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Netflix and Superheroes Are Having a Rough Stretch on Streaming....

(Welcome to my weekly streaming ratings report, the single best guide to what’s popular in streaming TV and what isn’t. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. If you were forwarded this email, please subscribe to get these insights each week.) I have a quick prediction before we start today’s article: You might see this data in future news articles. Not my specific charts or analysis, but the core trend I’ve been monitoring—Netflix is having a lackluster Q2—will become inescapable. Often, folks want to know “What does the data say?” Well, that’s what it says. I haven’t seen this analysis hit the trades really yet, but I have a feeling some other outlets are going to start making this case soon. Remember, you read it here first. You probably have read about the problems facing superhero films at the box office this weekend. Well, this week, I explore whether superheroes are dying on TV as well! And the data says: definitely maybe! We have a lot to cover in today’s Streaming Ratings Report, which covers the two weeks of 18-May and 25-May. Today, I’m just looking at TV, like Netflix’s disappointing Q2, superhero shows underwhelming, a few TV shows dropping off the charts, The Pitt finally ending its epic run on the viewership charts (and whether “view counts” change its status as one of the biggest shows of all time), all the flops, bombs and misses, and a whole lot more. Tomorrow, I’ve got a great rundown of the film side of things. Let’s dive right in! (Reminder: The streaming ratings report focuses on the U.S. market and compiles data from Nielsen’s weekly top ten viewership ranks, Luminate’s Top Ten Data, Showlabs, TV Time trend data, Samba TV household viewership, company datecdotes, Netflix hours viewed data, Google Trends, and IMDb to determine the most popular content. While most data points are current, Nielsen’s data covers the weeks of May 18th to May 31st, 2026. You can find a link to my terminology here.) Subscribe Television - Netflix’s Q2 Slump Continues Having analyzed streaming ratings for going on half a decade, I have learned to trust my gut, but I’m always relieved when I can find actual data to back it up. For example, after a string of very popular shows like Stranger Things, Bridgerton, The Lincoln Lawyer and The Night Agent came out, week after week, in January and February, my gut wondered if Netflix had enough new and returning TV shows to sustain them throughout the year. Since then, Netflix’s post-March slate of shows has not impressed me. This week seemed to feature a potential new hit, but then, like a classic Duffer Bros. TV show, there was a twist. I speak of The Boroughs, Netflix’s latest (and last) Duffer Bros. produced show. The pitch is “Stranger Things with older actors”. And it topped the Nielsen charts: With just two weeks of viewership, The Boroughs would have been a top 25 debut show last year: But here’s the twist: Netflix has already cancelled The Boroughs! What happened? Likely a few things. First, the show didn’t do as well globally as it did in the US. As What’s on Netflix showed, it lagged behind several other shows that got cancelled. Second, its completion rate was likely low; after an initial burst of interest, it quickly dropped off on the Samba TV and Luminate charts. Third, the Duffer Bros. left Netflix for Paramount, and that may have factored into Netflix’s decision here. (Though I tend to believe that if a show is doing well, Netflix would have kept greenlighting seasons.) Still, just because I can explain why Netflix may have cancelled this show doesn’t mean I’m justifying it. In particular, as I’ve noted before, Netflix is losing a lot of their bigger shows as they reach their natural ends, and they need to replace those shows. This show had the hallmarks of a big new genre show, and it’s their biggest hit of the last few months (in the US at least), but now it’s done. Netflix’s other show this week—The Four Seasons, the second season of the “hit” show from last year—definitely disappointed. Its sophomore season had about half the viewership of the first, only 12.7 million hours. It also only had a two week run on Samba TV, and its numbers were all down on Luminate too. In other words, even with two successes, the Q2 slump for Netflix looks real: I could add to the list of disappointments: Both Lord of the Files and Man on Fire had short runs on the Nielsen charts. Running Point’s sophomore season also opened to about half its viewership, similar to The Four Seasons. A Good Girl’s Guide to Murder’s second season—see below—didn’t even make any of the three viewership charts I track, unlike the first season. Netflix is absolutely having a dismal second three months of 2026. If this Nielsen data is any indication, and I think it is, I think this will show up in Netflix’s engagement report, and maybe even their financial outcomes. And the rest of June doesn’t look much better. We have two hit shows coming back—Sweet Magnolias, one of their quietest big shows, and Avatar: The Last Airbender, a big hit for them in 2024—but the other big swings are limited series crime thrillers i.e. no future season potential. Like I said above, sometimes when I uncover a juicy nugget like this, other outlets end up writing very similar articles mimicking the data without credit. We’ll see if that happens this time! Share Television - The State of Superhero Shows on Streaming When I first heard the pitch for Spider-Noir—a Sony TV show on Prime Video that binge-released eight episodes first on MGM+ then on Prime Video two days later—I had my doubts. It’s a live-action Spider-Man show set in the 1930s, starring Nicholas Cage, based on a cameo of a character in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. No, seriously, that’s the pitch. That could either go terrifically well or horribly wrong. Great because, Spider-Man. He’s the biggest superhero we have. I’ve seen tracking numbers that put the new _Spider-Man: Brand New Da_y as the blockbuster of the year and initial pre-sales back that up. And yet this Spider-Noir pitch feels very esoteric. (Also, the eight-episode binge release feels very “Amazon copying Netflix” again.) So what’s the data say? And what does this say about the future of superhero shows?

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Jun 29 • 5:43 PM EDT • Entertainment • entertainment.substack.com
NBCUniversal may enter video game business after Comcast split, sources say

NBCUniversal is eyeing opportunities in digital gaming and new entertainment franchises as the company weighs options ​for future growth after its planned spinoff from Comcast , according to three people with direct knowledge of the matter.

