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Debbie Gibson Reached Out to Carrot Top Days Before Alleged Suicide Attempt
Debbie Gibson is sending her support to friend Carrot Top after the comedian was hospitalized following an alleged suicide attempt.
Debbie Gibson Reached Out to Carrot Top Days Before Alleged Suicide Attempt
Debbie Gibson is sending her support to friend Carrot Top after the comedian was hospitalized following an alleged suicide attempt.
Debbie Gibson Reached Out to Carrot Top Days Before Alleged Suicide Attempt
Debbie Gibson is sending her support to friend Carrot Top after the comedian was hospitalized following an alleged suicide attempt.
7 Jaguars inactive for Week 2 game vs. Broncos
The Jacksonville Jaguars will have seven players inactive for their Week 2 matchup with the Denver Broncos.
Watch: Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson torches Steelers on TD run
Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson exploded for a 39-yard touchdown in Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Quarterback roster decisions define 2026 college football season
Decisions by coaches to retain mediocre QBs are crushing their 2026 seasons. Miami paying up for Darian Mensah is proving to be a great investment
Lucy Graham Turns Down Syndrome Into a Thriving Business
When Lucy Graham was born with Down syndrome, her family vowed to help her shine. Today, her determination and creativity helped her find success! Here, she shares her story with Woman’s World. When she was in high school, Lucy Graham gave her class a PowerPoint presentation on living with Down syndrome, describing its physical effects,
Lucy Graham Turns Down Syndrome Into a Thriving Business
When Lucy Graham was born with Down syndrome, her family vowed to help her shine. Today, her determination and creativity helped her find success! Here, she shares her story with Woman’s World. When she was in high school, Lucy Graham gave her class a PowerPoint presentation on living with Down syndrome, describing its physical effects,
Ed Sheeran addresses Gaza and Macklemore controversy at Philly tour stop
At his first concert since controversy roiled his North American tour, Ed Sheeran said he is "deeply...
20 Years After Leaving ‘The O.C.,' Mischa Barton Makes a Rare Red Carpet Appearance at 40
She looks incredible!
20 Years After Leaving ‘The O.C.,' Mischa Barton Makes a Rare Red Carpet Appearance at 40
She looks incredible!
Why politicians should pay more attention to the polls (reprise)
Welcome to the 231st edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), a polling newsletter that always welcomes new readers. So please don’t keep TWIP a secret; share it with your friends and colleagues: Share The Week in Polls With all the stories swirling around Reform, JL Partners and political polling, I am finally tearing myself away from talking about the regulation of polling this week - and instead re-running a previous piece reminding us why the solution to problems with polls isn’t simply to ban or ignore them. Rather, we need them to play a vital role in making our politics - and politicians - better. This is followed by summaries of the latest national voting intention polls, seat projections from MRPs and the most recent party leader ratings. Subscribers who pay for the full edition can also read ten insights from the latest polls and analyses, including: A trio of organisations and a pair of professors have been casting their eyes over the Liberal Democrats ahead of the party’s autumn conference; What impact did the summer heatwave have on views on climate change? and Which wins out between chocolate and cheese? If you are not yet a paid subscriber, you can read all ten by starting a free trial now: Get FREE 7-day trial For more polling news as it comes in ahead of next week’s edition, you can also follow The Week in Polls on Bluesky. Picking up on my doubt last week about whether or not 35% of British train travellers have tried to order a takeaway for delivery to a railway station or carriage, thank you to reader Iain, who has been in touch to say he has done just that… in India. Another quick pair of updates, this time on the controversies around Reform and polling. Politico has a further scoop - “Farage aide caught in donor sting attended Egypt retreat with JL Partners” - and Ian Dunt has written about the problems with polling too: “Seeing the response of many polling experts in the last few weeks suggests that they are nervous about what is happening and keen to mitigate against it. Seeing the response of journalists, which has been basically non-existent, suggests the precise opposite.” My usual reminder as well: please do hit reply if you’ve spotted a poll, focus group or new piece of poll-based research that you think should be