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Results for " eye " 2,608 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle

OpenAI Takes Aim at Google with New Image Model

If you’ve been on X or Reddit in recent weeks, you’ve likely seen images created by an upcoming model from OpenAI floating around. Sharp-eyed people have pointed out that the new model is potentially being tested with some ChatGPT users and on leaderboards under code names.The images generated ...

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Apr 20 • 10:00 AM EDT • Technology • theinformation.com
Public Services Committee to review 1,260-acre Cox Ranch business park annexation

CHEYENNE, Wyo. — City Council members will consider supporting a resolution to overrule the Cheyenne Planning Commission today as they weigh a proposed

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Apr 20 • 9:19 AM EDT • Business • capcity.news
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Playgon plans AI casino dealers that run 24/7, launch eyed in Q3 2026

Playgon will invest $1M in milestone tranches and keep 100% of AI Dealer IP, while a five-year exclusive pact sets up Q3 2026 operator rollouts.

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Apr 20 • 8:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • stocktitan.net
Kendra Scott eyes expansion with first business chief

Adrienne Gernand, a veteran of Gap Inc., will be responsible for expanding the brand’s assortment and global reach.

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Apr 20 • 7:30 AM EDT • Business • retaildive.com
Pragmata surpasses 1m copies sold in just two days

In just two days after release, Capcom's latest game - Pragmata - has surpassed 1m units sold.

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Apr 20 • 6:03 AM EDT • Technology • eurogamer.net
Gulf Breeze beach, boys volleyball chase district titles

Beach and boys volleyball district tournaments begin this week, with both Gulf Breeze teams eyeing district titles.

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Apr 20 • 5:09 AM EDT • Sports • pnj.com
Sports Buzz: Bears suffer Revivalry losses in 3 sports, softball walks off Utah

Baseball, men’s tennis and women’s tennis all lost to TCU this weekend, while softball bounced back and women’s basketball landed a new transfer.

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Apr 20 • 12:41 AM EDT • Sports • baylorlariat.com
Quit her job, moved to Italy, and bought a villa in Tuscany to rent

After moving to Italy, Linda Meyer started a Facebook group, inviting women stuck in the same midlife rut to visit and experience her village.

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Apr 19 • 8:14 PM EDT • Business • businessinsider.com
Democrats Eye a Broader Battlefield to Capture Congress in November

Weighed down by President Trump’s approval ratings, some Republican incumbents are struggling to raise money while Democrats look for targets like a Tennessee seat south of Nashville.

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Apr 19 • 5:47 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Cannabis is neither harmless nor a cure-all

Cannabis, rural flight access, Catholicism and more, in readers' eyes.

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Apr 19 • 4:13 PM EDT • Health • washingtonpost.com
Laramie County health and food inspections (4/10/26–4/16/26)

CHEYENNE, Wyo. — The Cheyenne-Laramie County Health Department inspects restaurants, bars, convenience stores, delis, grocery stores, bed and breakfasts

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Apr 19 • 10:00 AM EDT • Health • capcity.news
North Texas political shuffle: Dallas GOP chair resigns, AG candidates clash, and Fort Worth eyes $8
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Apr 19 • 8:42 AM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
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National Science Foundation’s future in limbo as Trump eyes cuts

The National Science Foundation’s (NSF) future is in limbo as President Trump pushes for more budget cuts and his nominee to helm the research agency awaits Senate confirmation. Since Trump’s retu…

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Apr 19 • 6:00 AM EDT • Science • thehill.com
Billionaire Steyer's spending binge dwarfs rival campaigns in California governor's race

LOS ANGELES (AP) — In the wide-open race for California governor, billionaire Tom Steyer is on a spending binge.

