SCROLL NEWS / DISCOVERY
Search headlines
Find the stories shaping the conversation.
Results for " predict " 3,085 found 🔀 AI-powered Shuffle
Trump regulator orders Kalshi to defy Michigan court – escalating battle over prediction markets
The Trump administration took an extraordinary step this week to escalate its nationwide efforts to prevent states from regulating prediction markets, where users can trade on real-world events like sports, politics and pop culture.
'Shared cosmic experience': 'Potentially hazardous' asteroid Apophis could be visible to 90% of Earth's population during ultraclose 2029 flyby, new maps reveal
Researchers predict that up to 7.6 billion people will be able to see the potentially hazardous asteroid Apophis fly past Earth on April 13, 2029. The skyscraper-size space rock will come closer than some satellites, making it clearly visible to the naked eye.
2026 NFL Season Predictions
NFL training camps are beginning to open this weekend, and a lot can happen between now and the start of the 2026 regular season. Still, the editors of Athlon Sports' 2026 NFL Preview magazine have already made their predictions for who will be in the playoffs and who takes home individual player awards. The following picks are from the magazine, which is on sale now.
Can Network Science Predict the World Cup?
Northeastern researchers use network science to examine World Cup teams. Can the data accurately predict who will win the World Cup final?
House Subcommittee to Examine Prediction Market Protections
Congress examines consumer protections in unregulated sports prediction markets. House hearing addresses market integrity and regulatory gaps. Learn more.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets and picks for Royal Birkdale
ZeniMax Online Studios leadership to exit as part of Xbox cuts
There are major changes happening atop Maryland-based ZeniMax Online Studios, developer of the Elder Scrolls Online, Game File has learned. Joe Burba, a 14-year veteran of the studio who was appointed to run it last July, is departing, along with ESO executive producer Susan Kath, studio game director Rich Lambert and production director Ala Diaz. Their roles were listed among hundreds of others cut last week from the Maryland offices of ZeniMax, in a WARN letter sent to the state by ZeniMax and obtained today by Game File. Tonight, BUrbam Kath, Lambert and Diaz notified Zenimax Online Studios workers of plans to “transition” to a new leadership team consisting of promoted ZOS veterans. That transition will occur “over the next few months,” they told workers, according to a copy of the notice reviewed by Game File. “We will remain in place during the transition period to help ensure a smooth handoff.” Last week, Microsoft laid off of 1,600 workers across its vast gaming teams in locations around the U.S. and abroad. Just who has been impacted and how hard various studios have been hit has been emerging day by day. Game File reported last week that Microsoft/ZeniMax notified officials in Maryland that 379 gaming jobs were being cut across the state. They tallied cuts in two locations: one for ZeniMax Media Inc. (covering Elder Scrolls/Starfield/Fallout-maker Bethesda Game Studios and central Bethesda game publishing) and one for ZeniMax Online Studios (Elder Scrolls Online). More than 200 jobs were cut at the latter. Last week’s totals did not reveal job titles, nor did Microsoft announce any leadership changes in the ZeniMax group. That has now happened. Earlier today, Game File obtained from Maryland officials a breakdown of the 379 impacted roles, which, extraordinarily, included “studio head.” Microsoft later confirmed to Game File which studio head that referred to: ZeniMax Online Studios’. Microsoft has since has notified studio employees and internally announced new leadership. ZOS will now be run by Josh Henderson, previously head of business operations at the studio, and Nick Giacomini, who was promoted to game director for ESO last August. Game File is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my journalism, please consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe Last week’s news of 200+ cuts at ZeniMax Online Studios generated public sympathy for those workers and questions about the long-term viability of the Elder Scrolls Online. ESO is a massively multiplayer online game that inherently persists on the strength of new content being developed for it. Earlier today, fans and workers in Maryland protested the cuts at the ZeniMax teams in a rally organized by the Communication Workers of America, the union that represents many of the impacted employees. Regarding concerns around the game, a community manager stated on Saturday: “The plan is still to deliver great content, and we will hopefully have an update soon.” In their note to the studio today, the outgoing leaders of ZeniMax Online Studios predicted “growth” for the game: We have tremendous confidence in Josh and Nick, the future of this studio, and the continued growth of ESO. With exciting experiences still ahead for our players as we wrap up work for Update 51 and beyond, we believe that your passion, creativity, and commitment to each other and the community will continue serving as the heartbeat of ESO. The list of jobs cut in the ZeniMax WARN notice in Maryland includes several very senior roles, including: Studio Head Studio Operations Director Studio Game Director Studio Audio Director Studio Art Manager Vice President and Controller VP, Global Sales & Business Development While some of those job descriptions match the exiting ZOS leadership team, Game File couldn’t verify if all were from that studio. The full list of cut roles shared by Maryland officials also covers workers at Bethesda Game Studios and its central publishing office. The following is an excerpt: The list of 379 eliminated ZeniMax jobs in Maryland also includes: four animators three bilingual CS (community service) leads for Chinese, Italian, and Japanese a creative director for the Elder Scrolls Online Player Life Cycle two food service workers seven producers more than 60 senior QA testers. and many others The WARN notice states that almost all of the 379 workers were notified of their layoff on July 6. In fine print, it states: “Approximately 9 employees were notified of the elimination of their position prior to July 6, 2026.” A 2021 mega-merger scaled back Microsoft announced in 2020 that it intended to buy ZeniMax and its network of game studios in 2020, and closed the $7.5 billion deal in March 2021. The purchase, which preceded Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision Blizzard, added several award-winning studios to Microsoft’s portfolio, including Bethesda (Elder Scrolls, Fallout), Arkane (Dishonored), and id Software (Doom). The studios’ output since then included a 2024 Game of the Year contented from MachineGames in the form of Indiana Jones and the Great Circle along with Starfield from Bethesda and the poorly-received Redfall from Arkane Austin. In recent years, a Microsoft repeatedly in cutback mode closed ZeniMax’s Tango Gameworks (which was reconstituted by Krafton) and closed Arkane Austin. The Xbox cuts last week have hit the ZeniMax group hard, with 158 jobs eliminated in Texas, many of them at id, and 379 from the ZeniMax teams in Maryland. Xbox also said last week that it would be entering a consultation process around Arkane Lyon, a process expected to end in a sale, shutdown or other form of divestment. The Lyon team has been working on a game tied to Marvel’s Blade vampire-hunting super-hero.