in contention for coverage in a future edition. Thank you! And with that, on with the show. How politicians get public opinion wrong I have written before about the benefits that come from widespread availability of high-quality political polling. We need more polls and more good coverage of polls. However, what I’ve not dug into before is the research into how accurately politicians estimate public opinion on issues. Thankfully we have academic research to tell us. First, the bad news: We present results from a study of 866 politicians in four countries.1 Politicians were asked to estimate the percentage of public support for various policy proposals. Comparing more than 10,000 estimations with actual levels of public support, we conclude that politicians are quite inaccurate estimators of people’s preferences. They make large errors and even regularly misperceive what a majority of the voters wants. Politicians are hardly better at estimating public preferences than ordinary citizens. Walgrave, S., Jansen, A., Sevenans, J., Soontjens, K., Pilet, J.B., Brack, N., Varone, F., Helfer, L., Vliegenthart, R., van der Meer, T., Breunig, C., Bailer, S., Sheffer, L. & Loewen, P.J. (2023a), “Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries”, The Journal of Politics, 85(1): 209-222. The bad news is not quite as bad as that makes it sound because, when asked whether the majority of public opinion was for or against various policies, politicians picked the wrong option ‘only’ 29% of the time. However, this included getting it wrong even when public opinion is far from evenly split on an issue: They do not only get it wrong when the public is divided and hard to read (e.g., when there is a 51%:49% distribution). Seventy percent of the misplacements occur for policies with a relatively clear distribution of at least 60% (dis)agreeing citizens. Moreover, the public scored only slightly worse than politicians, picking the wrong option 2.7 out of 8 times on average, compared with 2.3 times for politicians. Turning to the other measure of accuracy (not which side is in the lead but what the percentage support is for each side), politicians on average were 18 percentage points out in their guesses. Again, this was only slightly better than the public, whose error came in at 21 percentage points.2 Further research, using the same mix of countries, gives a little more comfort about how (in)accurate perceptions are: We show that politicians have a better understanding of public opinion when they think the issue matters to voters. Further, when an issue is personally important to politicians they more accurately estimate their party supporters’ opinions. The results confirm that politicians hold more accurate perceptions of voters’ preferences when they think it is important to do so but not necessarily when the issues actually are important to voters. Butler, C., Walgrave, S., Soontjens, K. & Loewen, P.J. (2024), “Politicians are better at estimating public opinion when they think it is more salient”, Party Politics: 1–13. Even so, it’s not a good picture. The remedy for this? Politicians should spend more time reading the polls. So forward this newsletter to someone you know… Share For a more general argument against banning polls, see my 2024 piece. Is “Let Bartlet Be Bartlet” good advice or not? The latest episode of my Political Fictions podcast heads across the Atlantic for a dip into one of the political TV classics: Mark and Cory talk about a giant of American political drama for the first time this week, as they tackle The West Wing. They talk about Let Bartlet Be Bartlet, the nineteenth episode of series one. In it, Mark wonders if The West Wing is actually the epitome of the “Boris Johnson school of politics”, Cory outmanoeuvres Mark into confirming we will record a Christmas Special about Love, Actually and they debate whether the central message of this episode has been misunderstood. Cory’s email newsletter is Paperback Rioter and Mark has a family of email newsletters. Subscribe to our newsletter for some additional bonus content and to get alerted whenever a new episode comes out. Our theme tune is “Monkeys Spinning Monkeys” by Kevin MacLeod/incompetech.com and licensed under the Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License. You can also listen to our episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the web or YouTube. Elsewhere from me… [ A Lord's Eye View How to fix the problem of money in our politics Welcome to my latest update on work in the House of Lords. This time I am taking a look at how our political system is regulated, and the protections we need to keep democracy safe from becoming simply a contest to see who has the biggest bank account… Read more 5 days ago · 3 likes · 2 comments · Mark Pack ](https://lordseyeview.substack.com/p/how-to-fix-the-problem-of-money-in?