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Results for " district " 3,535 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

Developers plan construction phasing for Norman's Rock Creek Entertainment District

Rainier Development Company and the University of Oklahoma Foundation formalize construction phasing for Norman's billion-dollar arena district amid legal challenges.

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Apr 15 • 5:51 PM EDT • Entertainment • journalrecord.com
Live Results: New Jersey special congressional election to replace Mikie Sherrill

Residents of New Jersey's 11th Congressional District will have a representative in Congress for the first time this year after a special election on Thursday.

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Apr 15 • 5:24 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Get Real With SOMD Politics: Michael Bennett Discusses Data Centers, Housing And Taxes

CALVERT COUNTY, Md. — On a recent episode of “Get Real with Southern Maryland Politics,” host Chris Hill sat down with Calvert County Commissioner District 3 candidate Michael Bennett for a conversation covering his background, priorities, and vision for the county. Bennett, who moved to Calvert County in 2014 on a military transfer, described the county as […]

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Apr 15 • 11:07 AM EDT • Politics • thebaynet.com
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The Odds: Special election in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional district
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Apr 15 • 9:54 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
National Health Survey is now in Effingham, Bulloch and Screven Counties - Georgia Coastal Health District

NHANES, the nation’s most comprehensive health and nutritional survey of the U.S. population, is happening now in Bulloch, Effingham, and Screven Counties now through late June.

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Apr 15 • 9:05 AM EDT • Health • coastalhealthdistrict.org
El Paso Science Festival returns; Third Thursdays activate Downtown Arts District

The El Paso Science Festival and Third Thursdays lead a week of events, from cultural festivals and art openings to outdoor activities and community fundraisers.

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Apr 15 • 9:00 AM EDT • Science • elpasomatters.org
'Compassionate and principled': Shevrin Jones endorses Brice Barnes in open CD 2

The Democrat in line for Senate leadership says Barnes is the best choice to flip the district blue.

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Apr 15 • 8:49 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Rainier, University of Oklahoma Foundation to Build $1.1B Rock Creek Entertainment District in Norman

NORMAN, OKLA. — Rainier Development Co. has executed a master development agreement with the University of Oklahoma Foundation for the planned Rock Creek Entertainment District, a $1.1 billion project in Norman. Rainier will lead planning, design, coordination and development of the 269-acre district in collaboration with Cleveland County, the City of Norman, the University of Oklahoma, community stakeholders and other development partners. Rock Creek Entertainment District is envisioned as a year-round destination that will include an 8,000-seat performance venue designed to host concerts, conventions and community events, as well as University of Oklahoma men’s and women’s basketball games and women’s gymnastics events. Plans for Phase I of Rock Creek include the performance venue; a central outdoor plaza; approximately 140,000 square feet of retail, dining and entertainment experiences; roughly 250 multifamily units; and a structured parking garage with 1,200 spaces. Phased openings of the venue, restaurants and retail are expected to begin in 2028. Phase II will include approximately 180,000 square feet of office space and a 150-room hotel. Phase III calls for 500 additional multifamily units, as well as townhomes and single-family residences. Future phases are anticipated to include additional expansion, subject to market conditions and planning. The project, located…

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Apr 15 • 8:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • rebusinessonline.com
Worried about the midterms, Republicans mobilize rural Virginia voters against redistricting

Republican groups are mounting an intensifying, 11th-hour campaign to mobilize rural voters ahead of Virginia’s April 21 referendum to redraw its US House maps. At stake are as many as four US House seats Democrats want to redraw in their favor for the midterms. To maximize Democratic advantage, the map would put wealthy Washington, DC, suburbs in the same districts as farm communities 90 miles away, including in one misshapen district nicknamed the “lobster claw.”

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Apr 15 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
City Council fails to hear entertainment district TIF declaratory judgement vote

Norman City Council failed Tuesday to hear an agenda item on whether to authorize the city attorney’s office to gain a declaratory judgment on whether the city has authority to

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Apr 14 • 10:39 PM EDT • Entertainment • normantranscript.com
Reno Pro Soccer unveils phase one plans for new stadium and entertainment district

Reno Pro Soccer has submitted project entitlements for its planned soccer stadium and entertainment district.