The States Try to Topple WarnerMount…Thus Begins the Local Antitrust Era
(Welcome to the “Most Important Story of the Week”, my bi-weekly strategy column analyzing the most important (but often not buzziest) news story of the last two weeks. I’m the Entertainment Strategy Guy, a former streaming executive who now analyzes business strategy in the entertainment industry. Please subscribe.) Well, it looks like it’s time for another strategy column. Can I finally avoid writing about M&A? No, it seems I cannot. Admittedly, I’m a week early with this column, since I usually put it out every other week. But this news couldn’t wait. This will make three “Most Important Stories” in a row with a merger or acquisition as its centerpiece. First, Roku-Fox (an acquisition), then Comcast-NBCUniversal (a divestment!), and now the State AGs and the WGA’s lawsuits against Paramount’s pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery (antitrust). M&A is usually the “most important” topic any given week, simply because a giant company merging or breaking up (or preventing those outcomes) can have the biggest impact on the streaming board. If you think about these companies as players in a game, changing the number of players is one of the biggest changes you can make. I shouldn’t really complain, either, since this lawsuit is very good news for customers and suppliers (econ speak for talent, workers and indie studios in Hollywood). So let me answer some questions about this potential trial, along with (shudder) making some heavily caveated predictions. I’ll also look at whether Hollywood must consolidate, whether or not the states can win, trouble at X-Box, Netflix’s YouTube binge, and more. Plus, I have five images that visualize this merger and the harm, including three brand new data looks you’ve never seen before. Subscribe Most Important Story of the Week - Can The States and the WGA Stop Hollywood’s Consolidation (Crisis)? If every other newsletter and news outlet is writing about the same story, I try to avoid writing about it as well, but I can’t ignore a story this consequential. The story of the last year was the fate of Warner Bros. Discovery, and this development potentially extends that saga into 2027. As I tried to figure out my angle, I realized, like my last column, I’m again faced with a series of questions. These questions, though, are much more forward-looking. Will the states win? Will the WGA win? If so, what happens to Warner Bros. Discovery? Either way, will this chill the market for future mergers? So you know what that means: predictions. About the future, no less, the hardest thing to predict.1 Just remember: nothing here comes with a guarantee. And the more confident someone is in their predictions, the less you should trust them. This situation is incredibly fluid, nuanced, uncertain and tenuous. So let’s try to explain what may happen. Question: Why File this Lawsuit? I’ll admit, a few months back, I was fairly pessimistic about the fate of this lawsuit. Rumors had started bubbling up that the state Attorneys General (in particular California) wanted to settle with either some minor divestments (usually CNN) or behavioral remedies. And that tracked for me: the states usually settle lawsuits, like the recent John Deere right-to-repair suit. Yet, they plan to fight this. (As they did the LiveNation-Ticketmaster monopolization trial and the Nexstar-Tegna merger.) Honestly, that also makes a ton of sense. Frankly, this move is just good politics for these State AGs. Most are still running for higher and higher office in blue states—some folks have emphasized that only Democratic AGs joined this suit, but given the Ellison/Trump ties, and fears of retribution, that tracks—and a high profile case like this will help them move up the electoral ladder, especially since Paramount and its leadership (the Ellisons, father and heir) have sided with the other side of the political aisle. That makes them unsympathetic to Democratic voters and Hollywood workers in particular. Why did this lawsuit happen? In addition to the very real concerns about industry consolidation, this is why. That said, I don’t think we would have seen this lawsuit for Netflix and Warner Bros., simply because they’re more sympathetic and aligned with Democrats. But those consolidation concerns are real. The “town”—meaning Hollywood and such—really is seeing the damage of mergers on this industry. That’s why the WGA also filed its own lawsuit in defense of workers as well. (Wildcard: What about Europe? Will they try to stop the deal, too? There have been some rumors out of the UK they may try to fight the deal, and UK enforcers just stopped a Getty Images-Shutterstock tie up, so there is precedence. This argument could go either way, though. On one hand, the EU doesn’t need to step in, cause they states are handling it. On the other hand, this could make the EU’s case easier. Just imagine if both sides coordinated. I’ll simply say, “We’ll see!”) Question: Will The State AGs or the WGA Win? Can the state AGs play David to Paramount-Skydance’s Goliath here? That’s really the whole thing, isn’t it? If you know this result, you could make a lot of money. When things are uncertain, it’s tempting to shrug and say, “Eh” meaning it’s a 50/50 proposition. I wouldn’t, though. When in doubt, you should expect that the merging parties succeed. AT&T did successfully buy Warner Bros., after all, and Disney bought Fox without any challenges. Many judges are extremely sympathetic to mergers, and I’d bet the state AGs get a judge who will allow the merger. (Even Obama-appointed judges often allow mergers.) As I understand it, we’ll see two main attacks. First, theatrical films. The AGs are arguing that, when it comes to share of box office and the number of both “wide releases” and blockbuster (or “tentpole”) films, the merging parties will have over 27% market share. Now, the Supreme Court once ruled from on high that any merger that exceeds 30% is presumptively illegal, but that’s guidance, not an ironclad