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Jun 29 • 4:34 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Exclusive-NBCUniversal May Enter Video Game Business After Comcast Split, Sources Say

By Echo Wang, Dawn Chmielewski and Milana Vinn June 29 - NBCUniversal is eyeing opportunities in digital gaming and new ⁠entertainment ⁠franchises as the company weighs options for future growth after ⁠its planned spinoff from Comcast, according to three people with direct knowledge of the matter.

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Jun 29 • 4:33 PM EDT • Business • usnews.com
PENN Entertainment to Report Second Quarter Results and Host Conference Call and Webcast on August 6

PENN Entertainment, Inc. (Nasdaq: PENN) announced today that it will release its 2026 second quarter financial results at 7:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, August 6,...

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Jun 29 • 10:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • businesswire.com
Comcast co-CEO on media business spinoff: We have the freedom now to explore adjacent businesses

Comcast co-CEOs Brian Roberts and Mike Cavanagh discuss the company's decision to spin off their media business.

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Jun 29 • 9:55 AM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Comcast cuts NBCUniversal loose. Netflix and Apple may want a look.

Comcast spent 25 years arguing that media and broadband belonged together. Now it's breaking them apart.

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Jun 29 • 9:54 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Comcast CEO on media business spin off: 'Our philosophy has always been to invest for growth'

Comcast chairman and co-CEO Brian Roberts calls CNBC to discuss the company's decision to spin off their media business.

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Jun 29 • 9:21 AM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Comcast is spinning off NBCUniversal media and entertainment assets

Comcast is spinning off its NBCUniversal entertainment and media assets into a separate publicly traded company.

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Jun 29 • 9:21 AM EDT • Entertainment • latimes.com
Hayao Miyazaki voice actor Akihiro Miwa dies at 91

Akihiro Miwa has died at age 91. The Hayao Miyazaki voice actor, who played roles in 'Princess Mononoke' and 'Howl's Moving Castle,' was also an iconic singer in Japan.

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Jun 29 • 8:46 AM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Comcast Eyes Spinoff of NBCUniversal From Its Core Cable Business

All things being equal, the Comcast-NBCU marriage of the distribution and content assets will have been relatively short-lived.

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Jun 29 • 8:43 AM EDT • Business • sportico.com
Read the memo sent to Comcast employees about media spinoff plans

In a memo shared with Comcast employees, the company's co-CEOs spoke of both units' "great business prospects" and "strong balance sheets."

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Jun 29 • 8:35 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Comcast says it plans to split into two businesses, NBCUniversal and Sky

Current shareholders would receive shares in both companies under the planned split, Comcast said Monday.

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Jun 29 • 7:23 AM EDT • Business • cbsnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Comcast says it will spin off NBCUniversal

Comcast’s media businesses, including NBC, Peacock and Universal, are moving one step closer to a sale.

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Jun 29 • 7:19 AM EDT • Business • cnn.com
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Comcast Announces Plan To Split Tech And Media Businesses With NBCUniversal Spinoff

The company said it expects the split to be completed within a year, with Comcast’s shareholders owning shares in both companies.

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Jun 29 • 6:39 AM EDT • Business • forbes.com
Comcast plans to split into two public companies by spinning of NBCUniversal and Sky

Comcast is planning to split itself into two separate publicly traded companies by spinning off NBCUniversal and Sky

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Jun 29 • 6:29 AM EDT • Business • abcnews.com
Comcast stock surges as it announces plans to spin off media business

Comcast said it plans to separate its media and technology businesses into two publicly traded companies.

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Jun 29 • 6:27 AM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Comcast to split into two companies, spin off NBCUniversal and Sky

The move announced Monday will separate Comcast’s media and entertainment assets from its broadband and wireless business.

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Jun 29 • 6:22 AM EDT • Business • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Comcast To Separate NBCUniverisal Media And Technology Businesses

Comcast will separate the NBCUniverisal and Sky Media business and technology businesses into two public companies.

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Jun 29 • 6:16 AM EDT • Business • deadline.com
Comcast to split its cable business from media through NBCUniversal and Sky spinoff

Comcast said it plans to split into two publicly traded companies through ​a tax-free spinoff of NBCUniversal ‌and Sky, separating its broadband and wireless business from its media and entertainment assets.

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Jun 29 • 6:11 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Comcast to split cable business from media through NBCUniversal, Sky spinoff

Comcast will split into two publicly traded companies through a spinoff of NBCUniversal and Sky, separating its ‌cash-generating broadband arm from a media and entertainment business ‌under pressure from streaming rivals and industry consolidation. The latest U.S. media industry shake-up follows years of cord-cutting as legacy players chase scale to better compete with Netflix while Paramount Skydance's $110 billion deal for Warner Bros Discovery is ‌set to boost competition. Comcast, ⁠which leans on cable for much of its cash flow, is also losing broadband customers to fixed wireless ⁠offerings from T-Mobile and Verizon and to fiber rivals building out networks.

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Jun 29 • 6:11 AM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
Comcast Plans Company Split, Sending Shares Soaring 22%

The spinoff of NBCUniversal and Sky will separate the company’s connectivity business from its film, theme park and streaming operations.

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Jun 29 • 6:09 AM EDT • Business • wsj.com
Comcast announces it will spin off media and tech wings into separate public companies

Comcast said Monday it plans to separate its media and technology businesses into two publicly traded companies.

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Jun 29 • 6:05 AM EDT • Business • cnbc.com
Comcast Announces Plans to Separate Media and Technology Businesses Into Two Leading Public Companies

Comcast Corporation (Nasdaq: CMCSA) today announced its intention to separate into two independent publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off of N...

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Jun 29 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • businesswire.com
PPDS Brings 'Limitless' TV Entertainment To Historic 5 Star Bellevue Syrene Hotel With Philips MediaSuite

PPDS, the exclusive global provider of Philips Professional Displays, has announced that its Philips MediaSuite TV range has been chosen to deliver seamless access to a virtually limitless world of | Delivering modern luxuries to the 18th century hotel in Sorrento, Philips MediaSuite TVs with cast built in are now bringing seamless access to millions of movies, TV shows, games, and streaming apps to guests at one of Italy's most prestigious and exquisite hospitality destinations.

