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10 things you can do every day to support your brain health
Many health factors can influence brain function later in life, according to the Alzheimer's Association's annual report. Here's what to know.
Latino leaders surge into local office as Trump-era attacks fuel new urgency
Latino leaders are gaining ground in U.S. politics despite ongoing challenges
UT Health San Antonio researchers awarded grant to study how circadian rhythm disruptions may contribute to Alzheimer’s - UT Health San Antonio
UT Health San Antonio researchers awarded grant to study how circadian rhythm disruptions may contribute to Alzheimer’s
UT Health San Antonio researchers awarded grant to study how circadian rhythm disruptions may contribute to Alzheimer’s - UT Health San Antonio
Environmental stressors like jet lag, high-fat foods suspected as disease risk Contact: Steven Lee, (210) 450-3823, lees22@uthscsa.edu Content provided by Claire Kowalick SAN ANTONIO, April 27, 2026 – Can jet lag cause more than just sleep loss? Do quick-grab, high-fat foods associated with late-night or rotating work shifts bring more than indigestion? Those circadian […]
Rochester City Council to discuss Monday future of RCTC Regional Sports Center
Officials say the primary goal of the project is an increase in outdoor recreation space and community access.
Most Americans value brain health, but a new Alzheimer's report finds few know how to protect it
According to the survey released this month, 9 in 10 adults aged 40 and older said brain health is a top priority, on par with physical health. But only about 1 in 10 actually know how to maintain it.
Patients say they want Alzheimer’s blood tests. Doctors aren’t sure they help.
A survey of nearly 600 adults found that 85% would get an Alzheimer's blood test if their doctor recommended it.
🚨 Official: another star pulls out of the World Cup!
Another withdrawal for the World Cup!After Hugo Ekitiké, Serge Gnabry and Rodrygo, another star has officially withdrawn from the 2026 World Cup!Injured this Saturday on the Wolverhampton pitch with ...
4 comments | Seattle University American Politics Professor Dr...
Seattle University American Politics Professor Dr Patrick Schoettmer says the US has a “long history” of political violence.
Brain health: Alzheimer's 2026 new report on cognitive impairment & dementia in Tennessee
An estimated 7.4 million Americans age 65 and older are now living with clinical dementia due to Alzheimer's disease, according to a newly released report from
NFL insider confirms obvious with Commanders, Brandon Aiyuk
Ian Rapoport offers an update on Brandon Aiyuk and the 49ers.
Aaron Gordon returns to Nuggets lineup for Game 4 vs. Timberwolves, but heads to locker room early
Tom Tom Festival draws crowds to the Downtown Mall, but results for business can vary
The festival brings more than 200 events to Charlottesville, but that doesn't translate into revenue for everyone.
Yankees news: Jazz Chisholm Jr. makes the adjustment
The Spencer Jones question; The divergent paths of the Yankees and Red Sox; Chisholm makes an adjustment; Cole takes another step.
6 things we learned from the first month of the MLB season: The NL Central is good, this rookie class is special and more
Gog Dynasty Buffet shutters for staff training, deep cleaning after health inspector citations
Health inspectors found zero health code violations one week after finding 16.
Jackson County Small Business Incubator unveils new office space
A ribbon cutting and Chamber after hours event in Moss Point marked a major expansion for the Jackson County Small Business Incubator.
Mike Vrabel declines to commit to Patriots activities after NFL Draft; Dianna Russini deletes X account
WATCH: Trump announces Israel and Lebanon have agreed to 3-week ceasefire extension
Southern University wins ECAC EA Sports College Football National Championship
Coby Robinson, a sophomore computer science major known as “K1ngC0by,” secured the title in a best-of-five championship series against Bellarmine University.