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Apr 19 • 12:11 AM EDT • Politics • bozemandailychronicle.com
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These candidates for governor support single-payer health care in California

Three candidates for California Governor, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and Xavier Becerra, have publicly expressed their support for single-payer health care, which would provide free, universal healt…

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Apr 18 • 6:55 PM EDT • Health • ktla.com
Joe Starkey: Thankfully, Pittsburgh sports in much better shape as NFL Draft spotlight falls upon city

We’re not quite the City of Champions again, but we’re not the City of Chumps, either. Not anymore, and thankfully not this coming week, as the eyes of the sports world descend upon Pittsburgh for the NFL Draft. It’s easier to be a good host when you’re not wearing a

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Apr 18 • 4:00 AM EDT • Sports • triblive.com
In Phoenix, Trump Eyes Lower Gas Prices and Frets About the Midterms

President Trump told a crowd of supporters that the price of oil and gas was coming down, part of an effort in recent days to present a rosier picture of the nearly two-month-long Iran war.

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Apr 17 • 10:26 PM EDT • Politics • nytimes.com
Barcelona Eyes Atlético Madrid's Sorloth As Potential Lewandowski Successor

Barcelona have reportedly initiated contact with Atletico Madrid striker Alexander Sorloth as Hansi Flick seeks a long-term successor for Robert Lewandowski.

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Apr 17 • 3:14 PM EDT • Sports • foxsports.com
These seven storylines will define the 2026 NBA playoffs: Best player, Tatum's comeback, same old Knicks?

The 2026 NBA playoffs have arrived, and here's what fans should be keeping an eye on

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Apr 17 • 3:02 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Ohio State offensive line target set to announce commitment today

Ohio State will find out today if a crystal ball prediction to land four-star lineman Jimmy Kalis comes true.

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Apr 17 • 11:54 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
‘Today’s Dylan Dreyer Admits How Social Media Makes Her Feel ‘Insecure’

Dreyer and NBC News' Vicky Nguyen got into a conversation about kids and social media.

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Apr 17 • 10:27 AM EDT • Entertainment • cbs19news.com
Things People Thought Were 'Rich People Stuff' As Kids

I don't care what anyone says, Viennetta ice cream cake will always be an expensive delicacy in my eyes.

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Apr 17 • 8:30 AM EDT • Technology • buzzfeed.com
What Determines Your Eye Color? The Answer Is More Complicated Than You Think.

Genetics, right? Sort of. Scientists just learned its a bit more nuanced than high school biology.

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Apr 17 • 8:30 AM EDT • Science • popularmechanics.com
Eli McCann: We didn’t see eye to eye on politics, but we saw heart to heart as neighbors

Tribune columnist Eli McCann remembers the friendship formed with a neighbor — despite the clashes they shared over partisan politics.

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Apr 17 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • sltrib.com
‘They will be exposed’: Delaware must surrender wage records for 15 businesses targeted by ICE investigation, federal judge rules

Feds say they are conducting a criminal probe after receiving tips that the companies are illegally employing undocumented immigrants.

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Apr 17 • 5:30 AM EDT • Business • whyy.org
"Abyss Eye" Set Featuring Mega Darkrai ex Officially Revealed for...

Abyss Eye starring Mega Darkrai ex has been officially revealed! It will release in Japan on May 22nd as their M5 set. Oddly, the set was revealed four

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Apr 17 • 5:04 AM EDT • Technology • pokebeach.com
Report: Shock Move Brewing as Liverpool Target Next Defensive Star

Liverpool Eye Daniel Banjaqui as Right-Back SolutionSearch for Alexander-Arnold Successor IntensifiesCredit to Anfield Watch for revealing Liverpool’s latest transfer thinking, as the club prepares ...

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Apr 17 • 1:55 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
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Dodgers fan awarded $11.8 million by jury after partial blinding by LAPD during World Series celebration

Esports player Isaac Castellanos was out celebrating the Dodgers' 2020 title when he was hit in the eye with a less-lethal projectile.

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Apr 17 • 12:07 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
iPhone Loyalty Hits 96.4% as Android Users Four Times More Likely to Switch

Customers are more loyal to Apple than ever, according to a smartphone loyalty survey conducted by phone trade-in site SellCell. 96.4% of customers surveyed said they planned to stick with an iPhone for their next upgrade, and 3.6% said they would choose a different brand. That's up from 91.9% in SellCell's 2021 survey and 90.5% in 2019. Android users were less loyal to their brand, and are almost 4x more likely to switch than iPhone users.