bar. Still, the states will have to argue that this is close to having too much power, and with that power, this will likely further worsen the theater/studio splits in particular. Indeed, as Matthew Stoller pointed out, “just five studios are responsible for 95% of all blockbusters; if this merger goes through, then Paramount and Disney will control 60% of that.” So yes, movie studios will be very concentrated after this merger. Want me to visualize some of that? Well, here’s the share of films that grossed over $200 million at the domestic box office since 2022. (Note: this isn’t all films released in over 3,000 screens, but it is a good look at market power.) First, here are the 43 films by studio: Notice all the blue (Disney), orange (Universal), and purple (Warner Bros)? Yeah, those studios are powerful, and this combines Paramount with one of them. Here’s the look by studio and share of the films that grossed over $200 million: Now, if you look at that and also think, “Huh, should we break up Disney?” I’m with you. I’ve seen some folks poo-poo this idea that this is a real category, but it is! For an upcoming article, I’ve been pulling data on the share of top 100 films at the box office as a share of total box office, and it’s massive. Here’s the chart: (This analysis looks at The-Number’s top 100 films and total domestic box office each year.) To be clear, tentpoles make up 80.7% of the box office each year, so I do think it’s a genuine market. (To be clear, films grossing over $50 million make up 80% of the domestic box office, and films grossing over $100 million make up 64.1%.) I mean, the top 100 films at the box office make up 95% of each year’s grosses. Worse, the combined studios will likely cut output to flex that market power. Everyone can just look at what happened to Disney and Fox to see the precedent. (With fewer films, the remaining theaters have to give more for those few films that remain.) Here’s an image I’ve used a lot, the share of wide-release films from Disney and Fox over time: The AGs will also argue that this consolidation will also impact the cable industry. In this case, the consolidation is actually worse, but that environment is…complicated. Paramount will argue that the cable industry is shrinking. That said, predictions that cable will “go to zero” also don’t look very well supported by the data, as the declines are shrinking, meaning “cable” or “vMVPDs” will likely stabilize at some point. Can the state Attorneys General win on those two main arguments? I honestly don’t know. Again, I’d bet no, since history in general supports that, but it depends on the judge/jury and how they interpret the arguments. Notably, Paramount won’t face accusations about monopoly power in other areas, like streaming, news, sports rights, or vertical integration. I tend to disagree with leaving out sports rights, but I also see the appeal for a simpler case. The states also aren’t really pushing novel theories about labor harm either, which should help. (By the way, Sean McNulty at The Ankler wrote a great run through of potential options, and Capitol Forum also wrote a great paper on theatrical consolidation. Both these pieces predated the lawsuit. Matthew Stoller is also out with his analysis of the pros and cons of the case too.) In some ways, the WGA’s case is even stronger. Quoting Sean McNulty’s summary: “The WGA is citing WARNAMOUNT as crossing a 30% market share in multiple sectors, a number that the Supreme Court has precedent for deeming “presumptively anticompetitive” in a market. According to the WGA numbers, WARNAMOUNT would have represented: - 35% of film writing jobs between 2021 and 2024 - 36% of TV writing projects between 2022 and 2025 - 38% of overall deals between 2021 and 2024” Notably, antitrust enforcers did win recently in the Penguin-Simon & Schuster merger by focusing on labor impact, so don’t count this thinking out. (Wildcard: Will the states try to get a jury trial? Most likely no, they’ll let a judge handle it. If I’m them, though, I’d try to put this in front of a jury. Juries tend to understand monopoly power in a more realistic way than judges faced with legions of economists.) Question: What if They Win? What if They Lose?
Federal agency intervenes in Michigan's legal fight over Kalshi sports contracts
A federal board charged with overseeing futures trading is barring a popular prediction market from implementing a new rule after being ordered to cease sports betting operations in the state.
War Risk for Businesses Will Mean Higher Prices No Matter What Happens
Doing business in a more dangerous and unpredictable world will cost more, pushing up the price of everything from food to electronics.
Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & Predictions: 2026 Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have been the ultimate coaching carousel in recent history. The team hasn’t had the same head coach in consecutive full seasons since Jon Gruden captained the ship in 2019 and 2020 (and, not that it applies to on-field…
Informed Decision-Making with Healthcare Analytics
In healthcare, the byproducts of past challenges — data assets and innovation—are helping us envision a future where clinicians are well equipped to predict health outcomes and make informed decisions.
Another New Prediction Says Colts Trade Anthony Richardson Sr.
Everyone seems to be waiting for the other shoe to drop in the Indianapolis Colts' Anthony Richardson Sr. saga.
Kalshi’s Core Business May Already Be in Serious Trouble
States are cracking down on sports betting, and a major court ruling bodes poorly for the prediction-market giant.
Giants Trade Pitch Deals Disappointing Former 1st-Round Pick
Bleacher Report's Moe Moton predicts the New York Giants will trade cornerback and former 1st-round pick Deonte Banks. The post Giants Trade Pitch Deals Disappointing Former 1st-Round Pick appeared first on HEAVY.
Will UK Affordability Checks and Prediction-Market Scrutiny Change Flutter Entertainment's (FLUT) Regulatory Risk Narrative?
