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Christian Hubicki reacts to having to vote himself out of 'Survivor 50'
'Survivor 50' star Christian Hubicki reacts to having to vote himself out of the game, and reveals whom he would have voted for at the Journey had he solved the puzzle.
Neal Milner: We Are All Victims Of The Sylvia Luke Mess
Her decision not to run for reelection doesn’t address the bigger problem — how inept the state is when it comes to corruption investigations.
South Korea, Vietnam set to sign dozens of business deals as Lee visits Hanoi
South Korean and Vietnamese companies are expected to sign dozens of business deals on Thursday, Korean media and two sources said, as South Korean President Lee Jae Myung visits Hanoi.
Last year, Shedeur Sanders was the NFL draft’s mystery. This year, it’s Alabama QB Ty Simpson.
Nuggets respond after Jaden McDaniels calls out team's 'bad defenders' after Game 2 upset: 'Let them talk'
Tesla Q1 earnings, sales top forecasts as company sees 'tailwinds' boosting auto business
Tesla will report first quarter earnings after the bell on Wednesday, with Wall Street focused on the company's slow-to-evolve Robotaxi rollout and capital expenditures, which are expected to balloon due to the company's AI ventures.
Tesla earnings, sales top forecasts as company sees 'tailwinds' boosting auto business
Tesla will report first quarter earnings after the bell on Wednesday, with Wall Street focused on the company's slow-to-evolve Robotaxi rollout and capital expenditures, which are expected to balloon due to the company's AI ventures.
Snooki reveals regrets after cancer diagnosis (exclusive)
After being diagnosed with cervical cancer, Nicole 'Snooki' Polizzi is opening up on her big health regret.
Malicious KICS Docker Images and VS Code Extensions Hit Checkmarx Supply Chain
Malicious KICS Docker tags and VS Code versions 1.17.0, 1.19.0 enabled data exfiltration, risking exposed infrastructure secrets.
Leaker: Apple to Downgrade iPhone 18 in Two Ways
Following the emergence of a rumor that Apple is planning to downgrade the iPhone 18 to cut costs, further detail has emerged suggesting that display and chip specifications will see downgrades. Earlier this week, the leaker known as "Fixed Focus Digital" said that the iPhone 18 features "certain manufacturing downgrades" that bring it more into line with the low-cost iPhone 18e model. The decision is said to be "a cost-cutting measure".
'Devil Wears Prada 2' director explains why Adrian Grenier cameo didn't happen
'Devil Wears Prada 2' director David Frankel tells EW that he wanted an Adrian Grenier cameo as Nate, and explains why the 'Entourage' star didn't come back for the sequel.
Microsoft Patches Critical ASP.NET Core CVE-2026-40372 Privilege Escalation Bug
CVE-2026-40372 scores 9.1 due to cryptographic flaw in ASP.NET Core 10.0.0–10.0.6, risking SYSTEM access.
Do the 76ers have a chance against the Celtics if they prolong the series and get Joel Embiid back?
Analyst has Steelers going in QB direction in NFL Draft
Do the Steelers need a new quarterback?
Dan Eggen, who shaped politics coverage at The Post, dies at 60
He helped guide Pulitzer Prize-winning projects, including coverage of Russian election interference in 2016 and the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol.
Woman charged with embezzling nearly $15,000 from a Biloxi business, police say
Gladys Renee Herrington is charged with embezzlement.
Framework is building an eGPU kit for its Laptop 16
The OCuLink Dev Kit is due to ship later this year.
Supreme Court’s high-stakes term could reshape presidential power, immigration, voting rights
The Supreme Court’s term is packed — birthright citizenship, presidential removals, voting rules, transgender sports and more. Constitutional law expert Rod Sullivan joins News4JAX anchor Bruce Hamilton on this week’s episode of Politics & Power to discuss what’s at stake and why it matters to you.
Democrats Once Loathed Gerrymandering. Now They’re Pushing for It.
The party is seeking an extra edge in Virginia at a time when its thinking has changed on the partisan drawing of political maps — in large part, leaders say, because of President Trump’s tactics.
'Electric': Bills QB Josh Allen buys into Sabres buzz around Buffalo
The NFL star says Buffalo is a better place when the Sabres are playing well.
Former LSU QB has some health concerns leading into the draft
LSU QB injuries may have cost him a top spot in the draft.
NFL Draft landing spots for the top 10 QBs, plus what every team should do in the draft and A.J. Brown rumors
The Pick Six newsletter goes all-in on 2026 NFL Draft buzz, mock drafts and trade rumors
UP-based basketball flooring provider expands service within WNBA
Connor Sports’ established presence in women’s professional basketball includes work with the Las Vegas Aces, Atlanta Dream, Connecticut Sun and Dallas Wings.