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web&embedding_publication_id=1269283) If you spot a factual error… Borrowing an idea from Stuart Ritchie and others, if you spot a factual error in an edition of this newsletter, I will give you a free 12-month subscription to the paid-for version (or an extra 12 months on your existing one). Factual errors qualify, but grammatical errors or disagreements over interpretation do not, and my decision is final. Messages about both of those are always welcome, though. Voting intention and leadership ratings Here are the latest voting intention polls from different pollsters. It is all pretty static at the moment, with a small and consistent Labour lead in nearly all the polls. The table is also online here, along with explanations about what is included. It is updated regularly throughout the week as new polls are released. Next are the seat projections from MRPs, also sorted by fieldwork dates, listing those which are based on dedicated fieldwork (rather than models based on averages of other polls). Because such MRPs are published infrequently, some of the entries below are quite old. Finally, here is a summary of leadership ratings, with a graph from PollCheck: Detailed numbers from the latest polls are online here, and both that and the graph are updated regularly throughout the week as new data comes out. For historical figures on both voting intention and leader approval stretching back to the 1930s, including Parliamentary by-election polls, see PollBase. Catch up on the previous two editions [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ A crisis point for political polling Sep 13 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/a-crisis-point-for-political-polling) [ ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Extra questions about the polls in Reform’s funding scandal Sep 6 ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) [ Read full story ](https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/extra-questions-about-the-polls-in) My privacy policy and other legal information are available here. Links to purchase books or other items are usually affiliate links which pay a commission for each sale. Quotes from social media messages are occasionally lightly edited for punctuation and clarity. If you are subscribed to other email lists of mine, please note that unsubscribing from this one will not automatically remove you from the others. If you wish to be removed from all my lists, simply reply to this email to let me know. A quintet of Lib Dem polling analyses, and 9 other polling insights you shouldn’t miss The following ten findings from the most recent polls and analyses are only for subscribers who pay for the full edition, but you can sign up for a free trial to read them straight away. Ahead of the start of Liberal Democrat conference, we have a trio of organisations and a pair of professors with pieces out about Ed Davey’s party:
Will Seahawks run table in next four-game stretch?
The Seahawks have two favorable matchups followed by two games against Super Bowl contenders in the next four weeks, but their outlook is bright.
Joanna Garcia Swisher Addresses 'Sweet Magnolias' Shocking Cancellation
Sweet Magnolias star Joanna Garcia Swisher is breaking her silence after the show's shocking cancellation after five seasons.
Octavia Spencer's Hit Summer Series Canceled After Just 1 Season - But Studio Could Bring It Elsewhere for...
"Prime Video has shot itself in the foot so many times, I can barely believe they're even standing," said one fan.
JoAnna Garcia Swisher Breaks Her Silence After Shocking 'Sweet Magnolias' Cancellation: 'How Do You Say...
Netflix has canceled the popular drama after five seasons.
JoAnna Garcia Swisher Breaks Her Silence After Shocking 'Sweet Magnolias' Cancellation: 'How Do You Say...
Netflix has canceled the popular drama after five seasons.
Matt Campbell praises emergence of Penn State run game
Penn State's run game finally clicked as Quinton Martin Jr. emerged with a big day vs. Buffalo.
1955 Country Hit Voted One of the ‘Greatest Country Songs of All Time' by Rolling Stone
Rolling Stone ranks it No.
How Philadelphia can attack Tennessee’s biggest defensive weakness
Philadelphia can use motion, play-action and its receiving depth to challenge Tennessee’s rebuilt secondary Sunday
Dolly Parton Gave Miley Cyrus This Key Advice After Watching Her Goddaughter Cry On Stage
Dolly offered advice to Miley on how to balance life on and off the stage.
Glen Powell Reveals Michelle Randolph Attended Recent UT Game With His Family
All's fair in love and football for Glen Powell and Michelle Randolph after they cheered on his bellowed Texas Longhorns amid their serious relationship.
