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Six Takeaways From Packers First Win of the Season
Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love overcame a mountain of penalties and early injuries to orchestrate a gritty overtime comeback victory.
Jaguars take 10-3 lead into halftime in Denver
Chugiak student takes advocacy of darkness-related health issues to National Civics Bee
Elara Bradley, 13, won the state civics bee finals in June, punching her ticket to the National Civics Bee in Washington, D.C., next month.
Did Brewers Make Mistake by Not Bringing Back Peralta?
Former Milwaukee Brewers ace Freddy Peralta is dominating with the Tampa Bay Rays following a tactical pitch-mix overhaul.
Final Fantasy 7 Revelation Will 'Easily Take Over 100 Hours' for Completionists to Beat, Director Teases
Final Fantasy 7 Revelation director Naoki Hamaguchi teased that completionist playthroughs for the remake trilogy's conclusion could "easily take over a hundred hours" to beat.
Mike McCarthy takes blame for Steelers’ offensive struggles vs. Patriots
The Steelers’ new head coach and play caller was especially tough on himself following a big loss to the Patriots.
Penguins announce lineup for first preseason game
The Penguins listed the players who will take part in the first preseason game on Monday night against Buffalo. Below is the Penguins’ lineup for Monday night’s preseason game against the Buffalo Sabres at PPG Paints Arena. Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM ET, and fans can watch the game on SportsNet Pittsburgh, or […]
White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants
Federal officials are drafting an executive order that would place grants under review by an outside panel, the latest effort to redirect billions of dollars in research spending.
White House Moves to Take Control of N.I.H. Grants
Federal officials are drafting an executive order that would place grants under review by an outside panel, the latest effort to redirect billions of dollars in research spending.
University Place Celebrates Launch of Entertainment District with Ribbon-Cutting
University Place mall's entertainment district is officially live — meaning customers can take alcoholic to-go drinks outside.
Real Madrid's take on the match: dreadful refereeing decided derby
Real Madrid has sparked controversy after losing 2-1 to Atlético de Madrid at the Metropolitano. The club used the official match report on its website to issue a forceful complaint, explicitly headl...
DL Kavarris Duncan flips his commitment from Tulane to Alabama
Alabama offered Winterboro, Ala. defensive lineman Kavarris Duncan before the Florida State game, and it didn't take the Tide long to flip him from Tulane. He is living out his dream.
Why politicians should pay more attention to the polls (reprise)
Welcome to the 231st edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), a polling newsletter that always welcomes new readers. So please don’t keep TWIP a secret; share it with your friends and colleagues: Share The Week in Polls With all the stories swirling around Reform, JL Partners and political polling, I am finally tearing myself away from talking about the regulation of polling this week - and instead re-running a previous piece reminding us why the solution to problems with polls isn’t simply to ban or ignore them. Rather, we need them to play a vital role in making our politics - and politicians - better. This is followed by summaries of the latest national voting intention polls, seat projections from MRPs and the most recent party leader ratings. Subscribers who pay for the full edition can also read ten insights from the latest polls and analyses, including: A trio of organisations and a pair of professors have been casting their eyes over the Liberal Democrats ahead of the party’s autumn conference; What impact did the summer heatwave have on views on climate change? and Which wins out between chocolate and cheese? If you are not yet a paid subscriber, you can read all ten by starting a free trial now: Get FREE 7-day trial For more polling news as it comes in ahead of next week’s edition, you can also follow The Week in Polls on Bluesky. Picking up on my doubt last week about whether or not 35% of British train travellers have tried to order a takeaway for delivery to a railway station or carriage, thank you to reader Iain, who has been in touch to say he has done just that… in India. Another quick pair of updates, this time on the controversies around Reform and polling. Politico has a further scoop - “Farage aide caught in donor sting attended Egypt retreat with JL Partners” - and Ian Dunt has written about the problems with polling too: “Seeing the response of many polling experts in the last few weeks suggests that they are nervous about what is happening and keen to mitigate against it. Seeing the response of journalists, which has been basically non-existent, suggests the precise opposite.” My usual reminder as well: please do hit reply if you’ve spotted a poll, focus group or new piece of poll-based research that you think should be in contention for coverage in a future edition. Thank you! And with that, on with the show. How politicians get public opinion wrong I have written before about the benefits that come from widespread availability of high-quality political polling. We need more polls and more good coverage of polls. However, what I’ve not dug into before is the research into how accurately politicians estimate public opinion on issues. Thankfully we have academic research to tell us. First, the bad news: We present results from a study of 866 politicians in four countries.1 Politicians were asked to estimate the percentage of public support for various policy proposals. Comparing more than 10,000 estimations with actual levels of public support, we conclude that politicians are quite inaccurate estimators of people’s preferences. They make large errors and even regularly misperceive what a majority of the voters wants. Politicians are hardly better at estimating public preferences than ordinary citizens. Walgrave, S., Jansen, A., Sevenans, J., Soontjens, K., Pilet, J.B., Brack, N., Varone, F., Helfer, L., Vliegenthart, R., van der Meer, T., Breunig, C., Bailer, S., Sheffer, L. & Loewen, P.J. (2023a), “Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries”, The Journal of Politics, 85(1): 209-222. The bad news is not quite as bad as that makes it sound because, when asked whether the majority of public opinion was for or against various policies, politicians picked the wrong option ‘only’ 29% of the time. However, this included getting it wrong even when public opinion is far from evenly split on an issue: They do not only get it wrong when the public is divided and hard to read (e.g., when there is a 51%:49% distribution). Seventy percent of the misplacements occur for policies with a relatively clear distribution of at least 60% (dis)agreeing citizens. Moreover, the public scored only slightly worse than politicians, picking the wrong option 2.7 out of 8 times on average, compared with 2.3 times for politicians. Turning to the other measure of accuracy (not which side is in the lead but what the percentage support is for each side), politicians on average were 18 percentage points out in their guesses. Again, this was only slightly better than the public, whose error came in at 21 percentage points.2 Further research, using the same mix of countries, gives a little more comfort about how (in)accurate perceptions are: We show that politicians have a better understanding of public opinion when they think the issue matters to voters. Further, when an issue is personally important to politicians