Tariff refund system launches as thousands of companies file claims
The refund system set up to allow companies to recover illegally collected tariffs from the U.S. government went live on Monday as thousands of companies rushed to file claims.
Ty Simpson turned down $6.5M from Miami: Here's where ex-Alabama QB must land in 2026 NFL Draft to break even
The former Tide signal caller turned to the legendary Nick Saban for advice on his final decision
Royals lose in uninspired fashion, 7-0.
The Mets have lost 11 in a row, so the Royals are not on the worst stretch in baseball, I guess.
Yankees Social Media Spotlight: Celebrating Jackie
This week, Major League Baseball honors the life and legacy of Jackie Robinson.
Modder Discovers Abandoned Dark Souls II Sewer Level
The infamous Gutter appears to have been far more ambitious in an earlier development phase
Bills' Josh Allen already holding NFL rushing history
Bills QB Josh Allen rushes the ball very well.
Connecting the dots on Buffalo Bills 2026 NFL Draft visits
Have the Buffalo Bills revealed their intentions for the 2026 NFL Draft by way of their pre-draft official visits?
Bengals News (4/19): A big day for Cincinnati
The league is buzzing about the Dexter Lawrence trade.
Can chickens really run around with their heads cut off?
There's lore about chickens surviving from seconds to months after their heads are chopped off, but what does the science say?
San Jose Sharks phenom Macklin Celebrini open to contract extension
San Jose Sharks young star Macklin Celebrini was asked whether he'd want to be with the Sharks long term.
$3 million prize goes to duo whose research led to first sickle cell CRISPR therapy
Dr. Swee Lay Thein and Dr. Stuart Orkin won the $3 million Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences for their work toward a functional cure for the deadly blood disorders sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.
$3 million prize goes to duo whose research led to first sickle cell CRISPR therapy
Dr. Swee Lay Thein and Dr. Stuart Orkin won the $3 million Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences for their work toward a functional cure for the deadly blood disorders sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.
Science news this week: Physicists witness faster-than-light darkness pinpricks, humans are still evolving, and some polar bears are getting fatter than ever
April 18, 2026: Our weekly roundup of the latest science in the news, as well as a few fascinating articles to keep you entertained over the weekend
Strait of Hormuz reopens & getting money out of politics
The Strait of Hormuz reopens as President Trump teases another round of talks. Retired Naval Intelligence Commander Dr. Paul Chabot weighs in on what could come next. Plus, Ken Whittaker with Michigan United discusses why he feels money should be taken out of politics.
Wisconsin hockey signs Penn State's JJ Wiebusch, Cornell's Alexis Cournoyer
Wisconsin men's hockey coach Mike Hastings added scoring, goaltending depths with his latest signings from the transfer portal.
Tired of 2026 mock drafts? Meet the 32 future stars who could define the 2027 NFL Draft
Jeremiah Smith headlines the list, while Arch Manning cracks top five but isn't QB1
JD Vance: the vice president of diminishing returns
Whether he’s bringing peace to the Middle East or arguing Just War theory with the Bishop of Rome, Vance seems to be everywhere these days
Steelers WR Michael Pittman not worried about Aaron Rodgers uncertainty
The new Steelers wide receiver will roll with whomever is at quarterback.
Joe Flacco sounds off against NFL's plan for 18-game schedule: QB gives two reasons why expanding would be bad
The pushback against an 18-game NFL season has begun
Texas Tech Tradition Takes Center Stage: Transfer of Reins, Passing of Guns
Texas Tech University formally welcomes the future leaders behind two of its most recognizable figures: the Masked Rider and Raider Red.
2026 NFL mock draft: Cowboys move up for Ohio State star; Cardinals land QB with late trade
Dallas makes a move up the board with the Browns, who add a third first-rounder
Player Availability Report: #VANvSKC
Player Availability Report is SportingKC.com’s look at the latest status updates around the team ahead of upcoming matches and is presented by Saint Luke’s. All details listed are from the league’s official Player Status Report that is submitted the day prior to the match. Sporting Kansas City continues the club’s
‘This moment of bipartisan agreement might not last’
Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
College football spring game storylines: QB battles, impact transfers, freshmen to watch
Nearly two dozen Power Four programs wrap up spring practices on Saturday
Panthers mock draft roundup 9.0: Tracking the latest 2026 projections
With the start of the 2026 NFL Draft now one week away, let's look at some of the latest first-round projections for the Panthers.
2026 NFL Draft Odds: Back Ty Simpson as 1st-Rounder, Over 4.5 Corners on Day 1
Find out how many QBs and cornerbacks Geoff Schwartz is wagering on to get called off board on Day 1 of the NFL Draft.