In recent days, UK gambling bosses, including Flutter Entertainment via the Betting and Gaming Council, have been weighing legal action against the Gambling Commission’s plan to introduce affordability checks for online customers spending over £1,000 within 24 hours, arguing the rules rely on weak evidence and could push bettors toward less regulated operators. At the same time, investor Michael Burry’s interest in Flutter, partly based on expectations that prediction markets may face...
The Trump team’s worst predictions about the Iran war
Over the last four and a half months, President Donald Trump and those around him have confidently made predictions that quickly fell apart.
TMA calls for new guardrails on betting-style apps as sports betting concerns grow
A new proposal from the Texas Medical Association is taking aim at online prediction market platforms, calling for more guardrails to protect young users from gambling-like behavior.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets and picks for Royal Birkdale
World Cup predictions: Expert picks for Argentina-England, Spain-France
The 2026 World Cup semifinals are set to kick off with Spain vs. France and Argentina vs. England. Here are expert picks and predictions for the games
Miller School Researchers Help Advance Award-Winning AI Model for Predictive Health Care
Miller School researchers helped advance an award-winning AI model that could improve early detection and personalized care.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy predictions by model that nailed 17 majors
After 10,000 simulations, SportsLine's computer reveals its British Open best bets for Royal Birkdale this week
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets for Royal Birkdale
Jaguars pre-training camp 53-man roster prediction: Tight end
With training camp near, let's predict which of the Jacksonville Jaguars' tight ends make the 53-man roster.
This sensor network could help predict bluff collapses along California's coast
Scientists at UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography found that it is possible to predict a coastal landslide hours, sometimes days, before it happens.
Can we predict deadly cliff collapses along the California coast? Scientists say it's possible
Scientists at UC San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography found that it is possible to predict a coastal landslide hours, sometimes days, before it happens.
ACC football predictions, preseason awards, all-conference teams
Can Malachi Toney and Darian Mensah get Miami back to the CFP? Will SMU, Louisville and Clemson push the Canes in the ACC? See our preseason poll.
OpenAI Is Showing Kalshi’s World Cup Odds in ChatGPT
The partnership, a first of its kind for the artificial intelligence company, will use the prediction market’s data to power some search results about the soccer tournament.
49ers’ Brandon Aiyuk Gets Brutal Commanders Prediction
Former NFL wideout T.J. Houshmandzadeh issued a blunt prediction to the San Francisco 49ers’ Brandon Aiyuk. Over the last few weeks, Aiyuk has been on a tirade on social media with several videos explaining his side of the story while attacking the Niners.Nonetheless, after attacking the 49ers, Aiyuk then transitioned to shots at Washington Commanders […] The post 49ers’ Brandon Aiyuk Gets Brutal Commanders Prediction appeared first on HEAVY.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets for Royal Birkdale
Scientists’ credibility depends on audience and perceived motives
A new study from Virginia Tech found that scientists’ credibility often hinges on their perceived motivations. “Our study finds that perceptions of scientists’ motivation to serve the public good are the strongest predictor of whether Americans trust them, accept their information as credible, and support science-based policies,” said Dara Wald, associate professor in environmental policy and planning.
The Quintessential Trump-era Politician
In 2020, I wrote an article about collaboration and collaborators. The title was History Will Judge the Complicit, and it started with the story of two famous East Germans, Markus Wolf and Wolfgang Leonhard, who both landed in East Berlin just after the end of the war. Although they came from very similar backgrounds, the former stuck with the regime, eventually becoming its spy boss; the latter, horrified by the brutal reality of Soviet-style communism, escaped. By way of juxtaposition, I also wrote about Lyndsey Graham and Mitt Romney. These two men also made very different decisions when confronted by Donald Trump’s assault on the ideals that they had both grown up believing: A glance at their biographies would not have led many to predict what happened next. On paper, Graham would have seemed, in 2016, like the man with deeper ties to the military, to the rule of law, and to an old-fashioned idea of American patriotism and American responsibility in the world. Romney, by contrast, with his shifts between the center and the right, with his multiple careers in business and politics, would have seemed less deeply attached to those same old-fashioned patriotic ideals. Most of us register soldiers as loyal patriots, and management consultants as self-interested. We assume people from small towns in South Carolina are more likely to resist political pressure than people who have lived in many places. Intuitively, we think that loyalty to a particular place implies loyalty to a set of values. But in this case the clichés were wrong. It was Graham who made excuses for Trump’s abuse of power. It was Graham—a JAG Corps lawyer—who downplayed the evidence that the president had attempted to manipulate foreign courts and blackmail a foreign leader into launching a phony investigation into a political rival. It was Graham who abandoned his own stated support for bipartisanship and instead pushed for a hyperpartisan Senate Judiciary Committee investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s son. It was Graham who played golf with Trump, who made excuses for him on television, who supported the president even as he slowly destroyed the American alliances—with Europeans, with the Kurds—that Graham had defended all his life. By contrast, it was Romney who, in February, became the only Republican senator to break ranks with his colleagues, voting to impeach the president. “Corrupting an election to keep oneself in office,” he said, is “perhaps the most abusive and destructive violation of one’s oath of office that I can imagine.” In the wake of Graham’s unexpected death on Saturday, I wrote about him again. He was, in many ways, the quintessential politician of Trump’s Washington, a man who shifted 180 degrees. Graham had been a fervent American patriot, proud reserve officer and military lawyer; he became one of the most important defenders of a president who believes soldiers are “suckers and losers” and shows no respect for law of any kind. As his politics changed, his language grew coarser and his behavior grew worse: He urged Israel to “level the place” in Gaza, and insulted the Danish prime minister in Munich, prompting a colleague, Senator Elissa Slotkin, to issue an apology. Here’s an excerpt from the article, which you can read in The Atlantic (gift link here) Like his close friend John McCain, Graham believed that America should stand at the center of a broad democratic alliance. The few times I met him were in that context, at the Munich Security Conference or at other European-American gatherings, which he once attended with great regularity. He also took seriously the practice of American democracy at home. In a 2014 conversation with The Atlantic, he described himself as a pragmatic politician who eschewed populist slogans. “I know Washington is broken, but what’s broken about it is everybody yelling and nobody trying to fix it,” he said. “I’m trying.” When Donald Trump first appeared in U.S. politics, Graham recognized him immediately for what he was: the spokesman for an alien ideology, one radically different from the idealistic patriotism that Graham had practiced and preached since