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US recession coming in 2027, stock market drop ahead: Leon Cooperman
Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman said many investors were likely shrugging off the threat of hotter inflation on the US economy and stock prices.
Canadian business braced for 50% US tariffs
US-Canada trade talks go down to the wire, plus Japanese growth figures and a UK inflation update
Walmart and Target are about to reveal the health of the U.S. consumer
Earnings reports from the two major retailers will show how shoppers are holding up in an era of persistent inflation.
US long-term borrowing costs hit 25-year high, as inflation fears hit bond sale
Rolling coverage of the latest and economic news, as US sells 30-year bonds at highest borrowing costs since 2001
Cleveland Fed’s Hammack questions whether U.S. inflation will keep slowing
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland president says more needs to be done to get to the Fed's 2% target for inflation.
Consumer Debt Data Shows ‘Overall’ Health Amid Persisting Divides
Homeowners with low fixed-rate mortgages lead a resilient picture of the economy. But many consumers are frustrated with declining real wages and other loans.
State Meditates Another Huge Pay Bump for Oregon Health Plan Operators
The proposal, which is preliminary, comes as alarm bells clang over runaway medical inflation.
Inflation cooled in July but remained elevated as Fed weighs rate hikes
The Labor Department released the consumer price index (CPI) for July which showed that inflation cooled, even as the pace of price growth remained elevated.
India plans insurance reforms to rein in healthcare costs, sources say
India is weighing wide-ranging reforms of health insurance, from benchmarked treatment rates to a nationwide claims exchange, as it looks to boost transparency in a struggle to hold down some of the highest medical inflation in Asia, two sources said.
Cheese industry struggling under weight of tariffs, inflation and war
Rising costs of milk and shipping are impacting makers
US Small-Business Optimism Rises to an Almost One-Year High
US small-business optimism rose in July to the highest level in almost a year as firms ramped up hiring plans and inflation pressures eased.
In the decade since rate cuts began, NH business tax revenues grew by an inflation-adjusted $3 billion - THE JOSIAH BARTLETT CENTER FOR PUBLIC POLICY
In 2015, the year New Hampshire legislators began a series of business tax cuts, revenues from the state’s two primary business taxes were a combined $561.7 million. In the decade since, business tax revenues grew by more than $3 billion. From 2016-2025, the state collected $3.02 billion in new business tax revenue above the 2015 […]
Leisure and hospitality has lost its strength in the job market
Inflation could be prompting some Americans to cut back on discretionary spending, leading employers to slow hiring.
US economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July
The Labor Department released the July 2026 jobs report, which showed the U.S. economy shed jobs unexpectedly last month amid uncertainty over inflation.
Federal Reserve’s Lisa Cook tells Anchorage business crowd she’s ‘firmly committed’ to bringing down inflation
High inflation for five years has contributed to negative views of the economy, even as it’s largely stable, Lisa Cook said.
ASUS Asks $5090 For RTX 5090 After Cancelling User’s Order Who Already Paid $4607
ASUS canceled an RTX 5090 order worth $4,607, raising the price to $4,982, reflecting growing GPU price inflation after the RAMpocalypse
Expanding Financing to Match Today's HVAC Price Reality
As HVAC equipment prices soar due to supply chain issues and inflation, contractors are shifting towards offering diverse financing options to help homeowners manage costs, repair...
Texas ranks No. 3 for business bankruptcy filings in U.S.
Higher interest rates and lingering inflation are forcing businesses into a tough spot.
Debt Digest | Federal Debt is a Health Care Problem
Welcome David Ditch to the Debt Dispatch! We are pleased to announce a new regular contributor: David Ditch will be joining the Cato Institute as a Policy Analyst for Budget and Entitlement Policy later this week. David has more than a decade of experience in fiscal policy issues, with a particular focus on federal spending. He previously worked at the Senate Budget Committee, the Heritage Foundation, and the Economic Policy Innovation Center. David’s areas of expertise include appropriations, transportation, agriculture, federalism, grantmaking, and policy options for deficit reduction. Originally from the Rochester, N.Y. area, David has a BA in Economics and Political Science from the University of Rochester and a MA in Political Management from George Washington University. David currently lives in Arlington, VA. You may have enjoyed his earlier guest posts: CBO: New Highway Bill Has More Spending, Taxes, and Deficits Trump Administration’s Proposed Changes to Federal Grants Highlight Problems of Big Government Here are this week’s reading links and fiscal facts: The federal debt is largely a health care problem. In a new report, the Congressional Budget Office and Joint Committee on Taxation find that “In 2026, federal subsidies for health insurance, net of related payments to the government, are projected to equal $2.4 trillion, or 7.4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). In CBO and JCT’s projections, those subsidies grow by 65 percent, reaching $3.9 trillion, or 8.4 percent of GDP, in 2036. Subsidies for Medicare contribute most to that overall growth, increasing by $900 billion. Over the entire 2026–2036 period, federal subsidies for health insurance total $33.6 trillion.” Cato’s Michael Cannon emphasizes, “The long-term federal debt problem is a health care problem. […] Only two categories of federal