SantaCon organizer is a grinch who stole $1 million, Justice Department alleges
The organizer of SantaCon, an annual bar crawl where attendees dress up as Santa Claus, was arrested and charged with stealing more than $1 million intended for charity.
Mike White's Prep Talk: 10 questions with Hopewell's James Armstrong, three-sport standout and future major-college QB
James Armstrong has this belief that playing sports gives him peace. Well, then Armstrong lives in almost total peace. If high school sports were on a...
The Tech Industry’s Latest Battleground Is Art-Style TV Sets
Amazon wants to capitalize on a category that Samsung pioneered. It’s also releasing a new $35 streaming stick.
High School Sports: April 14th
Watch highlights from Tuesday's high school softball, soccer and baseball.
White House favors Erica Schwartz, former deputy surgeon general, to lead CDC
Schwartz would be Trump’s third nominee to lead the CDC. She left government in 2021, after the Biden administration passed her over for acting U.S. surgeon general.
Mid-Michigan Matters: Celebrating science and improving scientific literacy
Throughout April, Michigan State University will be holding its Science Festival.
Oregon Ducks QB Dylan Raiola gives health update after broken leg
Oregon Ducks quarterback Dylan Raiola has been fully cleared after suffering a broke leg at the end of the 2025 season.
OPINION | More than a vote: discovering my place in politics
In high school, I viewed politics as one of the most mind-numbing subjects imaginable. From my perspective, Congress was dominated by wealthy, older white men and my single vote felt insignificant, as though it could never truly represent me. Politics seemed distant, unrelatable and ultimately pointless. In 2024, however, Congress reached a record high of...
More than a vote: discovering my place in politics
In high school, I viewed politics as one of the most mind-numbing subjects imaginable. From my perspective, Congress was dominated by wealthy, older white men and my single vote felt insignificant, as though it could never truly represent me. Politics seemed distant, unrelatable and ultimately pointless. In 2024, however, Congress reached a record high of...
Where to watch Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Tuesday, April 14
Aaron Judge and the Yankees take on the Angels.
Joey Fatone lost power to his house on Christmas because he couldn't pay the bill: 'I was asking people for money' (exclusive sneak peek)
Joey Fatone reveals in an exclusive 'Boy Band Confidential' sneak peek that the power company shut off his lights on Christmas when he was near bankruptcy. 'I had family over at my house. Good thing I had the water, but the power just went pew,' he tells EW.
Despite Israeli firepower, Netanyahu struggles for political gains in Iran war
The Iran war was meant to deliver a defining victory over Tehran that would secure Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's place in history. More than six weeks into the conflict, he has been unable to translate military might into political gain.
Business listings: See 35 new businesses in Central NY (April 14, 2026)
See a list of filings in Cayuga, Cortland, Madison and Onondaga counties.
Inside the Trump Family’s Business Expansion and How It Could Reshape the Presidency
While U.S. presidents have historically attempted to refrain from personal business dealings while assuming the highest office in the land, the Trump family’s business expansion could potentially resh...
ICE surge costs: Business seek relief | FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul
Minneapolis and St. Paul took the hardest hit during the ICE surge, which the cities estimate at more than $300 million in business losses. But business owners in greater Minnesota suffered as well, and some of them are Republican lawmakers.
2026 NFL mock draft 8.2: Pair of QBs go in first round, while Rueben Bain Jr. goes top 10
2026 All-Juice Team: One play from Fernando Mendoza earned him instant entry to this squad
On a team and in a process that has always sought QBs who could lead and elevate players around them, Mendoza's inclusion became a no-brainer. With that in mind, we give you the 12th installment of the All-Juice Team.
Patriots host second quarterback prospect on pre-draft visit
The Patriots are taking an up-close look at Texas A&M QB Behren Morton.
Player Grades: Cavs vs Wizards – Tyrese Proctor ends strong
Proctor helped the Cavs finish the season strong.
Jim Cramer on D-Wave (QBTS): “Maybe the Science Project Works Out, But It Is More of a Science Project”
D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) is among the stocks Jim Cramer discussed alongside the tech market divide. A caller asked if Cramer thinks companies like D-Wave Quantum are positioned to rebound. In response, Cramer commented: Well, I think it’s more of a, candidly, it’s more of a science project, which I don’t mean, you know, look, […]
Spark! Imagination and Science Center hosts Earth Fest for families
Spark hosts a Spark! Sunday event each month to encourage fun while exploring the basics of STEM concepts.
Kentucky Football lands commitment of 4-star QB Jake Nawrot
Nawrot is a top-40 prospect in the class of 2027.
Alabama redshirt freshman QB turns heads with spring game performance
Keelon Russell was a five-star recruit in the 2025 class, and he could be in line to take over under center this fall after an electric spring game.
