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Glyphosate: A story of science, risk, and nuance

In the summer of 2014, a California groundskeeper named Dewayne Johnson started noticing patches of raw, weeping skin spreading across his body. He had spent years applying Roundup, Monsanto’s glyphosate-based herbicide, for a school district, sometimes drenched in it when equipment malfunctioned. By 2014, he had a diagnosis: non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. In 2018, a jury awarded him $289 million in damages, later reduced on appeal. Tens of thousands of lawsuits followed. The story hasn’t quieted down. It’s all over the internet, swinging between “this will kill you, buy organic” and “relax, you’re fear-mongering.” Some of that recent chatter stems from an Executive Order protecting glyphosate and its production, which set off intense infighting within the MAHA movement. Some of it reflects a deeper truth: Americans genuinely care about harmful chemicals in their environment (see poll below). And the conversation isn’t going anywhere, with a Supreme Court case involving Monsanto set for this April. Glyphosate (the active ingredient in Roundup) is one of the most widely used herbicides in the world. But does glyphosate cause cancer? And how much exposure is actually risky? With so much mistrust in institutions and corporations (and some genuine conflicts of interest), making sense of the actual scientific evidence is genuinely hard. Here is a translation of what the scientific evidence actually says. Does glyphosate cause harm? Glyphosate is an herbicide that kills most plants it contacts rather than targeting specific species. It works by blocking an enzyme pathway (EPSPS) that plants and many microorganisms need to produce essential amino acids. Without those amino acids, the plant can’t grow and dies. Glyphosate was first developed by Monsanto in the 1970s and became ubiquitous after the company introduced “Roundup Ready” crops in the 1990s. In 2024, Bayer removed glyphosate from residential Roundup-branded products due to litigation pressure. But today it is still the most widely used herbicide in the world. Farmers also discovered they could spray it directly on crops like oats, lentils, beans, and peas just before harvest to dry them out faster and make harvesting easier. Because of its widespread use, it’s obviously really important to understand if it’s harmful to humans. The key principle: The dose makes the poison The most important concept in toxicology is that “the dose makes the poison.” Sixteenth-century physician Paracelsus articulated what remains the foundational principle of toxicology: sola dosis facit venenum. Water will kill you if you drink enough of it. Aspirin saves lives at 81 milligrams and causes internal bleeding at higher chronic doses. So, at what dose is glyphosate poisonous? The LD50 in rats (the dose that kills half the test animals) is around 5,600 mg/kg body weight. Table salt is roughly 3,000 mg/kg. By that classic measure, glyphosate is less acutely toxic than salt. But some people are exposed to a lot of glyphosate through their work. And among the general public, there are many questions about low-dose, cumulative exposure from multiple sources over long periods. Does glyphosate cause health problems? Cancer Correlation maps are striking, with one analysis finding that 60% of counties that spray the most glyphosate have non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma rates above the national average. But correlation alone doesn’t establish cause, which is why animal and human studies matter. In animals: Rat studies are typically what most fear is rooted in, but most people don’t know the study details on the dosage given to rats. A pooled analysis of the 13 most rigorous rat studies found evidence that very high doses, around 55,000 times greater than typical food residue exposure, can cause certain cancers. In humans: One of the strongest studies followed 55,000 herbicide users over 20 years and found no overall increased cancer risk. There was one signal: among those with the highest use, rates of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) appeared elevated. A broader meta-analysis of 18 human studies also found no overall cancer risk, though a separate meta-analysis focused specifically on non-Hodgkin lymphoma found that people with high cumulative glyphosate exposure faced a 41% higher relative risk compared to those with low or no exposure. These human studies are observational studies (randomized controlled trials would be unethical), and meta-analyses are only as reliable as the studies they pool. But the story seems consistent: at very high exposure levels, there may be some cancer risk. But that’s about as far as the science currently takes us. Emerging research: gut and reproductive health Gut: Because glyphosate targets a pathway that exists in some gut bacteria, scientists have questioned whether it could affect the microbiome. In mice, a 2023 