outlays will grow faster than gross domestic product (GDP): health care subsidies and interest payments on the debt. The former is, therefore, the primary driver of the latter.” The bond market fears deficits, not the loss of tariff revenue. Responding to a New York Times essay claiming tariff revenue has grown too important for a future administration to unwind, Cato’s Kyle Handley argues: “Bond investors are not attached to customs duties as a line item revenue source. They care about the government’s overall fiscal position.” He continues, “tariff revenue is a side hustle. And the Trump administration has already promised to dole out the funds through schemes like tariff dividend rebates, farm subsidies, and pay-fors on tax cuts or other spending.” Furthermore, “tariff revenue is simply not large enough to transform the government’s fiscal trajectory.” Take net interest for example: it “reached $970 billion in fiscal year 2025, absorbing 18.5 percent of federal receipts. Customs duties accounted for only 3.7 percent of receipts—and that was before refunds (see Figure 2).” Handley concludes, “The real bond-market concern is a large and growing interest bill, persistent budget deficits, and a political system unwilling to bring spending and revenue into alignment.” Medicare’s spending growth is driven by more volume and utilization. A Congressional Research Service report finds that Medicare spending “grew at an average annual rate of 7.3%” from 1985 through 2025, and the trustees project health care expenditures will keep rising “faster than gross domestic product (GDP) in most future years.” Citing CBO, the report attributes Medicare’s projected 2026–2036 spending growth to “23% from higher enrollment, 31% from inflation, and 47% from the growth of inflation-adjusted spending per beneficiary. In other words**, the largest single driver of Medicare spending growth during the next decade is expected to be higher volume and intensity of health care services.”** Boccia and Thakur explain: “as the economy grows, Medicare spending tends to grow at least as fast—and often faster—because the program automatically pays the bill for more and more healthcare consumption by seniors, even as prices rise.” The Fed has little control over market interest rates. Cato’s Jai Kedia documents that the Fed has held its rate target steady since December, yet “nearly every rate Americans actually borrow at has climbed over the same stretch.” Kedia continues, “The Fed did nothing, and the cost of credit went up anyway. […] Markets spent these months repricing macroeconomic events such as sticky core inflation, a volatile energy market driven by the conflict in the Middle East, and global trade disrupted by tariffs, among others. None of that required a policy change to show up in borrowing costs because markets, not the FOMC, set prices.” He concludes, “Accurately priced borrowing rates will come from credible disinflation and disciplined budgets and from a Fed content to follow the economy rather than pretend it leads it.” Nearly half of US farm income comes from taxpayers. Former Reagan OMB director David Stockman notes that “in the most recently completed full year (FY 2025) farmer incomes in the US totaled $97.8 billion, but fully 42.7% or $41.8 billion of that amount came from taxpayers, not the marketplace. Nor is this some kind of one-year aberration. If we look at the most recent decade as a whole, total farm income posted at nearly $708 billion, but, as indicated, fully $322 billion or 45% of this came compliments of US taxpayers.” Cato’s Chris Edwards explains why so little of that income is market-earned: “Farmers are businesspeople, but the government shields them from just about every type of weather and market risk. Furthermore, just about every part of the agricultural industry is subsidized, including insurance, loans, marketing, research, export sales, and land improvements.” The Debt Dispatch is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe
CMS announces end to Medicare Part D prescription drug subsidies
With the change, premiums are expected to rise. However, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services confirmed they cannot inflate by more than 6%, as capped by the Inflation Reduction Act.
Mortgage rates climb to highest level in a year
Five months into the war in Iran, rising oil prices and stubborn inflation are driving mortgage rates to the highest level in a year.
The restaurant business is changing beyond recognition
Blame technology, inflation and customers’ shifting habits
Fed's favored inflation gauge showed prices pulled back in June
The Fed's favored inflation gauge eased but remained elevated in June, with PCE inflation remaining well above the Fed's 2% target.
Neither party is talking about what voters actually care about
Politicians are fixated on social media outrage while voters remain focused on the economy and inflation.
Can you eat lettuce safely during the cyclospora outbreak? Advice from an infectious disease expert
Rather than avoiding fresh produce, adopting a few sensible food safety practices can help you significantly reduce your risk of getting sick while continuing to enjoy the many health benefits and flavor perks of salads and fresh veggies.
Fed policymakers leave rates unchanged amid elevated uncertainty
Fed policymakers left interest rates unchanged at their July meeting as stubborn inflation remains well above the central bank's 2% target.
Paltry Medicare pay fueling imaging access gaps, radiology experts charge
Along with radiology providers, Medicare’s failure to keep pace with inflation is harming patients, too, according to new Neiman Health Policy Institute research.
The Fed confronts an unusually confusing economic moment
The Federal Reserve has remained mum about interest rates as inflation concerns have heightened, leading to confusion about the state of the US economy.