childhood. Trump privately mocked the military that Graham loved as nothing but “suckers and losers.” He put falsehoods, cynicism, and personal greed at the center of his politics, while expressing disdain for transparency, accountability, and democracy itself. In 2015, Graham described Trump as a “race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot” who should “go to hell.” Also as a “nutjob.” When Trump won, Graham understood, as did so many others, that he would have to make some important choices. For a while, he went silent. In the spring of 2016, I saw him at one of those conferences in Europe. He seemed too depressed to speak. But then, like many other Republicans—and, more important, like many other people who have lived under political occupation or experienced radical regime change—he made the decision to abandon his previous ideals, to bury the patriotism that was once so important to him, and to become, instead, a loud, opportunistic collaborator. As I wrote in 2020, it’s very hard to look in to anyone’s heart and to understand their motivations from the outside. But it does seem that Graham had a deep need to be relevant, to be in the game, to be a player, at any cost. And that, rather than any particular achievement, is what he will be remembered for. Continuing to monitor conflicts of interest, ostentatious emoluments, outright corruption and policy changes that will facilitate outright corruption. (Read my original article, Kleptocracy Inc and check out the SNF Agora Institute chart) June 27 Trump diverted funds from more than 900 projects nationwide—including safety upgrades at national parks—to finance beautification projects around Washington, including $700,000 used to fix a White House walkway. June 28 After a years-long Department of Justice investigation into Abbott Laboratories over its management of a baby formula facility where potentially deadly bacteria turned up enough evidence to criminally charge the firm, top department officials instead opted for a financial penalty—illustrating the department’s move away from strict corporate enforcement under the Trump administration. June 29 Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stacked the Defense Policy Board—which is charged with providing independent national security recommendations to the Office of the Secretary of Defense—with Trump allies, including tech billionaire Marc Andreessen, who has invested in defense contractors like OpenAI and SpaceX, after purging the panel last year. Trump purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of stock in Axon—which makes about 90% of US tasers—two weeks before ICE solicited bids for a $220 million taser contract. The White House unveiled limited-edition US passports for America’s 250th birthday, featuring a portrait of Trump overlaid on the Declaration of Independence. June 30 Trump made around $1.2 billion from his various crypto companies last year, including more than $500 million from World Liberty Financial and $600 million from sales of his meme coin. Trump is considering issuing 250 pardons to commemorate America’s 250th birthday. These are expected to be largely doled out through the Office of the Pardon Attorney’s informal network of intermediaries. White-collar defense attorneys say they can typically win pardons for clients for $2 million. Last year, Trump administration officials awarded a no-bid contract worth up to $500 million to Clark Construction for the White House ballroom—negotiations in which the president was directly involved. July 1 The Amazon MGM Studios documentary about Melania Trump earned the First Lady more than $10 million. Trump made hundreds of individual stock purchases worth as much as $12.8 million the day before his announcement pausing “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days sent the S&P 500 soaring nearly 10%—one of the largest single-day gains ever. Mar-a-Lago and Trump National Doral saw record surges in revenue during Trump’s first year in office, earning $77.5 million and $121.9 million respectively, compared to average annual revenues of $25 million and $75 million during Trump’s first term. Entities across the Persian Gulf paid more than $300 million to Trump’s businesses last year, including $263 million from the sale of half his stake in World Liberty Financial to a firm backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a top UAE royal and brother of the country’s president. Kash Patel failed to properly disclose his stock purchase of a Department of Justice contractor, MicroStrategy, worth up to $250,000 last year, despite laws requiring disclosure within 45 days of the trade. July 2 Trump has been directing administration officials to steer more government contracts—so far worth more than $2.4 billion—to Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin aerospace firm, after Amazon gave $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund, donated to the White House ballroom project, and reached a $40 million deal to license a Melania Trump documentary. Alongside the billions he made from cryptocurrency last year, Trump earned millions of dollars from real estate licensing fees, including $21 million from organizations in the UAE and $9.2 million in Saudi Arabia, along with smaller sums from merchandise sales, including $4.7 million from Trump Watches and $35,920 from 45 Guitar, a guitar brand endorsed by the president. House Democrats accused consultants tied to the Trump administration of financial fraud, alleging they gave prospective donors to America250—the bipartisan committee created by Congress to celebrate the nation’s semiquincentennial—the banking and routing numbers for Freedom 250, the White House’s fund for events like the UFC cage fight. Democrats also allege that Freedom 250’s CEO traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos to solicit donations from foreign government officials and business leaders. The Trump administration’s proposed rollback of gun regulations would lift the prohibition on mailing handguns to individuals, a significant win for GrabAGun—the direct-to-consumer firearm retailer on whose board Donald Trump Jr. sits and in which he holds a 1.1% ownership stake. GrabAGun currently must rely on a middleman to transfer firearms to customers. Trump’s financial disclosure revealed that he made more than 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in office, growing his investment account to at least $858 million across stakes in around 1,600 companies, compared to the 13 total trades Joe Biden made during his entire presidency. July 4 Nearly 1 million people who bought the president’s meme coin—Trump Coin—collectively lost $3.8 billion on the token, while he walked away with $636 million. July 6 Shares of Dell closed up 4.4% after Trump recommended people buy the firm’s computers during a speech announcing the launch of Trump investment accounts for children, boosting the more than $1 million worth of shares the president owns in the company. July 9 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh named crypto investor and Trump ally Marc Andreessen to a task force aimed at modernizing the Federal Reserve, including rethinking its approach to inflation—a key factor keeping interest rates elevated. Palm Beach International Airport has officially changed its name to Trump International Airport—a move that will require Florida to pay royalties to the president’s family for licensing his name. I was there a few months ago, during a trip to Barcelona. The sculptures were a revelation, I’d never seen so many together before. Each one has its own personality. Enjoy the good weather, if you are lucky enough to have it. History Will Judge the Complicit The Quintessential Politician Autocracy Inc Open Letters, from Anne Applebaum is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Subscribe
Polymarket Promo Code SBWIRE Get $50 Bonus for World Cup, Politics & More For July 13
Use Polymarket promo code SBWIRE to skip the waitlist AND claim a $50 bonus with a $20 deposit welcome offer. Start trading prediction markets immediately.
