki Lopez raised the most in political contributions to start 2026.
EDC and Business Impact NW to host two free workshops on capital readiness for businesses
Submitted by the Economic Development Council.
Project 2025 author Paul Dans drops primary challenge to Lindsey Graham in South Carolina
Trump reacted to Dans' announcement with a social media post suggesting that Tucker Carlson's endorsement of Dans had been the "KISS OF DEATH” for his campaign.
‘Space worms’ are en route to the International Space Station
Studying these nematodes will help scientists plan for a long-term human presence on the moon.
College baseball rankings for Week 9: Updated USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, D1Baseball top 25
UCLA remains the top team in the updated USA TODAY Coaches college baseball rankings, but a number of teams saw sizeable drops and rises this week:
Mystery item spotted in 2,000-year-old Egyptian child mummy
Critical information about this unknown boy was destroyed during World War II.
World Aquatics drops restrictions against Russian athletes
The governing body for international swimming and aquatic sports will allow athletes from Russia to compete without restrictions and with their national flag and anthem.
France is replacing 2.5 million Windows desktops with Linux - and I mapped out its new stack
Officially, we don't know what France's forthcoming Linux desktop will look like, but this is what my sources and experience tell me to expect.
Live updates: Swalwell drops bid for California governor; Trump and Pope Leo feud
Get live updates and the latest news as Eric Swalwell drops his bid for California governor amid sexual misconduct allegations and Trump feuds with Pope Leo over his criticism of the Iran war.
Who is Peter Magyar, Hungary’s new leader who trounced Viktor Orban?
Magyar's centre-right Tisza Party has won a two-thirds majority in Hungary's parliamentary elections.
From dumplings to pickleball, check out these new North Jersey shops
Ugly Dumpling, Open Play Pickleball, a health care imaging clinic and a Khaadi fashion store at American Dream make our latest list of new businesses.
Oil price tops $100 a barrel again after Trump announces strait of Hormuz blockade
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news
Eric Swalwell drops bid for California governor after sexual misconduct allegations
The Democratic candidate faced immediate calls to end his campaign, with many supporters withdrawing their endorsements.
Victor Wembanyama will miss regular season finale against Denver
Victor Wembanyama will miss regular season finale against Denver
New York's Largest Shopping Mall Is An Entertainment Hub With Premium Shops And Restaurants
Destiny USA mall in New York is more than just a place to shop and eat -- it's also a destination people travel to for the experience.
Maizie Clarke Turned Illustrations Into a Thriving Business
Maizie Clarke is transforming the way we see custom merchandise, one watercolor brushstroke at a time. 🎨✨ What began as a kitchen-table side hustle in 2016 has grown into a thriving wholesale business, providing custom illustrated tea towels, ceramics, and scarves to museum shops and distilleries across the country. 🏛️🧣
"Find something that works for you": Health and wellness tips for the summer
Fitness expert Doug Bopst joins Jen Franciotti to discuss positive health habits to develop in advance of the summer months.
New report claims Microsoft is considering changing Day One access to Call of Duty on Game Pass
Microsoft is reportedly considering dropping Call of Duty from its Game Pass Day One offering.
Owl saved from electrical fence adopts abandoned owlet
Staff at a wildlife center paired a baby-less owl mother with mother-less baby owl.
Shropshire sports charity's £510k award to get people moving
The funding will be used to support people who "face the greatest barriers to being active".
James Uthmeier gets endorsement from Florida Police Benevolent Association
Police organization representing 30K cops in Florida says Uthmeier is committed to law and order.
Why you never forget how to ride a bike
The brain stores skills differently than facts, making them harder to forget.
Best 2-in-1 Laptops (2026): Microsoft, Lenovo, and the iPad
Whether you want a detachable tablet or a laptop screen that spins, these 2-in-1 devices manage to balance being both a tablet and a laptop.
Scientists Finally Crack the Mystery of Water’s Strangest Behavior After Decades of Research
A hidden transition between two forms of liquid water may explain its most puzzling properties.
Hawai‘i Might Just Slay Citizens United — And You Can Help
We have the authority — and the responsibility — to get rid of dark money.