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Jun 29 • 4:44 AM EDT • Entertainment • livedesignonline.com
Grand Theft Auto VI Rumored to Offer 60 FPS Mode on PS5/Xbox Series X, But Maybe Not at Launch

One of the reasons Grand Theft Auto VI fans are eager to learn the currently missing details on PS5 Pro enhancements is that the most powerful console available on the market is expected to include a performance mode targeting 60 FPS. However, according to a credible source, there's a decent chance that even the base PlayStation 5 and Microsoft's roughly equivalent Xbox Series X will support 60 FPS in Rockstar's massively anticipated game. The rumor comes from the popular Polish gaming podcast Rock and Borys, which features Remigiusz "Rock" Maciaszek and Borys Nieśpielak. It is the latter who shared in […]

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Jun 29 • 3:35 AM EDT • Technology • wccftech.com
Life Science Reagent Market Forecast Points Higher Toward 2035, Driven by Biopharma Scale-Up and Cell Therapy Expansion

World life science reagent market forecast 2026-2035: CAGR 6-8%, index 2035=185. Bioprocessing, cell therapy, and QC drive growth. Key players: Thermo Fisher, Merck, Danaher.

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Jun 28 • 11:41 PM EDT • Science • indexbox.io
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Minivan crashes into vacant Benson business

WOWT 6 News 10 p.m. Sunday newscast

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Jun 28 • 11:36 PM EDT • Business • wowt.com
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Reports: Diomande agrees PSG move from Leipzig

Ivory Coast forward Yan Diomande has decided to leave RB Leipzig for Paris Saint-Germain, according to media reports. Broadcasters Sky and RMC, as well as transfer specialist Fabrizio Romano, reported on Sunday that the 19-year-old has agreed a five-year contract with the French Champions League winners.

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Jun 28 • 10:42 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Jodie Sweetin praises “Better Call Saul ”actor cast as dad in “Full House ”pilot, but Bob Saget was always 'first choice'

Saget was engaged to cohost CBS' "The Morning Program" when he got the call for "Full House," which led to his absence in the original pilot.

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Jun 28 • 9:45 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Jodie Sweetin praises 'Better Call Saul' actor first cast as 'Full House' dad, but Bob Saget was No. 1 choice

Bob Saget nearly missed the chance to play Danny Tanner on 'Full House,' and though he was casting's 'first choice,' Jodie Sweetin says this 'Better Call Saul' star was 'very sweet' in the original pilot.

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Jun 28 • 9:45 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Katy Perry cancels music festival performance at the last minute: 'They gave me no choice'

Katy Perry apologizes after her Werchter Boutique performance was canceled at the last minute, tells fans 'I am just as unhappy as you are.'

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Jun 28 • 6:15 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
NBC Announces Plans For Special 'Star-Spangled Sunday'

NBC is having a special "Star-Spangled Sunday" broadcast next weekend. Next Sunday is July 5, 2026. It's a very special Fourth of July weekend this year. It's America's 250th birthday. NBC and Peacock will be airing all 15 MLB games on Sunday, July 5. Two games - Mets-Braves and Padres-Dodgers - ...

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Jun 28 • 4:22 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Pennsylvania measles outbreak tops 70 cases as health leaders pledge to get spread ‘under control’

The most recent measles outbreak started in the area of Lebanon and Lancaster counties in late April. Cases now span six counties.

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Jun 28 • 3:14 PM EDT • Health • whyy.org
How did EBS science show reach Netflix's top 10?

For years, South Korea’s public Educational Broadcasting System has struggled to rival the massive budgets of global streaming originals and star-driven mainstr

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Jun 28 • 1:16 PM EDT • Science • koreaherald.com
Trump’s Great American State Fair attendees say they haven’t noticed politics overshadowing the celebration

The gloomy, overcast weather on Saturday didn’t disturb visitors who attended the first weekend of President Donald Trump’s Great American State Fair, an event commemorating America’s 250th anniversar...

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Jun 28 • 12:30 PM EDT • Politics • yahoo.com
Conor Sen: This demographic cliff is reshaping universities. Cities are next

An undergraduate enrollment shortfall at Syracuse University is the latest sign that long-forecast demographic pressures are taking their toll on large and well-known institutions, too. Syracuse laid blame on the

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Jun 28 • 5:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • thederrick.com
Lingering distrust, low vaccine rates threaten containment of Lancaster measles outbreak

LANCASTER, Pa. — A growing distrust of health professionals seems to be undermining their efforts in central and southeastern Pennsylvania to stop...

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Jun 28 • 4:00 AM EDT • Health • post-gazette.com
Inside country legend Alan Jackson\'s triumphant finale concert

Country music legend Alan Jackson has ended his touring career. On Saturday night, he performed his final show at Nashville's Nissan Stadium. The event, titled “Last Call: One More for

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Jun 28 • 1:49 AM EDT • Entertainment • lancasteronline.com
“RuPaul's Drag Race” star reveals queen dropped out of “All Stars 11 ”cast“ ”before filming (exclusive)

Jasmine Kennedie tells EW which one of her franchise sisters exited before filming — and the queen in question responds!

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Jun 27 • 1:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
GTA 6 has no plans for a post-launch physical release, "not at launch, and not months later", insists new report

A new report has cast doubt on news that a physical version of Grand Theft Auto 6 will follow the digital release later this year after all.

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Jun 27 • 10:45 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Headlines with Stacy Pearson and Marcus Dell’Artino

The Politics Unplugged panel breaks down a possible Arizona special session tied to ESA vouchers, union protections and ballot measures. The discussion centers on whether lawmakers could unwind late-night legislation that angered teachers, police and firefighters. They also examine Gov. Katie Hobbs’ political leverage and why both parties may have reasons to cut a deal. Later, the podcast turns to Trump tax cuts, Democratic Socialists, the White House reflecting pool controversy and the World Cup.