Big Ten dominates 2026 preseason college football QB rankings
Jayden Maiava is one of four Big Ten quarterbacks to appear in a preseason list of the nation's best signal-callers. See which other QBs are there:
Will Aaron Rodgers' potential retirement dash Steelers' 2026 plans?
The Pittsburgh Steelers may be in for a long 2026 season if Aaron Rodgers chooses to retire, leaving the team with Will Howard and Mason Rudolph.
GSK sees blockbuster potential in targeted cancer therapy after promising early data
British drugmaker GSK's experimental targeted cancer drug Mo-rez has blockbuster potential, its head of oncology research has told reporters, after early data showed the drug helped shrink tumors in patients with advanced, hard-to-treat cancers.
Hawai‘i Might Just Slay Citizens United — And You Can Help
We have the authority — and the responsibility — to get rid of dark money.
Iran war diverts US military and attention from Asia ahead of Trump's summit with China's leader
President Barack Obama in 2011 declared it was time to leave behind the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and “pivot” to Asia to counter China’s rise
Costco Just Introduced the Kirkland Product Fans Have 'Been Waiting For,' and It's Selling Out Fast
Costco’s Kirkland Signature Ultra-Filtered Reduced Fat Milk, which is remarkably similar to Fairlife 2% Lactose-Free Milk, boasts 13 grams of protein per serving and half of the sugar compared to regular milk, at a fraction of the cost.
Detroit Lions 2026 NFL Draft Need Analysis: Quarterback
The Lions seem solid at the QB position for 2026, but could they add a developmental QB?
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
College football's most experienced players in 2026: Penn State's Rocco Becht leads among QBs
As eligibility stretches careers, snap counts provide a clearer look at which players have truly logged the most time on the field
Former New York Jets QB Browning Nagle has passed away
Sad news for a former Jets quarterback.
Oregon's Dante Moore a model for mental health advocacy, teammates say
Oregon QB Dante Moore sent a letter to the governor about his mental health struggles and the need for services. His teammates praise his advocacy.
NFL news, live updates: Texans reportedly pick up fifth-year options on QB C.J. Stroud and edge Will Anderson Jr.
Boston 25 News
Spring sports season is here, and for millions of kids, that means teammates, competition, and time on the field, and the benefits can last a lifetime.
Game Preview: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
The 2025-2026 season (almost) comes to a close where it began for these Texas franchises
Southampton's Eckert wins manager of the month award
Southampton head coach Tonda Eckert is named the Championship's manager of the month for March.
Searching for Truth Inside Viktor Orban’s Media Machine
In Hungary, politics often splits along generational lines. The election result may hinge on how many voters still trust what they see on state television.
Exclusive: DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, Bet365 fund sports gambling super PAC
Several major sportsbooks have contributed tens of millions of dollars to a super PAC to support sports betting throughout the country, Axios has learned.
Analyst sees MVP potential for Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence
One analyst recently detailed why Jaguars' QB Trevor Lawrence can win an MVP award.
ASU breaks ground on health campus in downtown Phoenix
Crews broke ground Thursday morning on the new home of Arizona State University’s health campus in downtown Phoenix.
Listen up: This is the leadership skill that businesses underestimate
New research debunks the introvert advantage. Plus: The U’s Technology Commercialization office marks a milestone.
Four-star QB recruit Davin Davidson is ready to commit
Davin Davidson, a four-star quarterback the Georgia Bulldogs are targeting, will commit on April 9 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Conservative Activists Take Aim At Native Hawaiian Health Scholarship
A new lawsuit filed by a legal advocacy nonprofit says a 35-year-old federal scholarship program that brought Native Hawaiian doctors to the islands is unconstitutional.
This trailblazing Atlanta surgeon broke barriers in sports medicine
Dr. Letha Griffin is now in the American Orthopaedic Society for Sports Medicine’s Hall of Fame.
NFL analyst tells the truth about Commanders QB Jayden Daniels
Don't forget about Jayden Daniels.
Former Eagles star backs Jalen Hurts after ridiculous comments
Philly has their QBs back.
Xtreme One Entertainment Secures Temporary Restraining Order Against Lender Williamsburg Venture Holdings, Halting Alleged Fraudulent Transfer and Sale of $XONI Stock
Emergency Court Order Requires Immediate Return of Shares by Williamsburg and Securities Intermediaries Based on Alleged Breach of Contract and Fraudulent TransferGRAND RAPIDS, Mich., April 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Xtreme One Entertainment, Inc. (OTCQB: XONI), a diversified media and live-event sports company, and parent company of Xtreme Fighting Championships (XFC), today announced it was granted a Temporary Restraining Order (TRO) based on the Company’s lawsuit that alleges fraud, breach
Sony’s ‘True RGB’ TVs are coming – and they were 20 years in the making
A two-decade journey, a bold new name, and a clear message to rivals