How to celebrate Small Business Week—special events, speakers + more
🥳 SMALL BUSINESS WEEK IS BACK: What to know about Bham’s biggest week celebrating local entrepreneurs—plus events you won’t want to miss May 3–9. NowPartner
Tim Cook Calls Apple Maps Launch His 'First Really Big Mistake' as CEO
Outgoing Apple CEO Tim Cook has named the botched 2012 launch of Apple Maps as his "first really big mistake" in the role, according to a Bloomberg report covering the town hall meeting that was held Tuesday with his recently announced successor, John Ternus. The Maps app launched with mislabeled landmarks, faulty directions, and a user experience that fell well short of Google Maps at the time.
New health survey data goes live
The dashboard has data down to census tracts.
Most Americans Worried About Brain Health, But Few Know How To Protect It
By Dennis Thompson HealthDay ReporterTHURSDAY, April 23, 2026 (HealthDay News) — Nearly all Americans are worried about their brain health as they age, ranking as important or more so than their physical health, a new Alzheimer’s Association report says. However, they don’t know what steps they can ...
Health Secy. Robert F. Kennedy Testifies on 2027 Budget Request
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. testifies before the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee on President Trump's 2027 budget request for the department.
NBA Mock Draft 3.0: Darryn Peterson to the Thunder? Here's what happens if the lottery brings us chaos
Minnehaha County business fails liquor compliance check
One business in Minnehaha County failed the Sheriff‘s Office’s most recent liquor compliance check, conducted on Tuesday.
Elevance Health raises 2026 outlook as it posts $1.8B in Q1 profit
Elevance Health is raising its guidance for 2026 even as its Q1 profits declined year-over-year. | Elevance Health is raising its guidance for 2026 even as its Q1 profits declined year-over-year.
Game # 23, Athletics vs. Mariners Game Thread
A’s & Mariners face off in Seatlle
Adam Miller Takes Hail Mary Shot at NCAA Transfer Portal
The shooting guard has played five college basketball seasons in six years at four different schools.
9 in 10 Americans say brain health is important, but Alzheimer’s report finds most don’t know how to maintain it
While nearly 9 in 10 adults say brain health is very important, only a small number say they actually know how to maintain it, according to a new report from the Alzheimer’s Association.
What does it take to protect brain health? 10 habits to start now
Most U.S. adults think brain health is at least as important as physical health, according to a new survey from the Alzheimer’s Association.
Walz: ‘Next Democratic president better figure out a way to get universal health care’
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) advised the next Democratic president to focus on passing universal healthcare, a policy measure that has been hotly debated within the party in recent years. “We have t…
Name of Walz's new 3-word PAC draws immediate online mockery
Gov. Tim Walz launches the Small Town PAC to reach rural voters, but conservatives immediately mocked the effort and blasted his record on social media.
Alzheimer’s drugs offer little benefit, major review finds – and the reasons go deeper than the science
Alzheimer’s research shows what happens when funding pressures and vested interests corrupt the pursuit of scientific truth.
More than 7 million have Alzheimer's. Can your brain health improve?
People have no control over Alzheimer's risk factors such as age, genes and family history. Diet, exercise and adequate sleep improve brain health.
Forrest County Youth Sports expands with 2 new baseball fields in Brooklyn
A growing youth sports program in South Forrest County opens two new fields at the Brooklyn Community Center.
Conservative Alaska lawmaker tells GOP to stop ‘political games’ after being criticized for voting bill
Gov. Mike Dunleavy has until the end of the month to decide whether to allow a sweeping voting bill to become law.
Madonna pleads for 'safe return' of vintage outfits that 'went missing' after Sabrina Carpenter Coachella performance
Madonna says she pulled her costumes from her "personal archives" and that "they are part of my history" as an artist.
Zombie Magic, old LeBron, Wemby’s debut & more thoughts on every NBA Playoff series + Warriors drama & LaMelo’s future with Jason Timpf, Kelly Iko & Noa Dalzell
A.J. Brown reportedly not expected to attend Eagles' voluntary offseason workouts amid trade speculation
Measles case confirmed in Rhode Island
A man in his 40s from Providence County who contracted the disease had recently traveled internationally, public health officials said
Kendra Scott eyes expansion with first business chief
Adrienne Gernand, a veteran of Gap Inc., will be responsible for expanding the brand’s assortment and global reach.