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Jun 26 • 10:15 PM EDT • Politics • azfamily.com
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As Pa. measles outbreak worsens, state health official issue strong call to action: 'We are not just sitting back and watching this virus spread'

LANCASTER, Pa. — State Health Secretary Debra Bogen on Friday issued a strong call to action in the wake of a measles outbreak not seen in Pennsylvania...

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Jun 26 • 1:01 PM EDT • Health • post-gazette.com
'The Bear' ending explained – Jeremy Allen White, cast unpack finale

Warning: This story contains spoilers from the Season 5 finale of “The Bear,” now streaming on Hulu. Clear the plates and pack the linens – “The Bear” has served its

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Jun 26 • 1:01 PM EDT • Entertainment • centraloregondaily.com
Friday Morning Politics: As Goes New York...?

Lisa Kashinsky talks about the national implications of New York's Democratic primary results.

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Jun 26 • 12:31 PM EDT • Politics • wnyc.org
Pennsylvania’s Health Secretary unveils plan to combat measles outbreaks

LANCASTER COUNTY, Pa. (WHTM) — Pennsylvania’s Health Secretary Dr. Debra Bogen was in Lancaster County on Friday, giving an update about the measles outbreak in the state, with most of …

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Jun 26 • 12:30 PM EDT • Health • abc27.com
Bunnie Xo says she told ‘so many girls’ to DM Jelly Roll amid divorce: 'Good luck with that'

Bunnie Xo said that she told 'so many girls' to DM Jelly Roll amid their divorce. The country star filed for divorce from the podcaster in May after nearly 10 years of marriage.

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Jun 26 • 11:26 AM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Strictly Business Cannes Lions: Deloitte, AWS, Sony Execs on AI and Tech Adoption

Variety Strictly Business Podcast Live presented by AWS & Deloitte featured Deloitte's Michelle McGuire, AWS's Ruba Borno, and Sony Pictures Entertainment's Pete Wood.

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Jun 26 • 10:30 AM EDT • Entertainment • variety.com
Strictly Business Cannes Lions: Deloitte, AWS, Sony Execs on AI and Tech Adoption

Variety Strictly Business Podcast Live presented by AWS & Deloitte featured Deloitte's Michelle McGuire, AWS's Ruba Borno, and Sony Pictures Entertainment's Pete Wood.

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Jun 26 • 10:30 AM EDT • Business • variety.com
Athlete of the Year finalist: Penn Manor standout provided the power for Comets in 3 sports

Anneli Starry didn’t know what she had in Joelle Kroesen. The Penn Manor girls lacrosse coach labeled the then-freshman as a swing — an athlete who is rostered on two

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Jun 26 • 10:29 AM EDT • Sports • lancasteronline.com
Samsung will soon start charging to access its smart home API

Regular users could get caught by Samsung’s new $4.99 monthly charge for individual developers.

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Jun 26 • 7:38 AM EDT • Technology • theverge.com
Lancaster County public sales: June 26, 2026

Witman Auctioneers Inc., of Manheim, conducted a public auction of real estate June 11 for the Dorothy McVey estate at 22 Sleepy Hollow Road, Nottingham. A two-bedroom mobile home on

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Jun 26 • 7:00 AM EDT • Business • lancasteronline.com
Karl Stefanovic Speaks Out on Nine Exit After Tommy Robinson Scandal

The 'Today' host declares himself 'free' in a YouTube statement after Nine ends his contract following a deleted Tommy Robinson podcast episode.

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Jun 26 • 6:44 AM EDT • Entertainment • variety.com
NC Democrats demand lower utility costs + budget talks drag on as deadline nears

Read our Under the Dome newsletter and listen to our Under the Dome podcast to stay up to date on #ncpol.

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Jun 26 • 6:30 AM EDT • Politics • newsobserver.com
Making Our Own Luck

