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Prince George's County approves $5K business fee amid backlash
A new business fee approved by the Prince George’s County Council is sparking strong debate between local leaders and small business owners who say the policy c
Yankees' Cam Schlittler allows 1 run in 4-2 win over Red Sox, outmatching Payton Tolle's 11 strikeouts
3 more men convicted of homicide in fatal shooting of Pontiac business owner
SPLC indictment ‘nakedly political’: Morial
National Urban League President Marc Morial on Thursday slammed the Department of Justice’s (DOJ) indictment of the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) as a “nakedly political” move to strike civil …
Trump Just Reclassified Marijuana. What Does It Means for Business Owners?
Marijuana businesses are set to see some tax changes.
Titans' NFL Draft: What will they do with pick 4?
The Tennessee Titans hold the fourth overall pick in the NFL Draft. What will they do with it? Here are best and worst case scenarios.
WHO reports measurable health impact in 2025 amid transition to new strategy
The World Health Organization (WHO) today released its Results Report, highlighting measurable improvements in people’s health worldwide in 2025, despite funding cuts affecting both the organization and the broader global health sector.
Medical School ‘A’ Marks UConn Health Sustainability Progress
Significant energy savings highlight gains since last Earth Day, while the UConn School of Medicine makes the grade on the 2026 Planetary Health Report Card
New Michigan measles case in Ottawa County. What you need to know
The first case of measles since 1991 in Ottawa County was identified April 21. It is the ninth confirmed case in the state since March 11.
Michigan congressman in the crosshairs of gas price politics
In 2023, Tom Barrett used $4-a-gallon gas to win a mid-Michigan seat in Congress. Now he's playing defense amid high gas prices under GOP leadership.
Our unsung hero of science: Friedrich Miescher, the man who discovered DNA
Working on human pus in a medieval castle, Miescher discovered a substance that would eventually unlock our understanding of how life works.
Control: Ultimate Edition is out for the iPhone and iPad
Control for iOS and Mac only costs $5 right now.
Bullying, Politics Harm Mental Health Of Gender-Diverse Teens
By Dennis Thompson HealthDay ReporterWEDNESDAY, April 22, 2026 (HealthDay News) — Gender-diverse teenagers who are bullied are more likely to suffer escalating psychological distress than other teens, particularly if they live in a state with repressive gender identity laws, a new study says. These ...
Maine Sports Hall of Fame announces class of 2026
Maine Sports Hall of Fame announces class of 2026
Opinion | Seizing Property Can’t Be ‘Business as Usual’
From California to Hong Kong, asset seizure—whether a wealth tax or communist crackdown—discourages growth and liberty.
The Business of the Biebers
Bieberchella cemented Justin and Hailey Bieber’s cultural and commercial power, as they scale their own brands and drive virality for others.
Essentia Health receives American Cancer Society transportation, lodging grant to support cancer patients
The Essentia Health Cancer Center in Fargo is honored to receive a $35,000 grant from the American Cancer Society (ACS) to help alleviate some of the financial burden for patients undergoing cancer treatment through transportation and lodging assistance.
Cantaloupes Recalled in Four States Due to Salmonella Risk
By HealthDay Staff HealthDay ReporterTUESDAY, April 21, 2026 (HealthDay News) — Health officials in some states are warning shoppers to avoid certain cantaloupes amid concerns they may carry Salmonella. The recall, announced by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), involves fruit produced by
Yankees prospects: Week 4 minor league recap
In an overall rough week for the farm, rehab assignments stole the show across the upper levels.
Amazon One Medical introduces weight management program with upfront GLP-1 medication costs
The new program combines primary care, pharmacy, and virtual options to treat obesity as a chronic condition—all in one place.
Match Officials: Andy Madley to referee Burnley vs Manchester City
The Premier League have confirmed the list of match officials to oversee proceedings in a huge top-flight encounter at Turf Moor on Wednesday night.Manchester City will arrive in Lancashire brimming w...
Chery to Present AI Technologies and Robotics Developments at 2026 International Business Summit
The 2026 Chery International Business Summit, held from April 24 to 28, will serve as a definitive report on two decades of innovation. Chery wi...