The politics of the last barrel
As conflict in the Middle East sends shockwaves through global energy markets, governments are rushing to deploy strategic oil reserves to prevent economic turmoil, soaring inflation and supply collapse. Emergency stockpiles have become the world’s last line of defence against a new era of energy insecurity. John Muchira reports
Josh Shapiro may be biggest fundraising juggernaut Pa. politics has ever produced
Between the start of 2023 and June 8, Shapiro raised more than $60 million, 56% more than the $39 million he raised at this point four years ago when adjusted for inflation.
Euro zone business activity returns to growth in July for first time in four months, PMI shows
Euro zone business activity returned to growth in July for the first time in four months, driven by a rebound in new orders, even as high inflation and renewed conflict in the Middle East clouded the outlook, a survey showed on Friday.
New cost for local businesses? Winter Garden weighs 5% tax increase
Winter Garden commissioners are expected to vote Thursday on a proposal to increase the city’s local business tax by 5%, a move city leaders say is needed to keep pace with inflation but one that comes as some downtown businesses continue recovering from months of disruption.
UK inflation cools faster than expected to 2.6% in June as food and fuel prices drop
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news
N. Y. contractors brace for impact of new Canada tariffs
The current questions around tariffs are being piled on top of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation and previous tariffs.
Miami's cost of living now tops New York City's despite Florida's tax advantages
Rising property taxes, insurance premiums and 36% inflation since 2019 have pushed Miami's cost of living above New York City's for the first time on record.
Trump imposes 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing disputes over autos, alcohol and cheese
The move, announced Monday, could unleash a new wave of economic chaos, with risks of higher inflation and further fraying of relations between two nations that had been closely woven together before Trump’s return to the White House.
Persistent inflation dogs small business confidence: US Chamber
The Federal Reserve will probably raise interest rates in coming months in an effort to curb inflation to its 2% target, according to traders in interest rate futures.
Every Day In Every Way, Attribution Science Is Getting Better & Better
Support CleanTechnica's work through a Substack subscription, on Patreon, or on Stripe. Help us produce all of the high-quality, original content we publish week after week despite the challenges of content-scraping AI, antisocial media, inflation, and other hurdles. The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine are private, nonprofit institutions ... [continued]
Philippine Science Department Expands Academic Partnerships to Push EV Adoption
Support CleanTechnica's work through a Substack subscription, on Patreon, or on Stripe. Help us produce all of the high-quality, original content we publish week after week despite the challenges of content-scraping AI, antisocial media, inflation, and other hurdles. The Department of Science and Technology (DOST) is mounting a coordinated push ... [continued]
Is Big Tech spending more just to stand still in the AI race?
Big Tech's AI spending is soaring, but higher capex may reflect inflation as much as expansion this earnings season.
Fed rate-hike voices swell before July decision, rates still seen on hold
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack on Friday added her voice to a small but growing chorus of policymakers arguing the Fed may need to raise short-term borrowing costs to deal with persistently high inflation, setting up a charged debate at the central bank's July 28-29 meeting.
Small business optimism picks up in June, survey says
Owners reported stronger sales expectations and better conditions ahead, even as inflation and hard-to-fill jobs continued to weigh on growth.
If Mike Johnson’s Phone Could Talk…or Sleep | WSJ Politics Newsletter for July 15
Plus, economists foresee stubborn inflation with strengthened growth and employment, while the U.S. and Iran reckon with shrinking options to end the war
Why the $9.99 price tag still rules retail
The $9.99 price point remains a powerful strategy because many consumers perceive products under $10 as noticeably more affordable than those priced at $10 or higher, even though the difference is only a penny, The Wall Street Journal reports. Companies are increasingly struggling to maintain these prices due to rising costs from inflation, fuel, tariffs […]
U.S. small business owners grew more optimistic in June but inflation worries are climbing
The NFIB's optimism index rose to 97.4 in June, nearing its 52-year average, as 21% of owners named inflation their top business problem
Consumer inflation cooled more than expected in June as gas prices fell
The Bureau of Labor Statistics found that the consumer price index (CPI) eased in June as consumer price growth slowed after a recent surge caused by the Iran war.
Big Banks Smash Earnings Records, but ‘Tectonic’ Risks Loom
The largest banks in the United States collectively raked in tens of billions of profits in the second quarter, despite the war in Iran and persistent inflation.
Pound marches higher as investors focus on UK politics
The pound rose against the dollar on Tuesday as investors took profits after the U.S. currency's recent climb to more than one-year highs ahead of key U.S. inflation data later in the day, while holding steady against the euro.
US small-business sentiment rebounds in June, inflation a major worry for many
WASHINGTON, July 14 (Reuters) - U.S. small-business sentiment increased in June, but the share of owners reporting that inflation was their "single most important" problem was the highest in nearly two years, and more said they had raised average selli...
US small-business sentiment rebounds in June, inflation a major worry for many
U.S. small-business sentiment increased in June, but the share of owners reporting that inflation was their "single most important" problem was the highest in nearly two years, and more said they had raised average selling prices.
Industry Sales Grow 2.5% in Q2 as Business Pressures Persist
Distributor growth accelerated from the first quarter, but inflation, delayed purchasing decisions and uneven performance continue to temper promo industry sales.