We are cross-posting a piece that former NIH official Kris Willis wrote for Macroscience. Kris is now the President and Founder of the Woodley Park Institute, for which I’m a board member. Picking winners or hedging bets? Federal science agencies have long wrestled with the question of how to ensure their billions of dollars of grants and contracts result in maximum benefits for Americans. On the surface, it might seem that a goal-oriented, interventionist style of management would be the best policy: prioritize our most pressing problems and distribute funding accordingly.This top-down strategy creates a unique hazard, though: bad choices can send resources in the wrong direction, resulting in slow progress that impedes the delivery of tangible benefits to citizens. Moreover, if decision makers pursue an applied advance when the underlying scientific principles remain poorly understood, they risk costly failures and a loss of support for the research enterprise at large. Examples include Nixon’s 1971 War on Cancer, undertaken on the premise that a cure could be achieved in less than a decade, the drive to build an operational commercial fusion plant by the mid-1990s, and the National Plan to Address Alzheimer’s Disease, which failed to produce the effective treatments and prevention strategies promised by 2025. The contrasting laissez-faire approach is to hedge your bets. If the path to an advance is impossible to predict, then the wisest choice might be to distribute funding to as widely as possible. The main risk of this strategy is that spreading funding thinly may limit the resources available to the most promising research, resulting in the same negative outcomes as the interventionist approach: limited support for the most promising topics, slow progress, and delayed returns. In reality, at science agencies like the National Science Foundation and National Institutes of Health, program managers navigate between these two extremes, setting some funds aside to target high-priority areas and using the rest to cover the widest possible range of meritorious proposals. This middle path seems like the most rational way to proceed, but it still requires making choices. How much should be set aside for high priority topics? What should those topics be? How should we define merit? Expert opinion can provide a helpful guide, but leading experts can have remarkably different opinions about what matters and what should be prioritized. Moreover, experts and administrators alike can be risk averse, giving an edge to high-profile, well-established concepts. What’s really needed is a data-driven framework to help guide decision-making, one that doesn’t simply repackage prestige or incumbency. Recognizing breakthroughs years in advance Many breakthroughs fail to attract funding or recognition at the earliest stages of development. Katalin Karikó, for example, spent years struggling to win grants for work on mRNA that would eventually win her and Drew Weissman a Nobel Prize. Similar stories can be told about Jim Allison’s groundbreaking studies leading to the development of cancer immunotherapy, Stan Pruisner’s demonstration that prions can self-replicate without DNA, or Robin Warren and Barry Marshall’s proof that Helicobacter pylori, not stress, causes ulcers. Yet at some point, the scientific community recognizes and responds to transformative breakthroughs like these. How does that change happen? And what if science funders could identify the areas that are on the cusp of a breakthrough? Those questions led my collaborators and me to study how scientists responded to past breakthroughs. Based on patterns in that data, we developed a means of predicting future breakthroughs, using biomedicine as a proof of concept. It’s worth taking a moment to describe how our approach works. Briefly, our prediction process begins by grouping the 18 million or so peer-reviewed papers in PubMed, the authoritative database of biomedical research, into roughly 50,000 unique topics. A small subset of these topics are so widely acclaimed as breakthroughs that they have been recognized with a major prize like a Nobel or a Lasker Award. We theorized that studying the development of these outliers over time, especially before they gained acclaim, was the key to identifying future instances of them. After defining topics, we chose 21 representative breakthroughs and asked what they looked like before they won prestigious prizes. To answer that question, we re-ran our topic-mapping algorithm repeatedly, winding back the clock one year each time, stringing together the years to follow the progress of each field as it grew and advanced. We found that in each case, the years leading up to a discovery followed a pattern: a burst of papers on a new, rapidly evolving topic, many of which quickly became influential. These characteristics—the percent of papers that are new, the percentage of papers that are brought in from other topics, and the influence of each individual paper—can all be measured separately for any given topic. Together, they act as a predictive signal that is detectable an average of five years before a transformative discovery is made, and up to thirty years before the discovery receives a major prize. Scanning the current research landscape for topics that display this signal allows us to predict what work will likely produce a future breakthrough. Each year we analyzed includes four or five signals, a number that appears to have remained constant across a twenty year time frame. In their classic work on the sociology of science, Bruno Latour and Steve Woolgar established that the desire to participate in a major discovery is an important motivator for scientists as they consider whether they should take up (or abandon) a research problem. Although further work is needed, the simplest explanation for our results is that this behavior is widespread enough to detect at scale. A foundational advance, or something like it, draws the attention of scientists and causes them to change the direction of their research. They vote with their feet, staking their own reputation and careers by publishing on and citing the new idea. That upswell of interest is the foundation of our breakthrough signal. What kind of research does our model identify as a breakthrough? After building a model based on the patterns in our 21 preselected breakthroughs, we tested it by identifying all early signals of discovery from 1994 through 1997. Of the 18 signals we found in that time period, 17 can be traced forward in time to a breakthrough. Examples include super-resolution fluorescence microscopy (see the image above), the directed evolution of proteins and enzymes (Chemistry Nobel, 2018), and sequencing the human genome (National Medal of Science, 2008). The discovery of the role of leptin signaling in obesity is a particularly interesting case study. Around 1950, scientists noticed the existence of a type of lab mouse that suffered from a unique inherited form of obesity. When given the freedom to choose their own diet, these mice ate more than normal and preferred food that was high in fat. Researchers had few clues as to why the animals overate; early experiments pointed to the existence of a soluble ob factor found circulating in the bloodstream that regulated appetite, but its identity was unknown. In 1994, Jeffrey Friedman and colleagues identified and sequenced the ob gene, noting that the protein it encoded appeared to fit the profile of a circulating factor. A year later, a trio of high-profile publications demonstrated that ob was a hormone that regulated body weight and fat deposition by regulating appetite. One of these was co-authored by Friedman, who christened it leptin from the ancient Greek word for thin. Using our model, the data from 1996 make it clear this advance would become a breakthrough. Scientists had flocked to study the biology of the new hormone, generating the flurry of new papers and citations required to produce a signal. One of these demonstrated that serum leptin concentrations reflected the amount of adipose tissue in the human body, providing clinical validation of the earlier mouse studies. Before the identification of leptin, scientists were unable to point to a specific molecule that controlled appetite and adiposity, so that it was impossible to rule out non-physiological causes of obesity; its characterization fundamentally changed our concept of weight gain. In 2010, Friedman and fellow pioneer Douglas Coleman were awarded a Lasker for the discovery. Our work also identifies breakthroughs in clinical practice and behavioral and social sciences, even though these areas are less likely to draw the attention of major prize committees. One example that falls into this category is the introduction of endovascular aneurysm repair, a minimally invasive surgical procedure for the treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm, a leading cause of death among Americans over the age of 65. Relative to the previous standard of care, it reduces in-hospital mortality by almost four-fold. In 2017, Timothy Chuter received the American College of Surgeons’ prestigious Jacobsen Innovation award for his multiple refinements to the technique. Another under-recognized breakthrough identified by our model is the development of standardized survey instruments to assess the quality of life for HIV+ patients. The antiretroviral cocktails introduced in the mid-1990s reduced AIDS mortality, but treatment came with serious side effects. The new evaluations showed that patients whose disease progressed had worse physical functioning than Americans with other chronic diseases, while those who were asymptomatic maintained a health-related quality of life on par with the overall US population. This evidence made it possible for patients and activists to argue that even in the absence of a total cure, and in spite of the side effects, alleviation of symptoms was a worthwhile priority for clinicians. My colleagues and I have failed to identify any significant recognition for the physicians and health policy experts who pioneered this advance, although in 2016, researchers called for the World Health Organization to set targets for good health-related quality of life as part of its framework to end the AIDS pandemic. From forecasting to funding How should science funders use our predictions? Any serious discussion of what we should do with this new capability needs to begin with an understanding of its limitations. We can’t (and shouldn’t) invest all of our resources in the small number of topics predicted to produce breakthroughs. Innovative new fields are born from existing ones; they rarely arise de novo. If funders don’t maintain a diverse portfolio, the breakthroughs of tomorrow will have no antecedents. Think of this as eating the seed corn, or killing the goose that lays the golden egg. There are also multiple goals of funding beyond basic scientific discovery, including translating discoveries into clinical practice, developing new technologies, supporting economic development, and training new scientists. The investments needed to accomplish these goals are likely different from those required to support emerging breakthroughs. Finally, we must be aware that we may not capture every instance of a breakthrough. The concept is fuzzy, and not every significant discovery is recognized with a major award. Further, breakthroughs are rare, meaning that our dataset is, by necessity, small. This makes formal estimates of accuracy challenging. Although our overall success rate appears to be high, any one signal may turn out to be a false positive. We found one apparent example: the development of the third generation COX-2 inhibitors, Vioxx and Celebrex, which were much celebrated in the early 2000s as effective but non-addictive pain relievers, meets all the algorithmic criteria of a breakthrough. Five years after it received FDA approval, researchers demonstrated that Vioxx was associated with serious cardiovascular complications, and the manufacturer voluntarily pulled the drug from the market. Celebrex remains available, although like other NSAIDs, it carries an FDA warning for increased cardiovascular risk. Decision makers who were overly focused on the breakthrough potential of this research might have wasted substantial resources nurturing an area that ultimately proved to be a failure—but so would those who relied on expert opinion at the time. That said, the potential benefits of funding the next mRNA vaccine or cancer immunotherapy years earlier than we might have are large. When we can’t assume the outcome of an action, it’s worth conducting an experiment. Can targeted support for areas that are poised to produce a breakthrough increase the return on scientific investment without cannibalizing future advances? With the necessary administrative infrastructure in place, conducting this experiment would be straightforward. First, identify all the breakthrough signals between 2018 and 2023, select half at random, and commit to a decade of investment. For biomedicine, a six year window should yield about 30 topics with the potential to produce a breakthrough. Providing strong support to half of these might be accomplished for $300 million a year. That’s roughly half of the recent annual budget of the NIH Common Fund or around 20% of the fiscal year 2025 budget for ARPA-H. After five years, then again at ten, compare to see which group — the one that was actively managed, or the control — produced more breakthroughs, and on what timescale. Although we used biomedicine as an example, the same experiment could just as well be run for physics, materials science, or any other discipline. Any attempt to undertake such an experiment should keep three points top of mind. First, we can predict the topic of future breakthroughs, but the people and vision for how to move the work forward are still important. In practice, this means success requires active program managers with the expertise to develop the science and the authority to do so, including by recruiting investigators. Second, we would be wise to learn from the failures of past attempts to fund transformative research. High among these are funding modestly repackaged work, confusing the genuinely novel with the merely unfamiliar, and relying too much on incumbent investigators. All of these risks can be mitigated by thoroughly and intelligently integrating high quality data into portfolio management. Finally, we need to have patience. Even with strong funding support, producing a breakthrough takes time. If supporting breakthroughs is the best way to nurture the birth of new fields, we also need to accurately describe and properly manage the other two stages, so that we invest wisely throughout the productive lifetime of ideas and divest once they reach the point of diminishing returns. We would benefit from more study of all of these phases, especially the transition from one to another. More research could answer questions like: When does a breakthrough become an established field? How do the availability of funding, the size and characteristics of the available workforce, and the accumulation of evidence that disagrees with prevailing models affect a field’s decline? Exactly how do old ideas give birth to new ones, and can we speed up the process? The more we understand about the dynamics of scientific progress, the better we can maximize the odds that our curiosity leads to results. I’d call that finding a way to make our own luck.