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Apr 16 • 7:48 PM EDT • Technology • macrumors.com
2026 NFL Draft final combined big board: Buckeyes defender is No. 1, with Fernando Mendoza right behind him and Rueben Bain Jr. top-5
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Apr 16 • 6:35 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
New poll shakes up California governor race, debate stage

Editor’s note: This article was updated to correct the breakdown of Republican voters surveyed. Congressman Eric Swalwell’s abrupt departure from the race for California governor has upended the fi…

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Apr 16 • 9:00 AM EDT • Politics • ktla.com
‘We need to have another reckoning’, that’s what one Democratic influencer says Congress needs nearly a decade after #MeToo
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Apr 15 • 1:26 PM EDT • Politics • cnn.com
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South Africa names new US ambassador amid tense Trump ties

South Africa has appointed a prominent Afrikaner politician, Roelf Meyer, to the ambassadorial role in Washington. This comes amid allegations from the Trump administration of a "white genocide" in the country.

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Apr 15 • 11:18 AM EDT • Politics • dw.com
Virginia Health Officials Issue Fish Consumption Advisory for John W. Flannagan Reservoir

April 15, 2026 Media Contact: Brookie Crawford, brookie.crawford@vdh.virginia.gov Virginia Health Officials Issue Fish Consumption Advisory for John W. Flannagan Reservoir Contaminants Identified in Walleye, Channel Catfish, Largemouth Bass RICHMOND, Va. – Effective immediately, the Virginia Department of Health (VDH) is issuing a fish consumption advisory for the Flannagan Reservoir due to elevated polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) […]

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Apr 15 • 9:45 AM EDT • Health • vdh.virginia.gov
Indiana Fever fans react to 2026 WNBA Draft haul

Following the completion of the 2026 WNBA Draft, here are some of the most notable social media reactions to the Indiana Fever's three selections.

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Apr 15 • 5:46 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Billy Crystal eyes return to Broadway in one-man show about the house he lost to LA wildfires

Billy Crystal returns to Broadway this fall with an intimate one-man show called "860." | Talk 1370

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Apr 15 • 12:04 AM EDT • Entertainment • audacy.com
Business owner calls for community support after fire destroys historic Cullman building

In the heart of downtown Cullman, the destruction of the historic Stiefelmeyer Building is more than a devastating fire — it is a loss deeply rooted in history, memory and community identity.

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Apr 14 • 9:52 PM EDT • Business • wbrc.com
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Scientists Found Human Speech-Like Patterns in Sperm Whale Clicks

What are they saying?

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Apr 14 • 7:01 PM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
What Swalwell’s exit means for Democrats in California’s governor race

Billionaire Tom Steyer and ex-congresswoman Katie Porter stand to benefit the most in a Democratic field with no clear front-runner, several strategists said.

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Apr 14 • 4:10 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
Neighbors raise concern over proposed 1,260-acre business park annexation

CHEYENNE – The city of Cheyenne is eyeing the opportunity to annex approximately 1,260 acres west of town and zone it as a business park.

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Apr 14 • 3:26 PM EDT • Business • wyomingnews.com
Lung Cancer Research Foundation Grants Team Science Award Focused on Curing EGFR-Mutant Lung Cancers

/PRNewswire/ -- The Lung Cancer Research Foundation (LCRF) announces the first recipients of its LCRF Team Science Award on Advancing Therapies Toward Curing...

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Apr 14 • 9:30 AM EDT • Science • prnewswire.com
Xbox Raises Eyebrows By Mentioning 'Exclusives' On The Series X|S Dashboard

Interesting timing!