The Quintessential Trump-era Politician
In 2020, I wrote an article about collaboration and collaborators. The title was History Will Judge the Complicit, and it started with the story of two famous East Germans, Markus Wolf and Wolfgang Leonhard, who both landed in East Berlin just after the end of the war. Although they came from very similar backgrounds, the former stuck with the regime, eventually becoming its spy boss; the latter, horrified by the brutal reality of Soviet-style communism, escaped. By way of juxtaposition, I also wrote about Lyndsey Graham and Mitt Romney. These two men also made very different decisions when confronted by Donald Trump’s assault on the ideals that they had both grown up believing: A glance at their biographies would not have led many to predict what happened next. On paper, Graham would have seemed, in 2016, like the man with deeper ties to the military, to the rule of law, and to an old-fashioned idea of American patriotism and American responsibility in the world. Romney, by contrast, with his shifts between the center and the right, with his multiple careers in business and politics, would have seemed less deeply attached to those same old-fashioned patriotic ideals. Most of us register soldiers as loyal patriots, and management consultants as self-interested. We assume people from small towns in South Carolina are more likely to resist political pressure than people who have lived in many places. Intuitively, we think that loyalty to a particular place implies loyalty to a set of values. But in this case the clichés were wrong. It was Graham who made excuses for Trump’s abuse of power. It was Graham—a JAG Corps lawyer—who downplayed the evidence that the president had attempted to manipulate foreign courts and blackmail a foreign leader into launching a phony investigation into a political rival. It was Graham who abandoned his own stated support for bipartisanship and instead pushed for a hyperpartisan Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s son. It was Graham who played golf with Trump, who made excuses for him on television, who supported the president even as he slowly destroyed the American alliances—with Europeans, with the Kurds—that Graham had defended all his life. By contrast, it was Romney who, in February, became the only Republican senator to break ranks with his colleagues, voting to impeach the president. “Corrupting an election to keep oneself in office,” he said, is “perhaps the most abusive and destructive violation of one’s oath of office that I can imagine.” In the wake of Graham’s unexpected death on Saturday, I wrote about him again. He was, in many ways, the quintessential politician of Trump’s Washington, a man who shifted 180 degrees. Graham had been a fervent American patriot, proud reserve officer and military lawyer; he became one of the most important defenders of a president who believes soldiers are “suckers and losers” and shows no respect for law of any kind. As his politics changed, his language grew coarser and his behavior grew worse: He urged Israel to “level the place” in Gaza, and insulted the Danish prime minister in Munich, prompting a colleague, Senator Elissa Slotkin, to issue an apology. Here’s an excerpt from the article, which you can read in The Atlantic (gift link here) Like his close friend John McCain, Graham believed that America should stand at the center of a broad democratic alliance. The few times I met him were in that context, at the Munich Security Conference or at other European-American gatherings, which he once attended with great regularity. He also took seriously the practice of American democracy at home. In a 2014 conversation with The Atlantic, he described himself as a pragmatic politician who eschewed populist slogans. “I know Washington is broken, but what’s broken about it is everybody yelling and nobody trying to fix it,” he said. “I’m trying.” When Donald Trump first appeared in U.S. politics, Graham recognized him immediately for what he was: the spokesman for an alien ideology, one radically different from the idealistic patriotism that Graham had practiced and preached since childhood. Trump privately mocked the military that Graham loved as nothing but “suckers and losers.” He put falsehoods, cynicism, and personal greed at the center of his politics, while expressing disdain for transparency, accountability, and democracy itself. In 2015, Graham described Trump as a “race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot” who should “go to hell.” Also as a “nutjob.” When Trump won, Graham understood, as did so many others, that he would have to make some important choices. For a while, he went silent. In the spring of 2016, I saw him at one of those conferences in Europe. He seemed too depressed to speak. But then, like many other Republicans—and, more important, like many other people who have lived under political occupation or experienced radical regime change—he made the decision to abandon his previous ideals, to bury the patriotism that was once so important to him, and to become, instead, a loud, opportunistic collaborator. As I wrote in 2020, it’s very hard to look in to anyone’s heart and to understand their motivations from the outside. But it does seem that Graham had a deep need to be relevant, to be in the game, to be a player, at any cost. And that, rather than any particular achievement, is what he will be remembered for. Continuing to monitor conflicts of interest, ostentatious emoluments, outright corruption and policy changes that will facilitate outright corruption. (Read my original article, Kleptocracy Inc and check out the SNF Agora Institute chart) June 27 Trump diverted funds from more than 900 projects nationwide—including safety upgrades at national parks—to finance beautification projects around Washington, including $700,000 used to fix a White House walkway. June 28 After a years-long Department of Justice investigation into Abbott Laboratories over its management of a baby formula facility where potentially deadly bacteria turned up enough evidence to criminally charge the firm, top department officials instead opted for a financial penalty—illustrating the department’s move away from strict corporate enforcement under the Trump administration. June 29 Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stacked the Defense Policy Board—which is charged with providing independent national security recommendations to the Office of the