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Jun 25 • 4:48 PM EDT • Science • goodscience.substack.com
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Following IAM Union Advocacy, Kansas PERB Orders Count of Timely Cast Ballots in KU Health System Pharmacy Technician Union Election

KANSAS CITY, Kan. — Following weeks of advocacy from the IAM Union, Pharmacy Technicians, elected officials and community supporters, the Kansas Public Employee Relations Board (PERB) has ruled that 37 previously uncounted ballots will be included in the final tally of the recent union representation election involving Pharmacy Technicians at the University of Kansas (KU)

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Jun 25 • 4:19 PM EDT • Health • goiam.org
This week in science: Exoplanetary salt clouds, ancient families and laughter's origin

Hosts from NPR's science podcast Short Wave talk about an exoplanet with pink, salty clouds, the surprising social structure of ancient human relatives and the origins of laughter.

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Jun 25 • 4:04 PM EDT • Science • npr.org
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Cast a Line for Free Across New York June 27–28

New Yorkers will be able to fish for free on June 27 and June 28.

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Jun 25 • 3:17 PM EDT • Entertainment • wktv.com
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South Dakota mayoral candidates separated by just two votes in shockingly close race, recount expected

The Sioux Falls mayoral runoff contest shockingly resulted in just a two-vote margin separating the candidates out of more than 36,000 ballots cast.

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Jun 25 • 1:37 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
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Sean Hannity Explains Puffy Face in Health Update Amid Viewer Concern

Sean Hannity gave a health update after viewers expressed concern about his puffy face and raspy voice in recent Fox News telecasts.

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Jun 25 • 1:16 PM EDT • Health • variety.com
From the Beginning, Politics Triggered Broadcasting

Media scholars argued that politics, not technology, shaped American broadcasting from 1927 on, repeatedly shielding incumbents from competition.