Score MS Office 2024 Home and Business plus 8 training courses for 72% off
Unlock all the features.
Blockbuster GLP-1 Diabetes and Weight Loss Drugs Fails in Alzheimer’s Trial
Researchers are exploring whether GLP-1 medications used for diabetes and weight loss could treat Alzheimer’s and addiction.
Ausar Thompson, J.B. Bickerstaff lead Detroit Pistons award finalists
Pistons forward Ausar Thompson, center Jalen Duren and guard Duncan Robinson were all named finalists for NBA end-of-season awards on Sunday.
NBA playoffs 2026 takeaways: Thunder's title defense off to dominant start; Jayson Tatum stars in Celtics' big win
Giants have an opportunity to accelerate their rebuild under John Harbaugh after bold Dexter Lawrence trade
Shohei Ohtani meets 100-year-old survivor of Nagasaki bombing before Dodgers-Rockies game
Sign up now for the Bulls Camp matchday special!
On 3 May v Sturm GrazThe Bulls Camp Matchday Special is back, bringing you a day packed with football action!When? Sunday 3 May 2026. The day will begin with an entertaining training session on the gr...
NFL mock draft: 4-round projections for Arizona Cardinals
In these four-round projections, the Arizona Cardinals don't get a tackle until the fourth round.
More Cities Sending Mental Health Workers Instead of Police to 911 Calls
More than 40 of the largest U.S. cities have launched some alternative response, but questions remain about how to pay for it.
Sports Illustrated resort to open in Nashville
Travel + Leisure Co. said the resort is set to welcome its first members and guests in Spring 2026 and will be located on Music Row.
Business: Rewarding Year-rounders, Chatham Business Offers Incentives For Residents, Businesses
Even though the shoulder seasons have become busier in recent years, Lower Cape businesses can still struggle to remain open year-round. Lindsay...
Steph Curry is testing Fitbit's screenless Whoop competitor
The NBA's greatest shooter has been not-so-subtly showing off the potential Whoop killer.
Exit 8 is cinema for the livestreaming era
When watching a video game is entertainment, what is watching a movie of a video game?
SGMC Health Offers New Treatment Option for Early Alzheimer’s Disease
SGMC Health now offers an FDA-approved treatment option for people in the early stages of Alzheimer’s disease, giving patients and families in South Georgia access to care that can help […]
Tampa Bay Rowdies at Charleston Battery Live Stream of USL Championship
Watch Live: USL Championship match Tampa Bay Rowdies at Charleston Battery on April 18, 2026
Brain health: Staying more active during the day helps retain brain volume
Older adults with a more fragmented circadian rest-activity rhythm lost more brain volume in areas typically affected by Alzheimer’s disease, research has found.
Trump says Iran agrees to hand over ‘nuclear dust’
Iran has not confirmed Trump’s claim. Giving up its highly enriched uranium would be a major step toward an agreement.
CBS Has Revealed What's Taking Over Stephen Colbert's Time Slot — And It's Not A New Host
After three decades, the 11:35 p.m. slot is going to look a lot different.
Trump Voters Have Had Enough
A shocking number of the president’s supporters have turned against him.
The first black hole ever discovered is spewing 'dancing jets' at half the speed of light
Astronomers have accurately measured the "dancing" energy jets of the first confirmed black hole, Cygnus X-1, more than 60 years after it was first spotted.
Largely secret donors pour millions into election that could tip Congress
Most of the almost $100 million raised to influence the vote, heavily favoring Democrats, comes from nonprofits that don’t have to disclose their donors.
Analysis of Alzheimer’s Drugs Stirs Debate About Their Effectiveness
The review said a certain class of drugs had little clinical benefit, but many Alzheimer’s experts criticized the analysis, saying it unfairly lumped failed drugs with two recently approved treatments.
Boilermaker Business: How I Narrowed Down My College Options
Emilee Balzer shares how campus visits and personal connections led her to Purdue University's Mitch Daniels School of Business.