Secretary of Defense—with Trump allies, including tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, who has invested in defense contractors like OpenAI and SpaceX, after purging the panel last year. Trump purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of stock in Axon—which makes about 90% of US tasers—two weeks before ICE solicited bids for a $220 million taser contract. The White House unveiled limited-edition US passports for America’s 250th birthday, featuring a portrait of Trump overlaid on the Declaration of Independence. June 30 Trump made around $1.2 billion from his various crypto companies last year, including more than $500 million from World Liberty Financial and $600 million from sales of his meme coin. Trump is considering issuing 250 pardons to commemorate America’s 250th birthday. These are expected to be largely doled out through the Office of the Pardon Attorney’s informal network of intermediaries. White-collar defense attorneys say they can typically win pardons for clients for $2 million. Last year, Trump administration officials awarded a no-bid contract worth up to $500 million to Clark Construction for the White House ballroom—negotiations in which the president was directly involved. July 1 The Amazon MGM Studios documentary about Melania Trump earned the First Lady more than $10 million. Trump made hundreds of individual stock purchases worth as much as $12.8 million the day before his announcement pausing “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days sent the S&P 500 soaring nearly 10%—one of the largest single-day gains ever. Mar-a-Lago and Trump National Doral saw record surges in revenue during Trump’s first year in office, earning $77.5 million and $121.9 million respectively, compared to average annual revenues of $25 million and $75 million during Trump’s first term. Entities across the Persian Gulf paid more than $300 million to Trump’s businesses last year, including $263 million from the sale of half his stake in World Liberty Financial to a firm backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a top UAE royal and brother of the country’s president. Kash Patel failed to properly disclose his stock purchase of a Department of Justice contractor, MicroStrategy, worth up to $250,000 last year, despite laws requiring disclosure within 45 days of the trade. July 2 Trump has been directing administration officials to steer more government contracts—so far worth more than $2.4 billion—to Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin aerospace firm, after Amazon gave $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund, donated to the White House ballroom project, and reached a $40 million deal to license a Melania Trump documentary. Alongside the billions he made from cryptocurrency last year, Trump earned millions of dollars from real estate licensing fees, including $21 million from organizations in the UAE and $9.2 million in Saudi Arabia, along with smaller sums from merchandise sales, including $4.7 million from Trump Watches and $35,920 from 45 Guitar, a guitar brand endorsed by the president. House Democrats accused consultants tied to the Trump administration of financial fraud, alleging they gave prospective donors to America250—the bipartisan committee created by Congress to celebrate the nation’s semiquincentennial—the banking and routing numbers for Freedom 250, the White House’s fund for events like the UFC cage fight. Democrats also allege that Freedom 250’s CEO traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos to solicit donations from foreign government officials and business leaders. The Trump administration’s proposed rollback of gun regulations would lift the prohibition on mailing handguns to individuals, a significant win for GrabAGun—the direct-to-consumer firearm retailer on whose board Donald Trump Jr. sits and in which he holds a 1.1% ownership stake. GrabAGun currently must rely on a middleman to transfer firearms to customers. Trump’s financial disclosure revealed that he made more than 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in office, growing his investment account to at least $858 million across stakes in around 1,600 companies, compared to the 13 total trades Joe Biden made during his entire presidency. July 4 Nearly 1 million people who bought the president’s meme coin—Trump Coin—collectively lost $3.8 billion on the token, while he walked away with $636 million. July 6 Shares of Dell closed up 4.4% after Trump recommended people buy the firm’s computers during a speech announcing the launch of Trump investment accounts for children, boosting the more than $1 million worth of shares the president owns in the company. July 9 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh named crypto investor and Trump ally Marc Andreessen to a task force aimed at modernizing the Federal Reserve, including rethinking its approach to inflation—a key factor keeping interest rates elevated. Palm Beach International Airport has officially changed its name to Trump International Airport—a move that will require Florida to pay royalties to the president’s family for licensing his name. I was there a few months ago, during a trip to Barcelona. The sculptures were a revelation, I’d never seen so many together before. Each one has its own personality. Enjoy the good weather, if you are lucky enough to have it. History Will Judge the Complicit The Quintessential Politician Autocracy Inc Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe
How Unaffordable is Health Care and What Can We Do About It?
For decades, the cost of medical care, prescription drugs and health insurance has consistently risen faster than general inflation and wage growth, posing financial challenges for government, businesses and people.
Businesses brace for years of inflation as new costs pile up
Companies blame tariffs, energy prices and demand from AI data centers, raising concerns that inflation above the Fed’s target rate could persist.
Why the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout Is Quietly Squeezing Small-Business Owners
New York Fed President John Williams says AI-driven demand is now one of the inflation risks he is watching most closely. The stakes are high for small-business owners.
Warsh Taps Fed Task Force Chiefs. They’re Global Bankers, Business Leaders and Academics.
The task forces will study Fed communications, the balance sheet, economic data usage, productivity and jobs, and inflation.