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Jun 25 • 1:05 PM EDT • Politics • broadbandbreakfast.com
Comcast's Sky Reaches Terms to Acquire ITV's Media & Entertainment Unit for $2 Billion

The deal, which includes ITV's linear channels and ITVX streaming platform, could be announced in the next two weeks, according to Reuters

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Jun 25 • 11:30 AM EDT • Entertainment • thewrap.com
Comcast’s Sky Reaches Terms to Acquire ITV’s Media & Entertainment Unit for $2 Billion

The deal, which includes ITV's linear channels and ITVX streaming platform, could be announced in the next two weeks, according to Reuters

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Jun 25 • 11:30 AM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Comcast's Sky to Buy ITV's Media and Entertainment Unit for $2.1 Billion

Comcast-owned Sky Group has reportedly agreed to acquire the media and entertainment business unit of U.K.-based ITV for $2.1 billion. The deal is expected to be officially announced in two weeks. Satellite operator Sky will absorb ITV’s broadcast network, linear free-to-air channels, and the ITVX subscription streaming service with 900,000 paid subscribers and 16.4 million … Continue reading "Comcast’s Sky to Buy ITV’s Media and Entertainment Unit for $2.1 Billion"

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Jun 25 • 10:13 AM EDT • Entertainment • mediaplaynews.com
Make/Films opens new Lancaster city studio in Stadium District

Make/Films — the studio that brought a story about a Garden Spot teacher to movie theater screens nationwide — recently tripled its space with a new studio.

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Jun 25 • 9:55 AM EDT • Entertainment • lancasteronline.com
Everything Announced At The 2026 Capcom Spotlight

Here's a quick recap of the 30-minute broadcast.

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Jun 25 • 8:00 AM EDT • Technology • gameinformer.com
TikTok and YouTube are reinventing sports viewership. Broadcasters are taking note

Leagues, teams and media networks are increasingly meeting younger fans on social media as platforms like TikTok, Roblox and YouTube capture most of their time.

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Jun 25 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • cnbc.com
TikTok and YouTube are reinventing how young fans watch sports

Sports TV ratings and live rights fees are soaring, but professional leagues and broadcasters are facing a new battleground for young fans. Social platforms like TikTok and YouTube are claiming an increasing share of viewing hours among Generations Z and Alpha. Sports clips, highlights and creator content can introduce younger fans to professional sport, but how do the major players cash in?

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Jun 25 • 7:00 AM EDT • Sports • cnbc.com
BBC signs new Wimbledon deal until 2033

BBC Sport will continue to broadcast Wimbledon until 2033 after signing a new deal with the All England Club.

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Jun 25 • 2:24 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Hollywood production house closes, citing entertainment industry struggles
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Jun 24 • 11:55 PM EDT • Entertainment • cbsnews.com
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'Grease' star Didi Conn recalls the cast 'being horny' during production of the classic musical

Didi Conn is looking back at her time portraying Frenchie Facciano in the 1978 musical 'Grease,' a 'crazy' production that consisted of 'having fun and being horny or whatever.'

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Jun 24 • 11:01 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
MentalHood Cultural Initiative improving men's mental health

The MentalHood Cultural Initiative is improving men's mental health, hosting the masculine male brunch and podcast premiere on Saturday in Chicago.

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Jun 24 • 8:48 PM EDT • Health • abc7chicago.com
Micron and Qualcomm forecasts ignite $400 billion AI chip stock rally

Shares of chipmakers surged late on Wednesday, adding over $400 billion in market value after strong ​forecasts from Micron Technology and Qualcomm breathed fresh ‌life into Wall Street's recently waning AI stock rally.

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Jun 24 • 7:50 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Why Millie Bobby Brown apologized to 'Stranger Things' cast after finale

Millie Bobby Brown doesn't need telepathy to tell the world how she feels about the end of "Stranger Things."

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Jun 24 • 7:39 PM EDT • Entertainment • centraloregondaily.com
Star Fox Nintendo Switch 2 voice actors revealed, including Fox, Falco, Peppy, Slippy, and more

The full Star Fox Nintendo Switch 2 cast has now been revealed, and here are the new voices for Fox, Falco, Peppy, Slippy, and more.

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Jun 24 • 4:50 PM EDT • Technology • nintendoeverything.com
'ANTM' cycle 25 might cast 'an AI contestant,' Tyra Banks rep says (exclusive)

'America's Next Top Model' cycle 25 might include 'an AI contestant,' a representative for Tyra Banks exclusively tells EW after Banks' ice cream brand removed AI-generated models from an ad.

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Jun 24 • 4:30 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Micron forecasts quarterly revenue above estimates

Micron ​Technology forecast quarterly revenue above Wall Street ‌estimates on Wednesday, signaling that insatiable demand for AI-related infrastructure will continue to ​drive strong demand for its ​memory chips.

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Jun 24 • 4:19 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Sky Sports F1 broadcaster confirms exit

Rachel Brookes has left Sky Sports after 17 years at the company

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Jun 24 • 12:05 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Leslie Jones says being typecast as 'angry' on 'SNL' was 'frustrating'

Former "Saturday Night Live" star Leslie Jones is looking back on the "frustrating" feeling of being typecast as a certain kind of "angry" character on the show.

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Jun 24 • 11:04 AM EDT • Entertainment • centraloregondaily.com
Behind the scenes of a successful entertainment career with Jenny Austin ’12

From interviews with big-name celebrities like Will Ferrell to assisting with casting for hit television shows like “The Summer I Turned Pretty,” Jenny Austin ’12 is living out her dreams....

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Jun 24 • 8:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • elon.edu
Movies and TV shows casting across the US

Backstage compiled a list of movies and TV shows casting across the US.

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Jun 24 • 5:06 AM EDT • Entertainment • elpasoinc.com
Podcasts are Changing the Doctor-Patient Dynamic. Is That a Good Thing?

The dynamic in the exam room is changing as more people show up ready to talk about what they’ve heard on podcasts.