University of Iowa study found that glyphosate altered gut bacterial composition and raised markers of intestinal inflammation. A 2024 systematic review found similar patterns: disrupted gut bacteria and problems with the mucus layer that protects the intestinal wall in mice. Whether this translates to humans is an open question. The human gut is highly variable and resistant, and we don't yet have strong studies confirming the same effects in people. Reproductive health: Animal studies have found that glyphosate-based herbicides can interfere with reproductive hormones, including disrupting egg cell development in mice and reducing the number of eggs available in sheep’s ovaries. However, the doses used in these experiments were high, so it’s not yet clear whether the same effects would occur in humans. On the human side, a 2021 pilot study led by Mount Sinai researchers tested urine samples from pregnant women across the U.S. and found glyphosate in 95% of them. The study also found a possible connection between higher glyphosate exposure during pregnancy and a subtle physical difference measured in female newborns. That said, some connections weren’t statistically reliable and this was a small study. The researchers themselves said more and larger studies are needed before drawing firm conclusions. What do regulators say about glyphosate safety? In 2015, the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), part of the World Health Organization, classified glyphosate as "probably carcinogenic to humans" (Group 2A). The classification is worth taking seriously. But, there’s an important distinction: IARC classifies hazard, meaning the potential to cause harm under some conditions. It does not assess risk, which accounts for actual exposure levels and the real-world probability of harm. The U.S. EPA, the European Food Safety Authority, Health Canada, and regulatory agencies in Australia and Japan have all concluded that glyphosate is “unlikely to be carcinogenic to humans” at realistic exposure levels. They’re asking a different question: given how much of this people actually encounter, what is the probability of harm? Your actual exposure is what determines your actual risk. What does glyphosate mean for your daily life? At the grocery store: Food residues are small. The EPA’s acceptable daily intake is 1.75 mg/kg of body weight per day. To hit that threshold from oatmeal alone, a 150-pound adult would need to eat roughly 50 pounds of oats every day. But this calculation addresses only one pathway (food), and we don’t yet have robust tools to measure people’s actual total exposure. If reducing exposure matters to you, organic certification prohibits synthetic herbicides, and organic oat products generally test at lower or undetectable levels. Either way, a diet rich in whole grains, conventional or organic, is far better for your health than one that omits them out of fear of residues. On the farm: Occupational exposure is orders of magnitude higher than consumer exposure. Farmers and farm workers who mix, load, and apply glyphosate-based herbicides, especially without protective equipment, face meaningfully different risk profiles. Proper PPE isn’t optional. Integrated weed management strategies that rotate chemical modes of action are also worth taking seriously, both for health and for long-term effectiveness. If you live near a farm: Spray drift is real. Concentrations near field edges can spike during and after application, particularly on windy days. This is an area where I think public health could really step up and empower rural communities with buffer zones, rather than placing the onus on individuals. But for now, knowing your local agricultural calendar and keeping windows closed during application are the first steps. Bottom line Dewayne Johnson was exposed to glyphosate at levels most people will never encounter, and a jury decided he deserved compensation. That outcome is not evidence that the oatmeal in your pantry is dangerous. But it is a reminder that the dose, the context, and the person doing the exposing all matter enormously. Glyphosate is a chemical tool with benefits, trade-offs, and genuine open scientific questions. Learning to hold that complexity without collapsing into panic or dismissal is, honestly, one of the most useful and hardest things to do in navigating modern health science. Love, YLE Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE) is founded and operated by Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, MPH PhD—an epidemiologist, wife, and mom of two little girls. Hannah Totte, MPH, is an epidemiologist and YLE Community Manager. YLE reaches more than 425,000 people in over 132 countries with one goal: “Translate” the ever-evolving public health science so that people will be well-equipped to make evidence-based decisions. This newsletter is free to everyone, thanks to the generous support of fellow YLE community members. To support the effort, subscribe or upgrade below: Subscribe