Japan benchmark bond yield hits 30-year high on inflation, fiscal health concerns
The benchmark 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield hit a 30-year high on Thursday, as rising oil prices rekindled inflation concerns and investors remained wary of Japan's fiscal health.
From Our Partners: Eastside Small Businesses Can't Afford to Ignore Cybersecurity Anymore
Today, alongside familiar challenges such as inflation, workforce pressures, and economic uncertainty, small-business owners face another growing risk that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore: cybersecurity.
ACA premiums likely set for another double-digit rise next year
Insurers are proposing a rate hike of about 14%, driven by rising healthcare costs, inflation and the loss of enhanced tax subsidies.
Roundup: Walmart pricing / Recovery from Arthur / Turner Industries
Value-focused strategy: Walmart is lowering prices on thousands of items, including beef, Coca-Cola, produce and household goods, to help shoppers facing high food costs. The retailer says the cuts are part of its value-focused strategy, especially as grocery inflation remains a concern. President Donald Trump praised the move, though Walmart did not say the price […]
Fed's Williams tells Fox Business he's more sanguine on inflation due to energy price retreat
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said in a television interview on Tuesday he has grown a little less worried about the state of price pressures in the economy.
Video games are a fortune. Blame Trump and AI.
Spiking console prices are a clear sign of inflation—especially for one key voting bloc.
America celebrates its 250th birthday after another rough year
War, inflation and presidential grifting mark an Independence Day best put in the past. But America has made it through worse times, which lends perspective and offers hope for better times ahead.
Long Reads for the Long Weekend
(Welcome to the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a newsletter on the entertainment industry and business strategy. I write a weekly Streaming Ratings Report and a bi-weekly strategy column, along with occasional deep dives into other topics, like today’s article. Please subscribe.) Happy Fourth of July weekend! As has been a tradition of mine going back to the beginning of the EntStrategyGuy website, I’m sharing my favorite long reads of the last year, like I did in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2024, and 2025. Let’s dive right in! Subscribe “Different Prices for the Same Ride: How Uber and Lyft Use AI to Get More Money Out of You“ by Derek Kravitz in Consumer Reports I don’t think surveillance pricing, like the kind described in this brilliant Consumer Reports article, is long for the world—it’s toxically unpopular—but we’ll see if either party takes on this issue. If I ran a political party focused on affordability, I would focus on a few pro-consumer and pro-market policies: Banning non-compete agreements. Ending surveillance pricing Eliminating junk fees (read more here...) Ensuring “right to repair” for consumer (and military!) products Capping excessive app store fees Stopping digital/algorithmic price-fixing tools. Preventing automatic subscription price increases. And more. If you want to fight inflation, there are a lot of great ways to do it quickly. Speaking of higher prices... “Secret Documents Show Pepsi and Walmart Colluded to Raise Food Prices Across the Economy“ by Matt Stoller in BIG Again, I think a political party should focus on lowering prices for consumers. And deals like this—Walmart making a deal/forcing Pepsi to offer the lowest prices at its stores and nowhere else—hypothetically lower prices at Walmart...but raise them everywhere else. “15 DUIs, still driving: California’s failure to take repeat drunk drivers off the road“ by Robert Lewis and Lauren Hepler in CalMatters CalMatters does terrific reporting in California, something the Golden State desperately needs more of, and this article is a great example of that. “PugLips: The next insanely popular thing you’ve never heard of…” by Simon Carless in Game Discover Co I thought that this parody article (and yes, it’s a parody, but I was definitely unsure at first) was hilarious and totally nailed how much tech/business journalism feels these days. Actually, three of my favorite articles this year were on hype in the video game industry, including Georg Zoller’s “The Video Game Industries Very Dark Night”—which I linked to recently and wrote a follow-up here—and Owen Mahoney’s “Derek Zoolander, Videogame Exec”. In particular, I like Mahoney’s focus on user experience as a guide to what trends will actually grab hold of customers. “The Matrix Lies“ by Evan Shapiro in Media War & Peace Evan Shapiro’s first person account of his experience with AI was hilarious. I think LLMs capabilities have significantly grown from last summer, and yet...my editor/researcher just had an abysmal experience using an LLM to do a quite basic task (which our LLM normally does each week) and the LLM made a mistake on every single data entry...along with seven different mistakes affecting twelve of the twenty or so entries, including mistakes that are explicitly spelled out in the prompt. That’s a brutal failure rate. Again, if you use AI/LLM for data collection, you need to take a lot of extra steps to verify and check the data. “Ghosts in the Balcony: A Cross-Country Trip to 58 Theaters Fighting to Survive“ by Matthew Frank in The Ankler I thought Matthew Frank’s pitch to head across America to visit theaters sounded insane aggressive at the time—at least it felt that way to someone a decade older than him; man, to be in your twenties again, am I right?