they more accurately estimate their party supporters’ opinions. The results confirm that politicians hold more accurate perceptions of voters’ preferences when they think it is important to do so but not necessarily when the issues actually are important to voters. Butler, C., Walgrave, S., Soontjens, K. & Loewen, P.J. (2024), “Politicians are better at estimating public opinion when they think it is more salient”, Party Politics: 1–13. Even so, it’s not a good picture. The remedy for this? Politicians should spend more time reading the polls. So forward this newsletter to someone you know… Share For a more general argument against banning polls, see my 2024 piece. Is “Let Bartlet Be Bartlet” good advice or not? The latest episode of my Political Fictions podcast heads across the Atlantic for a dip into one of the political TV classics: Mark and Cory talk about a giant of American political drama for the first time this week, as they tackle The West Wing. They talk about Let Bartlet Be Bartlet, the nineteenth episode of series one. In it, Mark wonders if The West Wing is actually the epitome of the “Boris Johnson school of politics”, Cory outmanoeuvres Mark into confirming we will record a Christmas Special about Love, Actually and they debate whether the central message of this episode has been misunderstood. Cory’s email newsletter is Paperback Rioter and Mark has a family of email newsletters. Subscribe to our newsletter for some additional bonus content and to get alerted whenever a new episode comes out. Our theme tune is “Monkeys Spinning Monkeys” by Kevin MacLeod/incompetech.com and licensed under the Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License. You can also listen to our episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the web or YouTube. Elsewhere from me… [ A Lord's Eye View How to fix the problem of money in our politics Welcome to my latest update on work in the House of Lords. This time I am taking a look at how our political system is regulated, and the protections we need to keep democracy safe from becoming simply a contest to see who has the biggest bank account… Read more 5 days ago · 3 likes · 2 comments · Mark Pack ](https://lordseyeview.substack.com/p/how-to-fix-the-problem-of-money-in?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web&embedding_publication_id=1269283) If you spot a factual error… Borrowing an idea from Stuart Ritchie and others, if you spot a factual error in an edition of this newsletter, I will give you a free 12-month subscription to the paid-for version (or an extra 12 months on your existing one). Factual errors qualify, but grammatical errors or disagreements over interpretation do not, and my decision is final. Messages about both of those are always welcome, though. Voting intention and leadership ratings Here are the latest voting intention polls from different pollsters. It is all pretty static at the moment, with a small and consistent Labour lead in nearly all the polls. The table is also online here, along with explanations about what is included. It is updated regularly throughout the week as new polls are released. Next are the seat projections from MRPs, also sorted by fieldwork dates, listing those which are based on dedicated fieldwork (rather than models based on averages of other polls). Because such MRPs are published infrequently, some of the entries below are quite old. Finally, here is a summary of leadership ratings, with a graph from PollCheck: Detailed numbers from the latest polls are online here, and both that and the graph are updated regularly throughout the week as new data comes out. For historical figures on both voting intention and leader approval stretching back to the 1930s, including Parliamentary by-election polls, see PollBase. Catch up on the previous two editions [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ A crisis point for political polling Sep 13 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Extra questions about the polls in Reform’s funding scandal Sep 6 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) My privacy policy and other legal information are available here. Links to purchase books or other items are usually affiliate links which pay a commission for each sale. Quotes from social media messages are occasionally lightly edited for punctuation and clarity. If you are subscribed to other email lists of mine, please note that unsubscribing from this one will not automatically remove you from the others. If you wish to be removed from all my lists, simply reply to this email to let me know. A quintet of Lib Dem polling analyses, and 9 other polling insights you shouldn’t miss The following ten findings from the most recent polls and analyses are only for subscribers who pay for the full edition, but you can sign up for a free trial to read them straight away. Ahead of the start of Liberal Democrat conference, we have a trio of organisations and a pair of professors with pieces out about Ed Davey’s party:
Minecraft Takes Science to a New Level: A Fly’s Brain Was Transplanted Into the Video Game
The experiment demonstrated the potential of gaming as a tool for testing consciousness in a virtual environment.
Week 3 Sun Belt Reaction
Week 3 of the college football season has concluded, and it’s becoming more and more clear which teams can realistically compete for the Sun Belt championship. The conference is looking deeper than expected, but against the elite teams in the nation, they aren’t quite at that level yet. Take a look to see how some …
Middlesex win One Day Cup final after Horley ton
Saskia Horley hits a century and takes four wickets as Middlesex beat Glamorgan in the One Day Cup League Two final in Bristol.
Ed Sheeran weeps onstage, admits to ‘making mistakes’ in first concert since Macklemore exit: ‘I’m so sorry’
The singer has been embroiled in controversy since Macklemore was removed for making pro-Palestine statements onstage.
The Data Behind Everton vs Ipswich: Positives To Take
Everton secured 1-0 victory over Ipswich Town in the Premier League on Saturday, remaining unbeaten heading into the international break.
Three takeaways from UNC’s wildly frustrating loss to Clemson
The Heels now have some big issue to sort out during the bye week.
Baker Mayfield revenge narrative promises to deliver
Baker will take on the team that gave up on him and traded him away.
How America's Best Restaurant Serves 450 Pounds Of Meat Every Week
Kabawa was just named the best restaurant in America by Food & Wine. So, what does it take to run a full service at America's best restaurant?
Analysis: Farke's side defensively strong again
Leeds came into this match on the back of their best performance of the season so far as they overpowered Newcastle 4-1 on Monday, but for large parts of the match at Elland Road, Crystal Palace were the better side. Leeds go into the three-week international break having conceded just three goals, which, level with Everton, is the joint fewest in the top flight. Daniel Farke will be delighted with how his side have performed so far this season, but will also feel they could have taken all three points if his main striker had converted a glorious chance.
Live updates: Manchester United vs Fulham at Craven Cottage
Manchester United need to return to winning ways when they take on Fulham at Craven Cottage on Sunday.Michael Carrick is under pressure and only a win will do before heading into the international bre...
Takeaways from Chivas Femenil’s win in Tijuana
Chivas Femenil earned a very important result for its Apertura 2026 aspirations: it convincingly defeated Xolos on Matchday 8 and solidified its place as second in Group B. In addition, this result wi...