Microsoft prepares display upgrades and two stage launch for new Surface Pro and Surface Laptop with Intel and Snapdragon chips this year
New Surface PCs from Microsoft will consist of new chips, display upgrades, and higher starting prices this spring and summer.
Re:Cognition Health Delivers Landmark International Clinical Trial to Explore Whether a Simple Finger-prick Blood-based Biomarker Test Can Provide Earlier Alzheimer's Diagnosis
Re:Cognition Health, a global leader in new treatments for Alzheimer's Disease, is delivering an international clinical trial to evaluate whether a simple finger-prick blood test can revolutionize how Alzheimer's disease is diagnosed. Compared with the current invasive and expensive diagnostic methods, this approach could provide a scalable solution for an earlier, easier, more accurate, affordable, and accessible diagnostic method. Re:Cognition Health will help enroll approximately 1,000 partic
UW Football Spring Preview: Running Backs
Who’s Gone Jonah Coleman has been the keystone of the UW running back room for the last two seasons. While nagging injuries prevented him from consistently hitting fifth gear, he still rushed for 1811 yards (5.2 yards per carry) and 25 TDs over his two years in Seattle. He also proved himself an adept pass-catcher, […]
Main Line Health is closing its Women's Emotional Wellness Center in June
The closure will affect about 1,000 patients and two-dozen employees.
Trump officials consider physician, a Fox News regular, for top vaccine post
Houman Hemmati is under consideration to lead the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. A final decision has not been made.
'Metro 2039' confirmed for "Xbox First Look" show: New format will spotlight games throughout the year.
Xbox's showcase production team has been on a big tear this year, and another new format is on the horizon: starting with the return of Metro.
USC Brain Health Center could be hub for Alzheimer’s treatment, new tech for mental health
A new $30 million Brain Health Center at USC in Columbia will be a magnet for advanced diagnosis and treatment of Alzheimer’s disease and dementia but also deploy new technology for mental health.
Rosenior: Chelsea ‘nowhere near’ expectations against Man City
Liam Rosenior was highly critical of Chelsea’s second-half performance after they fell to a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City on Sunday. The Blues started brightly at Stamford Bridge and even thought t...
Inside Vance’s Iran negotiations: No deal, but ‘friendly’ talks
Vice President JD Vance’s negotiations in Pakistan with Iran failed to end the war, but progress was reported on building goodwill.
Calls grow for Rep. Swalwell to resign or be expelled over misconduct claims
Several Democratic and Republican lawmakers said they would be in favor of voting to expel Swalwell, as well as Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas), who both face misconduct allegations.
GSK sees blockbuster potential in targeted cancer therapy after promising early data
British drugmaker GSK's experimental targeted cancer drug Mo-rez has blockbuster potential, its head of oncology research has told reporters, after early data showed the drug helped shrink tumors in patients with advanced, hard-to-treat cancers.
Bruce Ledewitz: Our politics is a world of unreason
We live in an age of political unreason. Unless we are learn to think more reasonably, especially rejecting our own side’s partisan lies, America...
Staal Nets Number 20 – Hurricanes 4, Mammoth 1
Jordan Staal notched his 20th goal of the season and the Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Utah Mammoth, 4-1 on Saturday evening in Salt Lake City. It was Staal’s first 20 goal season in nine years. The Canes have now won three games in a row and they look like they are certainly peaking at the […]
Cleveland Browns NFL Draft Profile: RB Cash Jones, Georgia
Are the Browns considering this Bulldog as the newest member of the Dawg Pound?