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Mar 25 • 10:25 AM EDT • Science • yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com
How ‘Tiny Shortcuts’ Are Poisoning Science

How ‘Tiny Shortcuts’ Are Poisoning Science: Seemingly harmless data tweaks are undermining the integrity of the entire field. We must define the problem to prevent it

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Mar 24 • 4:00 PM EDT • Science • nautil.us
How ‘Tiny Shortcuts’ Are Poisoning Science

Seemingly harmless data tweaks are undermining the integrity of the entire field. We must define the problem to prevent it.

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Mar 23 • 5:55 AM EDT • Science • thereader.mitpress.mit.edu
Federal judge extends order blocking Trump admin's cuts to Illinois public health funding

The loss in grant funding would have wiped out some HIV tracking programs, family planning initiatives and lead poisoning prevention.

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Mar 16 • 7:36 PM EDT • Health • chicago.suntimes.com
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Poison-pill effort to cancel proposed billionaire tax hits voters' mailboxes

California voters are being urged to put a poison-pill effort on the November ballot that would nullify a controversial proposed tax on the state’s billionaires.

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Mar 10 • 8:00 AM EDT • Politics • latimes.com
One small step for dialing back the partisanship

Much ink, including a good deal of my own, has been spilled on the excesses of super-charged, toxic partisanship in this current era. Except for true believers along with those who profit from this all-consuming poison, there is broad agreement that it needs to be toned way down and dialed far back. The nearly 51% […]

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Feb 21 • 12:14 PM EST • Politics • coloradopolitics.com
Psychedelics for depression, dart frog poison and why do we have chins?

Madeleine Finlay sits down with science editor Ian Sample and science correspondent Nicola Davis to discuss three eye-catching stories, including the impact of a powerful psychedelic on depression, answers on the death of the Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, and an explanation to the mystery of why humans have chins

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Feb 19 • 12:00 AM EST • Science • theguardian.com
A Chemical Spill Poisoned an Entire Town. Dogs Are Showing Scientists the Fallout.

Scientists are still trying to understand the extent of the damage, and the shorter lifespan of canines can expedite our understanding of these chemicals’ health impacts.

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Feb 18 • 8:30 AM EST • Science • popularmechanics.com
Farm use of PFAS-laden sludge raises health concerns. But, some ask, where else can it go?

A resourceful solution to repurpose waste and nourish farmland, or a poisonous and permanent mistake? Depending on whom you ask, the practice of spreading treated sewage, or sludge, on New Hampshire farmland might be either.

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Feb 16 • 5:00 AM EST • Health • newhampshirebulletin.com
The science behind the frog poison that allegedly killed Alexei Navalny
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Feb 14 • 10:54 AM EST • Science • news.sky.com
Microsoft warns that poisoned AI buttons and links may betray your trust

: Businesses are embedding prompts that produce content they want you to read, not the stuff AI makes if left to its own devices

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Feb 11 • 8:07 PM EST • Technology • theregister.com
The rise of vice-signalling: how hatred poisoned politics

Over the last 10 years, the terms of political debate have changed completely – and week by week they seem to get worse

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Feb 11 • 5:57 AM EST • Politics • theguardian.com
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Asheville business owner charged with poisonings had prior fraud allegations

An Asheville business owner was indicted Jan. 28 in the murder of her daughter and in a 2007 cold case. A 2016 lawsuit alleged business fraud.

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Feb 10 • 5:04 AM EST • Business • citizen-times.com
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4 Dead in Mushroom Poisoning Outbreak in California

State health officials discouraged foraging this year, saying that toxic mushrooms can easily be confused with safe ones to eat.

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Feb 8 • 2:52 PM EST • Health • nytimes.com
California urges people to avoid wild mushrooms after 4 deaths, 3 liver transplants

More than three dozen cases of death cap mushroom poisonings have been reported in California since November, health officials said.

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Feb 7 • 7:33 AM EST • Health • cbsnews.com
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Health officials discuss the effects of carbon monoxide poisoning

You can’t see it, smell it, or taste it, but carbon monoxide can be deadly especially during the winter months when heating systems are in constant use.

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Feb 5 • 3:39 PM EST • Health • wcyb.com
UK health body says 36 cases of toxin poisoning linked to baby formula

UKHSA says clinical reports show the children had consumed batches of recently recalled products

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Feb 5 • 5:27 AM EST • Health • theguardian.com
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The poison pill of politics in the Jack Smith saga

This was always about politics, not the Constitution or the law more generally.

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Feb 3 • 10:30 AM EST • Politics • thehill.com
How much B6 is safe? What to know about the supplement found in energy drinks

Poisoning caused by too much of the popular nutrient is rare, but cases are ticking up. Experts warn that people may not be aware they’re getting too much.

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Jan 29 • 5:00 AM EST • Health • nbcnews.com
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VCU Health comments on viral videos with an alleged employee encouraging the poisoning of ICE agents

VCU Health has placed an employee on administrative leave after a video went viral on social media showing a woman encouraging people to poison federal immigration agents.

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Jan 27 • 1:23 PM EST • Health • virginiascope.com
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VCU Health employee placed on leave after videos suggest harming ICE agents

VCU Health placed an employee on leave after videos surfaced showing her suggesting ways to harm ICE agents through injections and poisoning.

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Jan 27 • 12:40 PM EST • Health • wtvr.com
Police investigate VCU nurse who instructed 'sabotage' of ICE agents in viral TikTok videos

VCU nurse allegedly posted TikTok videos instructing viewers to use paralytics and poison ivy against ICE agents, prompting a police investigation and administrative leave.