Could a subscription model for healthcare cure our broken system?
It will take more than doctors to heal our healthcare system. It will take leadership and the kind of change only a majority of voters can demand.
Barbara Crampton Will Face THE KENTUCKY GOBLINS In New Festive Found-Footage Creature Feature
She's taken on zombies, killer robots, cursed puppets, and a whole lot more, but now genre icon and Fango fave Barbara Crampton will face her trickiest foe yet with a starring role in The Kentucky Gob...
Cleveland Browns vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 2 discussion
The Cleveland Browns take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2.
Box Office: ‘Resident Evil’ Breaks Franchise Records With $60 Million Opening Weekend
“Weapons” director Zach Cregger has electrified the box office again, this time with his take on “Resident Evil.” His reboot of the ’90s zombie video game has collected $60 million in its opening week...
Scientists Discover New Compound That Burns Fat Without Killing Your Appetite
Unlike GLP-1 drugs, which suppress appetite and reduce energy intake, a newly identified molecular compound helps cells burn more energy without changing food intake or exercise and has shown promise in mouse models. The most successful new obesity drugs largely work by helping people eat less. Researchers at UC Berkeley are exploring a different strategy:
Sunday Patriots Notes: Defense keeps searching for takeaways
Notes and thoughts on the Patriots defense, the home opener blues, Mike Smith’s connection with Aaron Rodgers, and more.
Five takeaways from FSU's loss to Alabama
The Florida State Seminoles dropped to 1-2 on the season after falling to Alabama on Saturday. Here are five takeaways.
Ed Sheeran Clarifies Gaza Stance, Again Blames Venues for Kicking Macklemore Off Tour
Sheeran called what’s happening in Gaza “catastrophic, unjustifiable, and disproportionate” but did not take responsibility for the rapper being removed from the show
Ed Sheeran apologizes for ‘mistakes’ in first show since Macklemore was removed from tour, other openers quit
Ed Sheeran opened his Philadelphia concert with a direct apology to fans — and addressed the Israel-Hamas war — after Macklemore was dropped from his U.S. tour.
Stefon Diggs Punished For Major Mistake vs Eagles
As the Washington Commanders put together a late-game comeback attempt against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1, the team faced a major hit when the star wide receiver Stefon Diggs picked up a penalty that was totally avoidable after a touchdown. Diggs managed to score to make it a six-point game, and a two-point conversion […] The post Stefon Diggs Punished For Major Mistake vs Eagles appeared first on HEAVY.
Startup JetZero is building a sleek new kind of plane with bigger-than-Boeing dreams
A startup is building a new type of passenger plane to rival Boeing and Airbus' tube-and-wing models. The blended wing body aircraft could take flight next year.
'Rethink everything:' Local health leaders take pulse of challenges
Ventura County's biggest healthcare players examined the "big beautful bill," worker shortages and other challenges.
This Truth Emerges as Political Situations Change Fast: Maps Show Us Our World, but Not Neutrally
NEW YORK (AP) — Maps. Where would we be without them? And how would we even know? They can anchor us in a place or help us get somewhere else. They can show us global political realities via the drawing of contested country borders. We take it as truth that not only does X mark the spot, it shows us ...
Global business leaders to convene at COP31 forum in New York
The COP31 Global Business Forum – New York Dialogue is set to take place this week, gathering business leaders for key talks ahead of the U.N. climate...
Player Ratings From A Big Friday Night Win
Another one of those nights under the Gtech lights. ‘Tough place to go’ cliché epitomised to a tee. An all-round near-perfect evening. Here’s my take on each individual performance from Friday night:
3 notable business takes that flew under the radar this week
Inside the latest chatter from important business leaders.
As states crack down on sweepstakes casinos, VGW makes $351,000 play into Alabama politics
An Australian sweepstakes casino has contributed $351,000 to Alabama politicians and political groups as other states move to ban or restrict the industry.
Go take a walk, or a hike, or a bike ride, or a wheelchair ride for Memorial Health this October
3.25 miles a day of walking X 31 days in October = 100 miles.
Global trade takes to North Texas in this week's business datebook
The Taiwan External Trade Development Council brings back Taiwan Expo USA for the third year to the Kay Bailey Hutchison Convention Center Dallas.
Andre-Frank Anguissa can leave Napoli, confirms sporting director
Serie A side Napoli have been struggling regarding a renewal for Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa and there are signs an exit can go through soon.The Partenopei take on Fiorentina in a league clash today an...
Takeaways from Maryland football’s 35-26 disappointment against Virginia Tech
The Terps couldn’t get a ground game going and got gashed on the other side of the ball.
Byron Donalds takes his testimony to Boca Raton
'We invite everyone to come and be part of this special Sunday service.'
Leftists make waves and Trump flexes muscles: US primary season takeaways
Candidates have been selected for November’s midterms – have Republicans and Democrats made the right choices?
Meet a 71-year-old who retired as a radiologist and professor, and now runs a banana-skewer business: ‘I never want to retire. Why would you do that?’
Richard Brown’s career has taken him from the exam room to the classroom and boardroom. At 71, he’s still working—and is now focused on entrepreneurship.
New executive director at French Quarter theater; former state rep takes energy association job
Take a look at some of the recent promotions and new hires announced at south Louisiana businesses.
Instant takeaways from UCLA football's 52-38 victory over Purdue
UCLA's defense struggled mightily on Saturday but it didn't stop the Bruins from getting a 52-38 win over Purdue.
Berlin and 'Meckpomm' head to the polls in high-stakes state elections
Germany’s emptiest and most crowded states could deliver a verdict on Merz
5 gas-guzzling cartoons about high fuel prices
Artists take on a Middle East mess, gaslighting drivers, and more
Franciscan Health, Lake Co. Health Department partner for Path to Hope Suicide Awareness & Prevention 5K
CROWN POINT, Ind. – Franciscan Health is partnering with the Lake County Health Department to host the Path to Hope Suicide Awareness & Prevention 5K. The event is scheduled to take place starting with registration at 9 a.m. and the race starting at 10 a.m. on Saturday, Oct. 3 at the Lake County Fairgrounds, Shelter 6, 889 S. Court St. in Crown Point. The event is intended to bring the community together to raise awareness for suicide prevention and mental health, reduce stigma and honor those lost to suicide. Scheduled organizations planning to attend include National Alliance on Mental Illness
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Officially Announced
During the UFC 331 event, the UFC officially announced the upcoming UFC 334 fight card that takes place in November. UFC 334 goes down on November 14 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. Here is the full card. UFC 334 Main Card In the main event of UFC 334, Ciryl Gane […] The post UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Officially Announced appeared first on HEAVY.