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Apr 14 • 10:35 PM EDT • Entertainment • 2news.com
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Reno Pro Soccer unveils phase one plans for new stadium and entertainment district

Reno Pro Soccer has submitted project entitlements for its planned soccer stadium and entertainment district.

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Apr 14 • 8:15 PM EDT • Entertainment • 2news.com
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‘Mormon Wives’ star Taylor Frankie Paul will not be charged in recent fights with ex-partner

Utah reality star Taylor Frankie Paul will not be charged in a pair of February fights with her former partner, the Salt Lake County District Attorney’s Office said | Newsradio 1140 WRVA

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Apr 14 • 8:11 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
‘Mormon Wives’ star Taylor Frankie Paul will not be charged in recent fights with ex-partner

Utah reality star Taylor Frankie Paul will not be charged in a pair of February fights with her former partner, the Salt Lake County District Attorney’s Office said | 830 WCCO

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Apr 14 • 8:11 PM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
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City council approves land purchase for a new North Downtown pro soccer stadium and entertainment district

The city council voted 7-0 to purchase land for a new 11-acre professional soccer stadium and entertainment district in North Downtown

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Apr 14 • 7:41 PM EDT • Entertainment • 3newsnow.com
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LIVE: Council to consider seeking clarity on authority for public entertainment district TIF vote

Norman City Council will consider an agenda item tonight that would authorize the city attorney’s office to enter litigation to clarify if the city has the power to send the

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Apr 14 • 7:14 PM EDT • Entertainment • oudaily.com
Wynwood business district employee accused of corruption

The former interim director of the Wynwood Business Improvement District is facing more than two dozen counts of grand theft and a charge of organized fraud.

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Apr 14 • 6:18 PM EDT • Business • local10.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • mynews4.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • nevadasportsnet.com
Reno Pro Soccer's $350M entertainment district 'The Boulevard Reno' includes hotel/casino

The group behind Reno Pro Soccer's attempt to build a first-of-its-kind soccer stadium in Northern Nevada has submitted a pre-planning application for its ambit

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Apr 14 • 5:54 PM EDT • Entertainment • mynews4.com
DOJ moves to erase seditious conspiracy convictions of Oath Keepers, Proud Boys in Jan. 6 cases

In court filings, prosecutors asked the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit to vacate the convictions so that the government can permanently dismiss the indictments.

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Apr 14 • 5:48 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
Minneapolis Schools withheld money from employee health plan account for 10 months

The school district’s financial maneuver, which has not previously been reported, risked creating a shortfall in the health care account.

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Apr 14 • 5:45 PM EDT • Health • minnesotareformer.com
Gov. DeSantis says Legislature should drive redistricting, acknowledges potential delays in mapmaking

'You've got to get it done probably within the next couple of weeks.'

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Apr 14 • 5:08 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
No Other Pub nominated for Best Local Sports Bar in America in USA TODAY Sports Readers' Choice Awards

No Other Pub in the Kansas City Power & Light District is one of 20 finalists nationwide for Best Local Sports Bar in the USA TODAY Sports Readers' Choice Awards 2026 as nominated by an expert panel. Voting is open until 11 a.m. CT on Monday, May 11 and sports

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Apr 14 • 4:00 PM EDT • Sports • sportingkc.com
Beshear vetoes bill that would have reshaped JCPS board

In his April 13 veto of Senate Bill 4, Beshear said the legislation violates the state's constitution by attempting to control the boards of Louisville and Lexington's school districts.

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Apr 14 • 3:55 PM EDT • Politics • wdrb.com
Redistricting Special Session may be postponed

Lawmakers were supposed to be in Tallahassee on Monday.

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Apr 14 • 3:02 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
City Council proposes entertainment district for downtown DeKalb

DeKALB -– On Monday, the City Council discussed a proposed entertainment district downtown, allowing patrons to carry beverages from one place to another to increase activity in the evening hours. If the proposal is passed, bars and restaurants would have the opportunity to join this district and would be marked with a sign indicating their...