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Apr 14 • 9:00 AM EDT • Technology • purexbox.com
Eye on the Y: BYU neuroscience student advances science of seizure intervention, Elder Ulisses Soares to speak at April 2026 commencement and Grantwell program gives students opportunities to work with nonprofit organizations

Melissa Blotter: Advancing the science of seizure intervention

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Apr 13 • 10:56 PM EDT • Science • universe.byu.edu
Cheyenne residents protest proposed business park near Roundtop Road

CHEYENNE, Wyo. — The Cheyenne City Council faced pushback from local residents Monday evening during a public hearing regarding the proposed annexation

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Apr 13 • 10:44 PM EDT • Business • capcity.news
Swalwell's fall muddles 'unique' Calif. governor's race even more

Katie Porter and Tom Steyer are likely to absorb Eric Swalwell’s support.

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Apr 13 • 8:36 PM EDT • Politics • sfgate.com
Towards better vision: WHO South-East Asia regional meeting on eye health

The WHO South-East Asia Regional Meeting on Eye Health was convened to address the substantial and persistent burden of avoidable vision impairment in the Region. South-East Asia accountsfor nearly one third of the world’s blind and visually impaired population, with cataract, uncorrected refractive error, and diabetic retinopathy contributing to more than 90 percent of cases. The meeting responded to the need for coordinated action to achieve the 2030 global targets for effective cataract surgical coverage and effective refractive error coverage, and to advance implementation of the Regional Action Plan for Integrated People Centred Eye Care. It provided a platform for reviewing progress, identifying system gaps, and strengthening country pathways to accelerate universal access to quality eye care.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 PM EDT • Health • who.int
House eyes possible expulsion of multiple members as it returns to Washington

Both parties appear to be factoring in the razor-thin majority that Republicans hold in the chamber as they weigh whether to oust members.

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Apr 13 • 4:22 PM EDT • Politics • washingtonpost.com
The gut health benefits of everyday herbs

Discover how everyday herbs support gut health, digestion, and overall wellness while adding flavor to simple, everyday meals.

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Apr 13 • 2:13 PM EDT • Health • utphysicians.com
Exclusive: Manulife Investment Management eyes Cellnex Swiss business, sources say

Spain's Cellnex is in talks to sell its stake in its Swiss ​unit to Toronto-listed Manulife Financial Corporation's investment management ‌unit, according to two sources with knowledge of the situation.

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Apr 13 • 1:06 PM EDT • Business • reuters.com
Imaging science research gives new clarity on what color helps eyes focus best

Research by RIT assistant professor Benjamin Chin published in Science Advances may help determine which wavelengths helps the eye focus best.

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Apr 13 • 8:00 AM EDT • Science • rit.edu
Radiology Partners reportedly eyeing international expansion

America’s largest radiology group has purportedly considered making a bid to buy its Australian counterpart, which tallied over $176 million in adjusted earnings last year.

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Apr 13 • 7:07 AM EDT • Business • radiologybusiness.com
Iowa basketball set to host Illinois State transfer portal guard

Iowa basketball is reportedly set to host an Illinois State transfer portal visitor next weekend.

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Apr 12 • 8:05 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Fallout from Eric Swalwell scandal grows as lawmakers eye House expulsion votes

The political crisis surrounding Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell is rapidly escalating into a broader bipartisan showdown that could reshape the makeup of the House.

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Apr 12 • 1:48 PM EDT • Politics • cbsnews.com
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Ryan Day reveals Ohio State's extreme recruiting standards

During a recent podcast experience, Ryan Day raised eyebrows when he said the Buckeyes are only looking for future first and second-round draft picks.

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Apr 12 • 11:48 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Duke basketball under Jon Scheyer: Insiders reveal transfer portal news, 2026 recruits, roster, best targets

TheDevilsDen, the 247Sports affiliate of the Duke Blue Devils, shares its latest college basketball transfer portal news

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Apr 12 • 10:49 AM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Laramie County health and food inspections (4/3/26–4/9/26)

CHEYENNE, Wyo. — The Cheyenne-Laramie County Health Department inspects restaurants, bars, convenience stores, delis, grocery stores, bed and breakfasts

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Apr 12 • 10:00 AM EDT • Health • capcity.news
⚠️ Concern for Mbappé! Not training with the squad after eyebrow stitches

Real Madrid completed training this Sunday with an absence that raised alarm bells, although the club is conveying complete calm. According to several media outlets, Kylian Mbappé did not go out onto...