Panthers Add 1st-Round Pick to Week 2 Roster
The Carolina Panthers head into Sunday of Week 2 looking for their first win of the season. They’ll take on their NFC South rival Atlanta Falcons, who are also 0-1. Something has to give. The Panthers were 59-37 losers to the Chicago Bears in a Week 1 game that had more points than any opener […] The post Panthers Add 1st-Round Pick to Week 2 Roster appeared first on HEAVY.
3 Takeaways From Iowa’s 55-0 Dismantling Of Northern Iowa
It was all Hawkeyes as they finished a sweep of in-state rivals There was no doubt that Saturday belonged to […]
Five key takeaways from Florida's first SEC win against Auburn
Florida football defeats the Auburn Tigers in Week 3 of the college football season, 44-39. Here are five key takeaways.
Nets Announce Dates for Media Day and Training Camp
The Brooklyn Nets are officially getting ready for the 2026-27 season. Here’s when Media Day and training camp will take place as Sean Marks, Jordi Fernández and the rest of the roster prepare for a new campaign.
Ed Sheeran Cries Alone Onstage in Philadelphia: 'I Am Making Mistakes. I'm So, So Sorry. I Don't Want to...
Protesters gathered outside the venue as he addressed Gaza directly for the first time.
NOAA Fisheries Takes a ‘Sharp Turn Away From Science’
The agency’s focus on commercial interests threatens fisheries science and over one million miles of protected marine habitats.
Three takeaways from Nebraska football’s win against North Dakota
Nebraska football (3-0) closed out its non-conference schedule Saturday night with a 34-7 win against North Dakota (3-1). Fans showed out for the under-the-lights matchup and so did the Huskers, who pieced together an impressive performance, especially on defense. Here are three takeaways from the win:
MVDs: Arkansas Edition
You don’t go on the road and take care of business in the SEC without a total team effort. Even then some Bulldogs are bound to distinguish themselves above and beyond the crowd. Those undaunted Dawgs are your MVDs, the Most Valuable ‘‘Dawgs from Georgia’s 45-17 victory over Arkansas. Offense: Gunner Stockton. Sure, we could […]
Three Reasons Timberwolves Can Get Over the Hump This Season
The Minnesota Timberwolves look to take the next step.
Biljon has ambitions to coach at top level
ROTHERHAM director of rugby Harvey Biljon believes he’s shown he has what it takes to coach at the very top level after an extraordinary last four years has seen him win three different leagues. ■By LUKE JARMYN The former Wasps and Barbarians scrum-half has overcome both professional and personal adversity to win the Championship title […] The post Biljon has ambitions to coach at top level appeared first on The Rugby Paper .
Baxter hopes football link will pay off
■By SAM JACKSON EXETER Chiefs have been sharing knowledge with Premier League side AFC Bournemouth in a bid to land the Prem trophy after last season’s final agony. The Chiefs were taken over by the US-based group Black Knight, which also owns the Cherries, at the end of June. So far, Exeter’s heads of strength […] The post Baxter hopes football link will pay off appeared first on The Rugby Paper .
Saracens take command to overrun Tigers
By BEN JAYCOCK LAST season’s double winners Saracens made a devastating opening statement of intent in the PWR Cup with a 66-0 demolition of Leicester Tigers yesterday, running in 10 unanswered tries. Charlotte Wright-Haley opened the scoring for the holders after three minutes before Joia Bennett, Daisy Fitzgerald and Emma Hardy crossed to establish a […] The post Saracens take command to overrun Tigers appeared first on The Rugby Paper .
I reckon Red Bull will definitely give Newcastle wings
NEWCASTLE finally have a squad that could make the Prem competitive from top to bottom. It will likely take them some time to hit full stride given there are 25 new faces at Kingston Park, but their Prem Cup win over Leicester last week showed their direction of travel. Red Bull’s takeover can only be […] The post I reckon Red Bull will definitely give Newcastle wings appeared first on The Rugby Paper .
Seattle Seahawks Lose Another Starter For Cardinals Game
The Seattle Seahawks announced Saturday that starting right guard Anthony Bradford is out for Sunday’s contest against the Arizona Cardinals; Mike MacDonald told reporters on Friday that Christian Haynes takes Bradford’s place in the starting lineup. In a corresponding move, the Seattle Seahawks promoted safety Rodney Thomas II, similar to the opening game against the […] The post Seattle Seahawks Lose Another Starter For Cardinals Game appeared first on HEAVY.
Luke Fickell Updates Health of Star Badgers RB Abu Sama After he Misses Week 3
Wisconsin's starting running back suited up but didn't take a snap against Eastern Michigan.
Photo Gallery: Recruits take in Michigan Football’s win vs UTEP
A number of top recruiting targets were at The Big House for Michigan Football’s win over the UTEP Miners. Here’s today’s photo gallery:
What’s Your Hottest Business Take?
Let us know your hottest business takes in the comments.Subscribe to The Hustle:🔗 https://clickhubspot.com/vu3lGet the 5-minute newsletter keeping 2M+ innovators in the loop🔗 https://clickhubspot.com/3klnAbout HubSpot: HubSpot is a customer platform that provides education, software, and support to help businesses grow better. The platform includes marketing, sales, service, commerce, operations, and website management products that start free and scale to meet our customers’ needs at any stage of growth. Today, thousands of customers around the world use HubSpot’s powerful and easy-to-use tools and apps to attract, engage, and delight customers.#TheHustle #HubSpot
UCF Names Jenkins as Starting QB Against Georgia State
Jenkins takes the reins, facing a high-stakes debut to stabilize the Knights before Big 12 play.
Duke 35, Stanford 7: Three instant takes
Nate Sheppard once again reminds everyone why he is special plus Duke's defense comes through in a 35-7 rout of Stanford.