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Apr 14 • 1:48 PM EDT • Entertainment • northernstar.info
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Democrats line up to run in Virginia congressional districts, even before voters approve them

Virginia voters are set to decide next week on a Democratic-drawn redistricting plan that could boost the party's chances in the U.S. House | TALK 980am

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Apr 14 • 1:03 PM EDT • Politics • audacy.com
Ex-interim executive director of Wynwood Business Improvement District accused of theft

The former interim director of the Wynwood Business Improvement District is facing theft charges, authorities said.

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Apr 14 • 11:35 AM EDT • Business • nbcmiami.com
Lawsuit alleges Dartmouth Health fired executive for raising safety concerns

A former high-ranking executive at Dartmouth Health in Lebanon is alleging “unlawful and retaliatory termination” by CEO Joanne Conroy in a lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court of New Hampshire.

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Apr 14 • 10:30 AM EDT • Health • nhpr.org
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Jon Prosser Still Not Fully Cooperating in Apple's iOS 26 Trade Secrets Lawsuit

A joint status report filed yesterday in Apple's trade secrets lawsuit against YouTuber Jon Prosser and Michael Ramacciotti shows Prosser is still failing to comply with discovery, prompting Apple to seek a court order to compel him. The latest filing, submitted to the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California yesterday, covers developments since the parties' last update in February 2026.

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Apr 14 • 9:57 AM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
Inside Gaming: Strip room rates gradually increasing, analyst says

Plus, a temporary restraining order blocking the enforcement of Arizona gaming laws against prediction markets has been ordered in U.S. District Court in Arizona.

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Apr 14 • 8:30 AM EDT • Business • reviewjournal.com
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Starr Vegas Development proposes $10B sports and entertainment district on the Strip

A newly announced $10B development planned directly on the Las Vegas Strip is being pitched as a massive, year-round sports and entertainment hub -- and as a potential contender for an NBA-ready arena.

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Apr 14 • 8:05 AM EDT • Entertainment • sportsbusinessjournal.com
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Olivia Troye, former Pence adviser turned Trump critic, launches Democratic bid for US House from Virginia

Olivia Troye, a former adviser to Vice President Mike Pence, announced Tuesday that she would run for Congress as a Democrat in Virginia’s proposed new 7th District, pending passage of a sweeping redistricting referendum this month.

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Olivia Troye, Ex-Pence Aide, Runs for the House as a Democrat

After spending most of her Washington career as a Republican, she joins a crowded field of Democrats running in a Virginia district that doesn’t exist yet.

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Cherry Creek school district plays defense

Cherry Creek Schools is a shadow of its former self. When I graduated from Grandview High School in 2008, the district still earned its motto: “Dedicated to Excellence.” These days, Colorado’s fourth-largest district clings to that antiquated reputation even as it unravels in plain sight. Facing a nearly $20 million shortfall on an $840 million budget this […]

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Former Pence adviser Olivia Troye runs for Congress as a Democrat

Troye, who resigned from the White House in 2020 and became a vocal critic of President Trump, will run in Virginia's redrawn 7th Congressional District, which is Democratic-friendly.

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Apr 14 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
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House DFL hopeful that small-business relief from Operation Metro Surge could get GOP votes

Minnesota’s House Ways and Means Committee heard testimony from several business owners, school district members, and city leaders on Monday, as testifiers explained the impact of Operation Metro Surge on their respective spaces.

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Apr 13 • 6:46 PM EDT • Business • kttc.com
House DFL hopeful that small-business relief from Operation Metro Surge could get GOP votes

Minnesota’s House Ways and Means Committee heard testimony from several business owners, school district members, and city leaders on Monday, as testifiers explained the impact of Operation Metro Surge on their respective spaces.

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Apr 13 • 6:46 PM EDT • Business • northernnewsnow.com
Political newcomer running for Rep. Golden's seat in US House

At 29 years old, Paige Loud is the youngest candidate in the Democratic primary race for Maine's 2nd Congressional District.

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Apr 13 • 6:43 PM EDT • Politics • wmtw.com
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District 2 Requests Renaming of Splashtown Drive

A Council Consideration Request was filed to rename the street to Willie Mitchell Drive.