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Apr 12 • 7:51 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Science & Medicine: Pain researchers have their eyes on ending chronic pain

A UT Health San Antonio researcher is working to map the nerves involved in jaw pain as part of a federally funded consortium aimed at developing the first targeted, non-opioid treatment for chronic pain, research he hopes will give millions of suffering Americans their lives back and ultimately reverse or even prevent pain in the first place.

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Apr 12 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • tpr.org
Mayor Helena Moreno eyes a new City Hall, courthouse: ‘We have waited long enough’

New Orleans Mayor Helena Moreno is taking on a problem that generations of mayors before her have tried — and failed — to solve: The need for a new City Hall.

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Apr 12 • 5:00 AM EDT • Politics • nola.com
Iowa women's basketball lands All-SEC transfer portal guard

Iowa women's basketball picked up its first impact player out of the transfer portal, landing first-team All-SEC guard Dani Carnegie.

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Apr 11 • 9:36 PM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Maryland Curiosity Lab Children’s Business Fair Draws Big Crowd in Severna Park

The Maryland Curiosity Lab’s Children’s Business Fair drew a strong crowd Saturday at Park Plaza in Severna Park, where more than 80 booths filled the event with young entrepreneurs selling everyth…

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Apr 11 • 3:32 PM EDT • Business • eyeonannapolis.net
“AI polls” are fake polls

A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.

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Apr 11 • 11:38 AM EDT • Technology • natesilver.net
Dear Abby | Eye exams can save more than your vision

Dear Abby: I'm an ophthalmologist, a physician who specializes in medical and surgical eye care, and I'm hoping you can help me debunk a common myth about eye health. Many

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Apr 11 • 10:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • wenatcheeworld.com
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All eyes are going to be on Justin Bieber at Coachella

Justin Bieber’s headlining set at Coachella on Saturday will be important moment in his slow-walked return to the stage following a turbulent few years marked by health struggles and cancelled tours.

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Apr 11 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • cnn.com
Ahead of fishing opener, health officials update fish consumption guidelines

The new fish consumption guidelines include warnings about eating too much fish caught in northeastern Minnesota lakes and rivers, where fish tend to have higher mercury levels. And the state warns against consuming fish from the Vermillion River, south of the Twin Cities, because of PFAS contamination.

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Apr 11 • 8:00 AM EDT • Health • mprnews.org
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Indiana Fever reportedly signing Monique Billings in WNBA free agency

The Indiana Fever are reportedly signing Monique Billings in WNBA free agency.

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Apr 11 • 7:45 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
BIA Business Perspective: Legislative crossover brings business priorities into focus

By Natch Greyes

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Apr 10 • 8:00 PM EDT • Business • unionleader.com
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Amanda Bynes Makes Unexpected Return to Public Eye With Music

See what's going on!

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Apr 10 • 1:58 PM EDT • Entertainment • sheknows.com
Federal judge releases man after 2 immigration judges disobey order

A federal judge released a man from immigration detention on Thursday after two different immigration judges disobeyed his order in the same case. “At this point, the Court has granted Respondents two bites at the apple to prove detention of Petitioner was warranted,” wrote U.S. District Court Judge Gordon P. Gallagher. “It will not allow […]

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Apr 10 • 1:46 PM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
How to watch Sabrina Carpenter, Devo and more on the Coachella Day 1 livestream

How to watch Coachella 2026 Day 1 livestream: Sabrina Carpenter, Katseye, BINI, Sexyy Red, The xx, Anyma, Central Cee and more performances will be on YouTube.

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Apr 10 • 9:00 AM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
Steyer wants to end the ‘Trump tax loophole.’ Here's what that means

Tom Steyer’s promise to “reverse the Trump tax loophole” if elected California governor relies on a lot of wishful thinking, political columnist Joe Garofoli writes.