'We've been sold out': Punters Politics fronts inquiry into gas export tax
Konrad Benjamin, a former school teacher who is behind the social media account Punters Politics, tells a Senate inquiry into taxing gas that the issue has fired up his near million followers
Tickets Are On Sale For Phil Collins Tribute
The team that produced "The Simon & Garfunkel Story" and "R.E.S.P.E.C.T.–The Aretha Franklin Story" will present "The Phil Collins Story" on Sunday, October 18, at Plymouth Memorial Hall. Start time
Home State Health and Centene Foundation Launch Medical Respite Program in St. Louis
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With no end in sight to their deployment, National Guard troops roam Washington
Eight months after President Donald Trump declared a crime emergency in the nation’s capital and called up the National Guard, more than 2,500 troops remain | News-Talk 1380 WAOK
Bruins Collapse in Third Period, Drop Game 1 to Sabres
BUFFALO, NY – The atmosphere inside the KeyBank Center was second to none, and it only grew louder in the […] The post Bruins Collapse in Third Period, Drop Game 1 to Sabres appeared first on Boston Hockey Now.
Cedar Crest, Octorara come through with breakout victories L-L softball
Things that make you go hmmm: Octorara 10, Annville-Cleona 8.
JD Vance could yet save his political skin. But it will mean turning on Trump
The vice-president has endured his most humiliating – and damaging – week as his boss’s fall guy. How much more can Maga’s great hope take? asks Guardian foreign affairs commentator Simon Tisdall
‘Things could go backwards’: Kezia Dugdale on safety, LGBTQ+ rights and the future of Stonewall
Exclusive: Former Scottish Labour leader says she feels more scared as a lesbian today and calls for a kinder debate on transgender issues
Hollywood, Silicon Valley turn out for the 'Oscars of Science'
Big names from the worlds of film, technology, music and sports gathered on Saturday in Santa Monica, California for the Breakthrough Prizes, popularly known as the "Oscars of Science."
Gago explains his decisions at the start of the match
Fernando Gago spoke to the press after a hard-fought goalless draw against Everton, which puts Universidad de Chile’s future in the tournament at risk. One of the questions surrounding his starting...
Maya Tea steeps into the mocktail business
The longtime Tucson tea company just released a line of zero-alcohol spirits, joining a growing trend that's found popularity among Gen Z'ers.
How an unsolved medical mystery became a life-saving breakthrough
Inside the deadly disease confounding medicine, researchers piecing together clues and the breakthrough that meant survival for thousands of patients.
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Subsidiary Odeon Finco PLC Announces Closing of $425 Million Term Loan
LEAWOOD, Kan.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Odeon Finco PLC (“Odeon”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Odeon Cinemas Group Limited (“OCGL”) and AMC…...
UF Health Florida Recovery Center director dies: ‘He truly brought FRC to life’
Dr. Scott Teitelbaum helped hundreds through addiction recovery
Costliest US hurricanes of the 21st century
Hurricanes have only become more dangerous — and expensive — over the last 26 years.
Sports quiz of the week: I Am Maximus, Marie-Louise Eta and Rory McIlroy
Did you follow the big stories in football, rugby, golf, baseball, basketball, boxing, snooker, cricket and racing?
Duffy withholds federal funding from New York over immigrant trucker licenses dispute
New York will lose more than $73.5 million in federal money because the Transportation Department said Thursday that state has refused to revoke nearly 33,000 questionable commercial driver's licenses for immigrants since an audit uncovered problems last year.
Former Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl named to Jewish Sports Hall of Fame
Former Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl is part of a 20-member class being inducted into the Jewish Sports Hall of Fame this year.
Seattle Reign FC and Sports Radio 950 KJR AM Announce 2026 Radio Broadcast Schedule
Continuing its partnership with iHeartMedia Seattle, a record 11 Seattle Reign FC matches will air on 950 KJR AM during the 2026 NWSL season, featuring a dynamic and experienced broadcast team while expanding access for fans across the Pacific Northwest; The club’s April 26 home match marks the firs
How are NFL teams handling complications of Rueben Bain Jr. car crash? 5 questions answered
NASA seeks commercial and exploration links for new Earth science missions
NASA seeks commercial and exploration links for new Earth science missions
Read what Disney's brand chief said about marketing layoffs
Disney laid off employees this week across the company, including its marketing group. Read the memo from Disney brand chief Asad Ayaz.
US states ranked by how much of their income residents pay in taxes
A recent WalletHub study ranked all 50 US states by how much of residents' income goes to state and local taxes.
Bring on the Allbirds AI memes
The Allbirds AI pivot is prime meme fodder — and social media did not disappoint.
Russia spent extra $130 billion for goods while sanctioned: Latvia
The Latvian analysts said intelligence showed Russia's own forecasts warn it may lose another $136 billion just in trade by 2030 due to the sanctions.
What the Iran War Means for the “Axis of Resistance”
The Iran war is a crucible for Shiite identity and politics.