“AI polls” are fake polls
A few weeks after Donald Trump’s second presidential win, I took the train up from London (where I was living at the time) to Oxford to attend a conference on polls and forecasts of the 2024 election. Most of the attendees were pollsters or academics, but I also watched presentations from Aaru and Electric Twin, two companies that do what is interchangeably called synthetic sampling, silicon sampling, or synthetic audiences. Stripped of startup jargon, that means they use large language models (LLMs) to simulate responses to public opinion polls by having AI agents take on the role of survey respondents. I had already heard of Aaru thanks to some articles with eye-catching headlines like “No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans” in the months leading up to Election Day. The founders were making some big, some might even say far-fetched claims, such as: “within two years, we will simulate the entire globe — from the way crops are grown in Ukraine to how that impacts production of oil in Iraq, trade through the strait of Malacca, and elections for the mayor of Baltimore.” When Semafor asked Aaru’s cofounders — Cameron Fink and Ned Koh — about my boss, they said “we respect all those who came before us.” Nate (as he so often does) shared his thoughts on Twitter: Fink and Koh were relatively good-natured about this back-and-forth when we spoke at Oxford. They even offered to mail me one of the t-shirts featuring Nate’s quote they apparently had made. I never took them up on the offer, which I now somewhat regret. These synthetic sampling companies fell off my radar for a while, but they do still exist. In fact, Aaru recently received a $1 billion valuation. Is what they’re doing anywhere close to the most important frontier in AI development? Not by a longshot, especially when Anthropic just developed a model so adept at exploiting software vulnerabilities that it’s only being released to 40 companies. Still, silicon sampling is increasingly finding its way into public polling. Axios reported in March that “a majority of people trust their own doctors and nurses” based on findings from Aaru — without mentioning that the “people” in that sentence were actually LLMs. Around the same time, the Public Sentiment Institute “boosted” their online sample of 373 real survey respondents with 114 AI agents.1 (Spoiler alert: even the co-founder of Electric Twin doesn’t think that’s a particularly defensible approach.) Polling companies like Qualtrics and Ipsos are also developing synthetic data panels. So, what should we make of these … “polls”? Let’s get one thing out of the way: whatever they are, they’re not polls in the way that term is usually defined. Subscribe You can’t replace polls with AI On one hand, using LLMs to essentially make up fake survey respondents sort of sounds like the dumbest idea ever, one that will at best imperfectly replicate real polls while introducing all sorts of biases. On the other hand, with LLMs improving at a remarkable, perhaps even alarming rate, maybe that means I’m a dinosaur at the ripe old age of 24 because I still want to rely on polls that talk to actual people. I’m not going to argue that synthetic samples are completely useless. In fact, as I’ll return to later, there is evidence that some techniques can replicate topline survey results quickly and cheaply. But the marketing from certain companies can be slightly optimistic. “No traditional poll will exist by the time the next general election occurs,” said Fink in 2024. We’re just 206 days away from the midterms, and based on the fact that I still have to collect a bunch of polls every day, I’d say he should have run that prediction by a sample of AI agents before the interview.2 To see why synthetic samples can’t replace polls, here’s a quick primer on how they work. The simplest version of these models involves taking a LLM (like ChatGPT or Claude), giving it a demographic profile (e.g., a white, college-educated woman who lives in Utah and makes $70k a year), and then asking it to respond to a survey question. You repeat that process a few thousand times using different demographic profiles and end up with a sample of synthetic survey responses. The actual models used by private companies are more sophisticated than this, usually because they incorporate more hypothesized demographic characteristics for each agent and provide them with extra information. Aaru, for example, feeds agents a diet of news and information they’d be likely to consume, while Electric Twin incorporates their customers’ proprietary data about the audience they’re trying to replicate. The way Ben Warner, the co-founder of Electric Twin, explained it to me was “we have a large amount of data on […] for instance, 5,000 people. Can we make an accurate prediction of how they would respond to another question?” Still, it should be obvious why synthetic samples can’t replace polls. Polling is fundamentally a data collection process. We might use surveys to make predictions by feeding them into election forecasts, but the main purpose of a poll isn’t prediction, it’s gathering new data about what people think and how they feel. Silicon sampling, on the other hand, produces no new data. It’s simply