Rutgers football misses big opportunity vs USC
Rutgers football put up a fight vs. No. 12 USC, but key mistakes doomed the Scarlet Knights in a third-straight loss.
NFL Rule Change Takes Away Patriots Special Teams Advantage
Here's how the NFL's new rule change impacts the Patriots.
Three Takeaways From Illinois' 48-10 Win Over Southern Illinois
The Fighting Illini improved to 2-1 on the season, heading into Big Ten play.
The Worst Seed The Cubs Can Get In The Postseason
A three-way deadlock atop the Wild Card standings forces Chicago into a high-stakes sprint. With postseason odds secured, the North Siders must now battle for crucial seeding.
Carrot Top hospitalized in Las Vegas after apparent suicide attempt
Carrot Top, the mop-topped prop comedian who has entertained audiences since the early 1990s, was taken to a Las Vegas hospital after an apparent suicide attempt, according to a report
Olid's Man Utd take big step forward after 'intense week'
A week ago, the picture at Manchester United looked bleak. Then on Saturday, victory was snatched away from them at Arsenal. But have we seen signs of improvement from Eva Olid's side?
Thuram: “We had to react and we did”
Inter never give up. They stay united, take the blow and respond with pride and quality, with a willingness to sacrifice and a determination to get the result, whatever it takes. Against Roma, two goa...
Gophers take care of business, beating Akron 41-7
It was a gloomy day in the Twin Cities and a lethargic crowd supported a Gopher team that moved to 2-1 as they head into Big Ten play. After a deflating loss to Mississippi State last week, the Gophers came out and did exactly what they were supposed to do, beating the Akron Zips 41-7. […]
BSD YouTube Postgame Show: Penn State Blasts Buffalo
Penn State takes care of business against Buffalo in their final tune-up before Big Ten play begins next Saturday against Wisconsin. Tim, Jared, and Bennett will be going live around 3:20 PM EST to break it all down for you.
Northwestern vs. Colorado: How to Watch, Odds and Injury Report
Here's everything you need to know before the Northwestern Wildcats take on the Colorado Buffaloes in their final game at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
Michael Carrick Must Not Make Same Mistake vs Fulham
Manchester United travel to Craven Cottage needing all three points to avoid an awful start to the season.
Democrats call for investigation into faulty AI-generated intel report
A group of top Democratic senators is calling on government watchdogs to investigate a series of mistakes in US military targeting plans caused by artificial intelligence, after a CNN report detailed how one such error, according to a source familiar with the incident, “almost started a war.”
Analysis: A tale of two halves
Matthias Jaissle had made it clear to his players that they needed to take losing a duel personally following their meek performance against Leeds United. It was rather telling that Lewis Miley won the ball back high up the field in the build-up to Willock's opener, while Lewis Hall also dispossessed a blue shirt before doubling his side's lead just a few minutes later.
Roberto De Zerbi Takes Responsibility After Aston Villa Defeat
Roberto De Zerbi took responsibility for Tottenham Hotspur’s 3-2 loss to Aston Villa, but he also raised concerns about his team’s defending, fitness, and leadership in a frank post-match press conference.
Opponent Preview: Huskies Set to Take On Eastern Washington
Here's what to know about the Washington Huskies' Week Three opponent, the Eastern Washington Eagles.
Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings: Week 2 Players to Watch
Take a look at @BryanOrenchuk’s players to watch as the Vikings travel to Chicago in week 2.
TST Best Bets: September 19, 2026
Lane Kiffin’s return to Oxford was always going to be loud. After leaving Ole Miss for LSU last season, he’ll walk back into Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday as the coach of one of the Rebels’ biggest rivals. With both teams ranked in the top 10, there’s plenty at stake beyond the reception Kiffin gets.Earlier in the day, No. 16 SMU visits No. 23 Louisville in a ranked ACC matchup. The Mustangs have opened 2-0, while the Cardinals have a chance to make an early statement at home after a 1-1
One Foot Down Reacts: We Like The Lines
With under nine hours to tonight’s kick, let’s take a quick peek at our weekly survey question at One Foot Down. If Notre Dame is going to be a championship caliber team, it’ll be on the backs of guys like linebacker Jaiden Ausberry, defensive end Bryce Young, safety Adon Shuler and linebacker Drayk Bowen. This […]
Bar Harbor Parents Again Raise Concerns About How Some Science Education In Sixth Grade.