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Apr 13 • 5:48 PM EDT • Business • sa.gov
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Donalds says FL should counter Democrats by redistricting. That’s illegal here

Byron Donalds said “Florida needs to respond” to Virginia by redrawing Congressional districts, but partisan gerrymandering is barred here.

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Apr 13 • 4:48 PM EDT • Politics • miamiherald.com
Cleveland County Commissioners approve up to $50 million bond sale for Rock Creek Entertainment District arena

The Cleveland County Board of County Commissioners unanimously approved the sale of an up to $50 million bond anticipation note for OU’s planned arena in the Rock Creek Entertainment District

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Apr 13 • 3:57 PM EDT • Entertainment • oudaily.com
Analysis shows aggressive Republican redistricting in Florida would put more GOP seats at risk

Will a redraw backfire on the Florida GOP? A study by Alex Alvarado suggests so.

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Apr 13 • 12:45 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Kansas governor signs sports authority bill to guide Kansas City Chiefs’ developments

The governor, state legislative leaders and owners of the NFL franchise announced in December the framework of a deal for developing a domed stadium surrounded by an entertainment district in Wyandotte County, in addition to the team’s headquarters, training facility and related developments in Johnson County.

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Apr 13 • 11:20 AM EDT • Sports • hppr.org
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A decade in, the Baton Rouge Health District plans its next 10 years

For the past decade, Baton Rouge’s largest health systems, hospitals and research institutions have been engaged in an exercise that may seem counterintuitive on its face. In an industry defined by competition—for patients, for employees and for research dollars—the city’s health care leaders are attempting to prove that collaboration can be just as powerful. The […]

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Apr 13 • 10:24 AM EDT • Health • businessreport.com
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Sand, science and strategy: Strengthening the shores of Presque Isle

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Buffalo District, has just released a very interesting video named ‘Sand, science and strategy: Strengthening the Shores of Presque Isle’. This video shows how the Buffalo District – using modern technology and hands-on expertise – fights erosion and protects the coastline of Presque Isle for the future: This content […]

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Apr 13 • 4:43 AM EDT • Science • dredgingtoday.com
BIZNOTE: After almost a quarter-century, Avalon Glassworks looking for new ownership for their unique West Seattle business

By Tracy Record West Seattle Blog editor More change is on the way for the heart of the Luna Park mini-business district. Shannon Felix and Jon Felix are looking for new ownership for Avalon Glassworks, which they've owned for 23 of its 33 years at 2914 SW Avalon Way. Their one-of-a-kind business - West Seattle's only commercial ...

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Apr 12 • 7:42 PM EDT • Business • westseattleblog.com
Leah Halton-Pope named Democratic candidate for 141st Assembly District

It comes after Crystal Peoples-Stokes announced this past week she would not seek reelection.

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Apr 12 • 6:29 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
California Republicans caught between Trump loyalty and winning swing districts

California Republicans embrace Trump at their convention while candidates in competitive races keep him at arm's length to win over voters.

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Apr 12 • 4:27 PM EDT • Politics • calmatters.org
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Commissioner Bill Canda created septic business to evade taxes

Thanks to a miscommunication in March between the Custer County Sheriff’s Office and the 12th Judicial District Attorney’s Office in Alamosa, the majority of the Colorado Bureau of Investigation (CBI) inquiry into Custer County Commissioner Bill Canda for alleged sales tax fraud was made public. The

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Apr 12 • 2:09 PM EDT • Business • wetmountaintribune.com
Prosecutors seek reforms to California’s ‘broken’ mental health diversion program

District attorneys throughout the state are pushing for legislative changes that would tighten up requirements under which a judge can grant diversion.

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Apr 12 • 9:50 AM EDT • Health • ocregister.com
Jesuit-Rummel winner clinches district title as fast-working pitcher overcomes early struggles

After each pitch, Maes Martin quickly took the return throw from the catcher and stepped back onto the rubber.

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Apr 12 • 9:42 AM EDT • Sports • nola.com
Maria Elvira Salazar raises nearly $1M in three months as she gears up for re-election

The South Florida Republican is running for a fourth term in a battleground district.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
How we reported on KY's 4th Congressional District, Massie, and Trump

How The Enquirer reported on the Massie-Gallrein race throughout the congressional district.