2026 Open Championship odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
Mike McClure's model has simulated the British Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed PGA best bets for Royal Birkdale
NJBIA Op-Ed: NJ’s Low CNBC State Business Rankings Are a Call to Action
NJBIA President and CEO Michele Siekerka, in an op-ed published Monday in BINJE, is urging state leaders to make predictability a top priority for
Reacts Results: Receiving expectations loud and clear
The Panthers have turned a traditional position of weakness into one of the hardest groups of talent to predict.
Chris Sutton's World Cup semi-final predictions
BBC Sport's football expert Chris Sutton gives his predictions for the semi-final ties at the 2026 World Cup.
Metaverse Market Surge: Entertainment Industry Set to Quadruple by 2032
The global metaverse in entertainment market is experiencing rapid growth, with its market size expected to soar from over USD 30.6 billion in 2026 to more than USD 121.9 billion by 2032. This expansion is driven by increasing demand for interactive digital experiences and technological investments from gaming, media, and tech sectors. Mixed Reality (MR) devices are predicted to grow the fastest, enhancing digital interactions in gaming, concerts, and sports. North America is a key player, leadi
LeBron James Makes Major Lakers Prediction Amid Free Agency
Several analysts believe Adou Thiero could become a key piece of Lakers rotation this season. Even LeBron James feels that way. The post LeBron James Makes Major Lakers Prediction Amid Free Agency appeared first on HEAVY.
4 Bold Predictions for Florida State Football in 2026
After a disappointing 2025, Mike Norvell faces a brutal schedule, a looming quarterback controversy, and a high-stakes clash in Tuscaloosa that could define his coaching future in Tallahassee.
Generations of Health: Lisa Boyd, PA, Discusses the Power of Family Medical History
Your family shares more than memories; they pass down a genetic blueprint that can shape your health for years to come. Lisa Boyd, PA-C, with CaroMont Family Medicine in Dallas, explains why knowing your family medical history is one of the most powerful tools in preventive healthcare. From predicting risk before symptoms appear to guiding smarter screening schedules, this information helps you and your care team make more informed decisions. Learn how to start the conversation, what conditions have hereditary links and when genetic testing may be the right next step for you.
Steelers training camp: Projecting the Steelers first offensive depth chart
The Steelers will release their first official depth chart in a few weeks and we take a shot at predicting what the offense will look like.
Details on Galaxy Z TriFold 2 and Samsung’s sliding phone leak as release dates shuffle around
Samsung is working on two very exciting foldables, the Galaxy Z TriFold 2 and a sliding phone. Industrywide complications are making the release dates of these phones unpredictable, however.
Willie Colon's Aaron Rodgers Prediction Could Change Steelers' 2026 Outlook
Despite the Steelers making several significant moves this offseason, some believe bringing back Aaron Rodgers won't be enough to elevate the team. In fact, one former Steelers Super Bowl champion believes Pittsburgh still has a few surprises in store. Willie Colon appeared on Good Morning Football, where he urged the crew not to overlook the Steelers in 2026.
Jaguars pre-training camp 53-man roster prediction: Running back
With training camp near, let's predict which of the Jacksonville Jaguars' running backs make the 53-man roster.
Venezuela's devastating 'earthquake doublet' holds a warning for California's San Andreas Fault
The Venezuelan earthquake doublet is a stark reminder that multi-fault systems may pose greater destructive power than some seismic models predict.
Miniatures make a comeback as young people seek to relieve stress
Life is uncertain. But there is one place where all is serene and predictable - the world of miniatures. “Unlike in real life, things are perfect in the miniature world,” says Lee Thomas Seawell, 66, ...
Packers Get New Micah Parsons Injury Prediction From NFL Exec
The Green Bay Packers have multiple question marks to answer ahead of the 2026 NFL season, but none of them are bigger than the one about superstar pass rusher Micah Parsons. Last offseason, the Packers pulled off a blockbuster trade with the Dallas Cowboys to acquire Parsons. Unfortunately, after a strong start to the season, […] The post Packers Get New Micah Parsons Injury Prediction From NFL Exec appeared first on HEAVY.
Bucs' ‘Biggest Bust’ Predicted for 2026
Facing a defensive overhaul and new competition, linebacker SirVocea Dennis must sharpen his coverage skills or risk losing his roster spot to high-profile free agents and rising rookies.