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Jun 24 • 5:00 AM EDT • Health • nytimes.com
Khris Middleton to the Heat, too? The speculation has started

On the Hoop Collective podcast, NBA insider Brian Windhorst said he's heard that Khris Middleton to the Heat might be a possibility.

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Jun 23 • 4:05 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
'Hacks' star admits she stormed out of Emmys after losing to costar: 'Biggest sore loser'

'Hacks' star Robby Hoffman admitted she stormed out of the Emmys after losing to costar Julianne Nicholson: 'I was the biggest sore loser,' Hoffman told 'Drag Race' icon Trixie Mattel on her podcast.

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Jun 23 • 12:45 PM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
Tight End U Year 6 and Beyond

Greg Olsen on Tight End University year six, youth sports, NFL turf debate, and broadcasters in front offices.

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Jun 23 • 12:00 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Exxon can sue Cuba over property confiscated in 1960, Supreme Court rules

The Supreme Court on Tuesday allowed Exxon Mobil to sue state-owned oil companies in Cuba over the confiscation of property that occurred after Fidel Castro’s regime seized power nearly seven decades ago, letting the lawsuit proceed at a time when President Donald Trump has taken an aggressive stance toward Havana.

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Jun 23 • 10:18 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Sporticast: Why Netflix, EA Have Their Own World Cup Games

On the 563rd Sporticast episode, hosts Jacob Feldman and Justin Birnbaum discuss some of the biggest sports business stories of the week, including a detailed breakdown of Netflix’s FIFA World Cup video game. Following Electronic Arts and FIFA’s split in 2022, both parties now have World Cup-related offerings on the market. Electronic Arts recently launched …

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Jun 23 • 5:55 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
5 things patients should know about intermittent fasting

Are there health benefits to skipping meals? The "Health vs. Hype" AMA podcast explores the issue.

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Jun 23 • 3:00 AM EDT • Health • ama-assn.org
Tucker Carlson says he will no longer support the Republican Party

Longtime conservative commentator Tucker Carlson said on a podcast that “there’s no chance I would support the Republican Party” ahead of the November midterm elections, dismissing the political affiliation he’s defended as a pundit for decades, including as one of Fox News Channel’s most popular hosts.

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Jun 22 • 11:09 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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Capcom Spotlight set for June 25

Capcom will host a Capcom Spotlight broadcast on June 25 at 2:00 p.m. PT / 5:00 p.m. ET / June 27 at 7:00 JST, the company announced. You will be able to watch it on YouTube (English, Japanese).

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Jun 22 • 9:37 PM EDT • Technology • gematsu.com
Data shows lower turnout in early voting compared to 2025

Only 5% of registered Democrats have cast ballots so far.

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Jun 22 • 7:30 PM EDT • Politics • ny1.com
Zane’s Trace Commemoration Continues with Parade, Entertainment and Community Spirit - WHIZ - Fox 5 / Marquee Broadcasting

The second day of the Zane’s Trace Commemoration wrapped up with a full schedule of activities, entertainment and family-friendly fun in Putnam. The day began with a parade and a 5K before crowds gathered at Putnam Park to browse vendors and enjoy a variety of performances throughout the afternoon. What was once an event that had faded away has found...

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Jun 22 • 4:55 PM EDT • Entertainment • whiznews.com
Lancaster General Health sells downtown Lititz office building for $8.1M

The new owners of a historic mill that most recently served as Penn Medicine Lancaster General Health’s administrative offices will look to revitalize the building as a mix of retail,

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Jun 22 • 2:49 PM EDT • Health • lancasteronline.com
Mayor Mamdani faces political strength test with Tuesday’s congressional primaries

Mamdani has cast the contests as a referendum on what it means to be a Democrat in New York City and across the country.

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Jun 22 • 1:34 PM EDT • Politics • gothamist.com
Why Democrats are running against the ‘Epstein class’

Candidates are casting their messaging around Epstein’s associates and the unaccountable elite, betting that voter distrust of powerful institutions can help them shape the midterm debate.

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Jun 22 • 1:05 PM EDT • Politics • 19thnews.org
WMO Executive Council seeks to balance growing demands for science and services

“The demand for what WMO delivers and what National Meteorological and Hydrological Services produce - weather forecasts and warnings, climate data and standards and for scientific cooperation - is growing. Every extreme event makes that clearer,” WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo told the opening session.

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Jun 22 • 10:46 AM EDT • Science • wmo.int
Why 'Love Island USA' stars are talking 'French fries'

A new sexual euphemism has hit the villa after "Love Island USA" Season 8 cast members Kenzie and Corbin hooked up.

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Jun 22 • 10:18 AM EDT • Entertainment • centraloregondaily.com
Jewish voters express growing isolation amid rising antisemitism in both major political parties

Faced with anti-Israel and even anti-Jewish sentiment by party activists, and by an increasing number of political candidates, many Jewish voters are facing uncomfortable choices as they cast their ballots this year.

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Jun 22 • 9:52 AM EDT • Politics • tpr.org
Federal science cuts could threaten California wildfire forecasts

More cuts to federal science programs could threaten weather forecasts crucial to predicting wildfire behavior.

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Jun 22 • 9:30 AM EDT • Science • axios.com
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Why Dan Levy wanted to do something very different from 'Schitt's Creek' for his next show

Dan Levy is all about grounding his latest TV comedy, 'Big Mistakes,' in reality, consulting with an expert in 'mafia-related stuff' for its storyline.

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Jun 22 • 8:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • ew.com
BofA forecasts 75 bps of rate hikes in 2026 on labour market resilience, new Fed chair

BofA Global Research expects the Federal Reserve to ​hike interest rates by 75 basis points in ‌2026, it said on Monday, citing resilient economic data and rising expectations of a hawkish Fed under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

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Jun 22 • 7:23 AM EDT • Business • reuters.com