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Apr 12 • 12:05 AM EDT • Politics • cincinnati.com
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Business Alert – 2nd District

We Serve & Protect

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Apr 11 • 8:45 PM EDT • Business • chicagopolice.org
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Las Cruces police to host El Paseo business alliance town hall Tuesday at City Hall

Las Cruces police and city leaders are inviting business owners in the El Paseo District to a town hall meeting Tuesday focused on safety and long-term planning

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Apr 11 • 11:12 AM EDT • Business • kfoxtv.com
A longshot, upset bid and a few quick takes

It is hard to keep up these days. The flow of news often seems overwhelming. Let’s focus today on an unusual congressional race before moving on to a few quick, supplementary observations. Since its creation 54 years ago, Congressional District 5 has been represented by a grand total of five people – Bill Armstrong, Ken […]

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Apr 11 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Texas House committee slaps Democrats with nearly $422K in penalties for 2025 quorum break

The Committee on House Administration voted along party lines to fine 50-plus Democratic members more than $8,000 apiece for fleeing the state to try to block a GOP-led congressional redistricting plan.

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Apr 11 • 6:00 AM EDT • Politics • houstonpublicmedia.org
Knox County Board of Education District 9 primary election voter's guide

Three candidates are vying to represent District 9: Brandy Jenkins, Kristi Kristy and William Sofield.

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Apr 11 • 4:40 AM EDT • Politics • knoxnews.com
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Council to seek clarity on authority to hold public vote on Rock Creek Entertainment District TIF districts

Norman City Council will consider an agenda item Tuesday that could help determine if the city has authority to hold a public vote on the Rock Creek Entertainment District tax

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Apr 10 • 9:56 PM EDT • Entertainment • oudaily.com
City council to consider determining authority to bring entertainment district TIF to public vote

City council to consider determining authority to bring entertainment district TIF to public vote

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Apr 10 • 8:53 PM EDT • Entertainment • oudaily.com
Rachael Rollins claps back at rivals over her Suffolk DA bid

Rollins took out papers earlier this week, signaling her intention to run to regain her old job as Suffolk district attorney.

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Apr 10 • 8:18 PM EDT • Politics • bostonglobe.com
Altoona business owner accused of fraud

The owner and operator of Tipton Construction in Altoona was taken into custody Wednesday for allegedly committing a string of home improvement frauds. John Bailey Tipton II, 44, was arraigned Thursday by Magisterial District Judge Benjamin F. Jones on seven felony counts of making a false statement to induce agreement for home improvement services, five […]

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Apr 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • altoonamirror.com
City to consider seeking declaratory judgement on entertainment district TIF election

The Norman City Council will meet Tuesday to consider authorizing the city attorney’s office to initiate litigation to obtain a declaratory judgment on whether it has the legal authority to

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Apr 10 • 6:02 PM EDT • Entertainment • normantranscript.com
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DAVID MARCUS: Virginia's battle over gerrymandering betrays our broken politics

A Virginia referendum on redistricting could redraw U.S. House maps from 6-5 to 10-1 for Democrats, raising fears of disenfranchising Republicans.

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Apr 10 • 5:14 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Harry Cohen banks $144K in Q1 for re-election, but he might wind up unopposed

Cohen's opponent doesn't live in the district.

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Apr 10 • 2:15 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
Federal judge releases man after 2 immigration judges disobey order

A federal judge released a man from immigration detention on Thursday after two different immigration judges disobeyed his order in the same case. “At this point, the Court has granted Respondents two bites at the apple to prove detention of Petitioner was warranted,” wrote U.S. District Court Judge Gordon P. Gallagher. “It will not allow […]

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Apr 10 • 1:46 PM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
‘He crushed it.’ Rummel senior’s home run against Jesuit creates 3-way tie for district lead.

Joel Morange didn’t have much reason to think his fly ball to left field would leave the park.