The Bar Harbor Story is generously sponsored by Restaurant Barn. BAR HARBOR—Parents again raised concerns this week about how Bar Harbor students receive science instruction after fifth grade, months after the same issue came before the Bar Harbor School Board. The concern centers on a past scheduling change at Conners Emerson School that gives fifth graders a full year of science rather than switching between science and social studies at midyear. Principal Dr. Heather Weir Webster told the board that the school has been monitoring test scores, teacher feedback, and the experience of students as it considers whether the current approach is working. If it is not, the approach may be changed, but that would not likely occur this school year. In fifth and sixth grade, the school used to have one semester of social studies and one of science in each year. That schedule shifted because switching at midyear often broke up the learning units. So, approximately two-three years ago, they decided to shift that a bit. Science became a dedicated focus in fifth grade. Social studies was the dedicated focus in sixth grade. The school staff members are hoping to dive deeply into the data and see if the students are having a more quality experience throughout their time in those grades when it comes to science and social studies. If not, things could shift again. This year, Dr. Webster said at the September meeting, potential changes to curricula have been a bit complicated by moving into the school’s new building in late October and early November. “There have been no changes this year because it’s hard enough to handle the move. That allows them to have consistency,” Dr. Webster said. Dr. Webster said that after the Covid pandemic which prevented students from attending school in person, many fifth graders were struggling. “We tried several different configurations,” she said, including a co-teaching model to help with that struggle, but to also see how to best schedule and support those students. “We found that a January switch” where classes switched from social studies to science was really difficult. Part of the decision making stemmed from science being more hands-on and accessible to fifth graders. Social studies was a bit more abstract content, which was why the school tried the current configuration. In a letter submitted as public comment, parent Beth Dumont wrote, “In May 2026, I wrote to express my concern that our middle school students are not receiving consistent instruction in science and social studies. I appreciate that the Board took this concern seriously and requested a presentation from Principal Webster. I am also grateful for the opportunity to meet with Principal Webster and Julie Keblinsky in July to learn more about the current curriculum and scheduling. “During that meeting, I learned that the current model is intended to integrate science and social studies into other subjects during the years or semesters when they are not offered as standalone courses. “While I appreciate the intent behind this model, I remain concerned about its premise. Science and social studies are core academic disciplines that provide students with essential knowledge, skills, and ways of thinking. Yet under the current schedule, students are not guaranteed consistent instructional time in these subjects. Instead, exposure to content in these disciplines may depend on whether opportunities for integration arise within other classes. “To be clear, I strongly support interdisciplinary learning. Integrating science and social studies across the curriculum can enrich students’ educational experiences and help them make meaningful connections across subject areas. My concern is not with integration itself, but with relying on integration as a substitute for dedicated instruction in core disciplines.” Dr. Webster said that they’ve been monitoring test scores, talking to teachers, seeing how the pilot program works. It’s in its third year now of this schedule. One science teacher, she said, told her he’d seen positive outcomes with full year science and that there was a stronger classroom community. Another science teacher had concerns over the readiness last year, but she isn’t feeling that way about this year’s current class. A third teacher for social studies said he loves the full year. A fourth teacher of social studies hasn’t said that anything has changed. For the three fathers who spoke at the school committee meeting, the fractured science curriculum caused concerns. One father said that when he spoke to others, “all were surprised and confused as to why there was no dedicated, continuous science education,” at the school. Though students are testing well in science and math, he worried that without continuity in education, learning is lost. “We shouldn’t have to choose between key learning disciplines,” he said. Matthew Bergin, another father, agreed, adding, “I’m just a little concerned.” In her letter, Dumont wrote, “As the parent of a recent sixth grader who completed an entire year without a dedicated science course, I saw very little evidence that this integration was occurring in a consistent, systematic, or readily identifiable way. This is not a criticism of our middle school teachers, who have been uniformly excellent. Rather, it is a structural criticism of the current schedule.” Dr. Webster gave an update about all aspects of the schedule and how it’s created and she also spoke to social and emotional learning (SEL) in middle school. It’s explicitly taught but also embedded. Science is embedded as well and explicitly taught at all but that one grade. The school schedule is built from lunch out, then electives like art and physical education are placed, before going into the instruction time, teacher planning time, multi-tier support systems (MTSS), and then social and emotional learning. Teachers have to have 250 minutes a week of planning time per their contracts. That’s the minimum and occurs when their students are at specials. “The schedule is really not the purview of the board,” School Board Chair Marie Yarborough reminded the other board members and the public and thanked Dr. Webster for the presentation. The parents were also thanked for coming. LINK TO LEARN MORE [ ](https://barharborstory.substack.com/p/despite-strong-rankings-some-bar) [ Despite Strong Rankings, Some Bar Harbor Parents Raise Concerns About School's Science Education ](https://barharborstory.substack.com/p/despite-strong-rankings-some-bar) Carrie Jones · Jun 4 [ Read full story ](https://barharborstory.substack.com/p/despite-strong-rankings-some-bar) HELP SUPPORT THE BAR HARBOR STORY When we started The Bar Harbor Story, we didn’t know if anyone would read it. But you showed up. You shared. You sent tips. Now—over 400,000 views every month later—it’s clear: people here care about their community and each other. We’ve kept everything free because news should never be out of reach, but every one of our stories takes time to write, and your support keeps The Bar Harbor Story going. If you value our work, please consider a paid subscription, a founding membership, or a sponsorship. 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The Big Holes in Wearable Heart Rate Variability And Readiness Scores
On September 9th, Apple announced it was revamping its Apple Watch Health Sensing System, rolling out a Readiness score (0 to 10), and increasing the frequency of heart rate variability (HRV) outputs 24-fold. This can be viewed as upping its competition with various other consumer wearable sensors. These “readiness scores” as a composite of multiple metrics, with heart rate variability (HRV) being front and center for most. The majority of Americans are now using wearable sensors, which equates to well over 100 million adults. HRV and Readiness scores are increasingly being marketed as a measurement of autonomic nervous system health, a digital marker for future disease, a clock for biological age, and a holistic metric to promote healthspan and even longevity. (Apple also introduced a new longevity tab and “Health Age”.) None of this has been proven. In this edition of Ground Truths I am going to review what we know about heart rate variability and readiness scores. Heart Rate Variability HRV is the variation in normal heart cycle timing. The variability of the heart rate, the barely perceptible millisecond changes in time between consecutive heart beats (see R-R intervals in the Figure below, left panel), is due to interplay between the sympathetic and parasympathetic (vagal nerve) inputs. Distinct from heart rate, individuals with the same heart