—but I knew the result would be great. And it was, a terrific feature by a great young writer. Also, I loved Matthew’s recent article on who’s getting the precious few entry level jobs in Hollywood. (Hint: nepotism.) “Disney erased FiveThirtyEight“ and “Did Las Vegas get too greedy?” by Nate Silver in Silver Bulletin I love media history and analysis, and there’s no one better to get the history of FiveThirtyEight than from Nate Silver, who wrote about his personal experience in one of my favorite pieces from this year. I also loved Nate’s breakdown of what’s causing Vegas’ woes, but I’ll offer one criticism, summarized as “Might I suggest antitrust?” Many centrists/center-right/libertarian thinkers (Nate is self-described as the latter) often don’t consider consolidation or antitrust as factors in policy issues like housing, America’s military readiness, or, in this case, Las Vegas. Even if libertarians want to debunk antitrust/consolidation concerns, I’d love to read that debunking. In this case, Vegas is incredibly consolidated (though it also has been for a long time) and I’d have loved to read Nate at least contending with this factor, since he addresses almost every other potential factor for Vegas’ decline. “Why Microsoft’s Carbon Removal Pullback Is Such a Big Deal“ by Robinson Meyer in Heatmap News I’m a big supporter of carbon removal efforts, but this nascent industry faces a lot of headwinds, including this big move most recently. I think it’s clear that solar panels and batteries should be able to get the world to its carbon footprint goals, but effective carbon renewal remains necessary to prevent the worst impacts of global warming. “AI is killing the cheap smartphone“ by David Oks LLMs and AI will impact the world in ways we’re not ready for, and already, third world countries are seeing the prices of cheap cellphones skyrocket due to the cost of chips skyrocketing. This article by David Oks is a terrific breakdown. “100 Days of Madness: Netflix, Paramount, Warner and the Future of Hollywood“ by Wade Major at Hollywood Heretic Wade Major dove deep into Hollywood/streaming’s financials in this must read piece. Not that I agree with everything in this article (read my take on Warner Bros./Paramount here) but the analysis is top notch. I think many people discount how quality thinking, regardless of the argument/conclusion, will make you a better thinker. “Erased by the UFC: Frank Shamrock, The MMA GOAT of the 20th Century“ by Nate Wilcox in The MMA Draw Newsletter Growing up playing the UFC fighting game on the Dreamcast, Frank Shamrock was my favorite MMA fighter, and this history/tribute to him was great. Other Fun Reads “The Hardest Part Of History To Tell Is How It Felt“ by Craig Fehrman at Defector “Unmasking the Sea Star Killer“ by Craig Welch at bioGraphic “What Could Save the Industry? Fin-Syn“ by Richard Rushfield in The Ankler Alex Rollins Berg in Underexposed on movie bumpers, pillow shots, Disney trash cinema, cult films, and Casablanca. David H. Montgomery in YouGov’s The Surveyor on punctuation marks, condiments, dinosaurs, and comic strips and kids media. “How Medium finally pivoted its way to profitability“ and “Why the best journalists on YouTube are all former Vox employees“ by Simon Owens in Simon Owens’s Media Newsletter “It’s Not Just You, Netflix Shows Have Gotten Slightly Shorter: Here’s What the Data Says“ by Kasey Moore at What’s on Netflix “Numlock Awards: How Diane Warren became the biggest loser in Oscar history“ by Nathaniel Rakich and “Numlock Awards: The Oscar Bait era is over. The Oscar Chum era is here.” by Walt Hickey & Michael Domanico at Numlock Awards
US economy added jobs at a slower pace than expected in June
The Labor Department released the June 2026 jobs report, which showed the U.S. economy added jobs at a steady pace last month despite uncertainty over inflation.
Business Confidence Improves Modestly Ahead of Q3 2026
Colorado business leaders entered the third quarter of 2026 with modestly improved confidence, though expectations remain below neutral as inflation, political and policy instability, and geopolitical uncertainty continue to shape the business outlook.
Fox News Poll: An early look at the Georgia Senate race
A new poll shows Democrat Jon Ossoff leading Republican Mike Collins by 13 points in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with inflation as the top concern.
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation
New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought.
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation
In remarks at a central bank conference in Sintra, Portugal, Warsh said that if businesses or households thought the Fed would accept inflation above 2%, “I guess they'd be disappointed. We're going to deliver price stability.”
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation
New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Trump has sought
New Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation
New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Donald Trump has sought. The Fed typically combats inflation by raising borrowing costs. When asked about Trump's oft-repeated desire for lower rates, Warsh underscored the Fed's independence from day-to-day politics.
Bank of England chief economist warns against ‘complacency’ in fight against inflation
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news
Costs of Iran war will linger despite conflict's end, experts say
The effects of the war and other factors driving inflation are likely to stick around for months, experts say, presenting an ongoing challenge to American households.
DNC plans weekend of local events to focus on affordability concerns under Trump
Two years ago, Democrats were the ones accused of being indifferent to Americans’ anger about rising prices. Now they're pointing the finger at Trump, who has downplayed the impact of lingering inflation.
Cutting costs to move forward: SoFi State of Small business 2026 survey
SoFi reports 86% of small business owners see growth or stability, yet 66% cite high costs, mainly inflation and interest rates, as major challenges.