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Apr 10 • 7:00 AM EDT • Politics • sfchronicle.com
Katseye release first music video without Manon ahead of Coachella

Manon announced in February she was taking a break from the group, who play Coachella this weekend.

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Apr 10 • 6:21 AM EDT • Entertainment • yahoo.com
May elections: what five politics experts are looking out for

Five experts tell us what they will be keeping their eye on during the May elections in England, Scotland and Wales.

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Apr 10 • 5:07 AM EDT • Politics • theconversation.com
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‘Showing the upside to Down syndrome’: Columbia woman’s business giving back and inspiring others

Jewelry can hold meaning far beyond what meets the eye. For Columbia creator Lucy Graham, each bracelet and necklace is made with a purpose: showing “the upside to Down Syndrome.”

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Apr 9 • 11:04 PM EDT • Business • wistv.com
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LeBron James dunks right behind KTVU sports reporter Bailey O'Carroll

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Apr 9 • 9:43 PM EDT • Sports • ktvu.com
Former Erie County DA John Flynn eyeing town of Tonawanda supervisor job

Longtime Supervisor Joe Emminger announced he would be stepping down in May.

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Apr 9 • 4:35 PM EDT • Politics • spectrumlocalnews.com
Spring Health Data Reveals a "Silent Burnout" Crisis: Mental Health Leaves Surge as Employees Quietly Disengage

/PRNewswire/ -- Spring Health, the leading global mental health company, today released its 2026 Workplace Mental Health Report. The study, which surveyed more...

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Natch Greyes | Business & Industry Association

Click here to view this image from unionleader.com.

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Colorado Democrats eye new fee on home insurance companies

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Apr 8 • 4:13 PM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Scientists Think Our Eyes Began as a Single Eye on Top of The Head

The eyes have it.

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Apr 8 • 7:00 AM EDT • Science • sciencealert.com
Swalwell campaign rejects 'outrageous' allegations of sexual misconduct as Dem activists issue viral warning

Rep. Eric Swalwell denied alleged misconduct claims from Cheyenne Hunt as California governor's race heats up ahead of the May primary election.

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Apr 7 • 8:18 PM EDT • Politics • foxnews.com
Nuggets eye 10th straight win as depleted Grizzlies visit

The surging Denver Nuggets are fighting for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference -- and fighting their porous 3-point defense.

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Apr 7 • 7:43 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
Sen. Andy Kim calls for 'politics of humility' in Princeton University speech

During a speech at Princeton University, Sen. Andy Kim said the U.S. is “no longer the indispensable nation” in the eyes of the world.

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Apr 7 • 7:29 PM EDT • Politics • newjerseymonitor.com
Pro sports owner eyes north Evanston for youth practice facility

The vacant Office Depot building at 2722 Green Bay Rd. could become a year-round site for youth sports, as a wealthy North Shore family with stakes in

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Apr 7 • 6:19 PM EDT • Sports • evanstonroundtable.com
Brooke County Health Department eyes one Saturday a month for bloodwork appointments

Brooke County residents could soon have a new option for getting bloodwork done on weekends, as the Brooke County Health Department looks to expand its hours to

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Apr 7 • 5:15 PM EDT • Health • wtov9.com
Updated Iowa women's basketball scholarship allocations

After the transfer portal entrances of Teagan Mallegni and Emely Rodriguez, what does Iowa women's basketball's scholarship allocation look like?

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Apr 7 • 7:50 AM EDT • Sports • sports.yahoo.com
Microsoft plans tweaks to Copilot terms claiming chatbot is for ‘entertainment purposes only’

Sharp-eyed users spotted Microsoft describing its Copilot AI as "for entertainment purposes only"

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Apr 7 • 5:35 AM EDT • Entertainment • itpro.com
Clippers host Mavericks, eye No. 8 seed in West

With a key play-in tournament seeding matchup set for later in the week, the Los Angeles Clippers are intent to focus on the task at hand when they play host to the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday at Inglewood, Calif.