Glen Powell Reveals Michelle Randolph Attended Recent UT Game With His Family
All's fair in love and football for Glen Powell and Michelle Randolph after they cheered on his bellowed Texas Longhorns amid their serious relationship.
ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit Caught Blocking Fans Who Call Out His Past Political Comments
The ESPN analyst appears to have been caught.
ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit Caught Blocking Fans Who Call Out His Past Political Comments
The ESPN analyst appears to have been caught.
ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit Caught Blocking Fans Who Call Out His Past Political Comments
The ESPN analyst appears to have been caught.
ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit Caught Blocking Fans Who Call Out His Past Political Comments
The ESPN analyst appears to have been caught.
ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit Caught Blocking Fans Who Call Out His Past Political Comments
The ESPN analyst appears to have been caught.
Rain in the forecast for Packers-Jets in Week 2
The Packers and Jets will need to navigate wet and rainy conditions at MetLife Stadium on Sunday.
Carole King Wrote 'Will You Love Me Tomorrow' at 18 and It Became the First No. 1 Song by Any Girl Group;...
The Shirelles almost said no.
Nicolas Cage, 62, Reveals Striking White Hair and Beard Transformation With Wife Riko Shibata, 31
Look at that full white beard!
Jerry Mack recaps Kennesaw State's performance at Tennessee
Jerry Mack returns to Tennessee and recaps Kennesaw State's performance in Week 3.
Colorado football report card after blowout loss to Northwestern
Colorado committed four turnovers and struggled defensively in a 41-7 loss to Northwestern. Here are the Buffaloes' Week 3 grades by position.
Five takeaways from FSU's loss to Alabama
The Florida State Seminoles dropped to 1-2 on the season after falling to Alabama on Saturday. Here are five takeaways.
Meg Ryan's Son Jack Quaid Towers Over His Mom in a Rare Red-Carpet Moment
Meg Ryan rarely hits the red carpet!
Meg Ryan's Son Jack Quaid Towers Over His Mom in a Rare Red-Carpet Moment
Meg Ryan rarely hits the red carpet!
SEC power rankings shuffle after Week 3 chaos
Ole Miss surges in the SEC power rankings after beating LSU as UGA and Oklahoma prepare for a big clash.
Hayden Christensen and Rachel Bilson's Daughter, 11, Hits the Red Carpet Holding Hands With Dad
Holding hands with her dad!
ESPN 'College GameDay' will be at Tennessee-Texas football game
Texas at Tennessee football game will feature ESPN "College GameDay."
Browns vs. Bucs live updates: Score, highlights and analysis
Our live blog covering the Browns in Week 2 is here for their matchup with the Bucs.
Legendary Rock Band Drops Out of Louder Than Life Music Festival Due to Medical Emergency
The bassist could not perform.
Legendary Rock Band Drops Out of Louder Than Life Music Festival Due to Medical Emergency
The bassist could not perform.
Texans vs. Bengals live updates: Start time, highlights TV channel
Follow along with Texans Wire live from Reliant Stadium as we keep you up to date with every snap, highlight and scoring drive from the Texans vs. Bengals.
Saints vs. Ravens live updates: Score, highlights, instant analysis
The New Orleans Saints are visiting the Baltimore Ravens in a critical Week 2 game. Follow for live score updates, highlights, and instant analysis.
Final score predictions for Bengals vs. Texans in Week 2
Bengals vs. Texans final preview for Week 2.
Kyle Tucker Provides Health Update After Dodgers Win Over Giants
Kyle Tucker provides injury update.
Kyle Tucker Provides Health Update After Dodgers Win Over Giants
Kyle Tucker provides injury update.
Every '80s High Schooler Knew Every Word to This B-52's No.1 Hit; Rolling Stone Ranked It as One of the...
The tune almost never happened, Fred Schneider based it on a real club he used to visit.
Every '80s High Schooler Knew Every Word to This B-52's No.1 Hit; Rolling Stone Ranked It as One of the...
The tune almost never happened, Fred Schneider based it on a real club he used to visit.