Cutting costs to move forward: SoFi State of Small business 2026 survey
SoFi reports 86% of small business owners see growth or stability, yet 66% cite high costs, mainly inflation and interest rates, as major challenges.
Consumer Discretionary Stocks Drawing Institutional Rotation Into Live Entertainment Leaders
With the Federal Reserve hinting at a pause in rate hikes, stubborn inflation still in the background, and several large companies surprising on earnings, consumer discretionary stocks are back in focus for investors weighing risk and opportunity. This article looks at how that mix of easier policy signals, solid corporate reports, and ongoing geopolitical and supply chain issues could affect larger U.S. consumer-focused companies. It will walk through 3 stocks from a curated screener that...
Fed's favored inflation gauge accelerated in May amid energy price shock
The Commerce Department PCE inflation report for May showed the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge rose higher amid the energy price shock caused by the Iran war.
Dartmouth Health reports $63.5 million loss at end of quarter
According to a recent filing, Dartmouth Health lost millions of dollars due to severe winter weather, inflation, and other challenges.
Jim Cramer Says McCormick “Is Still Reeling From Their Deal to Buy Unilever’s Food Business”
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (NYSE:MKC) was among the stocks Jim Cramer discussed as he said that the Iran peace negotiations could trigger an oil glut, cool inflation, and pull interest rates down. Cramer expects to hear a Unilever deal justification from the management, as he remarked: Also, on Thursday, we hear from McCormick. This is […]
Euro-Zone Business Activity Shows Resilience to Iran War Fallout
Business activity in the euro area shrank less than anticipated in June, feeding optimism that the region’s economy can weather faster inflation and the jolt to confidence dealt by the Iran war.
The 4 PSI Rule For Tires: What Is It, And Is It Reliable?
The 4 PSI rule compares cold and hot tire pressures to estimate proper inflation, but its reliability depends on driving conditions and tire type.
Snap gets a reality check as premium AR glasses drive stock slump
Snap unveils costly AR glasses amid inflation concerns and tough competition. Read more.
Roundup: Oil shock / AI receptionists / Warsh’s style
‘Baked-in’ damage: Even though the Strait of Hormuz has reopened in principle, analysts say the economic damage from the earlier disruption is already largely “baked in,” since supply chains, inventories and energy markets have already adjusted to shortages and higher costs. Oil prices have eased from their peak, but inflation pressures are expected to persist […]
Job Creators Network - Small Business Warning: Inflation, Interest Rates & the Hidden Impact of Washington Policies
Video originally published here. Elaine Parker speaks with Caroline Melear of the R Street Institute about how federal policy decisions affect small businesses and local economies across America. The conversation examines the connection between Washington policymaking and the economic realities faced by entrepreneurs, families, lenders, and communities. Parker and Melear discuss several major forces shaping...
UK inflation unexpectedly stays at 2.8% with higher transport costs offset by slower food price rises
Food prices rose at the slowest rate since December 2024
Japan hikes interest rates to highest since 1995 to fight inflation from Iran war; Thames Water rescue in doubt
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news
US consumer sentiment improves in June due to easing gas prices
Consumer sentiment still remains at historically low levels amid Iran war and rising inflation, new survey shows
South Florida bankruptcy filings see uptick as consumers, businesses seek relief amid war, rising prices
Amid rising inflation and surges in energy prices, South Florida many consumers and businesses are turning to bankruptcy filings for relief.
The 3 sectors where wage growth is still outpacing inflation
New data showed inflation outpaced wage growth for the second consecutive month in May. Three major sectors still have higher wage growth.
The inflation surge is hitting businesses, too
The Producer Price Index, which tracks costs businesses pay, rose at its fastest rate since 2022, adding to worries that higher energy costs tied to the war with Iran are mounting.
US wholesale inflation rose sharply last month as Iran oil shock continues to drive up business costs
US businesses’ input costs are rising rapidly as the Iran war’s oil shock continues to ripple through the economy.
Seven GOP US House candidates talk federal spending, energy rules, inflation at Casper’s Politics in the Park
CASPER, Wyo. — Seven Republican candidates vying for Wyoming’s lone U.S. House of Representatives seat faced a blustery Casper wind on Wednesday to debate
Trump says ‘I love the inflation’ as annual rate hits 3-year high
The president suggested the recent numbers mean there will be a bigger decline in inflation once the war in Iran is over.
Small business optimism falls to lowest level since October 2024
Market Domination host Josh Lipton welcomes NFIB Research Center Executive Director Holly Wade to discuss the latest NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, which fell to its lowest level since October 2024 as inflation concerns continue to weigh on business owners. The decline effectively erases much of the optimism gained following President Trump's return to office.
Democrats decry May inflation numbers that Trump says are 'great'
The Labor Department reported Wednesday that consumer prices rose 4.2% in May compared with a year earlier
Gas prices push inflation to a three-year high, squeezing consumers and businesses
Rising gas prices pushed inflation to its highest level in three years last month, a headache for the Federal Reserve and a potential political challenge for the Trump administration as midterm elections near