rate can have very different HRVs. It is a rough reflection of the autonomic nervous system (ANS) activity, inadequate to say whether a person’s ANS function is abnormal. For more than three decades, heart rate variability (HRV) has been measured and several studies have found an association of low HRV and clinical outcomes, particularly a link with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. There have also been less well established links of low HRV to risk of early cognitive impairment, dementia, mental illness, Type 2 diabetes and substance abuse. An important reminder is that HRV is a surrogate marker without any established cause-and-effect relationship. If you increase your HRV, that doesn’t mean it will improve health outcomes. In fact, there is no hard evidence for that. All that work linking to health outcomes was done with electrocardiogram (ECG) derived HRV. Now, in the era of consumer wearables, this is getting assessed differently, by optical pulse (yes, the lights you see) plethysmography (PPG) or what is called pulse rate variability (PRV). They are not the same, as shown below (right panel) and only concordant when the delay between the ECG and pulse is kept constant, which basically means at rest. I should mention there’s also what I will call MPV, a mattress mechanical movement sensor, a derived heart rate variability, that companies like Eight Sleep use, even further away from directly measuring HRV. HRV has not one uniform measurement but many different types of quantification, such as RMSSD, the magnitude of difference between successive R-R intervals of normal sinus beats (N-N) or SDNN, the standard deviation of NN intervals, both in milliseconds. SDNN is one of the so-called frequency domain HRVs (others are LF, HF, LF/HF). Different wearable sensors use different metics; Apple has relied on SDNN and nearly all of the others use RMSSD, which is generally considered the more accurate metric. There’s also the different length of time measured, such as for a matter of minutes, all day, or an overnight’s sleep. Short measurements are especially problematic since they don’t capture enough of respiratory modulation and other factors that influence HRV. Share Ground Truths How well does HRV correlate with PRV? There are very limited studies, especially independently done. One that is commonly cited was conducted by Air Force researchers in only 13 healthy adults assessing Oura ring 3 and 4, Whoop 4.0, and Garmin Fenix 6 and showed a correlation coefficient of 0.88 to 0.97 and a mean absolute percentage error from 6 to 10%. The correlation is not a perfect 1.0, but there’s at least a fairly high level of correlation. HRV is supposed to increase during the night due to takeover of the parasympathetic nervous system, and higher during deep sleep. A recent example of my 1 week, all day “HRV,” and one during sleep is shown below. As you can see, the N of 1 data are inconsistent for the same days from different sensors (Oura, AppleWatch, Fitbit Air, and Eight Sleep) by patterns, absolute numbers, and comparison with prior days and weeks. The largest study in over 8 million Fitbit users (the old version, not Google Fitbit Air, introduced in May 2026) gives you a sense of the effect of age, sex, and the 2 different main HRV (here PRV) metrics, with RMSSD on the left and SDRR (=SDNN) on the right below. That study, from data collected in 2018, is a major outlier, since all the more recent ones are tiny with respect to sample size. Many of the companies have not had independent evaluation of their HRV, such as Eight Sleep, but have published a low standard error on their website. There are some other published studies on the correlation between HRV and PRV, but they are all small and only in healthy adults. A scoping review emphasized the lack of study in underrepresented individuals, including the aged, people of color (which affects the PPG signal), and individuals who are underweight or obese. Add the typical adult age 60 plus with one or more chronic diseases. For example, one study in over 900 adults found poor correlation of HRV and PRV, non-uniformly underestimated across many chronic diseases (cardiovascular, endocrine, neurological, respiratory, and others), concluding PRV is “an invalid surrogate for HRV.” A recent systematic review of 43 studies comparing HRV and PRV found reasonable pooled absolute standardized error (HRV as gold standard) but only 10 of the studies provided quantitative synthesis in ideal conditions. Their main conclusion was similarly cautious: “PPG-derived HRV [PRV] should not be regarded as universally interchangeable with ECG-derived HRV across all devices, populations, and recording contexts.” Factors Affecting HRV and PRV That gets me to the long list of factors that affect HRV (and PRV) besides the device, the type of measurement (RMSSD, SDNN or others), the person’s signal, the sensor site, the duration of data capture, if weighting by sleep stage is used, how artifact is processed and corrected. And this list is not complete!: Oura puts out data from their community of users (who input data) on what affects their overnight HRV. The factors currently provided are: no alcohol (increase 8%), melatonin (increase 2%, float tank (increase 2%), wine (decrease 4%), and party (decrease 14%) in overnight HRV. Must be some big parties! Subscribe What is a PRV measurement good for? It has been falsely characterized as an index of “autonomic balance” and a specific indicator of stress. A 2018 review of the studies available for HRV and its relationship to stress, not using any of the current wearables, found that stress can lower HRV. But so can many other factors. The non-specificity of the signal, indexed to the table above, is striking. Evidence from a UK Biobank study of over 46,000 participants with actual HRV looked at genetically predicted HRV, a genetic risk score, that failed to show the expected HRV-mortality link, indicating that _HRV is likely not causa_l, but rather a reflection of person’s physiologic state. A review of consumer wearable HRV data from 5 longitudinal studies showed that nighttime PRV was not associated with perceived stress, and surprisingly higher HRV, in the largest cohort (N=717 participants), was correlated with higher stress. An Oura ring cohort of 525 first-year college students found a link between overnight PRV and perceived stress, but that was also seen with resting heart rate, sleep, and respiratory rate. Several very small studies have examined the relationship of HRV and athletic injuries or guiding training with mixed, and predominantly negative results. HRV biofeedback training with paced breathing had no significant effect on reducing stress or raising HRV, as demonstrated with sham controlled trials. When HRV for multiple days showed a decline in conjunction with body temperature, the Oura ring published data for prediction of Covid. The WHOOP company sponsored an observational study, published in 2026, of 30,000 users for 72 weeks, without a control group, that reported reduced alcohol intake (5.8 % points) by self-report. That doesn’t tell us much, and particularly about the merits of HRV for behavioral change. If you use the same device and conditions as longitudinal trends for multiple (at least 2-3) weeks that may be the one way to get something useful from the measurements. Data for overnight sleep with minimal motion and using RMSSD is the best proxy for real HRV. The reason to look at trends rather than any given night is that it more likely represents something, even though you won’t know with certainty what the “it” is. Keep in mind there are no data, no peer-reviewed evidence, to show that HRV fluctuation in-person has any correlation with health outcomes. Share Readiness Scores These are proprietary scores that integrate different metrics for each of the wearables: no algorithms have been disclosed. They are unvalidated against health outcomes. In a review of 14 composite health scores of readiness and recovery, HRV contributed 86% to the scores, followed by reading heart rate (79%), physical activity and sleep duration (both at 71%). That review noted the substantial variability in measurement protools and lack of standardization. Sleep staging is notoriously inconsistent and inaccurate by these sensors, which adds further to the HRV uncertainties for what the scores, which use sleep stage data, mean. Only resting heart rate has been shown consistently across devices to be extremely accurate. I’ve made a Table to summarize what we know about which metrics are included, the scores, any peer-reviewed studies that compared