Seniors: Carol Watson, 72
Owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping in LaFayette enjoys her growing business — still puts in six-, seven-day weeks By Mary Beth Roach Carol Watson, the owner of Carol Watson Greenhouse and Landscaping, has been in gardens since she could walk. Literally. She said she learned to walk in her grandfather’s garden, which was next door to her current home and business in LaFayette. Today, at 72, she is running the business that her mother, Claire, opened in 1981 as Watson Greenhouse. Watson worked part-time for her mom until 1990, when she joined her full time. While she may not have had any formal horticultural experience, she said she learned so much about growing and raising plants from her mom, who had an abundance of energy and talent. Now, after 35 years in the business full time, Watson has no plans to retire, although she joked that she’d like a couple of days off a week. On her seven-acre site, complete with four greenhouses, Watson said her favorite parts of the job are working with and educating her customers; helping some of her young customers build terrariums; conducting occasional class field trips; and supporting local art by decorating the shop with an eclectic mix of pottery from at least four area craftspeople. A one-time employee of the former Dey Bros. department store in Syracuse, Watson said she loves merchandising and enjoys displaying unique pieces of art on shelves and even suspending from ceilings. “We’re creative. We also had top quality plants. We got a reputation of quality plants and unusual products,” she said. It’s tending to her customers and her plants, showcasing the unusual products, and hosting special events to benefit the community that keep her motivated to work six to seven days a week. “I just love it. I love taking care of the plants. I’m one of the few people that really enjoys watering,” she said. And while she has cultivated a solid customer base over the years, she remains savvy in her marketing efforts to draw in new customers. For example, she does a gardening segment on CNY Central television; her active Facebook page has thousands of followers; and she hosts a number of unique events and classes that not only introduce her shop to potential new clients, but some benefit nonprofits as well. About 13 years ago, when the local symphony orchestra was struggling, she said she wanted to help. So, partnering with the group, she began offering concerts, called Soirees, featuring the Syracuse Orchestra’s string quartet. Following up on a suggestion from a customer whose brother is a deejay in retirement, specializing in sock hops, she hosted the greenhouse’s first sock hop. Plants got moved back toward the walls to make room for dancing; a caterer was brought in, offering diner-like food; guests came in period outfits; and proceeds went to the Food Bank of CNY. She is excited about doing it again in October. Via her website, she promotes the greenhouse as an “oasis in the snow,” offering visitors the opportunity to pick up some decorating and gift ideas while taking in the floral and citrus scents. And she also caters to her four-legged friends. Over this past winter, she said, she came up with a “brilliant idea,” although at the time she didn’t appreciate just how brilliant it would become. Feeling it too cold outside to take her dog for a walk, she opted to bring it into the greenhouse. And before long, she was inviting people to bring their dogs into the big greenhouse as well. She looks forward to extending that invitation again this upcoming winter season. For Watson and her customers, the greenhouse is always in season.
Spring volleyball: Nebraska tops Iowa State in Sioux Falls
Nebraska volleyball handled business in its first spring match against Iowa State on Saturday, April 11, inside the Sanford Pentagon. Before the match, the two teams agreed to play four sets, as the Huskers won all four (25-17, 25-16, 25-16, 26-24).
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Sisters teen keeping drivers awake with caffeine lollipop business
A Sisters teen teamed up with a Portland businessman to run a caffeine lollipop business, with the goal of ensuring people don’t fall asleep at the wheel. Kale Gardner, the […]
Qualcomm's Snapdragon X2 Elite Extreme, Tested: Big 18-Core Energy for Laptops, Incoming!
Debuting in Asus’ exciting 16-inch Zenbook A16, Qualcomm's 2026 flagship processor looks like a benchmark bombshell ready to shake up the laptop CPU field. We have the receipts.
2026 NFL Draft rankings: David Bailey tops list of best Edge prospects
Here's a look at the best available Edge prospects in the 2026 NFL Draft, as ranked by USA TODAY Sports.
Victor Wembanyama Drops Historic 40-Point Performance Against Mavericks
Spurs star Victor Wembanyama scored 40 in 26 minutes in a dominant win over the Mavericks.
CSCU oversight, special ed complaints: CT politics news
Plus: A ban on former disgraced cops becoming School Resource Officers, a Torrington transfer station, and a research & development tax credit.
HSU tops list for producing small business owners
A new study reveals Hardin-Simmons University in Abilene ranks first in producing small business owners in the U.S.
Al Roker stops 'Today' interview with 'Laguna Beach' star over wardrobe malfunction: 'Guys, on live television?'
'Laguna Beach' star handled a wardrobe malfunction that occurred on live TV like a pro Friday on 'Today.'