a model: you input LLM training data, demographic prompts, and a bunch of other information, and it spits out a prediction for what a poll would say. We love models here, but models aren’t polls. That difference is an important philosophical sticking point for most pollsters I talk to. “I think politics should stay away from [synthetic sampling], because we’re trying to […] represent the voice of the people,” said Natalie Jackson, a vice president at GQR Insights. Democratic pollster John Hagner told me: “I think I’m just incredibly skeptical of this idea. I don’t think it’s research. At that point, you’re asking the machine to tell you what you already believe.” Hagner has seen some presentations of early synthetic sampling experiments, but so far, “if it’s being used in a campaign, people are keeping it incredibly quiet.”3 But Eli, I hear you saying, aren’t polls themselves increasingly governed by modeling decisions? Indeed they are: pollsters’ choices on which sampling method to use, how to define their likely voter models, and how to weight their samples can and do lead to dramatic differences in the results they publish. Aaru even referenced these limitations in the methodology statement included with that maternal mortality “poll” — although I’m using the term “methodology statement” loosely here, because it doesn’t really explain how the model works at all. We can ignore the (frankly preposterous) implication that synthetic sampling isn’t subject to a separate set of biases. The important point is that there’s still a meaningful difference between using weighting and other statistical techniques on actual polling data and using a model to predict what a poll would say. The latter is far closer to election forecasts or techniques like MRP — potentially useful models, but not a replacement for polls.4 To be fair, other synthetic sampling companies are perfectly happy with the distinction between polls and models. Warner compared polling and synthetic sampling to different tools in a toolbox. “The mistake I think we make is we think that these new tools should either work in exactly the same way or somehow replace these old tools,” he said. “Rather than thinking of it as, okay, so we’ve always had the hammer, we’ve always had the screwdriver, now we’ve got a saw. But don’t use a saw to try [to] do the job of a hammer.” A quick comment from Nate Eli didn’t ask me for a comment — rather rude of him, don’t you think? But since I’m editing this story, I figured I’d add a few quick thoughts rather than putting words in his mouth. Beyond the frequently misleading marketing, what bothers me about the AI “poll” hype is that as AI tools make statistical inference cheaper and/or better (note that these are not synonyms) that actually increases the comparative value of collecting original data. You might be able to train a model to make a reasonable estimate of what some hard-to-reach poll respondent would say — say, a young Black man who voted for Trump. (Such a person checks a number of boxes for a voter who is usually hard to reach in surveys.) Indeed, this is closely related to what models like the Silver Bulletin forecast already do. They essentially smooth out the kinks in noisy survey data by making inferences based on past voting patterns or national polls or surveys of other states. But you don’t actually know what these voters think unless you’re reaching them directly. If there’s a shift in opinion among this subgroup, you’re not going to detect it. So if I were running a campaign, I’d invest more in going the extra mile to find a representative sample of those voters. And then I’d hire some smart quants — or Claude? — to figure out the implications for campaign strategy based on proprietary data that my competitors didn’t have access to. -Nate Silver Are these models any good? If synthetic surveys are just a new type of model, the next obvious question is whether the models are at least accurate. The answer very much depends on who you ask. On one end of the spectrum, you have the maximalist argument that synthetic sampling is more accurate than actual polls. “It’s an incredibly challenging problem to go to someone and say ‘hey, we’re going to be more accurate at predicting human behavior than you, even when you talk to your customers directly’,” Koh recently told CNBC. In his view, synthetic sampling isn’t a saw to polling’s hammer, it’s “magic.” There’s certainly evidence that synthetic samples can replicate certain survey toplines. But if Aaru does have any examples of their approach outperforming the polls, they’re keeping those to themselves.5 Aaru’s 2024 election model, for example, had Kamala Harris leading in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on November 4th. And although they’ve since taken down their forecast page, they gave Harris a 50.5 percent chance of winning the race on November 2nd.6 After the election, Fink told Semafor he was happy enough with those results because they were “within margin of error,” a term that is completely meaningless when applied to a “sample” of AI agents. And of course, Aaru says their models have improved since 2024, so supposedly now they’d be more accurate than the polls? Still, their stronger argument is on cost: “We