the readiness score with health outcomes, and the corresponding (if any, NA-not available) citation. You will note that some companies do not use the term “readiness," such as WHOOP for recovery, and Garmin, which has 2 different scores, one of which is Body Battery. Eight Sleep uses the term “Fitness Score.” They all include HRV; Apple includes a new metric they call “Recovery HRV” which among other components uses 7-days of sleep, but it is unclear what this means or how it is differentiated from other scores (there are clearly no data for outcomes). We have no knowledge of how the different components are weighted or whether any of these scores are better than resting heart rate, HRV alone, physical activity, or any other single metric. Since none of these are standardized, they are not interchangeable, so if you get a 90 for Oura that has no relationship to a 90 on a Google Fitbit Air. Notably, the company can update its algorithm for readiness score at any point without notification to device users. Without any useful evidence of actionability for these scores or established relationship with health outcomes, it is hard to make a case for their value. At the Apple recent announcement they showed their Readiness score (0-10) on the watch (Figure below) but there are no published data on this score, not even on their website. It’s available only on their new Watch Series 12 or Ultra 4 [of course, ;-)]. That exemplifies the problems with these scores, lack of data and evidence for being meaningful to promote health. Perhaps the best study (which isn’t saying much) is the WHOOP Recovery for golfer performance, because it did correlate with an objective outcome, even though there was no control group and the authors were all from the company. Among the 389 pro golfers, an absolute 10-per cent point increase in Recovery score was associated with about 0.5 fewer strokes per round. But that’s hardly a health outcome! WHOOP is also conducting a study in over 2,700 runners to see if their recovery score will be linked to less injuries and improved performance, but that is not yet published and has no control group or randomization. Putting This in Context For two decades I’ve been enthusiastic about the potential for digital health and particularly wearable biosensors. Over the years, we’ve seen some great progress for their ability to promote physical activity and accurately detect atrial fibrillation (the first FDA cleared deep learning AI for consumers). That work was the subject of rigorous research. But there are holes in the data and evidence for other metrics. One notable one is the “VO2 max” story that I wrote about earlier this year. At that time many subscribers asked me to cover heart rate variability, which I finally got to here. When I dived into the research and publication for HRV and readiness scores, I expected to find at least some that were of high quality and demonstrated their utility by linkage to health outcomes. To my surprise, I found none. The wearable sensor measurements for HRV (PRV) are, for the most part, accurate, but that validation work has only been done in small studies of healthy adults and does not take into account the long list of factors, from the device, software side, and the user side, that affect HRV measurements. Moreover, this metric chiefly relies on optical sensing and, as we have learned for heart rate PPG sensing, may be less accurate in people of color. Keep in mind that all of the health outcome association evidence comes from ECG-derived HRV; none are from wearable sensor data. I will repeat the key point: there's no peer-reviewed evidence to show that in-person HRV fluctuation—or efforts to raise your HRV— has any correlation with health outcomes. For those of you who look at your HRV on awakening, or even 2+ week trends of it being low, I hope this context helps to relieve any anxiety. Yes, low HRV (not PRV) has been shown to increase risk of some diseases as summarized above. But efforts to raise your HRV—a surrogate metric— has not been established for improving any health outcomes. HRV does not have any evidence of causality (the genetic evidence actually goes against this possibility). In this summary, I have not included data for other wearable sensors such as Polar, Samsung, Withings, Suunto, Amazfit, Coros, Ultrahuman, or additional mattress sensors. These are beyond my first-hand experience, and as far as I know from my in-depth review none have any peer-reviewed published data that differ from the 6 sensors I’ve reviewed here. From the points I’ve gone over above, we’re not ready for readiness scores. Besides being proprietary, they are predominantly based on metrics that have their own issues. It’s compounding the problem, like building a house without a solid foundation that has never undergone a rigorous inspection, and then selling it. Like I mentioned for PRV, you can look at trends over weeks rather than any single day, to get a handle, but even that may not be helpful. There’s simply no evidence that these scores meaningfully relate to health outcomes. I’d emphasize they might, but that requires doing prospective or randomized studies to prove it. None exist. There’s great promise for HRV/PRV utility_. For example**,**_ Prof Maiken Nedergaard, who discovered the brain glymphatics that are essential in eliminating metabolic waste products from the brain during sleep, has posited that HRV could be a non-invasive marker for neuromodulator oscillations, brain-body regulatory circuits, and brain clearance. That would be extremely useful, but like everything else on HRV and readiness scores it requires solid research and validation. The lay media isn’t helping much to get the story straight. Earlier this year The Economist published a piece entitled “The most useful indicator of your overall health” which ordained HRV as an “accumulated stress score.” That’s akin to the false assertion about VO2max: “V02 max is the singular most powerful marker for longevity.” As I’ve summarized here, that is not established. The fact is that so many things can lower HRV, including physical exercise (especially an intense workout), reduced sleep quality, stress, the list above, no less the device, signal, and software. Whatever fluctuations observed have not been correlated with any health outcome. Sadly, “datamaxxers” are widely using HRV and readiness scores that have never been validated to mean anything. We already know that for some people using the sensors for sleep metrics, it can induce “orthosomnia,” an obsession to get high sleep quality, with associated high levels of anxiety. In an experiment done by a company to promote sleep quality for its employees, “For those employees who did use the trackers, many reported feeling perfectly rested until their tracker told them they had had a terrible night. Others were told that they had slept like a baby when they had actually been lying awake worrying about the quality of their sleep. “ The same problem can result from preoccupation with HRV or readiness scores, with anxiety that would lead to further reduction in both. It you are using a wearable like >100 million American adults, it’s OK to look at these data, but contextualized with the major caveats reviewed here. If you are one to require evidence that HRV or readiness scores are linked to health outcomes, you may not even want to look. The companies make it hard to turn them off! Let me end with the companies that make and sell wearables. Apple’s doubling down on HRV (24-fold more reporting and heart rate very 5 seconds) and introduction of a Readiness score tells us that consumers have bought into these metrics and they are joining the club. However, all of this is occurring with a backdrop of tens millions of users, claims about the data that are not backed up by adequate evidence, marketing way out in front of whatever limited data exists, and not being transparent about their readiness score algorithms. The companies can well afford to do the research that is needed to connect these metrics with health outcomes show, once and for all, that increasing HRV or using readiness scores promotes our health. If they believed and invested in the products they are selling, we’d not be in this position of not knowing. That’s essentially where we are with HRV and readiness scores. Perhaps someday this will change and we’ll have good reason to embrace them. NB: I wrote this post. No AI. I have no conflicts of interest with any of its content. Loading... Ground Truths has 215,000 subscribers from every US state and 214 countries. 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