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Apr 6 • 9:40 PM EDT • Sports • cbssports.com
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Teagan Mallegni is Iowa’s fourth player to enter the transfer portal

IOWA CITY — Teagan Mallegni’s first game as an Iowa women’s basketball player was an eye-opener.

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Apr 6 • 9:02 AM EDT • Sports • thegazette.com
VHC Health development plan faces pushback at environmental meeting

A proposal for a new behavioral health center on S. Carlin Springs Road is facing pushback on environmental impacts and effects on the surrounding neighborhood. Misgivings about the 146-bed, 131,000-square-foot development proposal from VHC Health and Lifepoint Health made their way into discussions at the March 26 meeting of the county's Forestry & Natural Resources

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Apr 6 • 8:30 AM EDT • Health • arlnow.com
Billionaire candidate for California governor catching heat for past business interests, wealth

Hedge fund founder Tom Steyer, among the top Democrats running for governor who has spent more than $100 million of his money on his campaign, faces questions about how he made his wealth.

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Apr 6 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • yahoo.com
FCC eyes changes to live sports broadcast rules amid fan frustration

The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is opening the door to a rewrite of its rules for local blackout restrictions on live sports, a move that could be the first step in a potential shakeup …

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Apr 6 • 6:00 AM EDT • Sports • thehill.com
Billionaire candidate for California governor catching heat for past business interests, wealth

Hedge fund founder Tom Steyer, among the top Democrats running for governor who has spent more than $100 million of his money on his campaign, faces questions about how he made his wealth.

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Apr 6 • 6:00 AM EDT • Business • latimes.com
Recognizing the value of generational work

The Lesser Prairie Chicken habitat in southeastern Colorado is a swath of prairie that begins in Cheyenne and far-southeastern Lincoln counties and moves south and east into Kiowa, Prowers and Baca counties. This is cattle country where the short grass is nutrient dense, and a little bit of rain makes the prairie explode. A little […]

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Apr 6 • 2:30 AM EDT • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
A Look At Brookfield Business Partners (TSX:BBUC) Valuation After Its Recent 3.6% One Day Move

What Brookfield Business Partners’ Numbers Tell You Right Now Brookfield Business Partners (TSX:BBUC) is getting attention after a recent move in its units, with a 1 day return of 3.6% and a last close of CA$48.00 catching many investors’ eye. The partnership runs a private equity model through business services, infrastructure services, construction, energy, and industrials. It reported CA$27,457.0 million in revenue and a net loss of $26.0 million in its latest figures. For investors...

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Apr 5 • 7:09 PM EDT • Business • finance.yahoo.com
With eye on long-term health, D-backs tab Kelly for 2nd rehab start

PHOENIX -- It’s not a setback, but Merrill Kelly's 2026 season debut for the D-backs has once again been pushed back. After being announced as the club’s Opening Day starter on Feb. 14 before having the proverbial rug pulled from out under him due to intercostal nerve irritation a week

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Apr 5 • 3:32 PM EDT • Health • mlb.com
8 Gadgets That Can Help Reduce Stress

Here are 8 highly rated gadgets that are designed to help you feel more relaxed, from fitness trackers and eye massagers to noise machines and grounding mats.

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Apr 5 • 12:02 PM EDT • Technology • bgr.com
There’s a new discovery in eye cancer treatment — thanks to pig sperm
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Apr 5 • 10:39 AM EDT • Health • nypost.com
Science Sunday: Bernoulli’s Principle at work

Katie Vaughn pulled out a hair dryer and a ping pong ball to show WANE 15 how that low air pressure can be seen with your own eyes with the help of a hair dryer and ping pong ball.

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Apr 5 • 10:24 AM EDT • Science • wane.com
Laramie County health and food inspections (3/27/26–4/2/26)

CHEYENNE, Wyo. — The Cheyenne-Laramie County Health Department inspects restaurants, bars, convenience stores, delis, grocery stores, bed and breakfasts

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Apr 5 • 9:00 AM EDT • Health • capcity.news
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