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Apr 10 • 10:28 AM EDT • Sports • nola.com
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Adaptive sports program visits Southern Arizona P.E. classes, wheelchairs in tow

When her class moved outside for P.E., special education teacher Tiffani Jaseph saw the excitement. After coaches and players from Adaptive Sports In Schools, or ASIS, unloaded dozens of wheelchairs at Copper View Elementary in the Sahuarita School District, they told students about racing the chairs and playing wheelchair basketball. Jaseph saw the difference in […]

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Apr 10 • 9:00 AM EDT • Sports • azluminaria.org
Democrats blast coming congressional redistricting session: ‘This is illegal’

For now, Republicans are pushing forward.

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Apr 10 • 8:46 AM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
How the White House tried – and failed – to push a candidate out of a Republican state Senate primary in Indiana

With Trump’s sights set on unseating Indiana lawmakers who opposed his redistricting effort, his aides and allies feared a third candidate could play spoiler in one race.

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Apr 10 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • nbcnews.com
High-Signal Publisher
Crossroads District businesses react to Royals stadium proposal near their neighborhood

Local business owners in the Crossroads District reacted to the city's new Royals stadium proposal two years after voters denied a sales tax extension for a downtown baseball stadium.

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Apr 10 • 1:07 AM EDT • Business • kshb.com
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West Ninth Street Black business district aims to echo the past, but with a modern twist

The new Black business district blocked off part of the street, which will remain that way until Juneteenth, with the project aiming to realize the historical significance and hopeful revitalization of the area.

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Apr 9 • 7:04 PM EDT • Business • arktimes.com
Entertainment: Don’t Miss The ‘Longest Continuously Running Beer Festival in the United States’

Plus: Doggy Day at Deer District and Spoof Fest in Bay View.

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Apr 9 • 11:33 AM EDT • Entertainment • urbanmilwaukee.com
A GOP-aligned group is using Klan imagery to target Black voters

Polling and early voting so far suggest a close contest - prompting both sides of the redistricting campaign to pour in tens of millions of dollars.

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Apr 9 • 9:21 AM EDT • Politics • detroitnews.com
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Georgia’s 14th District runoff reveals significant shift to Democrats

A November rematch is already brewing after Republican Clay Fuller staved off Democrat Shawn Harris in Tuesday's runoff.

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Apr 9 • 9:09 AM EDT • Politics • ajc.com
Hector Mujica: Why I'm taking the fight to Florida's 28th Congressional District

Senate bid ends as campaign shifts focus to winnable House race

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Apr 8 • 6:55 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
ENTERTAINMENT: Dogtown Throwdown in Argenta; UCA stages ‘Little Women’

Main Street between Fourth and Fifth streets in the Argenta Arts District in North Little Rock will shut down Friday and Saturday for Dogtown Throwdown, two days of outdoor dining, live music and “family-friendly activities” with a Cajun theme.

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Apr 8 • 6:00 PM EDT • Entertainment • arkansasonline.com
Detroit hiring retail director to boost stores in neighborhood business districts

Jeffrey Lewis II opened Morningside Cafe on Detroit’s east side three years ago and said he has seen growing momentum along East Warren Avenue.

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Apr 8 • 5:54 PM EDT • Business • clickondetroit.com
Caryl Shuham stacks endorsements as Broward County Commission race in District 6 takes shape

'Their support means a great deal because they know what it takes to lead.'

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Apr 8 • 5:39 PM EDT • Politics • floridapolitics.com
California Supreme Court orders GOP sheriff to pause election probe and preserve seized ballots

The dispute started earlier this year when Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seized 1,000 boxes of election materials to investigate a complaint from a local citizens group about the ballot count from a November 2025 special election on redistricting.

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Apr 8 • 5:35 PM EDT • Politics • pbs.org
🙂 Positive (35%)
LAUSD high school sports would halt if unions strike on Tuesday

Three unions set to strike in Los Angeles Unified School District beginning Tuesday if settlement not reached in contract dispute.

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Apr 8 • 4:39 PM EDT • Sports • latimes.com
Trump Administration Investigating L.A. Schools’ Gender Disclosure Policies

The investigation into the nation’s second-largest school district was prompted by a lawsuit from parents who say the policies contributed to their child’s death.

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Apr 8 • 4:24 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
N.Y. Assembly Majority Leader Crystal Peoples-Stokes won't run for reelection

She has been in the Assembly since 2003 and currently represents the 141st Assembly District.