are significantly faster and cheaper than traditional polling, and still more accurate,” said Fink. The first two claims are undeniably true, but the third brings us to the opposite end of the spectrum. Both Jackson and Hagner are skeptical that these models are reliable for anything beyond replicating common survey toplines. “I just […] don’t think the machines are what we want when we’re looking for nuanced views. My example on this is people in Arizona and Nevada in 2024 who voted for Trump and voted for expanding abortion in their states on ballot initiatives,” said Jackson. Hagner identified another issue. Maybe the synthetic respondents, like sycophantic LLMs, are inhuman in one important way: they’re too nice. “The reports that have come through at the meetings that I’ve been at are that the early experiments on this, they cannot get respondents to be as racist or sexist or, frankly, as negative as human respondents,” he said. Academic research mostly agrees on this point. While there are some papers that show promising results when using LLMs to replicate polling data, most show that LLMs suffer from various quirks like producing too few “don’t know” responses and can seriously overpredict the favorability of politicians like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. They also seem to struggle with too little variation between demographic subgroups, so the difference in predicted opinion between Democrats and Republicans, for example, is too small. When I asked Warner about these studies, his response to these papers was that just because academics can’t get synthetic sampling to work doesn’t mean that the technique doesn’t work in general. “Actually, the argument is, okay, yours does not [work]. That does not mean […] for this complex set of machinery, which uses a lot of investment, a lot of time, a lot of money, you can’t get it to work.” Cards on the table, I’m somewhat sympathetic to this argument because academics aren’t exactly great at making election forecasts. Usually, the people with skin in the game are the most accurate. Warner’s argument is that the approach Electric Twin takes — which includes, for example, making multiple predictions for each synthetic respondent using different models and prompts and subsequently averaging those to get a final prediction in a sort of ensemble forecast — produces better results than the simpler academic models. Warner shared a comparison between his method and the method from a recent academic paper with me, and Electric Twin was indeed able to get more accurate replication. But even still, he acknowledged that synthetic sampling “is not a crystal ball.” “If you asked me, do I think using other data sources will be more accurate than asking somebody who they will vote for, I would probably say no. But if you asked me ‘would your system be useful for our turnout modeling today?’ I would say yes.” For better or worse, it looks like the method is already getting more popular in the market research world. Most of the clients Aaru touts these days are businesses like EY and McDonald’s. And AI will probably begin to pop up in other parts of the political polling process. Pollsters are already using it to code open-ended survey responses, and some firms, like YouGov, are testing using LLMs to ask survey respondents questions. More worryingly, one danger to actual polls is that AI agents can be used to infiltrate online surveys. Most online polls use various checks to prevent that from happening, but there’s conflicting evidence on how effective those filters are and how prevalent AI agents currently are in online panels. If those agents ever become impossible to detect, it might spell the end of online polling, but the solution isn’t to replace all of your respondents with ChatGPT. Silver Bulletin is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a subscriber. Subscribe 1 That particular poll obviously doesn’t meet Silver Bulletin standards for aggregation. But we exclude all Public Sentiment Institute polls from our averages because we classify them as an amateur polling firm. 2 You could argue that Fink meant the next presidential election, but (a) I’m also confident we’ll still have real polls in 2028 and (b) in that case he should have asked an LLM to define “general election.” 3 Quick caveat: that’s reporting from a Democratic pollster. It’s possible that Republicans are more willing to use AI in political campaigns. 4 Indeed, Silver Bulletin does not include “polls” produced by MRP in our forecasts or averages, and we think it’s extremely misleading when their practitioners describe them in a way that suggests original data had been collected among a large number of states or Congressional districts. 5 A recent report from Aaru and EY did show two examples of a synthetic estimate being closer than a survey to a real-world benchmark — but I’d take those findings with a grain of salt because the report reads more like an ad and didn’t involve any sort of prediction being made ahead of time. 6 For comparison, our odds for Harris on the same day were 48.2 percent.
2026 NFL Draft Profile: Texas tight end Jack Endries
Texas tight end Jack Endries is a Day 3 prospect the Denver Broncos should consider in the 2026 NFL Draft.