How Burry’s Prediction-Market Bet and New Products Will Impact Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Investors
Recently, reports emerged that Michael Burry has taken positions in DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment, framing them as a regulatory-focused investment amid growing attention on prediction markets as competitors to traditional sportsbooks. Flutter Entertainment’s work on its own prediction-market products highlights how the company is actively preparing for possible shifts in how sports-related wagering and forecasting are regulated and offered. We’ll now examine how Flutter’s...
'Win-Now' 49ers Trend for Blockbuster Trade in Bold Prediction
Mario Bautista vs. Cory Sandhagen prediction, pick for UFC 329
Mario Bautista and Cory Sandhagen meet in a rematch on the UFC 329 main card. Will anything be different the second time?
Prediction: Carvana's New-Car Business Will Work. Early Numbers Are Stunning.
Carvana is finally selling new vehicles, and early results emphasize how lucrative that could become.
Broncos Country bullish on Nix’s TD count
Fans predict a 30-plus TD pass season for No. 10.
Dolphins Earn Unwanted 'Worst Team' Label Before Training Camp Opens
Many analysts entering training camp have predicted the Miami Dolphins will finish with the worst record in the NFL in 2026. Bleacher Report is also among those who are bearish on the Dolphins ahead of training camp. A group of NFL analysts for the publication, including Kristopher Knox, assessed all 32 teams ahead of training camp, and the Dolphins landed dead last.
Barkley Makes Blunt Playoff Prediction for Kings
Charles Barkley said the Kings need “a miracle” to return to playoff contention, despite praising Sacramento’s loyal fan base and acknowledging rookie Darius Acuff Jr.’s bright future.
NBA Player News
Find all the latest fantasy baskeball news, reports, transactions, videos, predictions, and more right here on NBC Sports - Rotoworld.
Physicists finally build a quantum material predicted more than a decade ago
Researchers have achieved a major milestone by creating a long-sought two-dimensional quantum material and confirming its unusual conducting edge states. The ability to control these states through strain could make the material a promising platform for future room-temperature quantum electronics.
2026 FIFA World Cup - Watch and Stream Live Matches
Stream live Men's FIFA World Cup 2026 matches and view the latest news, analysis, schedule, groups, odds, predictions, where to watch and more at FOX Sports.
‘Underwhelming’ 49ers’ 1st-Round Pick Called NFL’s Biggest Bust
Bleacher Report's Moe Moton predicts San Francisco 49ers WR and 2024 1st-round pick Ricky Pearsall will be NFL's "Biggest Bust" in 2026. The post ‘Underwhelming’ 49ers’ 1st-Round Pick Called NFL’s Biggest Bust appeared first on HEAVY.
Scientists Used AI to Find Hidden Earthquake Signals Along the San Andreas Fault
Scientists used to think so-called “slow slip events” were “theoretically impossible.” Now these subtle tectonic shifts could be the key to predicting future earthquakes.
Browns roster: OL depth chart and expectations
Cleveland Browns roster sees a remade offensive line under new coach George Warhop. Predicting 2026 for Spencer Fano and co.
'Not a run-of-the-mill El Nino.' Forecasters predict historic strength
It should rank among the most intense El Ninos since the weather agency started tracking them in 1950.
Lee Zeldin pushes back on long-range climate predictions, 'science denier' label
EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin argued climate projections should be viewed as a range of possible outcomes and said disagreeing with long-term forecasts should not be viewed as science denial. (Credit: Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital)
Carolina Panthers veteran slams ‘uninteresting’ Steelers in 2026 predictions
A current Carolina Panther isn’t a believer in the Steelers.
Men found ‘Love Island.’ Then they started betting on it.
Prediction market apps are turning America's hottest dating show into a different obsession — and bringing a new audience into the villa.
NC budget raises sports-betting tax, adds prediction markets
New NC budget raises sports-betting taxes, redirects revenue to public universities, and creates a new tax on prediction markets.
Rays Roundtable: All-Star Snubs and MLB Draft Predictions
This week's Rays Roundtable breaks down Tampa Bay's All-Star selections, the biggest snubs, and who the Rays should target with the No. 2 pick in the MLB Draft. With the AL East lead growing, the future looks bright for Tampa Bay.
Goldman bans staff from participating in finance, politics prediction markets, source says
Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs has barred employees from trading on prediction-market contracts linked to financial markets and political events, a source familiar with the matter said on Thursday.
Wall Street giants bar staff from finance and politics prediction markets, source says
July 9 (Reuters) - Wall Street giants Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have barred employees from trading on prediction-market contracts linked to financial markets and political events, a source familiar with the matter said on Thursday. A memo was ...
Goldman Bans Staff Prediction Markets Bets on Finance, Politics
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has banned employees from trading on prediction markets except for sports and entertainment bets, in one of the most pointed efforts by a Wall Street firm grappling with the new regulatory issues raised by the boom in betting on events.
Federal judge denies Kalshi's request to override N.Y.'s gambling laws
The prediction market company is pushing back.
UFC 329 predictions: Conor McGregor’s highly anticipated return arrives
Words that some MMA fans thought they’d never hear again: it’s Conor McGregor fight week. UFC 329 is this Saturday and features the return of the biggest star in the company’s history. McGregor faces off against another future UFC Hall…
Unique fossil record of marine mollusks helps scientists predict extinction risk—before it's too late
Scientists are increasingly worried we may be witnessing the start of the "sixth mass extinction"—the first to be caused by human activities.
iPhone Air 2 Could Get an 11% Battery Capacity Boost
Apple is reportedly working on a second-generation iPhone Air that's expected to launch in spring 2027, and one of Apple's main aims is to improve battery life. We now have the first rumor suggesting what kind of improvement could be coming. In a post on Weibo listing supply chain predictions, serial leaker Digital Chat Station said the iPhone Air 2 is expected to feature a 3,500mAh battery.