Ed Sheeran Found New Band to ‘Stand on Stage With Me' After Controversy
Ed Sheeran performed with a new backing band during his Saturday, September 19, concert after his previous team left the Loop Tour in solidarity with Macklemore's controversial departure.
3 bold predictions for Broncos’ game vs. Jaguars
Here are our bold predictions for the Broncos' game against the Jaguars on Sunday.
Seahawks vs Cardinals live updates: Score, highlights, predictions, analysis
Seahawks play the Cardinals in a pivotal NFC West Showdown. Follow live score updates, highlights, injury news, key plays and instant analysis.
Bears vs. Vikings live updates: Start time, TV channel
The Chicago Bears are hosting the Minnesota Vikings in crucial NFC North showdown in Week 2. Follow live updates.
The First American Sitcom Aired 79 Years Ago, With Episodes on CBS and NBC
The show starred a real couple.
The First American Sitcom Aired 79 Years Ago, With Episodes on CBS and NBC
The show starred a real couple.
The First American Sitcom Aired 79 Years Ago, With Episodes on CBS and NBC
The show starred a real couple.
The First American Sitcom Aired 79 Years Ago, With Episodes on CBS and NBC
The show starred a real couple.
Updated Big Ten football conference standings after Week 3
A pair of conference games took place for the Big Ten in Week 3 of the 2026 college football season.
Who's in, who's out for Bears-Vikings in Week 2?
The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings square off on Sunday. We're keeping track of the latest injury updates and inactives.
This truth emerges as political situations change fast: Maps show us our world, but not neutrally
Maps can anchor us in a place or help us get somewhere else
Ravens downgrade WR Zay Flowers to out against the Saints
Flowers was listed as doubtful on Friday but was unable to practice, which placed him in the downgrade
Steelers vs Patriots: How to watch, listen and stream
It's Week Two of the NFL regular season and here is your guide to be sure you can watch this week's game between the Steelers and Patriots.
Felix Anudike-Uzomah discusses building on Week 1 performance
During his press conference, Kansas City Chiefs defensive lineman Felix Anudike-Uzomah discussed building on his Week 1 performance | @EdEastonJr
'The First Wives Club' Turns 30, Its First Milestone Since Diane Keaton's Death
"It was the best of times," Bette Midler has previously said of filming the movie.
'The First Wives Club' Turns 30, Its First Milestone Since Diane Keaton's Death
"It was the best of times," Bette Midler has previously said of filming the movie.
'The First Wives Club' Turns 30, Its First Milestone Since Diane Keaton's Death
"It was the best of times," Bette Midler has previously said of filming the movie.
Fed rate hike reflects new world of sticky inflation, faster growth
President Donald Trump has renewed his attacks on the Federal Reserve after it hiked its benchmark interest rate Wednesday, but the Fed matters less than broader economic trends when it comes to longer-term borrowing costs, economists say
Tennessee Titans scouted Virginia Tech vs. Maryland
The Tennessee Titans scouting department has been less visible than other NFL teams during early college games.
1993 Classic, Starring Kurt Russell, Features the ‘Greatest Western Movie Character of All Time'
This film became a success at the box office.
1993 Classic, Starring Kurt Russell, Features the ‘Greatest Western Movie Character of All Time'
This film became a success at the box office.
USC has a new explosive playmaker emerge vs Rutgers
USC's depth and talent at the running back position helped the Trojans move to 4-0 in 2026
1977 Fleetwood Mac Hit, Written by Christine McVie, Wasn't About a Dog
Christine McVie tried to hide the inspiration behind one of her biggest songs.
1977 Fleetwood Mac Hit, Written by Christine McVie, Wasn't About a Dog
Christine McVie tried to hide the inspiration behind one of her biggest songs.
Oracle CEO tells employees AI has not sped up product delivery
Oracle's chief reveals what the AI productivity boom is missing.
Oracle CEO tells employees AI has not sped up product delivery
Oracle's chief reveals what the AI productivity boom is missing.