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Apr 8 • 2:19 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
2026 Texas Science and Engineering Fair Results

Posts Details/Default Board Post Page - Plano Independent School District

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Apr 8 • 12:36 PM EDT • Science • pisd.edu
Dunlap fields questions from voters during Bangor town hall

In a wide-ranging town hall conversation in Bangor Tuesday night, Democratic 2nd Congressional District Candidate Matt Dunlap said he will not be accepting money from Political Action Committees and will prioritize issues that matter to Mainers.

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Apr 8 • 12:02 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
5 US House races shift toward Democrats: Cook Political Report

Five House districts shift toward Democrats in new Cook Political Report analysis as the GOP and Democrats vie for control of the House during midterms.

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Apr 8 • 10:11 AM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
College Sports Communicators Announces 2025-26 Women's Swimming & Diving Academic All-District

A total of 11 CUNY Athletic Conference women's swimming and diving student-athletes were named to the 2025-26 College Sports Communicators (CSC) Academic All-District Team for NCAA Division III announced Tuesday.

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Apr 8 • 8:00 AM EDT • Sports • cunyathletics.com
Georgia, Wisconsin Elections Show Declining Appetite for Republican Candidates

A Republican won Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat, but Democrats shifted the district 25 points to the left since the 2024 presidential race. Conservative candidates lost in Wisconsin, too.

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Apr 8 • 5:02 AM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Democrats lost in Marjorie Taylor Greene’s old district. They still had one of their best election nights in recent memory

At this point, it’s not really news that Democrats are doing very well in special elections and other races held since the 2024 presidential contest. Their recent track record is abundantly clear. But even by their recent standards, Tuesday was a very good night – one of their best of the Trump era, in fact.

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Apr 7 • 11:48 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
Republican wins runoff to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene in Congress

Clay Fuller, a district attorney backed by President Donald Trump, defeated Shawn Harris in the deeply red district vacated by Marjorie Taylor Greene.

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Apr 7 • 8:37 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Barbershop named the West Virginia Family-Owned Small Business of the Year

PARKERSBURG – A small local business that has been around for over 60 years is being honored for its continuing ties to the community. Marchell’s Barbershop, at 615 Market St., was named the West Virginia Family-Owned Small Business of the Year by the U.S. Small Business Administration’s West Virginia District Office, as part of National […]

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Apr 7 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • newsandsentinel.com
Cook Political Report's New York U.S. House race ratings unchanged from January

Cook still only labels one race a true "tossup" — Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in the 17th Congressional District.

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Apr 7 • 6:38 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Report on entertainment district plans in downtown Phoenix to be heard by council subcommittee

The report makes a series of recommendations that the city could implement in the short and long term to enhance Downtown Phoenix and attract more visitors.

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Apr 7 • 5:27 PM EDT • Entertainment • kjzz.org
‘A blatant political ploy’: California sheriff’s seizure of referendum ballots sets off alarm bells

Chad Bianco of Riverside county obtained warrants to seize ballots cast for state’s successful redistricting referendum

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Apr 7 • 5:05 PM EDT • Politics • theguardian.com
Yarbrough speaks with Lone Star Politics after opponent in TX-32 ends campaign for GOP nomination

After businessman and pastor Ryan Binkley ends his campaign for the GOP nomination in the 32nd Congressional District, Trump-endorsed Jace Yarbrough will take on the Democrat in the November election. The newly-drawn district was designed to favor Republicans by state lawmakers. Yarbrough takes questions from Lone Star Politics about his conservative views and his priorities if elected to office.

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Apr 7 • 2:51 PM EDT • Politics • nbcdfw.com
Western NC communities now eligible for business district rebuilding grants

Local governments and nonprofits in Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and Yadkin counties can now apply for a share of $40 million to help rebuild business districts damaged by Hurricane Helene.

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Apr 7 • 1:23 PM EDT • Business • wfdd.org
Western NC communities now eligible for business district rebuilding grants

Local governments and nonprofits in Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and Yadkin counties can now apply for a share of $40 million to help rebuild business districts damaged by Hurricane Helene.

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Apr 7 • 1:23 PM EDT • Business • wunc.org
😐 Neutral (11%)
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60%
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40%