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Jan 27 • 12:27 PM EST • Health • foxnews.com
Video Health officials warn of carbon monoxide danger ahead of winter storm

The American Red Cross warns that carbon monoxide poisoning and fires are the primary hazards when using portable generators. ABC News' Andrew Dymburt discusses how to stay safe.

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Jan 23 • 2:38 PM EST • Health • abcnews.go.com
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The public health win hiding in plain sight: poison centers

This undersung service saves Americans $3.1B every year. Why aren’t we funding them more?

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Jan 23 • 8:30 AM EST • Health • vox.com
All major AI models risk encouraging dangerous science experiments

Researchers risk fire, explosion or poisoning by allowing AI to design experiments, warn scientists. Some 19 different AI models were tested on hundreds of questions to assess their ability to spot and avoid hazards and none recognised all issues – with some doing little better than random guessing

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Jan 15 • 5:36 AM EST • Science • newscientist.com
Sonoma County issues health warning after local resident dies in suspected mushroom poisoning

A Sonoma County resident has died of suspected mushroom poisoning, county officials said Thursday.

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Jan 8 • 3:48 PM EST • Health • pressdemocrat.com
60,000-year-old poison arrows from South Africa are the oldest poison weapons ever discovered

Five quartz arrowheads found in a South African cave were laced with a slow-acting tumbleweed poison that would have tired prey during long hunts.

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Jan 7 • 2:39 PM EST • Science • livescience.com
Scientists Discover Oldest Poison, on 60,000-Year-Old Arrows

Residues on arrow tips found in South Africa hint at how far back in history humans have been using poison for survival.

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Jan 7 • 2:00 PM EST • Science • nytimes.com
The poison frog that fooled scientists for decades

Researchers discovered that a poison frog species described decades ago was based on a mix-up involving the wrong museum specimen. The frog tied to the official species name turned out to be brown, not the colorful animal shown in the original photo. After tracing old records and images, scientists corrected the error and reclassified the frog as part of an already-known species. The case underscores how vital museum collections are—and how even small mistakes can ripple through science for years.

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Jan 6 • 7:00 AM EST • Science • sciencedaily.com
Mahmood Mamdani’s 'Slow Poison' centers politics of belonging in postcolonial Uganda : NPR's Book of the Day

Mahmood Mamdani — a professor of government at Columbia University and the father of Zohran Mamdani, NYC’s next mayor — has spent decades researching colonialism and its effects on the African continent. His work is both political and personal, influenced by his own experience in Uganda as an exiled citizen deemed nonindigenous by colonial structures. In today’s episode, Mamdani talks to NPR’s Leila Fadel about his newest book, Slow Poison, an account of colonial legacy in Uganda, the rise of the country’s modern autocrats, and the politics of belonging that surround it all.To listen to Book of the Day sponsor-free and support NPR's book coverage, sign up for Book of the Day+ at plus.npr.org/bookoftheday

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Dec 22, 2025 • 3:00 AM EST • Politics • npr.org
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Mahmood Mamdani on how Uganda's history shaped his belonging — and his son's moment

NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with Professor Mahmood Mamdani about his new book, "Slow Poison." The book is a firsthand report on the tragic unraveling of Uganda's struggle for independence.

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Dec 16, 2025 • 5:00 AM EST • Politics • npr.org
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California Department Of Public Health Issues Health Advisory For Consumption Of Foraged Wild Mushrooms

The California Department of Public Health issued an urgent advisory following a recent outbreak of amatoxin poisoning linked to the consumption of wild, foraged mushrooms.

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Dec 15, 2025 • 11:56 AM EST • Health • edhat.com
Department of Health closes Budd Inlet after biotoxins found in shellfish

The Thurston County Public Health and Social Services says unsafe levels of Diarrhetic Shellfish Poisoning were found after testing at Budd Inlet.

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Dec 6, 2025 • 9:01 PM EST • Health • kiro7.com
California health officials issue urgent warning to mushroom foragers after deadly poisoning outbreak

California health officials warn against mushroom foraging after a deadly outbreak in which death cap mushrooms were mistaken for edible varieties.

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Dec 6, 2025 • 3:33 PM EST • Health • foxnews.com
What if we brought love into politics?

Civic life is poisoned by hatred for people we don’t know. Maybe we can fill it with the opposite.

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Dec 3, 2025 • 3:00 AM EST • Politics • bostonglobe.com
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