Oracle CEO tells employees AI has not sped up product delivery
Oracle's chief reveals what the AI productivity boom is missing.
USC leaned on run game in win over Rutgers
USC's offense must always be able to lean on running back King Miller
Dolly Parton Carries This Shocking Home Item ‘Non-Stop' While Touring
Miley Cyrus questions Dolly Parton's mobile tub: "When are you taking the bath on the highway?".
ACC football power rankings after Week 3
Week 3 was a chaotic one in the ACC, with the Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals both losing. Here are the updated power rankings
TV broadcast maps for Week 2 of 2026 NFL season
There's a full slate of NFL action Sunday on CBS and FOX. Here's a look at the Week 2 TV coverage maps.
‘Sweet Magnolias' Creator Breaks Silence on Show's Shocking Cancellation
Sweet Magnolias creator Sheryl J. Anderson just broke her silence after the show's shocking cancellation.
‘Sweet Magnolias' Creator Breaks Silence on Show's Shocking Cancellation
Sweet Magnolias creator Sheryl J. Anderson just broke her silence after the show's shocking cancellation.
‘Sweet Magnolias' Creator Breaks Silence on Show's Shocking Cancellation
Sweet Magnolias creator Sheryl J. Anderson just broke her silence after the show's shocking cancellation.
Texas A&M stock report, from Saturday’s game against Kentucky
Texas A&M’s Week 3 Stock Report: After the embarrassing loss to Kentucky, who’s rising, who’s slipping?
1969 Elvis Presley Gem Was the Flip Side of a No. 3 Billboard Smash
While 'In the Ghetto' dominated the radio, its soulful B-side proved to be a masterpiece of its own.
1969 Elvis Presley Gem Was the Flip Side of a No. 3 Billboard Smash
While 'In the Ghetto' dominated the radio, its soulful B-side proved to be a masterpiece of its own.
Mariska Hargitay Walked Onto a Set 27 Years Ago and Never Left It; No Actor in American Primetime Drama...
The two Emmys she won this month had nothing to do with Olivia Benson.
Mariska Hargitay Walked Onto a Set 27 Years Ago and Never Left It; No Actor in American Primetime Drama...
The two Emmys she won this month had nothing to do with Olivia Benson.
Woody Harrelson and His Wife Look So in Love on the Red Carpet
Now that's one happy couple.
1968 Monkees B-Side, Written by Mike Nesmith, Found New Life on a Hit 2020s Series
Decades after it was buried on the back of a hit single, 'Tapioca Tundra' entertained a whole new generation of 'Better Call Saul' fans.
Teqball gets its kicks with a quick premier at the Asian Games.
You had to move quickly to see teqball, one of the new sports on view at the Asian Games
Announcers, Referees and Jersey Combination for Cardinals Week 2 Game vs. Seahawks
Get the full Week 2 game details for Cardinals vs.
Instant takeaways from UCLA football's 52-38 victory over Purdue
UCLA's defense struggled mightily on Saturday but it didn't stop the Bruins from getting a 52-38 win over Purdue.
Three Titans players Philadelphia must locate before every snap
Jeffery Simmons, Calvin Ridley and Chimere Dike can alter Sunday’s matchup if Philadelphia can't account for their productivity
Tennessee defeats Kennesaw State ahead of SEC play
Tennessee defeats Kennesaw State in Week 3 at Neyland Stadium.
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: Arizona offense facing tremendous Seattle defense
Seattle's defense is great. Can the Cardinals hang?
‘2 Broke Girls' Star Posts Hilarious Message 15 Years After Hit CBS Show Debuted
15 years later, Kat Dennings looks back on '2 Broke Girls' with a hilarious message.
Five key takeaways from Florida's first SEC win against Auburn
Florida football defeats the Auburn Tigers in Week 3 of the college football season, 44-39. Here are five key takeaways.
Tight end Baron Naone unlocking Washington offense early in season
Washington Huskies tight end Baron Naone had 103 yards on Saturday against Eastern Washington, flashing his potential as an elite contributor.