Thinking Machines Lab loses another founding member to Meta
Meta has hired another founding engineer from Thinking Machines Lab as the AI talent wars intensify. The startup is still rapidly expanding.
Thinking Machines Lab loses another founding member to Meta
Meta has hired another founding engineer from Thinking Machines Lab as the AI talent wars intensify. The startup is still rapidly expanding.
Senate again votes against ending Iran war. But tougher votes are coming
The Senate on Wednesday again blocked a resolution that would halt American hostilities against Iran. Democrats aren't done forcing similar votes.
Myrtle Beach Pelicans' welcome fans to their new and improved ballpark
The Myrtle Beach Pelicans welcomed the community to a ribbon-cutting ceremony to debut the multi-million dollar improvements to the Ballpark on Monday, April 12.
Trump recalls how Ginsburg’s death affected the Supreme Court as he discusses whether Alito should retire
President Donald Trump complimented Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito but when asked about him stepping down while Republicans are in control, he pointed to how Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death shifted the court.
Trump predicts oil prices will drop ‘tremendously’ despite recent surge
President Donald Trump sits down with FOX Business' Maria Bartiromo to discuss escalating Middle East tensions, his warning to Iran on nuclear weapons and why he believes gas prices will drop ahead of the midterms.
Gambling legislation proposed puts fee on sports wagers
A bill has been proposed by Republican State Senator Bill Blessing, based in the Cincinnati area, that would put a two percent fee on sports wagers.The bill is
Gambling legislation proposed puts fee on sports wagers
A bill has been proposed by Republican State Senator Bill Blessing, based in the Cincinnati area, that would put a two percent fee on sports wagers.The bill is
Want a Cheat Code for Starting a Business? A New Study of 1,334 Cities Suggests It's Hiding in Plain Sight
I like things that are easy.
100 Points: Breaking Apart Bruins’ Win Over Devils
BOSTON – The Boston Bruins reached 100 points on Tuesday, and so did David Pastrnak, just in a different way. […] The post 100 Points: Breaking Apart Bruins’ Win Over Devils appeared first on Boston Hockey Now.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid – Match preview and team news
Bayern Munich faces Real Madrid at their home turf on Wednesday night in a Champions League quarter-final second leg.Vincent Kompany’s men head into this match with a one-goal advantage from the fir...
Congress Holocaust
Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-Benton, speaks during a Congressional Gold Medal ceremony in honor of Benjamin Ferencz, at the Capitol, Tuesday, April 14, 2026, in Washington.
JD Vance says Trump's post of himself as Jesus was 'a joke'
Vice President JD Vance said President Trump's social media post apparently portraying himself as Jesus was "a joke."
Pool Scouts Owner Wins SBA Alabama Veteran-Owned Small Business of the Year Award
Pool Scouts of Huntsville owner, among other SBA winners, will be recognized during the National Small Business Week for their significant work within the greater Alabama business community.
NSF lags in grant awards and Trump again proposes deep cuts to science
The latest science policy news.
Beware! This "Windows 11 24H2" update download can quietly steal your sensitive data
This Windows 11 24H2 update download could quietly compromise your system and steal sensitive personal data, putting your system's privacy and security at serious risk.
New law may delay Knoxville elections a year. What do candidates think?
A bill in the Tennessee legislature would force some officeholders to stay in office a fifth year and others to wait their turn.
Dolce & Gabbana Appoints Stefano Cantino as Co-CEO
The recruitment of the former Gucci, Louis Vuitton and Prada executive follows the resignation of Stefano Gabbana as chairman in December.
Winners of the 2026 Olivier Awards Celebrating Work on the London Stage
LONDON (AP) — The winners of the 2026 Olivier Awards handed out Sunday for achievement in London theater, opera and dance: New Musical: “Paddington The Musical” New Play: “Punch” New Entertainment or Comedy: “Oh, Mary!” Family Show: “The Boy at the Back of the Class” Revival: “All My Sons” Musical ...
Fever reportedly re-sign Sophie Cunningham to 1-year contract
How to Limit The Health Risks Posed by Polluted Air
By Carole Tanzer Miller HealthDay ReporterSUNDAY, April 12, 2026 (HealthDay News) — Air pollution just isn’t what it used to be. While levels of lead and sulfur dioxide have dropped due to environmental regulations, other threats to air quality persist. Particle pollution, ozone and wildfire smoke ...
China's Chery looking to expand car production in Europe, top executives say
Chery is looking to expand car production in Europe through partnerships with other automakers allowing it to use existing factories, top executives at the Chinese carmaker said at an event in Paris.