Everything to Know About Hoops Legend Sue Bird, NBC Sports' New WNBA Analyst
WNBA Hall of Fame guard Sue Bird has officially been added to NBC Sports' broadcast team for the WNBA - here's everything fans should know about the star.
"Super special. ... I think those were actually a …
"Super special. ... I think those were actually a …
Maine GOP candidate for governor drops
The report cited “missing or unsigned documentation, failure to provide proof that some contributors were registered to vote, signatures on paperwork that do not appear to be authentic.”
A year later, L.A.B. Golf’s weird science got bigger … and more personal
L.A.B. Golf shakes up the putter game with zero-torque tech and wild customization—find one that fits your style and reshapes your game today!
Aviatra Accelerators to host Women-Owned Business Crawl April 25 in Covington
Aviatra Accelerators will showcase a new retail marketplace during its Women-Owned Business Crawl in downtown Covington and MainStrasse neighborhoods on Saturday, April 25, from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m. The event will feature more than thirty women-owned businesses – from retail shops to bars, restaurants, and service providers – across Covington’s thriving small business community,...
Is ‘office air’ ruining your look at work? Science says it’s possible
A TikTok trend has Gen Z and Millennial office workers sharing before-and-after photos at work, questioning whether the “office air” affects their appearance. NBC News’ Emilie Ikeda takes a look at the claims and how experts say there’s some truth to the theory.
List of college basketball national players of the year, All-Americans: CBS Sports' archive of award-winners
Our comprehensive archive of college hoops All-Americans, Players, Freshmen and Coaches of the Year dating back to the mid-2000s
Dawand Jones' Health Update - 04.09.26
On today's episode of Cleveland Browns Daily, Tackle Dawand Jones stops by to give us an update on his health and his recovery from last season's injury. The guys hear from our great friend Greg Cosell as he breaks down this year's wide receiver class and
France Launches Government Linux Desktop Plan as Windows Exit Begins
France is transitioning government desktops to Linux, with each ministry required to formalize its implementation plan by autumn 2026.
Proto-mammals laid eggs, paleontologists finally confirm
Lystrosaurus fills in a major evolutionary gap.
Olivia Munn Says 'Obnoxious' Male Co-Star Wouldn't Let Her 'Save' Him On-Screen
The “Your Friends & Neighbors” star said the actor quickly grew “combative with the director” over the scene.
Even astronauts get constipated in space
NASA packed laxatives on Artemis II for a reason.
Russia’s Science Funding Drops Below 1% of GDP, Falling Behind Globally
Russia's R&D spending drops to 0.97% of GDP, falling behind Egypt and Malaysia. Government civil science funding hits a 15-year low.
NVIDIA N1 Gaming SoC Surfaces on Laptop Motherboard with 128 GB LPDDR5X Memory
NVIDIA's upcoming N1 SoC, designed for gaming laptops, has officially appeared for the first time alongside its motherboard intended for a laptop. Featuring 128 GB of LPDDR5X memory running at 8,533 MT/s, the SoC is paired with SK hynix modules. NVIDIA's OEM partners for this launch, including Dell ...
Laptops Are About to Get Very Exciting Again... Thanks to Nvidia
Nvidia is about to throw another wrench into laptops led by Intel, AMD, and Qualcomm.
Sports Daily: Royals’ bullpen continues to haunt them; transfer portal dominates offseason basketball news
The Royals bullpen continues to haunt them as KC drops two straight in Cleveland.
I tested three Windows laptops in the MacBook Neo’s price range — there’s no contest
It’s a bloodbath.
Conservative Activists Take Aim At Native Hawaiian Health Scholarship
A new lawsuit filed by a legal advocacy nonprofit says a 35-year-old federal scholarship program that brought Native Hawaiian doctors to the islands is unconstitutional.
Hondo Rodeo Fest, 'The Super Bowl of rodeos,' gallops into the Superdome
Hondo Rodeo Fest gallops into the Superdome with Champion ropers and riders, plus star musicians and Angola cowboys
NVIDIA’s Upcoming N1 SoC For AI PC Laptops Spotted On Engineering Motherboard: 128 GB Memory, User Claims Launch Expected This Year
An engineering sample motherboard featuring NVIDIA's upcoming N1 SoC, which will power its AI PC laptops, has been spotted online.
For retiring business owners, employee buyout options can go head-to-head with private equity
Tax and financing advantages embedded in employee stock ownership plans, or ESOPs, can allow sellers to defer capital gains taxes.
“With Atlanta, we won more than sixty games and really …
“With Atlanta, we won more than sixty games and really …