Your nose could detect Alzheimer’s years before symptoms begin
Losing your sense of smell might signal Alzheimer’s far earlier than expected. Scientists found that immune cells in the brain actively destroy smell-related nerve fibers after detecting abnormal signals on their surfaces. This damage begins in early stages of the disease, well before cognitive decline. The discovery could help identify at-risk patients sooner and improve treatment timing.
Yankees news: Volpe slated to start upon return
Volpe expected to retake starting gig once healthy; flaws emerge as Yanks nosedive from hot start; Average salary in MLB rises; Mike Ford retires, takes role in Rays’ front office.
Trump likes to back winners in foreign elections. The upcoming vote in Hungary will test his clout
Donald Trump has made a public flex of his political influence abroad on a scale that few, if any, U.S. presidents have, trying to marshal power he’s used domestically to sway races around the world
Bengals meet with 3 high-profile defensive prospects
The Bengals have had a busy end to the week, meeting with a number of high-profile prospects ahead of the Draft.
Democrats denounce Trump’s plan to use foreign steel in White House ballroom
A New York Times report that the president was accepting a donation of foreign steel for the ballroom was seized on by Democrats.
Agawam business expresses concern on street redesign
Agawam business owners raised concerns over a road project, they say, could cost them customers.
World Leaders Push to Save Iran Talks Amid Israel’s Attacks in Lebanon
President Trump’s cease-fire with Iran appears at risk as Vice President JD Vance heads to Pakistan for discussions with Iranian officials.
How OpenAI's reported ad plans could change the AI business model
OpenAI (OPAI.PVT) is reportedly projecting $100 billion in advertising revenue by 2030. Yahoo Finance Technology Editor Dan Howley explains how this could shift the artificial intelligence (AI) business model.
80 Years of Excellence: 49ers Launch Reimagined Mobile App
Sourdough Sam AI guides fans through a redesigned app, offering personalized stats and stadium info. Celebrate 80 years with this groundbreaking digital experience.
Crowd chants ‘Run again!’ to Kamala Harris, who said she’s ‘thinking about it’
The former vice president’s statement at a Black political convention was one of her most explicit signals yet that she could campaign again for president in 2028.
Picture this: A raffle offers a Picasso for 100 euros to fund Alzheimer’s research
A raffle in France offers the chance to win a Picasso portrait for a 100-euro ticket | 1010 WINS
Scientists say we’ve been treating Alzheimer’s all wrong
Alzheimer’s isn’t just one problem—it’s a tangled mix of biology, aging, and overall health. That’s why drugs targeting a single factor have fallen short, even as new treatments show modest benefits. Scientists are now pushing toward multi-pronged strategies, from gene editing to brain-cell rejuvenation and gut health interventions. The goal: stop treating Alzheimer’s as one disease and start tackling it as a complex system.
Women’s Brains Are a $1 Trillion Opportunity
Women’s health is a macroeconomic opportunity we have ignored, write Lisa Mosconi and George Vradenburg.
Mac OS X Cheetah Successfully Ported to Nintendo Wii
Developer Bryan Keller was curious whether an old version of Apple's Mac operating system was capable of running on the Nintendo Wii after seeing Windows NT ported to the gaming device, so he decided to give it a try. He was able to get Mac OS X 10.0 Cheetah to operate on the Nintendo Wii, and he shared a blog post walking through the project.
African American Health Symposium highlights support for those impacted by Alzheimer's
This year's theme: "It Takes a Village: Faith, Family and Community in Caregiving."
Jolene Jolene sports bar finds permanent Atlanta home
Atlanta women’s sports bar Jolene Jolene secured a permanent home after two years of local pop-ups.
Scientists just found a hidden “drain” inside the human brain
A hidden waste-removal pathway in the brain has finally been caught in action. Using cutting-edge MRI scans, researchers discovered that fluid flows along the middle meningeal artery in a slow, lymphatic-like pattern—very different from blood. This confirms the presence of a previously unknown drainage hub in humans. The finding could transform how scientists approach brain aging, injury, and diseases like Alzheimer’s.