Why Buyers Pay More For Businesses With Recurring Revenue
Learn why recurring revenue increases business value, reduces buyer risk, and helps founders build a more predictable and sellable company.
UFC champion predicts quick KO in UFC 329 main event
Former two-division champion Conor McGregor plans to put on a 'masterpiece' performance in his UFC 329 return on Saturday. "The Notorious" takes on former featherweight champion and BMF titleholder Max Holloway in a rematch in the fight card's main event. It's been five years since the 37 year-old ...
Eagles' Jalen Hurts Would Change Philadelphia if Prediction Came True
How ridiculous would it be to see Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles have his best season yet in Philadelphia?
‘Sacred moments’ in healthcare: Not just for the religious among us
The phenomenon is not unique to healthcare, but researchers have been exploring the prevalence and predictability of these experiences in medical settings.
Vikings' Eye Opening Free Agent Prediction Trending in July
With Jonathan Greenard gone, Minnesota could target veteran Leonard Floyd to bolster their pass-rushing depth and provide critical support for rising star Dallas Turner’s sophomore campaign.
These 2 Renowned Financial Experts Have Opposing Views on Debt. So, Who's Right?
Entrepreneurs who understand the difference between predictable free cash flow and optimistic projections can use leverage to build wealth — while others quietly destroy their businesses with it.
Researchers Develop AI Test to Predict Recurrence of Breast Cancer
Breakthrough offers potential for faster, less costly predictions to help guide treatment
Musk Calls It 'Utterly False,' But This SpaceX Rumor Should Terrify Every Apple Investor
Shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) rose 1.7% on July 1, 2026, the day the Wall Street Journal reported that SpaceX had shown IPO investors a prototype handset: slimmer than an iPhone, running a proprietary operating system, powered by a Qualcomm Snapdragon chip, and deeply integrated with xAI’s Grok. Elon Musk called the ... Musk Calls It ‘Utterly False,’ But This SpaceX Rumor Should Terrify Every Apple Investor
Engineers solved an airflow mystery hidden nearly a mile underground
Engineers at a deep underground research facility noticed something strange during major rainstorms: airflow underground sometimes reversed direction. Using new sensors and mathematical modeling, they found that water rushing down a shaft was effectively pushing air through the tunnels like a giant piston. The breakthrough explains a long-standing mystery and could help underground operations better predict and manage ventilation during storms and emergencies.
Scientists want to quarantine alien life on the Moon before it reaches Earth
Scientists are calling for a lunar quarantine facility where samples from Mars, the Moon, and beyond would be examined before being brought to Earth. They warn that even a tiny alien microorganism could have unpredictable effects on Earth's ecosystems. By using robotic handling systems on the Moon, researchers hope to eliminate the risk of accidental exposure or release.
Analyst Predicts Oklahoma's Best and Worst-Case Record for 2026
One analyst sees Oklahoma's ceiling at 10 wins, but warns offensive issues could lead to 6-6.
Prediction market betting would be authorized in NC’s new budget. What it means for sports betting
Tucked into the state budget is a proposal that could have massive implications for how prediction markets operate in North Carolina. Some lawmakers say it’ll create a new revenue stream. Others worry it’ll cost the state millions.
Virginia Tech football: CBS predicts every Hokies’ game for 2026
How many games do you believe the Hokies will win in 2026?
Max Holloway predicts 'fireworks' against Conor McGregor
Thirteen years ago, at UFC Fight Night 26 in Boston, future legends Conor McGregor and Max Holloway fought in a featherweight bout on the preliminary card. McGregor defeated "Blessed" via unanimous decision. It was the Irishman's second octagon appearance. The two will rematch in the UFC 329 main ...
Bronny James predicted to retire after unexpected LeBron James Lakers decision
The Los Angeles Lakers' 21-year-old guard received a shocking suggestion on Wednesday.
Polymarket Promo Code SBWIRE | $50 Bonus for Today's World Cup, Politics & More (July 3)
Use Polymarket promo code SBWIRE to skip the waitlist AND claim a $50 bonus with a $20 deposit. Start trading prediction markets immediately.
MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Friday, July 3
Colby Marchio’s MLB moneyline leans and insights for Friday, July 3, featuring the Minnesota Twins.
Mexico vs England predicted line-ups: Sky Sports writers pick their XIs with Declan Rice, Anthony Gordon and John Stones among players debated
Dave Portnoy reveals he is losing millions in brutal Bitcoin crash
Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy admits he doesn't have plans to sell Bitcoin despite its volatile nature and his struggle to predict the cryptocurrency's next move.
Goldman Sachs economist predicts AI displacing 15 million jobs
Joseph Briggs of Goldman Sachs foresees AI displacing 15 million US jobs, but suggests new roles will emerge as adoption progresses.
What a 50-year-old Post prediction got right — and wrong
Science editor Thomas O’Toole forecast innovations, including gene editing, deep-sea mining and nuclear-powered artificial hearts.
Argentina vs Cape Verde: World Cup Round of 32: Messi, prediction, kickoff
Lionel Messi's Argentina, the reigning champions, face minnows Cape Verde in a last-32 clash in Miami.
A heat dome with extreme temps threatens Fourth of July weekend
The heat dome arrives just before the Fourth of July weekend, when AAA predicted 72.2 million Americans would travel.
ESPN boldly predicts Dak Prescott to join exclusive NFL club
Do you think Dak Prescott can throw for 5K?