Scientists rethink DNA after discovering it can be built from scratch in a process they call 'doodling'
Scientists show DNA polymerases can build long, patterned DNA without a template called "doodling," opening new paths for synthetic biology.
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
Peru holds presidential election amid a decade of political tumult
In the span of a decade, Peru has seen nine presidents come and go. How has that affected this year's presidential race?
Science finds surprising link between your martial status and risk of cancer
Married people tend to have greater financial stability and stronger social support, which can help them maintain healthier habits and get medical care earlier, researchers noted
Grab Apple's M5 MacBook Air for $949 this weekend, record low price
Thanks to a $150 discount, shoppers can grab Apple's 2026 M5 MacBook Air 13-inch for a record low $949.
‘She does things very strategically.’ Melania Trump’s former top aide reacts to the First Lady’s Epstein statement
K-pop conquered Coachella. Now it's Bini's turn to show off the Philippines
Coachella is 'a great responsibility for us,' the group's Colet added. 'Because we want to open the door to more Filipino art.'
Masters Week brings business boost to Midlands golf courses
Masters Week is underway in Georgia, and the tournament is bringing business to Midlands golf courses.
Peoria double homicide highlights mental health system failures, advocates say
Prosecutors say Jonathan Turk’s parents tried multiple times to get him mental health treatment before their deaths.
Seahawks betting on Sam Darnold to take leap next season
Seattle Seahawks general manager John Schneider believes that quarterback Sam Darnold could take a big leap come the 2026 season.
Amid license review, Camp Mystic being investigated by Texas Rangers and state health officials
Camp Mystic filed to renew its license in March. Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick has repeatedly urged state officials to reject the application.
Invincible VS Open Beta Begins Tomorrow: What You Need to Know
Get ready to suit up – Invincible VS’s Open Beta begins tomorrow, and everything you need to know is inside:
Braves, Angels throw punches as Atlanta wins 7-2
In what was an otherwise routine and mostly quiet game on Tuesday night between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Angels, a big time brawl broke out between Braves starter Reynaldo Lopez and former World Series hero Jorge Soler. Let’s set the stage. Earlier in the game, Lopez hit Soler in the hand with a […]
JD Vance's mom to speak at county GOP fundraiser
Beverly Aikins has become a public speaker since her son took office, often sharing her story about recovering from substance use.
How Michigan's shifting vote keeps the state at center of U.S. politics
Asia Minute: U.S. regional partners pursue new paths in the politics of energy
President Trump has made it clear he's not happy with several U.S. partners in the Asia Pacific, naming South Korea, Australia and Japan. But when it comes to the politics of energy, regional partners are making their own plans. HPR's Bill Dorman has more in today's Asia Minute.
D. Wayne Lukas, Louis Cella To Be Inducted Into Arkansas Sports Hall Of Fame
For decades, Oaklawn Park’s Arkansas Derby has served as one of Thoroughbred racing’s most important proving grounds, where champions sharpen their form before heading to Churchill Downs. Today, the Arkansas track hosts one of the richest racing meets in the country, drawing many of the sport’s ...
Michigan Matters: Dissecting AI opportunities and civility in politics
UnitedHealth makes a bet on AI. What does it mean for us?
A hep B trial raises ethical questions, the peptide hype, and more Morning Rounds news
3 injured Arsenal stars return to training ahead of Sporting
Arsenal have received a timely boost ahead of the trip to Sporting, with three senior players back in training.Photo by James Fearn/Getty ImagesOne of the main talking points over the international br...
Long Awaited Xbox Game Will Finally Be Playable For Free Next Month
Six years after announcement, it's almost here!
Return to Sport Rates Following Total Knee Arthroplasty
A recent study shows that understanding timelines and key factors could help clinicians give tailored advice and set realistic expectations for their patients undergoing TKA.
Trump, 79, Spotted Wearing Band-Aids After Health Concerns
Trump wore two Band-Aids while stepping out Sunday amid speculation about his health.
Close Up: Highlighting women in history and Iowa politics
The contributions of female pioneers in Iowa's political history and their ongoing impact, and a candid conversation with CBS News Correspondent Norah O'Donnell
Internet betting is a bad bet and a public health crisis
The outcome that some people feared in the 2000s has seemingly come to pass, to our culture's detriment, writes Greg Ganske.
US health officials appear to shy away from anti-vaccine talk ahead of midterms
Elections seem top-of-mind for the Maha movement as key polling indicates anti-vaccine views are a liability